UK CPI Inflation: 3.1% YoY headline (up from 2.9%), core 2.6% YoY (unchanged), CPIH 3.3% YoY (Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET, 7:00 am London)). Covers August 2026 data.Consensusa consensus forecast has not yet been published for the August 2026 dataActual3.1% YoY headline (up from 2.9%), core 2.6% YoY (unchanged),...
US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE): +1.2% MoM (control group +1.4%), vs 0.8% consensus (Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London)). Covers August 2026 data.Consensusa consensus forecast has not yet been published for the August 2026 reportActual+1.2% MoM (control group +1.4%), vs 0.8% consensusFull schedule and background: US Personal Income and...
FOMC Rate Decision: Raised 25bp to 3.75%-4.00% (first hike in three years) (Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 2:00 pm ET (7:00 pm London)).ConsensusMarket-implied odds of a 25bp hike, not a cut, have risen sharply and stood at around 83-85% as of mid-September 2026, according to CME FedWatch-based trackersActualRaised 25bp to 3.75%-4.00% (first hike in three...
Bank of England MPC Rate Decision: Held at 3.75%, vote 6-3 (three members voted for a hike to 4%) (Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 12:00 pm GMT (7:00 am ET, 12:00 pm London)).ConsensusHold at 3.75% (Reuters poll of economists)ActualHeld at 3.75%, vote 6-3 (three members voted for a hike to 4%)Full schedule and background: Bank...
US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts): 1.275 million SAAR, -2.6% MoM (single-family +7.6% to 918k, multi-family -22.5% to 344k) (Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London)). Covers August 2026 data.Consensusa consensus forecast for August 2026 has not yet been widely published as of this writingActual1.275 million SAAR, -2.6% MoM (single-family +7.6%...
US Initial Jobless Claims: 196,000 initial claims (week ended Sept 12, 2026), down 10,000; continuing claims 1.73 million, down 39,000 (Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London)).ConsensusAround 205,000 to 210,000 new claimsActual196,000 initial claims (week ended Sept 12, 2026), down 10,000; continuing claims 1.73 million, down 39,000Full schedule and background: US...
Japan CPI: Headline CPI +1.9% YoY (steady vs 1.9% prior), Core CPI ex fresh food +1.7% YoY (down from 1.8%, below 1.8% consensus), Core-core CPI ex fresh food and energy +1.9% YoY (steady) (Friday, September 18, 2026 at 8:30 am JST (7:30 pm ET, 12:30 am London)). Covers August 2026 data.ActualHeadline CPI +1.9% YoY (steady...
Bank of Japan Rate Decision: Hiked 25bp to 1.25% (uncollateralised overnight call rate), vote 7-2 (Friday, September 18, 2026 at 12:00 pm JST (11:00 pm ET, 4:00 am London)).ConsensusA 25bp hike to 1.25%, according to a Bloomberg survey of 52 economists, all of whom expect a rate rise at this meetingActualHiked 25bp to 1.25% (uncollateralised...
UK Retail Sales: +0.5% MoM, +2.4% YoY (August 2026) (Friday, September 18, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET, 7:00 am London)). Covers August 2026 data.Actual+0.5% MoM, +2.4% YoY (August 2026)Full schedule and background: UK Retail Sales.Updated September 18, 2026 UK retail sales volumes rose 0.5% month-on-month in August 2026, far exceeding the consensus...
US Industrial Production: +0.1% MoM industrial production, +0.2% manufacturing output (August 2026); July revised to -0.4% (Friday, September 18, 2026 at 9:15 am ET (2:15 pm London)). Covers August 2026 data.Actual+0.1% MoM industrial production, +0.2% manufacturing output (August 2026); July revised to -0.4%Full schedule and background: US Industrial Production.Updated September 18, 2026 US industrial production...
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