China Official PMI October 2026
2026-10-30 21:30 - 22:30 (America/New_York)
Next China Official PMI: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (9:30 pm ET, 1:30 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Manufacturing 49.8, Non-Manufacturing 49.0 (August 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: China Official PMI.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous China Official PMI
China’s Official PMI for October 2026 is due on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 9:30 am China Standard Time (CST), which is 9:30 pm ET on October 30 in the United States and 1:30 am on October 31 in London. The survey is published by the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS), together with the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, and covers economic activity during October 2026. Full schedule and background: China Official PMI.
What is the China Official PMI?
The Official Purchasing Managers’ Index is a monthly survey of purchasing managers at several hundred manufacturing and services firms across China, most of them large and state-linked. Managers are asked whether output, new orders, employment, supplier delivery times and stock levels rose, fell or stayed unchanged compared with the previous month. The answers are combined into two headline figures: the Manufacturing PMI and the Non-Manufacturing (services and construction) PMI.
A reading above 50 signals expansion in that part of the economy, while a reading below 50 signals contraction. The distance from 50, not just the direction, matters: a move from 49.0 to 49.8 still shows contraction but a slowing pace of decline, which markets often read as a stabilising signal.
Investors, currency traders and commodity markets watch this release closely because China is the world’s largest manufacturing economy and a major buyer of raw materials, machinery and energy. Because the official survey leans towards larger, state-owned firms, it is often read alongside the privately compiled Caixin PMI, which samples smaller, export-oriented businesses, to get a fuller picture of the Chinese economy.
When is the October Official PMI released?
The NBS is scheduled to publish the October 2026 Official PMI on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (9:30 pm ET, 1:30 am London). The data is released directly on the National Bureau of Statistics website, with both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing indices published at the same time. NBS releases fall on a fixed monthly schedule regardless of weekends, so a Saturday publication date, as in this case, is normal for this series.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of this writing, a consensus forecast for the October 2026 Official Manufacturing PMI has not yet been published by major polling providers such as Reuters or Trading Economics. Forecasts for this release typically firm up in the final days of October, closer to the publication date.
The most recent confirmed reading available is from August 2026, when the official manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8, still below the 50 expansion line but up 0.6 points from July, according to a report on the August data. The non-manufacturing index stood at 49.0 in the same month, its weakest level since December 2022, per Reuters.

Measure
Prior (August 2026)
Consensus (October 2026)

Manufacturing PMI
49.8
Not yet published

Non-Manufacturing PMI
49.0
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Read as a sign that factory activity is stabilising or recovering, potentially supporting the yuan and commodity-linked currencies
Chinese factories reported more new orders and output than expected, suggesting demand is picking up

In line
Limited market reaction, seen as confirmation of the existing gradual recovery trend described by analysts covering the August data
The economy is behaving broadly as expected, neither better nor worse

Below consensus
Could revive concerns about weak domestic demand and prompt talk of further stimulus, a pattern noted after earlier soft prints
Factories and services firms are struggling more than expected, which can weigh on global trade partners

Why does this release matter right now?
China’s factory sector has moved in and out of contraction for much of 2026. The Official Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.0 in February 2026 before rebounding to 50.4 in March, its strongest reading in a year, helped by government spending and export demand linked to artificial intelligence hardware, according to Trading Economics data. By August 2026 the index had settled at 49.8, still in contraction but improving, while the non-manufacturing gauge languished at 49.0, its weakest since December 2022.
Policymakers in Beijing have leaned on fiscal spending and targeted support measures through 2026 as they try to lift domestic consumption and stabilise the property sector. Each PMI print feeds into that debate: a weak reading tends to increase pressure for more stimulus, while a stronger one can ease it. Analysts covering the August release noted that the test ahead is whether stronger factory demand spreads into jobs, consumption and private-sector confidence, according to a report on China’s recovery prospects.
What It Means for Your Money
Mortgages and rates: China’s PMI does not set UK, US or European mortgage rates directly, but persistent weakness in Chinese demand can pull down global growth expectations, which sometimes feeds into lower bond yields and, indirectly, mortgage pricing in Western markets.
Savings: A weaker Chinese economy can add to disinflationary pressure globally by lowering commodity and shipping costs, which central banks weigh when setting the interest rates that determine savings account returns.
Jobs and wages: Companies in Europe, the UK and Asia that export machinery, luxury goods or raw materials to China are sensitive to these figures. A soft PMI print can eventually show up in hiring and order books at those firms.
Prices: China is a major producer of manufactured goods and consumer of raw materials, so shifts in its factory activity can affect the price of everything from electronics to industrial metals worldwide.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Chinese equities, the offshore yuan, and commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar often react to this release. Pension funds with exposure to Asian or emerging-market equities, or to mining and energy companies, can see performance move on the day.
Related events

Previous release: China Official PMI, September 2026
The privately compiled Caixin Manufacturing PMI, published separately and weighted towards smaller, export-oriented firms
Full monthly schedule and background on the series: China Official PMI

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the October 2026 China Official PMI released?
It is scheduled for 9:30 am China Standard Time on October 31, 2026, which is 9:30 pm ET on October 30 and 1:30 am in London on October 31.
How do I read the PMI figure?
A reading above 50 signals expansion in that sector of the economy, while a reading below 50 signals contraction; the closer to 50, the closer the sector is to stabilising.
Does the China PMI affect interest rates outside China?
Not directly, but weak or strong Chinese activity can shift global growth and inflation expectations, which central banks in the US, UK and eurozone factor into their own rate decisions.
Where is the official release published?
Directly on the website of the National Bureau of Statistics of China.
When is the next China Official PMI released?
The NBS publishes this series on a fixed monthly schedule; the next release after October 2026 covers November 2026 data.
← Previous China Official PMI

China Caixin Manufacturing PMI November 2026
2026-11-01 20:45 - 21:45 (America/New_York)
Next China Caixin Manufacturing PMI: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 9:45 am CST (8:45 pm ET, 1:45 am London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
50.9 (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous China Caixin Manufacturing PMI
The China Caixin Manufacturing PMI for November 2026 is scheduled for release on November 2, 2026, at 9:45 am China Standard Time (9:45 pm ET on November 1, and 1:45 am in London on November 2). The survey is compiled by S&P Global for Caixin Insight Group and, following a sponsorship change during 2026, the headline index is now also published under the name RatingDog Manufacturing PMI. This release covers manufacturing activity in October 2026, gathered from purchasing managers at more than 500 mostly small and mid-sized Chinese manufacturers. Full schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI.
What is the Caixin Manufacturing PMI?
The Caixin (now also branded RatingDog) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index is a survey-based gauge of factory activity in China. Purchasing managers are asked whether output, new orders, employment, supplier delivery times and stocks of purchased items rose, fell or stayed the same compared with the previous month. Those answers are combined into a single index, weighted at 30% new orders, 25% output, 20% employment, 15% suppliers’ delivery times and 10% stocks of purchased items, with the delivery times component inverted so it moves in the same direction as the rest.
A reading above 50 signals expansion in the manufacturing sector; a reading below 50 signals contraction. Because the survey panel leans towards smaller, export-oriented and privately-owned firms, it is widely treated as a complement to China’s official National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) PMI, which surveys larger, often state-owned, companies. When the two diverge, traders often read the Caixin figure as a better proxy for the private, trade-exposed part of the economy.
Investors, currency traders and commodity desks in Asia, Europe and the United States watch the release closely because China remains the world’s largest manufacturer and a major buyer of raw materials. A weak print can pressure the Australian dollar, industrial metals prices and the shares of companies with large China exposure, while a strong print can lift risk appetite across Asian and European equity markets.
When is the November Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?
The report is due on Monday, November 2, 2026, at 9:45 am China Standard Time, which is 9:45 pm ET the previous evening and 1:45 am in London. S&P Global publishes the exact release calendar in advance, and the November date has not yet been formally confirmed at the time of writing. In practice, the manufacturing PMI is published on the first business day of the month covering the prior month’s activity, so November 2, 2026 follows that usual pattern.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the November 2026 release (covering October activity) has not yet been published by major polling services. Forecasts for PMI readings are typically only compiled in the days immediately before release. The most recently confirmed reading available at the time of writing is July 2026, when the index fell to a four-month low of 50.9, down from 51.7 in June, according to data compiled by Trading Economics. June’s reading of 51.7 was itself down from 51.8 in May.

Measure
Prior reading
Consensus

Headline PMI
50.9 (July 2026)
Not yet published

New Orders sub-index
Not separately confirmed
Not yet published

Readers should treat the July figure as background context rather than the immediate prior, since further monthly readings for August and September 2026 will have been published before the November release. Check the official S&P Global release calendar or Caixin Insight Group’s own site closer to the date for the confirmed prior and consensus.
What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Possible modest lift to risk appetite in Asian and commodity-linked markets
Chinese factories are growing faster than expected, which could support demand for raw materials and Asian exporters

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction expected
Manufacturing activity is behaving broadly as anticipated, so traders are unlikely to reposition heavily

Below consensus
Possible pressure on commodity currencies and China-exposed equities
Factories are struggling more than expected, which can weigh on demand for exports from trading partners and on metals prices

These are possibilities rather than predictions. Actual market moves depend on other data released the same week, the tone of Chinese policy signals, and broader global risk sentiment.
Why does this release matter right now?
China’s manufacturing sector has been showing signs of gradual slowing through the middle of 2026, with the Caixin gauge easing from 51.8 in May to 51.7 in June and then to a four-month low of 50.9 in July, according to Trading Economics. That slowdown matters because manufacturing and exports remain central to China’s growth model, and weaker factory activity can filter through to global supply chains, shipping volumes and commodity demand. Policymakers in Beijing have used stimulus measures at various points in 2026 to support activity, and each new PMI print is used by economists to judge whether that support is working.
Outside China, central banks and trade-exposed businesses in Europe, the UK and Asia watch the series as an early signal of demand from one of their largest trading partners. A sustained slowdown in Chinese manufacturing tends to show up later in weaker export orders for countries such as Germany, South Korea and Australia.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and rates: The Caixin PMI itself does not move UK or US mortgage rates directly, but weaker Chinese growth can feed into global bond markets and, indirectly, into borrowing costs, particularly if it changes expectations for global central bank policy.
Savings: A weak reading that pushes commodity prices down can help ease global inflation pressure over time, which may support the case for interest rate cuts and, eventually, lower savings returns.
Jobs and wages: Workers in export-heavy industries in Asia, Germany and Australia are more exposed to swings in Chinese manufacturing demand than most UK or US employees.
Prices: Slower Chinese factory activity can reduce demand for industrial metals and energy, which sometimes shows up as softer prices at the pump or for manufactured goods elsewhere.
Investments and pensions: Pension funds and index trackers with exposure to Asian equities, mining companies or commodity-linked shares can see short-term price swings around this release.
Currencies: The Australian dollar and other commodity-linked currencies often react to Chinese PMI surprises, and moves can spill over into the pound, euro and dollar through shifts in broader risk sentiment.

Related events

Previous release: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI, September 2026
China’s official NBS Manufacturing PMI, typically published a day or two before the Caixin figure each month
China Caixin Services PMI, usually released a few days after the manufacturing figure

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the November 2026 Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?
It is scheduled for 9:45 am China Standard Time on November 2, 2026, which is 9:45 pm ET on November 1 and 1:45 am in London on November 2.
How do I read the Caixin Manufacturing PMI figure?
A reading above 50 means manufacturing activity is expanding compared with the previous month; a reading below 50 means it is contracting.
Does the Caixin PMI affect UK or US interest rates directly?
No, it is not a UK or US indicator, but it can influence global sentiment towards growth and inflation, which central banks take into account alongside their own domestic data.
Where is the official release published?
The figure is released by S&P Global on behalf of Caixin Insight Group, with the release calendar available on the S&P Global PMI release schedule.
When is the next Caixin Manufacturing PMI released after this one?
The next release typically follows on the first business day of December 2026, covering November 2026 activity, though the exact date is confirmed nearer the time.
← Previous China Caixin Manufacturing PMI

US ISM Manufacturing PMI November 2026
2026-11-02 10:00 - 11:00 (America/New_York)
Next US ISM Manufacturing PMI: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
55.6% (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US ISM Manufacturing PMI.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US ISM Manufacturing PMI
The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for November 2026 is scheduled to be released on Monday, November 2, 2026, at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time) by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The report covers factory activity data collected during October 2026. As with all ISM releases, the exact date has not yet been formally confirmed by the publisher: ISM publishes the Manufacturing PMI on the first business day of each month, and November 2, 2026, is that day for this cycle. Full schedule and background: US ISM Manufacturing PMI.
What is the ISM Manufacturing PMI?
The ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is a monthly survey-based gauge of activity in the US factory sector. Purchasing and supply executives at several hundred companies across 18 manufacturing industries are asked whether conditions such as new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries and inventories have improved, worsened or stayed the same compared with the prior month.
Those responses are converted into a single diffusion index. A reading above the expansion threshold indicates the manufacturing sector is growing; a reading below it indicates contraction. ISM’s own commentary has referenced a threshold of roughly 47.5 for the overall economy to be judged as expanding, according to the Institute for Supply Management, a change from the more traditional 50-point breakeven level often used by economists and traders when reading the headline number.
Markets watch the PMI closely because it is one of the earliest hard-data style signals each month on the health of the goods-producing side of the economy, arriving well before official government factory output figures. Sub-indices such as New Orders, Prices Paid and Employment are used by traders to gauge demand, inflation pressure in the supply chain, and factory hiring trends, all of which feed into expectations for Federal Reserve policy, the direction of the US dollar, and sentiment in export-dependent economies such as the eurozone, the UK and parts of Asia.
When is the November ISM Manufacturing PMI released?
The report is due at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) on Monday, November 2, 2026, published by the Institute for Supply Management. It will appear on the ISM’s official Report On Business pages. Because ISM confirms its exact release calendar only a limited number of months ahead, this date reflects the publisher’s standard pattern of releasing the Manufacturing PMI on the first business day of the month rather than a confirmed entry on ISM’s published calendar at the time of writing.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the November 2026 release (covering October 2026 data) has not yet been published by data providers such as Reuters or Trading Economics, as these polls are typically compiled only in the days immediately before the release. The most recent confirmed ISM Manufacturing PMI reading available at the time of writing was for July 2026, when the index came in at 55.6%, comfortably ahead of the 54.0% forecast tracked by Investing.com’s economic calendar and up from 53.3% in June 2026, according to Investing.com and ISM’s own June 2026 report. Readings for August and September 2026 will have been published before this November release and should be checked against the official ISM report for the most current prior figure.

Measure
June 2026
July 2026 (latest verified)

Headline Manufacturing PMI
53.3%
55.6%

Forecast for the month (as tracked ahead of release)
n/a
54.0%

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Seen as a sign the factory sector is accelerating, which can lift the US dollar and push back expectations of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts if paired with a strong Prices Paid sub-index
Factories are busier than expected, which can support jobs and wages in manufacturing regions but may also keep some prices firmer for longer

In line
Typically a limited market reaction, since traders have already priced in the expected outcome
The factory sector is behaving broadly as expected, so little changes for borrowing costs or investment plans

Below consensus
Often read as a sign of a cooling factory sector, which can weigh on the dollar and firm up bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts
Weaker orders and output can be an early warning of slower hiring or investment in industrial regions

These are possible market reactions described by analysts, not predictions of what will happen on the day.
Why does this release matter right now?
The ISM Manufacturing PMI has spent stretches of 2025 and 2026 hovering close to the line between contraction and expansion, before climbing to 55.6% in July 2026 from 53.3% in June, according to Investing.com’s economic calendar and ISM’s own report. The New Orders Index eased slightly to 56.0% in June from 56.8% in May, based on ISM’s June 2026 Manufacturing PMI report, a sign that demand growth, while still solid, has not been accelerating in a straight line.
Federal Reserve officials watch the survey’s Prices Paid and Employment components alongside the headline figure when weighing how much slack remains in the economy and how sticky input-cost pressures are. A run of strong headline prints combined with rising Prices Paid readings tends to make policymakers more cautious about cutting interest rates quickly, while a run of weak prints does the opposite. Outside the US, the report is one of the inputs traders in London, Frankfurt and Tokyo use to judge the strength of US import demand, which matters for exporters in the eurozone, the UK and Asia that sell machinery, components and raw materials into US supply chains.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and loan rates: a stronger than expected PMI can nudge US Treasury yields higher, which tends to feed through to mortgage and other borrowing rates in the US, and can have a smaller knock-on effect on rate expectations in the UK and eurozone through global bond markets.
Savings rates: if the report shifts expectations for how soon or how far the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, that can change what banks offer on savings accounts and fixed-term deposits over the following months.
Jobs and wages: the survey’s Employment Index offers an early signal on factory hiring intentions, relevant for workers and job-seekers in manufacturing-heavy US states and, indirectly, in exporting economies that supply US factories.
Prices you pay: the Prices Paid Index tracks cost pressures further up the supply chain. Persistent increases here can eventually show up in the price of manufactured goods on shelves.
Investments, pensions and currencies: the report can move US equity futures, the US dollar, and by extension the value of the pound and the euro against the dollar, which affects the return on overseas holdings inside pensions and investment portfolios.

Related events

Previous release: US ISM Manufacturing PMI, October 2026
Full schedule and background: US ISM Manufacturing PMI hub page
Related US data to watch around the same week: the ISM Services PMI and the US nonfarm payrolls report, both of which round out the picture of the broader US economy.

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the November ISM Manufacturing PMI released?
It is scheduled for 10:00 am ET, which is 3:00 pm in London, on Monday, November 2, 2026.
How should I read the ISM Manufacturing PMI number?
Look at the headline index alongside the New Orders, Prices Paid and Employment sub-indices, since these show whether growth (or contraction) is being driven by demand, cost pressures or hiring.
Does the ISM Manufacturing PMI affect Federal Reserve interest rate decisions?
Yes, it is one of many indicators Federal Reserve officials monitor when assessing economic momentum and inflation pressure, though it is not the sole factor behind any rate decision.
Where can I find the official ISM Manufacturing PMI release?
The report is published on the Institute for Supply Management’s Report On Business section of its official website, ismworld.org.
When is the next ISM Manufacturing PMI released after this one?
The following report, covering November 2026 data, is expected on the first business day of December 2026, in line with ISM’s standard publication schedule.
← Previous US ISM Manufacturing PMI

RBA Rate Decision November 2026
2026-11-03 00:00 - 23:59 UTC
Next RBA Rate Decision: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 2:30 pm AEST (10:30 pm ET, 3:30 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous RBA Rate DecisionNext RBA Rate Decision →
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its November 2026 interest rate decision on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, at 2:30 pm AEST. The Monetary Policy Board meets over two days (2-3 November), with the outcome published alongside the quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP) at 2:30 pm AEST. November is one of four SMP meetings, making it one of the most significant in the annual calendar, as the Board publishes updated forecasts for inflation, GDP growth, and the labour market. A press conference with the Governor follows at 3:30 pm AEST.
RBA Rate Decision: November 3, 2026
The November meeting is the seventh Monetary Policy Board decision of 2026 and carries extra weight as a quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy meeting. The SMP provides the most comprehensive communication from the RBA, setting out the Board’s updated central projections for underlying inflation, GDP growth, and unemployment over a multi-year horizon. These forecasts, presented in fan chart form, signal the Board’s expectations for the future path of the cash rate and are closely watched by economists, financial markets, and mortgage holders across Australia.
As of May 2026, the cash rate stands at 4.35%, following three consecutive hikes in the first half of the year. The Board has been responding to a re-acceleration of inflation driven by services price pressures, a tight labour market, and higher energy and food costs linked to the Middle East conflict. By November, the Board will have access to the September quarter CPI release (typically published in late October), providing the most timely and comprehensive read on underlying inflation before the decision.
What to Expect
The November meeting is the most data-rich decision point in the second half of 2026. The September quarter CPI, due in late October, will confirm whether underlying inflation is tracking back toward the RBA’s 2-3% target band. This data will be central to the November decision. If trimmed mean CPI falls meaningfully from second-quarter levels, the Board may signal that the hiking cycle has peaked and that the next move could be a cut. If it remains elevated, a further hike remains possible.
Labour market conditions will also be reviewed. The September quarter data, covering employment growth, participation rates, and the Wage Price Index, will be available before November and will inform the Board’s assessment of domestic inflationary pressures. Australia’s housing market, which is particularly sensitive to rate changes given the prevalence of variable-rate mortgages, will be a further consideration: several months of higher rates are already weighing on household consumption, and the Board must balance the risk of overtightening against the risk of entrenching inflation.
The global context will also feature prominently in the November deliberations. The US Federal Reserve’s October decision (29 October) and any signal from the Bank of England and ECB in September and October will provide important context for global monetary conditions heading into November. The Chinese economy remains a key risk factor: any deterioration in Chinese demand would affect Australian commodity exports and could reduce the need for further tightening.
Cash Rate Decision History

Date
Decision
Rate
Vote

May 2026
Hike +25bp
4.35%
8-1

March 2026
Hike +25bp
4.10%
Majority

February 2026
Hike +25bp
3.85%
Majority

November 2025
Hold
3.60%
Majority

September 2025
Hold
3.60%
Majority

August 2025
Cut 25bp
3.60%
Majority

May 2025
Cut 25bp
3.85%
Majority

February 2025
Cut 25bp
4.10%
Majority

Market Impact Scenarios

Hold at 4.35% with dovish SMP (most likely if inflation moderates) – If the September quarter CPI confirms a return toward the 2-3% band, the Board will likely hold rates and use the SMP to signal that the hiking cycle has ended. The Australian dollar would weaken modestly as markets price in future cuts. The ASX 200 would rally, particularly property, consumer discretionary, and financials. Short-dated government bond yields would fall on expectations of eventual easing in 2027.
Hike 25bp to 4.60% with hawkish SMP – If underlying inflation remains elevated in the September quarter, the Board could deliver a fourth consecutive hike. AUD would strengthen. The ASX 200 would fall, with mortgage-sensitive sectors particularly affected. The Governor would use the SMP press conference to explain why further tightening is necessary despite signs of economic slowdown, citing the priority of returning inflation to the target band.
Hold at 4.35% with neutral SMP – A middle case in which the Board holds rates but does not provide clear forward guidance in either direction. This would keep markets guessing about the December decision. AUD and ASX would be relatively unchanged, with the November SMP’s inflation fan chart and GDP projection providing the main market signal.

Statement on Monetary Policy and Press Conference
As a quarterly SMP meeting, the November announcement at 2:30 pm AEST is accompanied by the full Statement on Monetary Policy, which is published simultaneously on the RBA’s website. The SMP contains the Board’s baseline economic forecasts, analysis of recent domestic and international conditions, and a discussion of risks. The Governor will then hold a press conference at 3:30 pm AEST, presenting the key findings and taking questions from journalists.
The November SMP is particularly important as it provides the last full forecast update before year-end. Any significant revision to the Board’s trimmed mean inflation projection or GDP forecast will be taken as a signal for the December decision and beyond. If the SMP shows inflation returning to the 2-3% band within the forecast horizon, markets will price a pivot toward cuts. If it shows inflation remaining above target, a further hike or an extended pause is more likely.
Related Events

FOMC Rate Decision October 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s October decision, providing the most recent US monetary policy signal ahead of the RBA’s November announcement.
ECB Rate Decision October 2026 – The ECB’s October decision, part of the broader global central bank context heading into November.
Bank of England MPC Rate Decision November 2026 – The BoE’s November decision on 5 November 2026, also a major quarterly forecast meeting, directly coinciding with the RBA’s announcement.

Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Statement on Monetary Policy and why does it matter?
The quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP) is the RBA’s most comprehensive communication tool. Published four times a year alongside the February, May, August, and November rate decisions, it contains the Board’s updated forecasts for inflation, GDP, and unemployment, as well as in-depth analysis of domestic and global economic conditions. The SMP’s central projections and fan charts are used by financial markets, economists, and policymakers to anticipate the future path of the cash rate.
When will the November 2026 RBA decision be announced?
The decision and Statement on Monetary Policy will be published at 2:30 pm AEST (3:30 am GMT) on Tuesday, 3 November 2026. The Governor’s press conference follows at 3:30 pm AEST.
What happens if the RBA hikes rates again at the November meeting?
A further hike to 4.60% in November would represent the fourth consecutive increase in the 2026 hiking cycle, taking the cash rate above the previous 2023 peak of 4.35%. This would add further pressure to household budgets, particularly for variable-rate mortgage holders, and would likely dampen consumer spending and housing market activity. The RBA would use the SMP to explain the rationale, citing the need to bring underlying inflation back within the 2-3% target band on a sustained basis.
Featured image: Photo by Fabian Mardi on Unsplash.

Is the Stock Market Open on Culture Day 2026? TSE/JPX Hours
2026-11-03 00:00 - 23:59 (America/New_York)
Tokyo Stock Exchange (JPX) are closed on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 for Culture Day.

Next holiday
Labor Thanksgiving Day, November 23, 2026
Regular hours
9:00 am to 11:30 am and 12:30 pm to 3:30 pm JST

Full schedule and background: TSE/JPX Holidays.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous TSE/JPX Holidays
The Tokyo Stock Exchange (JPX) is closed on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 for Culture Day, a Japanese public holiday. No cash equity trading, derivatives trading or clearing will take place on the exchange that day. Any orders entered through a broker’s system for that session will simply queue and be released for execution when the market reopens on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, assuming that is not also a holiday in the reader’s home market. For the full run of dates, see the TSE/JPX Holidays calendar.
Because this is a full-day closure rather than an early close, there is no shortened trading session to plan around. Settlement of any trades executed on the prior trading day, Monday, November 2, 2026, will proceed on the normal cycle, but the holiday itself is simply skipped when counting settlement days, which can push cash and share delivery back by one business day for trades that straddle the closure.
Which markets are closed on Culture Day 2026?

Market
Status
Notes

Tokyo Stock Exchange (equities)
Closed
All cash equity and ETF trading suspended for Culture Day

JPX derivatives (futures and options)
Closed
Nikkei 225 futures, TOPIX futures and related options do not trade

Osaka Exchange
Closed
Commodity and derivatives trading also suspended

New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq
Open (regular hours)
US markets do not observe Japanese holidays

London Stock Exchange (LSE)
Open (regular hours)
No UK holiday falls on this date

Euronext
Open (regular hours)
Standard European trading session

Bond market (Japan)
Closed
Japanese government bond trading follows the exchange holiday schedule

Is the market open the day before and after?
The last trading session before the holiday is Monday, November 2, 2026, running the normal hours of 9:00 am to 11:30 am and 12:30 pm to 3:30 pm JST. Tokyo has no early close attached to Culture Day: the exchange is either fully open or fully closed, with no shortened session either side of the holiday. Trading resumes as normal on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, on the standard schedule, unless that date is separately declared a holiday, which it is not in 2026. Investors placing limit or market orders on November 3 through an online broker should expect those orders to sit unfilled until the next live session opens.
Why do markets close for Culture Day?
Culture Day, known in Japan as Bunka no Hi, has been a national public holiday since 1948. It was established to promote freedom, peace and cultural activity, and its date, November 3, was chosen because it originally marked the anniversary of the promulgation of Japan’s post-war constitution in 1946. The day is used across the country for cultural events, award ceremonies for achievements in the arts and sciences, and museum openings, and government offices, schools and financial markets close alongside the exchange.
Because JPX follows the Japanese national holiday calendar in full, any date designated a public holiday by the government automatically becomes a non-trading day for the exchange, without a separate decision by market operators. This is a different model from some Western exchanges, which sometimes trade on public holidays or apply their own separate holiday list.
What It Means for Your Money
For most retail investors outside Japan, a single TSE closure has a limited direct effect. If you hold a fund or exchange traded fund that tracks the Nikkei 225 or TOPIX, its underlying basket simply does not reprice on November 3, so the fund’s net asset value calculation for that day will reference the last available Tokyo closing prices rather than fresh trades. Anyone with an order resting on a Japanese broker platform, including buy or sell instructions tied to Japanese shares held directly, will see that order carried over to the next open session rather than cancelled.
Dividend payments and corporate actions scheduled for Culture Day are typically processed on the next business day, so shareholders should not expect a payment to be missed, only delayed by one day. Options and futures expiring around this date follow JPX’s published calendar adjustments, which push expiry to the nearest trading day where needed. For currency markets, the yen continues to trade in other time zones even while Tokyo cash equities are shut, since foreign exchange is a 24-hour market spread across global centres, so movements in USD/JPY or EUR/JPY on November 3 will still reflect real trading activity elsewhere. Cryptocurrency markets are unaffected entirely, as they trade continuously regardless of any exchange holiday. Bank transfers within Japan may also be affected, since many Japanese banks treat national holidays as non-business days for interbank settlement.
Remaining TSE/JPX holidays in 2026

Labor Thanksgiving Day, Monday, November 23, 2026, closed
New Year’s Eve (Market Holiday), Thursday, December 31, 2026, closed

The next scheduled closure after Culture Day is Labor Thanksgiving Day on November 23, 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the stock market open on Culture Day 2026?
No, the Tokyo Stock Exchange and Osaka Exchange are both fully closed on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 for Culture Day.
Is the Japanese bond market open on Culture Day?
No, Japanese government bond trading follows the same national holiday schedule as the equity market, so bond trading is also closed on November 3, 2026.
What time does the Tokyo Stock Exchange close on the day before Culture Day?
Monday, November 2, 2026 is a normal trading day, with the exchange running its usual sessions from 9:00 am to 11:30 am and 12:30 pm to 3:30 pm JST, followed by the full closure the next day.
When is the next TSE/JPX market holiday after Culture Day?
The next closure is Labor Thanksgiving Day on Monday, November 23, 2026.
Are Japanese banks open on Culture Day?
No, Culture Day is a national public holiday in Japan, so banks and most government offices are also closed alongside the stock exchange.
← Previous TSE/JPX Holidays

US JOLTS Job Openings November 2026
2026-11-03 10:00 - 11:00 (America/New_York)
Next US JOLTS Job Openings: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). Covers September 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Not independently verified at time of writing, see BLS release
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US JOLTS Job Openings.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US JOLTS Job Openings
The US JOLTS Job Openings report for September 2026 is scheduled for release on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time). The report is published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) as part of its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. This particular release covers September 2026 data. Full schedule and background: US JOLTS Job Openings.
What is JOLTS Job Openings?
JOLTS stands for the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. It is a monthly survey run by the Bureau of Labor Statistics that measures the number of unfilled job openings, hires, and separations (people leaving jobs, whether by quitting, being laid off, or other reasons) across the US economy. The headline figure that most investors watch is the total number of job openings, usually reported in millions.
The BLS collects this data by surveying tens of thousands of business establishments each month, asking them how many positions they currently have open and are actively trying to fill. Unlike the monthly non-farm payrolls report, which shows how many people were actually hired, JOLTS shows the demand side of the labour market: how many jobs employers say they want to fill. Economists and central bankers use the ratio of job openings to unemployed workers as a gauge of how tight or loose the labour market is.
Markets watch JOLTS closely because the Federal Reserve has repeatedly cited labour market slack, or the lack of it, as a factor in setting interest rates. A high number of openings relative to available workers suggests employers are competing hard for staff, which can push wages up and add to inflation pressure. A falling number of openings, by contrast, can be an early signal that hiring demand is cooling before it shows up in the unemployment rate itself.
When is the September JOLTS report released?
The September 2026 JOLTS Job Openings report is released on November 3, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time) by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It is published on the BLS website as part of the JOLTS series, alongside detailed tables covering hires, quits, layoffs and discharges, and total separations broken down by industry and region. JOLTS is typically released with roughly a two-month lag relative to the reference month, which is why the September data is not published until early November.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of the time of writing, a consensus forecast for the September 2026 JOLTS Job Openings figure has not yet been published by major polling services such as Reuters or Bloomberg. Forecasts for this release typically firm up in the days immediately before publication, once analysts have incorporated the most recent payrolls, weekly jobless claims, and other labour market indicators into their models. Readers should check back closer to the release date, or consult a live-updated consensus tracker, for the latest median estimate.
Similarly, the prior reading, the August 2026 JOLTS figure, was not independently verifiable through research at the time this preview was written. The most reliable way to check the most recently published number is to consult the official BLS JOLTS release directly, since prior readings are also subject to revision in subsequent reports.

Measure
Prior (August 2026)
Consensus (September 2026)

Total job openings
Not yet verified, see official BLS release
Not yet published

Quits rate
Not yet verified, see official BLS release
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Traders may see this as a sign of continued labour demand, potentially reducing bets on near-term rate cuts, according to commentary from economists who track Fed policy expectations
More jobs are being advertised than expected, suggesting employers still want to hire, which can support wages but may also keep the Fed cautious about cutting rates too quickly

In line with consensus
A muted reaction is likely, since the data would simply confirm the existing view of the labour market’s trajectory
The jobs market is behaving broadly as economists expected, so borrowing costs, savings rates and share prices are unlikely to shift much on this release alone

Below consensus
Markets may price in a higher probability of Fed rate cuts, as weaker demand for labour is often read as an early sign of a cooling economy
Fewer job openings than expected can signal that companies are becoming more cautious about hiring, which historically has preceded a slower pace of wage growth and, sometimes, higher unemployment

Why does this release matter right now?
The Federal Reserve has repeatedly pointed to the balance between labour supply and demand as a key input into its interest rate decisions. JOLTS data, particularly the ratio of job openings to unemployed workers, has been used by Fed officials in public remarks to argue whether the labour market remains tight or has cooled to a more sustainable pace. Because JOLTS is released with a lag, it is often viewed alongside more timely indicators such as the monthly non-farm payrolls report and weekly initial jobless claims to build a fuller picture of labour market health.
Global investors also watch US labour data closely because shifts in Fed policy expectations tend to ripple through to other major central banks, including the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, both of which weigh US monetary conditions when setting their own policy paths. A softer or stronger than expected US jobs market can move the dollar, which in turn affects the pound and the euro, and can influence borrowing costs well beyond US shores.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and rates: If the JOLTS report suggests the labour market is cooling faster than expected, it can raise expectations of Fed rate cuts, which sometimes filters through to lower mortgage rates in the US and can influence global bond yields, including UK and eurozone mortgage pricing.
Savings: Interest rates on savings accounts and fixed deposits often track central bank policy. A weaker jobs market that raises the odds of rate cuts could eventually mean lower returns on cash savings, while a stronger than expected reading could keep savings rates higher for longer.
Jobs and wages: A falling number of job openings can be an early warning that hiring is slowing, which over time can mean fewer job opportunities and softer wage growth, both in the US and, indirectly, in economies closely tied to US demand.
Prices: A very tight labour market, with many more openings than available workers, has historically been linked to faster wage growth, which can add to inflation pressure and keep prices of goods and services rising more quickly.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Shifts in Fed rate cut expectations driven by labour market data can move share prices, bond yields, and the value of the dollar against the pound and euro, which affects the value of pensions and other investments held in different currencies.

Related events

Previous JOLTS release: US JOLTS Job Openings, August 2026 data
US non-farm payrolls report, released monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Weekly US initial jobless claims, released every Thursday by the Department of Labor

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the September 2026 JOLTS report released?
The report is released at 10:00 am ET, which is 3:00 pm London time, on November 3, 2026.
How should I read the JOLTS job openings number?
A higher number of job openings generally signals stronger labour demand, while a falling number can suggest employers are becoming more cautious about hiring.
Does JOLTS affect interest rate decisions?
Yes, the Federal Reserve monitors JOLTS data, particularly the balance between job openings and available workers, as one input among many when setting interest rate policy.
Where can I find the official JOLTS release?
The official report is published on the Bureau of Labor Statistics website as part of the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey series.
When is the next JOLTS report after this one?
The BLS typically releases JOLTS data roughly a month after this report, covering the following reference month, according to its published release schedule.
← Previous US JOLTS Job Openings

Riksbank Rate Decision November 2026
2026-11-04 03:30 - 04:30 (America/New_York)
Next Riksbank Rate Decision: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 9:30 am CET (3:30 am ET, 8:30 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Held at 1.75% (August 26, 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Riksbank Rate Decision.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous Riksbank Rate Decision
Sweden’s central bank, the Riksbank, announces its next interest rate decision on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at 9:30 am CET (3:30 am ET, 8:30 am London time). The Executive Board’s decision is published alongside a Monetary Policy Update, and the new policy rate takes effect from November 11, 2026. The current policy rate is 1.75%, unchanged since a surprise 25 basis point cut in September 2025. Full schedule and background: Riksbank Rate Decision hub.
What is the Riksbank and what does it decide?
The Riksbank is Sweden’s central bank and one of the oldest central banks in the world. Its main task is to keep inflation close to a target of 2%, measured by the CPIF (consumer price index with a fixed interest rate), while also paying attention to the real economy and employment. Its main policy tool is the policy rate, sometimes called the repo rate, which is the interest rate at which commercial banks can borrow from or deposit money with the Riksbank for seven days.
Rate decisions are taken by the Executive Board, which normally has six members. Decisions are made by majority vote, and if the vote is tied the Governor has the casting vote. The Board holds eight scheduled monetary policy meetings a year, roughly every six weeks, and each decision is published together with either a full Monetary Policy Report or a shorter Monetary Policy Update.
Because the Swedish krona is a small, open-currency economy tightly linked to the eurozone and to global trade, Riksbank decisions matter beyond Sweden’s borders. Moves in the krona affect Nordic exporters, and the Riksbank’s inflation and growth outlook is watched by other European central banks as an early read on how tariffs, energy prices and wage settlements are feeding through to prices.
When is the November Riksbank decision announced?
The decision is due on November 4, 2026 at 9:30 am CET (3:30 am ET, 8:30 am London). It will be released together with a Monetary Policy Update, a shorter document than the full quarterly Monetary Policy Report, containing the Board’s updated rate path and economic forecasts. A press conference normally follows the same morning, broadcast live on riksbank.se and YouTube, where the Governor and Deputy Governors take questions from journalists. Minutes from the meeting are usually published around two weeks later. The rate decided on November 4 takes effect from November 11, 2026.
What to expect
The Riksbank has held its policy rate at 1.75% since cutting it by 25 basis points in September 2025. Through 2026 the Board has repeatedly signalled that the easing cycle is likely complete, while leaving open the possibility of a hike if summer inflation pressures prove persistent rather than temporary. Deputy Governor Per Jansson said in August 2026 that the risk of somewhat higher inflation had increased, but that the Riksbank had room to wait before adjusting policy. No consensus forecast for the November 2026 decision has yet been published; markets and economists typically firm up expectations closer to the meeting date once the October inflation data is released.

Meeting
Decision
Rate after meeting

September 2025
Cut 25bp
1.75%

November 2025
Hold
1.75%

December 2025
Hold
1.75%

January 2026
Hold
1.75%

March 2026
Hold
1.75%

May 2026
Hold
1.75%

June 2026
Hold
1.75%

August 2026
Hold
1.75%

Market impact scenarios

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Hold at 1.75%
Broadly neutral for the krona, seen as continuation of a “wait and see” stance
Borrowing costs stay the same for now. This has been the most common outcome at every meeting since September 2025.

Hike
Likely to push the krona higher against the euro and dollar, as it would confirm the Riksbank sees inflation risks as more than temporary
Mortgage and loan rates in Sweden would edge up. A stronger krona makes imports cheaper but can squeeze exporters.

Dovish guidance shift
Markets would likely price in a longer hold or a future cut, weakening the krona
No immediate change to rates, but banks and analysts would revise their outlook for 2027, which can filter into fixed-rate mortgage pricing.

What will the statement and press conference signal?
Analysts will focus on three things. First, whether the Riksbank still frames the summer’s stronger inflation and growth data as temporary or as evidence of a more lasting shift, language that has shifted gradually through 2026. Second, whether the updated rate path in the Monetary Policy Update continues to flag a possible hike, or moves back towards a flat profile. Third, any dissent among the six Executive Board members, since a split vote would be read as a signal that the next move is more finely balanced than the headline decision suggests. Governor and Deputy Governors’ comments at the press conference on household spending, wage negotiations and the krona’s exchange rate will also be scrutinised for hints about the following meeting.
What It Means for Your Money
For people with mortgages in Sweden, a hold means variable mortgage rates stay where they are, while a hike would raise monthly payments on new and variable-rate loans and could nudge banks to lift the rates offered on new fixed-rate deals. Savers with Swedish bank accounts would see slightly better returns on deposits if the rate rises, and slightly worse if the Riksbank signals it is done raising rates for good.
A stronger or weaker krona affects Swedish holidaymakers and shoppers buying imported goods, and it also matters for exporters selling into the eurozone, the UK and the rest of Europe, since a weaker krona makes Swedish goods cheaper abroad but raises the cost of imported inputs. Investors holding Swedish equities, Nordic funds or krona-denominated bonds through pensions or ISAs should expect any surprise in the rate decision to move Swedish stock indices and the krona quickly, though a widely expected outcome usually has a muted market reaction. Elsewhere in Europe, the decision is watched as a signal of how quickly a small open economy can move from cutting rates to raising them again, which can influence how the European Central Bank and Bank of England frame their own inflation risks.
Related events

Previous decision: Riksbank Rate Decision September 2026
Full calendar of Riksbank meetings: Riksbank Rate Decision hub
Sweden’s inflation and labour market data released ahead of the meeting typically shape the final vote, and are covered separately on the calendar.

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Riksbank decision announced?
The decision is published at 9:30 am CET on November 4, 2026, which is 3:30 am ET and 8:30 am London time.
Will the Riksbank cut rates in November 2026?
A consensus forecast has not yet been published. The Riksbank has held its rate at 1.75% since September 2025 and has more recently discussed the possibility of a hike rather than a cut, according to its own public statements.
What is the current Riksbank policy rate?
The policy rate has stood at 1.75% since the Riksbank’s rate cut in September 2025, most recently confirmed unchanged at its August 2026 meeting.
When is the next Riksbank meeting after November?
The Riksbank normally holds eight monetary policy meetings a year, roughly every six weeks; check the Riksbank Rate Decision hub for the confirmed next date.
Where can I watch the press conference?
The Riksbank broadcasts its press conference live on riksbank.se and on YouTube shortly after the rate decision is published.
← Previous Riksbank Rate Decision

Eurozone Flash CPI November 2026
2026-11-04 05:00 - 06:00 (America/New_York)
Next Eurozone Flash CPI: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 11:00 am CET (5:00 am ET, 10:00 am London). Covers October 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
2.9% (July 2026 flash, latest Eurostat figure confirmed)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Eurozone Flash CPI.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous Eurozone Flash CPI
The Eurozone Flash CPI for November 2026 is scheduled for November 4, 2026, at 5:00 am ET (11:00 am CET, 10:00 am London time). It is published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, and covers price data for October 2026. Full background and the release schedule for this series can be found on the Eurozone Flash CPI hub page.
What is the Eurozone Flash CPI?
The Flash CPI, formally the flash estimate of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is Eurostat’s earliest read on how much prices rose across the 20 countries that use the euro over the past year. It is based on partial national data submitted by member states before their own final inflation figures are finished, which is why it is called a “flash” rather than final estimate.
The index tracks a basket of goods and services bought by typical households: food, energy, housing costs, transport, healthcare and leisure. Eurostat breaks the headline figure down into components, chiefly energy, food and tobacco, non-energy industrial goods, and services, which lets analysts see whether price pressure is broad-based or concentrated in one area such as fuel or restaurant prices.
Markets watch this release closely because it is the main input the European Central Bank (ECB) uses to judge whether interest rates need to rise, fall or stay unchanged. A HICP reading that runs persistently above the ECB’s 2.0% target tends to keep borrowing costs higher for longer, while a reading close to or below target opens the door to rate cuts.
When is the October Eurozone Flash CPI released?
Eurostat will publish the flash estimate for October 2026 on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at 11:00 am Central European Time (5:00 am ET, 10:00 am London). The figures appear on the Eurostat euro indicators release calendar and on the agency’s euro indicators news page. Eurostat typically issues the flash estimate on the last day of the reference month or during the first few business days of the following month, so a November 4 release for October data sits within its usual pattern.
What is the consensus forecast?
At the time this preview was prepared, a consensus forecast for the October 2026 flash reading had not yet been published by major polling services such as Reuters or Bloomberg. Economist surveys for this release are typically compiled in the days immediately before publication, so a forecast range is likely to appear closer to November 4, 2026.
The most recently confirmed Eurostat figure available was the July 2026 flash estimate, which put euro area annual inflation at 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June, according to Eurostat’s euro indicators release. That reading was later confirmed at 2.9% in the final data. Eurostat issues a new flash figure every month, so further prints for August and September 2026 will have followed before this October release.

Measure
Prior (June 2026)
Latest confirmed (July 2026)

Headline HICP (annual)
2.8%
2.9%

Energy
8.5%
10.0%

Services
3.2%
3.3%

Food, alcohol and tobacco
1.5%
1.2%

Non-energy industrial goods
0.7%
0.9%

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Euro could firm and eurozone bond yields could rise, as traders push back expectations of ECB rate cuts
Prices are rising faster than expected, which could delay any relief on borrowing costs

In line with consensus
Limited immediate market reaction, with focus shifting to the following month’s ECB policy meeting
Inflation is behaving broadly as expected, so the ECB’s existing plan is unlikely to change

Below consensus
Euro could soften and shorter-dated eurozone bond yields could fall, as markets price in a greater chance of rate cuts
Price pressure is easing faster than expected, which could bring cheaper borrowing sooner

These are possible reactions, not predictions. Analysts at banks such as ING and Commerzbank have repeatedly stressed that the ECB looks at a broad range of data, including wage growth and services inflation, before adjusting rates, rather than reacting to a single monthly print.
Why does this release matter right now?
Euro area inflation moved higher through the spring and summer of 2026, rising from 1.7% in January to a peak of 3.2% in May before easing to 2.8% in June and ticking back up to 2.9% in July, according to Eurostat’s monthly releases. Energy prices have been the main swing factor, with the annual energy inflation rate accelerating to 10.0% in July as tensions between the United States and Iran disrupted oil supplies, Eurostat and Trading Economics both reported.
Services inflation, which the ECB watches closely because it reflects domestic wage and demand pressures rather than volatile global energy prices, has stayed above 3% for most of 2026. That persistence is one reason the ECB has kept policy cautious even as headline inflation drifted close to its 2.0% target earlier in the year.
The October reading will show whether the summer uptick in energy costs is fading or feeding through to a broader rise in prices. It arrives shortly before the ECB’s final Governing Council meeting of the year, making it one of the last full inflation readings policymakers will see before that decision.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and loans: If eurozone inflation stays above the ECB’s 2.0% target, the ECB is less likely to cut its deposit rate, which keeps variable mortgage and business loan rates across the euro area higher for longer. A weaker reading could revive hopes of cheaper borrowing in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and other member states.
Savings: Higher-than-expected inflation erodes the real value of cash sitting in low-interest savings accounts, while a sustained move towards target could eventually bring lower savings rates as the ECB eases policy.
Jobs and wages: Persistent inflation, especially in services, often reflects continued wage growth. Workers may see pay rises track prices more closely, but employers facing higher costs may become more cautious about hiring.
Prices in daily life: Energy and food components of this release feed directly into household bills, from petrol and heating costs to supermarket baskets, across the eurozone.
Investments, pensions and the pound, dollar and euro: A surprise in either direction can move the euro against the dollar and the pound, affecting the value of European holdings, pension funds with eurozone exposure, and imported goods costs for UK and US consumers. Asian exporters selling into the eurozone also watch the euro’s strength, since a weaker euro makes European goods relatively cheaper abroad but can squeeze margins for non-European sellers.

Related events

Previous print: Eurozone Flash CPI, October 2026, which covered September 2026 data.
The full run of upcoming releases is listed on the Eurozone Flash CPI hub page.
The next ECB Governing Council interest rate decision, which weighs this and other inflation data directly.

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Eurozone Flash CPI released?
The November 4, 2026 release is due at 11:00 am Central European Time, which is 5:00 am ET and 10:00 am London time.
How should I read the flash CPI figure?
Focus on the annual rate (the headline percentage), and check the energy and services components, since these show whether price pressure is broad-based or driven by one factor such as fuel costs.
How does this release affect ECB interest rate decisions?
The ECB targets 2.0% annual inflation over the medium term. Readings that run persistently above target make rate cuts less likely, while readings near or below target make cuts more likely, though the ECB also weighs wage growth and services inflation.
Where can I find the official release?
Eurostat publishes the flash estimate on its euro indicators release calendar and euro indicators news pages.
When is the next Eurozone Flash CPI released?
Eurostat issues a flash estimate every month. The release following the October 2026 print, covering November 2026 data, is expected in early December 2026, in line with the usual monthly schedule.
← Previous Eurozone Flash CPI

US ADP Employment Report November 2026
2026-11-04 08:15 - 09:15 (America/New_York)
Next US ADP Employment Report: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:15 am ET (1:15 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
44,000 jobs added (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US ADP Employment Report.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US ADP Employment Report
The US ADP Employment Report for November 2026 is scheduled for release on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:15 am ET (1:15 pm London time). It is published by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, and it covers changes in private-sector payrolls for the prior reporting month. Full background and the release schedule for this series are on the US ADP Employment Report hub page.
What is the ADP Employment Report?
The ADP National Employment Report measures the monthly change in private-sector jobs in the United States. Unlike the government’s official jobs figures, it is built from anonymised payroll data covering more than 26 million employees processed by ADP, one of the largest payroll providers in the country. Because it draws on real payroll records rather than a survey, it gives an early, high-frequency read on hiring trends before the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its own non-farm payrolls figure, usually two days later.
The report breaks employment changes down by company size, industry sector and region, and includes a separate pay measure tracking annual wage growth for people who stay in their jobs versus those who switch employers. Markets watch it closely because hiring and pay trends feed directly into the Federal Reserve’s view of the labour market, which in turn shapes decisions on interest rates.
It is worth remembering that ADP’s payroll data and the government’s non-farm payrolls figure can diverge in any given month, sometimes by a wide margin, because they use different methodologies and sample different parts of the workforce.
When is the November ADP Employment Report released?
ADP is expected to publish the report on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:15 am ET (1:15 pm London time), on its media centre and at adpemploymentreport.com. This date has not yet been formally confirmed by ADP at the time of writing. ADP typically releases its report on the Wednesday of the week containing the first Friday of the month, two days ahead of the official US employment report, so the date above follows that established pattern.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the November 2026 release (covering October payroll data) has not yet been published. Economist surveys for ADP releases are typically compiled by Reuters and Bloomberg in the days immediately before the report, so a consensus figure will usually appear closer to release date.
The most recent confirmed prints show a slowing pace of private hiring through the middle of 2026. In June 2026, private employers added 98,000 jobs with annual pay growth of 4.4%, according to ADP’s official release. In July 2026, hiring slowed sharply to 44,000 jobs, described by Trading Economics as “the least in six months”, against forecasts of around 70,000.

Measure
Prior (July 2026)
Consensus

Private payrolls change
44,000
Not yet published

Annual pay growth (job stayers)
4.4%
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Could be read as evidence the labour market is holding up, potentially reducing expectations of near-term Fed rate cuts
More jobs were added than expected, suggesting employers are still hiring despite a slowing trend

In line with consensus
Likely to have limited market impact on its own
Hiring matched expectations, so the picture of a gradually cooling labour market continues unchanged

Below consensus
Could raise expectations of Fed rate cuts and pressure the dollar, according to strategists who track the FedWatch tool
Fewer jobs than expected were added, a signal that hiring is weakening further

These are possibilities discussed by analysts, not predictions. Investing.com notes that a higher than expected ADP reading is “taken as positive/bullish for the USD”, while a weaker one tends to be read the opposite way, though the report’s month-to-month volatility means any single print should be treated with caution.
Why does this release matter right now?
Private hiring in the US has slowed noticeably through 2026, with ADP reporting a drop from 98,000 jobs added in June to just 44,000 in July, according to Trading Economics. ADP’s chief economist, Dr Nela Richardson, has pointed to hiring described as modest relative to earlier in the year, alongside pay growth that has stayed largely flat, language consistent with the broader cooling trend seen through 2026. The Federal Reserve, under Chair Kevin Warsh who took office in May 2026, has been weighing this softer jobs picture against still-elevated inflation, and labour market data of this kind feeds directly into that debate. A further slowdown, or a surprise rebound, in the October 2026 data due in this release would add to that picture ahead of the Fed’s next policy meeting.
What It Means for Your Money
Mortgages and borrowing costs: a weak jobs report tends to raise expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which can pull down mortgage rates and other borrowing costs over time, while a strong report can do the opposite.
Savings: if the labour market data pushes the Fed towards cutting rates, savings account and cash ISA rates in the US and, indirectly, in other markets that track Fed policy could drift lower in the following months.
Jobs and wages: the pay growth figures in this report give an early signal of whether wage rises are keeping up with the cost of living, relevant to anyone negotiating a pay rise or planning household budgets.
Investments and pensions: US labour market surprises can move stock markets and bond yields quickly, which affects the value of pension funds and investment portfolios holding US assets, including those held by UK and European savers.
Currencies: a weaker than expected report can weigh on the US dollar, with knock-on effects for the value of the pound and the euro against the dollar, influencing the cost of imports and overseas holidays.
Related events

Previous release: US ADP Employment Report, October 2026
The US non-farm payrolls report, usually published two days after the ADP release each month
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, which weigh heavily on labour market data such as this

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the ADP Employment Report released?
It is scheduled for 8:15 am ET, which is 1:15 pm London time, on Wednesday, November 4, 2026.
How should I read the ADP jobs number?
Look at the headline change in private payrolls against the consensus forecast, and check the pay growth figures for a sense of wage pressure, but treat any single month with caution given the series’ volatility.
Does the ADP report move interest rate expectations?
Yes, because it is one of the first hard data points each month on US hiring, and it feeds into how traders price the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate moves.
Where can I find the official release?
ADP publishes the report and interactive charts at adpemploymentreport.com and through its media centre.
When is the next ADP Employment Report?
ADP typically releases its report monthly, usually on the Wednesday two days before the official US non-farm payrolls report.
← Previous US ADP Employment Report

US International Trade Balance November 2026
2026-11-04 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US International Trade Balance: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers October 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US International Trade BalanceNext US International Trade Balance →
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the U.S. Census Bureau will jointly release the US International Trade in Goods and Services report for September 2026 on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers the monthly deficit or surplus in US trade in goods and services, providing markets with a comprehensive view of US export competitiveness and import demand during September. Consensus forecasts are not yet available at the time of writing and will be published closer to the release date.
What Is the US International Trade Balance Report?
The US International Trade in Goods and Services (FT-900) is a joint monthly publication from the BEA and the Census Bureau. It measures US exports and imports across two broad categories: goods (physical merchandise) and services (financial services, travel, intellectual property, and similar cross-border transactions). The headline figure is the goods and services deficit or surplus, expressed in billions of US dollars.
The United States runs a persistent goods deficit, partly offset by a structural services surplus built on the strength of US financial, technology, and travel exports. The net figure feeds directly into the national accounts: a wider deficit subtracts from GDP, while a narrower deficit adds to it. Trade data also influences Federal Reserve assessments of the strength of domestic demand relative to global conditions, and carries significant implications for currency markets and commodity pricing.
The report is released approximately five to six weeks after the end of the reference month and is subject to revision in subsequent releases as additional customs and financial data becomes available.
Trade Balance Report: November 4, 2026
The November 4 release covers September 2026 trade flows. This release falls three days after the US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) report for November 2026 on October 30, making the first week of November a particularly data-heavy period for markets assessing US economic health in Q3 2026.
Consensus estimates for September 2026 trade are not yet available. The September trade balance will be influenced by the trajectory of US import demand through the summer months, energy trade flows (oil and gas imports and exports), the pace of US export growth in goods and services, and any residual effects of tariff-related trade pattern shifts from earlier in the year. The October 6 release covering August data will be the closest precursor reading available before this November report.
The most recently published data, covering April 2026, showed a deficit of $60.3 billion in goods and services, according to the BEA and Census Bureau. The trend in early 2026 has shown stabilisation around the $55-60 billion range, following the sharp widening to $70.3 billion in December 2025 that was attributed to pre-tariff import front-loading.
Why This Report Matters
The November 4 trade balance release is particularly significant because it provides September 2026 data, which will be incorporated into the third-quarter 2026 GDP advance estimate (typically published in late October). By November 4, the GDP figure may already be published, but trade data can trigger revisions to the initial estimate.
For currency markets, a wider-than-expected deficit implies greater demand for foreign currency to finance imports, which is modestly negative for the US dollar over time. A narrower deficit, driven by export strength, would be constructive for the dollar and for internationally exposed US companies in sectors such as technology, aerospace, and agricultural exports. Energy trade flows are an important sub-component: shifts in US crude oil and LNG exports can significantly move the goods balance independently of underlying manufacturing trade.
The Bank of England MPC rate decision is scheduled for November 5, one day after this release. The November 4 trade data, combined with the US employment data from October 30, will help set the tone for global risk sentiment heading into the BoE announcement and the broader November policy calendar.
What to Watch For

Above consensus (wider deficit) — Signals robust US import demand, potentially positive for domestic growth but negative for GDP arithmetic. If driven by consumer goods imports, it suggests strong household spending; if driven by capital goods, it implies business investment. The US dollar could soften modestly on a wider reading.
In line with consensus — A result matching expectations would have limited market impact. Focus would shift to the composition of trade, particularly the services surplus and the energy goods component, and any notable revisions to prior months’ data.
Below consensus (narrower deficit) — Suggests either a slowdown in import demand or a pickup in US export activity. A narrower deficit driven by export growth is constructive for GDP and supportive of the US dollar, while one driven by weak imports might signal a slowdown in domestic demand.

Historical Context

Release Date
Reference Month
Deficit (Goods & Services)
Note

June 9, 2026
April 2026
-$60.3B
Wider than -$57.9B est.

May 5, 2026
March 2026
-$60.3B
In line with estimate

April 2, 2026
February 2026
-$57.3B
Narrower than -$59.2B est.

March 2026
January 2026
-$54.5B
—

February 2026
December 2025
-$70.3B
Pre-tariff import surge

January 2026
November 2025
-$53.0B
—

Market Positioning
The trade balance has been a source of significant policy attention and market volatility throughout 2025-2026. The spike to $70.3 billion in December 2025 reflected a one-time surge in goods imports ahead of anticipated tariff increases, which subsequently unwound in early 2026. The stabilisation of the deficit in the $55-60 billion range through the spring of 2026 suggests that the tariff-related distortions have largely been absorbed into the baseline, though the underlying level of the deficit remains historically elevated.
Looking ahead to the November 4 release, the key question is whether September trade flows reflect a normalised post-tariff environment or whether new policy developments, changes in energy production, or shifts in global demand have altered the trajectory. The US CPI Report November 2026, scheduled for November 10, will add context on whether import prices are feeding through to domestic consumer inflation.
Related Events This Week

US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) November 2026 — The jobs report on October 30 will set the macro tone for the week and provide context for interpreting the trade data on November 4.
Bank of England MPC Rate Decision November 2026 — The BoE rate decision on November 5 will follow the trade release by one day, and global trade data will feed into cross-border economic assessments.
US CPI Report November 2026 — Released November 10, the CPI reading will show whether import price pressures from the trade sector are feeding through to US consumer prices.

Frequently Asked Questions
What does the US International Trade Balance report measure?
The report measures the difference between the total value of US exports and imports of goods and services in the reference month. A negative number (deficit) indicates that the US imports more than it exports. Published jointly by the BEA and the Census Bureau under the designation FT-900, it covers both merchandise trade and cross-border services transactions.
When is the November 2026 trade balance report released?
The September 2026 trade balance data will be published on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. This date was confirmed via the Census Bureau’s foreign trade release schedule.
How does the trade balance affect US GDP?
Net exports (the trade balance) are a component of US GDP. A wider trade deficit subtracts from headline GDP growth, while a narrowing deficit adds to it. This makes the monthly trade balance data an important input for economists and the Bureau of Economic Analysis in their GDP nowcast and revision calculations. A particularly large or unexpected swing in the monthly trade figure can meaningfully alter GDP estimates for the corresponding quarter.

US ISM Services PMI November 2026
2026-11-04 10:00 - 11:00 (America/New_York)
Next US ISM Services PMI: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
54.1% (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US ISM Services PMI.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US ISM Services PMI
The US ISM Services PMI for November 2026 is scheduled for release on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time) by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The report covers business conditions in the services sector for October 2026, the month immediately before publication. Full schedule and background: US ISM Services PMI.
What is the ISM Services PMI?
The ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index, officially called the Services PMI, is a monthly survey of purchasing and supply executives at services companies across the United States, covering sectors such as finance, healthcare, retail, transport and hospitality. Because services make up roughly two-thirds of US economic output, the index is one of the clearest early signals of how the broader economy is faring.
Respondents are asked whether business activity, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries improved, worsened or stayed the same compared with the previous month. These answers are combined into a headline “composite” index. A reading above 50.0% signals expansion in the services sector; a reading below 50.0% signals contraction. The distance from 50.0% roughly indicates the pace of change, though it is not a precise growth rate.
Markets watch the ISM Services PMI closely because it arrives early in the data calendar, well before official government output figures, and because its sub-indices, particularly the Prices Paid Index and the Employment Index, offer clues on inflation pressure and labour demand that feed directly into Federal Reserve thinking.
When is the October ISM Services PMI released?
The report covering October 2026 activity is expected on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm in London), published by the Institute for Supply Management on its official website. The ISM has not yet confirmed this exact date; the institute typically publishes the Services PMI on the third business day of the month following the survey period, so early November is the standard pattern for an October reading.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the October 2026 reading has not yet been published. Forecasts from economists surveyed by outlets such as Reuters and Trading Economics tend to appear in the days immediately before release, once September and other interim data are available.
The most recent confirmed reading available at the time of writing was for July 2026, when the headline index came in at 54.1%, a touch below the 54.5% forecast compiled by economists, according to Investing.com’s economic calendar. That followed a June 2026 reading of 54.0%, reported by Advisor Perspectives.

Measure
Prior (July 2026)
Consensus (October 2026)

Headline Services PMI
54.1%
Not yet published

Business Activity Index
Not separately confirmed
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Could be read as reducing pressure for further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, potentially supporting the dollar and Treasury yields
The services side of the economy, where most jobs sit, is holding up better than expected

In line with consensus
Likely limited market reaction, as the outcome would already be priced in
The services sector is growing at roughly the pace economists expected, so little changes

Below consensus
May be read as strengthening the case for rate cuts, which can weigh on the dollar and support equities
Businesses are seeing softer demand or hiring plans, a possible early warning sign for the wider economy

These are possibilities discussed by market commentators, not predictions. Actual reactions depend on other data released around the same time and on what the Federal Reserve has signalled at its most recent meeting.
Why does this release matter right now?
The services sector has stayed in expansion territory through most of 2026, with the composite index printing above the 50.0% threshold in each of the months tracked by Advisor Perspectives and Investing.com data cited above. The Federal Reserve has been weighing a softening labour market against inflation that remains above its 2% target, and the ISM Services report’s Prices Paid and Employment components are among the inputs policymakers reference when assessing that balance. A run of weaker services readings would add to the debate over further interest rate cuts, while a stronger print could reinforce arguments for a pause.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and loans: A weak services reading can increase expectations of Fed rate cuts, which may eventually flow through to lower mortgage and borrowing costs in the US, and can influence sentiment around interest rate paths in the UK and eurozone too, since global bond yields move together.
Savings: If the data pushes rate-cut expectations higher, savings account and fixed-deposit rates in the US could drift lower over time; savers holding dollar-denominated cash may want to watch this.
Jobs and wages: The Employment Index within the report offers an early read on services hiring intentions, relevant to anyone working in retail, healthcare, finance or hospitality, sectors that make up the bulk of US jobs.
Prices: The Prices Paid Index tracks input cost pressure for services firms, which can signal whether inflation is likely to ease or persist, affecting the cost of everyday services from insurance to travel.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Equity markets, particularly shares tied to consumer and business spending, can move on the release, and the dollar often reacts against the pound and euro depending on whether the data shifts rate-cut expectations. Pension funds with US equity or bond exposure can see modest short-term swings in value around the release.

Related events

Previous ISM Services PMI release: US ISM Services PMI, October 2026
US ISM Manufacturing PMI, released earlier in the same week each month
US nonfarm payrolls, typically released the Friday before the ISM Services report

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the ISM Services PMI released?
The report is expected at 10:00 am ET, which is 3:00 pm in London, on the scheduled release date.
How do I read the ISM Services PMI number?
A reading above 50.0% means the services sector is expanding compared with the prior month; below 50.0% signals contraction. The further from 50.0%, the more pronounced the change.
How does this data affect interest rates?
The Federal Reserve monitors services activity and prices data as part of its assessment of inflation and labour market conditions, so unexpectedly strong or weak readings can shift market expectations for future rate decisions.
Where can I find the official ISM Services PMI release?
The Institute for Supply Management publishes the report directly on its official website, and it is also distributed through financial newswires such as Reuters and Bloomberg.
When is the next ISM Services PMI released after this one?
The following report, covering November 2026 data, is typically published in early December 2026, again around the third business day of the month.
← Previous US ISM Services PMI

Norges Bank Rate Decision November 2026
2026-11-05 04:00 - 05:00 (America/New_York)
Next Norges Bank Rate Decision: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 am CET (4:00 am ET, 9:00 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Held at 4.25% (September 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Norges Bank Rate Decision.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous Norges Bank Rate Decision
Norges Bank’s Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Committee announces its next interest rate decision on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at 10:00 am CET (4:00 am ET, 9:00 am London time). The committee currently holds Norway’s policy rate at 4.25%, following a hold at the September 2026 meeting. Full schedule and background: Norges Bank Rate Decision.
What is the Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Committee and what does it decide?
The Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Committee is the body inside Norges Bank, Norway’s central bank, responsible for setting the policy rate, the interest rate at which commercial banks can place overnight deposits with the central bank. The committee’s mandate is to keep annual consumer price inflation close to 2%, while also contributing to stable output and employment and to counteracting the build-up of financial imbalances, such as excessive household debt or asset price bubbles.
The committee is chaired by the Governor of Norges Bank, currently Ida Wolden Bache, and includes the two deputy governors and external members appointed by the King in Council. Unlike the US Federal Reserve or the Bank of England, Norges Bank’s committee typically reaches decisions by consensus rather than a recorded vote, though dissent is occasionally noted in the minutes.
Norges Bank normally holds eight monetary policy meetings a year, roughly every six weeks, with four of those meetings accompanied by a full Monetary Policy Report containing new economic forecasts, and the other four being interim decisions based on updated data without a fresh set of projections.
When is the November Norges Bank decision announced?
The rate decision is announced on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at 10:00 am CET, which is 4:00 am ET and 9:00 am in London. Norges Bank publishes a short policy statement alongside the decision, followed by a press conference at which the Governor takes questions from journalists. This meeting is an interim decision, meaning the committee will not publish an updated Monetary Policy Report; the most recent full projections came with the September 2026 meeting. Norges Bank does not release separate “minutes” in the way the Federal Reserve or Bank of England do, but the statement itself sets out the committee’s reasoning in detail and is typically the main document markets scrutinise.
What to expect
Norges Bank held its policy rate at 4.25% at the September 2026 meeting, having raised it from 4% at the May 2026 meeting. Before that, the rate had been held at 4% across the November 2025, December 2025, January 2026 and March 2026 meetings. Economists and market participants will be watching Norwegian inflation and wage data released ahead of the November meeting for clues on whether the committee leans towards holding again or signalling a cut later in 2026 or in early 2027. A consensus forecast for the November decision has not yet been published.

Meeting
Decision
Rate after meeting

November 2025
Hold
4.00%

December 2025
Hold
4.00%

January 2026
Hold
4.00%

March 2026
Hold
4.00%

May 2026
Raise (+0.25pp)
4.25%

September 2026
Hold
4.25%

Source: Norges Bank policy rate decisions.
Market impact scenarios

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Hold at 4.25%
Broadly neutral for the Norwegian krone if guidance is unchanged; traders will focus on the statement’s tone for hints on the timing of a future cut
Borrowing costs in Norway stay where they are for now, and mortgage and savings rates linked to the policy rate do not move immediately

Cut of 25bp
Likely to weaken the krone against the euro and dollar, as lower Norwegian rates reduce the currency’s yield appeal
Cheaper borrowing for Norwegian households and businesses, but savers earn less on deposits, and imports become marginally more expensive if the krone falls

Guidance shift (hold, but signals earlier cuts)
Norwegian government bond yields could fall even without an immediate rate change, as markets price in the signalled path
No change today, but mortgage rates and fixed-term savings products may start adjusting in anticipation of cuts later in the cycle

What will the statement and press conference signal?
Analysts will read the statement closely for forward guidance on the timing of the first rate cut in this cycle, given that the rate has been held at 4.25% since May 2026. Key questions include whether the committee still views the current rate as sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation back to the 2% target, and how it is weighing recent wage settlement data against the risk that a stronger krone or slowing growth argues for an earlier move lower.
Because this is an interim meeting without a new Monetary Policy Report, the statement carries extra weight as the main written signal of the committee’s thinking. Journalists at the press conference will likely press the Governor on household debt levels, the housing market and any risks from global trade or energy prices that could feed into Norwegian inflation. Dissent within the committee, while less common than at some other central banks, would be notable if it appeared, as it would suggest a split view on the pace of future policy.
What It Means for Your Money
For homeowners in Norway with mortgages tied to the policy rate, a hold means monthly repayments stay roughly the same, while a cut would gradually feed through to lower variable mortgage rates, easing pressure on household budgets. Savers with Norwegian bank deposits would see slightly lower returns if the rate is cut, though a hold keeps existing savings rates broadly intact for now.
Currency markets watch this decision closely because Norway is not part of the eurozone and the krone trades independently. A rate cut would tend to make the krone weaker against the euro and the pound, which matters for anyone travelling to Norway, for Norwegian exporters and importers, and for UK or eurozone investors holding Norwegian assets or Norwegian government bonds. A stronger-than-expected hold, or hawkish language, tends to support the krone.
For pension funds and investors in Europe more broadly, Norges Bank’s decisions feed into the wider picture of how quickly European central banks are moving through this rate cycle. Norway’s oil-linked economy and sovereign wealth fund also mean its interest rate path is watched by global asset managers, even though Norway is a smaller economy than the eurozone, the UK or the US. Investors holding Norwegian equities or krone-denominated bonds should expect some price movement around the announcement, particularly if the tone differs from what was priced in beforehand.
Related events

Previous decision: Norges Bank Rate Decision, September 2026
Full calendar and history: Norges Bank Rate Decision hub page
Norway’s consumer price inflation data, released ahead of the meeting, is a key input the committee weighs alongside wage growth and krone movements

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Norges Bank decision announced?
The decision is announced at 10:00 am CET on November 5, 2026, which is 4:00 am ET and 9:00 am London time.
What is the current Norwegian policy rate?
The policy rate has stood at 4.25% since the May 2026 meeting, following a hold at the September 2026 meeting.
Will Norges Bank cut rates in November 2026?
A consensus forecast has not yet been published; markets will react to whichever way the statement leans, whether a hold, a cut, or guidance pointing to a future move.
When is the next Norges Bank meeting after November 2026?
Norges Bank typically meets roughly every six weeks; check the Norges Bank Rate Decision hub page for the confirmed date of the following meeting.
Where can I watch the press conference?
Norges Bank streams the press conference live on its own website following the release of the policy statement.
← Previous Norges Bank Rate Decision

Bank of England MPC Rate Decision November 2026
2026-11-05 07:00 - 08:00 (America/New_York)
Next Bank of England MPC Rate Decision: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:00 pm GMT (7:00 am ET, 12:00 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Bank of England MPC Rate Decision.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous Bank of England MPC Rate DecisionNext Bank of England MPC Rate Decision →
The Bank of England will announce its November 2026 interest rate decision on Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 12:00 noon GMT. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets eight times a year, and November is one of four meetings accompanied by a Monetary Policy Report (MPR), providing updated forecasts for inflation, growth, and employment over a three-year horizon. As of the most recent decision in April 2026, Bank Rate stands at 3.75%, held since December 2025.
Bank of England MPC Decision: November 5, 2026
The November meeting carries particular weight because it produces the quarterly Monetary Policy Report, which sets out the MPC’s updated central projections and fan charts for inflation and GDP. The November MPR will provide the clearest signal yet about whether the Bank sees scope for easing in 2027, or whether persistent inflation will require rates to remain on hold, or rise, through the year ahead.
Bank Rate has been held at 3.75% since December 2025, when the MPC cut by 25 basis points in a narrow 5-4 vote. Three consecutive decisions since then have resulted in holds. In April 2026, the MPC voted 8-1 to hold, with one member dissenting in favour of raising Bank Rate to 4.00%, citing continued above-target inflation and the risk of energy-price second-round effects stemming from the Middle East conflict. Markets and independent forecasters are divided on the outlook: some expect one or two cuts before year-end 2026, while others, including Oxford Economics, forecast no change through 2026 and into 2027.
The decision will be announced at 12:00 noon GMT on Thursday, 5 November 2026. The MPC’s vote breakdown and the full MPR will be published simultaneously.
What to Expect
The primary factor shaping the November decision will be the trajectory of UK consumer price inflation. The Office for National Statistics reported CPI inflation of 2.8% in the twelve months to April 2026, down from 3.3% in March, with the improvement driven largely by the introduction of the energy price cap on 1 April 2026. However, services inflation remained elevated, and the Bank’s own April MPR projected CPI rising to 3.3% in the third quarter of 2026, a forecast 1.4 percentage points higher than its February projection, reflecting sharply higher energy and food prices linked to the Middle East conflict.
Whether those projections prove accurate will be central to the November deliberations. If energy prices moderate through the summer and autumn, the Bank’s near-term inflation profile will ease, potentially reopening the debate about cuts. If they remain elevated, the MPC’s hawkish minority may grow, and a hike cannot be ruled out.
Labour market data will also matter. UK unemployment has remained low throughout 2026, and Average Weekly Earnings growth, while slowing from the peaks of 2023 and 2024, has remained above levels consistent with the 2% inflation target. The Bank watches wage dynamics closely as a leading indicator of domestically generated inflation. Any acceleration in earnings growth in the data available before November would make a cut significantly less likely.
Fiscal policy is a further consideration. Autumn Budget decisions and any changes to government spending or taxation could have implications for aggregate demand and, by extension, the inflation outlook. The Bank will incorporate any fiscal announcements into its MPR projections.
Rate Decision History

Date
Decision
Rate
Vote

April 2026
Hold
3.75%
8-1

March 2026
Hold
3.75%
9-0

February 2026
Hold
3.75%
Majority

December 2025
Cut 25bp
3.75%
5-4

November 2025
Hold
4.00%
5-4

August 2025
Cut 25bp
4.00%
Majority

May 2025
Cut 25bp
4.25%
7-2

February 2025
Hold
4.50%
Majority

Market Impact Scenarios

Hold at 3.75% (consensus) – A hold is the most likely outcome if inflation remains above target through the summer. Sterling would likely hold steady against the euro and dollar. Gilt yields would see limited movement. Markets would focus on the MPR’s forward guidance: a projection showing inflation returning sustainably to target by 2027 would be interpreted as pre-conditioning for future cuts, likely supporting short-dated gilts. The vote split will matter: a unanimous hold is more hawkish than a hold with several members favouring a cut.
Cut 25bp to 3.50% – A cut to 3.50% would represent a significant positive surprise for bond markets, requiring clear evidence that inflation had fallen decisively and that the Middle East energy shock had proved transitory. Sterling would likely weaken 0.5-1.0% on the day against major peers. Gilt prices would rally across the curve, particularly in shorter maturities. Such a move would require a markedly dovish MPR, with inflation projected to return to 2% by mid-2027 or earlier.
Hike 25bp to 4.00% – A hike would be the biggest surprise and is not currently priced by markets. It would signal that the Bank views inflation risks as decisively tilted upward, likely due to an inflation re-acceleration or a persistently tight labour market. Sterling would strengthen sharply. UK gilts would sell off across the curve. Equity markets would react negatively, with rate-sensitive sectors including housing, retail, and financials particularly affected.

The size of any rate move matters as much as the direction. A 50 basis point cut or hike, while highly unlikely, would represent a decisive shift in policy stance and generate outsized market reaction. The MPC has historically preferred gradualism in both directions.
Press Conference and Forward Guidance
Following the noon announcement, the Governor of the Bank of England will hold a press conference at approximately 12:30 pm GMT to present the Monetary Policy Report and take questions from journalists. This press conference is one of the more closely watched events in the UK financial calendar. The Governor’s framing of the economic outlook, language around the future rate path, and tone in response to questions can move markets as much as the rate decision itself.
Key phrases to monitor include any reference to the policy rate being “restrictive”, whether the MPC characterises risks to inflation as “balanced” or “skewed to the upside”, and whether forward guidance is framed as data-dependent or offers any implicit timetable for future moves. The MPR fan charts will be scrutinised for whether the central projection for CPI returns to 2% within the two-year forecast horizon, which is the Bank’s primary remit. Any language suggesting openness to easing in early 2027 would be taken as a dovish signal, while a projection showing inflation remaining above target throughout 2027 would support an extended hold, or even a hike.
Related Events

Bank of England MPC Rate Decision September 2026 – The preceding MPC decision, providing context for how policy evolved in the run-up to November.
Bank of England MPC Rate Decision December 2026 – The next scheduled MPC decision following November, also a non-MPR meeting.
FOMC Rate Decision October 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s rate decision in October, providing global monetary policy context for the Bank of England’s November deliberations.

Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Bank of England’s mandate and how does the MPC decide on Bank Rate?
The Bank of England’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, defined as a CPI inflation rate of 2%. The Monetary Policy Committee, which comprises nine members including the Governor, Deputy Governors, and external experts, sets Bank Rate by majority vote at each scheduled meeting. When the Bank Rate deviates from 2% by more than 1 percentage point, the Governor must write an open letter to the Chancellor explaining why and what action is being taken.
When exactly will the November 2026 MPC decision be announced?
The Bank of England will publish the MPC decision, vote breakdown, Monetary Policy Summary, and full Monetary Policy Report simultaneously at 12:00 noon GMT on Thursday, 5 November 2026. A press conference with the Governor will follow at approximately 12:30 pm GMT.
What does a Bank Rate change mean for UK borrowers and savers?
Bank Rate is the interest rate the Bank of England charges commercial banks to borrow money overnight, and it directly influences the rates those banks offer on mortgages, loans, and savings accounts. A cut in Bank Rate typically leads to lower mortgage rates and reduced returns on savings. A hike does the opposite. Variable-rate and tracker mortgage holders are most immediately affected, while fixed-rate borrowers are insulated until their deal expires.

US Initial Jobless Claims: November 5, 2026
2026-11-05 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
203,000 (week ended August 15, 2026, most recent confirmed figure found in research)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
The US Department of Labor releases its weekly Initial Jobless Claims report on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). This is one in a continuous series of weekly reports, and it will cover the week ending around November 1, 2026. Initial jobless claims count the number of people filing for unemployment insurance for the first time, and it is one of the most immediate signals of labour-market health available to investors, economists and the Federal Reserve. Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of publication, a consensus forecast for the week ending around November 1, 2026 has not yet been published. Forecasts for weekly claims are typically released only a day or two before the report, once economists have seen recent seasonal patterns and any distorting factors such as public holidays or severe weather.
For context, claims have generally held in a low range through much of 2026. In mid-August 2026, claims fell by 4,000 to 203,000, “below market expectations that they would rise to 208,000”, according to Trading Economics, which also noted claims touched a near 60-year low of 189,000 in mid-July 2026. Continuing claims, which measure people still receiving benefits after their initial claim, stood near 1,777,000 in the same period, per Trading Economics. These figures illustrate the recent trend rather than a fixed prior for this specific release, since the actual reading for the week ending November 1, 2026 has not yet been published.

Measure
Recent trend (mid-2026)
Consensus for November 5 release

Initial claims
Roughly 189,000 to 209,000 range
Not yet published

Continuing claims
Around 1,777,000 to 1,819,000
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Above consensus (once published)
Bond yields could fall, dollar may soften, as traders price a weaker labour market and a higher chance of Fed rate cuts
More people lost jobs and applied for benefits than expected, a sign hiring may be slowing

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction; existing rate expectations largely unchanged
The labour market is behaving broadly as expected, neither strengthening nor weakening sharply

Below consensus
Yields could rise, dollar may firm, as a resilient labour market reduces the urgency for the Fed to cut rates
Fewer people than expected filed for benefits, suggesting employers are still holding onto staff

Why it matters this week
Weekly jobless claims are watched closely because they are the freshest labour-market data available, arriving well before the monthly non-farm payrolls report. Through much of 2026, claims have stayed relatively low by historical standards, which the Federal Reserve has treated as evidence that the labour market remains reasonably resilient even as it weighs the pace of any further interest rate changes. A sustained rise in claims, or a jump in continuing claims, would suggest that laid-off workers are struggling to find new jobs, a pattern the Fed tends to treat as more concerning than a single volatile weekly print.
Because claims data can be distorted by public holidays, government shutdown effects, or seasonal hiring swings around the autumn period, economists generally caution against reading too much into any single week’s number in isolation, preferring to track the four-week moving average instead.
What It Means for Your Money
If claims rise sharply and the labour market looks like it is weakening, markets often price in a higher chance of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. This can eventually feed through to lower mortgage rates and cheaper borrowing costs in the US, though the effect on UK and European mortgage rates is more indirect, largely through shifts in global bond yields.
For savers, higher jobless claims and expectations of rate cuts can mean lower returns on cash savings accounts over time, since central banks tend to lower rates when the economy is cooling. For anyone with investments or a pension, a weaker labour market reading can unsettle share prices in the short term, particularly for companies sensitive to consumer spending, while a stronger-than-expected reading can support the dollar against the pound and the euro.
None of these effects are automatic or immediate. A single weekly claims report rarely moves markets or interest rates on its own, but a run of weaker or stronger readings can shift expectations meaningfully over several weeks.
Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the November 5, 2026 jobless claims report released?
The report is released at 8:30 am ET, which is 1:30 pm in London, by the US Department of Labor.
What counts as a significant miss versus consensus?
Once a consensus is published, economists generally consider a difference of more than 15,000 to 20,000 claims from the forecast to be notable, though the reaction also depends on the trend in the weeks before and after.
When is the next jobless claims report?
Jobless claims are published every Thursday. Check the US Initial Jobless Claims schedule for the exact date and time of the following week’s release.
Where does this data come from?
The figures are compiled and published weekly by the US Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration, based on state unemployment insurance filings.
← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims

US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) November 2026
2026-11-06 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls): Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers October 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls).
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls)Next US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) →
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Employment Situation report for October 2026 on Friday, November 6, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report will reveal job creation during October, providing a key labour market reading ahead of the Federal Reserve’s final meeting of 2026 on December 9.

At a Glance

Release date: Friday, November 6, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET
Publishing body: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
Reference month: October 2026
Most recent reading: +172,000 jobs, unemployment 4.3% (May 2026)
Market impact: High

What is the Employment Situation Report?
The Employment Situation is the most closely watched monthly economic release in the United States, published by the BLS on the first Friday of each month. It covers two separate surveys: the establishment survey (non-farm payroll employment and average hourly earnings) and the household survey (unemployment rate and labour force participation). Together, they provide the most comprehensive monthly snapshot of US labour market conditions.
The headline non-farm payrolls (NFP) figure represents the net change in employment across all non-agricultural industries. Beyond the headline, analysts examine the unemployment rate, wage growth, participation rate, and revisions to the prior two months.
The November 2026 release covers October 2026 employment data.
US Employment Situation Release: November 6, 2026
The November 6 release will cover October 2026 labour market data. By this point, the cumulative effect of 2026’s monetary policy stance on labour market conditions will be increasingly visible. The most recent reading, from June 5, 2026, showed +172,000 jobs added in May, above the forecast of 85,000. The unemployment rate held at 4.3%.
The November release will also provide the first look at whether the sector that bore most of the impact from higher interest rates in 2026, including real estate, construction, and finance, showed significant change through the autumn. Consensus forecasts for October payrolls are not yet available at time of publication.
Why This Employment Report Matters
The November 6 NFP is one of the final major labour market readings before the FOMC meets on December 9 to make its last rate decision of 2026. Alongside the November 10 CPI release and the November 25 PCE data, it forms the core of the pre-December-meeting data set. A combination of cooling labour and cooling inflation would strongly increase the probability of a year-end rate cut.
By November, markets will have accumulated a full picture of Q3 labour market health. If the September and October payrolls readings show the labour market is softening, the December FOMC will be a live event for a cut. If labour remains strong, the Fed is more likely to hold. The November 6 report will be a critical data point in that determination.
Wage growth data within the report will also influence the inflation outlook. If average hourly earnings growth is decelerating towards or below the inflation rate, real wage growth turns positive, which is consumer-positive but also signals reduced wage-push inflation risk, giving the Fed more flexibility to ease.
What to Watch For

Above consensus: A strong payrolls reading above expectations would reduce the probability of a December rate cut, push Treasury yields higher, and likely strengthen the US dollar. Equity markets could face headwinds as rate-cut expectations are pushed into 2027.
In line with consensus: A broadly matching reading would keep the December decision as a close call. Attention would shift to the November 10 CPI and November 25 PCE as the more decisive inputs for December. The FOMC meeting will hinge on the full combination of data.
Below consensus: A weak reading, particularly if accompanied by a rising unemployment rate, would increase the probability of a December rate cut to a majority expectation. Bonds and equities would rally; the US dollar would weaken. A reading below 75,000 with a higher unemployment rate would significantly increase recession risk pricing.

Sector composition will matter. Payroll gains driven by government and healthcare are often viewed as less economically cyclical and less financially sensitive than gains in construction, manufacturing, and professional services. The composition of job creation can qualify the strength or weakness of the headline number.
Historical Context

Month
Jobs Added
Unemployment Rate

May 2026
+172,000
4.3%

April 2026 (revised)
+179,000
4.3%

March 2026 (revised)
+185,000
4.3%

January 2026
+130,000
4.4%

May 2025
+139,000
—

January 2025
+143,000
—

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Revised figures as of the June 2026 release. 2025 data reflects a period of subdued job growth averaging approximately 15,000 per month.
Market Positioning
By November 2026, the Federal Reserve’s policy communication will have narrowed the range of plausible outcomes for December. Fed funds futures and the bond market will be calibrated to whatever forward guidance was provided at the October and September meetings. The November 6 NFP will either confirm or challenge the prevailing expectation, making it a potentially high-volatility release depending on where consensus sits at the time.
For equities, November is typically a month of stronger seasonal performance, and a soft NFP reading early in the month could amplify the usual end-of-year risk appetite. Conversely, a surprisingly strong report might trigger a yields-driven correction as the December rate-cut trade is unwound.
Related Events

US CPI Report November 2026 – The October 2026 inflation reading on November 10, the other major input for the December FOMC decision.
FOMC Rate Decision December 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s final rate decision of 2026 on December 9, for which this NFP report is a primary input.
Bank of England MPC Rate Decision November 2026 – The BoE meeting on November 5, one day before the NFP release, offering a global monetary policy and employment context.

Frequently Asked Questions
What is included in the Employment Situation report?
The Employment Situation includes data from two monthly BLS surveys: the establishment survey, covering payroll employment, hours worked, and average hourly earnings across industries, and the household survey, measuring the unemployment rate, labour force participation, and the number of people employed and unemployed. Together they provide the most complete monthly picture of the US labour market.
When is the November 2026 NFP released?
The November 2026 Employment Situation report will be released on Friday, November 6, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers labour market activity during October 2026.
How does the November NFP feed into the December FOMC decision?
The November 6 NFP is one of the final two major labour market readings before the FOMC meets on December 9. The Fed will weigh employment alongside the November 10 CPI and November 25 PCE data when deciding whether to cut, hold, or raise rates. A weaker-than-expected jobs report combined with cooling inflation would increase the probability of a December rate cut significantly.
Featured image: Photo by Zoshua Colah on Unsplash.

Canada Labour Force Survey November 2026
2026-11-06 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next Canada Labour Force Survey: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
6.5% unemployment, +18,000 jobs (June 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Canada Labour Force Survey.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous Canada Labour Force Survey
Statistics Canada publishes the Labour Force Survey for November 2026 on Friday, November 6, 2026, at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). The release covers October 2026 labour market activity, including the national unemployment rate, employment change and average hourly wages. Full background and the release calendar are on the Canada Labour Force Survey hub page.
What is the Labour Force Survey?
The Labour Force Survey (LFS) is Statistics Canada’s monthly measure of employment, unemployment and wages. Field staff survey roughly 68,000 households, drawing on responses from everyone in the household aged 15 or older, whether they work or not. From this sample, Statistics Canada estimates national and provincial employment levels, the unemployment rate (the share of the labour force actively looking for work), the participation rate and the employment rate (employed people as a share of the working-age population).
Markets watch the LFS because it is the timeliest, broadest read on the Canadian labour market. The Bank of Canada references it directly when setting interest rates, and a surprise in either direction can move the Canadian dollar, government bond yields and rate expectations within minutes of release. It is also one of the only major economies to publish a monthly jobs report with a headline unemployment rate, participation rate and wage growth figure all in one release, similar in scope to the US non-farm payrolls report published the same week.
Because the survey samples a fixed group of households each month, the month-to-month change can be noisy. Economists therefore tend to look at three-month averages and year-over-year trends rather than reacting only to a single month’s headline number.
When is the October 2026 Labour Force Survey released?
Statistics Canada releases the report at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time) on Friday, November 6, 2026. It appears in The Daily, Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin, alongside detailed tables on employment by province, industry, age group and gender. The full report and supporting tables are published on the Statistics Canada release schedule. Statistics Canada has historically released the LFS on the first or second Friday of the month covering the prior month’s data, and this date follows that pattern.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of writing, a consensus forecast for the October 2026 Labour Force Survey has not yet been published. Economist estimates for Canadian jobs data are typically compiled by Bloomberg and Reuters in the days immediately before release, so a median forecast for unemployment, job creation and wage growth should appear closer to November 6, 2026.
The most recent confirmed StatCan figures at the time of writing come from the June 2026 Labour Force Survey, which is the latest print for which full official data could be verified for this preview.

Measure
June 2026 reading
October 2026 consensus

Unemployment rate
6.5%
Not yet published

Net employment change
+18,000
Not yet published

Readers should check StatCan’s The Daily or a financial data provider close to release day for an updated consensus, since forecasts firm up in the final week before a jobs report.
What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus (stronger jobs, lower unemployment)
Canadian dollar could firm and bond yields could rise on reduced odds of near-term Bank of Canada rate cuts
More people are working and finding it easier to get hired, which typically supports household spending

In line with consensus
A muted market reaction is plausible, with attention shifting to wage growth and hours worked details
The labour market is behaving broadly as expected, so borrowing costs and job prospects are unlikely to shift quickly

Below consensus (weaker jobs, higher unemployment)
Markets could price in a higher chance of a Bank of Canada rate cut, pressuring the Canadian dollar lower
Fewer jobs were added or more people are out of work, which can be an early sign of a softening economy

These are possibilities discussed by economists around each release, not predictions of what will happen on November 6, 2026.
Why does this release matter right now?
The Bank of Canada uses the Labour Force Survey as one of its key inputs when deciding whether to hold, cut or raise its policy interest rate. Through the first half of 2026, StatCan’s own commentary noted that the unemployment rate had drifted higher, rising to 6.9% in April 2026 “as more people searched for work” before easing to 6.5% in June 2026, according to the Statistics Canada Daily release for June 2026. That earlier StatCan release also noted the unemployment rate had “increased 0.4 percentage points since January 2026,” pointing to a gradually softening labour market over the year.
Wage growth is another area of focus. In prior LFS releases, StatCan reported average hourly wages rising by roughly 3% year over year, a pace the Bank of Canada watches closely because faster wage growth can feed into inflation, while slower wage growth can signal weaker household spending power ahead.
Because the October 2026 data lands only a few weeks before the Bank of Canada’s next scheduled policy announcement, this report carries extra weight for anyone trying to gauge the direction of Canadian interest rates into early 2027.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and borrowing: A weaker-than-expected jobs report can raise the odds of a Bank of Canada rate cut, which could eventually flow through to lower variable mortgage rates and loan costs. A stronger report can do the opposite.
Savings rates: If the data supports a rate cut, savings account and GIC rates offered by Canadian banks may drift lower over time as the central bank’s rate moves through the system.
Jobs and wages: The headline unemployment rate and wage growth figures give a direct read on how easy it is to find work and whether pay is keeping up with the cost of living.
Investments and pensions: Canadian equities, especially banks and consumer-facing companies, can react to jobs data because it signals the health of consumer spending, which feeds into pension fund and retirement account returns.
Currencies: A surprise in the report can move the Canadian dollar against the US dollar, the pound and the euro, affecting the cost of Canadian travel, imports and cross-border investment for people well outside Canada.

Related events

The previous month’s release: Canada Labour Force Survey, October 2026
The Bank of Canada’s next scheduled interest rate decision, which weighs recent labour market data heavily
Canada’s monthly inflation report (Consumer Price Index), which the Bank of Canada reads alongside jobs data

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the November 2026 Labour Force Survey released?
Statistics Canada releases the report at 8:30 am ET, which is 1:30 pm in London, on Friday, November 6, 2026.
How do I read the headline number?
Focus on the unemployment rate, the net change in employment, and the direction of wage growth together, since a single month’s job count can be volatile on its own.
How does this report affect interest rates?
The Bank of Canada factors the Labour Force Survey into its assessment of slack in the economy, so persistently weak jobs data can raise the odds of a rate cut, while strong data can reduce them.
Where can I find the official release?
The report is published in The Daily on the Statistics Canada website, alongside the full release schedule.
When is the next Labour Force Survey released?
Statistics Canada typically releases the following month’s report on the first or second Friday of December 2026, covering November 2026 data.
← Previous Canada Labour Force Survey

China CPI November 2026
2026-11-08 20:30 - 21:30 (America/New_York)
Next China CPI: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (8:30 pm ET, 1:30 am London). Covers October 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Not independently confirmed for this preview; see NBS official release
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: China CPI.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous China CPI
China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November 2026 is scheduled for release on Monday, November 9, 2026, at 9:30 am China Standard Time (8:30 pm ET on Sunday, November 8, or 1:30 am London time on Monday). The data is published by China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and covers price changes for October 2026. Full schedule and background: China CPI.
What is China’s CPI?
China’s CPI tracks the average change in prices paid by urban and rural households for a fixed basket of goods and services, including food, housing, transport, healthcare and education. It is the country’s main gauge of consumer-level inflation and is released monthly by the NBS.
Unlike many Western economies, China’s inflation basket carries a heavier weighting toward food, particularly pork, which means volatile pig prices can swing the headline number sharply from month to month. The NBS also publishes a “core” reading that strips out food and energy prices, giving a steadier read on underlying demand.
Investors, policymakers and businesses watch this release closely because China is the world’s second-largest economy. Persistently weak or negative CPI readings (deflation) can signal soft domestic demand, which has knock-on effects for global commodity prices, corporate earnings for multinational firms exposed to China, and the direction of the yuan.
When is the November 2026 China CPI released?
The NBS is scheduled to release the CPI report covering October 2026 data on Monday, November 9, 2026, at 9:30 am China Standard Time. This is 8:30 pm ET the previous evening (Sunday, November 8) in New York, and 1:30 am in London on the Monday. The figures are published on the NBS website and distributed simultaneously to major data providers such as Bloomberg and Reuters.
What is the consensus forecast?
At the time of writing, a consensus forecast for the October 2026 China CPI reading has not yet been published by major polling services. Economists surveyed by Reuters and Bloomberg typically release their median forecasts in the days immediately before the NBS publication date, so figures should firm up closer to release.
The prior reading (for September 2026 data) has not been independently verified in this preview through a live data check. Readers should treat any figure quoted elsewhere with caution until confirmed against the official NBS release, linked above, or a reputable data provider such as Trading Economics or Reuters.

Measure
Prior (September 2026)
Consensus (October 2026)

Headline CPI, year-on-year
Not yet confirmed
Not yet published

Core CPI, year-on-year
Not yet confirmed
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Traders may read this as a sign that domestic demand and pricing power are firming, potentially easing pressure on Beijing to add further stimulus
Prices are rising faster than expected, which could mean stronger consumer spending but also less room for further rate cuts

In line with consensus
Analysts are likely to treat an in-line print as confirmation of the existing low-inflation trend, with limited market reaction
Nothing surprising happens; the broad picture of subdued price growth in China continues unchanged

Below consensus
A weaker-than-expected print could reinforce concerns about deflationary pressure and add to calls for further monetary or fiscal support, according to economists who track China’s People’s Bank policy stance
Prices are rising more slowly, or falling, which can be a warning sign of weak demand across the economy

These are possible market interpretations, not predictions. Actual reactions depend on the wider news backdrop on the day, including any accompanying producer price data and policy signals from the People’s Bank of China.
Why does this release matter right now?
China has spent much of the mid-2020s wrestling with unusually weak consumer price growth, a trend that policymakers and economists have linked to soft household spending, an extended property market downturn and excess industrial capacity. The People’s Bank of China and the State Council have both flagged boosting domestic consumption as a policy priority, making each CPI print a barometer of whether stimulus measures are gaining traction.
Global investors watch the release because sustained weak inflation in China can spill over into lower prices for goods China exports, affecting inflation readings and monetary policy decisions in other major economies, including the United States, the eurozone and the United Kingdom. Commodity markets, particularly industrial metals and energy, also take cues from Chinese demand signals embedded in the inflation and related producer price data.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and rates: If Chinese inflation stays weak, it adds to the case for the People’s Bank of China to keep policy loose, which can keep Chinese borrowing costs low but has limited direct effect on UK or US mortgage rates, which are driven mainly by domestic central bank decisions.
Savings: Investors holding China-focused funds or emerging market bond funds may see returns move on the back of this data, as weak inflation often accompanies lower Chinese bond yields.
Jobs and wages: Persistently weak Chinese demand can affect global manufacturers and exporters who sell into China, including firms in Germany, South Korea and Japan, with potential knock-on effects for employment in those supply chains.
Prices: Weak Chinese consumer prices can translate into cheaper Chinese-made goods reaching shelves in Europe and North America, which can help keep imported inflation lower for households abroad.
Investments and pensions and currencies: The yuan, and by extension currencies with close trade links to China such as the Australian dollar, can react to surprises in this data. Pension funds with China or broader Asia exposure may see portfolio values shift on the day of release.

Related events

Previous release: China CPI, October 2026 data
China’s Producer Price Index (PPI), usually released alongside CPI, which tracks prices charged by factories and gives an earlier read on industrial demand
People’s Bank of China policy announcements, which respond in part to the inflation trend shown in this series

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the China CPI released?
The NBS publishes the report at 9:30 am China Standard Time, which is 8:30 pm ET the previous evening and 1:30 am in London.
How do I read the China CPI figure?
Look at the year-on-year headline number for the broad trend, then check the core reading, which excludes food and energy, for a steadier gauge of underlying demand.
How does China’s CPI affect interest rates?
Weak or negative readings tend to support the case for the People’s Bank of China to keep monetary policy loose, while stronger readings reduce pressure for further stimulus.
Where can I find the official release?
The data is published on the National Bureau of Statistics of China website.
When is the next China CPI release?
The following month’s report, covering November 2026 data, is typically published in the second week of December 2026, following the NBS’s usual monthly schedule.
← Previous China CPI

Is the Stock Market Open on Diwali Balipratipada 2026? NSE India Hours
2026-11-10 00:00 - 23:59 (America/New_York)
NSE India are closed on Tuesday, November 10, 2026 for Diwali Balipratipada.

Next holiday
Prakash Gurpurb Sri Guru Nanak Dev, November 24, 2026
Regular hours
9:15 am to 3:30 pm IST

Full schedule and background: NSE India Holidays.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous NSE India Holidays
The National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) is closed on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, for Diwali Balipratipada. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) follows the same holiday calendar, so no equity, derivatives or currency trading takes place in Mumbai that day. Orders placed while the market is shut will queue and be processed when trading resumes on the next open session. Full schedule and background: NSE India holiday calendar.
Which markets are closed on Diwali Balipratipada 2026?

Market
Status
Notes

NSE (equities, F&O)
Closed
All segments, per the official NSE holiday calendar

BSE (equities)
Closed
Follows the same holiday schedule as the NSE

NSE currency and commodity derivatives
Closed
No trading in any NSE segment

London Stock Exchange (LSE)
Open (regular hours)
Does not observe Indian holidays

Euronext
Open (regular hours)
Does not observe Indian holidays

Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE)
Open (regular hours)
Does not observe Indian holidays

New York Stock Exchange / Nasdaq
Open (regular hours)
Does not observe Indian holidays

Is the market open the day before and after?
The NSE and BSE trade at their usual hours, 9:15 am to 3:30 pm IST, on the trading sessions immediately before and after November 10, 2026, with no early close scheduled around this holiday. Some brokers may hold a short Muhurat trading session around the Diwali Laxmi Pujan festival, which typically falls close to Balipratipada, but timings for any such session are announced separately by the NSE and are not part of the regular trading calendar. The next scheduled NSE closure after this one is Prakash Gurpurb Sri Guru Nanak Dev on November 24, 2026.
Why do markets close for Diwali Balipratipada?
Balipratipada, also called Govardhan Puja in some regions, falls on the day after Diwali Laxmi Pujan and marks the start of the new Vikram Samvat year in much of India. Indian exchanges have observed it as a non-trading day for decades, alongside other major religious and national festivals, reflecting the cultural weight the Diwali period carries across the country’s business and financial community.
Unlike most Western exchanges, which close mainly for secular public holidays, the NSE and BSE calendars are built around a mix of national days and Hindu, Islamic, Sikh, Buddhist, Christian and Parsi festivals, which is why the Indian holiday list looks different from that of the NYSE or the LSE.
What It Means for Your Money
If you hold Indian shares or mutual funds through an international broker, any buy or sell order entered on November 10 will simply wait in the queue and execute at the next session’s opening price rather than at a price fixed on the holiday itself. Settlement of Indian equity trades typically follows a T+1 cycle, so trades from the last session before the holiday will settle one business day later than usual because the exchange is shut. Dividend record dates and options expiry dates that would otherwise fall on November 10 are pushed to the next trading day by the exchange. Bank transfers and payroll runs in India are generally handled by the banking system rather than the stock exchange, so a stock market holiday does not automatically mean banks are closed, though many banks also treat Balipratipada as a holiday in states where it is locally observed. Cryptocurrency markets are unaffected, since they trade continuously, seven days a week.
Remaining NSE India holidays in 2026

Prakash Gurpurb Sri Guru Nanak Dev, November 24, 2026 (closed)
Christmas, December 25, 2026 (closed)

Frequently Asked Questions
Is the stock market open on Diwali Balipratipada 2026?
No, the NSE and BSE are both closed on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, for Diwali Balipratipada.
Is the bond market open on Diwali Balipratipada?
Indian government bond trading on NSE and BSE platforms is closed alongside the equity market on this holiday.
What time does the NSE close on the day before Diwali Balipratipada?
The NSE trades its normal hours, 9:15 am to 3:30 pm IST, on the session before the holiday, with no early close scheduled.
When is the next NSE India market holiday after Diwali Balipratipada?
The next scheduled closure is Prakash Gurpurb Sri Guru Nanak Dev on November 24, 2026.
Are banks open on Diwali Balipratipada in India?
Bank holidays in India vary by state, and many banks also close on Balipratipada, so it is worth checking with your specific branch or state holiday list.
← Previous NSE India Holidays

US CPI Report November 2026
2026-11-10 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US CPI Report: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers October 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US CPI Report.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US CPI ReportNext US CPI Report →
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for October 2026 on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report will provide the latest reading on US consumer inflation, coming approximately one month before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) delivers its final rate decision of the year on December 9, 2026.

At a Glance

Release date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET
Publishing body: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
Reference month: October 2026
Most recent reading: 3.8% YoY (April 2026)
Market impact: High

What is the Consumer Price Index?
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) is the most widely followed measure of inflation in the United States. Published monthly by the BLS, it tracks changes in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services covering approximately 93% of the US population. The basket includes categories such as housing, food, transport, energy, medical care, apparel, and recreation, with housing carrying the largest weighting at around 32%.
The BLS collects price data from tens of thousands of retail and service establishments. The resulting index is expressed as the year-over-year (YoY) rate and the month-over-month (MoM) change. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, is watched closely by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) as a measure of underlying inflation trends.
CPI is released roughly 12 to 13 days after the reference month ends. The November 2026 release covers price changes in October 2026.
US CPI Release: November 10, 2026
The November 10 release will cover October 2026 price data and will arrive in the context of the year’s full inflation trajectory. Starting the year at 2.4% year-over-year in January, US inflation rose sharply to 3.3% in March and reached 3.8% in April, driven by an oil price shock linked to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, according to BLS data. By November, markets will have three consecutive post-summer readings to assess whether the energy-driven inflation surge has proved durable or transitory.
The November 10 release will also be closely watched by Fed policymakers preparing for the December FOMC meeting. A meaningful further decline towards the Fed’s 2% target would greatly strengthen the case for a December rate cut. Consensus forecasts will be available closer to the release date.
Why This CPI Release Matters
The November CPI is one of two key inflation readings before the final FOMC meeting of 2026. The other is the December CPI on December 10. For markets trying to predict whether 2026 will end with an easing of monetary policy, the November reading will be among the most closely watched pieces of data on the calendar.
US inflation surged in the first half of 2026 as an oil price shock pushed energy costs sharply higher, adding approximately 17.9 percentage points to the April YoY figure through energy alone. The key question by November 2026 is whether those base effects are wearing off, whether the energy shock has reversed, and whether underlying inflation in services and shelter has decoupled from the headline volatility.
For equity markets, a clear downward trajectory in inflation by Q4 2026 would reduce the risk premium embedded in stocks and support growth sector re-ratings. For bond investors, a sub-3% reading would bring the Fed closer to cutting, flattening the yield curve and benefiting long-duration holdings. The US dollar would typically weaken on softer inflation as rate differentials narrow.
What to Watch For

Above consensus: A reading still above 3.5% by October would signal that inflation is proving difficult to tame and would reduce expectations of a December rate cut to near zero, pushing yields higher and pressuring growth equities.
In line with consensus: A reading broadly matching expectations (likely in the 2.5-3.5% range depending on the trend by then) would be absorbed without major dislocation, with attention shifting to the December 9 FOMC meeting and the forward guidance from Fed Chair statements.
Below consensus: A reading below 2.5% would be a significant positive surprise given the year’s inflationary trajectory and would sharply increase the probability of a December rate cut. Equities and bonds would both rally; the US dollar would soften.

Energy base effects will be crucial in determining the November reading. If crude oil prices have fallen from their 2026 highs, the year-over-year comparison will become mechanically easier in the autumn months. Core inflation, particularly in shelter and services, will reveal whether the price shock has had lasting structural effects.
Historical Context

Month
YoY
MoM
Core YoY

April 2026
3.8%
+0.6%
2.8%

March 2026
3.3%
+0.9%
2.6%

February 2026
2.4%
+0.2%
—

January 2026
2.4%
—
—

December 2025
2.7%
—
—

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. October and November 2025 data were not published due to the US government shutdown. MoM and core figures not available for all periods shown.
Market Positioning
By November 2026, the debate in markets will have shifted from whether inflation rose to whether it has fallen enough for the Fed to act. The cumulative Q3 and early Q4 CPI prints will determine whether the December FOMC meeting is a live event for a rate cut or a foregone hold. Positioning in rate futures, Treasury yields, and equity sector weights will all reflect this calculus in the weeks running up to the November 10 release.
The Bank of England meets on November 5 to deliver its rate decision, providing a useful comparison for how major central banks are navigating the global inflation environment as year-end approaches.
Related Events

US CPI Report October 2026 – The preceding monthly release covering September 2026 data.
FOMC Rate Decision December 2026 – The Fed’s final rate decision of 2026, on December 9, for which this CPI reading is a key input.
Bank of England MPC Rate Decision November 2026 – The BoE policy decision on November 5, providing a global monetary policy comparison.

Frequently Asked Questions
What does the CPI measure?
The CPI measures the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed basket of goods and services, including housing, food, transport, energy, and medical care. Published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, it is the primary measure of consumer price inflation in the United States.
When is the November 2026 CPI report released?
The November 2026 CPI report will be released on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers price changes during October 2026.
Why is the November CPI important for the December FOMC meeting?
The November 10 release falls approximately one month before the FOMC’s final meeting of the year on December 9. It will be one of two remaining CPI prints before that decision and will significantly influence whether the Fed cuts, holds, or raises rates to close out 2026. A benign reading would increase the probability of a year-end cut.

Cisco (CSCO) Earnings Q4 2026
2026-11-10 16:05 - 17:05 (America/New_York)
Next CSCO Quarterly Earnings: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 4:05 pm ET (9:05 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Non-GAAP EPS $1.22 vs $1.17 expected, revenue $17.25bn (Q4 FY2026, Aug 12, 2026)
Actual
Pending

Updated September 2, 2026

Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, with the earnings release expected around 4:05pm ET (9:05pm London). Cisco’s investor relations team publishes the exact date and conference call details a few weeks in advance, so the schedule below should be treated as indicative until Cisco confirms it. Full background on Cisco’s reporting calendar and past quarters can be found on the hub page for Cisco earnings dates.
Cisco is the world’s largest maker of networking hardware, selling routers, switches, wireless equipment, security software and, increasingly, artificial intelligence (AI) data centre infrastructure to businesses, telecoms operators and governments. Because its equipment sits inside the internet’s plumbing and inside most large companies’ data centres, its results are widely watched as a barometer of corporate technology spending and, more recently, of the pace of AI infrastructure build-out by big cloud computing firms known as hyperscalers.
What is Cisco’s quarterly earnings report?
Every quarter, Cisco publishes a results statement covering revenue, profit, gross margin and forward guidance for the following quarter and, once a year, the full fiscal year ahead. Cisco’s fiscal year runs to the end of July, so a report released in November typically covers the company’s fiscal first quarter, the three months to around late October. Chief executive Chuck Robbins and chief financial officer Mark Patterson host a conference call with analysts shortly after the numbers are released, taking questions on order trends, AI-related demand and competitive pressure from rivals such as Arista Networks and Juniper Networks (owned by HPE).
When is Cisco’s earnings report and how to follow it
The release is expected after the US market closes, around 4:05pm ET (9:05pm London time), followed by a conference call roughly 30 minutes later. Cisco streams the call live and posts a replay on its investor relations website, which also carries the press release, the slide deck and the reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP figures. As the date has not yet been formally confirmed by Cisco, readers should note that the company generally reports its fiscal first-quarter results in mid-November, a pattern that has held for several years.
What to expect
A consensus forecast for this specific report has not yet been published, since Wall Street analysts typically update their estimates only a few weeks before the release date. However, Cisco’s own guidance, issued alongside its fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results on August 12, 2026, gives an early indication of what the company itself expects. Cisco guided for fiscal first-quarter 2027 revenue of $18.0 billion to $18.2 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS, profit divided by the number of shares in issue) of $1.32 to $1.34, according to the company’s official results release. Analysts will be watching whether AI-related orders, which totalled $9.3 billion for fiscal 2026, keep accelerating, and whether the core networking segment, switches, routers and wireless gear, sustains the growth seen in the prior quarter.

Quarter
Revenue
Non-GAAP EPS
vs estimate

Q4 FY2026 (reported Aug 12, 2026)
$17.25 billion
$1.22
Beat ($16.82bn / $1.17 expected)

Cisco has not yet published fiscal first-quarter 2027 results, so only the most recently reported quarter is shown above with verified consensus figures.
Cisco’s stock has been particularly sensitive to AI infrastructure headlines in 2026. The company’s fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results showed AI-related orders reaching $4.0 billion in a single quarter, bringing the full fiscal year total to $9.3 billion, according to Cisco’s own disclosures. Management has pointed to a partnership with Supermicro, announced around the fourth-quarter results, to integrate liquid-cooled GPU systems into Cisco’s Secure AI Factory offering, a sign of how central AI data centre spending has become to the company’s growth story. Investors in the November report will likely press management on whether this order momentum is holding up, and whether hyperscaler capital spending plans for 2027 remain intact.
What the outcome could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Beat on revenue and EPS, guidance raised
Shares could rise if AI order growth continues to accelerate, though gains are not guaranteed even on a beat
Cisco is selling more equipment and making more profit per share than analysts expected, and expects the trend to continue

In line with guidance
Muted reaction, focus shifts to commentary on AI infrastructure demand and enterprise IT budgets
Cisco performed broadly as it said it would, with no major surprise either way

Miss or guidance cut
Shares could fall, particularly if hyperscaler AI spending commentary disappoints
Demand for Cisco’s networking or AI infrastructure products is weaker than the company itself had signalled

What It Means for Your Money
Cisco is a large component of major US indices including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, so its results feed into the value of pension funds, workplace pensions and index-tracking funds held by millions of savers in the UK, Europe and beyond, even for people who have never bought a Cisco share directly. A strong report tends to lift sentiment across the wider technology and AI infrastructure sector, including chipmakers and data centre suppliers; a weak one can drag on those same names. Because Cisco’s customers include telecoms firms and large enterprises worldwide, its order trends offer an early signal on corporate technology budgets, which can hint at future hiring and capital spending decisions. Currency moves are a secondary factor: Cisco earns a meaningful share of revenue outside the US, so a stronger dollar against the pound or euro can dent reported growth when translated back into dollars, while a weaker dollar can flatter it.
Related events

US Nonfarm Payrolls report, released monthly and closely watched alongside big-tech earnings for signs of economic strength
Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, which influence technology stock valuations broadly
Earnings from networking and AI infrastructure peers such as Arista Networks and Hewlett Packard Enterprise

Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Cisco report earnings?
Cisco is expected to release results after market close, around 4:05pm ET (9:05pm London time), with a conference call to follow.
Is the November 10, 2026 date confirmed?
No, Cisco has not yet formally confirmed the date. The company typically reports fiscal first-quarter results in mid-November.
What was Cisco’s most recent EPS result?
In its fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results, released August 12, 2026, Cisco reported non-GAAP EPS of $1.22, beating the $1.17 consensus estimate, according to Cisco’s own results release.
What guidance has Cisco already given for this quarter?
Cisco guided for fiscal first-quarter 2027 revenue of $18.0 billion to $18.2 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $1.32 to $1.34, as stated in its August 2026 earnings release.
Where can I watch the earnings call live?
Cisco streams its earnings conference call and posts a replay on its investor relations website.

Is the Stock Market Open on Veterans Day 2026? Bond Market Hours
2026-11-11 00:00 - 23:59 (America/New_York)
US Bond Market (SIFMA) are closed on Wednesday, November 11, 2026 for Veterans Day.

Next holiday
Thanksgiving Day, November 26, 2026
Regular hours
8:00 am to 5:00 pm ET (SIFMA recommended)

Full schedule and background: Bond Market Holidays.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous Bond Market Holidays
The US bond market is closed on Wednesday, November 11, 2026 for Veterans Day, following the schedule recommended by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA), the trade group that coordinates fixed income trading hours across dealers. The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, however, are not closed: equities trade their regular 9:30 am to 4:00 pm ET session as normal. Any bond orders queued for Veterans Day will move to the next SIFMA business day, and settlement of bond trades placed the day before will be pushed back by one business day. For the full year-round list of closures, see the bond market holiday calendar.
Which markets are closed on Veterans Day 2026?

Market
Status
Notes

US Treasury and bond market (SIFMA)
Closed
SIFMA recommends a full close for Veterans Day, observed by most dealers

NYSE / Nasdaq equities
Open (regular hours)
9:30 am to 4:00 pm ET, no early close

US equity options
Open (regular hours)
Follows the equity market schedule

CME futures (interest rate products)
Reduced or closed for some products
Check individual CME product calendars, as fixed income futures often follow SIFMA

London Stock Exchange (LSE)
Open (regular hours)
Veterans Day is not observed in the UK

Euronext
Open (regular hours)
Not a European holiday

Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE)
Open (regular hours)
Not a Japanese holiday

Is the market open the day before and after?
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 is a full, regular trading day for both stocks and bonds. Thursday, November 12, 2026 returns to a normal SIFMA session with standard 8:00 am to 5:00 pm ET recommended hours. There is no early close scheduled around Veterans Day; the bond market simply closes for the full day and reopens as usual the next business day. Equity investors will notice nothing unusual at all, since the stock exchanges never close for this holiday.
Why do markets close for Veterans Day?
Veterans Day, observed annually on November 11, honours those who have served in the US armed forces and marks the anniversary of the armistice that ended fighting in the First World War in 1918. It is a federal holiday, which is why banks and government bond markets close, but it has never been formally adopted as a full stock exchange holiday by the NYSE or Nasdaq, unlike Independence Day or Thanksgiving.
What It Means for Your Money
If you hold Treasury bonds, municipal bonds or corporate bonds and try to trade on Veterans Day, most brokers will not process the order until the bond market reopens on November 12, and settlement (the point at which cash and securities actually change hands, usually one business day after the trade under T+1 rules) will be pushed back accordingly. Bank branches and the Federal Reserve typically observe the federal holiday too, so wire transfers and some payroll processing through the banking system may be delayed by a day. Stock and options trading, mortgage rate quotes tied to daily bond yields, and pension fund valuations that depend on bond pricing may all see thinner activity, since the reference bond market is shut even though equities keep trading. Cryptocurrency markets are unaffected, as they trade 24 hours a day, seven days a week, regardless of any holiday calendar.
Remaining Bond Market holidays in 2026

Thanksgiving Day, closed: November 26, 2026
Day After Thanksgiving, early close (2:00 pm ET): November 27, 2026
Christmas Eve, early close (2:00 pm ET): December 24, 2026
Christmas Day, closed: December 25, 2026
New Year’s Eve, early close (2:00 pm ET): December 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions
Is the stock market open on Veterans Day 2026?
Yes. The NYSE and Nasdaq trade their normal 9:30 am to 4:00 pm ET hours on November 11, 2026, since Veterans Day is not an official stock exchange holiday.
Is the bond market open on Veterans Day 2026?
No. The US bond market is closed for the full day, following the schedule recommended by SIFMA.
What time does the bond market close the day before Veterans Day?
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 is a normal full trading day, with SIFMA’s recommended 8:00 am to 5:00 pm ET hours and no early close.
When is the next market holiday after Veterans Day 2026?
The next scheduled closure is Thanksgiving Day on November 26, 2026, when both stocks and bonds are closed.
Are banks open on Veterans Day 2026?
Most US banks and the Federal Reserve observe Veterans Day as a federal holiday, so many branches are closed or operate on limited hours, even though the stock market stays open.
← Previous Bond Market Holidays

Walt Disney (DIS) Earnings Q4 2026
2026-11-11 16:05 - 17:05 (America/New_York)
Next DIS Quarterly Earnings: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 4:05 pm ET (9:05 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Q3 FY26 adjusted EPS $2.06, up from $1.61 (reported August 2026)
Actual
Pending

Updated September 2, 2026

The Walt Disney Company reports its fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 earnings on Wednesday, November 11, 2026, with results due after the market closes at 4:05 pm ET (9:05 pm London). Disney’s own investor relations team has not yet published a confirmed date for this release, so the schedule above follows the company’s usual pattern of reporting fiscal Q4 results in the second week of November. Full schedule and background: Disney (DIS) earnings dates.
Markets watch this release closely because Disney sits across several sectors at once: media, streaming, theme parks and consumer products. A single earnings call can move sentiment on cinema chains, cruise operators, sports broadcasting rights and the wider streaming industry, not just Disney’s own share price.
What is the Disney Q4 2026 earnings report?
This is Disney’s quarterly results announcement, covering the three months to roughly the end of September 2026 (Disney’s fiscal year runs from October to September, so this is fiscal Q4 and marks the close of fiscal year 2026). The release includes revenue, earnings per share (EPS, the profit allocated to each share of stock), and segment-level detail across three main divisions: Entertainment, Sports (which includes ESPN) and Experiences (theme parks, resorts, cruises and consumer products).
Chief executive Robert A. Iger and chief financial officer Hugh Johnston typically host a call with analysts shortly after the release, taking questions on streaming subscriber growth, theme park attendance, film box office performance and capital spending plans. Wall Street analysts covering the stock, along with large institutional shareholders, use this data to update their models and price targets.
When is the Disney Q4 2026 earnings report and how to follow it
The written release is expected around 4:05 pm ET (9:05 pm London time) on November 11, 2026, published on Disney’s investor relations website. A live audio webcast of the earnings call, usually starting around 4:30 pm ET, is also hosted there, with a replay available afterwards. As this date has not been formally confirmed by Disney, readers should check the investor relations page in the days beforehand in case the company moves the date by a day or two, which does happen occasionally.
Financial news wires including Reuters and Bloomberg typically carry headline figures within minutes of the release, and business channels such as CNBC often air live analysis during the call itself.
What to expect
A consensus forecast for Disney’s fiscal Q4 2026 revenue and adjusted EPS has not yet been published this far ahead of the release; analyst estimates typically firm up in the two to three weeks before the report. Once available, they are usually compiled by data providers such as LSEG (formerly Refinitiv) or Visible Alpha and reported by outlets including Reuters and CNBC.
Investors will be focused on several themes carried over from recent quarters. Disney’s most recent published results, for fiscal Q3 2026 (reported in August 2026), showed adjusted EPS of $2.06, up from $1.61 a year earlier, with total segment operating income rising 21% to $5.6 billion, according to Disney’s own earnings release. Management said at the time it was targeting at least $9 billion in share buybacks for fiscal 2026 and reaffirmed guidance for double-digit adjusted EPS growth in fiscal years 2026 and 2027, according to Disney’s third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings statement.
For the fourth-quarter report, analysts are likely to focus on:

Streaming profitability: whether Disney+ and Hulu’s combined direct-to-consumer operating margin continues moving toward the double-digit target management has previously guided towards.
Theme park attendance and spending: domestic and international park revenue trends heading into the crucial holiday booking period.
ESPN and sports rights costs: the financial impact of NBA and college sports programming commitments, and progress on ESPN’s standalone streaming app.
Box office performance: how recent theatrical releases have performed against internal expectations, given some franchise films have underperformed forecasts in prior quarters.
Fiscal 2027 guidance: any update to Disney’s medium-term earnings growth outlook, which the company has previously described in terms of double-digit adjusted EPS growth.

A verified table of the last four quarters of revenue and EPS against analyst estimates is not included here, because complete figures for each of the most recent quarters could not be confirmed against Disney’s own investor relations disclosures at the time of writing. Readers wanting the full quarterly history should consult Disney’s investor relations site directly.
What the outcome could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Beat on EPS and revenue, streaming margins improve
Shares likely to rise, media and entertainment peers may follow
Disney’s turnaround in streaming and parks spending is gaining momentum, supporting confidence in the wider sector

Results broadly in line with prior guidance
Muted share reaction, focus shifts to forward guidance and buyback pace
Business is performing as expected, so attention moves to what management says about the year ahead

Miss on revenue or weaker streaming subscriber growth
Shares likely to fall, questions raised about park spending and content costs
Growth in a key part of the business is slowing, which could pressure the stock and weigh on sentiment toward other legacy media companies

What It Means for Your Money
Disney is a component of major indices such as the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, so its shares are held, often without people realising it, inside workplace pensions, ISAs and index tracker funds across the UK, Europe and beyond. A sharp move in Disney’s share price on earnings day will have a small but real effect on the value of these diversified funds, even for investors who have never bought Disney stock directly.
For consumers, the numbers matter too. Theme park pricing, streaming subscription costs and cable bundle fees are all shaped by how well these segments are performing financially. If Disney reports weaker-than-expected park attendance or streaming growth, it can signal caution about consumer spending more broadly, which is relevant to household budgets well beyond America, including UK and European holidaymakers who visit Disney’s parks or subscribe to Disney+.
Currency movements also play a role. As a US dollar-denominated stock, Disney’s reported results can be affected by the strength or weakness of the dollar against the pound, euro and other currencies, particularly for its international parks and streaming revenue. A stronger dollar can make Disney’s overseas earnings translate into fewer dollars on paper, even if underlying local demand is healthy.
Related events

Disney fiscal Q1 2027 earnings (expected February 2027)
Netflix and Comcast quarterly earnings, for comparison across the streaming and media sector
US non-farm payrolls report, for the wider health of American consumer spending that underpins theme park and streaming demand

Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Disney report Q4 2026 earnings?
The release is expected around 4:05 pm ET (9:05 pm London time) on November 11, 2026, though Disney has not formally confirmed this date.
Where can I watch the Disney earnings call live?
Disney typically hosts a live audio webcast on its investor relations website, with a replay available shortly afterwards.
What was Disney’s most recent quarterly result?
In its fiscal Q3 2026 report, published in August 2026, Disney posted adjusted EPS of $2.06, up from $1.61 a year earlier, according to the company’s earnings release.
Is there a consensus forecast for Disney’s Q4 2026 earnings?
Not yet. Analyst consensus figures for revenue and EPS typically become widely available in the two to three weeks before the release, compiled by data providers and reported by financial news outlets.
Why does Disney’s earnings report matter beyond its own shareholders?
Disney’s results are watched as a bellwether for consumer discretionary spending, theme park demand and the streaming industry, and the stock’s movement affects pension funds and index trackers that hold it as part of broad market benchmarks.

UK GDP November 2026
2026-11-12 02:00 - 03:00 (America/New_York)
Next UK GDP: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 7:00 am GMT (2:00 am ET, 7:00 am London). Covers Q3 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
0.4% QoQ (Q2 2026, published August 13, 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: UK GDP.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous UK GDP
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes its first estimate of UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter of 2026 on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 7:00am London time (2:00am ET). The release covers economic output for July, August and September 2026 and is typically published alongside the monthly GDP estimate for September. Full background and the release schedule are available on the UK GDP hub page.
This is one of the most closely watched UK data points because it tells investors, the Bank of England and the government whether the economy grew, stagnated or shrank in the summer months, feeding directly into interest rate decisions and political debate about living standards.
What is GDP and why does it matter?
Gross Domestic Product measures the total value of all goods and services produced in the UK over a given period. The ONS builds it from three angles, output (what industries produce), expenditure (what is spent by households, businesses and government) and income (wages, profits and taxes), which should in theory all arrive at the same total.
The headline figure that moves markets is the quarter-on-quarter percentage change in real GDP, meaning growth after stripping out the effect of inflation. A positive number signals expansion, a negative number for two consecutive quarters is commonly, though informally, described as a recession.
Markets watch GDP closely because it is the single broadest gauge of economic health. The Bank of England uses it, alongside inflation and wage data, to judge whether the economy has spare capacity or is running too hot, which in turn shapes decisions on interest rates that affect mortgages, savings and business borrowing across the UK. It is also watched in Brussels, Frankfurt and Tokyo as one signal of demand for exports from the eurozone and Asia into the UK market.
When is the Q3 2026 GDP report released?
The ONS publishes the first quarterly estimate of Q3 2026 GDP, together with the monthly GDP estimate for September 2026, on November 12, 2026 at 7:00am UK time (2:00am ET). The data is released on the ONS release calendar and in the GDP first quarterly estimate bulletin on the ons.gov.uk website. This date follows the ONS’s standard pattern of publishing the first quarterly estimate roughly six weeks after the end of the reference quarter.
What is the consensus forecast?
As this release is still some way ahead, a consensus forecast for Q3 2026 GDP has not yet been published by data providers such as Reuters or Bloomberg. Forecasts typically firm up in the days immediately before release, once monthly GDP prints for July, August and September have been published individually.
The most recent confirmed reading is the first quarterly estimate for Q2 2026 (April to June), published by the ONS on August 13, 2026, which showed real GDP grew by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, in line with the median forecast in a Reuters poll, following growth of 0.6% in Q1 2026. Nominal GDP rose by 0.8% in Q2 2026 and stood 4.1% higher than the same quarter a year earlier, according to the ONS bulletin.

Measure
Prior (Q2 2026)
Consensus (Q3 2026)

Quarterly GDP (QoQ)
0.4%
Not yet published

Nominal GDP (QoQ)
0.8%
Not yet published

GDP year-on-year (nominal)
4.1%
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Sterling could firm and gilt yields could rise if traders judge the Bank of England has less room to cut interest rates, according to analysts who track rate-setter commentary
The economy grew faster than expected, which is generally good news for jobs and business confidence, though it can also mean borrowing costs stay higher for longer

In line with consensus
A muted reaction is likely, since the print largely confirms what was already priced into markets by economists surveyed ahead of the release
The economy is behaving broadly as expected, so there is unlikely to be a big shift in mortgage rates or the pound on the day

Below consensus
Sterling could weaken and traders may increase bets on earlier Bank of England rate cuts, based on typical market reactions to weak growth surprises
Growth undershooting expectations often points to weaker hiring and spending, which can ease pressure on prices but also signals a softer labour market

Why does this release matter right now?
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee weighs GDP growth against inflation and wage data when deciding on interest rates, so a Q3 2026 outturn that surprises in either direction could shift market expectations for the Bank’s next move. Growth slowed slightly in the first half of 2026, from 0.6% in Q1 to 0.4% in Q2, according to ONS estimates, and commentators will be watching whether that gentle cooling continued into the summer or whether momentum picked back up.
The report also lands against a backdrop of ongoing debate about UK productivity, household spending power and the fiscal position ahead of any autumn budget measures, all of which tend to be discussed in relation to whatever the latest GDP figure shows.
What It Means for Your Money
Mortgages and borrowing: Stronger than expected growth can reduce the chance of near-term Bank of England interest rate cuts, which may keep mortgage and loan rates higher for longer. Weaker growth can increase the odds of cuts, which could eventually feed through to cheaper borrowing.
Savings: Savings account and cash ISA rates tend to track the Bank of England’s base rate, so a weak GDP print that raises the chance of a rate cut could mean lower returns on cash savings over time, while a strong print could support current rates for longer.
Jobs and wages: GDP growth and employment tend to move together over time. A run of weak GDP figures can be an early sign of slower hiring or wage growth, particularly in sectors sensitive to consumer spending such as retail and hospitality.
Prices: GDP does not directly set prices, but very weak growth combined with falling demand can help cool inflation, while strong growth in an economy already near capacity can add to price pressures.
Investments, pensions and currencies: UK shares, gilts and the pound can all move on the day of release. A weaker pound following soft GDP data can make imports and overseas holidays more expensive for UK households, while making UK exports more competitive for buyers in Europe, Asia and the US. Pension savers with UK-focused funds may see short-term movements in their portfolio values around the release.
Related events

The previous UK GDP release: UK GDP October 2026
The Bank of England’s next Monetary Policy Committee decision, which weighs this GDP data alongside inflation and labour market figures
The UK monthly labour market and average earnings release, published separately by the ONS

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the UK GDP report released?
The ONS publishes the release at 7:00am UK time on November 12, 2026, which is 2:00am ET in the United States.
How should I read the headline GDP number?
Focus on the quarter-on-quarter percentage change in real GDP: a positive figure means the economy grew after adjusting for inflation, a negative figure means it shrank.
How does GDP data affect UK interest rates?
The Bank of England factors GDP growth into its decisions on interest rates, so a much stronger or weaker than expected reading can shift market expectations for future rate moves, which in turn affects mortgage and savings rates.
Where can I find the official GDP release?
The ONS publishes the full bulletin and underlying data tables on the ONS release calendar and on ons.gov.uk under the GDP first quarterly estimate series.
When is the next UK GDP release after this one?
The ONS typically publishes monthly GDP estimates around six weeks after each reference month, with the next full quarterly estimate for Q4 2026 expected in February 2027, subject to confirmation on the ONS release calendar.
← Previous UK GDP

US Initial Jobless Claims: November 12, 2026
2026-11-12 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Around 203,000 to 206,000 (recent 2026 weekly readings)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
The US Department of Labor releases its weekly Initial Jobless Claims report on Thursday, November 12, 2026, at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). This report covers the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits in the week ending November 7, 2026. It is one of the most timely gauges of the US labour market and is watched closely by the Federal Reserve, bond traders and currency desks around the world. Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the week ending November 7, 2026 has not yet been published, as weekly claims forecasts are typically released only a day or two before the report by economists surveyed by Reuters and Bloomberg. Through the summer of 2026, weekly initial claims have generally run in the low-to-mid 200,000s. Claims fell to 206,000 for the week reported in August 2026, according to Yahoo Finance, while continuing claims, the number of people still receiving benefits after their first week, rose to 1,799,000 for the week ending August 8, 2026. Investing.com’s economic calendar showed initial claims at 203,000 against a forecast of 208,000 for the release covering late August 2026.

Measure
Prior
Consensus

Initial claims
Around 203,000 to 206,000 in recent weeks (2026)
Not yet published

Continuing claims
Approximately 1,799,000 (week ending August 8, 2026)
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Above consensus
Bond yields may fall, equities could wobble
More layoffs than expected, a sign the labour market is softening faster than thought

In line with consensus
Muted market reaction
The labour market is behaving broadly as expected, no major shift in Fed thinking

Below consensus
Yields may rise, dollar could firm
Fewer layoffs than expected, a sign of continued labour market resilience

Why it matters this week
Weekly claims data has taken on extra importance in 2026 because other labour market indicators, including the monthly jobs report, have at times been delayed or revised due to government data collection issues and staffing changes. According to Trading Economics, claims data through the summer showed “some resilience” even as federal government job losses continued to filter through the figures. The Federal Reserve is watching these releases closely for early signs of whether the labour market is cooling gradually or more sharply, which feeds directly into decisions on interest rates.
A run of higher-than-expected claims in the weeks around this release would add to arguments for further rate cuts, while continued low claims would support the view that the economy remains on solid footing despite tighter monetary policy earlier in the cycle.
What It Means for Your Money
If claims come in higher than expected, it often signals a weaker jobs market, which can push down bond yields and, over time, mortgage rates in the US. It can also nudge the dollar lower against the pound and euro, making US holidays and goods cheaper for UK and European buyers but denting returns on dollar-based investments.
If claims are lower than expected, it points to a firmer jobs market. Savings rates and mortgage rates may stay higher for longer, and the dollar could strengthen, which matters for anyone holding US shares, pension funds with dollar exposure, or planning to travel to the United States.
For most people, a single week’s claims figure will not change household finances. It is the trend over several weeks that matters most for judging whether jobs, wages and, ultimately, interest rates are heading in a new direction.
Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the November 12, 2026 jobless claims report released?
It is released at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London) by the US Department of Labor.
What counts as a big miss versus consensus?
Economists generally treat a move of more than 15,000 to 20,000 claims away from the consensus estimate as notable, since weekly figures are volatile and often revised.
When is the next jobless claims report?
The following weekly release covers the week ending November 14, 2026 and is scheduled for Thursday, November 19, 2026.
← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims

US Existing Home Sales November 2026
2026-11-12 10:00 - 11:00 (America/New_York)
Next US Existing Home Sales: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). Covers October 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
4.05 million SAAR (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Existing Home Sales.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US Existing Home Sales
US Existing Home Sales for October 2026 is released on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The report covers resales of single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops that closed during October 2026. Full schedule and background: US Existing Home Sales.
What is existing home sales?
Existing home sales measures the number of previously owned homes that changed hands in a given month, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). That figure is not the actual number of homes sold in the month: it is what the annual total would be if the month’s pace were repeated for twelve months, adjusted to remove normal seasonal swings such as the usual summer buying rush.
The NAR compiles the data from closings recorded through Multiple Listing Services (MLS) across the country, then combines regional figures for the Northeast, Midwest, South and West into a national total. Because a sale closes weeks or months after a contract is signed, existing home sales lags the earlier Pending Home Sales Index, which tracks signed contracts rather than completed transactions.
Markets watch the series because housing is a large, interest-rate-sensitive part of the economy. Weak sales can signal that high mortgage rates are locking buyers out of the market, while a pickup can suggest affordability or rate relief is drawing buyers back in. Alongside the sales pace, the report also carries the median sale price and the months of housing inventory, both of which feed into judgements about supply, demand and price pressure in the property market.
When is the October existing home sales report released?
The NAR is scheduled to publish the October 2026 existing home sales report on Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time). The release is issued through the NAR newsroom and its research and statistics pages, alongside a short commentary from NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the October 2026 reading has not yet been published. Surveys of economists, such as those compiled by Reuters or Bloomberg ahead of the release, typically appear only in the days immediately before the report, so a specific October figure is not yet available.
The most recent confirmed reading comes from the July 2026 report, which showed existing home sales falling 1.7% month over month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.05 million units, with the median sale price at $434,100, up around 2% from a year earlier, according to Trading Economics’ summary of NAR data. NAR’s own housing snapshot showed June 2026 sales at 4.09 million units with a median price of $440,600, according to the NAR Existing-Home Sales Housing Snapshot. August and September 2026 figures will already be public by the time this November release lands, so readers should check the official NAR release for the most current prior print before the October data arrives.

Measure
Prior (July 2026)
Consensus (October 2026)

Sales pace (SAAR)
4.05 million
Not yet published

Median sale price
$434,100
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Could be read as a sign that buyers are adjusting to prevailing mortgage rates, potentially easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut rates quickly
More people managed to buy homes than expected, which could point to a steadier housing market

In line with consensus
Likely to have limited market impact on its own
The housing market is behaving broadly as expected, neither improving nor worsening sharply

Below consensus
Could reinforce concerns that high borrowing costs are still squeezing affordability, which some analysts argue supports the case for rate cuts
Fewer homes sold than expected, suggesting buyers are still finding it hard to afford a purchase

These are possible interpretations, not predictions. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun has previously noted that “home sales have been remarkably stable” even as mortgage rates stayed elevated through mid-2026, a comment made alongside the July report.
Why does this release matter right now?
Housing has been one of the more interest-rate-sensitive parts of the US economy through 2026, with the NAR reporting that sales activity swung between modest gains and declines from month to month as mortgage rates fluctuated. Inventory has also been a running theme: NAR data cited by Trading Economics showed total housing inventory at 1.54 million units in July 2026, down from earlier in the summer, which keeps upward pressure on prices even when sales volumes are soft.
The Federal Reserve does not target the housing market directly, but officials watch it as a signal of how tighter monetary policy is filtering through to households. A weak or weakening sales trend can be read as evidence that current interest rate levels are restraining activity, which factors into the broader debate over the pace of any future rate cuts. A steadier or improving trend, on the other hand, can support the case that the economy is coping reasonably well with existing borrowing costs.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and rates: A weak reading can add to expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, which over time can feed through to lower mortgage rates for US buyers and refinancers. A strong reading can have the opposite effect.
Savings: Interest rate expectations tied to housing data also affect savings account and certificate of deposit rates in the US, since banks adjust what they pay savers in line with the broader rate outlook.
Jobs and wages: Real estate agents, mortgage brokers, home builders and related trades depend on transaction volumes, so a sustained slowdown in sales can eventually show up in employment figures for those sectors.
Prices: Median sale price trends in this report offer a read on housing costs, which is one of the larger and stickier components of household budgets and of measures like core inflation.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Housing data can move Treasury yields and, in turn, the dollar, as traders reassess the odds of Fed rate moves. A softer dollar can make US assets marginally cheaper for UK, European and Asian investors, while a stronger dollar has the reverse effect. Pension funds with exposure to US housing-linked bonds or real estate investment trusts also track this data as part of their broader positioning.

Related events

Previous report: US Existing Home Sales, October 2026 preview
Full series background and schedule: US Existing Home Sales hub page
NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index, a leading indicator that typically moves ahead of existing home sales by a month or two

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the October 2026 existing home sales report released?
The NAR publishes the report at 10:00 am ET, which is 3:00 pm in London, on Thursday, November 12, 2026.
How should I read the existing home sales figure?
Look at the seasonally adjusted annual rate in millions of units, and compare it with the prior month’s figure and with the median sale price to judge whether both volume and prices are rising, falling or holding steady.
Does this report affect Federal Reserve interest rate decisions?
It is one of several housing indicators the Fed monitors as part of its broader assessment of how higher borrowing costs are affecting households, though it does not on its own dictate a rate decision.
Where can I find the official release?
The NAR publishes the report and an accompanying commentary from its research team on its official newsroom and research and statistics pages.
When is the next existing home sales report after this one?
NAR issues existing home sales data monthly, on or around the twentieth of each month, so the following report covering November 2026 data is expected roughly one month after this release.
← Previous US Existing Home Sales

Eurozone GDP Flash November 2026
2026-11-13 05:00 - 06:00 (America/New_York)
Next Eurozone GDP Flash: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 11:00 am CET (5:00 am ET, 10:00 am London). Covers Q3 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
+0.4% QoQ, +1.0% YoY (Q2 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Eurozone GDP Flash.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous Eurozone GDP Flash
The Eurozone GDP Flash for the third quarter of 2026 is released on Friday, November 13, 2026 at 11:00 am CET, which is 5:00 am ET and 10:00 am London time. The figure is published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, and covers economic output across the 20 countries that use the euro during the third quarter of 2026 (July to September). Full schedule and background: Eurozone GDP Flash.
What is the Eurozone GDP Flash?
Gross domestic product (GDP) measures the total value of goods and services produced in the euro area over a given period. The flash estimate is Eurostat’s earliest reading of that figure, published around 30 days after the end of the quarter, well before the fuller “GDP and employment” release that follows around two weeks later with more complete national data.
The headline number is the quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) percentage change in seasonally adjusted GDP, alongside a year-on-year (YoY) comparison against the same quarter of the previous year. Because the flash estimate draws on data from most, but not all, member states (typically 19 of the 20, covering around 96% of euro area output), it is provisional and subject to revision.
Markets watch this release closely because it is the first hard signal of how the currency bloc’s economy performed in a quarter, feeding directly into expectations for European Central Bank (ECB) policy, corporate earnings forecasts and currency markets. A stronger or weaker than expected number can move the euro, eurozone government bond yields and equity indices such as the Euro Stoxx 50 within minutes of publication.
When is the Q3 2026 GDP flash released?
Eurostat publishes the preliminary flash estimate for the third quarter of 2026 on November 13, 2026 at 11:00 am CET (5:00 am ET, 10:00 am London). The release appears on the Eurostat euro indicators release calendar and as a news release on the Eurostat website. This is the “t+30” flash estimate, meaning it lands around 30 days after the end of the reporting quarter. A second, more detailed “t+45” flash estimate typically follows roughly two weeks later, incorporating employment data and a wider set of member state figures.
What is the consensus forecast?
As this page is published ahead of the release, a consensus forecast from economists has not yet been widely circulated. Forecasts from banks and polling services such as Reuters typically firm up in the days immediately before publication, once national statistical offices (including those of Germany, France, Italy and Spain) have released their own preliminary GDP figures for the quarter.
The most recent published reading is the second quarter of 2026 flash estimate, in which euro area GDP rose by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year, according to Eurostat’s July 30, 2026 release. That followed a flat reading (0.0% QoQ) in the first quarter of 2026.

Measure
Prior (Q2 2026)
Consensus (Q3 2026)

Euro area GDP, QoQ
+0.4%
Not yet published

Euro area GDP, YoY
+1.0%
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Euro could firm and eurozone bond yields may rise as traders trim bets on further ECB rate cuts
The economy grew faster than expected, suggesting less need for the central bank to support activity with lower rates

In line with consensus
Muted reaction, markets stay focused on underlying detail such as which countries drove growth
The economy performed roughly as expected, so existing plans for mortgages, savings and investments are unlikely to need major rethinking

Below consensus
Euro could soften and traders may increase bets on ECB easing, according to money market pricing typically tracked by Reuters and Bloomberg
Growth was weaker than hoped, which could add pressure for lower borrowing costs to support the economy

These are possible reactions based on how markets have typically responded to past GDP surprises, not predictions of what will happen on November 13, 2026.
Why does this release matter right now?
Euro area growth has been uneven through 2025 and into 2026. Quarterly GDP growth peaked at 0.6% in the first quarter of 2025 before slowing sharply to 0.1% in the second quarter, according to Eurostat’s July 2025 flash release. It picked up modestly through the second half of 2025, then stalled entirely in the first quarter of 2026 before rebounding to 0.4% in the second quarter, per Eurostat’s April 2026 and July 2026 releases.
That volatility keeps the ECB’s Governing Council watching closely for signs of whether the recovery in the second quarter was a genuine turning point or a temporary bounce. Growth trends also feed into how banks and asset managers price government bonds from Germany, France and Italy, and into forecasts for corporate revenue across the region.
Recent Eurozone GDP readings

Quarter
QoQ change
YoY change

Q1 2025
+0.6%
1.4%

Q2 2025
+0.1%
1.4%

Q3 2025
+0.2%
1.3%

Q4 2025
+0.2%
1.3%

Q1 2026
0.0%
0.8%

Q2 2026
+0.4%
1.0%

Figures are flash estimates as originally published by Eurostat and may have been revised subsequently.
What It Means for Your Money
Mortgages and borrowing costs: Eurozone growth surprises influence expectations for ECB interest rate decisions, which feed through to mortgage rates across the currency bloc, particularly in countries with variable-rate lending such as Spain and Portugal.
Savings: If weak growth pushes the ECB toward further rate cuts, savings account and fixed-term deposit rates across the eurozone could drift lower over time. Stronger growth reduces the case for cuts, which tends to support savings returns.
Jobs and wages: GDP growth and employment tend to move together. Sustained weak growth raises the risk of slower hiring or job losses in export-heavy sectors such as German manufacturing, while stronger growth supports wage negotiations.
Investments and pensions: European equity markets, including funds commonly held in UK and international pension portfolios, often react to GDP surprises, since company earnings depend heavily on domestic and regional demand.
Currencies: A stronger than expected reading tends to support the euro against the dollar and the pound, affecting the cost of European holidays, imports and cross-border business for people in the UK, Asia and beyond.
Related events

The previous Eurozone GDP Flash: Eurozone GDP Flash, October 2026
Full release history and background on the Eurozone GDP Flash hub page
ECB monetary policy decisions, which respond closely to GDP trends

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Q3 2026 Eurozone GDP flash released?
Eurostat publishes the flash estimate at 11:00 am CET on November 13, 2026, which is 5:00 am ET and 10:00 am London time.
How do I read the GDP flash figure?
The headline number is the percentage change in seasonally adjusted GDP compared with the previous quarter (QoQ), alongside a year-on-year comparison. Positive numbers indicate growth, negative numbers indicate contraction.
How does this release affect ECB interest rate decisions?
Weaker than expected growth can increase the likelihood of the ECB cutting interest rates to support the economy, while stronger growth can reduce the case for cuts, based on how markets have historically priced ECB expectations around past releases.
Where can I find the official release?
The official release is published on the Eurostat euro indicators release calendar and as a dedicated news release on the Eurostat website.
When is the next Eurozone GDP flash released?
Eurostat’s flash GDP estimates are published roughly 30 days after the end of each quarter, so the Q4 2026 flash estimate is expected in mid-February 2027, with the exact date confirmed on the Eurostat release calendar closer to the time.
← Previous Eurozone GDP Flash

US Producer Price Index November 2026
2026-11-13 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US Producer Price Index: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers October 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US Producer Price IndexNext US Producer Price Index →
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Producer Price Index (PPI) for October 2026 on Friday, November 13, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The PPI measures the average change over time in the prices received by domestic producers for their output. This release is the first major inflation data point of the November economic calendar, arriving three days after the US CPI Report November 2026, published November 10. Together, the two releases will frame market expectations for December Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decisions. Consensus forecasts are not yet available at the time of writing.
What Is the Producer Price Index?
The Producer Price Index measures price changes from the perspective of domestic producers rather than consumers. The headline metric tracked by markets is the PPI for final demand, which covers roughly 75% of domestic production output. This measure includes prices for goods sold to personal consumers, capital goods, and exports, as well as services sold to businesses and government.
The BLS releases PPI data approximately two weeks after the end of the reference month. Because producer prices sit earlier in the supply chain than consumer prices, the PPI often serves as a leading indicator for the Consumer Price Index (CPI): when input costs rise for producers, those costs tend to flow through to consumers over subsequent weeks and months. Specific services PPI components, particularly healthcare services and portfolio management fees, feed directly into the calculation of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure.
Core PPI (excluding food and energy) and the trade services component — which captures changes in wholesale and retail margins — receive particular attention from analysts as cleaner measures of underlying inflationary momentum, less distorted by commodity price swings.
PPI Release: November 13, 2026
The November 13 release covers October 2026 producer prices. October is a particularly important reference month because it marks the start of Q4 2026 and will inform whether the inflationary pressures seen in the first half of 2026 are continuing, moderating, or reversing. The BLS data will capture wholesale and producer pricing behaviour as businesses begin preparing for the critical holiday shopping season.
In April 2026, the most recent data available at the time of writing, final demand PPI rose 6.0% year-over-year, according to the BLS, the largest 12-month advance since December 2022. The April MoM increase of 1.4% was also the highest since March 2022. The trajectory of the PPI through the remaining months of 2026 will be a critical data series for assessing whether this acceleration represents a temporary tariff-related peak or a more persistent shift in producer pricing power.
Why This PPI Release Matters
The November 13 PPI release comes in the context of the December FOMC meeting (scheduled for December 9-10, 2026). Alongside the October CPI data, this PPI reading will help the Federal Reserve assess whether inflation is on a sufficiently converging path toward its 2% target to justify any change in the policy rate. A meaningful deceleration from April 2026’s 6.0% YoY pace would strengthen the case for rate cuts; a re-acceleration would complicate easing.
For corporate earnings analysis, the October PPI provides an update on input cost pressures heading into Q4 2026 reporting season. Companies with significant exposure to raw materials, energy, or services inputs will be particularly affected by the PPI trend. The November 13 reading will arrive during earnings season, where analysts will be comparing management commentary on cost pressures with the BLS data.
For fixed income and currency markets, the PPI is a key variable in the broader inflation narrative. A benign PPI would support Treasury bond prices and reduce dollar demand driven by interest rate differentials, while a hotter-than-expected print would have the opposite effect. Given that the November FOMC meeting has already taken place by November 13, the October PPI will primarily influence December meeting expectations.
What to Watch For

Above consensus — A higher-than-expected print signals persistent upstream price pressures. Markets would likely push back December rate cut expectations, Treasury yields would rise, and growth-sensitive sectors would face headwinds. The services PPI component would be scrutinised for signs of sticky price-setting beyond the energy sector.
In line with consensus — A neutral result would maintain the existing inflation narrative. Markets would look to the sub-components: core PPI, trade services margins, and intermediate demand — for more nuanced signals about the direction of producer costs.
Below consensus — A weaker-than-expected reading would be constructive for risk assets and bond markets, supporting the case for a December rate cut and signalling that the supply-chain cost pressures of early 2026 are fading. Consumer-facing companies could re-rate positively on the prospect of easing input costs.

Historical Context

Release Date
Reference Month
YoY Change
MoM Change

May 13, 2026
April 2026
+6.0%
+1.4%

April 14, 2026
March 2026
+4.0%
+0.7%

September 2025
August 2025
+2.6%
-0.1%

July 2025
June 2025
+2.3%
0.0%

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. YoY = year-over-year change for final demand PPI. Annual 2025 full-year change: +3.0%.
Market Positioning
The sharp acceleration in producer prices from 2.3% YoY in mid-2025 to 6.0% by April 2026 has been one of the dominant inflation narratives of the year. As the year-over-year base effects from mid-2025 (which was a period of relatively contained PPI readings) roll forward, the mathematical base effect will naturally tend to moderate YoY PPI readings in H2 2026, even if monthly price increases remain modest. This base effect dynamic will be a key consideration in interpreting the November 13 data. The US Retail Sales November 2026 report, released the same week, will show whether producer cost trends are affecting consumer spending patterns.
Related Events This Week

US CPI Report November 2026 — Released November 10, three days before the PPI, providing the consumer-side inflation picture that precedes this producer-side reading.
US Retail Sales November 2026 — Released the same week, retail sales data shows whether elevated producer costs are being absorbed at the retail level or passed to consumers.
FOMC Rate Decision December 2026 — The Fed’s December meeting will be significantly influenced by the combination of October CPI and PPI, making November 13 a critical date for rate expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Producer Price Index measure?
The PPI measures the average change in prices received by domestic producers for goods and services at various stages of production. The headline figure for final demand PPI covers prices of goods and services sold for personal consumption, capital investment, and export. It is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, approximately two weeks after the reference month ends.
When is the November 2026 PPI released?
The Producer Price Index for October 2026 (the October reference month) will be released on Friday, November 13, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
How does the PPI relate to the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions?
The PPI influences the Fed in two ways. First, it is a leading indicator for CPI, helping the Fed anticipate where consumer inflation is heading. Second, specific PPI components feed directly into the PCE deflator, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure. A sustained decline in the PPI gives the Fed confidence that consumer inflation will follow, supporting the case for rate cuts, while a persistent high PPI suggests that inflation pressures remain embedded in the production chain.

Japan GDP November 2026
2026-11-15 18:50 - 19:50 (America/New_York)
Next Japan GDP: Monday, November 16, 2026 at 8:50 am JST (6:50 pm ET, 11:50 pm London). Covers Q3 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
+0.3% QoQ / +1.1% annualised (Q2 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Japan GDP.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous Japan GDP
Japan’s Q3 2026 gross domestic product (GDP) report is due on Monday, November 16, 2026, at 8:50 am JST (6:50 pm ET on Sunday, November 15 in the United States, and 11:50 pm London time). The preliminary figures are published by Japan’s Cabinet Office through its Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), and this release covers economic activity for the third quarter of 2026 (July to September). Full schedule and background: Japan GDP.
What is Japan’s GDP report?
Gross domestic product measures the total value of goods and services produced in an economy over a given period. Japan’s Cabinet Office calculates it from spending data across households, businesses, government and trade, then compares the result with the previous quarter (quarter-on-quarter growth) and expresses it as an annualised rate, which shows what the quarterly pace of growth or contraction would look like if it continued for a full year.
The headline figure is broken into components: private consumption (spending by households, which typically accounts for more than half of Japanese output), business investment, public spending, housing investment, and net trade (exports minus imports). Each of these tells a different story about where growth or weakness is coming from.
Markets watch this release because Japan is the world’s fourth-largest economy and a bellwether for global manufacturing and trade cycles. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) uses GDP trends, alongside inflation and wage data, to judge whether the economy can withstand higher interest rates. A weak GDP print can delay expected policy tightening, while a strong one can bring rate rises forward, moving the yen, Japanese government bond yields and the Nikkei 225.
When is the Q3 2026 GDP report released?
The preliminary (first) estimate for Q3 2026 is scheduled for Monday, November 16, 2026, at 8:50 am Japan Standard Time. That converts to 6:50 pm ET in the United States on the preceding Sunday evening, and 11:50 pm in London the same evening, because of the large time difference between Tokyo and Western markets. The data is published on the ESRI section of the Cabinet Office website. A revised estimate, incorporating more complete corporate and public investment data, typically follows around six to eight weeks later.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of this preview, a consensus forecast for Q3 2026 GDP has not yet been published. Economist surveys from Reuters and Bloomberg for this release are typically compiled in the days immediately before publication, so figures will firm up closer to November 16, 2026. This page will be updated once a consensus is available.
The most recent published reading is for Q2 2026, when the Cabinet Office reported quarterly growth of 0.3%, equivalent to an annualised rate of 1.1%. That missed economists’ prior expectations of a 2.0% annualised gain, according to Trading Economics, and marked a slowdown from a marginally revised 1.9% pace in the first quarter of 2026.

Measure
Prior (Q2 2026)
Consensus (Q3 2026)

GDP, quarter-on-quarter
+0.3%
Not yet published

GDP, annualised
+1.1%
Not yet published

Private consumption contribution
Flat (0.0 percentage points)
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Yen could strengthen and Japanese government bond yields could rise, as traders price in a higher chance the BoJ presses ahead with policy normalisation
The economy grew faster than expected, suggesting demand and business activity are holding up, which supports the case for interest rates staying higher for longer

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction, with attention shifting to the underlying breakdown, particularly consumption and trade
Growth matched expectations, so the report mostly confirms the existing outlook rather than changing it

Below consensus
Yen could weaken and equities could react positively on hopes the BoJ delays further rate rises
Growth is weaker than hoped, which may reflect soft household spending or a slowdown in exports, and could ease pressure on the central bank to tighten policy quickly

These are possibilities based on how markets have historically responded to Japanese growth surprises, not predictions of what will happen on November 16, 2026.
Why does this release matter right now?
Japan’s growth path has been uneven through 2026. The Q2 2026 slowdown to a 1.1% annualised pace, down from 1.9% in the first quarter, was driven largely by a stall in private consumption, which economists at Oxford Economics linked partly to one-off swings in domestic demand, according to CNBC. Net trade added to growth in that quarter, while weaker domestic demand subtracted from it, a pattern the Bank of Japan will be watching closely as it weighs further interest rate moves.
The BoJ has spent the past two years unwinding its long period of ultra-low rates, and each GDP release feeds into its assessment of whether Japanese households and businesses can absorb higher borrowing costs without growth stalling. A run of soft consumption figures, as seen in Q2 2026, tends to make policymakers more cautious, while resilient business investment or exports can offset that caution. Global context matters too: slower demand from China, currency swings in the yen, and the pace of United States and European growth all feed into Japanese trade figures, which is why this release is watched well beyond Japan’s own borders.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and borrowing costs: in Japan, a stronger-than-expected GDP print can support the case for further Bank of Japan rate rises, which would push up variable mortgage and loan rates for Japanese borrowers. A weak print could delay that.
Savings: higher Japanese interest rates, if they follow from a strong GDP report, would gradually improve returns on yen savings accounts and deposits, which have been unusually low for decades.
Jobs and wages: sustained GDP growth supports hiring and wage negotiations in Japan, which in turn affects consumer spending power. A weak reading can signal softer labour demand ahead.
Prices: GDP trends feed into the Bank of Japan’s inflation outlook. Slower growth can ease price pressures, while stronger growth can add to them, influencing the cost of everyday goods.
Investments, pensions and currencies: the yen and Japanese equities, including funds widely held in UK and European pension portfolios, often move on this release. A stronger figure can lift the yen against the dollar, pound and euro, affecting the returns of anyone holding Japanese assets or funds with currency exposure, while exporters listed on the Nikkei 225 can be sensitive to yen moves in either direction.

Related events

Previous release: Japan GDP, September 2026
Full release history and background: Japan GDP hub page
Bank of Japan interest rate decisions, which respond closely to GDP and inflation trends

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Japan Q3 2026 GDP report released?
The preliminary estimate is published at 8:50 am Japan Standard Time on November 16, 2026, which is 6:50 pm ET the previous evening in the United States and 11:50 pm in London.
How do I read the headline GDP figure?
Look at both the quarter-on-quarter percentage change and the annualised rate, which shows what that pace of growth would equal over a full year, then check the breakdown between domestic demand (consumption, investment, government spending) and net trade.
How does this release affect Bank of Japan interest rate decisions?
The BoJ weighs GDP alongside inflation and wage growth when deciding whether the economy can handle higher borrowing costs. A strong reading can support further rate rises, while a weak one can encourage a pause.
Where can I find the official GDP release?
The data is published by Japan’s Cabinet Office through its Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), available on the ESRI national accounts page.
When is the next Japan GDP release after this one?
A revised estimate for Q3 2026 typically follows six to eight weeks after the preliminary release, with the preliminary estimate for Q4 2026 expected in mid-February 2027.
← Previous Japan GDP

Canada CPI November 2026
2026-11-16 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next Canada CPI: Monday, November 16, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers October 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
3.0% YoY (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Canada CPI.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous Canada CPI
Statistics Canada publishes the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2026 on Monday, November 16, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time). The report is the country’s main measure of inflation and is watched closely by the Bank of Canada, mortgage holders and anyone paid in Canadian dollars. Full background and the release schedule for this series are on the Canada CPI hub page.
What is the Canada CPI?
The Consumer Price Index tracks the average change in prices that Canadian households pay for a fixed basket of goods and services, including food, shelter, transport, clothing and recreation. Statistics Canada collects prices from thousands of retailers and service providers across the country each month and compares them with the same basket a year earlier to produce the year-over-year inflation rate that makes headlines.
Alongside the headline number, Statistics Canada publishes core inflation measures, including the trimmed-mean and median CPI, which strip out the most volatile price swings, typically in gasoline and food. These core measures are the ones the Bank of Canada leans on most heavily when setting interest rates, because they are thought to better reflect the underlying trend in prices rather than one-off shocks.
Markets watch the CPI because it feeds directly into the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decisions. A stronger-than-expected reading can push bond yields and the Canadian dollar higher on expectations that rates will stay higher for longer, while a weaker reading can do the opposite. Basis points, a term used throughout rate markets, simply mean hundredths of a percentage point, so 25 basis points equals 0.25%.
When is the October CPI released?
Statistics Canada will publish the October 2026 CPI report on Monday, November 16, 2026 at 8:30 am ET, which is 1:30 pm in London. The data appears in “The Daily”, the agency’s official release bulletin, and in the accompanying data tables on the Statistics Canada website. Statistics Canada typically releases CPI data around the third week of the following month, so this date follows the usual pattern for the series.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of the time of writing, no consensus forecast for the October 2026 CPI has yet been published by major polling desks such as Reuters or Bloomberg. These forecasts are usually compiled by economists surveyed in the days immediately before the release, so a consensus figure typically appears closer to the publication date. Readers should check back nearer November 16, 2026 for an updated forecast.
The most recent confirmed reading available at the time of writing was for July 2026, when the CPI rose 3.0% year over year, up from a 2.8% gain in June 2026, according to Statistics Canada’s official release. Two further monthly reports, for August and September 2026, will be published before this November report on October CPI, so readers should treat the July figure as background context rather than the immediate prior print.

Measure
Prior (July 2026)
Consensus

Headline CPI (year over year)
3.0%
Not yet published

CPI excluding gasoline
2.2%
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Bond yields and the Canadian dollar could rise on bets that the Bank of Canada holds rates higher for longer
Prices rose faster than expected, which could keep borrowing costs elevated for households and businesses

In line with consensus
A muted market reaction, since traders will have already priced in the expected figure
Inflation is behaving broadly as economists predicted, so the current interest rate path likely continues unchanged

Below consensus
Yields and the Canadian dollar could soften as markets price in a greater chance of rate cuts
Prices rose more slowly than expected, which could ease pressure on mortgage and loan costs over time

These are possibilities discussed by economists and traders, not predictions of what will happen. Analysts at TD Economics have previously noted that gasoline prices remain one of the biggest swing factors behind month-to-month surprises in the headline figure.
Why does this release matter right now?
Canadian inflation has been drifting above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target through much of 2026, with the headline rate moving between roughly 1.8% and 3.2% over the course of the year, according to Statistics Canada’s monthly releases. Energy price swings, tied in part to tensions in the Middle East affecting global oil markets, have been a recurring driver of month-to-month volatility, while shelter costs, particularly rent and homeowners’ costs, have remained a persistent source of underlying price pressure, as noted in commentary from WealthNorth’s inflation tracker.
The Bank of Canada uses the CPI, and particularly its core measures, to judge whether its policy interest rate is appropriately calibrated. If inflation cools further towards target, it strengthens the case for the Bank to continue cutting rates. If it proves stickier than hoped, especially in shelter and services, policymakers may choose to hold rates steady for longer. This October report lands in the window before the Bank’s next scheduled rate announcement, so it will feed directly into that debate.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and loans: A hotter-than-expected CPI print can reduce the chances of near-term Bank of Canada rate cuts, which matters most for anyone on a variable-rate mortgage or renewing a fixed-rate deal soon.
Savings: Interest rates on savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates tend to track the Bank of Canada’s policy rate, so a weaker inflation reading that raises the odds of rate cuts could eventually mean lower returns on cash savings.
Jobs and wages: Persistently high inflation erodes the real value of pay rises, so workers may push harder for wage increases if the CPI keeps running above the Bank’s 2% target.
Prices and household budgets: The shelter and food components of the CPI have the most direct effect on everyday spending, so movements in rent, groceries and fuel prices tend to be felt immediately by households.
Investments, pensions and the loonie: Bond markets, pension fund discount rates and the Canadian dollar all react to shifts in inflation expectations. A weaker Canadian dollar can also make imported goods more expensive, which has knock-on effects for UK, European and Asian exporters selling into the Canadian market, as well as for Canadians travelling or investing abroad.

Related events

Previous release: Canada CPI, October 2026 report
Full release calendar and background: Canada CPI hub page
The next Bank of Canada interest rate decision, which typically follows within weeks of this release

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Canada CPI for October 2026 released?
Statistics Canada publishes the report at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time) on Monday, November 16, 2026.
How should I read the headline CPI figure?
The headline figure is the year-over-year change in average prices, but the core measures, such as the trimmed-mean and median CPI, are watched more closely by the Bank of Canada because they filter out one-off swings in items like gasoline.
How does this release affect Bank of Canada interest rate decisions?
The Bank of Canada uses CPI trends, especially the core measures, to judge whether inflation is moving back towards its 2% target, which directly informs whether it holds, cuts or raises its policy interest rate.
Where can I find the official release?
The report is published in “The Daily” on the Statistics Canada website, alongside detailed data tables covering provinces and CPI components.
When is the next Canada CPI release?
Statistics Canada typically publishes CPI data around the third week of each month, so the next report, covering November 2026 data, is expected in mid-December 2026.
← Previous Canada CPI

UK Labour Market Report November 2026
2026-11-17 02:00 - 03:00 (America/New_York)
Next UK Labour Market Report: Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 7:00 am GMT (2:00 am ET, 7:00 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
4.9% unemployment rate (April to June 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: UK Labour Market Report.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous UK Labour Market Report
The UK Labour Market Report for November 2026 is published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 7:00am London time (2:00am ET). It covers labour market data for the three months to September 2026, alongside a single month of payrolled employee figures for October 2026. Full background and the release schedule for this series is available on the UK Labour Market Report hub page.
What is the UK Labour Market Report?
The UK Labour Market Report, officially titled “Labour market overview, UK”, is the ONS’s monthly summary of employment, unemployment and pay across the United Kingdom. It combines results from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), a household survey of around 40,000 people, with administrative payroll data supplied by HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) through Real Time Information (RTI) on pay-as-you-earn employment.
The headline figures are the unemployment rate (the share of the working-age population who are without a job and actively looking for one), the employment rate (the share who are in work), and economic inactivity (people neither working nor seeking work, including students, carers and the long-term sick). Alongside these sits average weekly earnings, which measures wage growth both including and excluding bonuses, and is often called “regular pay growth” when bonuses are stripped out.
Markets watch this release because the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee treats the labour market as one of the clearest signals of domestic inflation pressure. Persistently strong wage growth can keep services inflation elevated, while rising unemployment or falling vacancies can be read as evidence that the economy is cooling enough to bring inflation back to target. The report therefore feeds directly into expectations for UK interest rates, gilt yields and sterling.
When is the November labour market report released?
The ONS is scheduled to publish this bulletin on November 17, 2026 at 7:00am London time (2:00am ET), in line with its usual practice of releasing labour market data on a Tuesday morning. The release appears on the ONS release calendar and on the dedicated labour market bulletin page on ons.gov.uk. Because of the lag in Labour Force Survey processing, the headline unemployment, employment and inactivity rates in this bulletin will cover the rolling three-month period from July to September 2026, while payrolled employment and vacancies figures will be more current, generally running to October 2026.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of now, a consensus forecast for the November 2026 UK Labour Market Report has not yet been published. City economists and data providers such as Reuters and Bloomberg typically issue their median forecasts for unemployment, employment change and average earnings growth only in the days immediately before the release, once September and October data trends become clearer. This page will be updated once a consensus becomes available.
The most recent confirmed reading, from the ONS bulletin covering April to June 2026 (published in August 2026), showed the unemployment rate at 4.9%, up 0.2 percentage points on the year but down 0.1 percentage points on the previous quarter. Payrolled employee numbers fell by 78,000 (0.3%) year-on-year to June 2026.

Measure
Prior reading
Consensus forecast

Unemployment rate
4.9% (April to June 2026)
Not yet published

Payrolled employees (year-on-year change)
-78,000 (-0.3%) to June 2026
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus (unemployment higher, or pay growth weaker, than expected)
Sterling could soften and gilt yields could fall, as traders price a higher chance of a Bank of England rate cut
A weaker labour market often signals slower future inflation, so the central bank may feel more comfortable cutting borrowing costs

In line with consensus
Limited immediate market reaction, since traders had already priced this outcome into rate expectations
The data confirms what was already expected, so mortgage and savings rates are unlikely to move much on the day

Below consensus (unemployment lower, or pay growth stronger, than expected)
Sterling could firm and gilt yields could rise, on reduced expectations of near-term rate cuts
A tighter labour market with strong pay growth can keep inflation pressure alive, making the Bank of England more cautious about cutting rates

These are possible market reactions based on how similar releases have been interpreted in the past, not predictions of what will happen in November 2026.
Why does this release matter right now?
The UK labour market has been gradually loosening through 2025 and 2026. ONS data show the unemployment rate rising from around 4.8% in the June to August 2025 period to 5.2% by the October to December 2025 quarter, before easing back toward 4.9% by mid-2026. Payrolled employee numbers have fallen year-on-year in every recent bulletin, reflecting employer caution around hiring amid higher payroll taxes and National Insurance costs introduced from April 2025.
The Bank of England has repeatedly said it is watching wage growth and vacancy levels closely as it weighs further interest rate moves. A cooling jobs market, if it continues, gives the Monetary Policy Committee more room to cut rates without worrying that pay rises will keep pushing up prices in shops, restaurants and other services. Commentary from outlets such as Indeed Hiring Lab has described the labour market as continuing to soften into late 2025, with youth unemployment reaching its highest level in over a decade.
Because the Bank of England’s next rate decisions are informed directly by this data, and because the UK labour market often moves in tandem with, or slightly ahead of, trends in the eurozone and the United States, this release is watched well beyond UK borders by investors positioning in sterling, gilts and European equities.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and loans: a weaker labour market that raises the odds of a Bank of England rate cut can, over time, feed through to lower fixed and tracker mortgage rates, though lenders typically react to the broader trend rather than a single month’s figures.
Savings: if rate cut expectations build, banks and building societies tend to trim savings rates in anticipation, so savers may want to compare fixed-rate deals before rates move.
Jobs and wages: falling vacancies and rising unemployment generally mean less bargaining power for workers negotiating pay rises, and can make it harder to switch jobs or negotiate a promotion.
Prices: slower wage growth typically eases pressure on services inflation over time, which can help bring down the cost of everyday services such as haircuts, restaurant meals and other labour-intensive purchases.
Investments, pensions and the pound: UK gilts, equities and sterling can all move on this data as it shifts expectations for interest rates; a weaker reading tends to pressure the pound lower against the dollar and euro, which can raise the price of imported goods and holidays abroad, while a stronger reading can support sterling.

Related events

Previous release: UK Labour Market Report, October 2026
Hub page with the full schedule and background: UK Labour Market Report
Related UK data: the ONS Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee decisions, both of which respond closely to labour market trends

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the November 2026 UK Labour Market Report released?
The ONS publishes the report at 7:00am London time (2:00am ET) on November 17, 2026.
What period does the November report cover?
The headline unemployment, employment and inactivity rates cover the three months to September 2026, while payrolled employee figures are typically more current, covering October 2026.
How does this report affect UK interest rates?
The Bank of England uses labour market and wage growth data as a key input when deciding whether to raise, hold or cut interest rates, since a tight jobs market with strong pay growth can sustain inflation pressure.
Where can I find the official release?
The bulletin is published on the ONS release calendar under “Labour market overview, UK”.
When is the next UK labour market report after this one?
The ONS publishes this bulletin monthly, so the next release is expected in December 2026, following the ONS’s regular schedule.
← Previous UK Labour Market Report
