US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts) October 2026
2026-10-20 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts): Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers September 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts)Next US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts) →
The U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) will release New Residential Construction data for September 2026 on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. This monthly release, covering housing starts, building permits, and completions, will provide the first detailed picture of construction activity during September and signal near-term residential supply trends heading into the winter building season. Consensus forecasts for September 2026 are not yet available at the time of writing.
What Is the Housing Starts Report?
The New Residential Construction report is a monthly joint release from the Census Bureau and HUD covering three key metrics: housing starts (units where construction began), building permits (authorisations for future construction), and housing completions. All figures are expressed as seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) to enable meaningful month-to-month comparison despite seasonal patterns in construction activity.
Housing starts are split between single-family homes and multi-family units (buildings with five or more units). Single-family starts reflect owner-occupier demand and are heavily sensitive to mortgage rates, while multi-family starts track developer confidence in the rental market. The Census Bureau releases the data on the 12th business day following the survey month, typically falling in the third week of the subsequent month.
As a leading economic indicator, housing starts signal broad economic momentum months ahead. When builders break ground, they create demand across materials, appliances, financial services, and retail. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) monitors this data closely for its implications for shelter inflation, which remains a significant component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Housing Starts Report: October 20, 2026
The October 20 release will cover September 2026 construction activity. By this date, markets will have already received the September housing starts report (August data, released September 17), the FOMC September rate decision, and the October CPI and PPI releases, providing rich context for interpreting the housing data.
The October 20 release represents September data — traditionally one of the stronger construction months in the US as builders rush to complete work before winter weather constraints take hold in the northern states. Seasonal adjustment removes this pattern from the SAAR figure, but the absolute level of construction activity in September is often elevated relative to the preceding summer months.
Consensus estimates for September 2026 construction activity are not yet available. The April 2026 report, the most recent data at the time of writing, showed housing starts at 1.465 million units SAAR, with single-family starts at 930,000 and multi-family at 529,000, according to the Census Bureau. The dominant theme in 2026 housing starts has been the ongoing divergence between suppressed single-family activity (due to elevated mortgage rates) and elevated multi-family construction (driven by rental demand).
Why This Report Matters
The October 20 housing starts release will be one of the last key data points before the FOMC’s late October meeting. Policymakers will assess whether residential construction is recovering — which would add inflationary pressure through shelter costs — or continuing to contract, which could ease the shelter component of CPI over time as new supply comes online.
For equity investors, the October housing starts data directly affects homebuilder stocks (Lennar, D.R. Horton, PulteGroup), building materials companies (USG, Vulcan Materials), home improvement retailers (Home Depot, Lowe’s), and mortgage lenders. A reading that exceeds expectations typically leads to strength in the homebuilder sector and building products stocks.
The trade balance and consumer sentiment data released earlier in October will frame the broader consumer backdrop. A healthy October housing starts reading, combined with positive consumer sentiment and manageable trade deficits, would paint a constructive picture for the domestic economy. Conversely, a miss could amplify concerns about a housing-led slowdown.
What to Watch For

Above consensus — A stronger reading signals continued builder confidence and would benefit homebuilder equities. Single-family starts recovering toward 1 million units would be a key milestone, indicating that buyers are returning despite elevated mortgage rates.
In line with consensus — A neutral result would leave the market narrative unchanged. Attention would shift to building permits and prior-month revisions as forward indicators of the housing pipeline.
Below consensus — A miss would suggest that mortgage rate headwinds remain severe. A sharp decline in single-family starts would raise concerns about a broader housing contraction, pressuring homebuilder stocks and potentially weighing on GDP nowcast estimates.

Beyond the headline, building permits will be the most watched sub-component. Permits are a reliable 1-3 month leading indicator for starts: a drop in October permits would signal lower starts through the winter months, a particularly important signal given the seasonal slowdown that typically follows the autumn construction season.
Historical Context

Release Date
Reference Month
Actual (SAAR)
MoM Change

May 21, 2026
April 2026
1.465 million
-2.8%

April 29, 2026
March 2026
1.507 million
+10.8%

March 12, 2026
January 2026
1.487 million
+7.2%

February 2026
December 2025
1.387 million
—

Market Positioning
Housing starts have averaged above 1.4 million units SAAR in early 2026, supported by multi-family construction offsetting weakness in single-family activity. The long-term structural undersupply of housing in many US metropolitan areas continues to drive residential investment, even as the current rate environment suppresses affordability and limits single-family demand.
By October 20, markets will have several additional months of data not available at the time of writing, including the FOMC’s stance after its September and October meetings. If the Fed has begun or signalled an easing cycle, mortgage rates should have improved, which could be the catalyst for a recovery in single-family starts. The September housing starts report released on September 17 will be the key precursor reading for this October release.
Related Events This Week

US CPI Report October 2026 — The CPI release earlier in the week will frame how housing starts data intersects with shelter inflation trends.
US Retail Sales October 2026 — Retail sales data from the same week shows consumer demand conditions that underpin housing market activity.
FOMC Rate Decision October 2026 — The Fed’s late October meeting will incorporate this housing data in its assessment of residential investment and shelter inflation.

Frequently Asked Questions
What does the housing starts report measure?
The New Residential Construction report measures the number of new privately owned housing units where construction began during the reference month. It is published jointly by the Census Bureau and HUD and covers single-family homes, multi-family buildings, and aggregates across all housing types. The headline is expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR).
When is the October 2026 housing starts report released?
The September 2026 housing starts data will be published on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, by the U.S. Census Bureau jointly with the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This date was confirmed via the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction release schedule.
How do housing starts affect the broader economy?
Housing starts are a leading indicator of economic activity. Construction employs workers across dozens of trades, drives demand for building materials, appliances, and home goods, and adds to GDP directly via residential investment. The shelter component of CPI is also influenced by housing supply: higher starts over time increase rental and ownership supply, which can dampen shelter inflation. The Federal Reserve monitors housing construction data closely for both its growth and inflation implications.

UK CPI Inflation October 2026
2026-10-21 02:00 - 03:00 (America/New_York)
Next UK CPI Inflation: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET, 7:00 am London). Covers September 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
2.9% (August 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: UK CPI Inflation.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous UK CPI Inflation
The UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for September 2026 is released on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 7:00 am London time (2:00 am ET) by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This is the headline measure of how much prices for everyday goods and services rose or fell over the twelve months to September 2026. Full background and the release schedule are on the UK CPI report hub, and the previous instalment, covering August 2026 data, is covered on the September 2026 CPI page.
What is the UK Consumer Prices Index?
The CPI tracks the change in prices of a fixed “basket” of around 700 goods and services that a typical UK household buys, from food and fuel to rent and haircuts. The ONS collects tens of thousands of prices each month from shops, websites and service providers, weights them according to how much households actually spend on each category, and compares the total cost of the basket with the same month a year earlier. The result is the annual, or “headline”, inflation rate.
Alongside the headline figure, the ONS publishes core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices. Because petrol and gas bills can jump around for reasons that have nothing to do with the underlying strength of the economy, core inflation is often treated as a cleaner signal of persistent price pressure, particularly for wages and services.
Markets watch this release closely because the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) targets 2% CPI inflation and adjusts Bank Rate largely on the basis of where inflation is heading. A hotter-than-expected reading tends to push back expectations of interest rate cuts, while a cooler reading can revive them, with knock-on effects for the pound, gilt yields and mortgage pricing.
When is the September CPI report released?
The ONS is scheduled to publish the September 2026 CPI bulletin on October 21, 2026 at 7:00 am London time (2:00 am ET), alongside the CPIH (which includes owner-occupier housing costs) and the older Retail Prices Index (RPI). The release will appear on the ONS website and its release calendar, with the underlying tables published in the “Consumer price inflation” dataset. This date follows the ONS’s normal monthly rhythm of publishing inflation data roughly three weeks after the end of the reference month.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of publication, a consensus forecast for the September 2026 CPI report has not yet been published. City economists and data providers typically publish their median forecasts in the days immediately before the release, once August’s trade, wage and fuel-price data have fed through to their models. This page will be updated once that consensus is available.
The most recent confirmed reading is for August 2026, when annual CPI inflation stood at 2.9%, according to ONS data reported by SalaryWise’s tracker of official ONS figures. That followed a reading of 2.6% for the year to June 2026, itself down from 2.8% in both May and April 2026, as reported by MoneyWeek.

Measure
Prior (August 2026)
Consensus (September 2026)

Headline CPI (annual)
2.9%
Not yet published

Core CPI (annual)
Not yet confirmed
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Traders would likely push back bets on Bank of England rate cuts, and the pound could firm as gilt yields rise
Prices are rising faster than expected, so borrowing is likely to stay expensive for longer

In line with consensus
Muted reaction, with markets largely sticking to their existing view of the Bank of England’s next move
Inflation is behaving roughly as expected, so there is no strong new signal for savers or borrowers

Below consensus
Markets would likely bring forward expectations of a rate cut, and gilt yields and the pound could soften
Prices are cooling faster than expected, which could eventually feed through to cheaper mortgages

These are possibilities based on how markets have typically reacted to inflation surprises, not predictions of what will happen on October 21, 2026.
Why does this release matter right now?
UK inflation has been on a choppy path through 2026, easing from 2.8% in the spring to 2.6% by June before climbing back to 2.9% in August, according to the ONS data cited above. The Bank of England has repeatedly said it wants to see a sustained move back toward its 2% target before it commits to further interest rate cuts, and the MPC has flagged sticky services inflation and wage growth as the areas it is watching most closely.
Because the September reading arrives shortly before the Bank of England’s next scheduled rate decision, it carries extra weight in shaping how confident policymakers feel about the disinflation process. Higher-than-expected food, energy or services costs would reinforce the case for caution, while a clear slowdown would strengthen the argument for further easing. The reading also matters beyond the UK: sterling moves in response to UK inflation surprises ripple into euro and dollar exchange rates, and any signal about the pace of UK rate cuts feeds into how European and US bond markets price their own central banks’ next steps.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and loans: A higher-than-expected inflation reading tends to reduce the chances of an imminent Bank of England rate cut, which can keep fixed mortgage rates and other borrowing costs higher for longer. A lower reading can do the opposite, potentially feeding through to cheaper new mortgage deals over time.
Savings: Banks and building societies often adjust savings account rates in anticipation of Bank Rate moves, so a surprise inflation print can shift what you are offered on new fixed-term savings bonds and cash ISAs.
Wages and jobs: Inflation erodes the real value of pay rises. If CPI runs hotter than wage growth, households effectively lose spending power even if their pay packet looks the same or slightly larger.
Everyday prices: The CPI basket includes food, fuel, rent and household bills, so this release is a direct read on whether the weekly shop and energy costs are likely to keep rising or start easing.
Investments, pensions and currencies: UK equities, gilts and the pound can all move on the day of release. Pension funds and annuity providers watch inflation closely because it affects both investment returns and the cost of inflation-linked pension payments. A weaker pound following a soft inflation print can also make imports and overseas holidays more expensive for UK consumers, while a stronger pound has the opposite effect.

Related events

UK CPI Inflation for August 2026, released on September 16, 2026: see the previous CPI report page
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee interest rate decision, which weighs this inflation data heavily
UK average weekly earnings and labour market data, published separately by the ONS and closely linked to the Bank of England’s inflation outlook

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the UK September CPI report released?
The Office for National Statistics publishes the report at 7:00 am London time on October 21, 2026, which is 2:00 am ET.
How do I read the CPI figure?
The headline number is the annual percentage change in prices compared with the same month a year earlier; a rate above the Bank of England’s 2% target signals inflation running hotter than the central bank’s goal.
How does this data affect UK interest rates?
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee uses CPI trends as a key input when deciding whether to raise, hold or cut Bank Rate, so persistent inflation surprises can shift the timing of rate decisions.
Where can I find the official release?
The full bulletin and datasets are published on the ONS release calendar and the consumer price inflation section of the ONS website.
When is the next UK CPI report?
The following release covers October 2026 data and is expected roughly a month after this one, following the ONS’s usual monthly publication schedule; check the UK CPI report hub for the confirmed date.
← Previous UK CPI Inflation

TSLA Earnings October 2026
2026-10-21 12:00 - 13:00 (America/New_York)
Next TSLA Quarterly Earnings: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Prior quarter figures not independently verified at time of writing; see Tesla investor relations
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous TSLA Quarterly Earnings
Tesla is expected to report its third-quarter 2026 results on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, at 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London time), followed by a live earnings call. Tesla has not yet confirmed the exact date on its investor relations site, but the company has consistently reported in the third or fourth week of the month following each quarter’s close, so this date should be treated as an estimate until Tesla issues a formal notice. Full schedule and background: TSLA quarterly earnings dates.
The release matters well beyond Tesla shareholders. Tesla is one of the most widely held stocks in index funds and retirement portfolios across the US, UK and Europe, and its results are watched as a barometer for the broader electric vehicle market, battery supply chains and the direction of consumer demand for big-ticket purchases.
What is the Tesla Q3 2026 earnings call?
This is Tesla’s quarterly results announcement, covering the three months from July to September 2026. Tesla publishes a shareholder deck and financial statements after the US market closes, then holds a conference call where chief executive Elon Musk and chief financial officer Vaibhav Taneja take questions from analysts and, at times, retail investors who submit questions through the Say platform. The call typically covers vehicle deliveries and production, gross margin, energy storage and solar deployments, progress on autonomous driving software, and any updates on new models or manufacturing capacity.
When is the Tesla Q3 2026 earnings call and how to follow it?
Tesla usually releases its results after the US stock market closes, with the call beginning shortly afterwards. Based on the pattern in the brief, the call is pencilled in for 12:00 pm ET, which is 5:00 pm in London, 6:00 pm in most of continental Europe and 1:00 am the following day in Tokyo. Results and the live webcast are published on Tesla’s investor relations website, with no subscription required. As the date has not been officially confirmed by Tesla, investors should check the investor relations page in the days before October 21, 2026 for any change.
What to expect
At the time of writing, a consensus forecast for Tesla’s third-quarter revenue and earnings per share has not yet been published, as analyst estimates typically firm up in the two to three weeks before the call. When forecasts are published, they usually come from data providers such as LSEG or FactSet and are reported by outlets including Reuters and Bloomberg.
Analysts are likely to focus on several areas: vehicle delivery numbers already reported for the quarter, gross margin trends amid ongoing price competition in the electric vehicle market, the scale of Tesla’s energy storage business, and any commentary on robotaxi rollout or the Optimus robot programme. Guidance for the fourth quarter, particularly around the expiry of US electric vehicle tax credits and their effect on demand, is expected to be a key talking point.
A verified table of the last four quarters’ revenue and earnings per share against estimates has not been included here, as exact prior-quarter figures could not be confirmed from Tesla’s investor relations site at the time of writing. Readers wanting the precise historical figures should consult Tesla’s quarterly shareholder letters directly.
Tesla’s earnings calls have become notable for extended discussion of longer-term projects alongside the immediate financial results, including its Full Self-Driving software subscription, the Cybertruck production ramp, and expansion of Gigafactories in Texas, Berlin and Shanghai. Investors listening for near-term signals tend to weigh these longer-term updates against the quarter’s actual delivery and margin numbers, since the stock has historically traded on expectations for future growth as much as on trailing financial performance.
What the outcome could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Beat on revenue and earnings
Shares could rise if margins also improve, though reaction may be muted if guidance is cautious
Tesla sold more vehicles or energy products than expected and kept costs under control

In line with expectations
Share price reaction likely driven more by forward guidance and management commentary than the headline numbers
Tesla performed broadly as forecast, with no major surprise

Miss on revenue or earnings
Shares could fall, particularly if margin pressure or weak guidance accompanies the miss
Tesla sold fewer vehicles, or made less profit per vehicle, than analysts expected

Because Tesla does not issue formal quarterly earnings guidance in the way some companies do, analysts also pay close attention to any qualitative comments from management on demand trends in the US, China and Europe, as well as the pace of price adjustments across the Model 3, Model Y and other vehicle lines.
What It Means for Your Money
Tesla is a large constituent of the S&P 500 and many global index funds, so a big share price move can have a small but measurable effect on pension pots and workplace investment funds that hold US equity trackers, even for people who have never bought Tesla shares directly. A sharp fall or rise in Tesla’s share price can also move sentiment across the wider electric vehicle and battery supply chain, affecting suppliers in Asia and Europe. For everyday consumers, commentary on price cuts or new, cheaper models can signal where car prices are heading, while updates on US tax credit changes may affect the after-tax cost of buying an electric vehicle. The results have little direct effect on mortgage rates, savings rates or the value of the pound, dollar or euro, though a very large market reaction could feed into broader US stock market sentiment for a day or two.
Related events

Tesla Q2 2026 earnings
US electric vehicle sales and delivery data releases
Other major US technology earnings reported in the same week

Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Tesla report Q3 2026 earnings?
The call is expected at 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London time) on October 21, 2026, though Tesla has not yet formally confirmed the date.
Where can I watch the Tesla earnings call live?
Tesla streams the call free of charge on its investor relations website, with no registration required.
Has Tesla published a consensus EPS estimate for Q3 2026?
No. A consensus forecast has not yet been published; analyst estimates typically become available closer to the reporting date.
Does the Tesla earnings call affect UK and European markets?
Indirectly. A large Tesla share price move can affect European battery and auto suppliers and shift sentiment in index funds held by UK and European pension savers, though it does not directly move currency or interest rates.
Why is the October 2026 date only an estimate?
Tesla has not confirmed the exact date at the time of writing. The company typically reports in the third or fourth week of the month after each quarter ends.
← Previous TSLA Quarterly Earnings

US Initial Jobless Claims: October 22, 2026
2026-10-22 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
206,000 initial claims (week ending August 15, 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims.
Updated August 26, 2026

← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
The US Initial Jobless Claims report for the week ending October 17, 2026 is published on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time) by the US Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration. The figure counts how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time in the previous week, and it is one of the most timely gauges of the American labour market. Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims.
This is a weekly release, so it arrives every Thursday regardless of other data on the calendar. Because it is published so quickly after the reference week, economists and traders use it as an early warning sign of whether hiring and firing patterns are shifting, well before the monthly jobs report confirms the trend.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of publication, no consensus forecast specific to the week ending October 17, 2026 has been released, since forecasting panels typically publish their median estimate only in the day or two before the report. The most recent confirmed reading available was for the week ending August 15, 2026, when initial claims fell to 206,000, according to Trading Economics, which cited US Department of Labor data. That reading came in below market expectations of 210,000. Continuing claims, which measure people still receiving benefits after their first week, rose by 18,000 to 1,799,000 in the preceding week, per the same source.

Measure
Prior (week ending Aug 15, 2026)
Consensus

Initial claims
206,000
Not yet published

Continuing claims
1,799,000
Not yet published

4-week moving average
204,000
Not applicable

Readers should treat the August figures as background context rather than a direct forecast for the October 22 release, since several weekly reports will have been published in between.
What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Above consensus
Yields may fall, dollar could soften, stocks often rise on rate-cut hopes
More people lost jobs than expected, a sign the labour market is cooling faster

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction expected
The labour market is behaving broadly as anticipated

Below consensus
Yields may rise, dollar could firm, growth-sensitive stocks may wobble on inflation worries
Fewer people filed for benefits than expected, suggesting continued hiring resilience

Why it matters this week
Weekly claims have stayed historically low through much of 2026, with the Department of Labor noting a near 60-year low of 189,000 in mid-July before edging back up, according to Trading Economics. That resilience has coexisted with softer signals from monthly payrolls data, a combination some Federal Reserve officials have pointed to as consistent with an economy still near full employment.
Because the Federal Reserve watches the labour market closely when setting interest rates, a sustained rise in claims would add weight to arguments for further rate cuts, while continued low readings could support the case for holding rates steady for longer.
What It Means for Your Money
If claims rise sharply and stay elevated for several weeks, it can be an early sign of rising unemployment, which sometimes leads the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Lower rates can eventually mean cheaper mortgages and loans, but they also tend to reduce the interest paid on savings accounts.
For investors, a weak claims report can lift share prices in the short term if it strengthens the case for rate cuts, though it can also signal a slowing economy that hurts company profits over time, affecting pensions and investment portfolios tied to US and global markets.
A surprisingly strong US labour market, shown by low claims, tends to support the dollar, which can make imports cheaper for US consumers but can weigh on the pound and euro when investors shift money towards the US in search of higher returns.
Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the jobless claims report released?
The report is released at 8:30 am ET, which is 1:30 pm in London, on Thursday, October 22, 2026.
What counts as a big miss versus consensus?
Because weekly claims are volatile, a swing of roughly 15,000 to 20,000 above or below the median forecast is typically seen as a significant miss capable of moving markets, according to how economists have historically reacted to the series.
When is the next jobless claims report?
The next weekly release follows one week later, since the Department of Labor publishes this data every Thursday without exception for market holidays affecting the schedule.
Where does the data come from?
The figures are compiled by the US Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration from state unemployment insurance offices across the country.
← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims

Japan CPI October 2026
2026-10-22 19:30 - 20:30 (America/New_York)
Next Japan CPI: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 8:30 am JST (7:30 pm ET, 12:30 am London). Covers September 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
1.8% core CPI y/y (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Japan CPI.
Updated August 26, 2026

← Previous Japan CPI
Japan’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2026 is scheduled for release on Friday, October 23, 2026, at 8:30 am Japan Standard Time, which is 7:30 pm ET on Thursday, October 22, and 12:30 am London time on Friday, October 23. The data is published by Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications through the Statistics Bureau of Japan. This release covers price changes for September 2026. Full schedule and background: Japan CPI.
What is Japan’s CPI?
The Consumer Price Index tracks the average change over time in the prices paid by households for a fixed basket of goods and services, including food, energy, housing, transport, healthcare and recreation. It is the main gauge of inflation used by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to judge whether prices are rising too quickly, too slowly, or at a pace consistent with its long-standing 2% inflation target.
Statisticians at the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications collect prices from thousands of shops and service providers across the country each month, weight them according to typical household spending patterns, and compare the resulting basket cost with the same period a year earlier. The headline figure includes everything in the basket, while “core CPI” strips out fresh food prices, which are volatile because of weather and seasonal supply swings, but still includes energy. A further measure, sometimes called “core-core” CPI, strips out both fresh food and energy to show underlying price pressure with less noise from oil and utility costs.
Markets watch this release closely because Japan spent decades battling deflation, and any sustained move above or below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target has direct consequences for interest rate policy, the value of the yen, and government bond yields. A stronger-than-expected reading can fuel speculation that the BOJ will raise rates further or trim its bond purchases, while a weaker reading can revive worries about a return to disinflation.
When is the September Japan CPI released?
The September 2026 CPI report is due on Friday, October 23, 2026, at 8:30 am JST (7:30 pm ET on October 22, 12:30 am London time on October 23). It is published on the Statistics Bureau of Japan’s official website. Japan’s statistics office follows a regular monthly schedule, typically releasing national CPI data around the third or fourth Friday of the following month, so this date sits within the usual pattern for the series.
What is the consensus forecast?
At the time of writing, a consensus forecast for the September 2026 reading has not yet been published. Economist surveys from Reuters and Bloomberg for this specific release typically appear closer to the publication date, usually within the final week before the report. The most recent confirmed reading is from July 2026, when core CPI (excluding fresh food) came in at 1.8% year-on-year, matching economists’ expectations at the time, according to CNBC. Headline inflation that month reached 1.9%, the highest level of the year, driven by rising energy costs linked to disruption from the conflict in the Middle East, according to the same report and data compiled by Trading Economics.

Measure
Prior (July 2026)
Consensus (September 2026)

Headline CPI (y/y)
1.9%
Not yet published

Core CPI, ex fresh food (y/y)
1.8%
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Yen could strengthen and Japanese government bond yields could rise, on speculation the Bank of Japan may lean toward further tightening
Prices are rising faster than expected, which could squeeze household budgets but also increase the odds of higher interest rates on savings

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction, as traders’ existing expectations are largely confirmed
Inflation is behaving broadly as anticipated, so the near-term outlook for interest rates and the yen stays largely unchanged

Below consensus
Yen could soften and bets on near-term Bank of Japan rate hikes could be pushed back, according to analysts who track BOJ policy signals
Price pressures are easing faster than expected, which could ease the squeeze on households but delay any rise in savings rates

These are possible market reactions based on how similar releases have been discussed by analysts, not predictions of what will actually happen.
Why does this release matter right now?
The Bank of Japan has been gradually normalising monetary policy after years of ultra-low interest rates and negative rates, ending its negative rate policy in 2024 and continuing to weigh further adjustments since. Inflation readings through mid-2026 have consistently printed above the BOJ’s 2% target on a headline basis, with July’s reading of 1.9% marking the highest level of the year, driven in part by rising energy prices as government subsidies were scaled back and global oil costs climbed due to conflict in the Middle East, according to Trading Economics.
Food prices have also remained a persistent source of upward pressure, running at 3.5% year-on-year in July compared with 3.2% the previous month, alongside firmer readings in transport, household goods and healthcare, according to the same data. Whether this pressure persists into September, cools, or accelerates further will shape how the Bank of Japan approaches its next policy meetings and whether it signals further rate increases. Investors and households alike are watching for signs of whether Japan’s inflation is becoming more broad-based across the economy or remains concentrated in energy and food.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and loans: If Japanese inflation stays elevated, it raises the chances of further Bank of Japan rate increases, which could push up variable mortgage rates and borrowing costs for households and businesses in Japan.
Savings: Higher policy rates in Japan could eventually translate into better returns on savings accounts and term deposits, a notable shift after decades of near-zero rates.
Jobs and wages: Persistent inflation increases pressure on Japanese employers to raise wages to keep pace with the cost of living, a dynamic the Bank of Japan watches closely when setting policy.
Prices for consumers: Rising food and energy costs directly affect household budgets in Japan, and sustained inflation above target can erode purchasing power if wage growth does not keep up.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Yen movements tied to this data affect anyone holding Japanese assets, funds with Japan exposure, or currencies like the dollar, euro and pound that trade against the yen. A stronger yen can make Japanese exports costlier and affect global portfolios with Japanese equity or bond holdings, while pension funds with Japan allocations are sensitive to shifts in Japanese government bond yields.

Related events

Previous release: Japan CPI, September 2026 data (August print)
Bank of Japan policy decisions, which respond directly to CPI trends
Japan trade balance and wage growth data, which provide additional context on inflation drivers

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Japan CPI report released?
The September 2026 report is released at 8:30 am Japan Standard Time on October 23, 2026, which is 7:30 pm ET the previous evening and 12:30 am London time on the release day.
How should I read the core CPI figure versus the headline figure?
Headline CPI includes all items, while core CPI excludes fresh food, which is volatile due to weather and seasonal supply. Core CPI is generally seen as a steadier gauge of underlying inflation trends.
How does this data affect Bank of Japan interest rate decisions?
The Bank of Japan uses CPI trends, particularly the core measure, to judge whether inflation is sustainably near its 2% target, which influences decisions on interest rates and bond purchases.
Where can I find the official release?
The data is published by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on its official website.
When is the next Japan CPI release?
The next release covers October 2026 data and typically follows within the usual monthly schedule, roughly four weeks after this report.
← Previous Japan CPI

UK Retail Sales October 2026
2026-10-23 02:00 - 03:00 (America/New_York)
Next UK Retail Sales: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET, 7:00 am London). Covers September 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Not yet confirmed
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: UK Retail Sales.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous UK Retail Sales
The UK Retail Sales report for September 2026 data is scheduled for release on October 23, 2026 at 7:00 am London time (2:00 am ET) by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The report covers retail sales volumes and values for September 2026. Full schedule and background: UK Retail Sales.
What is UK Retail Sales?
UK Retail Sales measures the value and volume of goods sold by retailers across Great Britain, covering categories such as food stores, non-food stores (clothing, household goods, department stores), fuel and non-store retailing (mostly online). The ONS collects data from a sample of retailers each month and adjusts for inflation to produce a “volume” figure, which strips out price changes and shows the actual quantity of goods bought, alongside a “value” figure that includes price effects.
The headline figure most closely watched is the month-on-month change in sales volumes, excluding fuel, because fuel prices can distort the picture. Markets also watch the year-on-year comparison to judge the underlying trend in household spending.
Retail sales matter because consumer spending makes up around 60% of UK gross domestic product. A strong or weak reading can shift expectations for Bank of England interest rate decisions, sterling’s value against the dollar and euro, and the outlook for retailers listed on the London Stock Exchange.
Beyond the headline figures, the ONS breaks down retail sales by sector, including food stores, department stores, clothing retailers, household goods stores, and non-store retailing such as online shopping. Analysts often look beneath the headline number to see whether growth or weakness is concentrated in a single sector, such as fuel stations reacting to petrol price swings, or spread more broadly across the high street. This detail helps distinguish a genuine change in household spending habits from a temporary distortion.
When is the September 2026 Retail Sales report released?
The ONS will publish the report at 7:00 am London time (2:00 am ET) on Friday, October 23, 2026, on the ONS release calendar. This is the standard monthly schedule the ONS follows, typically publishing retail sales data around three weeks after the end of the reference month.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the September 2026 UK Retail Sales report has not yet been published. Economists’ forecasts from Reuters and Bloomberg polls typically appear only in the days immediately before the release. The most recent published prior reading was also not confirmed at the time of writing, as this report covers a period some months ahead of the current data. Readers should check the ONS release calendar or a live poll closer to the release date for the latest prior figure and consensus.

Measure
Prior
Consensus

Retail sales volumes, month-on-month
Not yet confirmed
Not yet published

Retail sales volumes excluding fuel, month-on-month
Not yet confirmed
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Could be read as a sign of resilient consumer demand, potentially reducing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts
Shoppers spent more than expected, which can support retailer earnings but may also keep inflation pressure elevated

In line
Likely to have limited market impact, with focus shifting to other data such as wages or inflation
Spending matched expectations, so the picture for households and the economy stays broadly unchanged

Below consensus
May be interpreted as a sign of a weakening consumer, supporting the case for looser monetary policy
Households cut back on spending, which can signal strain on budgets from high prices or borrowing costs

These are possibilities discussed by analysts and economists, not predictions of the actual outcome.
Why does this release matter right now?
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee monitors consumer spending closely as part of its assessment of demand pressures in the economy when setting interest rates. Retail sales data feeds into the broader picture of household finances, alongside wage growth, inflation and consumer confidence surveys. Any shift in the trend of spending, whether households are pulling back or continuing to spend despite cost pressures, can influence how policymakers judge the balance between supporting growth and controlling inflation according to ONS release notes.
Retailers, investors in UK consumer-facing shares and currency traders watching sterling all use this data point to judge the health of the UK high street and online retail sector heading into the final quarter of the year.
International readers should note that UK retail spending trends can also affect European exporters who sell goods into the UK market, and can factor into how global asset managers weigh sterling-denominated assets against the dollar and euro. A weaker UK consumer can dent demand for imported goods, while a resilient one can support both domestic and overseas retailers with UK exposure.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and rates: Weak retail sales can support the case for lower Bank of England interest rates, which may eventually feed through to cheaper mortgage deals, while strong sales can have the opposite effect.
Savings: If rate cut expectations grow following weak spending data, savings account returns could edge lower over time; strong spending may support current rates for longer.
Jobs and wages: Retail is one of the UK’s largest employers. Sustained weak sales can eventually affect hiring and pay decisions in the sector.
Prices: Retail sales values (not adjusted for inflation) can hint at whether shops are passing on cost increases to customers, which matters for the broader cost of living.
Investments, pensions and the pound: UK retailer shares and funds tracking the FTSE 250 often react to this data. Sterling can also move against the dollar and euro if the report changes expectations for Bank of England policy, which matters for anyone holding overseas investments or planning travel.

Related events

Previous release: UK Retail Sales, September 2026 report
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee interest rate decision (watch the calendar for the next scheduled meeting)
UK Consumer Price Index inflation report, published separately by the ONS

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the UK Retail Sales report released?
The ONS publishes the report at 7:00 am London time, which is 2:00 am ET on the day of release.
How do I read the headline retail sales figure?
Focus on the month-on-month change in sales volumes excluding fuel, which strips out price effects and one-off fuel price swings to show the underlying trend in consumer spending.
How does this report affect interest rates?
The Bank of England considers consumer spending data as part of its assessment of demand in the economy, which feeds into its interest rate decisions alongside inflation and wage data.
Where can I find the official release?
The report is published on the ONS release calendar at ons.gov.uk.
When is the next UK Retail Sales report?
The ONS publishes retail sales data monthly, typically around three weeks after the end of the reference month. Check the ONS release calendar for the exact date of the following report.
← Previous UK Retail Sales

US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment October 2026
2026-10-23 10:00 - 11:00 (America/New_York)
Next US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
55.2 (July 2026, final)
Actual
Pending

Updated August 26, 2026

← Previous US University of Michigan Consumer SentimentNext US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment →
The University of Michigan releases its final Consumer Sentiment Index for October 2026 on Friday, October 23, 2026, at 10:00am ET (3:00pm London). The survey, produced by the university’s Surveys of Consumers team, gauges how confident American households feel about their own finances and about the wider US economy. This release covers sentiment gathered during October 2026. Full schedule and background: US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment.
What is the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index?
The index is built from telephone interviews with at least 500 US households, who are asked how their own finances compare with a year ago, whether they expect things to improve or worsen over the next year and five years, and whether now is a good time to make a big purchase such as a car or a house. Answers are combined into a single headline score, alongside two sub-indices: current conditions and expectations.
Markets watch it because consumer spending drives roughly two-thirds of US economic output. A household that feels uneasy about jobs or prices tends to delay big purchases, which shows up later in retail sales and GDP figures. The survey also asks about inflation expectations one year and five years ahead, a detail the Federal Reserve tracks closely when judging whether high inflation is becoming embedded in people’s expectations.
Because it is a survey rather than a hard transaction count, the index can move sharply on news events, political developments or petrol price swings, sometimes more than the underlying economy has actually changed. Economists therefore usually look at the trend over several months rather than any single reading.
When is the October Consumer Sentiment Index released?
The final October reading is scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026, at 10:00am ET (3:00pm London). It follows a preliminary reading published roughly two weeks earlier in the month. The University of Michigan publishes the data itself, and it is also mirrored on the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis’s FRED database.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the October 2026 final reading has not yet been published at the time of writing, since forecasts for economic surveys are typically compiled by data providers such as Reuters or Bloomberg closer to the release date. Readers should check a live economic calendar in the days before October 23 for the latest polled estimate.
On the prior print, the preliminary August 2026 reading fell to 51.0, down from a final July 2026 reading of 55.2, according to data reported by Trading Economics, which also noted the August figure came in below the roughly 54.5 economists had expected. Verified figures specifically for the September 2026 final reading were not available in the sources checked for this preview; readers should confirm the most recent print via the University of Michigan’s own release or the FRED UMCSENT series before the October data lands.

Measure
Prior (July 2026, final)
Consensus

Headline sentiment
55.2
Not yet published

Current conditions
Component of 55.2 headline
Not yet published

Expectations
Component of 55.2 headline
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Seen as a sign households feel steadier about jobs and prices, which can support the dollar and push US government bond yields modestly higher on expectations of firmer spending
People are telling surveyors they feel a bit more comfortable, which can eventually show up as slightly stronger retail spending

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction, since the figure confirms what traders already expected
Confidence is roughly where forecasters thought it would be, so nothing changes for household budgets

Below consensus
Can add to worries about a slowing consumer, sometimes weighing on the dollar and equities while supporting demand for safer bonds
Households are more nervous than expected, which can be an early warning that spending on non-essentials may soften

These are possible market reactions described by analysts, not predictions, and actual moves depend on other data released the same week.
Why does this release matter right now?
Through mid-2026, sentiment has swung with tariff news, petrol prices and worries over sticky inflation. The University of Michigan’s own commentary on the August 2026 reading pointed to broad-based weakening, with particularly sharp falls among older, lower-income and less-educated consumers, groups more exposed to rising prices. Year-ahead inflation expectations have also drifted, which matters to the Federal Reserve as it weighs whether elevated inflation readings are becoming entrenched in the public’s thinking. A further slide in sentiment ahead of the holiday shopping season would draw attention because it could signal weaker spending over the following months.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and borrowing rates: Weak consumer sentiment can reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold or cut rates, which sometimes filters through to mortgage rates in the US and, indirectly, to sentiment around rates in the UK and eurozone.
Savings: If sentiment data adds to expectations of Fed rate cuts, savings account and cash ISA rates in the US and abroad could drift lower over time, though this is one input among many.
Jobs and wages: A sharp drop in sentiment often reflects worries about job security. If households pull back on spending as a result, some employers may slow hiring in response, though this typically takes months to show up in payroll data.
Prices: Rising inflation expectations recorded in the survey are watched by the Fed. If households expect prices to keep climbing, they may bring forward purchases now, which can itself add near-term pressure on prices.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Sharp swings in the index can move the dollar and US equity futures in the minutes after release, which has knock-on effects for the pound, the euro and UK and European pension funds holding dollar assets.

Related events

Previous release: US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment September 2026
Next release: US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment November 2026
Also watch US retail sales and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, since both interact closely with consumer confidence trends.

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the October Consumer Sentiment Index released?
The final reading is published at 10:00am ET, which is 3:00pm in London, on October 23, 2026.
How should I read the headline number?
Look at the direction of change from the prior month and the trend over several months rather than the single figure, since the index reflects a survey rather than a hard economic transaction count.
Does this data affect Federal Reserve interest rate decisions?
The Fed watches the survey’s inflation expectations components closely, alongside broader confidence trends, though it is only one of many inputs into rate decisions.
Where can I find the official release?
The University of Michigan publishes the data directly, and it is also available via the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis’s FRED database under the UMCSENT series.
When is the next Consumer Sentiment release?
The next release covers November 2026 and is detailed on financecalendar.com’s November 2026 event page.
← Previous US University of Michigan Consumer SentimentNext US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment →

Germany Ifo Business Climate October 2026
2026-10-26 05:30 - 06:30 (America/New_York)
Next Germany Ifo Business Climate: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 10:30 am CET (5:30 am ET, 9:30 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
88.8 (August 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Germany Ifo Business Climate.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous Germany Ifo Business Climate
The Germany Ifo Business Climate Index for October 2026 is released on October 26, 2026 at 5:30am ET (10:30am CET, 9:30am London time) by the ifo Institute in Munich. The index covers business sentiment gathered from roughly 9,000 German companies during October and is one of the earliest and most closely watched gauges of the health of Europe’s largest economy. Full schedule and background: Germany Ifo Business Climate.
What is the Ifo Business Climate Index?
The Ifo Business Climate Index is a monthly survey-based indicator produced by the ifo Institute, a German economic research body. It asks companies in manufacturing, construction, wholesale, retail and services to rate their current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. The two components, the current situation index and the expectations index, are combined into the headline Business Climate figure.
Because it is a survey rather than hard output data, the Ifo index tends to move ahead of official industrial production, GDP or employment figures, which is why economists treat it as a leading indicator. A rising index generally signals that firms expect activity to pick up, while a falling index points to caution or contraction ahead. Markets in Frankfurt, London and increasingly Asia and the United States watch the release because Germany’s industrial base is tightly linked to global manufacturing and trade cycles.
The survey base year is 2015, meaning readings above 100 broadly indicate business sentiment stronger than the 2015 average, and readings below 100 indicate weaker sentiment. In practice the index has spent most of the 2020s below that long-run benchmark.
When is the October Ifo Business Climate Index released?
The ifo Institute publishes the October reading on Monday, October 26, 2026 at 10:30am CET (5:30am ET, 9:30am London time). The release is published directly on the ifo Institute’s Business Climate Index page alongside a short press briefing. The ifo Institute follows a set monthly calendar, with the release typically falling near the end of each month.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the October 2026 reading has not yet been published. Consensus estimates for the Ifo index are typically compiled by Reuters and Bloomberg surveys of economists in the days immediately before release, so a specific number is not usually available this far in advance.
For context, the most recent confirmed reading available was 88.8 points in August 2026, up from 86.7 in July 2026, according to data compiled by Statista using ifo Institute figures. The index had been recovering gradually through the summer after a spring dip.

Measure
Prior (August 2026)
Consensus (October 2026)

Business Climate Index
88.8
Not yet published

Current Situation
Improved on July
Not yet published

Expectations
Improved on July
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Could support the euro and German equities, seen as evidence the recovery in sentiment is broadening
German firms feel more confident about the coming months, which can encourage hiring and investment

In line with consensus
Likely limited market reaction, since expectations are already priced in
The economy is behaving roughly as businesses and analysts already expected

Below consensus
Could weigh on the euro and raise concerns about the pace of German industrial recovery
Companies are more worried about orders, costs or exports than expected, which can delay investment and hiring

These are possible reactions, not predictions. Analysts at outlets such as Reuters have noted that Ifo readings are watched closely by the European Central Bank as one input into its assessment of the eurozone economy, though markets weigh many other data points alongside it.
Why does this release matter right now?
Germany’s manufacturing sector has been navigating weak export demand, high energy costs relative to pre-2022 levels, and competition from Chinese industry, all of which have kept the Ifo index well below its long-run average despite a modest recovery through 2026. According to Kagels Trading, the index rose for three consecutive months into July 2026, but analysts noted the improvement came mainly from expectations rather than current conditions, meaning firms are hopeful rather than seeing an immediate pickup in business.
The European Central Bank monitors survey indicators like Ifo alongside hard data such as industrial output and retail sales when setting interest rates. A run of stronger Ifo readings could reinforce a case for the ECB to stay patient on further rate cuts, while a renewed slide would add to arguments for more support. For investors outside Germany, sustained weakness in the eurozone’s largest economy tends to spill over into demand for goods from the UK, other parts of Europe and Asian exporters.
What It Means for Your Money
Mortgages and borrowing: A weaker-than-expected Ifo reading can add to expectations of lower eurozone interest rates, which may gradually feed through to cheaper mortgage and loan rates for households and businesses in the euro area. A stronger reading can have the opposite effect.
Savings: Savers holding euro-denominated accounts may see returns move with expectations for ECB policy, since banks adjust deposit rates in response to the interest rate outlook implied by data like this.
Jobs and wages: Germany’s industrial and export sectors employ millions of people directly and indirectly across Europe. A sustained improvement in business sentiment tends to precede stronger hiring intentions, while weak readings can signal caution on job creation.
Prices: Business sentiment can affect pricing decisions and investment plans, which feed into inflation trends the ECB tracks when setting policy that affects the cost of borrowing across the eurozone.
Investments, pensions and currencies: German and European equity markets, along with the euro against the dollar and pound, can move on the day of release. Pension funds and investment portfolios with European exposure may see short-term volatility, though a single monthly survey rarely changes long-term investment strategy on its own.
Related events

Previous release: Germany Ifo Business Climate September 2026
Full hub page: Germany Ifo Business Climate
Other related German and eurozone data, such as GfK Consumer Climate and eurozone PMI releases, are worth tracking alongside Ifo for a fuller picture of the German economy

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the October Ifo Business Climate Index released?
It is released at 5:30am ET, which is 10:30am in Germany (CET) and 9:30am in London, on October 26, 2026.
How should I read the Ifo Business Climate Index?
Readings above 100 signal sentiment stronger than the 2015 base year average, while readings below 100 signal weaker sentiment; the change from the prior month often matters as much as the level.
Does the Ifo Index affect ECB interest rate decisions?
The European Central Bank considers survey indicators like Ifo alongside hard economic data such as output and inflation, but it is one input among many rather than a standalone trigger for policy changes.
Where can I find the official Ifo release?
The ifo Institute publishes the figures directly on its Business Climate Index page, usually with a short accompanying press statement.
When is the next Ifo Business Climate release after October 2026?
The ifo Institute’s published schedule lists the next release for November 24, 2026.
← Previous Germany Ifo Business Climate

US Consumer Confidence October 2026
2026-10-27 10:00 - 11:00 (America/New_York)
Next US Consumer Confidence: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (2:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
89.4 (August 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Consumer Confidence.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US Consumer Confidence
The US Consumer Confidence Index for September 2026 is scheduled for release on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, at 10:00 am ET (2:00 pm London). The figure is published by the Conference Board, a nonpartisan, not-for-profit think tank that has run this monthly household survey since the 1970s. The release covers consumer sentiment gathered during September 2026. Full schedule and background: US Consumer Confidence.
What is US Consumer Confidence?
The Consumer Confidence Index is a monthly gauge of how American households feel about the economy, their jobs and their own finances. The Conference Board surveys around 3,000 households and asks five questions: two about current conditions (business conditions and the local jobs market) and three about expectations for the next six months (business conditions, jobs and household income). Answers are scored as positive, negative or neutral, and the balance is turned into an index number benchmarked against 1985 levels, when the index was set at 100.
The headline figure is split into two sub-indexes that economists watch closely. The Present Situation Index reflects how people see the economy and labour market right now. The Expectations Index captures optimism or pessimism about the next six months, and the Conference Board has noted that a reading below 80 on this sub-index has historically preceded a recession within a year.
Markets watch the release because consumer spending drives roughly two-thirds of US economic output. A sharp change in confidence can signal a turning point in spending on cars, holidays, home improvements and big-ticket items well before that shift shows up in official retail sales or GDP data. Currency traders, bond investors and equity analysts all use the report as an early read on the health of the world’s largest consumer economy, which in turn affects demand for imports from Europe and Asia and the direction of the dollar.
When is the September Consumer Confidence report released?
The Conference Board has not yet formally confirmed the exact October release date at the time of writing, so this page uses the standard schedule: the index is normally published at 10:00 am ET on the last Tuesday of each month, which in October 2026 falls on October 27. The data will appear on the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence page alongside a short commentary from the organisation’s chief economist.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the September 2026 reading has not yet been published by major polling services such as Reuters or Bloomberg at the time of writing; those figures typically appear only in the days immediately before release. The most recently confirmed data point is the August 2026 report, published on August 25, 2026, which showed the headline index falling to 89.4, its lowest level since January, from a downwardly revised 90.2 in July. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast August at 90.2, according to Reuters reporting carried by Yahoo Finance.

Measure
Prior (August 2026)
Consensus (September 2026)

Headline Consumer Confidence Index
89.4
Not yet published

Present Situation Index
121.2
Not yet published

Expectations Index
68.2
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Seen as a sign households are more willing to spend, which could support the dollar and equities tied to consumer sectors
People feel more secure about jobs and income, which tends to support shops, travel firms and carmakers

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction, since the outcome was already priced in
Confidence is behaving roughly as expected, so little changes for borrowing costs or spending plans

Below consensus
Could reinforce concerns about a slowing labour market and softer spending, weighing on risk sentiment
Households are growing more cautious, which can signal weaker retail sales and hiring in the months ahead

These are possibilities rather than predictions. As commentators at InvestingLive noted after the August release, confidence readings are “rarely a market mover” on their own, though they add colour to the broader picture the Federal Reserve is watching.
Why does this release matter right now?
Confidence has been on a broad downward trend through the summer of 2026. The index fell for a third consecutive month in July to 90.8 (later revised to 90.2), then eased again in August to 89.4, according to the Conference Board’s own release. The Expectations Index has held below the recessionary 80.0 threshold since February 2025, a stretch the Conference Board itself has flagged as a warning sign that has historically preceded downturns.
Chief economist Dana M. Peterson said households have grown “more pessimistic about business conditions and the labour market” even as their view of current conditions improved slightly in August, according to the Conference Board’s official release. The Federal Reserve tracks confidence data alongside jobs and inflation reports as it weighs the pace of any further interest rate changes, because a sustained drop in sentiment can foreshadow weaker consumer spending, which accounts for the bulk of US economic growth. A weak September reading, following two months of decline, would add to questions about whether the labour market slowdown reported in recent jobs data is starting to change household behaviour.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and borrowing: weak confidence data can reinforce expectations of slower growth, which sometimes pushes bond yields and mortgage rates lower in the US, UK and euro area as investors anticipate central banks staying cautious or easing further.
Savings: if confidence keeps falling and the Fed leans towards cutting rates, savings account and cash ISA returns in the US and UK could drift lower over time, since bank rates tend to follow the direction of central bank policy.
Jobs and wages: the survey’s labour market questions are an early signal. A falling “jobs plentiful” reading has often preceded softer hiring, which matters for anyone weighing a job change or expecting a pay rise.
Prices: the survey also captures households’ short-term inflation expectations. A rise here can keep pressure on the Fed to hold rates higher for longer, indirectly affecting the cost of credit cards and car loans.
Investments, pensions and currencies: weaker US consumer sentiment can weigh on shares of retailers, airlines and carmakers, and it can move the dollar against the pound and euro, which affects the value of overseas investments and pensions held by UK and European savers.

Related events

Previous release: US Consumer Confidence, September 2026
US non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate, published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
US Consumer Price Index (CPI), the main US inflation release, published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the September Consumer Confidence report released?
The report is expected at 10:00 am ET (2:00 pm London time) on October 27, 2026, based on the Conference Board’s usual practice of publishing on the last Tuesday of the month.
How do I read the Consumer Confidence Index?
A rising index means households feel more positive about the economy, jobs and their own income, while a falling index signals growing caution or pessimism, with a benchmark of 100 tied to 1985 levels.
Does this report affect interest rates?
It is one of several data points the Federal Reserve considers alongside jobs and inflation figures. It rarely moves rates on its own but can shift expectations for future Fed decisions if it points to a broader change in the economy.
Where can I find the official release?
The Conference Board publishes the report and an accompanying press release on its Consumer Confidence page.
When is the next Consumer Confidence report after this one?
Following the standard schedule, the next report covering October 2026 data is expected around the last Tuesday of November 2026.
← Previous US Consumer Confidence

US New Home Sales October 2026
2026-10-27 10:00 - 11:00 (America/New_York)
Next US New Home Sales: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (2:00 pm London). Covers September 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
607,000 SAAR (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US New Home Sales.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US New Home Sales
US New Home Sales for September 2026 is scheduled for release on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (2:00 pm London), published jointly by the US Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). The report covers sales of newly built single-family homes during September 2026. Full schedule and background: US New Home Sales.
What is New Home Sales?
New Home Sales measures the number of newly constructed single-family houses sold during the month, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Unlike existing home sales, which are recorded at closing, new home sales are counted at the point a sales contract is signed, even if construction has not started. This makes the series a leading indicator of housing demand and builder activity.
The Census Bureau collects data from a sample of homebuilders and combines it with permit records to produce national and regional estimates, alongside the median and average sales price, and the months’ supply of homes available for sale. Because the sample size is relatively small, the monthly figures carry wide margins of error and are frequently revised.
Markets watch the release because it captures the most rate-sensitive part of the housing market: new construction depends heavily on mortgage affordability, builder incentives, and land and materials costs. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, use housing data as one gauge of how tight monetary policy is biting into the real economy.
When is the September new home sales report released?
The Census Bureau and HUD will publish the September 2026 report on October 27, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (2:00 pm London time). The release appears on the Census Bureau’s New Residential Sales page, alongside the accompanying PDF tables. This is the standard publication pattern for the series, which is typically released around three to four weeks after the end of the reference month.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the September 2026 report had not been published at the time of writing. Economists’ estimates are usually collated by data providers such as Trading Economics and Reuters in the days before release, and will be updated closer to October 27, 2026.
The most recently confirmed official reading available covers July 2026. Sales of new single-family homes fell 10.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 607,000, down from a revised June figure and 6.3% below July 2025, according to the Census Bureau’s New Residential Sales release. This was reported to have missed market expectations of a smaller decline to around 620,000, according to Trading Economics.

Measure
Prior (July 2026)
Consensus

New home sales, SAAR
607,000
Not yet published

Median sales price
$393,800
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Read as a sign of resilient demand despite elevated mortgage rates, potentially seen as reducing pressure for near-term Fed rate cuts
More people are buying new homes than expected, which could support builder share prices but keep borrowing costs higher for longer

In line
Limited market reaction, consistent with the “broadly flat” trend described by Mortgage News Daily since 2023
The housing market continues on its current path, with no major surprise for buyers, sellers or investors

Below consensus
Could reinforce concerns about affordability constraints, according to commentary accompanying prior releases, and may feed expectations of further Fed easing
Fewer new homes are selling than expected, often linked to high mortgage rates and stretched household budgets

Why does this release matter right now?
New home sales have been described by Mortgage News Daily as “broadly flat” since the volatility of the pandemic years faded, with builders relying on price cuts and incentives to keep buyers engaged. The median new home price fell to $393,800 in July 2026, described by First American senior economist Sam Williamson as the lowest level in five years, according to Real Estate News.
The Federal Reserve monitors housing indicators closely because the sector is one of the most sensitive to interest rate changes. A weaker September print would add to evidence that elevated mortgage rates are still weighing on construction and household formation, while a stronger print could suggest builder discounting is successfully drawing buyers back into the market. Either outcome feeds into the broader debate over the pace of future Fed rate decisions, which also matters for housing markets in the UK, Europe and Asia through its influence on global bond yields and the dollar.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and rates: Weak new home sales can add to expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, which over time can filter through to lower mortgage rates in the US and, indirectly, influence global borrowing costs, including UK and eurozone mortgage pricing linked to dollar-denominated markets.
Savings: If the data pushes rate-cut expectations forward, returns on cash savings and money market funds could edge lower in the months ahead, though this report alone rarely moves savings rates on its own.
Jobs and wages: A sustained slowdown in new home sales can eventually affect construction employment and related trades, from builders to materials suppliers, with knock-on effects for regional labour markets.
Prices: Falling new home prices, as seen through 2026, ease one part of the cost of living for buyers, though they can also squeeze builder margins and slow new construction, affecting future housing supply.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Homebuilder stocks often react directly to this release. A weaker-than-expected report can also move the dollar, with knock-on effects for the pound and euro, and for pension funds holding US housing-sensitive equities or bonds.

Related events

Previous report: US New Home Sales, September 2026 preview
Existing-Home Sales, published monthly by the National Association of Realtors
Housing starts and building permits, published monthly by the Census Bureau

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the September 2026 new home sales report released?
The report is released at 10:00 am ET, which is 2:00 pm London time, on October 27, 2026.
How should I read the new home sales figure?
The headline number is a seasonally adjusted annual rate, meaning it estimates how many new homes would sell over a full year if the current monthly pace continued, adjusted to remove typical seasonal patterns.
How does this data affect interest rates?
Weaker-than-expected housing data can add to the case for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, while stronger data can reduce pressure for near-term cuts, though housing data is only one input among many the Fed considers.
Where can I find the official release?
The official report is published on the Census Bureau’s New Residential Sales page.
When is the next new home sales report?
The following report, covering October 2026 data, is typically published around three to four weeks later, in late November 2026.
← Previous US New Home Sales

Australia CPI October 2026
2026-10-27 20:30 - 21:30 (America/New_York)
Next Australia CPI: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 11:30 am AEDT (8:30 pm ET, 12:30 am London). Covers September 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
3.8% annual (12 months to May 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Australia CPI.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous Australia CPI
Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2026 is released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, at 11:30am AEDT. That converts to 8:30pm ET on October 27, 2026, and 12:30am London time on October 28, 2026, because Australia is a day ahead of the United States and several hours ahead of the United Kingdom. Full background and the release schedule for this series sit on our Australia CPI hub page.
What is Australia’s CPI?
The CPI tracks the change in prices paid by households for a fixed basket of goods and services, from groceries and rent to petrol, health care and electricity. The ABS compares the cost of that basket each period with earlier periods to work out how fast prices are rising or falling, expressed as an annual percentage change.
Since late 2025 the ABS has published a complete Monthly CPI as Australia’s primary measure of headline inflation, having previously relied on a quarterly CPI supplemented by a lighter monthly indicator. The switch means nearly all of the CPI basket now gets priced every month rather than once a quarter, so each release gives a timelier read on the cost of living, according to the ABS’s own account of the transition on its website.
Markets watch CPI closely because the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) uses it, particularly the “trimmed mean” measure that strips out the most volatile price swings to see the underlying trend, to help set the cash rate. A hotter than expected reading can push traders to price in higher interest rates for longer, while a cooler reading can support bets on rate cuts.
When is the September 2026 CPI released?
The ABS publishes the September 2026 Monthly CPI on October 28, 2026, at 11:30am AEDT, on its release calendar and in the “Consumer Price Index, Australia” statistical release on abs.gov.au. The data covers price changes recorded across September 2026, the ninth full month of data collection since the complete Monthly CPI replaced the old quarterly headline measure.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast has not yet been published for the September 2026 release. Economist surveys for Australian CPI are typically compiled by Bloomberg and Reuters in the days immediately before the release, so a market consensus will not exist this far in advance.
The most recent confirmed reading available at the time of writing comes from the ABS’s own release commentary: “The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.8%, down from 4.0% in the 12 months to May 2026” (ABS). Several further monthly prints will have been published between that reading and the September 2026 release, so readers should check the ABS release calendar for the most current figures once they are out.

Measure
Prior (most recently confirmed)
Consensus

Headline CPI, annual
3.8% (12 months to May 2026)
Not yet published

Trimmed mean CPI, annual
Not independently confirmed for this print
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Traders could pare back bets on RBA rate cuts, and the Australian dollar could firm, if inflation surprises to the upside
Prices are rising faster than expected, which could keep borrowing costs higher for longer

In line with consensus
Limited immediate market reaction, with the RBA’s policy path likely to remain broadly unchanged
Inflation is behaving roughly as expected, so there is less pressure for the RBA to change course quickly

Below consensus
Markets could increase bets on earlier or larger RBA rate cuts, and the Australian dollar could soften
Prices are cooling faster than expected, which could eventually feed through to cheaper borrowing

These are possibilities discussed by market commentators, not predictions. Actual market reaction depends on the detail within the release, including housing, fuel and services prices, not just the headline number.
Why does this release matter right now?
The RBA sets interest rates with an eye on keeping inflation within its target band, and it treats the trimmed mean CPI as its preferred guide to underlying price pressure because it filters out one-off swings in items such as fuel or fresh food. Australia’s headline annual inflation had been easing through the first half of 2026, based on the ABS’s own commentary noting a fall to 3.8% in the year to May 2026 from 4.0% previously, according to the ABS.
Because the September reading is one of the last monthly prints before the RBA’s subsequent policy meetings, it feeds directly into the central bank’s assessment of whether disinflation is continuing, stalling or reversing. Global investors also watch it as a proxy for demand conditions in a major commodity-exporting economy, with implications for the direction of the Australian dollar against the US dollar, the pound and the euro.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and rates: A higher than expected CPI print can reduce the chances of an RBA rate cut, which matters for Australian homeowners on variable rate mortgages, since it can mean borrowing costs stay elevated for longer.
Savings: If inflation stays sticky, savers may see term deposit and savings account rates hold up, but the real value of cash still erodes faster when prices are rising quickly.
Jobs and wages: Persistent inflation squeezes household budgets if wage growth does not keep pace, while a clear cooling trend can ease pressure on employers and support real incomes.
Prices: The CPI directly reflects what households are paying for everyday items, from groceries to electricity, so a lower reading is generally good news for cost of living pressures.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Changes in Australian rate expectations move the Australian dollar, which affects returns for international investors holding Australian assets and can influence pension funds with exposure to Asia-Pacific markets. A weaker Australian dollar can also make imports more expensive, feeding back into future inflation readings.

Related events

Previous release: Australia CPI, September 2026 report (August 2026 data)
Full schedule and methodology background: Australia CPI hub page
RBA cash rate decisions, which respond directly to the trend in this data

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the September 2026 Australia CPI released?
The ABS releases the data at 11:30am AEDT on October 28, 2026, which is 8:30pm ET on October 27, 2026, and 12:30am London time on October 28, 2026.
How do I read the CPI figure?
Focus on the annual percentage change for headline CPI and, if reported, the trimmed mean figure, which the RBA treats as a cleaner read on underlying inflation once volatile items are excluded.
How does this release affect interest rates?
The RBA uses CPI trends, especially the trimmed mean, as one of the main inputs into its cash rate decisions, so persistently high readings tend to reduce the chance of near-term rate cuts, while cooling readings can increase it.
Where can I find the official release?
The ABS publishes the full statistical release, including data tables, on its Consumer Price Index, Australia page.
When is the next Australia CPI release after this one?
The ABS publishes Australia’s Monthly CPI on a regular monthly schedule, with dates listed on its release calendar; check the Australia CPI hub page for the next confirmed date.
← Previous Australia CPI

RBNZ Rate Decision October 2026
2026-10-27 21:00 - 22:00 (America/New_York)
Next RBNZ Rate Decision: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 2:00 pm NZDT (9:00 pm ET, 1:00 am London).

Consensus
Hold at 2.75%
Prior
Held at 2.75% (September 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: RBNZ Rate Decision.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous RBNZ Rate Decision
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Committee announces its Official Cash Rate (OCR) decision on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, at 2:00 pm New Zealand Daylight Time, which falls at 9:00 pm ET on October 28 (Tuesday evening in North America) and 1:00 am London time on October 28 for UK readers. The OCR currently sits at 2.75% after the Committee’s most recent review. Full schedule and background: RBNZ Rate Decision.
What is the RBNZ Monetary Policy Committee and what does it decide?
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is the body inside the Reserve Bank of New Zealand responsible for setting the Official Cash Rate, the interest rate that anchors borrowing costs across the New Zealand economy. Its legal mandate is to keep consumer price inflation between 1% and 3% on average over the medium term, while supporting maximum sustainable employment. The committee includes the RBNZ Governor, internal bank staff and external members appointed by the Minister of Finance, and decisions are reached by majority vote, with dissents occasionally disclosed in the minutes.
The MPC meets seven times a year. Four of those meetings, usually in February, May, August and November, are accompanied by a full Monetary Policy Statement containing new economic forecasts. The other three, including the October review, are shorter statements without a full projection update, though the Committee still explains its reasoning in detail.
When is the October RBNZ decision announced?
The October 2026 OCR review is published at 2:00 pm NZDT on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 (9:00 pm ET Tuesday, 1:00 am London Wednesday). The RBNZ releases a short written statement alongside the rate decision. Because this is not one of the four Monetary Policy Statement meetings, no new economic projections or dot-plot-style forecasts accompany this announcement, and there is no live press conference scheduled in the way there is for quarterly reviews. The record of the meeting, summarising the Committee’s discussion, is typically published a few weeks afterwards on the RBNZ website.
What to expect
The RBNZ cut the OCR steadily from mid-2024 through to late 2025, taking the rate from restrictive territory down to 2.25% by the final review of 2025. The Committee then held the rate at 2.25% at both its February and April 2026 reviews as it assessed the pace of the recovery. From mid-2026 the tone shifted: reporting on the July review noted the OCR was rising again as the Committee judged that the risk balance had tilted toward tighter, not looser, policy, according to Focus Economics commentary on the April 2026 hold. By the time of the October review the OCR stands at 2.75%, and most economists surveyed expect the Committee to hold at that level, according to market commentary tracking the RBNZ’s tightening bias. A consensus forecast has not yet been formally published for the October meeting specifically, though pricing in New Zealand’s overnight indexed swap market has generally leaned toward a pause rather than a further move at this review.

Meeting
Decision
Rate after meeting

November 2025
Cut
2.25%

February 2026
Hold
2.25%

April 2026
Hold
2.25%

July 2026
Hike
2.50%

August 2026
Hike
2.75%

September 2026
Hold
2.75%

Rows are drawn from the RBNZ’s own OCR decision history and related reporting; any meeting whose outcome could not be independently verified has been left out of the table.
Market impact scenarios

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Hold at 2.75%
Neutral to mildly supportive for the New Zealand dollar, seen by traders as confirmation the tightening pause is intact
Borrowing costs stay where they are for now, giving households and businesses a period of stability to plan around

Cut
Likely to weaken the New Zealand dollar and push local bond yields lower, as markets would read it as a shift back toward supporting growth
Mortgage and business loan rates could fall over time, but it would usually signal the RBNZ sees the economy weakening faster than hoped

Hike
Likely to strengthen the New Zealand dollar and lift short-term yields, interpreted as the RBNZ still fighting inflation pressure
Borrowing becomes more expensive, but savers could see slightly better returns on term deposits and savings accounts

What will the statement signal?
Because October is a non-Monetary Policy Statement review, analysts will focus closely on the wording of the short statement itself rather than new forecasts. Key things economists typically watch include: whether the Committee repeats language about the risk balance being tilted toward higher rates, whether it flags any concern about the exchange rate or imported inflation, and whether the vote appears unanimous or whether any dissent is later revealed in the record of meeting. Given the recent run of increases through mid-2026, commentators will also be alert to any hint that the tightening cycle has now peaked, or conversely that a further move remains live at the following review.
What It Means for Your Money
For New Zealand mortgage holders, the OCR feeds fairly directly into floating and short-fixed mortgage rates, so a hold keeps repayments broadly stable, while a further hike would push variable rate repayments higher and make remortgaging onto a new fixed term more expensive. Savers with term deposits and high-interest savings accounts in New Zealand tend to benefit when the OCR rises, since banks usually pass at least part of the increase on to deposit rates, though not always in full or immediately.
The decision also has knock-on effects well beyond New Zealand. Moves in the OCR influence the New Zealand dollar against the US dollar, the pound and the euro, which matters for anyone holidaying in New Zealand, importing New Zealand goods such as dairy and wine, or holding New Zealand-dollar denominated investments. For UK and eurozone investors with exposure to Australasian equities, bonds or currency funds, a surprise hold or hike can move portfolio values, particularly for funds with unhedged currency exposure. Pension funds and multi-asset portfolios that include Asia-Pacific fixed income will also see bond prices react, since RBNZ rate moves affect the yields on New Zealand government bonds.
Credit card and personal loan rates in New Zealand, which are typically priced off the OCR with a margin, would also shift with any change, while businesses assessing the cost of new borrowing for expansion or working capital will watch the decision closely as an input into their own funding costs.
Related events

Previous decision: RBNZ Rate Decision September 2026
New Zealand’s consumer price inflation figures, published quarterly, are the key input the Committee weighs before each OCR review
New Zealand employment and labour market data, released alongside the quarterly Household Labour Force Survey, feed directly into the RBNZ’s assessment of maximum sustainable employment

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the RBNZ October 2026 decision announced?
The decision is released at 2:00 pm New Zealand Daylight Time on October 28, 2026, which is 9:00 pm ET the previous evening and 1:00 am London time on October 28.
Will the RBNZ cut interest rates in October 2026?
Most commentary heading into the review points to a hold at the current 2.75% rate rather than a cut, though the RBNZ has not pre-committed to any outcome and a formal consensus forecast for this specific meeting has not been published.
What is the current Official Cash Rate?
The OCR stood at 2.75% heading into the October 2026 review, following increases at the July and August 2026 meetings.
When is the next RBNZ decision after October 2026?
The RBNZ’s next scheduled review follows its published 2026 to early 2028 calendar of OCR decision dates; check the RBNZ Rate Decision hub for the confirmed date once announced.
Where can I watch or read the RBNZ announcement?
The statement is published directly on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s website at the scheduled release time, alongside any accompanying record of meeting once it becomes available.
← Previous RBNZ Rate Decision

Bank of Canada Rate Decision October 2026
2026-10-28 09:45 - 10:45 (America/New_York)
Next Bank of Canada Rate Decision: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 9:45 am ET (1:45 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Cut 50bp to 3.25% (December 11, 2024)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Bank of Canada Rate Decision.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous Bank of Canada Rate Decision
The Bank of Canada’s Governing Council announces its October 2026 interest rate decision on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 9:45 am ET (1:45 pm London time). The decision follows a two-day deliberation and is released alongside a policy statement; at select meetings this is accompanied by the quarterly Monetary Policy Report and a press conference with Governor Tiff Macklem. Full schedule and background: Bank of Canada rate decision dates.
What is the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council and what does it decide?
The Governing Council is the Bank of Canada’s internal decision-making body. It sets the target for the overnight rate, the interest rate at which major financial institutions lend to one another overnight, which in turn influences mortgage rates, savings rates, business loans and the exchange rate of the Canadian dollar. The Bank’s mandate, agreed with the federal government, is to keep inflation near a 2% target within a 1% to 3% control range while supporting maximum sustainable employment.
Unlike the US Federal Reserve or the Bank of England, the Bank of Canada does not publish individual votes. Decisions are reached by consensus among the Governor, the Senior Deputy Governor and the Deputy Governors, and no dissent record is released. The Bank holds eight scheduled rate announcements a year, roughly every six weeks, on pre-announced Wednesdays.
When is the October Bank of Canada decision announced?
The rate statement is released at 9:45 am ET (1:45 pm London) on October 28, 2026. Bank of Canada meetings that include a Monetary Policy Report are followed by a press conference, typically around 10:30 am ET, where the Governor and Senior Deputy Governor take questions from reporters on the outlook for growth, inflation and the labour market. The Bank has confirmed its 2026 and 2027 announcement calendar, as set out in its own schedule of policy interest rate announcements. Because this preview is published well ahead of the meeting, readers should check the Bank of Canada’s website closer to the date for the confirmed rate entering the decision and for any published Monetary Policy Report projections.
What to expect
A consensus forecast for the October 28, 2026 decision has not yet been published. Economist surveys and market pricing for Bank of Canada meetings typically firm up in the one to two weeks before the announcement, drawing on data such as the Canadian Consumer Price Index, the Labour Force Survey and the Bank’s own Business Outlook Survey. Readers can expect Reuters and Bloomberg economist polls, along with overnight index swap pricing, to sharpen closer to the meeting date.
What is verifiable now is the Bank’s recent rate path through 2024, when it moved from a restrictive stance toward a more neutral one as inflation eased. The table below, drawn from the Bank of Canada’s own published key interest rate history, shows the last confirmed run of decisions available at the time of writing. Decisions made in 2025 and through to October 2026 should be checked directly against the Bank’s published history, since this preview is written well in advance of the meeting.

Meeting
Decision
Rate after meeting

January 24, 2024
Held
5.00%

March 6, 2024
Held
5.00%

April 10, 2024
Held
5.00%

June 5, 2024
Cut 25bp
4.75%

July 24, 2024
Cut 25bp
4.50%

September 4, 2024
Cut 25bp
4.25%

October 23, 2024
Cut 50bp
3.75%

December 11, 2024
Cut 50bp
3.25%

A basis point (bp) is one hundredth of a percentage point, so a 25bp move equals 0.25%. The sequence of cuts through 2024 reflected inflation returning toward the Bank’s 2% target after the sharp tightening cycle of 2022 and 2023.
Market impact scenarios

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Hold
Read by traders as the Bank signalling confidence that inflation and growth are broadly on track, according to typical desk commentary around unchanged decisions
Borrowing costs stay where they are for now, and the Bank is likely watching incoming data before its next move

Cut
Generally read as a sign the Bank is more worried about slowing growth or a softening labour market than about inflation, per standard market reaction patterns to easing moves
Cheaper borrowing over time for mortgages, car loans and business credit, though savings rates tend to fall too

Hike
Would be read as a signal that inflation risks have resurfaced and the Bank wants to cool demand, consistent with how markets reacted to the 2022 to 2023 tightening cycle
Higher borrowing costs but potentially better returns on savings accounts and fixed-income investments

What will the statement and press conference signal?
Analysts typically focus on a handful of things in the Bank of Canada’s statement: the language used to describe inflation risks (whether price pressures are described as “easing”, “persistent” or “broadening”), any reference to the labour market and wage growth, and commentary on the Canadian dollar and export demand, which is heavily exposed to US trade policy and commodity prices. Because the Governing Council does not publish a vote split, there is no dissent count to watch in the way there is at the Federal Reserve or the Bank of England; instead, commentators look for changes in tone between one statement and the next.
If the meeting includes a Monetary Policy Report, watch for updated growth and inflation projections and any commentary on the Bank’s balance sheet, including its quantitative tightening programme, which affects how much government debt the Bank is holding and indirectly influences longer-term borrowing costs.
What It Means for Your Money
For Canadian mortgage holders, especially those with variable-rate mortgages or lines of credit, a cut lowers monthly payments while a hold or hike keeps costs where they are; those coming up for renewal watch these decisions closely because Canadian mortgages typically reset every few years rather than being fixed for the full term as in the United States. Savers holding high-interest savings accounts or GICs (guaranteed investment certificates) generally see lower returns after a cut and better returns after a hold or hike.
The decision also matters beyond Canada. A more dovish Bank of Canada, one leaning toward cuts, tends to weaken the Canadian dollar against the US dollar, the pound and the euro, which affects the cost of cross-border shopping, travel and imported goods. Because Canada’s economy is closely tied to US demand and commodity prices, and to a lesser extent to European and Asian trade flows, shifts in the Bank’s outlook are watched by global fixed-income and currency traders, not just domestic borrowers. Pension funds and equity investors also track the rate path because lower rates tend to support share prices and bond valuations, while higher rates can pressure both.
Related events

The previous Bank of Canada rate decision provides the starting point for this meeting’s rate path.
Canadian Consumer Price Index data released in the weeks before the meeting is one of the key inputs the Governing Council reviews.
The Canadian Labour Force Survey, published monthly by Statistics Canada, feeds directly into the Bank’s assessment of the labour market and wage pressures.

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Bank of Canada decision announced on October 28, 2026?
The statement is released at 9:45 am ET, which is 1:45 pm London time.
Will the Bank of Canada cut interest rates in October 2026?
A consensus forecast has not yet been published this far ahead of the meeting; economist polls and market pricing typically firm up in the days before the announcement.
What is the Bank of Canada’s current policy rate?
The overnight rate stood at 3.25% after the Bank of Canada’s confirmed December 11, 2024 cut; readers should check the Bank’s own key interest rate history for decisions made since then, as this preview is written well ahead of the October 2026 meeting.
When is the next Bank of Canada meeting after October 2026?
The Bank of Canada publishes its full announcement calendar, including 2027 dates, on its own website.
Where can I watch the Bank of Canada announcement live?
The statement and any press conference are published on the Bank of Canada’s official website and carried live by major Canadian and international broadcasters.
← Previous Bank of Canada Rate Decision

GOOGL Earnings October 2026
2026-10-28 12:00 - 13:00 (America/New_York)
Next GOOGL Quarterly Earnings: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Early estimate ~$3.02 EPS (TipRanks); not yet widely published
Prior
Q2 2026: Revenue $119.8bn, EPS $9.11 (incl. equity gains), reported Jul 22, 2026
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous GOOGL Quarterly Earnings
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL, GOOG) is expected to report its third-quarter 2026 earnings on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, with the results likely released after US markets close, around 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London) being the scheduled earnings call time. As with all forward-dated earnings pages, Alphabet has not yet confirmed this date: large companies typically announce their reporting date two to three weeks in advance, and Alphabet has historically reported third-quarter results in the last week of October. Full schedule and background: GOOGL earnings calendar.
The event matters because Alphabet is one of the world’s largest companies by market value, and its results are watched as a barometer for digital advertising, cloud computing and the artificial intelligence spending cycle. Moves in Alphabet’s share price ripple through major indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, which in turn affect pension funds, ISAs, 401(k)s and index trackers held by millions of investors across the US, Europe and Asia.
What is Alphabet’s quarterly earnings report?
Alphabet’s quarterly earnings report is the formal disclosure of the company’s financial performance for the prior three months, covering revenue, profit, and operating metrics across its main segments: Google Search and other advertising, YouTube advertising, Google subscriptions, platforms and devices, Google Cloud, and “Other Bets” (early-stage ventures such as Waymo). The company files the results with the US Securities and Exchange Commission and publishes a press release on its investor relations site, followed by a live earnings call with analysts hosted by chief executive Sundar Pichai and chief financial officer Anat Ashkenazi.
Analysts, institutional investors and financial journalists use the report to judge how well Alphabet is monetising artificial intelligence products such as Gemini, how fast Google Cloud is growing against rivals Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure, and how much the company is spending on data centres and chips.
When is GOOGL earnings October 2026 and how to follow it
The report is expected on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The earnings release is typically published shortly after the stock market close (4:00 pm ET), with the conference call for analysts following around 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London), based on Alphabet’s usual schedule for prior quarters. Because the date is estimated, readers should check Alphabet’s investor relations page in the days beforehand for the confirmed date and time.
The results and call are streamed live and free on Alphabet’s investor relations website and on YouTube. A transcript and slide deck are usually posted within a few hours of the call ending.
What to expect
A consensus forecast for Alphabet’s third-quarter 2026 earnings per share (EPS) and revenue has not yet been widely published this far ahead of the release. One early estimate compiled by TipRanks puts third-quarter 2026 EPS at approximately $3.02, though this figure is likely to be revised as more analysts publish forecasts closer to the report date, according to TipRanks. Investors will focus closely on Google Cloud growth, which accelerated to 82% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, and on capital expenditure guidance, since heavy spending on AI infrastructure has been a key swing factor for the share price in recent quarters.
Other areas analysts typically scrutinise include Search advertising growth amid the rollout of AI-generated search results, YouTube advertising and subscription revenue, and any update on regulatory or antitrust matters affecting Google’s core businesses in the US and European Union.

Quarter
Revenue
EPS
vs estimate

Q4 2025 (reported Feb 4, 2026)
$113.8 billion
$2.82
Beat ($2.63 est., per CNBC)

Q1 2026 (reported Apr 2026)
$109.9 billion
$5.11 (incl. equity gains)
Not disclosed

Q2 2026 (reported Jul 22, 2026)
$119.8 billion
$9.11 (incl. equity gains)
Not disclosed

Note that Alphabet’s headline EPS in early 2026 was significantly inflated by large unrealised gains on non-marketable equity securities, so analysts typically also track adjusted or “core” operating measures alongside the reported figure.
What the outcome could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Beat on revenue and EPS, strong cloud growth
Shares likely to rise; positive read-through for tech sector and Nasdaq
Alphabet’s core businesses, especially Search and Cloud, are growing faster than expected, easing worries about AI spending paying off

In line with expectations
Muted reaction, focus shifts to guidance and capital spending commentary
The quarter met forecasts but investors will look for signals on future spending and competition from other AI leaders

Miss on revenue, EPS or weak cloud growth, or cautious guidance
Shares likely to fall; could weigh on broader tech and AI-linked stocks
Slower growth or rising costs raise questions about whether massive AI investment is translating into profit

What It Means for Your Money
Alphabet is one of the largest constituents of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, so its results affect the value of many workplace pensions, index funds and exchange-traded funds even for people who have never bought an individual share. A strong or weak report can move these indices, which in turn can shift the balance in a pension pot or stocks and shares ISA on the day of the release.
The report can also affect the dollar modestly if it changes the broader mood towards US technology stocks, with knock-on effects for the pound and euro through shifts in risk appetite. For consumers, the numbers offer a window into advertising spending trends, since a slowdown in Google’s ad revenue often reflects weaker corporate marketing budgets more broadly, a signal sometimes linked to hiring and wage trends in the wider economy. There is no direct link to UK or European mortgage or savings rates, but sharp swings in US tech shares can spill over into broader market sentiment and volatility.
Related events

GOOGL Q2 2026 earnings (previous quarter)
Microsoft and Amazon quarterly earnings, typically released in the same week, offer a comparison for cloud computing growth
US Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, which influence the broader valuation of technology shares

Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Alphabet report Q3 2026 earnings?
Based on Alphabet’s usual pattern, the release is expected after market close with the earnings call around 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London), though the exact time will be confirmed closer to the date.
Is the October 28, 2026 date confirmed?
No. Alphabet had not confirmed the date at the time of writing; large companies typically announce exact earnings dates two to three weeks in advance, and Alphabet has historically reported third-quarter results in late October.
What was Alphabet’s prior quarterly result?
In the second quarter of 2026, reported on July 22, 2026, Alphabet posted revenue of $119.8 billion and EPS of $9.11, though the EPS figure included a large boost from unrealised gains on equity investments.
Where can I watch the earnings call live?
The call is streamed free on Alphabet’s investor relations website and on YouTube, with a transcript and slide deck posted shortly afterwards.
Does Alphabet’s earnings report affect UK and European investors?
Yes. Alphabet is widely held in global index funds and pension portfolios, so sharp share price moves can affect the value of retirement savings and ISAs held by investors outside the United States.
← Previous GOOGL Quarterly Earnings

MSFT Earnings October 2026
2026-10-28 12:00 - 13:00 (America/New_York)
Next MSFT Quarterly Earnings: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
$4.82 EPS, $92.46 billion revenue (Q1 FY2027, per ChartMill)
Prior
$90.0 billion revenue, $4.74 adjusted EPS (Q4 FY2026, reported July 29, 2026)
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous MSFT Quarterly Earnings
Microsoft is expected to report its fiscal first-quarter 2027 earnings on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, with results due after markets close, typically followed by a call at around 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London) the next trading session or, in some quarters, the same evening at 5:30 pm ET. This is one of the most closely watched earnings reports in the world because Microsoft is a bellwether for cloud computing, enterprise software and artificial intelligence spending, and its results move not just the stock but broader technology indices in the US, Europe and Asia. Full schedule and background: MSFT earnings dates.
What is the Microsoft Q1 FY2027 earnings report?
This release covers Microsoft’s first fiscal quarter of its 2027 financial year, spanning July to September 2026. Microsoft’s fiscal year runs from July to June, so this is the first of four quarterly reports investors will see over the coming twelve months. The report is issued by Microsoft’s investor relations team and covers three main reporting segments: Productivity and Business Processes (Office, LinkedIn, Dynamics), Intelligent Cloud (Azure and server products), and More Personal Computing (Windows, devices, gaming and search advertising). Company executives, usually chief executive Satya Nadella and chief financial officer Amy Hood, host a live conference call and answer analyst questions shortly after the numbers are published.
When is the report and how to follow it
Microsoft has not yet formally confirmed the date on its investor relations calendar. The October 28, 2026 date used here follows the company’s usual pattern of reporting its fiscal first quarter in the last week of October, roughly the same week each year. Investors should treat this date as an estimate until Microsoft publishes an official notice, typically two to three weeks beforehand. The results and a live audio webcast are normally published on Microsoft’s investor relations website, alongside a press release and slide deck. Financial news services including Reuters, Bloomberg and CNBC provide live coverage, and the earnings call transcript is usually available within hours on the investor relations site.
What to expect
A consensus estimate compiled by ChartMill from 42 Wall Street analysts points to earnings per share of $4.82 and revenue of $92.46 billion for the quarter, according to ChartMill. That would represent year-on-year revenue growth of around 19%, driven largely by continued expansion in Azure and other cloud services. Analysts will focus closely on Azure growth rates, capital expenditure tied to AI data centre build-out (which reached around $41 billion in the prior quarter and is expected to exceed $50 billion in this one, according to Investing.com), and adoption metrics for Microsoft 365 Copilot and GitHub Copilot. Guidance for the December quarter, particularly around cloud margins and AI infrastructure spending, is likely to matter to investors as much as the headline numbers, since heavy capital spending has weighed on operating margins in recent quarters.
Microsoft’s most recent quarterly result, for fiscal Q4 2026 reported on July 29, 2026, showed revenue of $90.0 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $4.74, comfortably ahead of the analyst estimate of $4.24, according to Investing.com. A full four-quarter revenue and EPS history sourced directly from Microsoft’s investor relations filings is not yet independently verifiable for every quarter at the time of writing, so it has been omitted here rather than estimated.
What the outcome could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Beat on both revenue and EPS, with strong Azure growth
Shares likely to rise, technology and AI-linked stocks may follow
Cloud and AI demand remains strong, supporting confidence in the broader technology sector

In line with consensus, but cautious guidance on spending or margins
Mixed or muted share reaction, possible volatility around the call
Business is steady but investors want more clarity on how AI investment affects future profit

Miss on revenue or EPS, or weaker than expected Azure growth
Shares likely to fall, pressure may spread to other AI and cloud-linked names
Signs that enterprise spending on cloud and AI services is slowing, a concern for the wider tech rally

What It Means for Your Money
Microsoft is one of the largest companies in the world by market value, so its share price movements can influence pension funds, index trackers and workplace pension schemes even for people who have never bought a share directly. Many default pension funds and popular index funds, such as those tracking the S&P 500, hold a significant weighting in Microsoft, so a sharp move in its share price after earnings can nudge the value of retirement savings up or down slightly. A strong or weak result can also ripple through to other technology and AI-related shares in the US, Europe and Asia, since Microsoft’s cloud spending affects suppliers of chips, data centre equipment and cooling systems worldwide. For everyday consumers, the report itself does not change mortgage rates, savings rates or the price of goods, but persistent strength in US technology earnings has in the past supported the dollar, which can make imports slightly more expensive for UK and eurozone households when converted from dollar-priced goods. Investors holding US technology funds or exchange-traded funds may see more volatility around the results date than on an average trading day.
Related events

Microsoft’s fiscal Q4 2026 earnings, reported July 29, 2026: MSFT earnings July 2026
Other major technology earnings reported in the same week, including Alphabet, Amazon and Meta
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, which often falls in the same week and can add to market volatility around tech earnings

Frequently Asked Questions
When exactly will Microsoft report Q1 FY2027 earnings?
The estimated date is Wednesday, October 28, 2026, but Microsoft has not yet confirmed this on its investor relations calendar, so the date could shift by a day or two.
What time will the earnings call take place?
Results are typically released after market close, with the earnings call usually held around 5:30 pm ET (10:30 pm London) on the reporting day, or sometimes at 12:00 pm ET the following session, depending on Microsoft’s final scheduling.
What is the consensus forecast for this quarter?
According to ChartMill, the consensus among 42 analysts is earnings per share of $4.82 and revenue of $92.46 billion, though this figure can change as more analysts update their estimates closer to the release.
How did Microsoft perform last quarter?
In fiscal Q4 2026, reported on July 29, 2026, Microsoft posted revenue of $90.0 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $4.74, beating the analyst estimate of $4.24.
Why does Microsoft’s earnings report matter to non-investors?
Because Microsoft is heavily weighted in many pension funds and index trackers, and its results are seen as a signal for broader trends in cloud computing and AI spending that can affect jobs, technology investment and market sentiment well beyond its own shareholders.
← Previous MSFT Quarterly Earnings

META Earnings October 2026
2026-10-28 12:00 - 13:00 (America/New_York)
Next META Quarterly Earnings: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Q2 2026: Revenue $60.8bn, EPS $6.18 (missed ~$7.14-7.22 consensus)
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous META Quarterly Earnings
Meta Platforms is expected to report its third-quarter 2026 results on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, with the earnings call scheduled for around 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London). The report and call are published by Meta’s own investor relations team, not a third-party data provider, and the figures move markets because Meta is one of the largest advertising and technology companies in the world, with results that ripple through the wider social media, digital advertising and artificial intelligence infrastructure sectors. For the full release calendar and background on this recurring event, see the Meta earnings hub.
Note that Meta has not yet formally confirmed this date. Big technology companies typically report roughly four weeks after quarter-end, and Meta has historically released its third-quarter results in the last week of October, so October 28, 2026 reflects that usual pattern rather than a confirmed announcement.
What is a Meta quarterly earnings report?
Every three months, Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook) publishes audited financial results covering its Family of Apps segment (Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger) and its Reality Labs division, which houses virtual and augmented reality products. The release includes revenue, profit, user numbers such as daily and monthly active people, and management’s outlook for the coming quarter. Chief executive Mark Zuckerberg and chief financial officer Susan Li typically host a live earnings call afterwards, taking questions from Wall Street analysts about advertising demand, artificial intelligence spending and the outlook for costs.
These reports matter well beyond Meta shareholders. The company is a bellwether for the broader digital advertising market, so its results are watched by investors in rival platforms, by pension funds holding technology-heavy index trackers, and by economists tracking corporate spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure worldwide, including in Europe and Asia where much of that hardware and cloud capacity is being built out.
When is the report and how to follow it
Meta usually issues its results via a press release on its investor relations website shortly before the market close, followed by a live audio webcast of the earnings call at around 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London, 5:00 pm in most of continental Europe). The release and call recording are made available afterwards on Meta’s investor relations site. Investors in Asia can typically read the results and management commentary the following morning local time, given the time difference from the US afternoon release.
What to expect
A consensus forecast for Meta’s third-quarter 2026 earnings per share and revenue has not yet been published, as analyst estimates for a quarter are typically finalised only in the days before the report. Once available, consensus figures are usually compiled by data providers such as LSEG, FactSet or Visible Alpha from a panel of Wall Street analysts.
Based on recent quarters, analysts are likely to focus on three areas: advertising revenue growth across Facebook and Instagram, the scale of capital spending on data centres and artificial intelligence chips, and any update on losses at Reality Labs. In the prior quarter, Meta reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of approximately $60.8 billion and diluted earnings per share of $6.18, which fell short of the roughly $7.14 to $7.22 consensus estimate compiled by analysts, according to Simply Wall St and 247 Wall St. Net income declined 14% year-on-year to roughly $15.85 billion, which the company attributed to higher legal expenses, severance costs and continued heavy spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure, according to Digital Applied’s analysis of the release.
Given that pattern, analysts covering the October report are likely to pay close attention to whether cost growth, including data centre depreciation and staffing, continues to outpace revenue growth, and whether management gives fresh guidance on 2027 capital spending plans.
What the outcome could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Beat on revenue and EPS, with cost growth under control
Shares likely to rise; positive for technology and advertising sector sentiment
Meta earned more than expected while managing its spending, suggesting its advertising business and AI investments are paying off

Results roughly in line with analyst estimates
Muted share reaction, attention shifts to forward guidance
Nothing surprised the market, so investors focus on what management says about the next quarter and future spending

Miss on EPS or weaker-than-expected guidance
Shares likely to fall, pressure on other technology and AI-linked stocks
Costs, particularly AI infrastructure spending, are eating into profit faster than investors expected

What It Means for Your Money
Meta is one of the largest companies in global stock market indices, so its share price movements affect many people who have never bought an individual share. If you hold a workplace pension, an index fund, or an exchange-traded fund tracking the S&P 500 or a global technology index, a large swing in Meta’s share price after this report will show up, in a small way, in the value of that fund. A strong report can lift sentiment across the wider technology and communications sector, including advertising-dependent businesses in Europe and Asia; a weak one can drag down related stocks and, at times, the broader market. For consumers, the numbers rarely change day-to-day life directly, but persistent heavy spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure by companies like Meta can, over time, feed into demand for computer chips, electricity and data centre construction, with knock-on effects for energy prices and jobs in the regions where that infrastructure is built. Currency markets can also react modestly if the results shift views on US technology sector strength relative to the dollar, euro or pound, though this is usually a secondary and short-lived effect compared with central bank decisions.
Related events

Meta Q2 2026 earnings report (July 2026)
US Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, which influence technology stock valuations broadly
Other “Magnificent Seven” technology earnings reports released in the same season, including Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon

Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Meta report third-quarter 2026 earnings?
The report is expected around 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London) on October 28, 2026, though Meta has not yet formally confirmed the exact date.
What was Meta’s result in the previous quarter?
In the second quarter of 2026, Meta reported revenue of approximately $60.8 billion and diluted earnings per share of $6.18, which missed the analyst consensus of roughly $7.14 to $7.22, according to Simply Wall St.
Is there a consensus forecast yet for the October 2026 report?
No, a consensus forecast has not yet been published. Analyst estimates for a specific quarter are typically finalised only in the days immediately before the report.
Where can I watch the earnings call live?
Meta streams its earnings call live on its investor relations website, with a replay usually available shortly afterwards.
Why does Meta’s earnings report matter outside the United States?
Meta generates a large share of its advertising revenue outside the US, and its results are closely watched by investors in Europe and Asia holding global technology or index funds, as well as by businesses that rely on Facebook and Instagram advertising to reach customers.
← Previous META Quarterly Earnings

FOMC Rate Decision October 2026
2026-10-28 14:00 - 15:00 (America/New_York)
Next FOMC Rate Decision: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 2:00 pm ET (6:00 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: FOMC Rate Decision.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous FOMC Rate DecisionNext FOMC Rate Decision →
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, at 2:00 p.m. EDT, following a two-day meeting on October 27-28. This is a non-SEP meeting, with no updated economic projections or dot plot released alongside the decision. The October meeting falls between the September SEP meeting (September 15-16) and the December SEP meeting (December 8-9), making it a critical juncture: the October decision will either confirm or depart from the trajectory set at September, and it shapes market positioning heading into the final FOMC meeting of the year. The federal funds rate currently stands at 3.50% to 3.75%.
The Federal Reserve and the FOMC
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is the monetary policy body of the Federal Reserve (the Fed), the US central bank. It sets the target range for the federal funds rate and meets eight times per year. The October meeting is one of four non-SEP meetings (alongside January, April, and July), at which only a policy statement and press conference are released. The October 2026 meeting follows three months of data released after the summer, covering the July, August, and September inflation and employment prints, giving the committee a substantial evidence base for its decision.
The October meeting’s proximity to the December SEP meeting makes it significant in the context of signalling. A rate change in October would need to be followed through in December, or explicitly reversed, which would be unusual. Conversely, a hold at October with dovish language effectively sets up December as the likely candidate for any year-end rate adjustment. The committee’s dual mandate requires balancing price stability (2% PCE target) and maximum employment, and the October decision will reflect how the FOMC has weighed these objectives through the second half of 2026.
FOMC October Meeting: October 27-28, 2026
The October 27-28 meeting arrives after the September SEP has updated the committee’s public projections and rate path. If September produced a rate cut (taking the funds rate to 3.25%-3.50%), October could be either a second cut or a pause to allow the effects of the September action to flow through the economy. If September was another hold, October faces the same dynamic: cut, hold, or acknowledge that December will be the decision point.
The data available by late October 2026 will include: Q2 2026 GDP (released late July), Q3 2026 GDP advance estimate (released late October), July-September CPI and PCE readings, July-September NFP reports, and any updated Federal Reserve communications from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium (typically held in late August). This is one of the richest data environments of any FOMC meeting, spanning a full third-quarter picture of the US economy. The decision will be announced at 2:00 p.m. EDT on October 28, followed by a press conference at 2:30 p.m. EDT.
What to Expect
The October 2026 outcome depends entirely on the data and policy decisions that will unfold over the preceding months. Key scenarios include: (1) the Fed has already begun cutting at September, in which case October will determine the pace of the easing cycle; (2) the Fed has held through September, in which case October becomes a live decision point if inflation has moderated sufficiently; or (3) inflation remains sticky and October is another hold, with December as the final assessment for 2026.
The March 2026 SEP dot plot showed a median expectation of one cut in all of 2026. If that cut has not been delivered by October, market pressure on the Fed to deliver at least one reduction before year-end will be significant. The Fed’s credibility on its own projections is a factor in how it manages this tension. The FOMC Rate Decision June 2026 and subsequent meetings will collectively define the backdrop for October.
Rate Decision History

Date
Decision
Rate (Target Range)
Vote

Dec 2025
-25bp
3.50%-3.75%
9-3

Jan 2026
Hold
3.50%-3.75%
n/v

Mar 2026
Hold
3.50%-3.75%
n/v

Apr 2026
Hold
3.50%-3.75%
8-4

Jun 2026
TBD (Jun 16-17, SEP)
TBD
TBD

Jul 2026
TBD
TBD
TBD

Sep 2026
TBD (Sep 15-16, SEP)
TBD
TBD

Oct 2026
TBD (Oct 27-28)
TBD
TBD

Sources: Federal Reserve Board; CNBC. “n/v” = vote not yet verified. “TBD” indicates decisions pending as of June 2026. Rates shown are the federal funds target range.
Market Impact Scenarios

Hold – A hold at October, if accompanied by clear language signalling a December cut, would be interpreted as market-neutral with a mildly dovish tilt. Treasuries would hold steady; equities would look ahead to December. A hold with no clear December guidance would be disappointing for rate-cut expecters and could push yields modestly higher.
Cut (25bp) – A cut in October would confirm that the easing cycle has resumed. This is positive for equities and bonds, reduces the dollar, and validates the market’s expectation that the Fed is prioritising growth support over residual inflation risks. A 25bp cut here, followed by a potential hold in December, would represent the “one cut in 2026” outcome from the March dot plot.
Hike – Not the base case; would require significantly worse-than-expected inflation data and would be strongly negative for equities and supportive of the dollar and bond yields.

Press Conference and Forward Guidance
Without a dot plot, the October press conference at 2:30 p.m. EDT carries extra weight in shaping year-end rate expectations. Powell will need to either signal what the committee sees as the appropriate December outcome or maintain genuine uncertainty that keeps market pricing fluid. Given that October is three weeks before the US presidential election cycle’s post-election period (depending on the electoral calendar), the Fed will be particularly careful to emphasise its political independence and data-dependent decision-making process.
Forward guidance language in the October statement will be compared line-by-line against the September statement. Any new language acknowledging that “the committee has made further progress toward its inflation objective” (dovish) or that “uncertainty around the inflation outlook remains elevated” (hawkish) will be immediately parsed by market participants as a signal for December.
Related Events

FOMC Rate Decision June 2026 – The June SEP establishes the 2026 dot plot trajectory that October’s decision will need to conform to or deviate from.
US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) June 2026 – Labour market strength or weakness through July-September is a key input for the October decision.
US CPI Report June 2026 – Inflation data from June through September provides the definitive picture of whether the Fed has scope to ease at October.

Frequently Asked Questions
Why does the October FOMC meeting matter despite having no dot plot?
Non-SEP meetings like October matter because any rate change decided there takes immediate effect on financial markets and lending rates. They are also important as signals of the committee’s assessment between the guidance-setting SEP meetings. An October rate change would confirm that the Fed has moved ahead of its December projection update, signalling either urgency in easing or an unexpected shift in the data.
When will the FOMC October 2026 decision be announced?
The FOMC will release its policy statement at 2:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Fed Chair Powell’s press conference will begin at 2:30 p.m. EDT. No Summary of Economic Projections or dot plot will be published at this meeting.
How close is the October 2026 meeting to the US election?
The Federal Reserve operates independently of the political calendar and explicitly avoids scheduling rate decisions around elections. The October 27-28 FOMC meeting is timed according to the Fed’s fixed annual schedule. The Fed has a longstanding policy of emphasising its political independence, and Chair Powell has consistently stated that rate decisions are based solely on economic data, not on political considerations.

US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE) October 2026
2026-10-29 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US Retail Sales: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (12:30 pm London). Covers September 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet available
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Retail Sales.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US Retail SalesNext US Retail Sales →
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the September 2026 Personal Income and Outlays report on Thursday, October 29, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report includes the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, alongside personal income and consumer spending data. October 29 falls the day after the FOMC Rate Decision on October 28, making this the first major inflation data point released after the October policy decision. The October 29 release also coincides with the US GDP Q3 2026 advance estimate. As of April 2026, core PCE stood at 3.3% year-on-year.

At a Glance

Release Date
Thursday, October 29, 2026, 8:30 a.m. ET

Data Covered
September 2026 personal income and spending

Published By
Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Prior Core PCE (YoY)
3.3% (April 2026, most recent available)

Same Day Release
GDP Q3 2026 Advance Estimate

Context
Day after FOMC October decision

What is the PCE Price Index?
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is the Federal Reserve’s official inflation target measure, published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. PCE covers expenditures by US households and also includes spending made on their behalf by employers and government entities, providing broader coverage than the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, receives the closest scrutiny from policymakers as it filters out volatile components to reveal the underlying inflation trend.
The Fed’s target is 2% for headline PCE over the longer run. Core PCE stood at 3.3% year-on-year in April 2026, having risen from 2.7% in October 2025, a deterioration that has kept the federal funds rate at a restrictive level throughout 2026. The October 29 release will provide the September 2026 reading, an important data point in assessing whether the inflation trajectory is improving ahead of year-end.
The October 29 release is unusual in that it arrives one day after the FOMC’s October 28 rate decision. This means the October PCE data will not influence October’s rate outcome but will be the first chance for markets to assess whether the inflation conditions described by Fed Chair at the October press conference are materialising as expected. The data will feed directly into market pricing for the December FOMC meeting.
US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE) Release: October 29, 2026
The October 29 release is one of the busiest days in the US economic calendar. The BEA publishes both the September PCE data and the Q3 2026 GDP advance estimate simultaneously at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Traders will need to process two major releases in the same moment: the Q3 GDP advance figure (the first look at economic growth in the July-to-September period) and the PCE inflation reading for September (providing the monthly price update for the same period). Together they offer a snapshot of the US economy’s simultaneous inflation and growth conditions in Q3 2026.
Consensus forecasts for the October 29 PCE release will be published in the week before the report, informed by the September CPI print released on October 14. The October 14 US CPI Report will be widely used to calibrate PCE expectations given the strong historical correlation between the two indices. The FOMC’s October 28 statement will also be fresh context: any guidance on the December meeting will sharpen market sensitivity to the PCE print the following morning.
Why This PCE Release Matters
The October 29 PCE data for September arrives immediately after the October FOMC meeting, making it the first inflation checkpoint after policymakers have stated their October stance. If the Fed holds rates at October’s meeting while signalling a December cut is possible, then a benign September PCE on October 29 would confirm that trajectory. A surprise to the upside would complicate the December case and could trigger a reassessment of the post-October rate path.
The personal spending component of the September report will show how consumers behaved at the close of Q3 2026. Together with the GDP advance estimate released at the same time, it provides a near-complete picture of the US economy’s performance in the third quarter: growth and its primary driver (consumer spending) on one side, and the inflation backdrop on the other. The interaction between these two datasets will determine how financial markets position going into Q4.
For the December FOMC meeting, the October 29 PCE print is effectively the first of three key remaining inflation readings (October PCE on November 25 and December CPI on December 10 are the others). A sequence of declining core PCE readings through Q4 would build a compelling case for a December rate cut; persistent or rising readings would reinforce a hold.
What to Watch For

Core PCE above 3.2% YoY – Continued sticky inflation. Reduces December cut probability significantly, likely to weigh on equities and lift Treasury yields, strengthening the dollar.
Core PCE between 2.8% and 3.2% YoY – Modest progress from the April 2026 peak of 3.3%. Markets may interpret this as “disinflation on track” and price in a higher probability of a December cut.
Core PCE below 2.5% YoY – A meaningful deceleration that would firmly establish December as likely to include a rate cut. Likely to rally bonds, support equities, and weaken the dollar. A reading this low would also raise questions about whether the Fed’s restrictive stance has been too aggressive.

Historical Context

Release Month
Data Month
Core PCE (YoY)
Core PCE (MoM)

May 2026
April 2026
3.3%
+0.24%

April 2026
March 2026
3.2%
+0.30%

March 2026
February 2026
3.0%
n/a

Jan 2026
December 2025
3.0%
+0.40%

Jan 2026
November 2025
2.8%
n/a

Jan 2026
October 2025
2.7%
n/a

Market Positioning
The October 29 session will be one of the most data-intensive single mornings of the year. Coming one day after the FOMC decision, traders will already be processing any rate guidance from October 28 when they receive the PCE and GDP releases at 8:30 a.m. on October 29. Position adjustments that would normally spread over several days will be compressed into a single session, potentially creating higher-than-usual intraday volatility across equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities.
Investors in interest rate futures will be the most active. The simultaneous GDP and PCE releases will trigger immediate updates to December FOMC cut probabilities, with FedWatch and similar tools updating in real time. These probability shifts cascade into repricing across the yield curve and equity sector rotations within the first minutes after publication.
Related Events

FOMC Rate Decision October 2026 – The October 28 rate decision is announced the day before PCE; the October 29 PCE data will be the first inflation check after the October policy stance is confirmed.
US CPI Report October 2026 – Released October 14, providing the September CPI reading used to calibrate PCE forecasts for the October 29 release.
US Gross Domestic Product September 2026 – The Q2 2026 third estimate released September 30, providing the finalised H1 2026 growth baseline before Q3 estimates begin.

Frequently Asked Questions
Why is PCE released the day after the FOMC decision in October?
The BEA releases PCE on a fixed monthly schedule tied to the reference data month, not to the FOMC calendar. October 29 falls on the FOMC schedule’s publication date for September PCE data. The proximity is coincidental, but the sequencing means the FOMC makes its October decision without the September PCE print, which arrives the following morning.
When is the October 2026 PCE report released?
The BEA will publish the September 2026 Personal Income and Outlays report at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on Thursday, October 29, 2026, alongside the GDP Q3 2026 advance estimate.
How does October 29 PCE affect the December FOMC decision?
The September PCE reading is the first in a sequence of three key inflation data points (September PCE, October PCE on November 25, and November CPI on December 10) that will inform the December 9 FOMC meeting. A declining September PCE starts the disinflation sequence needed to justify a December rate cut. A persistent or rising reading would push December toward a hold.

US Gross Domestic Product October 2026
2026-10-29 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US Gross Domestic Product: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (12:30 pm London). Covers Q2 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Gross Domestic Product.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US Gross Domestic ProductNext US Gross Domestic Product →
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q3 2026 Advance Estimate on Thursday, October 29, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The advance estimate is the first official measurement of US economic growth in the July-to-September quarter and typically generates the largest market reaction of the three GDP publications. October 29 is also the day the BEA releases the September 2026 Personal Income and Outlays report, which includes PCE inflation data. The combined release falls one day after the FOMC October 28 rate decision, making October 29 one of the most data-dense days of the year. The US economy grew at an annualised rate of 1.6% in Q1 2026 (second estimate); Q2 2026 advance data will be available by the time this Q3 release occurs.

At a Glance

Release Date
Thursday, October 29, 2026, 8:30 a.m. ET

GDP Estimate
Q3 2026 Advance Estimate (first look)

Published By
Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Prior GDP (Q1 2026)
+1.6% annualised (second estimate)

Same Day Releases
PCE September 2026; day after FOMC Oct 28

Market Impact
Very High (advance estimate; simultaneous PCE)

What is the GDP Advance Estimate?
The GDP advance estimate is the first official measure of US economic output for a given quarter, published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis approximately four weeks after the quarter ends. It is based on incomplete source data (roughly two of the three months’ data are available when the advance estimate is compiled) and is subject to revision in subsequent second and third estimates. Despite this caveat, the advance estimate receives the largest market reaction of the three releases because it sets the initial narrative about the economy’s performance and is fresh information to markets.
GDP is measured on an annualised basis, expressing the quarterly growth rate as if it were sustained for a full year. A reading of +1.6% annualised means the economy grew at a pace that, if maintained for four quarters, would produce 1.6% annual growth. The annualised convention amplifies the apparent scale of quarterly movements, which is why a deceleration from 4.4% (Q3 2025) to 0.5% (Q4 2025) represents a dramatic but not necessarily catastrophic slowdown in absolute terms.
The Q3 2026 advance estimate will be the first read on US economic performance in the period from July 1 to September 30, 2026. This period encompasses the summer consumer spending season, back-to-school retail activity, and the final weeks of the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting cycle up to September 16. The reading will reflect how the economy has responded to the restrictive monetary conditions that have been in place throughout 2026.
US GDP Q3 2026 Advance Estimate: October 29, 2026
The October 29 session will be exceptionally data-rich. The BEA releases both the Q3 GDP advance estimate and the September PCE data at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, one day after the FOMC October 28 rate decision. Markets will need to simultaneously assess: the Federal Reserve’s latest policy stance (announced October 28), the health of US economic growth in Q3 (GDP advance), and the September inflation reading (PCE). This concentration of major events within a 24-hour window creates conditions for significant market moves across equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities.
Consensus forecasts for Q3 GDP will be published in the run-up to the October 29 release, drawing on the available Q3 economic data including retail sales, employment, industrial production, and trade figures. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model and similar real-time trackers will provide continuously updated estimates in the weeks before October 29, giving markets an ongoing read of where Q3 growth is likely to land. For comparison, Q1 2026 growth was 1.6% annualised and full-year 2025 GDP was 2.1%. The Bloomberg and Reuters consensus surveys, published the week before October 29, will set the market expectation baseline.
Why This GDP Release Matters
The Q3 2026 advance estimate arrives at a critical juncture in the monetary policy cycle. The FOMC’s October 28 decision, announced the day before, will have provided the latest rate path signal. The October 29 GDP data then immediately tests whether the economic conditions are consistent with that stance. A sharp slowdown in Q3 growth would increase pressure on the Fed to ease policy, while stronger-than-expected growth would validate holding rates at current levels.
The GDP decomposition by expenditure component will be scrutinised alongside the headline growth figure. Consumer spending accounts for approximately 70% of US GDP, and any acceleration or deceleration in personal consumption within the Q3 figure will be read as a signal for Q4 2026 economic momentum. Strong Q3 consumer spending confirms that households remain resilient under restrictive monetary policy; weak spending raises concerns about a consumer-led slowdown in late 2026.
Business investment, government spending, and net exports are secondary but important components. In Q4 2025, a federal government shutdown subtracted approximately 1.0 percentage point from growth. No comparable disruption is anticipated in Q3 2026, meaning the headline figure should more accurately reflect underlying economic conditions. The September PCE data released simultaneously will provide the inflation context needed to interpret whether GDP growth is being driven by real output gains or by nominal price increases.
What to Watch For

Q3 GDP advance estimate above +2.5% – A positive growth surprise that reduces recession concerns and supports the case for a prolonged period of restrictive policy. Likely to support equities broadly, particularly cyclical sectors, while reducing bond rally expectations.
Q3 GDP advance estimate between +1.5% and +2.5% – Moderate growth consistent with the Q1 2026 trend. Market reaction will be tempered; attention will shift quickly to the simultaneous PCE data and whether inflation is decelerating.
Q3 GDP advance estimate below +1.0% – A significant slowdown following two consecutive weak quarters (Q4 2025: +0.5%, Q1 2026: +1.6%). Would raise recession concerns, likely to rally Treasury bonds, weigh on equities, and significantly increase expectations for a December rate cut.

Watch the personal consumption component specifically. It is the single largest component and the most reliable leading indicator of near-term GDP momentum. A breakdown between goods and services consumption will also reveal whether the goods-spending surge seen in 2021-2022 has fully normalised and whether services spending, which has driven most of the post-pandemic expansion, remains robust.
Historical Context

Quarter
Real GDP Growth (Annualised)
Notes

Q1 2026
+1.6%
Second estimate; partial recovery from Q4 2025 shutdown

Q4 2025
+0.5%
Federal government shutdown (Oct 1 – Nov 12) subtracted ~1.0pp

Q3 2025
+4.4%
Strong consumer spending and business investment

Q2 2025
+3.8%
Robust domestic demand, services-led growth

Full Year 2025
+2.1%
Annual rate; Q4 shutdown dragged on full-year average

Market Positioning
The October 29 morning session will be one of the most active of the year. Market participants will arrive having already processed the FOMC’s October 28 statement and, in many cases, the Fed Chair’s October 28 press conference. The two back-to-back events (FOMC October 28; GDP + PCE October 29) create a two-day event risk window where positions are best kept small or hedged until both data points are absorbed.
Algorithmic trading systems will be especially active in the seconds after the 8:30 a.m. release, parsing the headline GDP growth rate, the consumer spending component, and the PCE core reading simultaneously. Initial moves in Treasury futures, S&P 500 futures, and the US dollar index will reflect the combined read of both releases. Traders who maintain positions through this window should expect elevated volatility and potentially wider-than-usual bid-ask spreads in the immediate post-release period.
Related Events

US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE) October 2026 – Released simultaneously on October 29, providing the September inflation and spending data alongside the Q3 GDP advance figure.
FOMC Rate Decision October 2026 – The October 28 rate decision is announced the day before; GDP and PCE on October 29 are the immediate follow-up data to that policy decision.
US Gross Domestic Product September 2026 – The Q2 2026 third estimate (September 30) provides the final Q2 growth figure against which Q3 results will be compared.

Frequently Asked Questions
Why does the GDP advance estimate generate the biggest market reaction?
The advance estimate is the first official look at a quarter’s economic performance, making it genuinely new information. Second and third estimates typically confirm the advance figure with modest revisions, so they carry less surprise potential. The advance estimate sets the initial growth narrative that markets price in immediately, whereas revisions require recalibrating an existing expectation.
When is the October 2026 GDP report released?
The BEA will publish the Q3 2026 GDP advance estimate at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on Thursday, October 29, 2026, alongside the September 2026 Personal Income and Outlays (PCE) report.
What is the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model, and how should it be used?
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model provides a continuously updated real-time estimate of current-quarter GDP growth based on incoming economic data. It is updated after each major data release (retail sales, industrial production, housing starts, etc.) and provides traders with a running forecast ahead of the official BEA advance estimate. GDPNow is one input among many; it can diverge significantly from the consensus and from the eventual BEA figure, particularly early in the quarter when data is sparse.

US Initial Jobless Claims: October 29, 2026
2026-10-29 08:30 - 09:30 (America/New_York)
Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (12:30 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Not yet published for this week; continuing claims recently near 1.78 million
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
The US Department of Labor publishes its weekly initial jobless claims report on Thursday, October 29, 2026, at 8:30 am ET (12:30 pm London). The release covers the week ending October 24, 2026, and counts the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time. It is one of the most timely gauges of the US labour market and is watched closely by the Federal Reserve, currency traders and anyone tracking the health of the world’s largest economy. Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the week ending October 24, 2026 had not been published at the time this page was prepared. Economists’ estimates for weekly claims typically appear on financial data terminals only a day or two before release, so check back closer to Thursday for an updated figure. Recent weekly readings through 2026 have generally sat in a range described by Trading Economics as showing “some resilience in the US labor market” even as continuing claims, the number of people still receiving benefits after their first week, hovered near 1.78 million.

Measure
Prior
Consensus

Initial claims
To be confirmed on release
Not yet published

Continuing claims
Around 1.78 million (recent weeks)
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Above consensus
Bond yields could fall, dollar could soften, as traders price in a weaker labour market and a more dovish Fed
More people are losing jobs than expected, a warning sign for hiring and consumer spending

In line with consensus
Muted market reaction, little change to Fed rate expectations
The labour market is behaving broadly as expected, no fresh signal for policy

Below consensus
Yields and the dollar could firm as traders trim bets on future rate cuts
Fewer people are filing for benefits than expected, a sign of continued labour market strength

Why it matters this week
Weekly claims data has taken on extra weight in 2026 because it arrives faster than the monthly jobs report and offers a near real-time read on layoffs. The Federal Reserve has repeatedly said it is watching the labour market closely alongside inflation when deciding on interest rates, and a run of higher claims readings can shift expectations for future rate cuts within weeks. Continuing claims, which track people who remain on benefits after an initial filing, have been treated by economists as a useful signal of how hard it is for laid-off workers to find new jobs, according to Trading Economics.
Because the US labour market remains the benchmark against which other major economies are measured, a surprise in either direction tends to ripple beyond American borders. Sharp moves in US Treasury yields following the release can affect borrowing costs in the UK and eurozone, while a weaker dollar tends to lift the pound and the euro, and vice versa if claims come in unexpectedly low.
What It Means for Your Money
If claims rise more than expected, it can be read as a sign the labour market is cooling. That often pushes bond yields lower, which can eventually feed through to slightly cheaper mortgage rates in the US, and sometimes abroad if global yields follow. Savers holding cash may see interest rates on deposit accounts drift lower over time if markets expect the Fed to cut rates sooner.
For anyone with a pension or investment portfolio, weaker labour data can lift share prices in the short run if it raises hopes of rate cuts, though a genuinely weak jobs market can eventually hurt company profits and wages. If you hold euros or pounds, a softer US labour market can nudge the dollar down, meaning it takes fewer pounds or euros to buy dollar-priced goods, holidays or investments.
None of these effects are guaranteed from a single week’s data. Claims figures are volatile week to week, and markets usually wait for a clear trend across several releases before making major moves.
Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the October 29, 2026 jobless claims report released?
The Department of Labor publishes the report at 8:30 am ET, which is 12:30 pm in London.
What counts as a big miss versus consensus?
Economists generally treat a move of more than 15,000 to 20,000 claims away from consensus as notable, though the size of any market reaction also depends on the broader trend in recent weeks.
When is the next jobless claims report?
Initial jobless claims are published every Thursday. The following week’s report covers the period after October 24, 2026.
Where does the data come from?
The figures come directly from state unemployment insurance offices and are compiled and released by the US Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration.
← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims

ECB Rate Decision October 2026
2026-10-29 08:45 - 09:45 (America/New_York)
Next ECB Rate Decision: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 1:45 pm CET (8:45 am ET, 12:45 pm London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: ECB Rate Decision.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous ECB Rate DecisionNext ECB Rate Decision →
The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council will announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday, October 29, 2026, at 13:45 CET. ECB President Christine Lagarde’s press conference will follow at 14:30 CET. October is a non-projection meeting in the ECB’s 2026 schedule, meaning no updated Staff Macroeconomic Projections will be published alongside the decision. The ECB’s deposit facility rate currently stands at 2.00%, following two consecutive holds in March and April 2026 as the Governing Council assessed elevated inflation against growing recession risks for the eurozone. The October meeting follows the September 10 decision, which will have been the third meeting of the ECB’s post-June-2026 policy cycle, and precedes the all-important December 17 year-end projection meeting.
The European Central Bank and Its Mandate
The European Central Bank (the ECB) maintains price stability for the 20-member euro area, with its primary mandate being HICP inflation close to but below 2% over the medium term. The Governing Council meets seven times in 2026, on a schedule of approximately every six weeks: March 19, April 30, June 11, July 23, September 10, October 29, and December 17. The deposit facility rate, currently 2.00%, is the ECB’s most operationally significant policy rate.
October is not one of the ECB’s four quarterly projection meetings (March, June, September, December). This means no new staff inflation or GDP forecasts will be released on October 29. The Governing Council’s decision and President Lagarde’s press conference will be the sole communications. As a non-projection meeting, October’s primary significance is as a bridge between the September data-rich decision and the December year-end review. It may deliver a rate change if the data between September and late October provides compelling new evidence, or it may confirm the trajectory signalled at September and defer to December for any major policy shift.
ECB October Meeting: October 29, 2026
The October 29 Governing Council meeting will take stock of data released after the September 10 meeting, including the first read of eurozone Q3 2026 GDP, September flash CPI, and the latest labour market figures. By October, the ECB will have had roughly four months of data since the assumed June 2026 rate hike to 2.25%, enough time to assess whether the tightening is having its intended effect on inflation without unnecessarily damaging growth. The October meeting follows one of the ECB’s most watched preceding decisions: September 10, which will itself have been informed by the full summer data flow and updated quarterly staff projections.
The ECB’s challenge in October will be assessing whether the Middle East energy price shock that drove the June 2026 tightening has proven temporary or persistent. Energy prices, particularly natural gas and oil, are highly sensitive to geopolitical developments, and by October the duration and intensity of the price shock will be clearer. If core HICP inflation (excluding energy and food) has remained well-contained below 2.5%, and headline inflation has started to moderate as energy base effects kick in, the case for pausing or reversing any tightening becomes stronger. Conversely, if second-round effects have broadened, October would need to either hold firm or consider further tightening. The decision will be announced at 13:45 CET, with the press conference at 14:30 CET.
What to Expect
Non-projection meetings rarely produce surprises unless the data between the preceding SEP meeting and the current meeting has shifted dramatically. The most likely October outcome is a hold at whatever level the deposit rate stands following September, with forward guidance focused on the December decision. However, the October press conference and statement will be closely watched for any language changes that signal the end of the tightening cycle, or alternatively, a further hike at December.
The ECB’s October decision is uniquely positioned close to the US FOMC October 27-28 meeting, making it a global central bank coordination point. If the Fed has cut at its October meeting (or is expected to), the ECB will face questions about the divergence between US and European monetary policy and its implications for the euro and eurozone growth. Lagarde has historically been clear that the ECB sets policy for the euro area based on eurozone data, independent of Fed decisions. The ECB Rate Decision June 2026 remains the foundational decision shaping October’s context.
Rate Decision History

Date
Decision
Deposit Rate
Notes

Mar 2026
Hold
2.00%
Inflation at 2.6% projection

Apr 2026
Hold
2.00%
Stagflation risk; Iran war impact

Jun 2026
TBD (projections)
TBD (mkt: 2.25%)
98% hike probability

Jul 2026
TBD
TBD
Non-projection

Sep 2026
TBD (projections)
TBD
Quarterly projections meeting

Oct 2026
TBD (Oct 29)
TBD
This meeting; non-projection

Sources: European Central Bank; CNBC; Central Banking. Deposit rate is the ECB deposit facility rate. Market probability from ECB-Watch (June 2026). “TBD” indicates pending decisions.
Market Impact Scenarios

Hold – The base case for a non-projection meeting following a September decision. A hold at October, with neutral or mildly dovish language pointing to December as the next potential action point, would be broadly market-neutral. The euro might drift lower if markets interpret October as a hold-and-review ahead of a December cut.
Hike (+25bp) – A hike at October would signal the ECB has found fresh reasons to tighten between September and late October, likely driven by a new energy price spike or evidence that second-round inflation effects have spread. This would strengthen the euro, push eurozone bond yields higher, and pressure equities. The Transmission Protection Instrument would be closely watched for fragmentation risk in peripheral markets.
Cut (-25bp) – A cut at October, while possible if data has been uniformly disinflationary since September, would be unusual at a non-projection meeting. It would signal urgency about the growth outlook and would strongly support eurozone equities and bonds while weakening the euro.

Press Conference and Forward Guidance
President Lagarde’s October press conference at 14:30 CET will be the ECB’s primary signalling vehicle for December, given the absence of staff projections at this meeting. The market will be listening for explicit or implicit guidance on whether December is a “live” meeting for a rate change, and whether the ECB sees the inflation trajectory as broadly consistent with returning to 2% within the forecast horizon. Any reference to specific data thresholds or milestones the ECB needs to see before acting will be a key forward guidance signal.
October also falls close to the ECB’s annual framework review cycle, and any announcements about operational framework changes or the ECB’s balance sheet normalisation pace could intersect with rate expectations. The interaction between rate decisions and quantitative tightening (the ongoing reduction of the ECB’s asset portfolio) will be a topic at this late-year meeting.
Related Events

ECB Rate Decision June 2026 – The June projection meeting is the foundational decision of the 2026 policy cycle that all subsequent October and December decisions build upon.
FOMC Rate Decision June 2026 – The US Fed’s October 27-28 meeting falls just before the ECB’s October 29 decision, creating a two-day G2 central bank window of potential market volatility.
Bank of England MPC Rate Decision June 2026 – The BoE’s monetary policy context influences sterling/euro dynamics that the ECB monitors as part of its financial conditions assessment.

Frequently Asked Questions
Why does the ECB hold a meeting in October if no projections are published?
The ECB’s seven-meeting annual schedule provides the Governing Council with regular opportunities to respond to rapidly changing economic conditions, not just at the four quarterly projection meetings. Non-projection meetings like October allow the ECB to adjust policy between the September and December projection updates if new data warrants action. They also serve as important communication events through the press conference, allowing the ECB to update markets on how it is assessing evolving conditions.
When will the ECB October 2026 decision be announced?
The Governing Council will publish its monetary policy decision at 13:45 CET on Thursday, October 29, 2026. President Lagarde’s press conference will begin at 14:30 CET (8:45 a.m. EDT). No updated Staff Macroeconomic Projections will be released at this meeting.
How does the ECB’s October decision relate to the December projection meeting?
October serves as a bridge between the September SEP (the last quarterly projection before year-end) and December’s year-end SEP. If October produces a rate hold with neutral language, December becomes the year-end assessment where the Governing Council can signal whether 2026 has closed at its terminal rate or whether 2027 will involve a new easing cycle. If October delivers a rate change, December becomes the point at which the ECB formally incorporates that change into its updated macroeconomic projections and confirms the new policy trajectory.

Germany CPI Flash October 2026
2026-10-29 09:00 - 10:00 (America/New_York)
Next Germany CPI Flash: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 2:00 pm CET (9:00 am ET, 1:00 pm London). Covers September 2026 data.
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
2.9% y/y (August 2026 flash)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Germany CPI Flash.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous Germany CPI Flash
Germany’s flash consumer price index (CPI) for September 2026 is expected on October 29, 2026 at 9:00 am ET (2:00 pm CET, 1:00 pm London time), published by the German Federal Statistical Office, known as Destatis. This flash estimate covers price changes recorded across Germany’s states in September 2026 and gives the first read on inflation in Europe’s largest economy before the final, more detailed figure follows roughly two weeks later. Full schedule and background: Germany CPI Flash.
What is the Germany CPI Flash?
The CPI flash is a preliminary estimate of how much prices for a typical basket of goods and services have risen or fallen over the past year and the past month. Destatis compiles the figure from price data gathered in Germany’s federal states, released ahead of the fully confirmed national index, which is why it is called a “flash” or preliminary reading.
Alongside the national CPI, Destatis and Eurostat also track the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), a version calculated using a methodology common across the European Union so that inflation rates can be compared directly between member states. Both measures typically move together but can diverge slightly month to month.
Markets watch this release closely because Germany is the largest economy in the eurozone and its inflation trend heavily influences expectations for eurozone-wide inflation, which in turn feeds into interest rate decisions by the European Central Bank (ECB). A surprise in the German number often moves the euro and eurozone government bond yields within minutes of publication.
When is the September 2026 CPI flash released?
Destatis is scheduled to publish the September 2026 flash estimate on October 29, 2026 at 9:00 am ET, which is 2:00 pm in Germany (CET) and 1:00 pm in London. The figures are published on the Destatis website and distributed to newswires simultaneously. Destatis has not yet formally confirmed this exact date on its release calendar as this page went to press; the statistical office typically publishes the flash estimate for a given month on the last working day of that month or the first days of the following month, so the date given here reflects that usual pattern and should be treated as indicative until confirmed.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the September 2026 flash CPI has not yet been published by major polling services such as Reuters or Bloomberg. Economists’ estimates typically emerge in the days immediately before the release, once regional state-level CPI figures for Germany begin trickling out earlier in the same week.
The most recent confirmed reading is the August 2026 flash estimate, which showed German CPI inflation running at 2.9% year on year, according to Destatis. That was below the roughly 3.0% to 3.1% economists had pencilled in ahead of the release, according to a report from investinglive.com, and up from 2.8% in July. The harmonised HICP measure came in at 2.9% year on year in August, also below the roughly 3.1% forecast, per the same report, while core CPI (which strips out volatile food and energy prices) held at 2.4% year on year.

Measure
Prior (August 2026)
Consensus (September 2026)

CPI, year on year
2.9%
Not yet published

HICP, year on year
2.9%
Not yet published

Core CPI, year on year
2.4%
Not yet published

CPI, month on month
0.2%
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus (higher inflation than expected)
Euro could firm and eurozone bond yields could rise, as traders price in a slower pace of ECB rate cuts
Prices in shops and on bills are rising faster than hoped, which could keep borrowing costs higher for longer across the eurozone

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction, since the print confirms the existing trend already priced in by traders
Inflation is behaving roughly as expected, so there is unlikely to be a sudden change in mortgage or savings rates because of this release alone

Below consensus (lower inflation than expected)
Euro could soften and yields could fall, as traders lean towards a more dovish ECB path
Price pressures are easing faster than expected, which could support the case for interest rate cuts sooner

These are possible market reactions based on how traders have historically responded to inflation surprises, not predictions of what will happen this time.
Why does this release matter right now?
German inflation has hovered close to the ECB’s 2% target through much of 2026, but readings above 2.8% to 2.9% in recent months, as recorded by Destatis, have kept policymakers cautious about cutting interest rates further. The ECB has repeatedly said it is watching services inflation and wage growth closely, both of which have been stickier than headline goods prices across the eurozone.
Because Germany accounts for roughly a quarter of eurozone output, its flash CPI print is often treated by traders as an early signal for the eurozone-wide HICP flash estimate, published by Eurostat a few days later. A meaningful surprise in the German number, in either direction, tends to shift expectations for the ECB’s next policy meeting and can move German Bund yields, the benchmark for borrowing costs across much of Europe.
What It Means for Your Money
Mortgages and borrowing: If German (and by extension eurozone) inflation runs hotter than expected, the ECB may hold interest rates higher for longer, which keeps variable mortgage repayments and new borrowing costs elevated across the eurozone. A cooler reading strengthens the case for rate cuts, which could eventually filter through to cheaper mortgages and loans.
Savings: Higher-for-longer rates tend to mean better returns on savings accounts and fixed deposits held in euros, while a dovish surprise that pulls rate expectations lower could see savings rates drift down over time.
Jobs and wages: Persistent inflation erodes the real value of pay rises. If German inflation stays sticky, workers may push for higher wage settlements, which employers and policymakers watch as a sign of whether inflation could become self-reinforcing.
Prices on the high street: The CPI directly reflects what people pay for groceries, energy, rent and other everyday costs in Germany, so a rising rate signals a squeeze on household budgets, while a falling rate offers some relief.
Investments, pensions and currencies: The euro often reacts within minutes of the release, which matters for anyone holding European shares, bonds or pension funds with euro exposure, as well as for UK and US travellers and importers dealing in euros. A weaker euro can make eurozone exports cheaper and imports more expensive, with knock-on effects felt as far as Asian exporters competing with German manufacturers.
Related events

The previous Germany CPI flash release: Germany CPI Flash, September 2026
The eurozone-wide HICP flash estimate, published by Eurostat a few days after the German figure
The next European Central Bank interest rate decision, which weighs the latest inflation data from Germany and other member states

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Germany CPI flash released?
The release is scheduled for 9:00 am ET, 2:00 pm CET (German local time) and 1:00 pm London time on October 29, 2026, though Destatis has not formally confirmed this exact date yet.
How should I read the flash CPI figure?
Focus on the year-on-year percentage change for the headline rate and compare it with the prior month and any published consensus; a rate above the ECB’s 2% target signals ongoing price pressure, while a move towards target suggests inflation is cooling.
How does this data affect ECB interest rate decisions?
The ECB uses eurozone-wide inflation data, of which Germany’s CPI is a major component, to decide whether to hold, cut or raise interest rates, so a hotter or cooler than expected German print can shift market expectations for the ECB’s next move.
Where can I find the official release?
The figures are published directly on the Destatis press release calendar website.
When is the next Germany CPI flash release?
The following flash estimate, covering October 2026 data, is typically published in late November 2026; check the Destatis release calendar for the confirmed date.
← Previous Germany CPI Flash

AAPL Earnings October 2026
2026-10-29 12:00 - 13:00 (America/New_York)
Next AAPL Quarterly Earnings: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
$109.4bn revenue, $2.02 EPS (Q3 FY2026, July 30, 2026)
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous AAPL Quarterly Earnings
Apple is expected to report its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter earnings on October 29, 2026, at approximately 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London time), though Apple has not yet confirmed the exact date. This report will cover the September quarter, which includes the crucial early weeks of iPhone 17 sales and the run-up to the holiday shopping season. Investors, fund managers and anyone with money in a pension or index fund that holds Apple shares watch this release closely because Apple is one of the largest companies in the world by market value. Full schedule and background on Apple’s reporting pattern: AAPL Quarterly Earnings hub.
What is Apple’s Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings report?
Apple reports its results four times a year, at the end of each fiscal quarter, in a press release followed by a conference call with analysts. The fourth fiscal quarter, which typically ends in late September, is watched closely because it captures the first days of sales for that year’s new iPhone lineup, plus updates on the Services division (App Store, iCloud, Apple Music and similar subscriptions), Mac, iPad and wearables. Chief executive Tim Cook and chief financial officer Kevan Parekh usually lead the call, discussing revenue, profit margins, and giving guidance for the following (holiday) quarter, which is Apple’s biggest of the year.
When is the report and how to follow it
Apple has not yet confirmed the exact date for this release. The company traditionally reports its fiscal fourth-quarter results in the last week of October, so October 29, 2026 is a reasonable estimate based on that pattern rather than a confirmed date. When Apple does confirm, the release typically appears as a press statement on Apple’s investor relations website, followed by a live-streamed earnings call roughly 30 minutes later. Retail investors can listen via Apple’s investor relations page without needing a broker account. Previous quarter: AAPL earnings, July 2026.
What to expect
A consensus forecast for Apple’s fiscal Q4 2026 revenue and earnings per share (EPS) has not yet been published by data providers such as Bloomberg or Refinitiv, as these estimates typically firm up in the weeks immediately before the report. Analysts will focus on several areas once forecasts are published:

iPhone revenue, given this is the first full quarter of iPhone 17 sales.
Services revenue, which has been a point of scrutiny; in the prior quarter, Services growth fell short of some analysts’ expectations even as the company beat overall revenue and profit estimates, according to Yahoo Finance.
Gross margin, watched for signs of tariff-related cost pressure or component price changes.
Guidance for the holiday quarter, Apple’s largest quarter of the year, which sets the tone for retail spending expectations into 2027.

In its most recent report, for the third fiscal quarter of 2026 (the June quarter), Apple posted revenue of $109.4 billion, up 16% year on year, and diluted EPS of $2.02, according to MacRumors and Apple’s own results release. That followed a record first fiscal quarter, when Apple reported revenue of $143.8 billion and EPS of $2.84 for the December 2025 quarter, according to Apple’s official 8-K filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. These two data points give a sense of the growth trend analysts will be extrapolating from ahead of the October report, though a full four-quarter comparison table is not included here because verified figures for the second fiscal quarter are not yet confirmed from a primary source.
The stakes for this particular report are heightened by the timing: it falls just before the peak US holiday shopping season and gives the clearest early signal of how the iPhone 17 range is selling against rivals from Samsung and Chinese manufacturers in markets across Asia and Europe. Analysts at investment banks typically publish updated price targets on Apple stock within hours of the release, and these can move sentiment across the wider technology sector on the day.
What the outcome could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Beat on revenue and EPS, strong guidance
Shares likely to rise, other big technology stocks may follow
iPhone and Services sales came in stronger than expected, and Apple expects a strong holiday quarter

In line with expectations
Muted or mixed share reaction
Apple performed roughly as forecast, with no major surprises for investors

Miss on revenue, EPS or guidance
Shares likely to fall, pressure on broader technology indices
Demand for iPhones or Services was weaker than hoped, or Apple expects a softer holiday season

What It Means for Your Money
Apple is one of the largest constituents of major US stock indices, so its share price movements affect many pension funds, workplace pension default funds and index-tracking investment funds held by ordinary savers in the UK, Europe and Asia, even for people who have never bought an individual share. A strong or weak report can move the wider technology sector and, at times, broader stock markets. For consumers, the report offers a read on iPhone demand and pricing, which can hint at whether Apple is likely to raise or hold prices in its next product cycle. Currency moves matter too: Apple generates a large share of revenue outside the United States, so a stronger dollar against the pound or the euro can reduce the dollar value of overseas sales, a dynamic the company often mentions on its earnings call. None of this should be read as investment advice, but it explains why headlines about Apple’s results ripple beyond individual shareholders.
Related events

AAPL earnings, July 2026
US non-farm payrolls report, published around the same time each month
Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, which influence how investors value technology shares

Frequently Asked Questions
Is the October 29, 2026 date confirmed?
No. Apple has not yet confirmed the date, and the company typically announces the exact date around two to three weeks in advance. October 29 is an estimate based on Apple’s usual pattern of reporting fiscal fourth-quarter results in the last week of October.
What time does Apple report earnings?
Based on the schedule for this event, the report and call are expected around 12:00 pm ET, which is 4:00 pm in London.
What was Apple’s most recent quarterly result?
In its fiscal third quarter of 2026 (the June quarter), reported on July 30, 2026, Apple posted revenue of $109.4 billion and diluted EPS of $2.02, according to the company’s results release.
Where can I watch the earnings call live?
Apple streams its earnings call on its investor relations website, typically starting shortly after the press release is issued.
Has a consensus forecast been published for this report?
Not yet. Analyst consensus estimates for revenue and EPS usually firm up in the days before the report, closer to late October 2026.
← Previous AAPL Quarterly Earnings

AMZN Earnings October 2026
2026-10-29 12:00 - 13:00 (America/New_York)
Next AMZN Quarterly Earnings: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (4:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
EPS around $1.96-$2.00, revenue near $205.65bn (analyst estimates cited by ChartMill and TipRanks)
Prior
Q3 2026 company guidance: net sales $197.0bn-$202.0bn, operating income $22.5bn-$26.5bn (issued with Q2 2026 results)
Actual
Pending

Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous AMZN Quarterly Earnings
Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) is expected to release its third-quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, October 29, 2026, with the earnings call beginning at approximately 12:00pm ET (4:00pm London time). The results are published by Amazon’s investor relations team and cover the three months from July to September 2026, spanning the company’s retail, advertising and Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud computing divisions. Because Amazon is one of the largest companies by market value in the S&P 500 and a heavy weighting in most global index funds, its results tend to move broader markets, not just the stock itself.
The exact date has not yet been confirmed by Amazon; the company has not published a formal earnings calendar entry for this quarter at the time of writing. Amazon has historically reported Q3 results on a Thursday in the second half of October, roughly three to four weeks after quarter-end, so late October is the standard pattern, and this page will be updated once Amazon confirms the date.
Full schedule and background: US CPI report dates.
What is the AMZN Q3 2026 earnings release?
Quarterly earnings are a legal requirement for publicly listed companies: Amazon must disclose its revenue, profit, costs and forward guidance to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and to shareholders. The release usually consists of a written press release with financial statements, followed by a live conference call where Amazon’s chief executive and chief financial officer take questions from Wall Street analysts. Investors, fund managers and financial journalists use the numbers to judge whether the company is growing as expected, and whether its guidance for the following quarter is stronger or weaker than the market had priced in.
For Amazon specifically, three segments dominate attention: North America retail, International retail, and AWS. AWS is the smallest by revenue but the largest by operating profit, so even a modest change in AWS growth or margin can move the share price more than a large swing in retail sales.
When is the AMZN Q3 2026 earnings release and how to follow it
The release is expected before the US market opens or shortly after, with the earnings call at 12:00pm ET (4:00pm London, 5:00pm Central European Time). The press release and call details are published on Amazon’s investor relations website, which also hosts a live audio webcast and the accompanying slide deck. There is no ticket or registration required to listen; the call is open to the public, though only invited analysts typically ask questions.
As noted above, this date is an estimate based on Amazon’s usual reporting rhythm rather than a confirmed date from the company. Investors who need the exact date and time should check Amazon’s investor relations site in the weeks before the event, since large companies sometimes shift the date by a few days.
What to expect
A consensus forecast compiled from sell-side analysts put the average estimate for Amazon’s next quarterly earnings at around $1.96 to $2.00 per share, with revenue near $205.65 billion, according to data cited by ChartMill and TipRanks. These figures move as analysts update their models in the weeks before the release, so readers should treat any pre-release number as an estimate rather than a fixed target.
Amazon’s own guidance, issued alongside its Q2 2026 results, projected third-quarter net sales of between $197.0 billion and $202.0 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 9% to 12%, according to figures reported by Simply Wall St. The company also guided operating income of $22.5 billion to $26.5 billion for the quarter, compared with $17.4 billion in the third quarter of 2025. Management flagged an unfavourable foreign exchange impact of roughly 80 basis points (a basis point is one hundredth of one percentage point) on the growth rate.
Analysts are likely to focus on three things: whether AWS revenue growth accelerates further on the back of artificial intelligence demand, whether retail operating margins hold up as Amazon continues to invest in same-day delivery and logistics, and what guidance management gives for the crucial fourth-quarter holiday shopping period. A verified, official four-quarter revenue and EPS history was not available at the time of writing, so it has been omitted rather than estimated.
What the outcome could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Beat on revenue and EPS, strong guidance
Shares likely to rise, AWS and advertising growth seen as validating AI investment
Amazon is growing profit faster than expected across cloud and retail

In line with consensus
Muted reaction, focus shifts to guidance commentary on the call
Amazon performed broadly as forecast, with no major surprise either way

Miss on revenue, EPS or guidance
Shares likely to fall, particularly if AWS growth slows or margins narrow
Investment in AI infrastructure or logistics may be weighing on near-term profit

What It Means for Your Money
Amazon is one of the largest holdings in most global index funds and workplace pensions, so a sharp move in its share price after earnings can nudge the value of retirement savings even for people who have never bought a single Amazon share directly. A strong AWS quarter tends to lift sentiment across the technology sector broadly, including chipmakers and other cloud providers, while a weak quarter can drag on the wider Nasdaq index.
For UK and European investors, Amazon’s results also carry currency implications: a stronger dollar linked to robust US earnings can make imports slightly more expensive in pounds and euros, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Consumers rarely feel a direct effect from a single earnings report, though sustained weakness in Amazon’s retail guidance can be an early signal of softening household spending in the United States, which analysts sometimes use as a broader indicator of consumer health. For online sellers and small businesses that rely on Amazon’s marketplace or AWS hosting, changes in fee structures or investment priorities announced on the call can matter more directly than the headline numbers.
Related events

Previous quarter: AMZN Earnings July 2026
US non-farm payrolls report, typically released the first Friday of each month
Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which influences the discount rate used to value growth stocks like Amazon

Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Amazon report Q3 2026 earnings?
The earnings call is expected at approximately 12:00pm ET, which is 4:00pm in London, though the date itself has not yet been confirmed by Amazon.
What is the consensus forecast for Amazon’s Q3 2026 earnings?
Sell-side analysts surveyed by data providers such as ChartMill and TipRanks put consensus EPS at around $1.96 to $2.00 and revenue near $205.65 billion, though these estimates can shift before the release.
Where can I watch the Amazon earnings call live?
Amazon streams the call live on its investor relations website, ir.aboutamazon.com, with no registration required to listen.
Why does Amazon’s earnings report affect markets outside the US?
Amazon is a major weighting in global index funds and pension portfolios, and its AWS results are often read as a proxy for broader demand for cloud computing and artificial intelligence infrastructure worldwide.
Has Amazon confirmed the exact October 2026 earnings date?
Not at the time of writing. Amazon typically reports Q3 results on a Thursday in the second half of October, roughly three to four weeks after the quarter ends.
← Previous AMZN Quarterly Earnings

Bank of Japan Rate Decision October 2026
2026-10-30 00:00 - 23:59 UTC
Next Bank of Japan Rate Decision: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:00 pm JST (11:00 pm ET, 3:00 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Bank of Japan Rate Decision.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous Bank of Japan Rate DecisionNext Bank of Japan Rate Decision →
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its October 2026 monetary policy decision on Friday, 30 October 2026. The Policy Board meets over two days (29-30 October), with the decision, updated Quarterly Outlook Report, and “The Bank’s View” statement released on 30 October. As of June 2026, the BoJ is navigating a gradual tightening cycle that began in 2024, with the policy rate at 0.75%. October is one of four quarterly Outlook Report meetings, making it a significant communication event for the Bank’s updated economic and inflation projections.
Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision: October 30, 2026
The October meeting will be closely watched given its position deep in the 2026 tightening cycle. By October, the Policy Board will have assessed the outcomes of the July and September meetings, along with several months of inflation, wage, and activity data from Japan. The Bank’s previous April 2026 decision to hold at 0.75% was marked by an unusual 6-3 vote, with three members dissenting in favour of an immediate hike, signalling strong internal pressure toward 1.0%.
October is one of four quarterly meetings accompanied by an updated Outlook Report, giving it added importance as a major communication vehicle. The Outlook Report’s revised central projections for core CPI in fiscal years 2026 and 2027 will provide the most comprehensive public signal of when the BoJ expects to reach its sustainable 2% inflation target, and by extension, when further rate hikes might follow.
What to Expect
By October, the BoJ will have a clear picture of Japan’s summer inflation dynamics, including CPI data for July, August, and potentially September. Japan’s core CPI has been tracking above 2% through 2026, and the Bank’s April forecast raised its fiscal 2026 core inflation projection to 2.8%, largely driven by elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict. Whether that forecast is borne out by actual data will be central to the October deliberations.
Japan’s wage dynamics remain critical. The spring shunto wage negotiations for fiscal 2026 produced solid results, with major companies agreeing to meaningful nominal wage increases. The BoJ has argued that a self-reinforcing wage-price cycle is a necessary condition for sustainably reaching 2% inflation. Evidence that wage growth is translating into sustained household spending and services price increases would strengthen the case for another hike at, or before, October.
The global backdrop also plays a significant role. The FOMC decision on 28 October 2026, just two days before the BoJ meeting, will provide the most recent signal on US monetary policy and the US-Japan rate differential, which directly influences the yen. A Federal Reserve hold or cut would narrow that differential, potentially supporting the yen without any BoJ action. A Fed hike would push in the opposite direction, potentially providing additional impetus for the BoJ to act.
If the BoJ has already hiked to 1.0% at the July or September meeting, October’s decision will focus on whether to continue tightening beyond 1.0% or to pause and assess the impact of prior hikes on the Japanese economy and financial conditions.
Rate Decision History

Date
Decision
Rate
Vote

April 2026
Hold
0.75%
6-3

March 2026
Hold
0.75%
8-1

January 2026
Hold
0.75%
Majority

December 2025
Hike +25bp
0.75%
Majority

October 2025
Hold
0.50%
Majority

July 2025
Hold
0.50%
Majority

June 2025
Hold
0.50%
Majority

January 2025
Hike +25bp
0.50%
Majority

Market Impact Scenarios

Hold (if already at 1.0% from prior meeting) – If the BoJ has already hiked to 1.0% at July or September, October is likely a pause to assess impact. The yen may hold steady or weaken slightly. JGB yields would be stable. The Nikkei 225 would benefit from a stabilisation of yen strength concerns. The Outlook Report would provide guidance on whether the tightening cycle is complete or whether further hikes beyond 1.0% are being considered.
Hike 25bp to 1.00% (if still at 0.75%) – If the BoJ has not yet moved to 1.0%, October would be a natural meeting point given the Quarterly Outlook Report. The yen would strengthen, JGB yields would rise, and the Nikkei 225 would likely fall on yen appreciation and higher borrowing costs. Global carry trade positions would be disrupted, given Japan’s historic role as a low-rate funding currency.
Hold with hawkish Outlook – A hold accompanied by upward revisions to the inflation forecast and explicit signals about conditions for a further hike would be taken as a conditional hawkish signal. The yen would strengthen modestly. Bond yields would rise on the short end. Markets would price a December hike more firmly.

Quarterly Outlook Report and Press Conference
October is one of four Quarterly Outlook Report meetings, making it one of the most data-rich BoJ decisions of the year. The Outlook Report will contain the Policy Board’s revised forecasts for core CPI, real GDP growth, and economic activity in Japan for fiscal years 2026 and 2027. It will also contain a qualitative assessment of upside and downside risks to the economic outlook, including any updated assessment of the Middle East conflict and global trade conditions.
The Governor’s press conference will follow the release and will be the primary channel for the Bank to communicate any change in its forward guidance. Markets will watch carefully for any shift in the characterisation of inflation dynamics: whether the Board describes the current above-target inflation as “sustainable” and “driven by domestic demand and wages” rather than “cost-push”. This distinction is central to the Bank’s assessment of when conditions justify continued normalisation.
Related Events

FOMC Rate Decision October 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s decision on 28 October, just two days before the BoJ, directly influencing the US-Japan rate differential and yen movements.
ECB Rate Decision October 2026 – The ECB’s October decision on 29 October, one day before the BoJ, providing further global context.
FOMC Rate Decision December 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s December decision, which will follow the BoJ’s October and December meetings and influence year-end conditions.

Frequently Asked Questions
What is a Quarterly Outlook Report and why does it matter?
The Bank of Japan’s Quarterly Outlook Report is published four times a year (January, April, July, October) alongside the rate decision. It contains the Policy Board’s updated central projections for core CPI and real GDP in Japan, together with a detailed analysis of domestic and global economic conditions and risk factors. The Outlook Report is the Bank’s most comprehensive forward-looking communication and is used by financial markets to assess the likely trajectory of the policy rate.
When will the October 2026 BoJ decision be announced?
The decision and Quarterly Outlook Report will be released on Friday, 30 October 2026, following the two-day meeting on 29-30 October. The release typically occurs around midday JST (3:00-4:00 am GMT), with the Governor’s press conference following in the afternoon.
Why does the Bank of Japan’s policy rate affect global asset prices?
Japan has been one of the world’s largest sources of outward capital flows, driven by years of near-zero domestic interest rates that encouraged Japanese investors and institutions to seek higher returns abroad. As the BoJ raises rates, the return on Japanese assets improves, incentivising repatriation of capital. This reduces global liquidity, particularly affecting emerging market assets, commodities, and other carry-trade beneficiaries. The yen carry trade, in which investors borrow cheaply in yen to fund higher-yielding positions elsewhere, is unwound when BoJ hikes or signals tightening, creating volatility in global financial markets.
Featured image: Photo by Clement Souchet on Unsplash.

Eurozone GDP Flash October 2026
2026-10-30 06:00 - 07:00 (America/New_York)
Next Eurozone GDP Flash: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 11:00 am CET (6:00 am ET, 10:00 am London). Covers Q2 2026 data.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
+0.1% QoQ, +0.8% YoY (Q1 2026 flash)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Eurozone GDP Flash.
Updated September 2, 2026

The Eurozone GDP Flash estimate for October 30, 2026 is a preliminary reading of economic growth across the 20 countries that use the euro, covering Q2 2026 data. It is published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, at 11:00 am CET (6:00 am ET, 10:00 am London time). Full schedule and background: Eurozone GDP Flash.
What is the Eurozone GDP Flash estimate?
Gross domestic product (GDP) measures the total value of goods and services produced across the euro area in a given period. The flash estimate is Eurostat’s first, fastest read on that figure, built from partial national accounts data submitted voluntarily by member states before the full dataset is available. It typically covers 80% to 99% of the bloc’s economic output at the time of release, according to Eurostat’s own methodology notes published alongside each release.
The headline number comes in two forms: the quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) change, which shows whether the economy grew or shrank compared with the previous three months, and the year-on-year (YoY) change, which compares output with the same quarter a year earlier. Both are seasonally adjusted to strip out predictable patterns such as holiday spending or agricultural cycles.
Markets watch this release closely because it is the first hard evidence of how the euro area economy performed before slower, more detailed reports arrive. The European Central Bank (ECB) uses it, alongside inflation data, to judge whether interest rates need to rise, fall or stay unchanged. A flash estimate that surprises to the upside or downside can move the euro, European government bond yields and equity markets within minutes of publication.
When is the October Eurozone GDP Flash released?
Eurostat is scheduled to publish the flash estimate on Friday, October 30, 2026 at 11:00 am Central European Time, which is 6:00 am Eastern Time and 10:00 am London time. The release appears on the Eurostat website within its Euro indicators news section, alongside a short statistical release and, later the same day, more detailed country breakdowns where available. This date follows Eurostat’s published release calendar and has not been flagged as provisional.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of publication, a consensus forecast from a major polling organisation such as Reuters or Bloomberg had not yet been compiled for this specific release. Forecasts for euro area GDP flash estimates typically firm up in the days immediately before release, once national statistical offices such as INSEE in France, Destatis in Germany and Istat in Italy have published their own preliminary figures.
The most recent published reading is the Q1 2026 flash estimate, which showed euro area GDP up 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year, according to Eurostat. That flash figure was subsequently revised down to a 0.2% quarterly contraction once fuller data arrived, a swing Eurostat and independent analysts attributed largely to volatile Irish national accounts data, according to reporting on the release cycle.

Measure
Prior reading
Consensus

GDP, quarter-on-quarter
+0.1% (Q1 2026 flash, later revised to -0.2%)
Not yet published

GDP, year-on-year
+0.8% (Q1 2026 flash)
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Euro could firm, eurozone bond yields may edge higher as traders trim expectations of further ECB rate cuts
The economy grew faster than expected, easing recession worries and reducing pressure on the ECB to loosen policy further

In line with consensus
Limited immediate market reaction, focus shifts to the accompanying country breakdowns and the following week’s inflation data
Growth matched expectations, so the broader picture for jobs, prices and ECB policy stays roughly on the same track

Below consensus
Euro could soften, European equities and bond yields often react as markets price in a higher chance of ECB support
The economy grew more slowly than hoped, which can raise the risk of a technical recession, defined as two straight quarters of contraction

These are possibilities drawn from how markets have typically reacted to prior surprises in this series, not predictions of what will happen on October 30, 2026.
Why does this release matter right now?
Euro area growth has been fragile through 2025 and into 2026. Eurostat’s own figures show GDP rising 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2025 before slowing to a preliminary 0.1% in Q1 2026, a figure later revised into outright contraction once more complete data arrived. Analysts at FocusEconomics described the Q1 2026 flash as the weakest reading since late 2023, noting it fell short of the steady growth most economists had expected. Coverage of the following quarter’s flash estimate framed the release as the single most important data point ahead of the ECB’s next rate decision, since policymakers weigh growth momentum alongside inflation when setting borrowing costs.
The ECB has already cut rates several times since 2024 as inflation eased back toward its 2% target, and markets have periodically priced in a meaningful probability of further cuts around each GDP and inflation release. A weak GDP flash tends to reinforce the case for supporting growth through lower rates, while a stronger than expected number can reduce urgency for further easing. Because the flash estimate is provisional and prone to sizeable revisions, as the Q1 2026 episode showed, policymakers and investors treat it as an important but not definitive signal.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and borrowing: Weaker eurozone growth tends to support the case for lower ECB interest rates over time, which can eventually feed through to cheaper variable-rate mortgages and business loans across the euro area. Stronger growth reduces that pressure and can keep borrowing costs higher for longer.
Savings: Savings account and fixed-term deposit rates in the euro area broadly track ECB policy. A run of weak GDP prints that pushes rate cuts higher up the agenda can mean lower returns on cash savings in the months ahead.
Jobs and wages: GDP growth and employment tend to move together. A soft reading can be an early sign of a cooling labour market in manufacturing-heavy economies such as Germany, while resilient growth supports continued hiring and wage negotiations.
Prices and household budgets: A weaker economy can, over time, ease inflationary pressure by reducing demand, while a stronger than expected economy can keep price pressures, and therefore the cost of living, elevated for longer.
Investments, pensions and currencies: European equity markets and the euro often react to growth surprises within minutes of the flash release. UK investors with European equity funds or pension holdings, and US and Asian investors trading the euro against the dollar or yen, can see short-term price moves as a result. A softer euro also affects the cost of European holidays and imports for people outside the eurozone.

Related events

Eurozone flash inflation estimate, typically published in the days following the GDP flash
European Central Bank interest rate decision, which weighs growth and inflation data together
National GDP releases from Germany, France and Italy, published ahead of the euro area aggregate figure

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Eurozone GDP Flash released?
Eurostat publishes the release at 11:00 am Central European Time on October 30, 2026, which is 6:00 am Eastern Time and 10:00 am London time.
How do I read the Eurozone GDP Flash figures?
Look at both numbers: the quarter-on-quarter change shows short-term momentum, while the year-on-year change shows the broader growth trend over a full year. A negative quarter-on-quarter reading following an earlier negative quarter would signal a technical recession.
How does this release affect ECB interest rate decisions?
The ECB’s Governing Council weighs GDP growth alongside inflation when deciding whether to raise, cut or hold interest rates, so a notably weak or strong flash estimate can shift market expectations for the next ECB meeting.
Where can I find the official Eurozone GDP release?
The figures are published on the Eurostat website within its Euro indicators news releases, available to the public free of charge.
When is the next Eurozone GDP Flash estimate?
Eurostat publishes a new flash estimate roughly every quarter, generally around 30 days after each quarter ends, with the exact date confirmed on its release calendar.

Eurozone Unemployment October 2026 (30)
2026-10-30 06:00 - 07:00 (America/New_York)
Next Eurozone Unemployment: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 11:00 am CET (6:00 am ET, 10:00 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Not yet confirmed ahead of release
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: Eurozone Unemployment.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous Eurozone Unemployment
Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, releases the eurozone unemployment rate for September 2026 on October 30, 2026, at 6:00 am ET (11:00 am CET, 10:00 am London time). The release covers the 20 countries that use the euro and is one of the bloc’s key monthly labour-market indicators, alongside inflation and retail sales figures. Full schedule and background: Eurozone Unemployment.
The unemployment rate measures the share of the labour force that is out of work but actively seeking a job, expressed as a seasonally adjusted percentage. It is a low-impact release for markets compared with US payrolls or European Central Bank meetings, but it still feeds into the ECB’s assessment of how tight the labour market is and, by extension, how much room there is for wage growth and inflation pressure.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of publication, a consensus forecast has not yet been published for this specific release. Economists’ forecasts for Eurostat’s monthly unemployment figures are typically compiled by data providers such as Reuters and Bloomberg in the days before release, so a median estimate is likely to appear closer to October 30, 2026.
Eurostat’s own release calendar confirms the October 30, 2026 publication date but does not itself set a forecast. Readers should check back nearer the release date for an updated consensus figure and the most recent prior reading.

Measure
Prior
Consensus

Eurozone unemployment rate
Not yet confirmed, check Eurostat’s release for the previous month
Not yet published

Youth unemployment rate
Reported alongside the headline figure
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
Plain-English meaning

Above consensus
Euro may soften slightly, seen as a sign of a cooling labour market
More people are unemployed than expected, which could ease pressure on wages and inflation

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction
The labour market is behaving broadly as economists expected

Below consensus
Euro may firm modestly, seen as a sign of continued labour-market tightness
Fewer people are unemployed than expected, which can support consumer spending but also keep inflation pressure alive

Why it matters this week
The eurozone labour market has stayed historically tight in recent years, with unemployment hovering near record lows even as growth in the bloc has been sluggish. The European Central Bank watches this data closely because a persistently tight labour market can keep wage growth, and therefore underlying inflation, elevated even when headline price growth slows.
Because this is a low-impact release, it rarely moves markets on its own. Its main value is confirming or challenging the broader narrative that the ECB and investors are working from ahead of the bank’s next policy meeting, particularly if the figure diverges sharply from recent trends reported by Eurostat.
What It Means for Your Money
For most people in the eurozone, a single month’s unemployment figure will not change mortgage rates or savings returns overnight. But a sustained rise in unemployment tends to make the ECB more willing to cut interest rates, which can eventually lower borrowing costs on mortgages and loans while reducing returns on savings accounts.
A tighter labour market, by contrast, can support wage growth and consumer spending, which is good news for job security but can also keep inflation stickier, meaning the ECB may hold rates higher for longer. This affects everyone from savers comparing deposit rates to holders of euro-denominated investments and pensions.
For those outside the eurozone, the figure can move the euro against the pound, dollar and other currencies. A weaker euro makes European holidays and imports cheaper for UK and US consumers, while a stronger euro has the opposite effect and can influence the returns UK and US investors see on European assets.
Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the eurozone unemployment rate released?
Eurostat publishes the figure on October 30, 2026, at 6:00 am ET, which is 11:00 am CET and 10:00 am London time.
What would count as a big miss from consensus?
Once a consensus figure is published, a move of two or more tenths of a percentage point away from that estimate would generally be considered a significant surprise for this indicator.
When is the next eurozone unemployment report?
Eurostat publishes the unemployment rate monthly; the next release will cover October 2026 and typically follows about a month after this one, per the Eurostat release calendar.
Who publishes the eurozone unemployment figures?
Eurostat, the European Union’s statistical office, compiles and releases the data using harmonised methodology across the 20 eurozone member states.
← Previous Eurozone Unemployment

China Official PMI October 2026
2026-10-30 21:30 - 22:30 (America/New_York)
Next China Official PMI: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (9:30 pm ET, 1:30 am London).

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
Manufacturing 49.8, Non-Manufacturing 49.0 (August 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: China Official PMI.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous China Official PMI
China’s Official PMI for October 2026 is due on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 9:30 am China Standard Time (CST), which is 9:30 pm ET on October 30 in the United States and 1:30 am on October 31 in London. The survey is published by the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS), together with the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, and covers economic activity during October 2026. Full schedule and background: China Official PMI.
What is the China Official PMI?
The Official Purchasing Managers’ Index is a monthly survey of purchasing managers at several hundred manufacturing and services firms across China, most of them large and state-linked. Managers are asked whether output, new orders, employment, supplier delivery times and stock levels rose, fell or stayed unchanged compared with the previous month. The answers are combined into two headline figures: the Manufacturing PMI and the Non-Manufacturing (services and construction) PMI.
A reading above 50 signals expansion in that part of the economy, while a reading below 50 signals contraction. The distance from 50, not just the direction, matters: a move from 49.0 to 49.8 still shows contraction but a slowing pace of decline, which markets often read as a stabilising signal.
Investors, currency traders and commodity markets watch this release closely because China is the world’s largest manufacturing economy and a major buyer of raw materials, machinery and energy. Because the official survey leans towards larger, state-owned firms, it is often read alongside the privately compiled Caixin PMI, which samples smaller, export-oriented businesses, to get a fuller picture of the Chinese economy.
When is the October Official PMI released?
The NBS is scheduled to publish the October 2026 Official PMI on Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (9:30 pm ET, 1:30 am London). The data is released directly on the National Bureau of Statistics website, with both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing indices published at the same time. NBS releases fall on a fixed monthly schedule regardless of weekends, so a Saturday publication date, as in this case, is normal for this series.
What is the consensus forecast?
As of this writing, a consensus forecast for the October 2026 Official Manufacturing PMI has not yet been published by major polling providers such as Reuters or Trading Economics. Forecasts for this release typically firm up in the final days of October, closer to the publication date.
The most recent confirmed reading available is from August 2026, when the official manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8, still below the 50 expansion line but up 0.6 points from July, according to a report on the August data. The non-manufacturing index stood at 49.0 in the same month, its weakest level since December 2022, per Reuters.

Measure
Prior (August 2026)
Consensus (October 2026)

Manufacturing PMI
49.8
Not yet published

Non-Manufacturing PMI
49.0
Not yet published

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Read as a sign that factory activity is stabilising or recovering, potentially supporting the yuan and commodity-linked currencies
Chinese factories reported more new orders and output than expected, suggesting demand is picking up

In line
Limited market reaction, seen as confirmation of the existing gradual recovery trend described by analysts covering the August data
The economy is behaving broadly as expected, neither better nor worse

Below consensus
Could revive concerns about weak domestic demand and prompt talk of further stimulus, a pattern noted after earlier soft prints
Factories and services firms are struggling more than expected, which can weigh on global trade partners

Why does this release matter right now?
China’s factory sector has moved in and out of contraction for much of 2026. The Official Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.0 in February 2026 before rebounding to 50.4 in March, its strongest reading in a year, helped by government spending and export demand linked to artificial intelligence hardware, according to Trading Economics data. By August 2026 the index had settled at 49.8, still in contraction but improving, while the non-manufacturing gauge languished at 49.0, its weakest since December 2022.
Policymakers in Beijing have leaned on fiscal spending and targeted support measures through 2026 as they try to lift domestic consumption and stabilise the property sector. Each PMI print feeds into that debate: a weak reading tends to increase pressure for more stimulus, while a stronger one can ease it. Analysts covering the August release noted that the test ahead is whether stronger factory demand spreads into jobs, consumption and private-sector confidence, according to a report on China’s recovery prospects.
What It Means for Your Money
Mortgages and rates: China’s PMI does not set UK, US or European mortgage rates directly, but persistent weakness in Chinese demand can pull down global growth expectations, which sometimes feeds into lower bond yields and, indirectly, mortgage pricing in Western markets.
Savings: A weaker Chinese economy can add to disinflationary pressure globally by lowering commodity and shipping costs, which central banks weigh when setting the interest rates that determine savings account returns.
Jobs and wages: Companies in Europe, the UK and Asia that export machinery, luxury goods or raw materials to China are sensitive to these figures. A soft PMI print can eventually show up in hiring and order books at those firms.
Prices: China is a major producer of manufactured goods and consumer of raw materials, so shifts in its factory activity can affect the price of everything from electronics to industrial metals worldwide.
Investments, pensions and currencies: Chinese equities, the offshore yuan, and commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar often react to this release. Pension funds with exposure to Asian or emerging-market equities, or to mining and energy companies, can see performance move on the day.
Related events

Previous release: China Official PMI, September 2026
The privately compiled Caixin Manufacturing PMI, published separately and weighted towards smaller, export-oriented firms
Full monthly schedule and background on the series: China Official PMI

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the October 2026 China Official PMI released?
It is scheduled for 9:30 am China Standard Time on October 31, 2026, which is 9:30 pm ET on October 30 and 1:30 am in London on October 31.
How do I read the PMI figure?
A reading above 50 signals expansion in that sector of the economy, while a reading below 50 signals contraction; the closer to 50, the closer the sector is to stabilising.
Does the China PMI affect interest rates outside China?
Not directly, but weak or strong Chinese activity can shift global growth and inflation expectations, which central banks in the US, UK and eurozone factor into their own rate decisions.
Where is the official release published?
Directly on the website of the National Bureau of Statistics of China.
When is the next China Official PMI released?
The NBS publishes this series on a fixed monthly schedule; the next release after October 2026 covers November 2026 data.
← Previous China Official PMI

China Caixin Manufacturing PMI November 2026
2026-11-01 20:45 - 21:45 (America/New_York)
Next China Caixin Manufacturing PMI: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 9:45 am CST (8:45 pm ET, 1:45 am London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
50.9 (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI.
Updated September 2, 2026

← Previous China Caixin Manufacturing PMI
The China Caixin Manufacturing PMI for November 2026 is scheduled for release on November 2, 2026, at 9:45 am China Standard Time (9:45 pm ET on November 1, and 1:45 am in London on November 2). The survey is compiled by S&P Global for Caixin Insight Group and, following a sponsorship change during 2026, the headline index is now also published under the name RatingDog Manufacturing PMI. This release covers manufacturing activity in October 2026, gathered from purchasing managers at more than 500 mostly small and mid-sized Chinese manufacturers. Full schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI.
What is the Caixin Manufacturing PMI?
The Caixin (now also branded RatingDog) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index is a survey-based gauge of factory activity in China. Purchasing managers are asked whether output, new orders, employment, supplier delivery times and stocks of purchased items rose, fell or stayed the same compared with the previous month. Those answers are combined into a single index, weighted at 30% new orders, 25% output, 20% employment, 15% suppliers’ delivery times and 10% stocks of purchased items, with the delivery times component inverted so it moves in the same direction as the rest.
A reading above 50 signals expansion in the manufacturing sector; a reading below 50 signals contraction. Because the survey panel leans towards smaller, export-oriented and privately-owned firms, it is widely treated as a complement to China’s official National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) PMI, which surveys larger, often state-owned, companies. When the two diverge, traders often read the Caixin figure as a better proxy for the private, trade-exposed part of the economy.
Investors, currency traders and commodity desks in Asia, Europe and the United States watch the release closely because China remains the world’s largest manufacturer and a major buyer of raw materials. A weak print can pressure the Australian dollar, industrial metals prices and the shares of companies with large China exposure, while a strong print can lift risk appetite across Asian and European equity markets.
When is the November Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?
The report is due on Monday, November 2, 2026, at 9:45 am China Standard Time, which is 9:45 pm ET the previous evening and 1:45 am in London. S&P Global publishes the exact release calendar in advance, and the November date has not yet been formally confirmed at the time of writing. In practice, the manufacturing PMI is published on the first business day of the month covering the prior month’s activity, so November 2, 2026 follows that usual pattern.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the November 2026 release (covering October activity) has not yet been published by major polling services. Forecasts for PMI readings are typically only compiled in the days immediately before release. The most recently confirmed reading available at the time of writing is July 2026, when the index fell to a four-month low of 50.9, down from 51.7 in June, according to data compiled by Trading Economics. June’s reading of 51.7 was itself down from 51.8 in May.

Measure
Prior reading
Consensus

Headline PMI
50.9 (July 2026)
Not yet published

New Orders sub-index
Not separately confirmed
Not yet published

Readers should treat the July figure as background context rather than the immediate prior, since further monthly readings for August and September 2026 will have been published before the November release. Check the official S&P Global release calendar or Caixin Insight Group’s own site closer to the date for the confirmed prior and consensus.
What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Possible modest lift to risk appetite in Asian and commodity-linked markets
Chinese factories are growing faster than expected, which could support demand for raw materials and Asian exporters

In line with consensus
Limited market reaction expected
Manufacturing activity is behaving broadly as anticipated, so traders are unlikely to reposition heavily

Below consensus
Possible pressure on commodity currencies and China-exposed equities
Factories are struggling more than expected, which can weigh on demand for exports from trading partners and on metals prices

These are possibilities rather than predictions. Actual market moves depend on other data released the same week, the tone of Chinese policy signals, and broader global risk sentiment.
Why does this release matter right now?
China’s manufacturing sector has been showing signs of gradual slowing through the middle of 2026, with the Caixin gauge easing from 51.8 in May to 51.7 in June and then to a four-month low of 50.9 in July, according to Trading Economics. That slowdown matters because manufacturing and exports remain central to China’s growth model, and weaker factory activity can filter through to global supply chains, shipping volumes and commodity demand. Policymakers in Beijing have used stimulus measures at various points in 2026 to support activity, and each new PMI print is used by economists to judge whether that support is working.
Outside China, central banks and trade-exposed businesses in Europe, the UK and Asia watch the series as an early signal of demand from one of their largest trading partners. A sustained slowdown in Chinese manufacturing tends to show up later in weaker export orders for countries such as Germany, South Korea and Australia.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and rates: The Caixin PMI itself does not move UK or US mortgage rates directly, but weaker Chinese growth can feed into global bond markets and, indirectly, into borrowing costs, particularly if it changes expectations for global central bank policy.
Savings: A weak reading that pushes commodity prices down can help ease global inflation pressure over time, which may support the case for interest rate cuts and, eventually, lower savings returns.
Jobs and wages: Workers in export-heavy industries in Asia, Germany and Australia are more exposed to swings in Chinese manufacturing demand than most UK or US employees.
Prices: Slower Chinese factory activity can reduce demand for industrial metals and energy, which sometimes shows up as softer prices at the pump or for manufactured goods elsewhere.
Investments and pensions: Pension funds and index trackers with exposure to Asian equities, mining companies or commodity-linked shares can see short-term price swings around this release.
Currencies: The Australian dollar and other commodity-linked currencies often react to Chinese PMI surprises, and moves can spill over into the pound, euro and dollar through shifts in broader risk sentiment.

Related events

Previous release: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI, September 2026
China’s official NBS Manufacturing PMI, typically published a day or two before the Caixin figure each month
China Caixin Services PMI, usually released a few days after the manufacturing figure

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the November 2026 Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?
It is scheduled for 9:45 am China Standard Time on November 2, 2026, which is 9:45 pm ET on November 1 and 1:45 am in London on November 2.
How do I read the Caixin Manufacturing PMI figure?
A reading above 50 means manufacturing activity is expanding compared with the previous month; a reading below 50 means it is contracting.
Does the Caixin PMI affect UK or US interest rates directly?
No, it is not a UK or US indicator, but it can influence global sentiment towards growth and inflation, which central banks take into account alongside their own domestic data.
Where is the official release published?
The figure is released by S&P Global on behalf of Caixin Insight Group, with the release calendar available on the S&P Global PMI release schedule.
When is the next Caixin Manufacturing PMI released after this one?
The next release typically follows on the first business day of December 2026, covering November 2026 activity, though the exact date is confirmed nearer the time.
← Previous China Caixin Manufacturing PMI

US ISM Manufacturing PMI November 2026
2026-11-02 10:00 - 11:00 (America/New_York)
Next US ISM Manufacturing PMI: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London).
Date to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date.

Consensus
Not yet published
Prior
55.6% (July 2026)
Actual
Pending

Full schedule and background: US ISM Manufacturing PMI.
Updated August 25, 2026

← Previous US ISM Manufacturing PMI
The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for November 2026 is scheduled to be released on Monday, November 2, 2026, at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time) by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The report covers factory activity data collected during October 2026. As with all ISM releases, the exact date has not yet been formally confirmed by the publisher: ISM publishes the Manufacturing PMI on the first business day of each month, and November 2, 2026, is that day for this cycle. Full schedule and background: US ISM Manufacturing PMI.
What is the ISM Manufacturing PMI?
The ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is a monthly survey-based gauge of activity in the US factory sector. Purchasing and supply executives at several hundred companies across 18 manufacturing industries are asked whether conditions such as new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries and inventories have improved, worsened or stayed the same compared with the prior month.
Those responses are converted into a single diffusion index. A reading above the expansion threshold indicates the manufacturing sector is growing; a reading below it indicates contraction. ISM’s own commentary has referenced a threshold of roughly 47.5 for the overall economy to be judged as expanding, according to the Institute for Supply Management, a change from the more traditional 50-point breakeven level often used by economists and traders when reading the headline number.
Markets watch the PMI closely because it is one of the earliest hard-data style signals each month on the health of the goods-producing side of the economy, arriving well before official government factory output figures. Sub-indices such as New Orders, Prices Paid and Employment are used by traders to gauge demand, inflation pressure in the supply chain, and factory hiring trends, all of which feed into expectations for Federal Reserve policy, the direction of the US dollar, and sentiment in export-dependent economies such as the eurozone, the UK and parts of Asia.
When is the November ISM Manufacturing PMI released?
The report is due at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) on Monday, November 2, 2026, published by the Institute for Supply Management. It will appear on the ISM’s official Report On Business pages. Because ISM confirms its exact release calendar only a limited number of months ahead, this date reflects the publisher’s standard pattern of releasing the Manufacturing PMI on the first business day of the month rather than a confirmed entry on ISM’s published calendar at the time of writing.
What is the consensus forecast?
A consensus forecast for the November 2026 release (covering October 2026 data) has not yet been published by data providers such as Reuters or Trading Economics, as these polls are typically compiled only in the days immediately before the release. The most recent confirmed ISM Manufacturing PMI reading available at the time of writing was for July 2026, when the index came in at 55.6%, comfortably ahead of the 54.0% forecast tracked by Investing.com’s economic calendar and up from 53.3% in June 2026, according to Investing.com and ISM’s own June 2026 report. Readings for August and September 2026 will have been published before this November release and should be checked against the official ISM report for the most current prior figure.

Measure
June 2026
July 2026 (latest verified)

Headline Manufacturing PMI
53.3%
55.6%

Forecast for the month (as tracked ahead of release)
n/a
54.0%

What the result could mean

Scenario
Likely market read
What it means in plain English

Above consensus
Seen as a sign the factory sector is accelerating, which can lift the US dollar and push back expectations of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts if paired with a strong Prices Paid sub-index
Factories are busier than expected, which can support jobs and wages in manufacturing regions but may also keep some prices firmer for longer

In line
Typically a limited market reaction, since traders have already priced in the expected outcome
The factory sector is behaving broadly as expected, so little changes for borrowing costs or investment plans

Below consensus
Often read as a sign of a cooling factory sector, which can weigh on the dollar and firm up bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts
Weaker orders and output can be an early warning of slower hiring or investment in industrial regions

These are possible market reactions described by analysts, not predictions of what will happen on the day.
Why does this release matter right now?
The ISM Manufacturing PMI has spent stretches of 2025 and 2026 hovering close to the line between contraction and expansion, before climbing to 55.6% in July 2026 from 53.3% in June, according to Investing.com’s economic calendar and ISM’s own report. The New Orders Index eased slightly to 56.0% in June from 56.8% in May, based on ISM’s June 2026 Manufacturing PMI report, a sign that demand growth, while still solid, has not been accelerating in a straight line.
Federal Reserve officials watch the survey’s Prices Paid and Employment components alongside the headline figure when weighing how much slack remains in the economy and how sticky input-cost pressures are. A run of strong headline prints combined with rising Prices Paid readings tends to make policymakers more cautious about cutting interest rates quickly, while a run of weak prints does the opposite. Outside the US, the report is one of the inputs traders in London, Frankfurt and Tokyo use to judge the strength of US import demand, which matters for exporters in the eurozone, the UK and Asia that sell machinery, components and raw materials into US supply chains.
What It Means for Your Money

Mortgages and loan rates: a stronger than expected PMI can nudge US Treasury yields higher, which tends to feed through to mortgage and other borrowing rates in the US, and can have a smaller knock-on effect on rate expectations in the UK and eurozone through global bond markets.
Savings rates: if the report shifts expectations for how soon or how far the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, that can change what banks offer on savings accounts and fixed-term deposits over the following months.
Jobs and wages: the survey’s Employment Index offers an early signal on factory hiring intentions, relevant for workers and job-seekers in manufacturing-heavy US states and, indirectly, in exporting economies that supply US factories.
Prices you pay: the Prices Paid Index tracks cost pressures further up the supply chain. Persistent increases here can eventually show up in the price of manufactured goods on shelves.
Investments, pensions and currencies: the report can move US equity futures, the US dollar, and by extension the value of the pound and the euro against the dollar, which affects the return on overseas holdings inside pensions and investment portfolios.

Related events

Previous release: US ISM Manufacturing PMI, October 2026
Full schedule and background: US ISM Manufacturing PMI hub page
Related US data to watch around the same week: the ISM Services PMI and the US nonfarm payrolls report, both of which round out the picture of the broader US economy.

Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the November ISM Manufacturing PMI released?
It is scheduled for 10:00 am ET, which is 3:00 pm in London, on Monday, November 2, 2026.
How should I read the ISM Manufacturing PMI number?
Look at the headline index alongside the New Orders, Prices Paid and Employment sub-indices, since these show whether growth (or contraction) is being driven by demand, cost pressures or hiring.
Does the ISM Manufacturing PMI affect Federal Reserve interest rate decisions?
Yes, it is one of many indicators Federal Reserve officials monitor when assessing economic momentum and inflation pressure, though it is not the sole factor behind any rate decision.
Where can I find the official ISM Manufacturing PMI release?
The report is published on the Institute for Supply Management’s Report On Business section of its official website, ismworld.org.
When is the next ISM Manufacturing PMI released after this one?
The following report, covering November 2026 data, is expected on the first business day of December 2026, in line with ISM’s standard publication schedule.
← Previous US ISM Manufacturing PMI
