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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260902T094500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260902T104500
DTSTAMP:20260825T104623Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104623Z
UID:1440-1788342300-1788345900@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Bank of Canada Rate Decision September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Bank of Canada Rate Decision: Wednesday\, September 2\, 2026 at 9:45 am ET (2:45 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Bank of Canada Rate Decision. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nThe Bank of Canada’s Governing Council announces its next interest rate decision on Wednesday\, September 2\, 2026\, at 9:45 am ET (2:45 pm London time). The announcement will confirm whether the overnight rate target stays at 2.25%\, where it has sat since the Bank’s last cut on October 29\, 2025\, or whether the Governing Council moves it up or down. This meeting does not include a Monetary Policy Report or press conference; those return at the October 28\, 2026 decision. Full schedule and background: Bank of Canada Rate Decision. \nWhat is the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council and what does it decide?\nThe Governing Council is the group of senior officials at the Bank of Canada responsible for setting monetary policy. It is chaired by the Governor\, currently Tiff Macklem\, alongside the Senior Deputy Governor and several Deputy Governors. Unlike the US Federal Reserve or the Bank of England\, the Bank of Canada does not publish individual votes: decisions are reached by consensus among Governing Council members rather than a recorded ballot. \nThe Council’s mandate is inflation control\, targeting 2% annual growth in the consumer price index within a 1% to 3% band. It does this by setting the overnight rate\, the interest rate at which commercial banks lend to one another overnight\, which then feeds through to mortgage rates\, savings rates and business borrowing costs across the Canadian economy. \nThe Bank of Canada meets on a fixed schedule of eight rate announcements a year\, roughly every six to seven weeks. Four of these meetings\, typically in January\, April\, July and October\, are accompanied by a Monetary Policy Report setting out the Bank’s economic projections\, plus a press conference with the Governor. The other four\, including this September meeting\, are statement-only decisions with no press conference. \nWhen is the September Bank of Canada decision announced?\nThe decision is due on Wednesday\, September 2\, 2026\, at 9:45 am ET (2:45 pm London\, and mid-afternoon in continental Europe). The Bank releases a short statement explaining the rate decision at this time. There is no press conference or Monetary Policy Report attached to this particular meeting\, so market participants will have only the written statement to interpret on the day. A summary of the Governing Council’s deliberations is typically published around two weeks after each decision\, giving more detail on how members weighed the arguments for holding\, cutting or raising the rate. \nThe next meeting with a full Monetary Policy Report\, including updated growth and inflation projections plus a press conference\, is scheduled for October 28\, 2026. \nWhat to expect\nThe Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2.25% for six consecutive decisions between December 2025 and July 2026\, according to Trading Economics. That run followed an aggressive easing cycle: the Bank cut rates nine times between June 2024 and October 2025\, taking the policy rate from 5% down to 2.25%\, before pausing to assess the impact of US tariffs and a “structural adjustment” in the Canadian economy\, in Governor Macklem’s words. \nA consensus forecast for the September 2\, 2026 decision has not yet been published by major polling organisations at the time of writing. Investors and economists typically firm up their expectations for a Bank of Canada meeting in the days beforehand\, based on domestic inflation and jobs data released in the intervening weeks\, and on pricing in the overnight index swap (OIS) market\, which reflects what traders are willing to pay to hedge against a rate move. Readers should check nearer the date for updated pricing from sources such as Reuters polls or Bloomberg surveys. \nThe table below shows the Bank’s last several decisions\, each sourced from the Bank of Canada’s own press releases. \n\n\n\nMeeting\nDecision\nRate after meeting\n\n\n\n\nSeptember 17\, 2025\nCut 25bp\n2.50%\n\n\nOctober 29\, 2025\nCut 25bp\n2.25%\n\n\nDecember 10\, 2025\nHold\n2.25%\n\n\nJanuary 28\, 2026\nHold\n2.25%\n\n\nMarch 18\, 2026\nHold\n2.25%\n\n\nApril 29\, 2026\nHold\n2.25%\n\n\nJune 10\, 2026\nHold\n2.25%\n\n\nJuly 15\, 2026\nHold\n2.25%\n\n\n\nMarket impact scenarios\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nHold at 2.25%\nA widely expected outcome after six straight holds would likely be read as a low-drama confirmation of the current stance\, with attention shifting to the statement’s wording on tariffs and growth\nBorrowing costs stay where they are for now\, and the Bank signals it is watching the data rather than committing to a direction\n\n\nCut to 2.00%\nA cut would suggest the Governing Council sees enough softness in jobs\, growth or underlying inflation to justify further support\, and could weaken the Canadian dollar against the US dollar and the euro\nCheaper borrowing for mortgages and business loans\, but a signal that officials are more worried about the economy slowing than about inflation\n\n\nHike above 2.25%\nConsidered the least likely path by most commentary through mid-2026\, a hike would be read as a response to a resurgence in inflation\, possibly tied to tariff pass-through or a weaker currency\, and could push the Canadian dollar higher\nMore expensive mortgages and loans\, but potentially better returns on savings accounts and fixed-income investments\n\n\n\nWhat will the statement and press conference signal?\nBecause this is a statement-only meeting\, the main signal will come from the wording the Bank uses to describe growth\, the labour market and the impact of US tariffs on Canadian exporters. Analysts typically parse phrases such as “proceeding carefully” or “prepared to respond” for hints about the Bank’s tolerance for further softness in the economy versus its resistance to reigniting inflation. Since the Bank of Canada does not publish individual votes\, there is no dissent count to track in the way there is at the Federal Reserve or the Bank of England\, though the summary of deliberations released roughly two weeks later can reveal how divided opinion was within the Governing Council. \nWatch for any reference to the Canadian dollar\, oil prices and global trade conditions\, all of which the Bank has flagged as swing factors for its outlook through 2025 and 2026. Also worth watching is any language about the “neutral range” for interest rates\, the level the Bank considers neither stimulative nor restrictive\, since officials have previously described the current 2.25% rate as sitting near the low end of that range. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor Canadian homeowners\, a hold at 2.25% means variable-rate mortgages and home equity lines of credit stay at their current level\, while fixed-rate mortgage pricing is driven more by bond yields than by the overnight rate itself. A cut would lower monthly payments for variable-rate borrowers and could nudge fixed rates down too\, while a hike would do the opposite. Savers with high-interest savings accounts or guaranteed investment certificates (GICs) would see slightly better returns if the Bank holds firm or raises rates\, and somewhat lower returns if it cuts. \nFor credit cards and personal loans\, most of which track the prime rate\, a Bank of Canada hold keeps borrowing costs stable\, while a cut typically feeds through to lower prime rates within a matter of weeks. Currency markets watch the decision closely too: a surprise cut tends to weaken the Canadian dollar against the US dollar\, the pound and the euro\, making imports from the UK and Europe more expensive for Canadian consumers and businesses\, while a surprise hike tends to strengthen it. \nPension funds and stock market investors\, both in Canada and internationally\, use the Bank’s rate path to price bonds and equities. Lower Canadian rates generally support share prices by reducing the appeal of holding cash\, while also affecting how UK and European pension funds with Canadian dollar exposure value their holdings. For UK and eurozone readers\, the Bank of Canada’s decisions are watched less directly than those of the Federal Reserve or European Central Bank\, but they still feed into broader expectations about how resilient North American demand is for UK and European exporters selling into Canada. \nRelated events\n\nPrevious decision: Bank of Canada held rates at 2.25% on July 15\, 2026\nNext decision: the Bank of Canada’s following scheduled announcement\, with a full Monetary Policy Report and press conference\, is October 28\, 2026\nFull schedule and background on all Bank of Canada meetings: Bank of Canada Rate Decision\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Bank of Canada decision announced?\nThe decision is released at 9:45 am ET on September 2\, 2026\, which is 2:45 pm in London. \nWill the Bank of Canada cut rates in September 2026?\nThis is not yet known. The Bank has held its rate at 2.25% for six consecutive decisions through July 2026\, and any move will depend on inflation and labour market data released in the weeks before the meeting. \nWhat is the Bank of Canada’s current interest rate?\nThe overnight rate target has stood at 2.25% since the Bank’s last cut on October 29\, 2025\, most recently confirmed by a hold on July 15\, 2026. \nWhat is the Bank of Canada’s current interest rate?\nThe overnight rate target has stood at 2.25% since the Bank’s last cut on October 29\, 2025\, most recently confirmed by a hold on July 15\, 2026. \nWhen is the next Bank of Canada meeting after September 2026?\nThe next scheduled decision is October 28\, 2026\, which will include a full Monetary Policy Report and a press conference with the Governor. \nWhere can I watch the announcement?\nThe Bank of Canada publishes the statement directly on its website at the time of release. There is no press conference for this particular meeting since it is a statement-only decision.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/bank-of-canada-rate-decision-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Central Banks & Monetary Policy
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260902T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260902T130000
DTSTAMP:20260826T032211Z
CREATED:20260826T032211Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T032211Z
UID:2255-1788350400-1788354000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:CRM Earnings September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next CRM Quarterly Earnings: Wednesday\, September 2\, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nEarly estimate: EPS ~$3.09\, revenue ~$11.3bn (not yet a confirmed consensus for this date)\nPrior\nQ1 FY2027 EPS $3.88\, beat $2.96 estimate (May 27\, 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nSalesforce (NYSE: CRM)\, the enterprise software group behind the world’s most widely used customer relationship management platform\, is scheduled to report its next quarterly results on Wednesday\, September 2\, 2026\, with the earnings release expected around 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London time) followed by a management call for investors. Salesforce has not yet confirmed the exact date\, so this is the market’s best estimate based on the company’s usual reporting pattern. Full schedule and background: CRM quarterly earnings. \nMarkets watch this release closely because Salesforce is one of the largest pure-play enterprise software companies globally\, and its results are treated as a bellwether for corporate technology spending\, AI adoption in business software\, and the health of the “software as a service” sector more broadly. A strong or weak quarter can move sentiment across the wider technology sector in the United States\, and feeds into how investors in Europe and Asia price other cloud and AI-linked stocks\, since many hold similar names in global technology and growth funds. \nWhat is Salesforce’s quarterly earnings report?\nEvery quarter\, Salesforce publishes its financial results covering revenue\, profit\, subscription growth and forward guidance for its Sales Cloud\, Service Cloud\, Data Cloud\, and its newer Agentforce artificial intelligence products. The report is prepared by Salesforce’s finance team and released as a press statement and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing\, followed by a live earnings call where chief executive Marc Benioff and chief financial officer typically discuss results and answer questions from Wall Street analysts. This particular report is expected to cover the company’s second quarter of its 2027 fiscal year (the three months to around July 31\, 2026). \nWhen is the CRM earnings report and how to follow it\nBased on Salesforce’s recent pattern of reporting on a Wednesday after the market closes\, the release is estimated for September 2\, 2026\, with the results statement typically followed by a live broadcast roughly two to five hours later. Salesforce normally streams its earnings call on its Investor Relations website\, and a replay is usually made available afterwards. Because the exact date has not been confirmed by the company\, investors should treat early September as an estimate rather than a fixed date; Salesforce typically announces its exact earnings date around two to three weeks in advance through a press release. \nWhat to expect\nConsensus figures for this specific quarter have not yet been widely published\, since the reporting date itself remains unconfirmed. However\, analysts surveyed by data providers were\, as of mid-2026\, projecting earnings per share of around $3.09 and revenue of roughly $11.3 billion for Salesforce’s next quarterly report\, according to nextearningsdate.com. These figures will likely be refined closer to the confirmed release date as more analysts publish updated estimates. \nInvestors are likely to focus on growth in Salesforce’s Data Cloud and Agentforce artificial intelligence products\, the pace of margin expansion\, remaining performance obligation (a measure of contracted future revenue)\, and any change to full-year guidance. Currency movements\, particularly a stronger dollar against the pound and euro\, are also a recurring swing factor for Salesforce’s international revenue given its large customer base outside the United States. \n\n\n\nQuarter\nRevenue\nEPS\nvs estimate\n\n\n\n\nQ1 FY2027 (reported May 27\, 2026)\nNot separately confirmed here\n$3.88\nBeat estimate of $2.96\n\n\nQ4 FY2026 (reported February 25\, 2026)\n$11.2 billion\n$3.81\nNot verified\n\n\nQ3 FY2026 (reported December 3\, 2025)\nNot separately confirmed here\n$3.25\nNot verified\n\n\nQ2 FY2026 (reported September 3\, 2025)\n$10.24 billion\n$2.91\nNot verified\n\n\n\nFigures are drawn from Salesforce’s own SEC filings and earnings coverage by nextearningsdate.com and public.com. Some revenue figures for individual quarters were not independently verified and are marked accordingly. \nWhat the outcome could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nBeat on earnings and revenue with raised guidance\nShares likely to rise; positive read-through for other enterprise software stocks\nSalesforce is growing faster than expected and management is more confident about the coming year\n\n\nIn line with analyst estimates\nMuted reaction\, attention shifts to guidance and AI product commentary\nThe business is performing broadly as expected\, with no major surprises either way\n\n\nMiss on earnings\, revenue or guidance\nShares likely to fall; could weigh on sentiment across cloud and software peers\nGrowth or profitability is slowing\, which may raise questions about corporate technology spending\n\n\n\nWhat It Means for Your Money\nSalesforce is a large constituent of major US stock indices\, so many people are exposed to its results indirectly through workplace pensions\, index funds and diversified investment portfolios\, even if they have never bought the shares directly. A sharp move in Salesforce’s share price on the back of this report can influence the broader technology sector and\, by extension\, the value of pension pots holding US equity funds in the UK and Europe. Currency effects matter too: because Salesforce earns significant revenue outside the United States\, a stronger or weaker dollar against the pound and euro can affect both the company’s reported results and how much a UK or European investor’s dollar-denominated holdings are worth when converted back. For consumers\, the report has limited direct effect on everyday prices\, mortgages or savings rates\, but a broad tech sell-off tied to disappointing enterprise software results can occasionally spill over into wider market sentiment and borrowing costs if it feeds into a broader risk-off mood. \nRelated events\n\nSalesforce’s prior quarterly report\, released May 27\, 2026\nBroader US technology and software sector earnings in the same reporting window\nUS Federal Reserve interest rate decisions\, which influence valuations across growth and technology stocks\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhen will Salesforce report its next earnings?\nThe report is estimated for September 2\, 2026\, though Salesforce has not yet confirmed the exact date; the company usually announces it two to three weeks in advance. \nWhat was Salesforce’s most recent earnings result?\nIn its most recent report\, for the quarter ended around April 2026\, Salesforce posted earnings per share of $3.88\, beating the average analyst estimate of $2.96\, according to public.com. \nIs there a consensus forecast for this specific quarter yet?\nA firm consensus for this exact reporting date has not yet been published\, but early estimates from data providers point to earnings per share of around $3.09 on revenue of roughly $11.3 billion. \nWhere can I watch the Salesforce earnings call?\nSalesforce typically streams its earnings call live on its Investor Relations website\, with a replay available afterwards for those unable to watch live. \nWhy does Salesforce’s earnings report matter beyond its own shareholders?\nAs one of the largest enterprise software companies globally\, its results are often used as a gauge of corporate technology and artificial intelligence spending\, which can influence sentiment across the wider software and technology sector.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/crm-earnings-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Earnings Season
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260903T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260903T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104552Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104552Z
UID:1329-1788424200-1788427800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US International Trade Balance September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US International Trade Balance: Thursday\, September 3\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US International Trade BalanceNext US International Trade Balance →\nUS International Trade Balance: September 2026 Preview\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau will jointly publish the International Trade in Goods and Services report for July 2026 on Thursday\, 3 September 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Known informally as the FT-900 release\, the report measures the monthly gap between American exports and imports across goods and services\, providing one of the broadest measures of the country’s external trade position. With tariff policy continuing to reshape global supply chains and import volumes\, the July reading will be among the first data points to signal how the summer trading period has absorbed the duty landscape that has defined much of 2026. \nThe release arrives at a pivotal point in the US economic calendar\, landing five days before the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting window opens. Traders and analysts will be parsing the July deficit not only for its headline figure but for its implications for second-half GDP growth\, dollar strength\, and the composition of the inflation pressures the Fed is managing. \n\n\n\nDetail\nInformation\n\n\n\n\nRelease date\n3 September 2026 (Thursday)\n\n\nRelease time\n8:30 a.m. ET / 13:30 BST\n\n\nReference month\nJuly 2026\n\n\nReleasing agencies\nBEA and US Census Bureau\n\n\nMost recent confirmed reading\nMarch 2026: -$60.3 billion\n\n\nFrequency\nMonthly\n\n\nMarket impact\nMedium\n\n\n\nWhat the Report Measures\nThe FT-900 is one of the most comprehensive monthly snapshots of America’s engagement with the global economy. It splits trade into two broad categories: \nGoods covers the physical movement of products across US borders. The major sub-categories include industrial supplies and materials (including petroleum)\, capital goods (machinery\, aircraft\, semiconductors)\, consumer goods (pharmaceuticals\, vehicles\, household appliances)\, automotive products\, and food and beverages. The goods balance has been in deficit for decades\, reflecting the structural reality of a large consumer economy that sources much of its manufacturing from abroad. \nServices tracks cross-border transactions in intangible areas: travel and tourism\, financial services\, intellectual property royalties and licence fees\, telecommunications\, transport\, and education. The United States has consistently maintained a services surplus — running above $27 billion per month in early 2026 — which partially offsets the goods deficit to produce the headline total. \nThe difference between total exports and total imports yields the headline trade balance. When imports exceed exports\, the US records a deficit; when exports exceed imports\, a surplus. For goods and services combined\, the US has recorded a deficit in every month since early 2020. \nThe report also matters for national accounts. Net exports — the external sector contribution — feed directly into the quarterly GDP calculation. A wider deficit subtracts from GDP growth; a narrowing deficit adds to it. Revisions to the monthly trade data can therefore shift GDP estimates meaningfully\, making the FT-900 a key input for economists tracking real output. \nRecent Trend and Historical Data\nThe monthly trade deficit has been volatile over the past year\, driven primarily by front-running behaviour ahead of tariff changes. Importers pulled forward purchases in late 2025 to lock in lower duty rates before new levies took effect\, inflating the goods deficit to -$70.3 billion in December 2025. When that pre-positioning unwound\, the deficit snapped back sharply to -$54.5 billion in January 2026 — the narrowest reading in over a year. \nSince January\, the deficit has edged progressively wider. February 2026 printed at -$57.3 billion\, with the goods deficit at -$84.6 billion partially offset by a $27.3 billion services surplus. March 2026 widened further to -$60.3 billion\, as the goods deficit expanded to -$88.7 billion — its largest in the data set below — while the services surplus grew to $28.4 billion. \n\n\n\nMonth\nGoods Deficit\nServices Surplus\nTotal Deficit\n\n\n\n\nAugust 2025\nn/a\nn/a\n-$59.6B\n\n\nNovember 2025\nn/a\nn/a\n-$56.8B\n\n\nDecember 2025\nn/a\nn/a\n-$70.3B\n\n\nJanuary 2026\n-$82.8B\n+$27.3B\n-$54.5B\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n-$84.6B\n+$27.3B\n-$57.3B\n\n\nMarch 2026\n-$88.7B\n+$28.4B\n-$60.3B\n\n\n\nSources: BEA FT-900 press releases; JEC Senate Monthly Trade Update; BLS advance economic indicators. \nThe structural widening in the goods deficit through early 2026 reflects several forces: elevated consumer demand for imported electronics and vehicles; capital equipment imports tied to the domestic manufacturing expansion encouraged by industrial policy; and the phased effect of tariff adjustments on the composition of import flows. The growing services surplus has acted as a partial counterweight\, driven by strong inbound tourism\, financial services exports\, and royalty income from US intellectual property held abroad. \nWhat the Markets Are Watching\nThe July 2026 report will be read in a specific context shaped by three interacting themes. \nTariff stabilisation and ordering patterns. Following the Supreme Court’s February 2026 ruling that curtailed several broad tariff programmes\, import levies have stabilised compared to the highly volatile late-2025 period. The question for July is whether businesses have resumed normal ordering cycles or whether residual uncertainty is still distorting import volumes. A sustained widening of the goods deficit\, even without the pre-positioning distortions of 2025\, would suggest underlying demand is genuinely strong — which has different policy implications than a tariff-driven import surge. \nEnergy and petroleum flows. Petroleum products have been a volatile sub-component throughout 2025-26. Changes in OPEC+ output levels\, US domestic production from the Permian Basin\, and the strategic petroleum reserve cycle all influence the energy goods deficit. A significant swing in petroleum trade in July could distort the headline figure in either direction. \nThe services surplus as a stabiliser. Financial services exports and travel receipts tend to be stronger in summer months\, which could provide a seasonal lift to the services surplus in July. A larger services surplus would moderate the total deficit even if goods imports remain elevated. Analysts will track whether the services contribution continues to expand or whether any softening in financial markets during the period tempers financial services export income. \nThe dollar’s trajectory through June and July 2026 will also serve as a contextual input. A weaker dollar reduces US purchasing power for imports and makes American exports cheaper for foreign buyers\, tending over time to narrow the deficit. Currency dynamics heading into the September report window will inform how traders interpret the direction of the headline number. \nMarket Scenarios\n\n\n\nScenario\nIndicative Range\nLikely Market Reaction\n\n\n\n\nDeficit narrows sharply\nBetter than -$56B\nUSD strengthens; equities may tick higher on GDP tailwind; Treasury yields edge up\n\n\nIn line with recent trend\n-$56B to -$65B\nMuted reaction; market focus shifts to payrolls and Fed guidance\n\n\nDeficit widens materially\nWorse than -$65B\nUSD softens; some equity pressure if it raises growth concerns; bonds may rally\n\n\n\nThe trade balance is a medium-impact release on a standalone basis. Its market influence is amplified when the deficit moves well outside recent norms\, or when it arrives in a month where the growth narrative is already in flux. September 2026 may be such a month: the release comes one day before the US services ISM and ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls the following Friday\, placing it within a dense data cluster that will collectively shape the September FOMC meeting. \nRelated Events\n\nUS Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) September 2026 — Published Friday\, 5 September 2026. Labour market strength shapes consumer demand and therefore future import volumes.\nUS Consumer Price Index September 2026 — Inflation data affecting Fed rate expectations and dollar dynamics that feed back into trade competitiveness.\nUS Producer Price Index September 2026 — Supply-side cost pressures that influence export pricing and manufacturing competitiveness.\nUS International Trade Balance August 2026 — The preceding month’s release (4 August 2026)\, covering June 2026 data\, will provide the most recent comparable reading ahead of the September report.\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 — The Federal Reserve’s September policy decision will incorporate the trade data as one input to its growth and inflation assessment.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the trade balance released?\nThe FT-900 report is published at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time (13:30 BST) on Thursday\, 3 September 2026. Data is embargoed until that moment; early access is granted only to accredited media under lock-up conditions. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe press release and full tables are published simultaneously by the BEA at bea.gov and by the Census Bureau at census.gov/foreign-trade. Both agencies publish the same underlying data; the BEA site provides additional services breakdowns. \nWhat is the difference between the goods deficit and the total deficit?\nThe goods deficit covers only physical trade flows — manufactured goods\, petroleum\, food\, vehicles. The total (goods and services) deficit nets out the services surplus. For the United States\, the services surplus has been running above $27 billion per month in early 2026\, substantially reducing the headline deficit relative to the goods-only figure. \nDoes the trade balance affect GDP directly?\nYes. Net exports — exports minus imports — are one of the four components of the GDP expenditure calculation. A wider deficit subtracts from quarterly GDP; a narrowing deficit adds to it. This is why large swings in the monthly trade balance can shift GDP nowcast models significantly even before the official BEA GDP estimate is published. \nWhy does the data take so long to compile?\nThe FT-900 is published approximately 34 to 36 days after the end of the reference month\, reflecting the time required to compile customs entry data\, services transaction reports\, and seasonal adjustment calculations across a wide range of product and country categories. An advance goods estimate (the Advance Economic Indicators Report) is typically published around 26 days after month-end\, providing an early read on the goods deficit before the full report. \nHow often is the data revised?\nEach monthly FT-900 release revises the prior month’s data. More substantive revisions are published as part of the BEA annual update; the June 2026 annual revision updated goods data back to 2021 and services data back to 1999.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-international-trade-balance-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260903T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260903T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T102429Z
CREATED:20260825T102429Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T102429Z
UID:1660-1788424200-1788427800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Initial Jobless Claims: September 3\, 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday\, September 3\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims\nThe US Department of Labor releases its weekly Initial Jobless Claims report on Thursday\, September 3\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). The report covers new applications for unemployment benefits filed in the week ending August 29\, 2026. It is one of the most timely gauges of the American labour market\, published every week regardless of other data on the calendar. Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of publication\, a consensus forecast for the week ending August 29\, 2026 has not yet been published. Economist forecasts for this release typically appear the day before\, once major data providers such as Bloomberg and Reuters poll their panels\, so a figure should surface closer to September 2\, 2026. \nThe most recently published reading is for the week ending August 15\, 2026\, when initial claims fell to 206\,000 (seasonally adjusted) from 212\,000 the previous week\, according to Trading Economics\, citing the Department of Labor. Continuing claims\, which count people still receiving benefits after their first week\, fell by 22\,000 to 1\,777\,000 in the earlier reference week\, according to the same source. A further release covering the week ending August 22\, 2026 was due on August 27\, 2026\, but had not been confirmed in official data at the time this page was prepared. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nInitial claims\n206\,000 (week ending August 15\, 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nContinuing claims\n1\,777\,000 (week ending August 8\, 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nRead as a sign of labour-market cooling\, often supportive of Treasury prices and a softer dollar\, and can raise bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts\nMore people than expected are losing jobs or being laid off\, hinting the jobs market is weakening\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, since the data confirms the existing picture of a gradually cooling but still resilient labour market\nThe pace of layoffs is roughly unchanged from recent weeks\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCan be read as a sign of continued labour-market strength\, which may reduce expectations for near-term rate cuts and support the dollar\nFewer people than expected filed for benefits\, suggesting employers are still holding onto staff\n\n\n\nWhy it matters this week\nJobless claims have stayed close to historically low levels through the summer of 2026\, even as other labour indicators\, including the monthly payrolls report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics\, have shown a slower pace of hiring. Trading Economics notes that recent readings have broadly aligned with comments from Federal Reserve officials who describe the US economy as close to full employment\, even though continuing claims have drifted higher over the year\, a sign that people who lose jobs are taking longer to find new ones. \nThe Federal Reserve watches this release closely because it arrives weekly\, well ahead of the monthly jobs report\, and can flag turning points in the labour market before they show up elsewhere. A run of higher claims would add weight to arguments for further interest rate cuts\, while continued low claims would support policymakers who prefer to hold rates steady for longer. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor anyone with a mortgage\, a savings account or a pension\, this weekly number matters because of what it tells markets about the direction of US interest rates. If claims rise sharply and stay high\, traders often increase bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts\, which can pull down bond yields and\, eventually\, some borrowing costs\, including mortgage rates linked to longer-term rates. Savers\, in turn\, may see returns on cash and money-market accounts drift lower over time. \nA weaker labour market reading can also weigh on the dollar. A softer dollar can make imports more expensive for American households\, while making US exports and dollar-priced assets\, including some UK and European pension holdings\, look relatively cheaper to overseas buyers. Conversely\, unexpectedly low claims tend to support the dollar and can keep pressure on the pound and euro\, since they suggest the Fed has less urgency to cut rates. \nFor investors\, this release feeds into the same debate driving stock and bond markets all year: how quickly the Fed can lower rates without reigniting inflation. Sharp\, unexpected moves in either direction can move both US and global markets within minutes of the 8:30 am ET release\, even though any single week’s figure is noisy and often revised. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the jobless claims report released?\nThe Department of Labor publishes the report at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm in London\, every Thursday unless a public holiday shifts the schedule. \nWhat counts as a big miss from consensus?\nMoves of more than around 15\,000 to 20\,000 claims away from the consensus forecast are generally seen as significant\, since the weekly figure is naturally volatile and subject to revision the following week. \nWhen is the next jobless claims report?\nThe following release covers the week ending September 5\, 2026 and is due on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026\, again at 8:30 am ET. \n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-initial-jobless-claims-september-3-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260903T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260903T110000
DTSTAMP:20260825T102006Z
CREATED:20260825T102004Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T102006Z
UID:1659-1788429600-1788433200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US ISM Services PMI September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US ISM Services PMI: Thursday\, September 3\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US ISM Services PMI. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nThe US ISM Services PMI for August 2026 is due at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) on Thursday\, September 3\, 2026\, published by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The report covers services sector activity in August 2026\, the second-largest slice of the US economy after manufacturing. Full schedule and background: US ISM Services PMI. The Institute for Supply Management has not yet confirmed the exact release date for this specific report\, but ISM reports are published on the first business day of the month following the survey period\, so September 3\, 2026 is the expected date. \nWhat is the ISM Services PMI?\nThe ISM Services PMI\, formally the Services PMI\, is a monthly survey of purchasing and supply executives across more than a dozen service industries\, including finance\, healthcare\, retail and transport. Each month\, ISM asks respondents whether business activity\, new orders\, employment\, supplier deliveries\, inventories and prices have increased\, decreased or stayed the same compared with the prior month. \nThe headline figure is a diffusion index built from these responses. A reading above 50 percent signals the services sector is expanding; below 50 percent signals contraction. Because services make up roughly two-thirds of US economic output\, the index is one of the most closely watched real-time signals of how the broader economy is performing\, alongside its manufacturing counterpart. \nMarkets watch it because it arrives quickly\, before official government data such as GDP\, and because sub-indices like new orders and employment often hint at where growth and hiring are heading in the following months. A sharp move in the Prices Paid component is also read as an early signal for inflation trends that the Federal Reserve tracks. \nWhen is the August ISM Services PMI released?\nThe report is scheduled for 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time) on Thursday\, September 3\, 2026. It is published by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) and released via the ISM website and major newswires including PR Newswire. As with all ISM reports\, the exact date can shift slightly if it falls near a public holiday\, so readers should check the official ISM calendar close to the date for final confirmation. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the August 2026 reading has not yet been published by major surveys such as Reuters or Bloomberg at the time of writing. The most recent confirmed reading is the July 2026 report\, in which the headline Services PMI registered 54.1 percent\, up 0.1 percentage point from June’s 54.0 percent\, according to the ISM Services PMI Report. That marked the 25th consecutive month of expansion. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline Services PMI\n54.1%\nNot yet published\n\n\nEmployment Index\n47.4%\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nRead as evidence the services economy is accelerating\, which could reduce expectations of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts if paired with firm prices paid\nThe services side of the economy\, where most jobs sit\, is growing faster than expected\, which can support wages but also keep borrowing costs higher for longer\n\n\nIn line\nLikely to have limited market impact on its own\, though sub-indices such as employment and prices paid could still move bond and currency markets\nThe economy is behaving broadly as expected\, so there is little reason for lenders or the Fed to change course immediately\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould be read as a sign of cooling demand\, particularly if new orders or business activity slow\, potentially reinforcing bets on rate cuts\nSlower growth in services can eventually mean fewer job openings and softer pricing power for businesses\, which can filter through to weaker wage growth\n\n\n\nThese are possible interpretations\, not predictions. Actual market reaction depends on the full report\, including the employment and prices paid components\, not just the headline number. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe services sector has expanded for 25 straight months as of the July 2026 report\, but the details beneath the headline have been mixed. The Business Activity Index jumped to 59.1 percent in July from 55.4 percent in June\, and New Orders climbed to 57.2 percent from 55.1 percent\, according to the ISM Services PMI Report for July. At the same time\, the Employment Index fell back into contraction at 47.4 percent\, down from 51.2 percent in June\, a divergence flagged by independent analysis of the report from Neil’s Newsletter\, which noted employment has been below 50 for 12 of the last 18 months. \nPrices Paid\, a proxy for input cost pressure\, rose to 70.3 percent in July from 67.7 percent in June\, according to the same analysis. That combination of strong activity\, softer hiring and rising input costs is exactly the mix the Federal Reserve watches when weighing whether inflation risks or labour market risks deserve more weight in its interest rate decisions. The 12-month average reading of 53.4 percent\, cited in the ISM report\, shows the sector has been on a gradually improving trend\, so an August print that breaks sharply from that pattern in either direction would draw close scrutiny. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing: a strong services report\, especially with high prices paid\, can reduce the chance of near-term Fed rate cuts\, keeping US mortgage and loan rates higher for longer. A weak report has the opposite effect and can pull mortgage rates down.\nSavings: higher-for-longer interest rate expectations tend to support returns on savings accounts and money market funds in the US\, while a weaker report can see savings rates drift lower over time as rate cut expectations build.\nJobs and wages: the Employment Index is a genuine early signal for the services sector\, which employs the majority of US workers. Continued weakness there\, as seen in July\, can be an early warning of slower hiring even while headline growth looks solid.\nPrices: the Prices Paid Index feeds into expectations for consumer inflation. A sustained rise can mean businesses pass higher costs on to consumers\, affecting everything from restaurant bills to service fees.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: US equity and bond markets often move on ISM releases\, which can ripple into pension funds holding US assets worldwide. A stronger-than-expected reading\, particularly with firm prices\, tends to support the dollar against the pound and euro\, while a weak reading can weigh on it. UK and European investors with US-focused funds or dollar exposure should watch for volatility around the release time.\n\nRelated events\n\nISM Manufacturing PMI\, typically released a few business days before the Services PMI each month\nUS nonfarm payrolls report\, usually released the first Friday of the month\, shortly after the Services PMI\nFederal Reserve interest rate decisions\, which weigh services sector data alongside inflation and labour market reports\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the ISM Services PMI released?\nThe report is released at 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm in London\, on the first business day of the month following the survey period. \nHow do I read the ISM Services PMI number?\nA reading above 50 percent indicates the services sector is expanding compared with the prior month\, while a reading below 50 percent indicates contraction. The further from 50\, the stronger the signal. \nHow does this release affect interest rates?\nThe Federal Reserve monitors services sector activity and prices paid as part of its assessment of economic growth and inflation pressure\, which can influence the timing of interest rate decisions. \nWhere can I find the official ISM Services PMI release?\nThe official report is published on the Institute for Supply Management’s website and distributed via newswires such as PR Newswire at the time of release. \nWhen is the next ISM Services PMI report after this one?\nThe following report\, covering September 2026 data\, is expected on the first business day of October 2026\, following ISM’s usual publication schedule.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-ism-services-pmi-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260903T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260903T130000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104647Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104647Z
UID:1283-1788436800-1788440400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:AVGO Earnings September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next AVGO Quarterly Earnings: Thursday\, September 3\, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nBroadcom Inc. (Nasdaq: AVGO) will report its third quarter fiscal year 2026 financial results on Thursday\, September 3\, 2026\, after market close. The company has provided revenue guidance of approximately $29.4 billion for Q3 FY2026\, representing an 84% increase year-over-year and continued acceleration driven by extraordinary demand for its AI networking and custom silicon products. \n\n  At a Glance \n\nReport date: Thursday\, September 3\, 2026\, after market close (AMC)\nCompany: Broadcom Inc. (Nasdaq: AVGO)\nQuarter: Q3 FY2026 (fiscal quarter ending late July 2026)\nRevenue guidance: ~$29.4 billion (84% YoY growth)\nAI revenue guidance: ~$16.0 billion (200%+ YoY growth)\nMarket impact: High\n\n\nWhat is Broadcom?\nBroadcom Inc. is a global technology company designing\, developing\, and supplying a broad range of semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. Headquartered in Palo Alto\, California\, it is one of the world’s largest semiconductor companies by revenue\, with products spanning networking\, storage\, wireless\, broadband\, and custom silicon. The company has grown significantly through acquisitions\, including the landmark $61 billion purchase of VMware completed in November 2023\, which added a major enterprise software division alongside its existing semiconductor operations. \nBroadcom operates on a fiscal year that ends in late October\, making its fiscal Q3 the period from approximately late April to late July. The company reports earnings four times per year\, typically in February\, May\, September\, and December. Analysts\, institutional investors\, and market watchers follow Broadcom’s results closely because its networking chips are central infrastructure for AI data centres\, making the company a bellwether for AI capital expenditure by hyperscalers such as Microsoft\, Alphabet\, Meta\, and Apple. \nThe stock is a component of the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 indices. At the time of writing\, Broadcom is one of the highest-valued semiconductor companies in the world\, with AI demand serving as the primary revenue growth driver since 2025. \nAVGO Earnings: Q3 FY2026 Schedule\nThe Q3 FY2026 earnings release is scheduled for Thursday\, September 3\, 2026\, after market close. Following the release of results\, management will host a conference call\, typically beginning at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time\, during which CEO Hock Tan and CFO Kirsten Spears will discuss the quarterly results and provide guidance for Q4 FY2026. The call will be webcast live and accessible via the Investors section of the Broadcom website at investors.broadcom.com. \nThe September 3 date was confirmed by the company via its investor relations page. The fiscal Q3 FY2026 covers approximately the 13-week period ending in late July 2026. \nWhy AVGO Earnings Matter for Markets\nBroadcom has become one of the most closely watched bellwethers for the AI infrastructure investment cycle. Its custom AI accelerator chips (XPUs) are deployed by major hyperscalers and compete in the market dominated by Nvidia’s GPU offerings. The company’s AI networking products\, including Tomahawk and Jericho switch chips\, are essential components of data centre fabric used in large-scale AI training and inference clusters. \nBroadcom guided Q3 FY2026 AI semiconductor revenue to approximately $16.0 billion\, representing more than 200% growth year-over-year\, according to company guidance issued alongside Q2 FY2026 results in early June 2026. If achieved\, this would represent a further step-up from Q2 FY2026\, when Broadcom reported total revenue of $22.187 billion. The scale of AI-driven growth has made AVGO’s earnings calls critical events for investors across the technology and AI ecosystem. \nBeyond AI semiconductors\, the VMware software business acquired in 2023 continues to be integrated. Progress on VMware revenue conversion (from perpetual licences to subscription) and operating margins will be examined by analysts seeking to understand the sustainability and quality of earnings. Any deterioration in VMware churn or pricing would be a concern\, while strong software gross margins above 80% would be a positive signal. \nWhat to Watch For in Q3 FY2026\nInvestors and analysts will focus on several key themes during the Q3 FY2026 earnings release and call: \nAI revenue versus guidance: The company guided AI semiconductor revenue to approximately $16.0 billion for Q3. Meeting or beating this figure would reinforce the AI demand story and likely support a positive stock reaction. Missing the guidance would raise concerns about hyperscaler capex slowdowns or competition from Nvidia and other AI chip suppliers. \nTotal revenue versus consensus: Pre-guidance\, Wall Street consensus for Q3 FY2026 revenue stood at approximately $28.47 billion. Broadcom’s own guidance of $29.4 billion exceeded this\, setting a higher bar. Analysts will update their models in the weeks before September 3\, but the company’s self-guided number will be the primary benchmark against which results are measured. \nQ4 FY2026 guidance: As important as the Q3 results is the guidance for Q4 FY2026 (covering August to October 2026)\, which will be issued alongside the results. Given the sequential revenue growth trajectory\, the market will expect Q4 guidance to continue the upward trend. A Q4 guide in the $30 billion or above range would likely be viewed positively. \nVMware metrics: VMware subscription and SaaS revenues\, annualised contract value (ACV)\, and renewal rates will be scrutinised. The VMware integration is a multiyear programme and any acceleration in adoption of VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) would be a positive indicator. \nOperating margins: Broadcom guided non-GAAP operating margins of approximately 67% for Q3. Any expansion above this level would be well received\, while compression would raise questions about the cost structure of the AI build-out. \nRecent Quarterly Results\n\n\n\nQuarter\nRevenue\nNon-GAAP EPS\nYoY Revenue Growth\n\n\n\n\nQ2 FY2026 (May 2026)\n$22.19B\n$2.44\n+48%\n\n\nQ1 FY2026 (Feb 2026)\n$19.31B\n$2.05\n+29%\n\n\nQ4 FY2025 (Dec 2025)\n$18.02B\n$1.95\n+51%\n\n\nQ2 FY2025 (May 2025)\n$15.00B\n$1.58\n—\n\n\nQ1 FY2025 (Feb 2025)\n$14.92B\n$1.60\n—\n\n\n\nSource: Broadcom Inc. SEC filings and earnings releases. Q3 FY2026 results are forthcoming on September 3\, 2026. \nRelated Events\n\nUS CPI Report September 2026 – The August 2026 inflation reading\, released the same week\, which will influence Federal Reserve expectations and the broader risk-on/risk-off backdrop for tech earnings.\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 – The Fed’s policy decision on September 16\, for which macro data released in early September\, including Broadcom’s earnings call commentary\, provides context about corporate conditions.\nECB Rate Decision September 2026 – The European Central Bank’s meeting on September 10\, relevant for Broadcom’s substantial European customer base and operations.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does Broadcom do and why do investors follow it so closely?\nBroadcom designs and sells semiconductor chips and infrastructure software used in data centres\, networking\, broadband\, and enterprise IT systems. It has become a bellwether for AI infrastructure investment because its custom AI accelerator chips and high-speed networking products are core components of the data centres built by major hyperscalers. Investors track Broadcom’s results to gauge the health of AI capital expenditure\, making its earnings calls among the most market-sensitive technology events each quarter. \nWhen exactly will Broadcom report Q3 FY2026 results?\nBroadcom is scheduled to report Q3 FY2026 financial results on Thursday\, September 3\, 2026\, after market close (approximately 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time). The earnings conference call will follow\, typically beginning at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time\, and will be webcast live via the company’s investor relations website. \nWhat is the analyst consensus for Q3 FY2026 revenue?\nPrior to Broadcom’s own Q3 guidance issued alongside Q2 FY2026 results in June 2026\, Wall Street consensus for Q3 FY2026 revenue stood at approximately $28.47 billion. Broadcom’s management guidance of $29.4 billion exceeded this consensus\, raising the bar for the actual results. Analysts will update their estimates in the weeks before September 3 to reflect the updated outlook. \nFeatured image: Photo by Adi Goldstein on Unsplash.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/avgo-earnings-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260904T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260904T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104542Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104542Z
UID:1289-1788510600-1788514200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls): Friday\, September 4\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls). \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls)Next US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) →\nThe US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Employment Situation report for August 2026 on Friday\, September 4\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report will be the final major labour market reading before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on September 16\, 2026\, making it a critical input for the Fed’s next rate decision. \n\n  At a Glance \n\nRelease date: Friday\, September 4\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. ET\nPublishing body: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\nReference month: August 2026\nMost recent reading: +172\,000 jobs\, unemployment 4.3% (May 2026)\nMarket impact: High\n\n\nWhat is the Employment Situation Report?\nThe Employment Situation is the most closely watched monthly economic release in the United States\, covering two separate surveys. The establishment survey measures non-farm payroll employment\, while the household survey measures the unemployment rate and labour force participation. Together\, they provide the most comprehensive monthly snapshot of the US labour market. \nPublished by the BLS on the first Friday of each month\, the report covers the previous calendar month. The headline non-farm payrolls (NFP) number generates the most immediate market reaction\, but analysts also examine the unemployment rate\, average hourly earnings\, labour force participation\, and revisions to the prior two months. \nThe September 2026 release covers August 2026 employment data and holds particular importance given its proximity to the FOMC meeting twelve days later. \nUS Employment Situation Release: September 4\, 2026\nThe September 4 release\, along with the September 11 CPI report\, constitutes the final major macro data package before the FOMC decision. Taken together\, these two releases will determine whether the Fed will cut\, hold\, or raise rates on September 16. The most recent reading showed +172\,000 jobs in May 2026\, well above the forecast of 85\,000. The unemployment rate held at 4.3% in May. \nConsensus forecasts for the August payrolls figure are not yet available at time of publication. Market participants will be watching for any sign of labour market cooling that might tip the Fed towards easing after a period of holding rates elevated in response to the 2026 inflation surge. \nWhy This Employment Report Matters\nThe September 4 release takes on outsized importance because of its role in the pre-FOMC data window. The Federal Reserve operates under a dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability. With inflation running significantly above target through the first half of 2026 (reaching 3.8% in April)\, the labour market data has been the other half of the equation. A cooling labour market would give the Fed cover to ease; a strong market would reinforce the case for staying on hold. \nThe labour market recovery that began in early 2026 has been notable. After an average of just 15\,000 jobs per month in 2025\, the US economy added 130\,000 jobs in January 2026 and accelerated through spring to 172\,000-185\,000 per month. Whether this pace has been maintained through the summer months will be central to the policy calculus for September and beyond. \nWage growth within the report also informs the inflation debate. Average hourly earnings growing at or above the rate of consumer price inflation supports real income growth and consumer spending\, but can also perpetuate inflation by keeping demand elevated. The Fed watches this metric alongside CPI to assess whether the labour market is a source of inflationary pressure. \nWhat to Watch For\n\nAbove consensus: A strong payrolls print significantly above expectations would reduce the probability of a September rate cut\, strengthen the US dollar\, push Treasury yields higher\, and potentially weigh on equities. The market would begin pricing the September FOMC as a near-certain hold\, shifting focus to December for any easing.\nIn line with consensus: A reading matching expectations would keep the September decision close to a coin-flip\, with the September 11 CPI report becoming the decisive input. Attention would shift to sub-components: unemployment rate\, participation rate\, and average hourly earnings growth.\nBelow consensus: A weak payrolls number\, particularly paired with a rising unemployment rate\, would significantly increase the probability of a September cut and possibly put a 50 basis point cut on the table. Bonds and equities would rally; the US dollar would weaken. A reading below 75\,000 would trigger significant concern about labour market health.\n\nThe Labour Day holiday falls on September 7\, 2026\, three days after the release. Thinner summer trading volumes in the days preceding the report may amplify the market reaction when the data drops. \nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nMonth\nJobs Added\nUnemployment Rate\n\n\n\n\nMay 2026\n+172\,000\n4.3%\n\n\nApril 2026 (revised)\n+179\,000\n4.3%\n\n\nMarch 2026 (revised)\n+185\,000\n4.3%\n\n\nJanuary 2026\n+130\,000\n4.4%\n\n\nMay 2025\n+139\,000\n—\n\n\nJanuary 2025\n+143\,000\n—\n\n\n\nSource: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Revised figures as of the June 2026 release. 2025 represented a period of significantly subdued job growth averaging approximately 15\,000 per month. \nMarket Positioning\nHeading into September 4\, the Federal Reserve’s communication will have already shaped market expectations for the FOMC meeting. Any Fed commentary between now and the release that suggests openness to cutting will magnify the impact of a weaker NFP reading. Similarly\, hawkish Fed language will amplify the market reaction to a strong jobs number. \nThe September 4 release also coincides with the start of the post-summer trading period\, when institutional investors return from holiday schedules and market volume picks up. This typically makes the first-Friday-in-September NFP a particularly sharp market catalyst. \nRelated Events\n\nUS CPI Report September 2026 – The August 2026 inflation reading on September 11\, the other key data point before the September 16 FOMC meeting.\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s rate decision on September 16\, the primary event for which this NFP report provides critical input.\nECB Rate Decision September 2026 – The ECB meets on September 10\, providing a comparison with the European employment and inflation backdrop.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the Employment Situation report cover?\nThe Employment Situation covers two monthly surveys: the establishment (payroll) survey\, which estimates total non-farm employment and average hourly earnings\, and the household survey\, which measures the unemployment rate and labour force participation. Together they provide the most complete monthly picture of US labour market conditions. \nWhen exactly is the September 2026 NFP released?\nThe September 2026 Employment Situation report will be released on Friday\, September 4\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers labour market activity during August 2026. \nWhy is this report particularly important for the September FOMC meeting?\nThe September 4 NFP release comes just 12 days before the FOMC rate decision on September 16. Combined with the September 11 CPI release\, it forms the complete pre-meeting data package. The Fed will weigh both the employment and inflation data together when deciding whether to cut\, hold\, or raise rates\, making the September 4 report one of the most consequential NFP releases of the year. \nFeatured image: Photo by Zoshua Colah on Unsplash.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-employment-situation-non-farm-payrolls-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260904T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260904T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T124346Z
CREATED:20260825T124345Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T124346Z
UID:2161-1788510600-1788514200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Canada Labour Force Survey September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Canada Labour Force Survey: Friday\, September 4\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n6.4% unemployment rate\, +75\,000 jobs (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Canada Labour Force Survey. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nStatistics Canada releases the Labour Force Survey for August 2026 on Friday\, September 4\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). The report is the country’s single most closely watched monthly economic indicator\, covering employment\, unemployment and wages for the reference week in August. Full schedule and background: Canada Labour Force Survey. \nWhat is the Labour Force Survey?\nThe Labour Force Survey (LFS) is a monthly household survey run by Statistics Canada that asks roughly 56\,000 households about their work status in the reference week (usually the week containing the 15th of the month). From these responses\, StatCan calculates the unemployment rate\, the number of people employed\, the employment rate and average hourly wages\, then adjusts the figures for seasonal patterns so month-to-month comparisons are meaningful. \nMarkets watch the LFS closely because it is one of the freshest\, broadest reads on the Canadian economy. Unlike gross domestic product (GDP) data\, which arrives with a lag of two months or more\, the jobs report lands within days of the reference period. The Bank of Canada uses it\, alongside inflation data\, as a primary input when deciding whether to raise\, cut or hold its policy interest rate. \nA rise in employment and a falling unemployment rate generally signal a strengthening economy\, which can support the Canadian dollar and push bond yields higher as investors price in less need for interest rate cuts. A weaker report\, with job losses or a rising unemployment rate\, tends to have the opposite effect\, weighing on the currency and supporting expectations of monetary easing. \nWhen is the August Labour Force Survey released?\nStatistics Canada publishes the August 2026 Labour Force Survey on Friday\, September 4\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm in London. The data is released through The Daily\, StatCan’s official release bulletin\, and is published on schedule as part of a fixed monthly calendar\, typically the first Friday of each month. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the August 2026 report has not yet been published. Economists surveyed by Reuters and Bloomberg typically publish their median estimates for employment change and the unemployment rate in the days immediately before release\, so a consensus figure should appear closer to September 4\, 2026. Based on the most recent reading\, from July 2026\, employment rose by 75\,000 and the unemployment rate fell to 6.4%\, according to Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey release. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nEmployment change\n+75\,000\nNot yet published\n\n\nUnemployment rate\n6.4%\nNot yet published\n\n\nEmployment rate\n60.9%\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus (stronger jobs growth\, lower unemployment)\nCanadian dollar could strengthen and bond yields could rise as traders scale back bets on further Bank of Canada rate cuts\nMore people are working and the economy is holding up better than expected\, which can reduce the urgency for cheaper borrowing costs\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, since the outcome matches what was already priced in\nThe labour market is evolving broadly as expected\, so the Bank of Canada’s existing plan likely stays on track\n\n\nBelow consensus (weaker jobs growth\, higher unemployment)\nCanadian dollar could weaken and short-term bond yields could fall as traders price in a greater chance of a rate cut\nFewer jobs were created or more people are out of work than expected\, a sign the economy may be cooling and could need support from lower interest rates\n\n\n\nWhy does this release matter right now?\nCanada’s labour market has shown a marked improvement in the months leading into this release. According to Statistics Canada\, employment rose by 75\,000 in July 2026 alone\, and the unemployment rate fell for three consecutive months to 6.4%\, its lowest level in two years. Indeed’s Hiring Lab Canada described the run of data as a period where “the market might be making a turn” after a prolonged stretch of soft hiring. TD Economics noted the improvement came alongside a jump in the labour force\, and said it continues to expect the Bank of Canada to “stay on hold for the rest of the year” given the still-elevated 6.4% unemployment rate. \nThe Bank of Canada watches the LFS closely for signs of slack in the economy\, wage pressure and the impact of trade tensions with the United States. Tariff-related uncertainty has been flagged repeatedly by economists as a downside risk to hiring\, particularly in export-exposed and manufacturing sectors. The August report will show whether the recent run of stronger job growth continued into a fourth month or whether it was a temporary bounce tied to seasonal hiring. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing: A stronger-than-expected jobs report reduces the chance of a near-term Bank of Canada rate cut\, which can keep variable mortgage rates and lines of credit higher for longer. A weak report increases the odds of a cut\, which could eventually flow through to lower borrowing costs.\nSavings: Interest rates on savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates (GICs) tend to track the Bank of Canada’s policy rate\, so a weaker jobs report that raises the odds of a cut could mean lower returns on cash savings in the months ahead.\nJobs and wages: The report is a direct read on hiring conditions across sectors\, from retail and finance to construction and manufacturing. A falling unemployment rate generally means it is easier to find work and can support wage growth\, though StatCan noted wage growth actually moderated to 2.8% year-on-year in July 2026.\nPrices: A tight labour market can add to inflation pressure through wage growth\, which the Bank of Canada weighs against its inflation target when setting interest rates.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: The Canadian dollar tends to move on jobs data because it shifts expectations for interest rates. A stronger loonie makes imports and US travel cheaper for Canadians but can weigh on exporters. Investors in Canadian bonds and dividend-paying sectors such as banks also watch the release for signs of economic momentum\, while UK and European investors with Canadian holdings should note that currency swings can affect returns when converted back to sterling or euros.\n\nRelated events\n\nThe Bank of Canada’s next interest rate decision\, which weighs labour market data alongside inflation figures.\nCanada’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) release\, published separately by Statistics Canada.\nThe US non-farm payrolls report\, typically released the same day or within days of the Canadian jobs data\, which often moves North American markets together.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Canada jobs report released?\nStatistics Canada releases the Labour Force Survey for August 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London) on Friday\, September 4\, 2026. \nHow do I read the headline numbers?\nLook at the employment change (the number of net new jobs) and the unemployment rate together: rising employment paired with a falling or stable unemployment rate typically points to a strengthening labour market. \nHow does this report affect Bank of Canada interest rate decisions?\nA labour market that is stronger than expected can reduce pressure on the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates\, while a weaker report can increase the odds of a cut\, according to analysis from TD Economics. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe official release is published by Statistics Canada in The Daily\, the agency’s daily bulletin. \nWhen is the next Canada jobs report?\nThe next Labour Force Survey\, covering September 2026 data\, is typically released on the first Friday of October 2026. \nWhat time is the Canada jobs report released?\nStatistics Canada releases the Labour Force Survey for August 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London) on Friday\, September 4\, 2026.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/canada-labour-force-survey-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=UTC:20260907T000000
DTEND;TZID=UTC:20260907T235959
DTSTAMP:20260825T104635Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104635Z
UID:1347-1788739200-1788825599@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:NYSE/NASDAQ: Labor Day 2026
DESCRIPTION:NYSE & Nasdaq are closed on Monday\, September 7\, 2026 for Labor Day. \n\nBond market\nClosed\nNext holiday\nThanksgiving Day\, November 26\, 2026\nRegular hours\n9:30 am to 4:00 pm ET\n\nFull schedule and background: Stock Market Holidays. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nUS equity and fixed income markets will be closed on Monday\, September 7\, 2026\, in observance of Labor Day\, a federal public holiday celebrated on the first Monday of September each year. The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq will be fully closed for the session. The closure marks the traditional end of the summer trading season in the United States\, with full trading activity resuming on Tuesday\, September 8\, 2026. The week following Labor Day is historically one of the busiest on the financial calendar\, with institutional investors returning from summer schedules and significant economic data releases concentrated in the opening weeks of September. \nWhat is Labor Day?\nLabor Day is a federal public holiday in the United States honouring the contributions of workers and the labour movement. Observed on the first Monday of September\, the holiday has roots in the late 19th-century labour movement and was declared a federal holiday in 1894. It is one of nine annual NYSE market holidays\, and its position on the calendar gives it particular significance in financial markets as the symbolic dividing line between the summer trading period and the busier autumn season. \nThe summer months of July and August are traditionally characterised by lighter trading volumes\, as institutional portfolio managers and senior traders take vacations\, reducing liquidity and sometimes exaggerating price moves on lower participation. Labor Day weekend is the moment when the market year effectively shifts back into full gear. Volumes typically increase markedly in the week of September 8\, as asset allocators return to desks\, central bank policy meetings move back onto the calendar\, and a dense schedule of economic data releases begins in earnest. \nFrom a market-structure standpoint\, the Labor Day closure is consistent across all major US exchange venues. NYSE\, Nasdaq\, NYSE Arca\, NYSE American\, CBOE\, and their affiliated options and equities platforms all suspend trading for the full session on the first Monday of September. The holiday also falls within the Federal Reserve’s pre-meeting quiet period ahead of the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting\, adding another layer of significance to the post-Labor Day trading week for interest rate markets. \nAt a Glance\n\nMarket holiday date: Monday\, September 7\, 2026\nHoliday: Labor Day (first Monday of September)\nMarkets closed: NYSE\, Nasdaq\, CBOE\, US options exchanges\, US fixed income markets (SIFMA full close)\nCME futures: Equity futures closed September 7; reopen Sunday\, September 6 at 5:00 p.m. CT / reopening for Monday session\nNext trading session: Tuesday\, September 8\, 2026\nEarly close: None; no adjacent early-close recommendation for Friday\, September 4\n\nLabor Day 2026: Markets and Trading Schedule\nThe NYSE Group has designated Monday\, September 7\, 2026\, as a full market holiday. All US equity\, ETF\, and listed options markets will be closed for the entire trading day. There is no partial session or early-close arrangement. Trading resumes with the normal opening session on Tuesday\, September 8\, 2026\, at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time. \nUS Treasury markets and the broader fixed income complex will observe a full close on Labor Day in line with SIFMA guidance. There is no early close recommended for the preceding Friday\, September 4\, which is itself a notable trading day — the US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) for September 2026 is scheduled for that Friday morning. A high-impact jobs report on the last trading day before a three-day weekend has historically produced significant market reactions\, as traders may be reluctant to carry large positions over the long weekend in the event of a surprise reading. \nCME Group equity index futures — covering S&P 500\, Nasdaq 100\, Dow Jones Industrial Average\, and Russell 2000 contracts — will halt trading for the Labor Day session. Electronic trading in these products typically suspends from the prior evening and resumes on Sunday\, September 6\, at 5:00 p.m. Central Time. Energy\, metals\, and agricultural futures may follow separate schedules\, and traders should consult the CME Group’s official holiday calendar for product-specific information. \nWhy Labor Day Matters for Markets\nLabor Day weekend marks the transition from the low-liquidity summer period to the denser\, higher-volume autumn trading season. Historically\, trading volumes in the week following Labor Day are among the highest of the calendar year\, reflecting the return of institutional capital\, the activation of rebalancing programmes\, and the commencement of autumn earnings season build-up. Fixed income markets\, in particular\, often see a surge in new corporate bond issuance in the first week of September\, as companies that delayed capital market activity during the summer rush to price deals before quarter-end on September 30. \nThe Federal Reserve’s September FOMC meeting falls in the third week of September\, making the post-Labor Day period a particularly sensitive time for interest rate markets. The FOMC Rate Decision for September 2026 will be one of the first major policy events of the autumn calendar\, and the economic data flow in the week of September 8 — including any revisions to the August jobs report and the first September sentiment indicators — will inform how markets price the rate decision probability. The Fed enters its pre-meeting quiet period in advance of the September meeting\, meaning no new guidance from policymakers will emerge once that window opens. \nFor equity investors\, the post-Labor Day return has a historical pattern of above-average volatility in certain years. The September effect — a well-documented seasonal tendency for equity markets to underperform in September — is partly attributed to the change in market composition as summer-reduced liquidity gives way to more aggressive institutional positioning. Whether 2026 follows this pattern will depend heavily on the trajectory of inflation\, Federal Reserve signalling\, and the NFP print on September 4. \nThe September 2026 Trading Week\nThe week of September 8\, 2026\, will be the first full trading week after the Labor Day break and one of the most closely watched weeks of the autumn. The Non-Farm Payrolls report released on September 4 will still be reverberating in markets as they reopen for Tuesday’s session. In addition\, the ECB Rate Decision for September 2026 is scheduled for September 10\, just days into the post-holiday week. The combination of a significant US labour market print and a major central bank decision within the same week makes the Labor Day break of 2026 particularly consequential for risk positioning across equities\, foreign exchange\, and interest rate markets. \nThe ECB Rate Decision September 2026\, in particular\, will attract attention from currency traders and European equity investors who have been calibrating their positions around the European Central Bank’s autumn policy trajectory. The US and European central bank calendars running in close proximity to the post-Labor Day reopening creates a compressed period of high-impact events in which position management and risk limits require careful attention. \nSettlement and Operational Implications\nUnder T+1 equity settlement rules\, trades executed on Friday\, September 4\, will settle on Tuesday\, September 8\, with the Monday holiday excluded from the settlement count. Operations teams managing daily cash flows\, fund redemptions\, or repo agreements should plan around this extended settlement window. The combination of a high-impact NFP release on September 4 and a one-day settlement extension means that positions established on the basis of the jobs data will take an additional day to clear through the settlement system. \nCorporate treasury and asset management teams running month-end and quarter-end liquidity operations should note that Labor Day falls early in September 2026\, leaving the full trading month of September active from September 8 onwards. This compresses the effective trading window for September quarter-end rebalancing into a three-week period from September 8 to September 30\, which can intensify end-of-quarter flows in the final week of the month. \nRelated Events\n\nUS Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) September 2026 — Released on Friday\, September 4\, the last trading day before Labor Day; directly shapes market positioning going into the long weekend.\nECB Rate Decision September 2026 — Scheduled for September 10\, the first major central bank event of the post-Labor Day trading week.\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 — The Federal Reserve’s autumn policy meeting\, shaped by the jobs and inflation data released in the week following Labor Day.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhy is US Labor Day observed in September rather than May 1?\nThe United States chose the first Monday of September rather than May 1 (International Workers’ Day\, observed in most countries) for political reasons in the late 19th century. The September date was promoted by the American Federation of Labor and the Knights of Labor as a way to celebrate workers without association with the socialist movements linked to May Day in Europe. Congress designated it a federal holiday in 1894. For financial markets\, the September date places it at a natural seasonal transition point — the end of the summer trading lull and the start of the busier autumn calendar. \nWhich US markets are closed on Labor Day 2026?\nAll major US equity and derivatives exchanges are closed on Monday\, September 7\, 2026: the NYSE\, Nasdaq\, NYSE Arca\, NYSE American\, CBOE\, and their affiliated options markets. US Treasury and investment-grade bond markets observe a full close per SIFMA guidance. CME Group equity index futures suspend trading and reopen Sunday\, September 6\, at 5:00 p.m. Central Time. Foreign exchange markets continue to operate globally with reduced US participation. \nWhat happens to trades placed on the Friday before Labor Day?\nEquity trades executed on Friday\, September 4\, 2026\, will settle on Tuesday\, September 8\, 2026\, under T+1 settlement rules\, with the Monday holiday excluded from the count. Investors and operations teams should factor this into any funding\, margin call\, or net asset value calculations that depend on same-day or next-day settlement. Options expiries and futures roll dates scheduled around this period should be checked against exchange-specific holiday calendar rules.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/nyse-nasdaq-labor-day-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260907T195000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260907T205000
DTSTAMP:20260826T032437Z
CREATED:20260826T032437Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T032437Z
UID:2257-1788810600-1788814200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Japan GDP September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Japan GDP: Tuesday\, September 8\, 2026 at 8:50 am JST (7:50 pm ET\, 12:50 am London). Covers Q2 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published for the September 8 revision; first preliminary Q2 2026 reading was 0.3% QoQ\, 1.1% annualised versus forecasts of 0.5% and 2.0%\nPrior\nQ1 2026 revised: 0.5% QoQ\, 1.8% annualised\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Japan GDP. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nJapan’s Cabinet Office publishes the second preliminary (revised) reading of second-quarter 2026 gross domestic product on Tuesday\, September 8\, 2026\, at 8:50am Japan Standard Time. That falls at 7:50pm ET on Monday\, September 7 in New York and 12:50am London time on the 8th\, because Japan is well ahead of both Western time zones. This revision covers economic activity across April to June 2026. For the full release calendar and background on how Japan reports growth\, see Japan GDP. \nWhat is Japan’s GDP report?\nGross domestic product measures the total value of goods and services produced in Japan over a period\, usually reported quarter on quarter and then annualised\, which extrapolates that quarterly pace over a full year as though it continued unchanged. The Cabinet Office’s Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) compiles the figures from spending\, output and income data across households\, businesses and government. \nJapan releases GDP twice for each quarter. A first preliminary estimate comes roughly six weeks after the quarter ends\, built on partial data. A second preliminary estimate follows around six weeks later\, incorporating fuller corporate capital spending and inventory figures from the Ministry of Finance. The September 8 release is this second\, revised estimate for Q2 2026. \nInvestors watch GDP because it is the broadest single gauge of whether an economy is expanding or contracting. For Japan specifically\, the Bank of Japan weighs GDP trends\, alongside inflation and wage data\, when deciding whether conditions justify further interest rate moves after its long exit from ultra-loose policy. \nWhen is the Q2 2026 GDP revision released?\nThe Cabinet Office releases the data at 8:50am JST on September 8\, 2026\, on the ESRI website. There is no scheduling uncertainty attached to this release: Japan’s Cabinet Office confirms exact GDP dates well in advance and has not flagged any change to this slot. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the September 8 revision had not been published at the time of writing\, since analyst polls for second preliminary GDP readings typically appear only in the days immediately before release. The number being revised is the first preliminary estimate published on August 17\, 2026\, which showed real GDP growing 0.3% quarter on quarter\, or 1.1% annualised\, according to Trading Economics. That missed economists’ prior expectations of 0.5% quarter on quarter and 2.0% annualised\, and slowed from a downwardly revised 0.5% quarter-on-quarter (1.8% annualised) expansion in Q1 2026\, per the same source. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (Q1 2026\, revised)\nFirst preliminary Q2 2026\n\n\n\n\nGDP\, quarter on quarter\n0.5%\n0.3%\n\n\nGDP\, annualised\n1.8%\n1.1%\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nRevised above 0.3% QoQ\nYen could firm modestly if traders see it supporting further Bank of Japan tightening\nThe economy grew a bit faster than first thought\, easing concern about a stalling recovery\n\n\nRevised in line with 0.3% QoQ\nLimited reaction\, since the first estimate is already priced in\nGrowth confirmed as modest\, dominated by exports rather than household spending\n\n\nRevised below 0.3% QoQ\, or negative\nYen could soften on reduced expectations of near-term rate rises\nThe economy grew less than reported\, or shrank\, adding to doubts about domestic demand\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities\, not predictions. Capital expenditure data due from the Ministry of Finance ahead of the release is the main swing factor\, since business investment estimates get revised most heavily between the first and second GDP readings. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe first preliminary reading showed private consumption\, which accounts for more than half of Japanese GDP\, flat quarter on quarter\, its first non-positive reading in eight quarters\, according to BigGo Finance. Growth was instead carried by net exports\, which added 0.5 percentage points\, while domestic demand subtracted 0.2 points. Trading Economics reported that economists expect private consumption to soften further in the third quarter as import costs and broader price pressures squeeze households. The Bank of Japan is watching whether wage gains\, real compensation of employees rose 0.8% to 0.9% quarter on quarter in the first estimate\, eventually feed through into stronger spending\, a key condition it has cited for further policy normalisation. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nMortgages and borrowing: a stronger-than-expected GDP revision would support the case for the Bank of Japan to keep raising rates\, which could push up variable-rate borrowing costs for Japanese households and businesses. A weaker revision reduces that pressure. \nSavings: higher Japanese rates gradually improve returns on yen deposits\, which have been unusually low for years\, though any change from a single GDP revision is likely to be small. \nJobs and wages: soft consumption alongside rising real wages suggests households are saving rather than spending pay gains\, a pattern worth watching if it persists into the third quarter. \nPrices: the GDP deflator\, a broad measure of price changes across the economy\, rose 2.6% year on year in the first estimate\, underscoring that inflation remains a live issue in Japan even as growth slows. \nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: a weaker yen tends to follow disappointing growth data\, which affects returns for anyone holding yen-denominated assets or funds with Japan exposure\, while a firmer yen from a stronger revision can weigh on the earnings of Japan’s export-heavy companies when translated back into yen. Investors in Europe\, the UK and Asia holding Japanese equities or bonds\, directly or through pension funds\, should note that GDP surprises can move both the currency and the Nikkei on the day. \nRelated events\n\nBank of Japan interest rate decisions\, which weigh GDP and wage trends when setting policy\nJapan’s monthly trade balance and export data\, which explain the net trade contribution seen in recent quarters\nJapan’s household spending and wage growth reports\, key inputs into the consumption side of GDP\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is Japan’s GDP released?\nThe Cabinet Office publishes the data at 8:50am Japan Standard Time\, which is 7:50pm ET the previous evening and 12:50am in London. \nWhy does Japan release GDP twice per quarter?\nThe first preliminary estimate uses partial data available about six weeks after the quarter ends\, while the second preliminary estimate\, released roughly six weeks later\, incorporates fuller corporate investment and inventory data. \nHow does GDP affect Bank of Japan policy?\nThe Bank of Japan considers GDP growth alongside inflation and wages when judging whether the economy can sustain higher interest rates\, so weaker growth tends to reduce expectations of near-term tightening. \nWhere is the official GDP release published?\nJapan’s Cabinet Office publishes the data through its Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) website. \nWhen is the next Japan GDP release?\nThe first preliminary estimate for Q3 2026 GDP is typically due around mid-November 2026\, roughly six weeks after the quarter ends\, consistent with Japan’s usual publication pattern.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/japan-gdp-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260908T213000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260908T223000
DTSTAMP:20260826T032932Z
CREATED:20260826T032932Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T032932Z
UID:2261-1788903000-1788906600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:China CPI September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next China CPI: Wednesday\, September 9\, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (9:30 pm ET\, 2:30 am London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n0.5% YoY\, core 0.9% (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: China CPI. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nChina’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August 2026 is scheduled for release on Wednesday\, September 9\, 2026 at 9:30 am China Standard Time\, which is 9:30 pm ET on Tuesday\, September 8 in the United States and 2:30 am on September 9 in London. The data is published by China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). This report covers price changes for August 2026. Full schedule and background on this release: China CPI. \nWhat is China’s CPI?\nThe Consumer Price Index measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban and rural households for a fixed basket of goods and services\, including food\, housing\, transport\, healthcare and education. It is the main gauge of inflation in the world’s second-largest economy and is calculated by the National Bureau of Statistics from surveyed prices across cities and provinces. \nMarkets watch China’s CPI closely because it signals the strength of domestic demand. China has spent much of the mid-2020s wrestling with weak consumer spending and periods of outright deflation\, so a persistently low or negative CPI reading points to soft demand at home\, while a pick-up suggests households are spending more freely. The NBS also publishes core CPI\, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and is seen by economists as a cleaner read on underlying demand. \nBecause China accounts for a large share of global manufacturing and trade\, its inflation trend feeds into global supply chains\, commodity prices and the earnings of multinational firms that sell into the Chinese market\, from carmakers to luxury goods groups. \nWhen is the August CPI released?\nThe NBS is scheduled to release the August 2026 CPI report on September 9\, 2026 at 9:30 am local time in Beijing (9:30 pm ET on September 8\, 2:30 am London time on September 9). The figures are published on the NBS website alongside the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of this writing\, a consensus forecast for the August 2026 reading has not yet been published. Economist polls for China’s CPI typically firm up in the days before release\, closer to early September. \nThe most recent published reading is for July 2026\, when the NBS reported that CPI rose 0.5% year on year\, with core CPI\, which excludes food and energy\, up 0.9% year on year. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI\, year on year\n0.5%\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore CPI\, year on year\n0.9%\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nRead as a sign domestic demand is firming\, which could ease pressure on Beijing for further stimulus and may lift sentiment toward Chinese equities and the yuan\nPrices are rising a bit faster\, suggesting people and businesses are spending more\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLikely a limited market reaction\, seen as confirmation of the existing gradual recovery narrative\nInflation is behaving roughly as expected\, so little changes for policy or markets\n\n\nBelow consensus\, or a return to deflation\nCould revive concerns about weak consumer demand and add to calls for more fiscal or monetary support from Beijing\nPrices are flat or falling\, which can mean shoppers are cautious and businesses are struggling to raise prices\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions described by analysts\, not predictions of what will happen. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nChina’s inflation rate has run well below the levels seen in the United States\, the eurozone or the UK for several years\, and the country has flirted with deflation at various points since 2023. The July 2026 reading of 0.5% year on year\, reported by the NBS\, showed prices edging higher but still at a modest pace by historical standards. Policymakers at the People’s Bank of China and central government watch this data as part of their broader push to support household consumption and stabilise the property sector\, both of which have weighed on prices in recent years. \nA weak or negative CPI print keeps pressure on Beijing to maintain supportive fiscal spending and low interest rates\, while a firmer reading would suggest earlier stimulus measures are gaining traction. Either way\, the report lands soon after the PPI figures for the same month\, giving a fuller picture of price pressures from the factory gate through to the shopping basket. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: Weak Chinese inflation tends to keep global bond yields lower\, which can filter through to mortgage pricing in the UK\, Europe and the US\, though domestic central bank decisions matter more directly.\nSavings: Soft demand in China can pull down global commodity and shipping costs\, helping to keep imported inflation\, and therefore savings rate pressures\, contained in other economies.\nJobs and wages: Sluggish Chinese consumer spending affects export-oriented businesses worldwide\, from European carmakers to Asian electronics suppliers\, which can influence hiring decisions at firms reliant on Chinese demand.\nPrices: Because China manufactures a large share of the goods bought globally\, its price trends can feed into the cost of imported electronics\, clothing and household goods elsewhere.\nInvestments and pensions: Chinese equities\, and funds with exposure to Chinese consumer and industrial firms\, often move on this data\, while a weaker yuan or renewed deflation fears can also affect broader Asian and emerging market portfolios held in pensions.\nCurrencies: A surprise in either direction can move the yuan\, with knock-on effects for other Asian currencies and\, at the margin\, for the dollar\, euro and pound through shifts in global risk appetite.\n\nRelated events\n\nChina Producer Price Index (PPI)\, released alongside CPI each month by the NBS\nUS CPI report\, the equivalent inflation release for the United States\nPeople’s Bank of China policy announcements\, which respond in part to domestic inflation trends\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is China’s August CPI released?\nIt is due at 9:30 am China Standard Time on September 9\, 2026\, which is 9:30 pm ET the previous evening and 2:30 am in London. \nHow do I read the CPI figure?\nThe headline number is the year-on-year change in prices for the average consumer basket\, while core CPI strips out food and energy to show underlying inflation trends. \nDoes China’s CPI affect UK or US interest rates?\nNot directly\, since the Bank of England and Federal Reserve set policy based on domestic data\, but weak Chinese demand can influence global commodity prices and risk sentiment that feed into those decisions. \nWhere is the official release published?\nThe National Bureau of Statistics publishes the report on its official website\, stats.gov.cn\, in both Chinese and English. \nWhen is the next China CPI release?\nThe following month’s data\, covering September 2026\, is typically published around the middle of October 2026\, following the NBS’s usual monthly schedule.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/china-cpi-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260909T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260909T130000
DTSTAMP:20260826T032807Z
CREATED:20260826T032807Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T032807Z
UID:2259-1788955200-1788958800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:ORCL Earnings September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next ORCL Quarterly Earnings: Wednesday\, September 9\, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNon-GAAP EPS of approximately $1.73 for Q1 FY2027\nPrior\nQ4 FY2026 non-GAAP EPS of $2.03 (ex-items)\, reported June 10\, 2026\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nOracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) is expected to report its first-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Wednesday\, September 9\, 2026\, with the earnings release typically followed by a conference call around 12:00pm ET (5:00pm London). Oracle’s fiscal year runs from June to May\, so this is the first quarterly report of its 2027 fiscal year. Markets watch this release closely because Oracle has become one of the most-cited names in the artificial intelligence infrastructure boom\, and its cloud backlog numbers move sentiment across the wider technology sector. Full schedule and background on this release series: ORCL quarterly earnings. \nNote: Oracle has not yet formally confirmed this date. Large-cap technology companies typically announce first-quarter results in the second week of September\, and this date is based on that established pattern rather than an official Oracle announcement. \nWhat is the Oracle Q1 FY2027 earnings report?\nThis is Oracle’s quarterly disclosure of financial results\, covering the three months from June to August 2026. Oracle’s management team\, expected to include Chief Executive Officers Mike Sicilia and Clay Magouyrk alongside Chief Financial Officer Hilary Maxson\, presents revenue\, profit and cloud growth figures\, then answers analyst questions on a conference call. The report matters beyond Oracle shareholders because the company supplies cloud computing capacity to major artificial intelligence developers\, so its numbers are treated as a barometer for AI infrastructure spending across the technology industry. A basis point\, mentioned later in this article\, is one hundredth of a percentage point\, a unit commonly used to describe small changes in interest rates or margins. \nWhen is the Oracle Q1 FY2027 report and how to follow it\nThe release is expected before US markets open or shortly after the close on September 9\, 2026\, followed by a call with analysts\, historically starting in the early afternoon Central Time\, which converts to roughly 12:00pm ET and 5:00pm London time. Results and the accompanying press release are normally published on Oracle’s Investor Relations website\, with a live and archived webcast of the earnings call available there. Financial media outlets\, including CNBC and Reuters\, typically publish the headline numbers within minutes of release. Investors in the UK\, continental Europe and Asia often follow the call outside normal local business hours given the US timing\, and pre-market reaction in European and Asian tech shares can follow quickly given Oracle’s ties to global cloud infrastructure spending. \nWhat to expect\nEconomists and analysts polled ahead of the report expect non-GAAP earnings per share of approximately $1.73\, based on Oracle’s own guidance range of $1.72 to $1.76 given at the Q4 FY2026 results\, according to Oracle’s investor relations announcement. Oracle also guided for total revenue growth of 27% to 29% and cloud revenue growth of 58% to 64% for the quarter. Analysts will focus closely on Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) growth\, which surged 93% year-on-year in the prior quarter\, and on Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO)\, a measure of contracted but not-yet-recognised revenue that reached $638 billion as of May 31\, 2026\, according to Oracle’s fourth-quarter results. Guidance risk centres on capital expenditure: Oracle’s capex jumped sharply in fiscal 2026 to fund data centre construction\, and investors will want reassurance that this spending converts into profitable\, contracted revenue rather than straining the balance sheet. \n\n\n\nQuarter\nRevenue\nNon-GAAP EPS\nvs Estimate\n\n\n\n\nQ4 FY2026 (May 2026)\n$19.18 billion\n$2.03 (ex-items)\nBeat ($1.96 expected)\n\n\nQ3 FY2026 (Feb 2026)\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\n–\n\n\nQ2 FY2026 (Nov 2025)\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\n–\n\n\nQ1 FY2026 (Aug 2025)\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\n–\n\n\n\nOnly the most recent quarter could be independently verified from Oracle’s own investor relations disclosures at the time of writing; readers wanting the full four-quarter history should consult Oracle’s Investor Relations site directly. \nWhat the outcome could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nBeat on EPS and cloud growth accelerates\nShares likely rise\, AI infrastructure names may follow\nOracle’s cloud bookings are converting into revenue faster than expected\, reinforcing confidence in AI spending\n\n\nIn line with the $1.72 to $1.76 guidance range\nMuted reaction\, focus shifts to capex and margin commentary\nResults match expectations\, so attention moves to how much Oracle is spending to build capacity and when profits will follow\n\n\nMiss on EPS or weaker cloud growth than guided\nShares likely fall\, doubts raised about near-term margins\nRising infrastructure investment is squeezing profit more than investors hoped\, raising questions about the pace of AI-related spending\n\n\n\nWhat It Means for Your Money\nOracle sits in most major stock market indices\, so anyone holding a workplace pension\, an index tracker fund or a stocks and shares ISA in the UK\, or a 401(k) in the US\, likely has some indirect exposure to how this earnings report lands. A strong or weak reading tends to ripple through other technology and AI infrastructure shares\, given how closely Oracle’s cloud backlog is tied to the broader AI investment story. If Oracle’s results disappoint on margins\, it can weigh on sentiment toward chipmakers and data centre operators globally\, including in Asia\, where semiconductor supply chains feed into this spending. Currency effects matter too: Oracle reports in US dollars\, and a wider gap between reported growth and constant-currency growth can hint at dollar strength or weakness against the pound and euro\, which in turn affects the relative value of any US tech holdings for UK and European investors. There is no direct link to mortgage rates or everyday savings accounts from a single company’s earnings\, but persistent weakness across AI-linked megacap names can contribute to broader market volatility that affects pension valuations. \nRelated events\n\nOracle’s fiscal Q2 2027 earnings report\, expected around December 2026\nUS Federal Reserve interest rate decisions\, which influence the valuation of high-growth technology shares\nOther major cloud and AI infrastructure earnings\, including Microsoft and Amazon quarterly results\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time does Oracle report Q1 FY2027 earnings?\nThe release is expected on September 9\, 2026\, with the earnings call historically beginning around 12:00pm ET\, which is 5:00pm in London. \nWhat is the consensus forecast for Oracle’s Q1 FY2027 earnings?\nAnalysts expect non-GAAP earnings per share of approximately $1.73\, in line with Oracle’s own guidance range of $1.72 to $1.76 given at the Q4 FY2026 results. \nIs the September 9\, 2026 date confirmed by Oracle?\nNo. Oracle has not formally announced the date at the time of writing. The date reflects the typical pattern of Oracle reporting its first fiscal-quarter results in the second week of September. \nWhat was Oracle’s previous quarterly result?\nIn its fourth quarter of fiscal 2026\, reported June 10\, 2026\, Oracle posted non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.03 excluding one-time items\, beating the $1.96 expected by analysts polled by LSEG. \nWhy does Oracle’s earnings report matter beyond its own shareholders?\nOracle supplies cloud computing infrastructure to major AI companies\, so its revenue and backlog figures are widely used as an indicator of the pace of AI-related capital spending across the technology sector.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/orcl-earnings-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Earnings Season
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T074500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T084500
DTSTAMP:20260825T104618Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104618Z
UID:1226-1789026300-1789029900@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:ECB Rate Decision September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next ECB Rate Decision: Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 1:45 pm CET (7:45 am ET\, 12:45 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: ECB Rate Decision. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous ECB Rate DecisionNext ECB Rate Decision →\nThe European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council will announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026\, at 13:45 CET. The decision will be followed by ECB President Christine Lagarde’s press conference at 14:30 CET. The ECB’s deposit facility rate currently stands at 2.00%\, with market pricing as of early June 2026 indicating a near-certain hike to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting\, driven by inflation pressures from elevated energy costs following geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The September meeting will take stock of the full summer data flow\, including eurozone CPI\, Q2 GDP\, and labour market statistics\, to determine whether further tightening\, a pause\, or eventual easing is warranted. \nThe European Central Bank and Its Mandate\nThe European Central Bank (the ECB) is the monetary authority for the 20 member states of the euro area. Its primary mandate\, as established by the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union\, is to maintain price stability\, defined as headline HICP (Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices) inflation close to but below 2% over the medium term. Unlike the US Federal Reserve\, the ECB has a single primary mandate of price stability\, though it supports the European Union’s broader economic objectives\, including growth and employment\, provided these do not conflict with price stability. \nThe Governing Council\, which makes monetary policy decisions\, consists of the six members of the ECB’s Executive Board and the governors of the national central banks of all 20 euro area member states. Decisions are made by consensus or\, when needed\, by simple majority. The ECB’s key interest rates are the deposit facility rate (the rate banks earn on overnight deposits with the ECB)\, the main refinancing operations rate\, and the marginal lending facility rate. The deposit facility rate\, currently at 2.00%\, is the ECB’s most operationally relevant benchmark for market pricing. \nECB September Meeting: September 10\, 2026\nThe September 10 Governing Council meeting arrives after a pivotal summer for the eurozone economy. The ECB had been cutting rates through late 2024 and into 2025\, bringing the deposit facility rate down from 4.00% to 2.00%. However\, the energy price shock of 2026\, driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions\, forced a reassessment: ECB inflation projections for 2026 were revised to 2.6% (from earlier estimates of around 2.0%)\, and market pricing in early June showed near-unanimous expectation of a hike to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. \nFor September\, the outcome will depend on whether the June hike signalled the start of a new tightening cycle or a one-off adjustment to address an energy-price spike. ECB staff projections published in June and September will inform the committee on whether inflation is expected to return to the 2% target by 2027-2028 and whether second-round effects\, such as wage growth and services inflation\, have materialised. The decision will be announced at 13:45 CET\, with President Lagarde’s press conference at 14:30 CET. \nWhat to Expect\nWhether the ECB holds\, cuts\, or hikes further in September depends on the inflation trajectory between the June and September meetings. If the June 11 hike to 2.25% represented a temporary adjustment and the subsequent data shows inflation returning towards 2%\, the September meeting could see the ECB pause or even signal a return to easing. If\, however\, energy prices remain elevated and second-round effects push core inflation higher\, the ECB may hike again to 2.50%. \nThe ECB’s broader economic context differs from the US: the eurozone is more exposed to energy price shocks given its dependence on imported energy\, and its growth outlook is more fragile. The stagflation risk\, where inflation forces tightening even as growth slows\, was explicitly cited in ECB communications around the April 30\, 2026 hold decision. The ECB Rate Decision June 2026 will be the most critical reference point for the September decision. \nRate Decision History\n\n\n\nDate\nDecision\nDeposit Rate\nNotes\n\n\n\n\nMar 2026\nHold\n2.00%\nInflation 2.6% forecast 2026\n\n\nApr 2026\nHold\n2.00%\nStagflation risk cited\n\n\nJun 2026\nTBD (Jun 11)\nTBD (mkt: 2.25%)\n98% hike probability\n\n\nJul 2026\nTBD (Jul 23)\nTBD\nPost-June decision\n\n\nSep 2026\nTBD (Sep 10)\nTBD\nThis meeting\n\n\n\nSources: European Central Bank; CNBC; Central Banking. Deposit rate shown is the ECB deposit facility rate. “TBD” indicates decisions pending at time of writing (June 2026). Market pricing from early June 2026. \nMarket Impact Scenarios\n\nHold (after assumed June hike) – A pause at whatever level the deposit rate stands post-June would signal the ECB is taking stock of data. Euro could weaken modestly if markets interpret the pause as the end of the tightening cycle. European equities might rally\, particularly sectors sensitive to borrowing costs.\nFurther hike (+25bp) – A September hike would signal the ECB has become structurally more hawkish. The euro would strengthen\, European government bond yields would rise\, and rate-sensitive sectors would sell off. This scenario would require sustained evidence of second-round inflation effects.\nRate cut – A cut would represent a dramatic reversal and is only likely if inflation has collapsed and growth has deteriorated sharply. Such an outcome would strongly support European equities and government bonds\, and the euro would weaken as the rate differential with the US narrows.\n\nPress Conference and Forward Guidance\nECB President Christine Lagarde’s press conference at 14:30 CET will elaborate on the Governing Council’s reasoning. Markets will listen for language on whether the ECB’s baseline inflation projections show convergence to 2% within the forecast horizon\, and whether the risks to the outlook are “balanced” or “tilted to the upside”. Any indication that the ECB’s Staff Projections have revised inflation above 2% for a sustained period would argue for a more hawkish stance. \nThe ECB\, unlike the Fed\, publishes its staff macroeconomic projections at quarterly meetings: March\, June\, September\, and December. The September projections will cover the eurozone inflation\, GDP\, and unemployment outlook through 2028\, and any material revision from June’s numbers will dominate the post-decision press coverage and market reaction. \nRelated Events\n\nECB Rate Decision June 2026 – The June 11 decision is the most critical preceding reference point for September’s policy stance.\nFOMC Rate Decision June 2026 – The US Fed’s June decision and dot plot set the global rate context against which ECB decisions are assessed by international investors.\nBank of England MPC Rate Decision June 2026 – The BoE’s June 18 decision provides context on UK monetary policy\, which influences ECB thinking on cross-border economic conditions.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat is the ECB’s deposit facility rate and how does it differ from the main refinancing rate?\nThe deposit facility rate is the interest rate banks receive for depositing excess liquidity with the ECB overnight. Since 2022\, it has been the most operationally relevant ECB benchmark\, as banks hold large excess reserves. The main refinancing operations (MRO) rate is the rate at which banks can borrow from the ECB for one week. The ECB has kept a consistent spread between these rates as part of its operational framework review. \nWhen will the ECB September 2026 decision be announced?\nThe ECB Governing Council will publish its monetary policy decision at 13:45 CET on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026. President Lagarde’s press conference will begin at 14:30 CET. The ECB will also publish updated Staff Macroeconomic Projections for the eurozone at this meeting. \nHow does ECB policy affect UK and US markets?\nECB decisions affect the euro’s exchange rate against sterling and the dollar\, directly influencing the earnings of European-exposed UK and US multinationals. Changes to eurozone interest rates also ripple through European bond markets\, affecting the investment decisions of global bond investors who hold both euro area and US Treasury positions. A hawkish ECB tightening cycle tends to support the euro and can create competing demand for European government bonds versus US Treasuries.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/ecb-rate-decision-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Central Banks & Monetary Policy
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104543Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104543Z
UID:1330-1789029000-1789032600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Producer Price Index September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Producer Price Index: Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Producer Price IndexNext US Producer Price Index →\nUS Producer Price Index: September 2026 Preview\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August 2026 on Thursday\, 10 September 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The PPI measures the average change in selling prices received by domestic producers for their output\, making it a leading indicator of consumer inflation and a direct gauge of cost pressures in the US supply chain. With producer prices having surged to a multi-year high of 6.0 percent year-on-year in April 2026 — the largest 12-month advance since December 2022 — the September release will be closely watched for evidence of whether that acceleration is moderating or embedding itself further into the price pipeline. \nThe August reading arrives at a particularly sensitive moment for monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is navigating a difficult dual-mandate position: consumer inflation has remained above target whilst labour market data has shown signs of cooling. Fresh PPI figures feeding through to the core PCE deflator — the Fed’s preferred inflation measure — will shape the market’s assessment of the pace of any rate adjustments through the remainder of 2026. \n\n\n\nDetail\nInformation\n\n\n\n\nRelease date\n10 September 2026 (Thursday)\n\n\nRelease time\n8:30 a.m. ET / 13:30 BST\n\n\nReference month\nAugust 2026\n\n\nReleasing agency\nBureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\n\n\nPrevious reading (April 2026)\n+6.0% YoY; +1.4% MoM (final demand)\n\n\nFrequency\nMonthly\n\n\nMarket impact\nMedium-High\n\n\n\nWhat the Producer Price Index Measures\nThe PPI family of indexes tracks prices at the first point of commercial transaction — that is\, what producers receive when they sell\, not what consumers pay at the checkout. The headline figure quoted most frequently is the PPI for Final Demand\, which covers finished goods and services ready for sale to end users including businesses\, government entities\, and exporters. \nWithin final demand\, the BLS publishes three distinct sub-indexes that analysts monitor closely: \nFinal Demand Goods captures physical products sold to end users\, including food\, energy\, and manufactured items. Energy prices are highly volatile and can swing the headline figure substantially month to month. \nFinal Demand Services tracks service prices received by providers — including trade services (retail and wholesale margins)\, transportation and warehousing\, and financial and insurance services. Services inflation has been a key driver of the 2026 PPI surge\, with trade services margins widening significantly as tariff costs were passed through supply chains. \nCore PPI (Less Foods\, Energy\, and Trade Services) strips out volatile components to reveal the underlying trend in producer price inflation. This measure is watched closely by the Federal Reserve as it has the strongest correlation with medium-term consumer inflation. Core PPI was running at 3.6 percent year-on-year as of March 2026. \nPPI data also feeds into the BEA’s calculation of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. Categories such as healthcare services\, financial services\, and trade margins are sourced directly from PPI in constructing the PCE\, meaning that PPI releases carry forward-looking implications for the Fed’s primary inflation metric. \nRecent Trend and Historical Data\nProducer price inflation has accelerated sharply through the first half of 2026\, driven by a combination of tariff pass-through costs\, elevated energy prices\, and wider trade services margins. After the full-year 2025 average settled at around 3.0 percent year-on-year — down from 3.5 percent in 2024 — the pace of producer inflation re-accelerated early in 2026 and reached its highest 12-month rate since late 2022 by April. \n\n\n\nPeriod\nFinal Demand MoM\nFinal Demand YoY\nCore YoY*\n\n\n\n\nFull year 2024\nn/a\n+3.5%\nn/a\n\n\nFull year 2025\nn/a\n+3.0%\nn/a\n\n\nNovember 2025\nn/a\nn/a\n+3.6%\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n+0.6%\nn/a\n+0.5% MoM\n\n\nMarch 2026\n+0.7%\n+4.3%\n+3.6%\n\n\nApril 2026\n+1.4%\n+6.0%\nn/a\n\n\n\n*Core = Final demand less foods\, energy\, and trade services. Sources: BLS PPI press releases; Trading Economics; JEC Senate data. \nThe April 2026 headline figure of +6.0% year-on-year was the largest 12-month advance since December 2022\, driven by a 1.2 percent rise in final demand services and a 2.0 percent gain in final demand goods within the single month. The BLS release attributed much of the April acceleration to trade services margins — reflecting tariff-related cost pass-through — alongside transportation and warehousing expenses and energy price increases. \nThe jump from March’s 4.3 percent to April’s 6.0 percent year-on-year represented a sharp re-acceleration that caught markets off-guard\, as the consensus expectation had been around 4.9 percent. If the tariff-related component is structural rather than transitory\, August PPI could remain elevated even as the direct duty shock fades from base comparisons. \nWhat the Markets Are Watching\nThree themes will dominate interpretation of the August 2026 PPI reading. \nTariff pass-through: peak or plateau? Much of the 2026 producer price acceleration has been attributed to importers passing tariff costs along the supply chain — first into producer prices\, then eventually into consumer prices. The central question for August is whether this pass-through effect is beginning to abate as businesses absorb costs and supply chain alternatives develop\, or whether it continues to embed itself into price structures. A meaningful deceleration in trade services margins in the August report would be a significant signal that producer inflation is peaking. \nEnergy component dynamics. Final demand energy prices have contributed substantially to the headline volatility in 2026. Oil prices and natural gas movements through July and August will have influenced the energy goods sub-component directly. A reversal or stabilisation in energy prices during summer 2026 would reduce upward pressure on the headline figure. \nCore PPI as the Fed’s signal. The Federal Reserve places greatest weight on measures that strip out the most volatile components. Core PPI (less foods\, energy\, and trade services) was running at 3.6 percent year-on-year as of March 2026. Markets will scrutinise whether the core rate has continued to accelerate in the months since April. A core rate that holds stable or edges lower would ease pressure on the Fed; a further acceleration would complicate the rate path considerably. \nThe PPI is published two days before the September 2026 CPI release\, meaning the two reports together will define the week’s inflation narrative. In prior cycles\, an unexpectedly high PPI has been followed by a CPI reading in the same direction\, although the correlation is imperfect due to differences in scope and weighting. Traders will be positioning across both releases\, making the PPI particularly impactful as the first data point of the pair. \nMarket Scenarios\n\n\n\nScenario\nFinal Demand YoY\nLikely Market Reaction\n\n\n\n\nDeceleration\nBelow 4.5%\nBonds rally; USD softens; equities tick higher on reduced rate expectations; gold eases\n\n\nMild moderation\n4.5% to 5.5%\nBroadly neutral; focus shifts to Thursday CPI and FOMC guidance; limited directional move\n\n\nPersistent elevation\nAbove 5.5%\nBonds sell off; USD strengthens; equities under pressure on hawkish Fed repricing; gold may rally on stagflation concerns\n\n\n\nThe PPI’s market impact is amplified by its position in the data calendar. In September 2026\, it is sandwiched between the employment report (5 September) and CPI (11 September)\, meaning it will be processed as part of a continuous flow of inflation and growth signals rather than in isolation. The Fed’s September policy meeting window will be absorbing all three data releases simultaneously. \nRelated Events\n\nUS Consumer Price Index September 2026 — Published Thursday\, 11 September 2026 (the day after PPI). CPI measures price changes at the consumer level; the PPI-to-CPI transmission is the primary channel through which producer inflation reaches the Fed’s dual mandate.\nUS Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) September 2026 — Published Friday\, 5 September 2026. Labour market conditions shape wage-cost pressures within PPI services components.\nUS Personal Income and Outlays (PCE) September 2026 — The PCE deflator is constructed partly from PPI services data. A PPI surprise often foreshadows a PCE revision in the same direction.\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 — The Federal Reserve will incorporate both PPI and CPI readings into its September policy statement. An elevated PPI could shift the tone of the statement or the dot plot.\nUS Producer Price Index August 2026 — The preceding PPI release (13 August 2026)\, covering July 2026 data\, will provide the immediate prior-month context for the September reading.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the PPI released?\nThe BLS publishes the PPI at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time (13:30 BST) on 10 September 2026. The data is embargoed until that moment. \nWhat is the difference between PPI and CPI?\nPPI measures prices received by producers — what businesses get paid when they sell. CPI measures prices paid by consumers — what households pay at the point of purchase. PPI is considered a leading indicator because cost increases at the producer level typically filter through to consumer prices with a lag of several months. \nWhy did PPI jump so sharply in April 2026?\nThe April 2026 surge to 6.0 percent year-on-year was driven by three main factors: trade services margins widening as tariff costs were passed along supply chains; higher transportation and warehousing costs; and energy price increases. The BLS press release identified trade services as the single largest contributor to the monthly gain in final demand services. \nWhat does core PPI measure?\nCore PPI — formally\, “PPI final demand less foods\, energy\, and trade services” — removes the three most volatile components to provide a cleaner read on underlying producer price inflation. This measure is watched closely by the Federal Reserve because it correlates more reliably with medium-term consumer inflation than the volatile headline figure. \nHow does PPI feed into PCE inflation?\nThe BEA uses specific PPI components — particularly healthcare services\, financial services\, and retail and wholesale trade margins — as direct inputs when constructing the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator. A sustained rise in these PPI sub-categories will translate into higher PCE readings with approximately one month’s lag\, which is why a hot PPI can harden market expectations for a more restrictive Fed stance even before CPI is published. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe PPI press release is published by the BLS at bls.gov/ppi on release day. Historical data tables and downloadable files are available through the BLS data retrieval tools and the St. Louis Fed’s FRED database.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-producer-price-index-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T102141Z
CREATED:20260825T102141Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T102141Z
UID:1661-1789029000-1789032600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Initial Jobless Claims: September 10\, 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims\nThe US Department of Labor releases its weekly Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time). This release covers initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5\, 2026\, along with continuing claims data for the week ending August 29\, 2026. Full background and the ongoing release schedule are on the US Initial Jobless Claims hub page. \nInitial jobless claims count the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time in a given week. Economists and the Federal Reserve watch the figure closely because it is the most up-to-date official signal of layoffs in the US labour market\, arriving with only a few days’ lag rather than the month-long wait for the monthly jobs report. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of publication\, a consensus forecast specifically for the week ending September 5\, 2026 has not yet been published. Forecasts for weekly jobless claims are typically compiled by Reuters and Bloomberg only in the day or two before release\, so a firm figure will not exist until closer to September 10\, 2026. \nThe most recently published reading\, for the week ending August 15\, 2026\, showed initial claims at 206\,000\, a decrease of 6\,000 from the prior week’s upwardly revised 212\,000\, according to the US Department of Labor. That print came in below the median forecast of 210\,000 in a Bloomberg survey of economists\, according to Bloomberg. Continuing claims\, which measure people still receiving benefits\, rose by 18\,000 to 1\,799\,000 for the week ending August 8\, 2026. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nInitial claims\n206\,000 (week ending August 15\, 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nContinuing claims\n1\,799\,000 (week ending August 8\, 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nYields may fall\, stocks could wobble on growth worries\nMore people are losing jobs than expected\, a sign the labour market is weakening faster than thought\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\nThe labour market is behaving broadly as expected\, no fresh signal for the Fed\n\n\nBelow consensus\nYields may rise on reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts\nFewer layoffs than expected\, suggesting the jobs market remains resilient\n\n\n\nWhy it matters this week\nWeekly claims have stayed historically low through the summer of 2026\, with the four-week moving average sitting around 204\,000 in mid-August\, according to Department of Labor data. At the same time\, continuing claims have crept higher\, suggesting that while few people are being laid off\, those who do lose a job are taking longer to find new work. This divergence is exactly the kind of detail the Federal Reserve weighs when deciding whether the labour market justifies further interest rate cuts. \nAny report released in the run-up to a Federal Open Market Committee meeting tends to draw extra attention\, because a sudden jump in claims would strengthen the case for a rate cut\, while a low\, stable reading supports a more patient approach. Investors in Europe and Asia watch these releases too\, since US labour market weakness can shift expectations for the dollar\, and in turn for the euro\, the pound and other major currencies. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor most people\, a single week’s jobless claims figure will not change mortgage or savings rates overnight\, but a persistent rise in claims raises the odds that the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates sooner\, which can eventually feed through to lower borrowing costs on mortgages\, car loans and credit cards. \nFor savers\, lower expected interest rates generally mean lower returns on cash savings and money market funds over time\, while for pension and investment portfolios\, weaker labour data can support bond prices even if it unsettles share prices in the short term. \nA weaker than expected US jobs picture can also weigh on the dollar\, which makes imports cheaper for Americans but affects exchange rates for anyone holding pounds\, euros or other currencies against the dollar\, including UK and European holidaymakers and businesses that trade with the US. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the September 10\, 2026 jobless claims report released?\nThe report is released at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm London time\, on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026. \nWhat counts as a big miss versus consensus?\nEconomists typically treat a move of more than 15\,000 to 20\,000 above or below the consensus forecast as notable\, since weekly claims data is volatile and smaller swings often reflect seasonal noise rather than a genuine shift in the labour market. \nWhen is the next jobless claims report after this one?\nThe Department of Labor publishes a new initial jobless claims report every Thursday\, so the next release follows one week later\, on September 17\, 2026. \nWho publishes the weekly jobless claims data?\nThe report is published by the US Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration\, covering claims filed across all US states. \n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-initial-jobless-claims-september-10-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T110000
DTSTAMP:20260825T102205Z
CREATED:20260825T102204Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T102205Z
UID:1662-1789034400-1789038000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Existing Home Sales September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Existing Home Sales: Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Existing Home Sales. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nUS Existing Home Sales for August 2026 is released on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The report covers resale transactions of single-family homes\, townhomes\, condominiums and co-ops that closed during August 2026. Full schedule and background: US Existing Home Sales. \nWhat is existing home sales?\nExisting home sales measures the number of previously owned US homes that changed hands in a given month\, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). That means the monthly figure is adjusted to strip out normal seasonal patterns (fewer sales in winter\, more in spring and summer) and then multiplied up to show what total annual sales would look like if the month’s pace continued for a full year. \nNAR compiles the figure from closed transactions reported by multiple listing services and large brokerages across the country\, covering roughly 90% of the resale market. Because a home sale usually closes 30 to 60 days after a contract is signed\, the report reflects buyer decisions made in June and July rather than August itself. Alongside the headline sales rate\, NAR publishes the median sale price\, the level of unsold inventory\, the months’ supply of homes on the market and the average time a property stays listed. \nMarkets watch this release because housing is one of the most interest rate sensitive parts of the economy. A slowdown in sales tends to show up before it appears in broader growth figures\, and the Federal Reserve tracks housing indicators as part of its assessment of how tight monetary policy is squeezing households. Resale activity also feeds related sectors such as furniture\, removals\, home improvement and mortgage lending\, so a weak or strong print carries knock-on signals for consumer spending. \nWhen is the August existing home sales report released?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the report on its newsroom website at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026. This is the standard mid-month release slot NAR uses for existing home sales\, typically the second or third week of the month following the reference period. There is no estimate involved here: NAR has confirmed the September 10 date and time for the August 2026 data. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of publication\, a consensus forecast for the August 2026 existing home sales figure has not yet been published. Surveys from data providers such as Trading Economics and Bloomberg typically appear in the days immediately before the release\, once analysts have digested pending home sales data and mortgage application trends for August. The most recent confirmed reading is 4.06 million SAAR for July 2026\, according to the National Association of Realtors. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nExisting-home sales (SAAR)\n4.06 million\nNot yet published\n\n\nMedian existing-home price\nSee table below (June figure: $446\,400)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus (once published)\nRead as a sign buyers are absorbing current mortgage rates better than expected\, potentially easing pressure on the Fed to cut further\nMore homes sold than expected\, suggesting demand is holding up despite borrowing costs\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, since the print confirms the trend economists were already pricing in\nThe housing market is behaving roughly as expected\, neither accelerating nor stalling\n\n\nBelow consensus (once published)\nCould reinforce views that high mortgage rates are still weighing on affordability\, a theme NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun has flagged in recent releases\nFewer homes sold than expected\, often linked to buyers being priced out or waiting for lower rates\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities based on how similar prints have been discussed by analysts and NAR economists in recent releases\, not predictions of the actual outcome. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nExisting home sales have hovered near multi-decade lows through 2026\, constrained by mortgage rates that have stayed in the mid-6% range. NAR’s July release put the pace at 4.06 million units\, following a run that saw sales at 3.98 million in March\, 4.02 million in April\, 4.17 million in May and 4.09 million in June\, according to NAR newsroom data. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun has repeatedly pointed to tight mortgage rate driven affordability as the main constraint on buyers\, while noting that wage growth has been outpacing home price growth in recent months\, which has offered some relief. Freddie Mac’s average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stood at 6.49% in June 2026\, up slightly from 6.44% in May\, keeping many would-be buyers on the sidelines or locked into their current homes rather than trading up. \nThe Federal Reserve watches housing turnover as one gauge of how restrictive policy remains. A further slowdown in resales would add to the case for rate cuts\, while a stabilisation or pickup could support the view that the housing market has adjusted to the current rate environment. Inventory has also been rising gradually through 2026\, up 5.8% in April and continuing to climb into the summer\, which analysts say could eventually ease price pressure if the trend persists. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: A weaker than expected sales figure can add to arguments for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates\, which over time can flow through to lower mortgage rates for buyers and those refinancing in the US\, and can also influence sentiment around Bank of England and European Central Bank policy through shared expectations about global borrowing costs.\nSavings: Interest rate expectations tied to housing data affect the returns on savings accounts and money market funds. If the report feeds into expectations of Fed cuts\, savers holding cash may see yields on new deposits edge lower in the months ahead.\nJobs and wages: Home sales support employment in real estate\, mortgage lending\, home improvement and removals. A sustained slowdown can mean fewer hours or hiring in these sectors\, while a pickup tends to support related job creation.\nPrices: Median home prices have posted year-over-year increases for more than 30 consecutive months\, according to NAR data\, even as sales volumes have been subdued. Weak sales alongside rising prices reflects a market where limited supply is keeping prices firm despite fewer transactions.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: Housing data is one input into how investors price US growth and interest rate paths\, which affects the dollar\, and indirectly the pound and euro through relative rate expectations. Pension funds holding US Treasuries or mortgage backed securities can see valuations shift on days when housing data surprises markets.\n\nRelated events\n\nUS New Home Sales\, which measures sales of newly built properties and is released separately by the Census Bureau.\nUS Pending Home Sales Index\, an earlier signal based on signed contracts rather than closings\, typically released about a month ahead of existing home sales.\nFreddie Mac’s weekly average mortgage rate survey\, which tracks the borrowing costs directly influencing buyer affordability.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the August existing home sales report released?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the report at 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm in London\, on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026. \nHow should I read the existing home sales figure?\nFocus on the seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) figure and compare it with the prior month and consensus forecast once published\, alongside the median price and months’ supply\, which show whether the market favours buyers or sellers. \nHow does this release affect mortgage rates?\nThe report itself does not set rates\, but weak or strong housing data feeds into expectations for Federal Reserve policy\, which in turn influences the direction of mortgage rates over time. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the full report and data tables in its newsroom section at nar.realtor. \nWhen is the next existing home sales report?\nNAR typically releases existing home sales data in the second or third week of each month\, meaning the next report covering September 2026 data is expected in mid-October 2026\, though NAR has not yet confirmed the exact date.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-existing-home-sales-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T130000
DTSTAMP:20260826T033127Z
CREATED:20260826T033127Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T033127Z
UID:2263-1789041600-1789045200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:ADBE Earnings September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next ADBE Quarterly Earnings: Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nNon-GAAP EPS $5.31\, revenue $5.99 billion (Q3 FY2025\, reported September 11\, 2025)\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nAdobe Inc (NASDAQ: ADBE) is expected to report its fiscal third-quarter 2026 results on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026\, with the earnings call typically starting around 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London). The report will be published by Adobe itself\, alongside a live investor call hosted by company executives. Markets watch this release closely because Adobe is a bellwether for enterprise software spending\, digital advertising budgets and the pace at which artificial intelligence tools are being adopted by creative and marketing professionals. Full schedule and background: ADBE earnings hub. \nAdobe has not yet confirmed the exact date and time for this release. Software companies including Adobe typically report quarterly results in the second week of the relevant month\, and this page will be updated once Adobe issues an official notice. \nWhat is Adobe’s quarterly earnings report?\nAdobe’s quarterly earnings report is a scheduled disclosure of the company’s financial performance over the preceding three months\, required of all publicly listed companies in the United States. It includes revenue\, profit\, earnings per share (EPS\, meaning how much profit is attributed to each outstanding share)\, and guidance\, which is management’s own forecast for the coming quarter. Adobe splits its business into three main segments: Digital Media (Creative Cloud and Document Cloud\, including products such as Photoshop and Acrobat)\, Digital Experience (marketing and analytics software for businesses)\, and Publishing. Participants on the earnings call usually include the chief executive\, chief financial officer\, and a group of equity analysts from major investment banks who ask questions about growth drivers\, pricing and competitive pressure. \nBecause Adobe sells subscriptions rather than one-off licences\, investors pay close attention to metrics such as annualised recurring revenue (ARR)\, which measures the value of subscription contracts on an annual basis\, and how much of that growth is being driven by artificial intelligence features embedded in its products. \nWhen is Adobe’s Q3 FY2026 earnings report and how to follow it\nThe report is scheduled for Thursday\, September 10\, 2026\, with the press release expected after the US market closes and the earnings call to follow around 12:00 pm ET (17:00 London time). As noted above\, this date has not been formally confirmed by Adobe\, so investors should treat it as an estimate based on the company’s usual reporting pattern rather than a locked-in date. Once Adobe issues its official press release date\, typically a few weeks beforehand\, this page will be updated to reflect it. \nResults and the accompanying investor presentation are normally published on Adobe’s investor relations website\, with a live audio webcast of the call available to anyone\, not just institutional investors. A replay is usually posted within a few hours for those in different time zones\, which matters for readers in Asia where the call falls in the early hours of the following morning\, and for those in Europe where it lands in the early evening. \nWhat to expect from Adobe’s Q3 FY2026 results\nA consensus forecast for Q3 FY2026 has not yet been published. Analyst estimates typically firm up in the weeks immediately before the report\, drawing on data compiled by services such as LSEG and FactSet. When those estimates become available\, this page will be updated with the consensus figures and the source. \nInvestors are likely to focus on several themes carried over from recent quarters. First\, the pace of growth in Adobe’s Digital Media segment\, which includes Creative Cloud subscriptions and has been the company’s largest source of revenue. Second\, the contribution of generative AI features\, such as Firefly\, to both new subscriptions and to average revenue per user\, since Adobe has previously flagged AI-influenced annualised recurring revenue as a specific metric worth watching. Third\, trends in the Digital Experience segment\, which serves corporate marketing departments and can be sensitive to broader corporate spending on advertising and data software. Finally\, any change to full-year guidance will be scrutinised\, since Adobe’s own targets often set the tone for how the stock reacts regardless of the headline beat or miss. \nThe table below shows Adobe’s four most recent quarterly results as reported to investors\, according to Adobe’s own investor relations disclosures and contemporaneous reporting by outlets including CNBC and Yahoo Finance. \n\n\n\nQuarter\nRevenue\nNon-GAAP EPS\nvs estimate\n\n\n\n\nQ3 FY2025 (reported September 11\, 2025)\n$5.99 billion\n$5.31\nBeat consensus\, according to LSEG-compiled estimates cited by CNBC\n\n\nQ2 FY2025\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\n\n\nQ1 FY2025\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\n\n\nQ4 FY2024\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\nNot verified for this page\n\n\n\nReaders should treat the three unverified rows above as placeholders pending confirmation from Adobe’s investor relations filings\, rather than as confirmed figures. \nWhat the outcome could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nBeat on revenue and EPS\, with raised guidance\nShares likely to rise\, particularly if AI-related revenue accelerates\nAdobe is selling more subscriptions and its AI tools are translating into paying customers\, which supports the case that software companies can monetise generative AI\n\n\nIn line with prior trends\, modest guidance\nMuted reaction\, possible focus on management commentary about AI monetisation\nBusiness is stable but investors may want clearer evidence that AI features are driving meaningfully faster growth\n\n\nMiss on revenue\, EPS or guidance\, or a slowdown in Digital Media growth\nShares likely to fall\, with read-through for other software and creative-tools companies\nSignals that either enterprise software spending is slowing or that competition\, including from AI-native tools\, is starting to weigh on Adobe’s core Creative Cloud business\n\n\n\nWhat It Means for Your Money\nAdobe is one of the largest constituents of major US technology indices\, meaning it sits inside many popular index funds and exchange-traded funds\, including those tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. If you hold a workplace pension or a personal investment account with any exposure to US equities or a global tracker fund\, a sharp move in Adobe’s share price after this report will have a small but real effect on the value of your holdings\, even if you have never bought Adobe shares directly. \nThe report also matters beyond Adobe itself. Software and technology stocks often move together on earnings days\, so a strong or weak result can affect sentiment towards other creative-software\, marketing-technology and AI-adjacent companies listed in the US\, Europe and Asia. For freelancers\, designers\, marketers and small businesses that rely on Adobe’s Creative Cloud subscription\, any commentary on pricing changes during the call could be an early signal of future subscription cost increases. \nThere is no direct link between this earnings report and mortgage rates\, savings rates or the value of the pound\, dollar or euro\, since Adobe’s results are a company-specific event rather than a macroeconomic one. However\, if the report contributes to a broader shift in sentiment towards US technology shares\, that can filter through to pension funds and investment portfolios that are heavily weighted towards big technology names\, a common feature of many popular global equity funds. \nRelated events\n\nAdobe’s fiscal Q4 2026 earnings report\, expected in December 2026\nUS non-farm payrolls report for September 2026\, which can influence broader technology sector sentiment around the same period\nOther major US technology earnings released in the same reporting season\, which together shape the market narrative on AI spending\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time does Adobe report Q3 FY2026 earnings?\nThe report is expected around 12:00 pm ET (5:00 pm London time) on September 10\, 2026\, though Adobe has not formally confirmed this date. \nWhat was Adobe’s prior quarterly result?\nIn Q3 FY2025\, reported on September 11\, 2025\, Adobe posted non-GAAP EPS of $5.31 on revenue of $5.99 billion\, according to Adobe’s own investor relations materials and reporting by CNBC and Yahoo Finance. \nIs there a consensus forecast for this report yet?\nNo\, a consensus forecast has not yet been published. Analyst estimates for Adobe’s Q3 FY2026 results are expected to be compiled by services such as LSEG and FactSet closer to the reporting date. \nWhere can I watch Adobe’s earnings call live?\nAdobe typically streams its earnings call as a live audio webcast on its investor relations website\, with a replay made available afterwards for those in different time zones. \nWhy does Adobe’s earnings report matter beyond its own shareholders?\nBecause Adobe is a large\, widely held technology company\, its results can influence sentiment across index funds\, pension portfolios and other software and AI-related stocks in the US\, Europe and Asia.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/adbe-earnings-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Earnings Season
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260911T020000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260911T030000
DTSTAMP:20260825T124716Z
CREATED:20260825T124716Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T124716Z
UID:2163-1789092000-1789095600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:UK GDP September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next UK GDP: Friday\, September 11\, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London). Covers Q2 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n0.4% q/q growth (three months to June 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: UK GDP. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nThe UK’s monthly gross domestic product (GDP) estimate is released on Friday\, September 11\, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London time) by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This release covers the economy’s output through July 2026 and\, through its rolling three-month growth measure\, gives the clearest early read on how the economy performed as it moved out of the second quarter of 2026. Full schedule and background on this series: UK GDP report dates. \nWhat is GDP and why does it matter?\nGross domestic product measures the total value of all goods and services produced in the UK over a given period. The ONS builds it from three angles that should\, in theory\, arrive at the same total: output (what businesses produce)\, expenditure (what is spent by households\, government and businesses) and income (wages\, profits and rents earned). Comparing growth from one period to the next shows whether the economy is expanding\, stagnating or shrinking. \nUnlike the United States\, which publishes GDP only on a quarterly basis\, the ONS also publishes a monthly GDP estimate. This gives investors\, the Bank of England and government economists a more frequent\, if noisier\, signal on the economy’s direction between the quarterly figures. Because monthly output data can be volatile\, the ONS also publishes a three-month-on-three-month growth rate\, which smooths out single-month swings and is treated by economists as a closer proxy for the underlying quarterly trend. \nMarkets watch GDP because it feeds directly into the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions\, government borrowing forecasts\, and how investors price UK assets such as gilts (government bonds)\, the pound and shares in domestically focused companies. A weaker-than-expected reading tends to increase the chance of interest rate cuts\, while a stronger reading can push expectations the other way. \nWhen is the July 2026 GDP report released?\nThe ONS is scheduled to publish the GDP monthly estimate covering July 2026 on Friday\, September 11\, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET). It appears on the ONS website within its GDP monthly estimate\, UK bulletin series. The ONS typically releases monthly GDP data around six to seven weeks after the end of the reference month\, so a July release in mid-September follows the usual pattern; for example\, the April 2026 data was published on June 12\, 2026\, according to the ONS’s own previous releases page. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the July 2026 monthly GDP figure has not yet been published this far ahead of the release. City economists and Reuters or Bloomberg polls typically circulate a forecast in the days immediately before an ONS release\, so a specific consensus number is likely to appear closer to September 11\, 2026. \nThe most recent confirmed reading is the three-month-on-three-month growth rate published alongside the ONS’s monthly GDP overview\, which showed the economy growing by 0.4% in the three months to June 2026\, a period that corresponds to the second quarter of 2026 (April to June). This followed growth of 0.6% in the three months to May 2026\, which was itself revised down from an initial estimate of 0.7%\, and unrevised growth of 0.8% in the three months to April 2026\, according to the ONS’s GDP overview page. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior reading\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nThree-month-on-three-month GDP growth\n0.4% (three months to June 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nMonthly GDP (single month\, m/m)\nNot confirmed for June 2026\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nSterling and gilt yields could firm as traders trim expectations for near-term Bank of England rate cuts\nThe economy is growing faster than expected\, which can support jobs and wages but may also keep prices rising\, delaying cheaper mortgage rates\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, as the figure confirms the existing growth path priced in by investors\nThe economy is behaving broadly as expected\, so there is little new information for savers or borrowers\n\n\nBelow consensus\nSterling could soften and gilt yields fall as markets price in a greater chance of interest rate cuts\nWeaker growth raises the risk of slower hiring and can eventually feed through to lower mortgage and savings rates\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions based on how similar data has historically been interpreted by analysts\, not predictions of the actual outcome. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee weighs GDP growth alongside inflation and the labour market when setting Bank Rate. UK growth slowed through the first half of 2026\, with the ONS recording quarterly growth of 0.6% in the first quarter of 2026 and the rolling three-month growth rate easing from 0.8% in the three months to April 2026 to 0.4% by the three months to June 2026\, according to ONS data. A further slowdown in the July reading would add to the debate over how much room the Bank of England has to cut interest rates further\, while a rebound would support the case for holding rates steady for longer. \nThe reading also matters beyond UK borders. The UK is a major trading partner for the European Union and the United States\, and a weaker UK growth picture can weigh on sentiment toward European equities and the euro\, while a stronger figure can support UK-exposed multinational earnings reported by companies in Asia and North America. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages: Weaker GDP growth tends to increase the odds of Bank of England interest rate cuts over time\, which can eventually feed through to cheaper tracker and new fixed-rate mortgage deals\, though lenders often react to the wider trend rather than one release.\nSavings: If growth disappoints and rate cuts become more likely\, savings account and cash ISA rates offered by UK banks may drift lower in the following months.\nJobs and wages: GDP growth and employment tend to move together over time. A sustained slowdown can eventually mean fewer job openings or smaller pay rises\, particularly in sectors most exposed to consumer spending.\nPrices: GDP data does not set prices directly\, but weak growth combined with still-high inflation (known as stagflation risk) can complicate the Bank of England’s decisions on interest rates\, indirectly affecting the cost of borrowing for households and businesses.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: UK shares and the pound often react to GDP surprises. A weaker reading can pull the pound lower against the dollar and euro\, which affects the cost of holidays abroad and the value of overseas earnings for UK-listed multinational companies held in pension funds.\n\nRelated events\n\nBank of England Monetary Policy Committee interest rate decisions\, which weigh GDP alongside inflation data\nUK monthly inflation (CPI) releases from the ONS\, published separately each month\nUK labour market statistics\, including the unemployment rate and average earnings\, published by the ONS\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the UK GDP report released?\nThe ONS publishes the July 2026 GDP monthly estimate at 7:00 am BST on September 11\, 2026\, which is 2:00 am ET. \nHow should I read the monthly GDP figure?\nFocus on the three-month-on-three-month growth rate rather than a single month’s number\, as the ONS and most economists treat it as a more reliable guide to the underlying trend because it smooths out monthly volatility. \nHow does UK GDP affect interest rates?\nThe Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee uses GDP growth\, alongside inflation and employment data\, to judge whether the economy needs looser or tighter monetary policy\, which in turn influences Bank Rate and borrowing costs. \nWhere can I find the official GDP release?\nThe full bulletin is published on the Office for National Statistics website under its GDP monthly estimate series. \nWhen is the next UK GDP release?\nFollowing the standard monthly cadence\, the next GDP monthly estimate\, covering August 2026 data\, would typically be published in mid-October 2026\, according to the ONS release calendar.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/uk-gdp-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260911T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260911T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104620Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104620Z
UID:1274-1789115400-1789119000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US CPI Report September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US CPI Report: Friday\, September 11\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US CPI Report. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US CPI ReportNext US CPI Report →\nThe US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August 2026 on Friday\, September 11\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report will reveal how consumer prices changed during August\, providing a critical inflation reading as the Federal Reserve weighs its next rate decision at the September 2026 meeting just five days later. \n\n  At a Glance \n\nRelease date: Friday\, September 11\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. ET\nPublishing body: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\nReference month: August 2026\nMost recent reading: 3.8% YoY (April 2026)\nMarket impact: High\n\n\nWhat is the Consumer Price Index?\nThe Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) is the most widely followed measure of inflation in the United States. Published monthly by the BLS\, it tracks changes in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services covering approximately 93% of the US population. The basket includes categories such as housing\, food\, transport\, energy\, medical care\, apparel\, and recreation\, with housing carrying the largest weighting at around 32%. \nThe BLS collects price data from tens of thousands of retail and service establishments across the country. The resulting index is expressed as the percentage change against the same month one year earlier (the year-over-year or YoY rate) and as the month-over-month (MoM) change. Core CPI\, which strips out volatile food and energy components\, is watched closely by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) as a measure of underlying inflation trends. \nCPI is released roughly 12 to 13 days after the reference month ends. The September 2026 release covers price changes in August 2026\, giving markets a timely read on whether inflationary pressures are easing or persisting. \nUS CPI Release: September 11\, 2026\nThis release takes on particular importance given its proximity to the FOMC meeting on September 16\, 2026. It will be the final CPI print before the Fed delivers its rate decision\, making it one of the most market-sensitive data points on the calendar for the autumn of 2026. The most recent confirmed reading was 3.8% year-over-year for April 2026\, the highest annual inflation rate since May 2023\, driven by energy prices rising 17.9% on an annual basis. \nMonth-over-month\, consumer prices rose 0.6% in April and 0.9% in March\, reflecting the broad impact of higher oil prices. Core CPI rose to 2.8% year-over-year in April. Consensus forecasts for the August reading will be available closer to the release date; at time of publication\, the trajectory points to inflation remaining elevated above the Fed’s 2% target. \nWhy This CPI Release Matters\nThe September 11 release lands just five days before the FOMC decision on September 16\, giving Fed policymakers minimal time to fully digest the data before their meeting. However\, the print will shape market pricing of rate expectations and is likely to trigger significant moves in Treasury yields\, the US dollar\, and equities immediately upon release. \nConsumer price inflation has risen sharply through 2026\, with the annual rate reaching 3.3% in March and 3.8% in April\, driven by an oil price shock linked to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Gasoline prices rose 28.4% year-over-year in April\, pushing total energy costs up 17.9%. The question for August data is whether energy prices have stabilised or whether second-round inflationary effects (such as rising transport and services costs) are entrenching. \nFor bonds\, a high reading would push yields upward as markets price out any prospect of near-term rate cuts. For equities\, persistent inflation pressure is most negative for growth and rate-sensitive sectors. The US dollar would likely strengthen on a hot print\, while a cool reading would trigger the opposite moves across all asset classes. \nWhat to Watch For\nThe market’s response will depend on where the headline print lands relative to prevailing expectations: \n\nAbove consensus: A reading at or above 3.8% would signal that inflation is not cooling ahead of the Fed meeting\, reinforcing expectations of a hold in September and potentially pricing in further hikes. Treasury yields and the US dollar would rise sharply; equities would sell off\, led by growth sectors.\nIn line with consensus: A reading in line with expectations would reduce volatility\, with markets focused on the Fed’s forward guidance the following week rather than reacting to the inflation data alone. Attention would shift to sub-components\, especially shelter and core services.\nBelow consensus: A softer print\, say below 3.0%\, would be interpreted as progress towards the Fed’s 2% target and would increase expectations of a September rate cut. Bonds would rally\, equities would rise broadly\, and the US dollar would weaken. This outcome would represent a significant shift in the inflation narrative.\n\nEnergy price volatility remains the key swing factor. Should crude oil prices moderate through the summer\, the August reading could show meaningful relief on the headline figure even if core inflation remains sticky. \nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nMonth\nYoY\nMoM\nCore YoY\n\n\n\n\nApril 2026\n3.8%\n+0.6%\n2.8%\n\n\nMarch 2026\n3.3%\n+0.9%\n2.6%\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n2.4%\n+0.2%\n—\n\n\nJanuary 2026\n2.4%\n—\n—\n\n\nDecember 2025\n2.7%\n—\n—\n\n\n\nSource: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. October and November 2025 data were not published due to the US government shutdown. MoM and core figures not available for all periods shown. \nMarket Positioning\nAs the September 2026 FOMC meeting approaches\, Fed funds futures and bond markets will increasingly reflect the cumulative picture painted by the July and August CPI reports. Should both releases show continued elevation\, the probability of a rate cut at the September meeting would be near zero. A meaningful softening in both prints would increase the chances of a 25 basis point reduction\, which would represent a shift in the monetary policy cycle. \nEquity markets have been navigating a challenging environment as higher borrowing costs weigh on valuations and corporate margins. The August CPI reading will be pivotal in determining whether the second half of 2026 brings relief or further pressure on rate-sensitive sectors. Fixed income investors will be watching shelter and services components most closely as leading indicators of where the broader inflation trend is heading. \nRelated Events\n\nUS CPI Report August 2026 – The preceding monthly release covering July 2026 data\, providing crucial context for the September reading.\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s rate decision on September 16\, just five days after this CPI release.\nECB Rate Decision September 2026 – The European Central Bank’s policy meeting on September 10\, providing a global monetary policy comparison.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the CPI measure?\nThe CPI measures the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed basket of goods and services\, including housing\, food\, transport\, energy\, and medical care. It is the most widely followed measure of consumer price inflation in the United States\, published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. \nWhen is the September 2026 CPI report released?\nThe September 2026 CPI report will be released on Friday\, September 11\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers price changes during August 2026. \nWhy is the September 2026 CPI particularly important for markets?\nThe September 11 CPI release falls just five days before the FOMC rate decision on September 16\, 2026. It will be the final major inflation reading before the Fed announces its policy decision\, making it one of the highest-impact data points of the quarter. A significant surprise in either direction is likely to cause sharp moves in equities\, bonds\, and the US dollar.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-cpi-report-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260914T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260914T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T125237Z
CREATED:20260825T125237Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T125237Z
UID:2165-1789374600-1789378200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Canada CPI September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Canada CPI: Monday\, September 14\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n3.0% YoY (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Canada CPI. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nStatistics Canada publishes the August 2026 Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Monday\, September 14\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). The CPI is the country’s main measure of inflation and this release covers price data collected through August 2026. Full schedule and background: Canada CPI. \nWhat is the Consumer Price Index?\nThe Consumer Price Index tracks the average change over time in the prices Canadian households pay for a fixed basket of goods and services\, from groceries and rent to gasoline and haircuts. Statistics Canada divides the basket into eight major groups\, including food\, shelter\, transportation and recreation\, and weights each group according to how much an average household actually spends on it. \nThe headline figure is the year-over-year change in the all-items index\, but the Bank of Canada pays closer attention to two “core” measures\, CPI-trim and CPI-median\, which strip out the most volatile price swings (usually fuel and some food items) to show the underlying trend. These core measures\, sometimes called underlying inflation\, are central to how the Bank of Canada decides whether to raise\, hold or cut its policy interest rate. \nMarkets watch the CPI closely because it feeds directly into interest rate decisions\, wage negotiations\, pension indexing and government benefit adjustments. A CPI print that surprises to the upside or downside can move the Canadian dollar\, bond yields and stock prices within minutes of release. \nWhen is the August CPI released?\nStatistics Canada releases the August 2026 CPI report on Monday\, September 14\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm in London). The data is published in The Daily on the Statistics Canada website\, alongside detailed tables covering provinces\, cities and the Bank of Canada’s core inflation measures. Statistics Canada had already flagged this date on its CPI portal ahead of the release\, so there is no uncertainty over timing for this report. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the August 2026 CPI has not yet been published by major polling organisations such as Reuters or Bloomberg. Forecaster estimates typically firm up in the days immediately before release\, closer to mid-September 2026. \nThe most recent published reading is the July 2026 CPI\, which showed headline inflation at 3.0% year over year\, up from 2.8% in June\, according to Statistics Canada. That was one tick above the 2.9% median forecast from economists polled by Reuters ahead of the report\, according to IndexBox. The Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures\, CPI-trim and CPI-median\, stood at 1.9% and 2.0% respectively in July. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI\, year over year\n3.0%\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore (average of CPI-trim and CPI-median)\nApproximately 1.95%\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus (once a forecast is set)\nA hotter than expected print would likely be read as reducing the chance of a near-term Bank of Canada rate cut\, and could firm up the Canadian dollar\, according to commentary from TD Economics on recent CPI reports.\nPrices are rising faster than expected\, which squeezes household budgets and may keep borrowing costs higher for longer.\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nA result matching expectations would likely be treated as confirmation the Bank of Canada can stay on hold\, with limited market reaction\, in line with recent analyst commentary that “the inflation side is looking stable” cited by CBC News.\nNo real change to the outlook for mortgage rates\, savings rates or the loonie.\n\n\nBelow consensus\nA softer print would likely be read as strengthening the case for a rate cut later in 2026\, potentially weighing on the Canadian dollar.\nInflation pressure is easing\, which could eventually translate into lower borrowing costs\, though not immediately.\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities discussed by analysts\, not predictions of the actual outcome. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nCanadian inflation has been volatile through the middle of 2026. Headline CPI rose to 3.2% in May 2026\, the fastest pace since December 2023\, largely because of a surge in gasoline prices linked to disruption in Middle East energy exports\, according to Trading Economics. It then eased to 2.8% in June as fuel prices cooled\, before climbing back to 3.0% in July as gasoline costs rose again\, according to Statistics Canada. That puts headline inflation at the very top of the Bank of Canada’s 1% to 3% control range. \nDespite the swings in the headline number\, core inflation measures that the Bank of Canada watches most closely\, CPI-trim and CPI-median\, have stayed close to the 2% target through this period. BMO economist Robert Kavcic described the underlying picture as “stable and well-behaved” even with some heat in the July data\, according to CBC News. This August report is the last full CPI print before the Bank of Canada’s next scheduled rate announcement\, so policymakers will be watching whether core inflation holds near target or drifts higher. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and loans: If inflation stays elevated\, the Bank of Canada is less likely to cut its policy rate soon\, which keeps variable mortgage rates and other borrowing costs higher for longer. A cooler than expected reading could revive expectations of a rate cut later in 2026.\nSavings: Higher policy rates generally mean better returns on savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates\, but if real (inflation-adjusted) returns are the concern\, a 3% inflation rate still erodes the purchasing power of cash sitting in low-interest accounts.\nJobs and wages: Persistent inflation above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target can feed into wage negotiations\, as workers push for pay rises to keep pace with the cost of living. This report gives an early read on whether that pressure is building or easing.\nEveryday prices: Gasoline and grocery prices have been the biggest swing factors in recent Canadian CPI reports. Households driving long distances or spending heavily on food will feel these categories most directly.\nInvestments\, pensions and the currency: A surprise in either direction can move the Canadian dollar against the US dollar\, euro and pound within minutes\, and can shift bond yields that underpin pension fund returns. Investors and pensioners with exposure to Canadian bonds or the loonie should expect some short-term volatility around the 8:30 am ET release.\n\nRelated events\n\nThe Bank of Canada’s next scheduled interest rate decision\, which will weigh this CPI print alongside other economic data.\nCanada’s monthly jobs report\, published separately by Statistics Canada\, which feeds into the same labour market picture the Bank of Canada monitors.\nThe United States CPI report\, typically released in the same week\, which can add to or offset currency moves triggered by the Canadian data.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the August 2026 Canada CPI released?\nStatistics Canada publishes the report at 8:30 am ET on Monday\, September 14\, 2026\, which is 1:30 pm in London. \nHow do I read the headline versus core CPI figures?\nThe headline figure is the change in the full basket of goods and services\, while core measures such as CPI-trim and CPI-median strip out volatile items like fuel to show the underlying inflation trend the Bank of Canada relies on. \nHow does this report affect Bank of Canada interest rate decisions?\nThe Bank of Canada uses CPI data\, especially the core measures\, to judge whether inflation is on track to return to its 2% target\, which directly influences whether it holds\, cuts or raises its policy interest rate. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe report is published in The Daily on the Statistics Canada website\, along with detailed data tables by province and city. \nWhen is the next Canada CPI report after this one?\nStatistics Canada typically releases CPI data roughly one month later\, covering September 2026\, with the exact date confirmed on its CPI release schedule closer to the time.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/canada-cpi-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260915T020000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260915T030000
DTSTAMP:20260825T125831Z
CREATED:20260825T125831Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T125831Z
UID:2167-1789437600-1789441200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:UK Labour Market Report September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next UK Labour Market Report: Tuesday\, September 15\, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nUnemployment rate 4.9% (April to June 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: UK Labour Market Report. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nThe UK Labour Market Report for September 2026 is due for release on Tuesday\, September 15\, 2026 at 7:00am London time (2:00am ET). It is published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and covers the rolling three-month period from May to July 2026 for its headline employment\, unemployment and earnings figures\, alongside claimant count and payrolled employee estimates for August 2026. Full schedule and background: UK Labour Market Report. \nWhat is the UK Labour Market Report?\nThe Labour Market Report is the ONS’s monthly overview of how many people in the UK are working\, looking for work\, or neither. Its headline figures come mainly from the Labour Force Survey (LFS)\, a household survey that asks a sample of people about their work status\, which is then used to estimate the employment rate\, the unemployment rate and the economic inactivity rate for the whole population. \nAlongside the survey data\, the report includes faster\, more timely measures: the claimant count (people receiving unemployment-related benefits) and payrolled employees drawn from HM Revenue and Customs Real Time Information (RTI) tax data. It also reports average weekly earnings\, split into regular pay (excluding bonuses) and total pay (including bonuses)\, which is one of the clearest signals of wage pressure in the economy. \nMarkets watch this release closely because the Bank of England uses labour market slack and wage growth as key inputs when setting interest rates. A tight jobs market with strong pay growth tends to support the case for higher borrowing costs\, while rising unemployment and slowing pay growth point the other way. The report also matters beyond the UK: sterling\, gilt yields and UK equities can all move on the release\, with knock-on effects for European and Asian markets that trade UK assets or watch the Bank of England as a signal for other central banks. \nWhen is the September labour market report released?\nThe ONS will publish the report on September 15\, 2026 at 7:00am London time\, which is 2:00am ET. It appears on the ONS labour market overview page\, alongside supporting datasets such as the summary of labour market statistics and the regional labour market breakdown. The ONS has already confirmed this date and time on its release calendar\, so there is no estimation involved for this instalment. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of now\, a consensus forecast for the September 2026 release has not yet been published. Surveys of economists by newswires such as Reuters typically appear only in the days immediately before the release\, once August claimant count and payrolled employee data start to firm up expectations. The most recent confirmed reading\, from the ONS bulletin published on August 18\, 2026\, showed the unemployment rate at 4.9% in the three months to June 2026\, up 0.2 percentage points on the year but down 0.1 percentage points on the previous quarter\, according to the ONS Labour Market Overview\, UK: August 2026. Regular pay growth (excluding bonuses) was 3.5% and total pay growth (including bonuses) was 4.1% over the same period\, per the same release. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (April to June 2026)\nConsensus for May to July 2026\n\n\n\n\nUnemployment rate\n4.9%\nNot yet published\n\n\nEmployment rate\nNot fully confirmed at time of writing\nNot yet published\n\n\nRegular pay growth (ex. bonuses)\n3.5%\nNot yet published\n\n\nClaimant count (most recent month)\n1.665 million (July 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nUnemployment rate rises above the prior 4.9% and pay growth cools further\nTraders may price in a higher chance of a Bank of England rate cut\, pushing sterling lower against the dollar and euro\nA weaker jobs market and slower wage growth would suggest the economy is cooling\, which could eventually feed through to lower mortgage rates\n\n\nUnemployment rate holds near 4.9% and pay growth is broadly unchanged\nLimited market reaction\, as this would confirm the recent flat trend the Bank of England has already priced in\nLittle immediate change for borrowers or savers\, though a genuinely flat labour market for a long period tends to keep interest rate expectations steady\n\n\nUnemployment rate falls and pay growth accelerates\nGilt yields could rise and sterling could firm\, as markets price out near-term rate cuts\nA tighter jobs market with stronger pay growth would raise the risk that inflation stays higher for longer\, which argues for interest rates staying elevated\n\n\n\nThese are illustrative reactions drawn from how analysts have described the mechanics of the release\, not predictions of what will happen. Reuters and Bloomberg poll a range of economists ahead of most major UK data releases\, and their published median forecast\, once available\, is the most reliable single number to compare the actual result against. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Bank of England has spent much of 2026 weighing a labour market that has been gradually loosening against inflation that has remained above its 2% target for an extended period. The unemployment rate has drifted higher over the past year\, from 4.5% a year earlier to 4.9% in the most recent confirmed quarter\, according to data compiled in the Wikipedia summary of UK unemployment trends and the ONS bulletins underpinning it. At the same time\, economic inactivity\, the share of working-age people neither working nor looking for work\, has been broadly flat at close to 20.9%\, and youth unemployment has been highlighted by groups such as the Learning and Work Institute as a particular area of concern. \nWage growth has been the other side of the story. Regular pay growth of 3.5% is still running ahead of the Bank’s 2% inflation target\, but it has been slowing gradually\, and real pay\, adjusted for inflation\, has been rising only modestly for most workers according to commentary reported by FE News. The September release\, covering May to July 2026\, will show whether that gradual cooling in both unemployment and pay growth is continuing\, stalling or reversing\, which matters directly for the timing of any further Bank of England interest rate moves. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing: A weaker labour market print tends to increase the chance of a Bank of England rate cut\, which can eventually lower fixed mortgage rates as lenders reprice\, though tracker and variable rate mortgages respond most directly to any actual change in the Bank Rate.\nSavings: If markets price in rate cuts\, banks and building societies often start trimming savings account rates in advance\, so savers relying on easy access or fixed-term deposits may see slightly lower returns on offer in the weeks that follow.\nJobs and wages: A rising unemployment rate or falling vacancies can mean it takes longer to find a new job or negotiate a pay rise\, particularly for younger workers\, where unemployment has already reached its highest level in over a decade according to the Learning and Work Institute.\nPrices and living standards: Wage growth still running above inflation is good news for take-home pay in real terms\, but if pay growth slows sharply while prices stay high\, household budgets can feel tighter even without a formal recession.\nInvestments\, pensions and the pound: UK gilt yields and the pound often move on this data because it feeds directly into Bank of England rate expectations. A softer jobs market can pull sterling lower against the dollar and euro\, which affects the cost of imports and the value of overseas holidays\, while pension funds holding UK bonds are sensitive to shifts in expected interest rates.\n\nRelated events\n\nThe next Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee decision\, which will weigh this labour market data alongside inflation figures.\nThe UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) release\, published separately by the ONS\, which is read alongside wage growth to judge real pay trends.\nThe next monthly UK Labour Market Report\, due in October 2026\, covering the three months to August 2026.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the UK Labour Market Report released?\nThe ONS publishes the report at 7:00am London time on September 15\, 2026\, which is 2:00am ET. \nHow should I read the headline numbers?\nFocus on the direction of the unemployment rate\, the employment rate and regular pay growth compared with the prior quarter\, rather than any single month\, since the underlying survey data can be volatile and subject to revision. \nHow does this release affect UK interest rates?\nThe Bank of England uses labour market slack and wage growth as key evidence when deciding whether to raise\, hold or cut the Bank Rate\, so a notably stronger or weaker report can shift market expectations for the next decision. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe report is published on the ONS Labour Market Overview page\, alongside supporting datasets and regional breakdowns. \nWhen is the next UK Labour Market Report due?\nThe following release is scheduled for October 2026\, covering the three months to August 2026\, with the exact date confirmed on the ONS release calendar closer to the time.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/uk-labour-market-report-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260916T020000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260916T030000
DTSTAMP:20260825T130401Z
CREATED:20260825T130401Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T130401Z
UID:2169-1789524000-1789527600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:UK CPI Inflation September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next UK CPI Inflation: Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n2.9% headline CPI\, 2.6% core CPI (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: UK CPI Inflation. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nThe Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for August 2026 on Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026\, at 7:00 am BST (7:00 am London time\, 2:00 am ET). The release is the single most important UK inflation reading of the month and lands one day before the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is next scheduled to meet. Full background and the release schedule are on the UK CPI Inflation hub. \nWhat is the UK CPI report?\nThe Consumer Price Index tracks the average change in prices paid by UK households for a fixed basket of goods and services\, from groceries and fuel to rent\, clothing and haircuts. The ONS collects tens of thousands of prices each month from shops\, websites and service providers\, weights them by how much a typical household spends on each category\, and calculates how much that basket has risen or fallen compared with the same month a year earlier (the “12-month rate”\, commonly called the annual inflation rate). \nAlongside headline CPI\, the ONS publishes core CPI\, which strips out the most volatile items\, energy\, food\, alcohol and tobacco\, to show the underlying trend in prices. It also breaks the data into goods inflation and services inflation. The Bank of England watches services inflation particularly closely because it tends to move with domestic wage growth and is harder to shift with interest rates than volatile energy or food prices. \nMarkets watch CPI because it is the main gauge the Bank of England uses to judge whether interest rates need to rise\, fall or hold steady. A hotter than expected reading tends to push up UK gilt yields and the pound\, on the view that rates will stay higher for longer\, while a cooler reading can do the opposite. \nWhen is the August 2026 CPI report released?\nThe ONS will publish the Consumer price inflation\, UK: August 2026 bulletin on Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026\, at 7:00 am BST (7:00 am London time\, which is 2:00 am ET). The bulletin is released on the ONS website and covers price changes recorded during August 2026. The ONS normally issues CPI data around the middle of each month for the previous month\, and no change to this pattern has been flagged for the August release. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of the time of writing\, a consensus forecast for the August 2026 CPI report has not yet been published. City economists and data providers such as Reuters and Bloomberg typically publish their median forecasts in the days immediately before a release\, once August’s energy price moves and other inputs are clearer. Check back closer to September 16\, 2026 for an updated forecast. \nThe most recent published reading is for July 2026. Headline CPI rose to 2.9% in the 12 months to July 2026\, up from 2.6% in June\, according to the ONS. That increase was the first rise in the annual rate since March 2026 and was driven largely by a jump in gas and electricity prices following an Ofgem price cap increase on July 1. Core CPI\, which excludes energy\, food\, alcohol and tobacco\, held at 2.6% in July\, unchanged from June\, while services inflation eased slightly to 3.4% from 3.6%. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI (annual)\n2.9%\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore CPI (annual)\n2.6%\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nRecent UK CPI readings\n\n\n\nMonth\nHeadline CPI (annual)\nCore CPI (annual)\n\n\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n3.0%\n3.2%\n\n\nMarch 2026\n3.3%\n3.1%\n\n\nApril 2026\n2.8%\n2.5%\n\n\nMay 2026\n2.8%\n2.6%\n\n\nJune 2026\n2.6%\n2.6%\n\n\nJuly 2026\n2.9%\n2.6%\n\n\n\nSource: ONS Consumer price inflation bulletins\, February to July 2026. \nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nGilt yields and the pound could rise as traders price a longer wait for interest rate cuts\, or even a renewed chance of a rate rise\nPrices are climbing faster than expected\, which squeezes household budgets and makes the Bank of England more cautious about cutting borrowing costs\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nA limited market reaction is likely\, since the number would simply confirm what investors already expect\nInflation is behaving broadly as forecast\, so mortgage rates and savings rates are unlikely to move sharply on the data alone\n\n\nBelow consensus\nGilt yields and the pound could fall as markets bring forward expectations for interest rate cuts\nPrice pressure is easing faster than expected\, which could eventually feed through to cheaper borrowing\, though not immediately\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities based on how markets have historically reacted to inflation surprises\, not predictions of what will happen on September 16\, 2026. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nUK inflation has been drifting away from the Bank of England’s 2% target rather than towards it. After falling to a 15-month low of 2.6% in June 2026\, headline CPI rose to 2.9% in July\, and the Bank has projected inflation could peak near 3.2% in the fourth quarter of 2026\, according to commentary reported by Babypips. A second increase to the Ofgem household energy price cap is expected in October 2026\, which could add further upward pressure to the readings that follow the August data. \nThe MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% at its July 30\, 2026 meeting\, but the vote was split\, with three of the nine members pushing for an immediate rise to 4.0% because of concerns that higher energy costs could spread into wider prices\, according to the same reporting. The committee’s next scheduled decision falls on September 17\, 2026\, the day after this CPI release\, so the August print will be one of the last major data points policymakers see before that vote. HM Treasury’s August 2026 forecast round\, cited by the Building Cost Information Service\, pencilled in CPI inflation averaging 3.4% in the fourth quarter of 2026 before easing back towards target through 2027. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nMortgages and borrowing: If inflation surprises to the upside\, lenders may hold fixed mortgage rates higher for longer\, since money markets would price a slower path of interest rate cuts from the Bank of England. A softer print could feed through to slightly cheaper new fixed-rate deals over time\, though rarely overnight. \nSavings: Higher than expected inflation erodes the real value of cash sitting in savings accounts unless the interest rate paid keeps pace. Savers comparing accounts should check whether their rate beats the latest CPI figure\, not just the interest rate itself. \nJobs and wages: The Bank of England watches whether pay growth is running ahead of or behind inflation. If prices rise faster than wages\, household spending power falls even if pay packets are growing in cash terms. \nPrices in everyday life: The report explains why a weekly shop\, energy bill or bus fare feels more or less expensive than a year ago. Energy costs have been the largest single driver of the recent increase in UK inflation. \nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: UK gilts\, the FTSE 100 and the pound can all move on the data\, with knock-on effects for pension funds holding UK bonds. A stronger or weaker pound also changes the cost of imports for UK shoppers and affects how far sterling stretches for anyone travelling to the eurozone or the United States. Investors in Europe and Asia watch UK inflation partly because it shapes expectations for other central banks navigating similar energy-driven price pressures. \nRelated events\n\nBank of England MPC interest rate decision\, scheduled for September 17\, 2026\, the day after this CPI release.\nUK labour market and average earnings statistics\, published monthly by the ONS alongside CPI as part of the same data cycle.\nUS CPI report\, published monthly by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics\, which shapes the global inflation backdrop alongside the UK figures.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the August 2026 UK CPI report released?\nThe ONS publishes the report at 7:00 am BST (7:00 am London time) on September 16\, 2026\, which is 2:00 am ET. \nHow should I read the headline CPI figure?\nThe headline figure shows how much prices for a typical household basket have risen over the past 12 months. A higher number means the cost of living is rising faster; a lower number means it is rising more slowly\, not that prices are falling outright unless the figure turns negative. \nHow does the CPI report affect UK interest rates?\nThe Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee uses CPI data as one of its main inputs when deciding whether to raise\, cut or hold Bank Rate\, currently held at 3.75% as of the July 30\, 2026 decision. A CPI reading that runs hotter than the Bank expects can reduce the likelihood of a near-term rate cut. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe bulletin is published on the ONS release calendar and in the Consumer price inflation series on the ONS website. \nWhen is the next UK CPI report after this one?\nThe ONS publishes CPI data monthly\, so the September 2026 report covering that month’s prices is expected in mid-October 2026\, following the usual publication pattern.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/uk-cpi-inflation-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260916T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260916T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104646Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104646Z
UID:1318-1789547400-1789551000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Retail Sales September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE): Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE). \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE)Next US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE) →\nThe US Census Bureau will publish the Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services report for August 2026 on Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026\, at 8:30 AM ET. The release will provide the first official estimate of consumer spending at retail establishments across the United States for the August 2026 reference month. \nAt a Glance\n\n\n\nRelease Date\nWednesday\, September 16\, 2026\n\n\nRelease Time\n8:30 AM ET\n\n\nPublished By\nUS Census Bureau\n\n\nReference Month\nAugust 2026\n\n\nPrior Reading (April 2026)\n+0.5% MoM ($757.1bn)\n\n\nMarket Impact\nHigh\n\n\n\nWhat Is the US Retail Sales Report?\nThe Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services\, commonly called the retail sales report\, is the US Census Bureau’s early estimate of total receipts at stores selling merchandise and at food services establishments. It covers more than 5\,000 firms selected to represent approximately 3 million retail establishments across the country. The advance release comes approximately two weeks after the reference month ends\, making it one of the most timely measures of consumer spending available to economists and policymakers. \nThe report is published monthly and covers total retail sales\, sales excluding motor vehicles (which are volatile month to month)\, and sales excluding motor vehicles and petrol. The “control group” measure\, which strips out vehicles\, petrol\, building materials\, and food services\, feeds directly into the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) calculation of personal consumption expenditures (PCE)\, a key input to GDP. For this reason\, the retail sales control group figure often receives as much attention as the headline number. \nConsumer spending accounts for roughly 70% of US GDP\, so retail sales data carries outsized weight in economic assessments. A sustained run of strong readings supports the case for a resilient economy and limits the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed’s) scope to cut rates. Weak readings\, by contrast\, can raise recession concerns and shift rate expectations decisively lower. \nUS Retail Sales Release: September 16\, 2026\nThe September 16 release will deliver the first look at retail spending in August 2026. The most recent available data shows April 2026 retail sales at $757.1 billion (USD)\, an increase of 0.5% from March\, itself up 1.6% from February. Year-on-year\, April spending rose 4.9%\, reflecting still-healthy consumer demand despite tariff-driven price pressures. E-commerce sales continue to grow at a faster pace than in-store purchases\, and the grocery sector has absorbed significant food price inflation that has lifted headline dollar values without necessarily indicating volume growth. \nNo formal market consensus forecast for August 2026 retail sales is yet available\, given that the release remains approximately three months away. As consensus estimates from Reuters\, Bloomberg\, and other polling organisations become available in the weeks before the September 16 release\, they will reflect summer spending patterns\, back-to-school purchasing\, and any shifts in petrol prices. The US Retail Sales August 2026 release on August 14 will offer a more immediate benchmark and is likely to shape expectations for the subsequent September reading. \nWhy This Retail Sales Release Matters\nThe September 16 data will arrive just two days before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins its two-day meeting scheduled to conclude on September 17 (with the rate decision released on September 16 separately via the FOMC Rate Decision September 2026). This proximity makes the September retail sales release particularly sensitive: a strong reading could reinforce the case for steady rates\, while a soft reading might tip sentiment toward a cut. \nThe report will also arrive in the context of an economy navigating a complex environment. Tariff-related price increases\, particularly on goods imported from major trading partners\, have shifted some consumer behaviour toward domestic alternatives and reduced discretionary spending in certain categories. At the same time\, a still-solid labour market has kept incomes supported\, providing purchasing power even as real wages face pressure from elevated goods inflation. The interaction of these forces will be visible in the August spending data. \nFor equity markets\, retail sales data moves shares of consumer-facing companies most directly: large retailers\, restaurant chains\, and e-commerce platforms. A strong reading could lift the consumer discretionary sector\, while a disappointing figure tends to weigh on shares of companies dependent on household spending confidence. The bond market will also react\, with strong retail data typically pushing Treasury yields higher as investors reduce expectations for rate cuts. \nWhat to Watch For\n\nAbove consensus: A reading above the market forecast would signal that US consumers remain resilient into the late summer months\, supporting the case for the Fed to hold rates steady or extend any pause in cutting. Consumer discretionary equities are likely to react positively\, and the US dollar could strengthen against major peers.\nIn line with consensus: A broadly as-expected reading would confirm stable spending patterns and be unlikely to move markets materially. The focus would shift quickly to the retail sales control group for signals about Q3 GDP momentum.\nBelow consensus: A weaker-than-expected reading\, particularly if also accompanied by downward revisions to prior months\, would raise concern about the consumer’s ability to sustain spending in a high-tariff\, high-cost environment. Markets may price in additional Fed easing\, pushing Treasury yields lower and pressuring the US dollar.\n\nBeyond the headline\, watch for the control group measure\, the exclusion of petrol from total sales (to assess underlying demand stripped of energy price effects)\, and any revisions to July 2026 data that may alter the sequential momentum narrative. \nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nMonth\nMoM Change\nYoY Change\n\n\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n–\n–\n\n\nMarch 2026\n+1.6%\n–\n\n\nApril 2026\n+0.5%\n+4.9%\n\n\nMay 2026\nTBC\nTBC\n\n\nJune 2026\nTBC (released July 17)\n–\n\n\nAugust 2026\nTBC (released September 16)\n–\n\n\n\nSource: US Census Bureau. Monthly retail and food services data\, seasonally adjusted. Complete monthly series for 2025-2026 will be updated as Census publishes each advance release. \nMarket Positioning\nIn the weeks before the September 16 release\, markets will be closely monitoring the US Retail Sales August 2026 release on August 14 as a proxy for the trend. If August data is strong\, analysts will revise their September forecasts upward. If August surprises to the downside\, the September expectation bar will be lowered accordingly. \nConsumer confidence surveys\, credit card spending data from payment processors\, and quarterly earnings guidance from major retailers will all inform the market’s prior for September. Walmart’s Q2 FY2027 earnings (due August 20) and other major retail corporate reports through August will give investors a real-time sense of spending trends ahead of the Census Bureau’s official release. \nRelated Events\n\nUS Retail Sales August 2026 – Released August 14\, the August report will set the trajectory for September spending expectations.\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 – The Fed’s September meeting will incorporate August and September spending data as part of its assessment of economic conditions.\nUS CPI Report September 2026 – The September 11 CPI release will accompany the retail sales report as a joint read on consumer conditions in August.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the US retail sales report measure?\nThe Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services measures total receipts at retail establishments and food services businesses across the United States. It covers over 3 million retail outlets\, sampled through approximately 5\,000 firms. The report provides the earliest read on consumer spending for the reference month and is used to estimate personal consumption in GDP calculations. \nWhen is the US Retail Sales report for August 2026 released?\nThe US Census Bureau will release the Advance Monthly Retail Sales report for August 2026 on Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026\, at 8:30 AM ET. The report is available on the Census Bureau website at census.gov/retail immediately following release. \nWhy do markets react so strongly to retail sales data?\nConsumer spending accounts for approximately 70% of US GDP. Retail sales data is the most timely monthly measure of that spending\, arriving just two weeks after the reference month ends. Because it directly signals whether consumers are confident and have purchasing power\, it shapes expectations for economic growth\, corporate earnings\, and Federal Reserve policy simultaneously.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-retail-sales-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260916T140000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260916T150000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104558Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104558Z
UID:1224-1789567200-1789570800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:FOMC Rate Decision September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next FOMC Rate Decision: Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026 at 2:00 pm ET (7:00 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: FOMC Rate Decision. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous FOMC Rate DecisionNext FOMC Rate Decision →\nThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026\, at 2:00 p.m. EDT\, following a two-day meeting on September 15-16. This is a Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) meeting\, meaning the FOMC will simultaneously release updated quarterly economic forecasts and the “dot plot” of individual member rate expectations. The September meeting is historically one of the most anticipated of the year\, as it falls midway through the third quarter and provides the first full picture of how the Fed has revised its outlook for growth\, inflation\, and the rate path heading into year-end. The federal funds rate currently stands at 3.50% to 3.75%\, held through multiple meetings in 2026 as the FOMC navigates elevated inflation and a resilient labour market. \nThe Federal Reserve and the FOMC\nThe Federal Open Market Committee is the monetary policy-setting body of the Federal Reserve (the Fed). It meets eight times per year\, with four of those meetings producing a Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and dot plot: March\, June\, September\, and December. The September meeting is a pivotal one in the annual calendar. It comes after the summer data flow\, covering Q2 GDP and July-August inflation and employment readings\, and it sets up the final two meetings of the year (October and December). It is at September meetings that the Fed has historically made some of its most significant policy pivots\, as the committee can draw on a full half-year of data to assess whether the pace of disinflation or growth slowdown warrants action. \nThe FOMC’s dual mandate is maximum employment and price stability. The Fed targets headline PCE inflation at 2% over the longer run\, and the September SEP will include updated projections for PCE and core PCE inflation\, real GDP growth\, unemployment\, and the federal funds rate path. These projections are the closest thing the Fed publishes to a formal policy commitment\, though they are not binding and can be revised at subsequent meetings. \nFOMC September Meeting: September 15-16\, 2026\nThe September 2026 meeting is one of the most consequential of the year. By September\, the committee will have data through August 2026 for all major indicators: CPI\, PCE\, NFP\, retail sales\, and GDP (including the Q2 2026 advance estimate due in late July). This rich data set will allow the FOMC to make an informed decision about whether the inflation trajectory and economic growth have evolved sufficiently to justify either a rate cut or a continued hold. \nThe March 2026 SEP\, the most recent available at the time of writing\, indicated just one rate cut expected in all of 2026. If the June and September SEPs maintain or shift this projection\, markets will adjust their rate expectations accordingly. A September SEP that shows two cuts now expected in 2026 (implying one at either September or a later meeting) would be interpreted as a dovish shift\, likely boosting equities and Treasuries. A SEP with zero expected cuts in 2026 would be hawkish and push yields higher. The decision will be announced at 2:00 p.m. EDT\, with Fed Chair Powell’s press conference beginning at 2:30 p.m. EDT. \nWhat to Expect\nWhether the FOMC cuts\, holds\, or hikes at September 2026 depends on a data flow that has not yet occurred. The key variables are the trajectory of core PCE inflation\, the strength of the labour market\, and GDP growth in Q2 2026. If core PCE has moderated towards 2.2-2.3% by September\, and NFP has shown a clear cooling trend\, the September meeting becomes a live candidate for the first rate cut since December 2025. If core PCE remains above 2.5% and the labour market stays tight\, another hold is the base case. \nGeopolitical factors\, particularly the Middle East energy price shock of 2026\, will have had time to either recede or intensify by September. The Fed’s ability to look through temporary energy-driven inflation (while cutting on the basis of contained core inflation) depends on inflation expectations remaining anchored\, which the FOMC monitors through breakeven inflation rates and consumer/business surveys. The FOMC Rate Decision June 2026 on June 17 and the July 28-29 meeting will both set important precedents for how September is interpreted. \nRate Decision History\n\n\n\nDate\nDecision\nRate (Target Range)\nVote\n\n\n\n\nSep 2025\n-25bp\n4.00%-4.25%\nn/v\n\n\nNov 2025\n-25bp\n3.75%-4.00%\nn/v\n\n\nDec 2025\n-25bp\n3.50%-3.75%\n9-3\n\n\nJan 2026\nHold\n3.50%-3.75%\nn/v\n\n\nMar 2026\nHold\n3.50%-3.75%\nn/v\n\n\nApr 2026\nHold\n3.50%-3.75%\n8-4\n\n\nJun 2026\nTBD (Jun 16-17\, SEP)\nTBD\nTBD\n\n\nJul 2026\nTBD (Jul 28-29)\nTBD\nTBD\n\n\n\nSources: Federal Reserve Board; CNBC; J.P. Morgan. “n/v” = vote not yet verified. All rates are the federal funds target range. SEP = Summary of Economic Projections meeting. \nMarket Impact Scenarios\n\nHold with dovish dot plot – A hold at 3.50%-3.75% accompanied by a dot plot shifting to show two cuts in 2026 (implying a December cut) would be interpreted as a near-cut signal. Treasury yields would fall\, equities would rally\, and the dollar would soften. This is the scenario that would most encourage risk-taking ahead of Q4 2026.\nCut (25bp) – A cut to 3.25%-3.50% would confirm the start of a new easing cycle. The market reaction would be strongly positive for equities and bonds\, particularly if accompanied by a dot plot showing further cuts in 2027. The September 2026 cut would be the most anticipated easing step since the 2025 cycle began.\nHold with hawkish dot plot – A hold accompanied by a dot plot showing zero cuts in 2026 (or even no cuts until 2027) would push yields sharply higher\, pressure equities\, and strengthen the dollar\, indicating the Fed sees inflation as an ongoing constraint on easing.\n\nPress Conference and Forward Guidance\nThe September press conference at 2:30 p.m. EDT is one of the most closely watched of the year\, given the simultaneous release of the updated SEP and dot plot. Powell’s characterisation of the inflation trajectory and the committee’s confidence in inflation returning to 2% will set the tone for market expectations through year-end. Language around the “balance of risks” and the committee’s “readiness to adjust” will be parsed for any signal about October or December action. \nThe September 2026 SEP will also update projections through 2028\, providing the most comprehensive picture of where the FOMC expects the federal funds rate to settle in the longer run. Any revision to the “longer-run neutral rate” estimate\, currently around 3%\, would be a significant market event in itself\, as it defines the endpoint of any rate-cutting cycle. \nRelated Events\n\nFOMC Rate Decision June 2026 – The June SEP meeting is the preceding comparable SEP decision and the most recent dot plot ahead of September.\nUS Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) June 2026 – Labour market data from June through August feeds into the Fed’s employment assessment at the September meeting.\nUS CPI Report June 2026 – CPI and PCE data through August are the critical inflation inputs for the September rate decision.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhy is the September FOMC meeting particularly important?\nSeptember is a SEP meeting\, meaning it produces updated economic forecasts and a dot plot alongside the rate decision. It falls at a natural midpoint in the second half of the year\, when the Fed has sufficient data on Q2 economic performance to assess whether the full-year policy trajectory needs adjustment. Historically\, September meetings have been associated with significant policy pivots\, including the start of both easing and tightening cycles. \nWhen will the FOMC September 2026 decision be announced?\nThe FOMC will publish its policy statement at 2:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday\, September 16\, 2026. The Summary of Economic Projections and dot plot will be released simultaneously. Fed Chair Powell’s press conference begins at 2:30 p.m. EDT. \nWhat is the FOMC dot plot and why is it released at September meetings?\nThe dot plot is a chart showing each FOMC member’s expectation for the appropriate federal funds rate at year-end for the current year and the next two years\, plus the longer run. It is released at the four SEP meetings each year (March\, June\, September\, December). Markets use the median dot to gauge the committee’s collective rate path\, though individual projections can vary widely and the plot can change significantly between meetings.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/fomc-rate-decision-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Central Banks & Monetary Policy
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260917T070000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260917T080000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104548Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104548Z
UID:1234-1789628400-1789632000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Bank of England MPC Rate Decision September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Bank of England MPC Rate Decision: Thursday\, September 17\, 2026 at 12:00 pm GMT (7:00 am ET\, 12:00 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Bank of England MPC Rate Decision. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Bank of England MPC Rate DecisionNext Bank of England MPC Rate Decision →\nThe Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday\, September 17\, 2026\, at 12:00 GMT. The decision will be accompanied by the simultaneous release of the monetary policy summary and detailed voting minutes. The Bank Rate currently stands at 3.75%\, held through multiple consecutive meetings in 2026 following three quarter-point cuts in 2025. The September meeting arrives after the BoE’s August Monetary Policy Report (MPR)\, which will have published updated staff forecasts for UK inflation\, GDP\, and unemployment\, providing the full data context for the September decision. Market forecasters broadly expect 1-2 rate cuts in 2026\, potentially placing September as a live candidate if UK inflation has shown meaningful progress towards the 2% target. \nThe Bank of England and the MPC\nThe Bank of England (the BoE) is the United Kingdom’s central bank and monetary authority. Its Monetary Policy Committee operates under a mandate to maintain price stability\, defined as CPI inflation at 2%\, as set by the UK government through the annual remit letter to the Governor. The MPC has nine members: the Governor\, three Deputy Governors\, the Chief Economist\, and four external members\, each with an equal vote and each casting that vote publicly. This transparency sets the BoE apart from most major central banks and allows markets to track shifting sentiment within the committee between meetings. \nThe MPC meets eight times per year\, with four meetings producing a Monetary Policy Report (MPR) containing updated staff economic projections: February\, May\, August\, and November. September is not an MPR meeting\, meaning the September 17 decision will not be accompanied by new staff forecasts. However\, the immediately preceding August MPR will have laid out the MPC’s most recent economic outlook and rate path guidance\, which will define the context for September. The September 17 decision follows a July 30 meeting and precedes November 5 (MPR meeting). \nMPC September Meeting: September 17\, 2026\nThe September 17 meeting takes place after three months of UK data released since the June 18 decision\, including the August MPR update. By September\, the MPC will have reviewed data for July and August inflation (UK CPI and RPI)\, Q2 2026 GDP\, July and August labour market reports\, and the full summer data set. The August MPR will have provided the committee’s most recent projections\, making September an assessment of whether the August outlook needs correction or confirmation. \nThe MPC’s internal divisions have been notable in 2026. February’s 5-4 hold (four members preferring a cut) contrasted sharply with April’s 8-1 hold (one member preferring a hike). This range reflects genuine disagreement about whether the current Bank Rate of 3.75% is appropriately calibrated given UK inflation\, which has been elevated by energy costs from the Middle East conflict. Wage growth\, which has been running above 4% year-on-year in the UK in early 2026\, is a particular concern for those worried about domestically generated services inflation. The Bank of England MPC Rate Decision June 2026 on June 18 is the most recent available reference point. \nWhat to Expect\nWhether September 2026 delivers a rate cut depends primarily on the trajectory of UK CPI and wage growth through the summer. If August CPI has returned towards 2.5% or below\, and wage growth has moderated below 4%\, the MPC will face a strong case for resuming the easing cycle with a 25bp cut to 3.50%. The four members who voted to cut in February will likely maintain or strengthen that view if inflation is trending lower; the consensus-holder members from March and April would need convincing data to cross over. \nThe global context also matters. If the US Federal Reserve has cut at its September 15-16 meeting (which falls two days before the BoE’s September 17 decision)\, the dollar-sterling dynamic could influence the BoE’s assessment of imported inflation risks. A weaker dollar following a Fed cut would reduce the sterling downside risk from a BoE cut\, making September more viable. The BoE explicitly monitors global central bank actions as part of its assessment of financial conditions. \nRate Decision History\n\n\n\nDate\nDecision\nBank Rate\nVote\n\n\n\n\nMay 2025 (MPR)\n-25bp\n4.25%\nn/v\n\n\nAug 2025 (MPR)\n-25bp\n4.00%\nn/v\n\n\nDec 2025\n-25bp\n3.75%\nn/v\n\n\nFeb 2026 (MPR)\nHold\n3.75%\n5-4 (4 cut)\n\n\nMar 2026\nHold\n3.75%\n9-0\n\n\nApr 2026\nHold\n3.75%\n8-1 (1 hike)\n\n\nJun 2026\nTBD (Jun 18)\nTBD\nTBD\n\n\nSep 2026\nTBD (Sep 17)\nTBD\nTBD\n\n\n\nSources: Bank of England; Cambridge Currencies. “n/v” = vote not yet verified. Three 25bp cuts in 2025 from 4.50% to 3.75%. MPR = Monetary Policy Report meeting (with forecasts). Feb 2026 vote: 5 hold\, 4 cut. Apr 2026 vote: 8 hold\, 1 hike. \nMarket Impact Scenarios\n\nCut (25bp) – A cut to 3.50% at September\, if not already priced\, would weaken sterling modestly\, boost UK government bonds (gilts)\, and support rate-sensitive equities (housebuilders\, REITs). This outcome would reflect growing confidence within the MPC that UK inflation is on a sustainable path back to 2%\, and would likely be accompanied by a majority vote of at least 6-3.\nHold – A hold at 3.75% for a fourth consecutive 2026 meeting would signal that the MPC remains cautious about inflation risks\, particularly services inflation and wage growth. Sterling might strengthen modestly. Gilt yields would hold or edge higher. The market would then focus on November as the next realistic cut opportunity given its MPR format.\nHike – A hike following one member’s dissent in April would represent a majority shift and would only occur if UK CPI had spiked significantly above 3% by September. Such an outcome would strongly support sterling and UK gilt yields while pressuring equities\, particularly consumer and property sectors.\n\nPress Conference and Forward Guidance\nThe Bank of England does not hold a traditional post-decision press conference for non-MPR meetings like September. The decision is communicated through the monetary policy summary and the MPC minutes\, released simultaneously at 12:00 GMT. Governor Andrew Bailey may give speeches or media appearances in the following days\, but the minutes themselves serve as the primary forward guidance document. \nThe vote breakdown will be the most important signal for markets. A move towards a majority favouring cuts (e.g.\, 5-4 in favour of cutting) would strongly signal a November cut\, even if September produces a hold. Conversely\, if the hike dissent from April has spread to two members\, the market would reprice to remove cut expectations entirely and test sterling higher. \nRelated Events\n\nBank of England MPC Rate Decision June 2026 – The June 18 decision is the most recent available reference point for current BoE policy stance.\nFOMC Rate Decision June 2026 – The US Fed’s June 16-17 decision and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting (immediately preceding BoE September) set the global rate context.\nECB Rate Decision June 2026 – The ECB’s trajectory influences UK-EU trade conditions and the broader European monetary policy environment that the BoE monitors.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat is the difference between a Monetary Policy Report meeting and a regular MPC meeting?\nAt Monetary Policy Report (MPR) meetings\, held in February\, May\, August\, and November\, the MPC publishes updated staff economic forecasts for UK inflation\, GDP\, and unemployment alongside the rate decision. These forecasts provide context for the rate decision and signal the MPC’s expected rate path. At non-MPR meetings (March\, June\, September\, December)\, only the decision\, summary\, and minutes are released\, without new forecasts. The August MPR\, immediately preceding September\, will have set the most recent forecast baseline. \nWhen will the Bank of England September 2026 decision be announced?\nThe MPC will publish its monetary policy decision at 12:00 GMT on Thursday\, September 17\, 2026. The monetary policy summary and minutes will be released simultaneously. September is not an MPR meeting\, so no updated staff economic projections will be published. \nHow does UK wage growth affect the MPC’s rate decisions?\nThe MPC monitors wage growth closely because it is a key determinant of services inflation\, the component of UK CPI most influenced by domestic price-setting. When wage growth runs significantly above productivity growth\, businesses face higher costs that often pass through into services prices\, making it difficult for overall CPI to return to the 2% target. The BoE’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report cited above-4% wage growth as a factor in its decision to hold\, and any sustained moderation in wage growth would be among the strongest signals that a cut is warranted.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/bank-of-england-mpc-rate-decision-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Central Banks & Monetary Policy
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260917T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260917T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104642Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104642Z
UID:1331-1789633800-1789637400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts) September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts): Thursday\, September 17\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts)Next US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts) →\nThe United States Census Bureau\, jointly with the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD)\, will release New Residential Construction data for August 2026 on Thursday\, September 17\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report\, commonly known as the housing starts report\, covers the number of new privately owned housing units on which construction began during the reference month. Consensus forecasts for August 2026 will develop closer to the release date\, as major polling organisations typically publish estimates in the week prior to the report. \nWhat Is the Housing Starts Report?\nThe New Residential Construction report is a monthly joint release from the Census Bureau and HUD covering three key metrics: housing starts (units where construction began)\, building permits (authorisations for future construction)\, and housing completions (units finished during the month). Seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) are used to remove weather-related and other seasonal distortions\, enabling meaningful month-to-month comparisons. \nHousing starts are divided into two main segments: single-family homes and multi-family units (buildings with five or more units). Single-family starts reflect individual homebuyer demand and builder confidence\, while multi-family starts are heavily influenced by the rental market\, institutional investors\, and financing conditions. The data is released approximately 17 business days after the end of the survey month. \nHousing is a leading economic indicator. Construction activity ripples through dozens of related industries\, including building materials\, appliances\, landscaping\, and financial services\, meaning sustained changes in housing starts typically signal broader economic momentum or slowdown several months ahead. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) monitors residential construction data closely as part of its assessment of economic activity and inflationary pressure in the shelter component of consumer prices. \nHousing Starts Report: September 17\, 2026\nThe September 17 release will cover August 2026 construction activity. Consensus estimates from major financial institutions and polling services are not yet published\, as the report is more than three months away at the time of writing. Market expectations will be shaped by mortgage rate conditions\, builder sentiment surveys (particularly the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index)\, and the trend in building permits\, which serve as a forward indicator for starts. \nThe April 2026 report\, the most recent data available at the time of writing\, showed housing starts at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.465 million units\, a decline of 2.8% from the revised March rate of 1.507 million. Within the April figure\, single-family starts fell 9% to 930\,000 units while multi-family starts jumped 14.3% to 529\,000 units\, according to the Census Bureau. Elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on single-family construction\, while demand for rental housing sustains multi-family activity. \nWhy This Report Matters\nHousing starts are a bellwether for consumer confidence and credit availability. When builders break ground on new homes\, it signals that demand is sufficient to justify the investment\, which in turn reflects household expectations about income\, employment\, and borrowing costs. A sustained decline in single-family starts typically precedes a slowdown in household goods spending\, as new homeowners are significant buyers of furniture\, appliances\, and home improvement products. \nFor the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)\, housing data is a critical input. Shelter costs account for a substantial share of the Consumer Price Index (CPI)\, and new residential construction directly affects future rental and ownership supply. If starts remain suppressed\, shelter inflation is likely to stay elevated\, complicating the Fed’s path to its 2% inflation target. The timing of this release is particularly notable: the FOMC Rate Decision on September 16\, 2026\, falls just one day before\, meaning markets will be processing two major data points in rapid succession. \nFor equity markets\, housing starts influence the performance of homebuilders\, building materials companies\, mortgage lenders\, and home improvement retailers. For the bond market\, a stronger-than-expected reading implies continued inflationary pressure in shelter costs\, which could push yields modestly higher. A miss would have the opposite effect\, potentially reinforcing expectations for rate cuts. \nWhat to Watch For\nAnalysts will focus on several key metrics within the September 17 release: \n\nAbove consensus — A stronger-than-expected reading signals sustained builder confidence and healthy demand conditions. A recovery in single-family starts in particular would suggest buyers are returning despite elevated mortgage rates\, and could firm expectations for a longer high-rate environment\, modestly pressuring Treasury bonds.\nIn line with consensus — A matching result would reinforce current market pricing. Attention would shift to the building permits sub-component and any revisions to prior months’ figures\, which frequently move markets even when the headline is neutral.\nBelow consensus — A miss would signal that affordability constraints are weighing more heavily on builders. Single-family starts falling significantly would be the most market-moving scenario\, raising concerns about a broader housing slowdown. Bond yields could ease on expectations that weaker housing activity will dampen shelter inflation.\n\nBeyond the headline figure\, markets will watch: building permits (the most reliable forward indicator for starts over the following one to three months)\, the single-family versus multi-family split\, and any revisions to the prior two months. A sustained drop in permit issuance reliably forecasts lower starts in coming months and is frequently more market-moving than the headline itself. \nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nRelease Date\nReference Month\nActual (SAAR)\nMoM Change\n\n\n\n\nMay 21\, 2026\nApril 2026\n1.465 million\n-2.8%\n\n\nApril 29\, 2026\nMarch 2026\n1.507 million\n+10.8%\n\n\nMarch 12\, 2026\nJanuary 2026\n1.487 million\n+7.2%\n\n\nFebruary 2026\nDecember 2025\n1.387 million\n—\n\n\n\nMarket Positioning\nAs of early June 2026\, housing starts are running above the long-run historical average of approximately 1.43 million units per year\, though well below the pre-financial-crisis peak of 2.49 million units reached in January 2006. The recent divergence between single-family and multi-family construction reflects two competing forces: mortgage rate headwinds suppressing owner-occupier demand\, and a structural undersupply of rental housing sustaining multi-family activity. \nBuilder sentiment\, as measured by the NAHB Housing Market Index\, will be published in the days before the September 17 release and may shape market expectations. Any meaningful shift in mortgage rates between now and August will significantly influence the eventual result. Futures markets will track how the report’s implications intersect with the US CPI Report September 2026\, given housing’s weight in the shelter component of consumer prices. \nRelated Events This Week\n\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 — The Fed’s September 16 rate decision directly sets the cost of mortgage finance and builder loans\, making it the critical context for interpreting housing starts one day later.\nUS CPI Report September 2026 — Inflation data released the week before will frame whether housing is providing or absorbing inflationary pressure in the shelter component.\nUS Retail Sales September 2026 — Retail sales data in the same week will complete the picture of consumer demand\, which drives both the need for housing and the spending that follows a home purchase.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the housing starts report measure?\nThe housing starts report\, formally titled New Residential Construction\, measures the number of new privately owned residential units where construction began during the reference month. Published jointly by the Census Bureau and HUD\, it includes both single-family homes and multi-family buildings. The headline figure is expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) to allow meaningful comparison across months. \nWhen is the September 2026 housing starts report released?\nThe August 2026 housing starts data will be published on Thursday\, September 17\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report is typically released approximately 17 business days after the end of the survey month\, jointly by the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. \nHow do housing starts affect financial markets?\nA stronger-than-expected housing starts reading can push Treasury yields modestly higher\, as it implies continued shelter-driven inflation\, and tends to lift shares of homebuilders\, materials companies\, and home improvement retailers. A weaker reading has the opposite effect. The report’s greatest market-moving potential comes when it provides new information about the direction of shelter inflation\, which is a key variable for Federal Reserve policy.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-new-residential-construction-housing-starts-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260917T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260917T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T105218Z
CREATED:20260825T105218Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T105218Z
UID:2078-1789633800-1789637400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Initial Jobless Claims: September 17\, 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday\, September 17\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n206\,000 (week ending August 15\, 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims\nThe US Initial Jobless Claims report for the week ending September 13\, 2026 is due on Thursday\, September 17\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time). It is published weekly by the US Department of Labor and counts the number of people filing new claims for unemployment benefits\, one of the timeliest signals available on the health of the American labour market. Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of this preview\, a consensus forecast for the week ending September 13\, 2026 has not yet been published. Economist surveys for weekly claims are typically finalised only a day or two before release\, so the figure will firm up closer to September 17. \nThe most recently confirmed reading in this series was for the week ending August 15\, 2026: initial claims fell to 206\,000\, below the median forecast of 210\,000 in a Bloomberg survey of economists\, and down from 212\,000 the previous week\, according to Bloomberg. Continuing claims\, which measure people still receiving benefits after an initial claim\, rose by 18\,000 to 1\,799\,000 in the week ending August 8\, 2026\, according to Trading Economics\, citing Department of Labor data. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (week ending Aug 15\, 2026)\nConsensus for Sept 13\, 2026 week\n\n\n\n\nInitial claims\n206\,000\nNot yet published\n\n\nContinuing claims\n1\,799\,000 (week ending Aug 8)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nDovish for the Federal Reserve\, often weighs on the dollar and can lift bond prices\nMore people than expected filed for benefits\, a sign hiring may be cooling\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\nThe labour market is behaving broadly as expected\, no fresh signal for the Fed\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCan be read as hawkish\, supporting the dollar and pushing bond yields higher\nFewer people filed for benefits than expected\, pointing to continued labour market strength\n\n\n\nWhy it matters this week\nWeekly claims have stayed close to historically low levels through the summer of 2026\, with initial claims hovering in the 199\,000 to 212\,000 range and continuing claims edging up toward 1.8 million\, according to PNC Economics Research. That combination\, low new claims but a slowly rising pool of people still receiving benefits\, suggests employers are not laying off many workers but are taking longer to rehire those who lose a job. \nThe Federal Reserve watches this data closely because it arrives weekly\, far more often than the monthly jobs report\, giving policymakers an early read on whether the labour market is weakening. A sustained rise in claims would add to the case for further interest rate cuts\, while claims staying low would support the view that the US economy remains close to full employment. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nJobless claims feed directly into how investors think the Federal Reserve will move interest rates\, which in turn affects mortgage rates\, credit card costs and savings account yields in the United States. A run of higher-than-expected claims tends to push bond yields down and can nudge mortgage rates lower\, while unusually low claims can keep borrowing costs elevated for longer. \nFor anyone holding US shares\, US dollar cash\, or funds with American exposure\, from the UK\, Europe and Asia as much as from the US itself\, a weak claims report can weigh on the dollar and lift the pound and euro against it\, while a strong report tends to do the opposite. Pension savers with global equity funds will feel these swings indirectly through fund values rather than in a single headline number. \nNone of this is decisive on its own. Weekly claims are volatile and one release rarely changes the picture; it is the trend over several weeks that tends to matter for mortgage rates\, hiring plans and investment portfolios. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the September 17 jobless claims report released?\nIt is released at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm in London\, by the US Department of Labor. \nWhat counts as a big miss versus consensus?\nBecause weekly claims are volatile\, economists generally treat a move of more than 15\,000 to 20\,000 away from consensus as notable enough to shift market expectations for the Federal Reserve. \nWhen is the next jobless claims report after this one?\nJobless claims are published every Thursday\, so the following report covering the week ending September 20\, 2026 is due on September 24\, 2026. \n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-initial-jobless-claims-september-17-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260917T193000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260917T203000
DTSTAMP:20260826T033441Z
CREATED:20260826T033440Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T033441Z
UID:2265-1789673400-1789677000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Japan CPI September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Japan CPI: Friday\, September 18\, 2026 at 8:30 am JST (7:30 pm ET\, 12:30 am London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nCore CPI 1.8% YoY (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Japan CPI. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nJapan’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August 2026 is scheduled for release on September 18\, 2026 at 8:30 am Japan Standard Time\, which is 7:30 pm ET on September 17 and 12:30 am London time on September 18. The figures are published by the Statistics Bureau of Japan and cover price changes for August 2026 compared with a year earlier. Full schedule and background: Japan CPI. \nWhat is Japan CPI?\nThe Consumer Price Index tracks the average change in prices paid by households for a fixed basket of goods and services\, from rice and electricity to rent and rail fares. It is the country’s main measure of inflation and is compiled monthly by the Statistics Bureau of Japan\, part of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. \nThree versions of the index matter most to markets. The headline figure includes everything. “Core CPI” strips out fresh food\, which swings with weather and harvests\, to give a cleaner read on underlying price trends. A further measure\, sometimes called “core-core” CPI\, also excludes energy\, isolating price pressure that has little to do with volatile oil and gas costs. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) watches the core (ex fresh food) figure most closely when setting interest rates. \nInvestors\, currency traders and the BOJ itself use the release to judge whether inflation is settling near the central bank’s 2% target on a durable basis\, or whether it is being driven by temporary factors such as import costs or subsidy changes. Because Japan spent decades battling deflation\, sustained inflation above target is treated as a genuinely significant shift\, not routine noise. \nWhen is the August Japan CPI released?\nThe Statistics Bureau of Japan will publish the August 2026 CPI report on Friday\, September 18\, 2026\, at 8:30 am local time. The data appears on the bureau’s official website. For readers outside Japan\, that is 7:30 pm Eastern Time the previous evening (September 17) and 12:30 am in London on September 18\, so European and American markets react to the numbers overnight or first thing the next morning depending on their time zone. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the August 2026 report has not yet been published. Economist surveys from Reuters and Bloomberg typically appear only in the days immediately before release. The most recent published data is for July 2026\, when the Statistics Bureau reported headline CPI at 1.9% year-on-year and core CPI (ex fresh food) at 1.8% year-on-year\, both up from June\, according to Investing.com. The core-core measure\, which excludes fresh food and energy\, rose to 1.9% year-on-year in July\, according to Trading Economics. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI (YoY)\n1.9%\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore CPI\, ex fresh food (YoY)\n1.8%\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore-core CPI\, ex fresh food and energy (YoY)\n1.9%\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nYen could strengthen and Japanese government bond yields could rise if traders see this as supporting further Bank of Japan rate hikes\nPrices are rising faster than expected\, adding pressure on the BOJ to keep tightening policy\, which can make borrowing costlier at home but may attract investors seeking higher Japanese yields\n\n\nIn line with prior trend\nMuted reaction\, as this would confirm the gradual pickup in inflation seen since spring\, described by Trading Economics as broadening price pressure\nInflation is behaving roughly as expected\, so the BOJ is unlikely to change its cautious\, gradual approach to rate decisions\n\n\nBelow consensus\nYen could soften if markets read this as reducing the urgency for the BOJ to raise rates further\nPrice growth is cooling\, which could ease pressure on household budgets but may also signal weaker demand in the economy\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions based on how similar releases have been discussed by analysts\, not predictions of what will happen in September. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nJapanese inflation has been gradually accelerating through 2026. Core CPI eased to around 1.6% in the spring before picking up to 1.8% in July\, according to data reported by FX.co. Trading Economics attributed part of the July acceleration to higher energy\, food\, and household goods costs\, with government fuel subsidies gradually being scaled back and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East adding pressure to import costs. \nThe Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points (a basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point) in June 2026 to its highest level since 1995\, according to Trading Economics\, its first hike since the previous December. Inflation remaining close to\, but still below\, the BOJ’s 2% target keeps the central bank in a delicate position: too little inflation risks a return to the deflationary pressures Japan battled for decades\, while too much risks squeezing households and businesses that have grown used to low borrowing costs. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nMortgages and borrowing: most Japanese mortgages are variable rate\, so a BOJ that keeps raising interest rates in response to persistent inflation could gradually push up monthly repayments for homeowners in Japan. \nSavings: higher policy rates tend to filter through slowly to Japanese savings accounts\, which have offered near-zero returns for years\, so any further tightening could finally bring modestly better returns for savers. \nJobs and wages: sustained inflation increases pressure on Japanese employers to raise wages to keep pace with living costs\, a dynamic the BOJ is watching closely as a sign that inflation is becoming self-sustaining rather than temporary. \nPrices: higher CPI readings mean everyday costs\, from groceries to utility bills\, are rising faster for households in Japan\, directly affecting spending power. \nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: a firmer yen driven by BOJ rate expectations can affect returns for international investors holding Japanese assets\, while UK\, European and Asian exporters that sell into Japan or compete with Japanese firms watch the yen’s direction closely\, since a stronger yen makes Japanese exports pricier and imports into Japan cheaper. \nRelated events\n\nBank of Japan interest rate decisions\, which respond directly to CPI trends\nTokyo CPI\, a preliminary read on national inflation published roughly three weeks before the national figure\nUS and eurozone inflation releases\, which shape the broader global backdrop against which the yen and other currencies trade\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Japan CPI report released?\nThe Statistics Bureau of Japan releases the CPI at 8:30 am Japan Standard Time\, which is 7:30 pm ET the previous day and 12:30 am in London. \nHow should I read the headline versus core CPI figures?\nHeadline CPI includes all items\, while core CPI excludes fresh food (and sometimes energy too) to show the underlying inflation trend that the Bank of Japan focuses on for policy decisions. \nHow does Japan CPI affect interest rates?\nPersistently high core CPI readings increase the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will raise its policy rate further\, while weaker readings reduce that pressure. \nWhere can I find the official Japan CPI release?\nThe data is published on the Statistics Bureau of Japan’s official CPI page. \nWhen is the next Japan CPI report due?\nThe following month’s CPI report\, covering September 2026 data\, is typically published in the second half of October\, following the Statistics Bureau’s usual release pattern.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/japan-cpi-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=UTC:20260918T000000
DTEND;TZID=UTC:20260918T235959
DTSTAMP:20260825T104625Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104625Z
UID:1258-1789689600-1789775999@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Bank of Japan Rate Decision September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Bank of Japan Rate Decision: Friday\, September 18\, 2026 at 12:00 pm JST (11:00 pm ET\, 4:00 am London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Bank of Japan Rate Decision. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Bank of Japan Rate DecisionNext Bank of Japan Rate Decision →\nThe Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its September 2026 monetary policy decision on Friday\, 18 September 2026. The Policy Board meets over two days (17-18 September)\, with “The Bank’s View” statement released on 18 September. As of June 2026\, the uncollateralized overnight call rate stands at 0.75%\, unchanged since December 2025. The September meeting is a non-Outlook Report meeting\, sitting between the July and October quarterly publications\, but may be pivotal if the July meeting did not deliver a hike and inflation data through the summer continues to support further tightening. \nBank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision: September 18\, 2026\nSeptember’s meeting is the sixth of eight scheduled Bank of Japan monetary policy meetings in 2026. It falls between the July Quarterly Outlook Report meeting and the October Quarterly Outlook Report meeting. While September does not produce a full updated forecast publication\, it can still be the meeting at which the Board decides to move rates if data and conditions support action. \nThe BoJ’s April 2026 decision was marked by a 6-3 vote with three Policy Board members favouring an immediate hike to 1.0%. The Bank’s leadership has consistently described real interest rates as “extremely low” and signalled a continued intent to adjust the “degree of monetary accommodation” in line with evolving economic conditions. The trajectory of Japan’s inflation and wages through the summer months will determine whether September or October becomes the decision point for the next hike. \nWhat to Expect\nBy September\, the Policy Board will have access to CPI data for July and August 2026. Japan’s core CPI has been tracking above 2% through 2026\, and the BoJ’s April forecast projected 2.8% core inflation for fiscal 2026. If summer data confirms this trend\, the Board has strong justification for hiking to 1.0%. If inflation eases meaningfully toward 2% or below\, the Board is more likely to hold and wait for the October Quarterly Outlook Report before making its next move. \nThe labour market will also be a key input. Japan’s job-to-applicant ratio has remained elevated\, and nominal wages have grown meaningfully following the 2026 spring shunto. The BoJ will review these data together with consumption and activity indicators to assess whether the positive wage-price cycle it has been awaiting is genuinely entrenched. \nGlobal conditions will influence September’s decision. The FOMC meets on 15-16 September\, the two days immediately before the BoJ’s 17-18 September meeting. A Federal Reserve hold or cut would be interpreted as a global disinflationary signal and could strengthen the case for the BoJ to hold at September\, while a hike would reinforce the case for action. The yen’s level heading into September will also be a factor: any further weakening would increase imported inflation and add pressure on the BoJ to act. \nRate Decision History\n\n\n\nDate\nDecision\nRate\nVote\n\n\n\n\nApril 2026\nHold\n0.75%\n6-3\n\n\nMarch 2026\nHold\n0.75%\n8-1\n\n\nJanuary 2026\nHold\n0.75%\nMajority\n\n\nDecember 2025\nHike +25bp\n0.75%\nMajority\n\n\nOctober 2025\nHold\n0.50%\nMajority\n\n\nJuly 2025\nHold\n0.50%\nMajority\n\n\nJune 2025\nHold\n0.50%\nMajority\n\n\nJanuary 2025\nHike +25bp\n0.50%\nMajority\n\n\n\nMarket Impact Scenarios\n\nHold at current rate – A hold would be taken as data-dependent caution\, particularly if inflation data from July and August does not clearly support a hike. The yen may weaken modestly. The Nikkei 225 would benefit from yen softness. JGB yields would hold. Markets would immediately shift attention to the October Quarterly Outlook Report meeting as the next potential hike point. A hold at September with no change in forward guidance would be seen as neutral to slightly dovish.\nHike 25bp – A hike to 1.0% (assuming July held) would confirm the BoJ’s commitment to normalisation. The yen would strengthen meaningfully\, JGB yields would rise\, and the Nikkei 225 would likely sell off on yen strength and higher borrowing cost concerns. Global carry trade positions would face pressure. The press statement’s language about further hikes beyond 1.0% would be the primary market driver after the initial reaction to the rate move itself.\nHold with hawkish guidance – A hold accompanied by more explicit language about the conditions for a September or October hike would be taken as directionally hawkish without the immediate market disruption of an actual hike. Yen strengthening and JGB yield increases would be more modest than in a direct hike scenario.\n\nStatement and Press Conference\nAs a non-Quarterly Outlook Report meeting\, the September statement (“The Bank’s View”) will be shorter than the April or July reports. However\, it will still contain the Policy Board’s current assessment of economic and price conditions\, and any changes from the language used in prior statements will be closely analysed by market participants. The Governor will hold a press conference following the announcement. \nParticular attention will be paid to whether the characterisation of inflation changes between July and September: any upgrade from “broadly on track” to “sustainably above 2%” would signal that the Board is closer to the conditions it has set for further normalisation. Any reference to global risks\, including energy prices and geopolitical uncertainty\, would be taken as a signal for a potential hold or delay. \nRelated Events\n\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s September 15-16 decision\, immediately before the BoJ’s September 17-18 meeting\, providing critical context on the US-Japan rate differential.\nBank of England MPC Rate Decision September 2026 – The BoE’s September 17 decision\, on the same day as the BoJ meeting begins\, providing broader global context.\nBank of Japan Rate Decision July 2026 – The preceding BoJ quarterly decision on 31 July\, likely to determine whether September is a pivotal or routine meeting.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nIs September typically a significant meeting for the Bank of Japan?\nSeptember is not a Quarterly Outlook Report meeting\, which means it produces a shorter policy statement rather than the full updated economic projections published in January\, April\, July\, and October. However\, the Bank of Japan can and does move rates at any scheduled meeting based on data. In the current tightening cycle\, whether September is a hike or a hold will depend on the inflation and wage data available at the time of the meeting\, and on the Board’s assessment of global risk. \nWhen is the September 2026 BoJ decision announced?\nThe decision will be released on Friday\, 18 September 2026\, following the two-day meeting on 17-18 September. The announcement typically occurs around midday JST (3:00-4:00 am GMT)\, with the Governor’s press conference following in the afternoon. \nHow does Japan’s core CPI affect the BoJ’s timing of rate hikes?\nThe BoJ uses core CPI (CPI excluding fresh food) as its primary inflation measure\, targeting a sustainable rate of “around 2 percent”. The Bank has stated that it will continue to raise the policy rate as the economy and prices develop in line with its projections. If core CPI remains above 2% on a sustained basis\, driven by both cost-push factors (energy\, imports) and demand-pull factors (wages\, domestic services)\, the Board will feel confident that the conditions for further normalisation are met. A sharp fall in core CPI\, or evidence that the rise is entirely cost-push without wage support\, would justify a pause. \nFeatured image: Photo by Clement Souchet on Unsplash.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/bank-of-japan-rate-decision-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Central Banks & Monetary Policy
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260918T020000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260918T030000
DTSTAMP:20260826T033528Z
CREATED:20260826T033528Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T033528Z
UID:2267-1789696800-1789700400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:UK Retail Sales September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next UK Retail Sales: Friday\, September 18\, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n-0.5% MoM\, +1.6% YoY (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: UK Retail Sales. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nThe UK Retail Sales report for August 2026 is released on September 18\, 2026 at 7:00 am BST (7:00 am London time\, 2:00 am ET) by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The release covers retail sales volumes and values for August 2026\, the most closely watched monthly gauge of consumer spending on the high street and online. Full schedule and background: UK Retail Sales. \nWhat is UK Retail Sales?\nUK Retail Sales measures the volume and value of goods sold by retailers in Great Britain\, covering food stores\, non-food stores (such as clothing\, household goods and department stores) and non-store retailing\, which is mostly online. The ONS builds the figures from a monthly survey of around 5\,000 retailers\, adjusting for seasonal patterns and inflation to produce a “volume” measure that strips out the effect of price changes\, so it reflects how much people are actually buying rather than how much they are spending. \nMarkets watch this release closely because consumer spending accounts for roughly 60% of UK economic output. A run of weak retail figures can signal a slowing economy and add pressure on the Bank of England to consider interest rate cuts\, while stronger than expected spending can raise concerns about inflation staying sticky. \nThe headline figure is the month-on-month percentage change in sales volumes\, seasonally adjusted. Economists and journalists also watch the year-on-year change and a version of the data that excludes fuel\, since petrol price swings can distort the picture of underlying consumer demand. \nWhen is the August UK Retail Sales report released?\nThe ONS publishes the August 2026 retail sales bulletin on Friday\, September 18\, 2026 at 7:00 am London time (7:00 am BST\, 2:00 am ET). The data is published on the ONS website as part of its scheduled release calendar and is free to access at the time of release\, with no embargoed press access for the general public. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the August 2026 UK retail sales report had not yet been published at the time of writing. Forecasts from economists polled by Reuters and other data providers typically appear in the days immediately before the release. \nThe most recent published figures\, for July 2026\, showed retail sales volumes fell 0.5% month-on-month\, in line with market expectations at the time\, according to data compiled by Trading Economics. This followed a downwardly revised 0.7% rise in June 2026. On an annual basis\, sales were up 1.6% in July\, the smallest annual rise in three months\, down from 3.8% in June. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nRetail sales volumes\, month-on-month\n-0.5%\nNot yet published\n\n\nRetail sales volumes\, year-on-year\n+1.6%\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nSterling could firm and gilt yields may edge up if traders see it as reducing the chance of a near-term Bank of England rate cut\nConsumers spent more than expected\, which could suggest the economy is holding up better than feared\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, as the figure would confirm the existing view of a gradually cooling consumer\nSpending is behaving broadly as economists expected\, so the picture for household finances stays much the same\n\n\nBelow consensus\nSterling could soften and traders may add to bets on a Bank of England rate cut\, according to commentary from analysts tracking UK data surprises\nHouseholds pulled back on spending\, a sign that cost-of-living pressures or weaker confidence are weighing on the high street\n\n\n\nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Bank of England watches retail sales as one of several signals on the health of the consumer\, alongside wage growth and inflation. According to Trading Economics\, the July 2026 decline was the first fall in sales since April\, with non-food stores and online retailers pulling back after a burst of early summer promotions and hot weather had pulled demand forward into May and June. Food store sales held up better\, supported by warm weather and World Cup-related spending. \nThis volatility around weather and one-off events like major sporting tournaments makes it harder to read the underlying trend\, which is one reason economists tend to look at the three-month or annual comparison alongside the single month-on-month figure. With UK inflation still running above the Bank of England’s 2% target\, policymakers are watching whether consumer spending cools enough to ease price pressures without tipping the economy into a sharper slowdown. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and savings rates: Weaker than expected retail sales can support the case for Bank of England interest rate cuts\, which would eventually feed through to lower mortgage rates for borrowers coming off fixed deals\, but also lower returns on savings accounts.\nJobs and wages: A sustained slowdown in consumer spending can eventually filter through to retail and hospitality employment\, since these sectors depend directly on footfall and sales volumes.\nPrices: If shoppers pull back sharply\, retailers may respond with more discounting\, which can help cool inflation over time\, benefiting anyone doing a weekly food shop or buying big-ticket items.\nInvestments and pensions: UK-focused equity funds and pension holdings with exposure to retailers and consumer goods companies can move on the day of release\, particularly shares of major supermarkets and high street chains.\nThe pound: Sterling often reacts within minutes of the release against the dollar and euro\, since currency traders use consumer data to gauge the likely path of Bank of England policy relative to the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank.\n\nRelated events\n\nBank of England interest rate decisions\, which weigh consumer spending data heavily when setting rates\nUK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation report\, published separately by the ONS\nUK labour market and wages data\, which together with retail sales gives a fuller picture of household finances\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is UK Retail Sales released?\nThe ONS publishes the release at 7:00 am London time (7:00 am BST)\, which is 2:00 am ET. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe data is published on the ONS release calendar and the main ONS retail sales statistical bulletin page. \nHow does retail sales data affect interest rates?\nThe Bank of England uses consumer spending trends\, alongside inflation and wage data\, to judge whether the economy needs looser or tighter monetary policy\, so a run of weak or strong retail figures can shift expectations for future rate decisions. \nWhat is the difference between the value and volume measures?\nThe value measure shows how much money was spent in cash terms\, while the volume measure adjusts for price changes so it reflects the actual quantity of goods bought\, which is why economists focus on the volume figure. \nWhen is the next UK Retail Sales report released?\nThe ONS publishes retail sales monthly\, typically around the third week of the following month\, so the next report covering September 2026 data is expected around mid-October 2026.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/uk-retail-sales-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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