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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261129T203000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261129T213000
DTSTAMP:20260902T094025Z
CREATED:20260902T094025Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T094025Z
UID:2449-1795984200-1795987800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:China Official PMI November 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next China Official PMI: Monday\, November 30\, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (8:30 pm ET\, 1:30 am London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n50.4 manufacturing / 50.1 non-manufacturing (March 2026\, most recently confirmed)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: China Official PMI. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous China Official PMI\nChina’s Official PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) for November 2026 is due for release on Monday\, November 30\, 2026\, at 9:30 am China Standard Time\, which is 8:30 pm ET on Sunday\, November 29 in the United States and 1:30 am on Monday\, November 30 in London. The figures are published jointly by China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) on the NBS website. The release covers business conditions during November 2026 across manufacturing\, non-manufacturing (services and construction)\, and a composite reading. Full schedule and background: China Official PMI. \nWhat is the China Official PMI?\nThe Purchasing Managers’ Index is a monthly survey of purchasing managers at thousands of enterprises across China\, asking whether business conditions such as new orders\, output\, employment\, prices and delivery times improved\, worsened or stayed the same compared with the previous month. The manufacturing PMI is drawn from roughly 3\,200 manufacturing firms\, according to TrendForce’s DataTrack\, and is weighted across five sub-indices including new orders\, production\, employment\, supplier delivery times and raw material inventories. \nA reading above 50.0 signals that activity is expanding compared with the prior month\, while a reading below 50.0 signals contraction. There is no comparison against a fixed baseline: it is purely a month-on-month diffusion index. The non-manufacturing PMI\, published alongside it\, covers services and construction and is watched closely because services now make up the larger share of China’s economy. \nMarkets watch this release because it is the first hard indicator of Chinese activity for any given month\, arriving days before trade\, credit and industrial output data. Global investors\, particularly those exposed to commodities\, shipping\, and Asian equities\, use it to gauge demand from the world’s second-largest economy. \nWhen is the November PMI released?\nThe November 2026 China Official PMI is scheduled for release on November 30\, 2026\, at 9:30 am local time in Beijing (8:30 pm ET on the preceding US evening\, 1:30 am in London). It is published on the NBS website in both Chinese and English. China typically releases this data on the last calendar day of the reference month\, or the first business day after it\, rather than waiting for the start of the following month like most other economies’ PMIs. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the November 2026 release had not been published at the time of writing; economist estimates from Reuters and Bloomberg polls typically appear in the days immediately before the release date. The most recently confirmed official readings available were for early 2026\, with the manufacturing PMI at 50.4 in March 2026\, up from 49.0 in February 2026\, according to Trading Economics. The specific October and November 2026 prints were not independently verifiable in the sources available for this preview\, so readers should check the official NBS release or a live economic calendar closer to the date for the confirmed prior figure and consensus. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (most recently confirmed)\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nManufacturing PMI\n50.4 (March 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nNon-manufacturing PMI\n50.1 (March 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nRead as a sign that stimulus measures and export demand are gaining traction\, potentially supportive for commodity currencies and Asian equities\nChinese factories and services firms reported stronger business than expected\, which can lift confidence in global growth\n\n\nIn line\nLimited market reaction\, seen as confirmation of the existing trend near the 50 expansion threshold\nThe economy is broadly performing as expected\, neither accelerating nor slowing sharply\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould renew concerns about weak domestic demand and add pressure for further policy support\, a theme frequently flagged by analysts at Trading Economics and other data providers\nBusinesses are reporting weaker conditions than hoped\, which can weigh on commodity prices and sentiment towards China-exposed assets\n\n\n\nWhy does this release matter right now?\nChina’s manufacturing PMI has spent long stretches hovering either side of the 50 threshold through 2025 and into 2026\, reflecting a mix of resilient exports and persistently soft domestic demand. The index fell to 49.0 in October 2025 from 49.8 in September\, according to Trading Economics\, before recovering to 50.1 in December 2025\, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics. Early 2026 saw a dip back into contraction around the Lunar New Year holiday before a rebound to 50.4 in March 2026\, the strongest print in a year\, supported by government spending and export demand tied to global AI-related investment. \nPolicymakers in Beijing use the PMI as one input into decisions on fiscal stimulus and monetary easing\, while foreign central banks and investors treat it as an early gauge of Chinese demand for imported goods\, industrial inputs and commodities. A weak reading tends to reinforce expectations that Beijing will lean further into stimulus\, while a strong reading can ease pressure for additional support. \nRecent China Official PMI readings\n\n\n\nMonth\nManufacturing PMI\nNon-manufacturing PMI\n\n\n\n\nSeptember 2025\n49.8\nn/a\n\n\nOctober 2025\n49.0\nn/a\n\n\nDecember 2025\n50.1\n50.2\n\n\nJanuary 2026\n49.3\nn/a\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n49.0\nn/a\n\n\nMarch 2026\n50.4\n50.1\n\n\n\nSource: National Bureau of Statistics of China and Trading Economics. Some months are omitted where an official non-manufacturing figure was not independently confirmed for this preview. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nMortgages and interest rates: A weak China PMI can push global bond yields lower as investors seek safety\, which can feed through to slightly cheaper fixed mortgage rates in the US\, UK and Europe. A strong reading can have the opposite effect\, nudging yields and borrowing costs up. \nJobs and wages: Manufacturers and exporters in Asia\, Europe and commodity-producing nations such as Australia and Brazil are sensitive to Chinese demand. A run of weak PMI prints can eventually show up as softer hiring at firms that sell machinery\, metals or components into China. \nPrices at home: China is a major buyer of oil\, copper and other raw materials. Stronger Chinese activity tends to support commodity prices\, which can filter into fuel and household goods prices elsewhere; weaker activity can help keep those costs down. \nInvestments and pensions: Chinese and broader Asian equities\, along with commodity-linked stocks and funds held in pensions\, often move on the day of this release. A surprise in either direction can cause short-term volatility in diversified portfolios with exposure to emerging markets. \nCurrencies: The Chinese yuan\, the Australian dollar and other commodity currencies frequently react to PMI surprises\, and moves can spill over into the pound\, euro and dollar through shifts in risk appetite and trade flows. \nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: China Official PMI\, October 2026\nChina’s Caixin manufacturing and services PMIs\, a separate private-sector survey published a day or two after the official figures\nChina trade balance and industrial production data\, typically released in the following weeks\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the China Official PMI released?\nThe November 2026 release is due at 9:30 am China Standard Time on November 30\, 2026\, which is 8:30 pm ET the previous evening and 1:30 am in London. \nHow do I read the PMI number?\nA reading above 50.0 means activity expanded compared with the previous month\, while a reading below 50.0 means it contracted; the further from 50.0\, the stronger the signal. \nDoes the China PMI affect central bank policy elsewhere?\nIt is not a direct input for the Federal Reserve\, Bank of England or European Central Bank\, but sharp swings can influence their assessment of global growth and commodity price pressures\, which feed into inflation forecasts. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe data is published on the National Bureau of Statistics of China website\, with an English-language version typically posted within days of the Chinese release. \nWhen is the next China Official PMI due?\nThe December 2026 reading is expected around the final day of December 2026 or the first business day of January 2027\, following the usual monthly pattern. \n← Previous China Official PMI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/china-official-pmi-november-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261130T204500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261130T214500
DTSTAMP:20260902T094724Z
CREATED:20260902T094724Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T094724Z
UID:2453-1796071500-1796075100@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:China Caixin Manufacturing PMI December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next China Caixin Manufacturing PMI: Tuesday\, December 1\, 2026 at 9:45 am CST (8:45 pm ET\, 1:45 am London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n50.9 (September 2026\, most recent confirmed print at time of writing)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous China Caixin Manufacturing PMI\nThe Caixin China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for November 2026 is scheduled for release on December 1\, 2026\, at approximately 9:45 am China Standard Time\, which is 8:45 pm ET on December 1 in the US and 1:45 am London time on December 2 in the UK. The figures are compiled by S&P Global on behalf of Chinese financial media group Caixin and cover business conditions in China’s manufacturing sector during November 2026. Full schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI. \nWhat is the Caixin Manufacturing PMI?\nThe Caixin Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey-based gauge of activity at Chinese factories. Purchasing managers at more than 500 manufacturing companies are asked whether output\, new orders\, employment\, supplier delivery times and stocks of purchased items have improved\, worsened or stayed the same compared with the previous month. Those answers are combined into a single diffusion index: a reading above 50 signals expansion\, a reading below 50 signals contraction\, and 50 itself marks the boundary between growth and shrinkage. \nUnlike the official manufacturing PMI produced by China’s National Bureau of Statistics\, which leans towards larger\, state-owned firms\, the Caixin survey focuses on small and medium-sized private manufacturers. That makes it a useful cross-check on the health of the private sector\, which employs a large share of China’s workforce and is more exposed to swings in export demand. \nMarkets watch the release closely because China is the world’s second-largest economy and its largest consumer of industrial metals. A weakening Caixin PMI can flag softer demand for commodities\, shipping and components sourced from Asia\, Europe and the Americas\, while a stronger reading can support risk appetite across global equity and currency markets. \nWhen is the November Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?\nThe report is due on December 1\, 2026\, published by S&P Global and Caixin Insight Group on the Caixin website and through S&P Global’s PMI release channels. The Caixin manufacturing survey traditionally appears on the first business day of the month\, immediately after China’s official NBS manufacturing PMI. As with most monthly indicator pages on this calendar\, the exact release date shown here has not yet been formally confirmed by the publisher and is estimated from that established pattern; readers should check the official S&P Global release calendar nearer the time. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the November 2026 Caixin Manufacturing PMI has not yet been published. Analyst estimates for this release typically emerge in the days immediately before publication\, gathered by data providers such as Reuters and Trading Economics as part of their economic calendars. \nThe most recent confirmed print available at the time of writing was the September 2026 reading of 50.9\, which had eased from 51.7 the previous month\, according to TrendForce’s DataTrack service\, which cited slower growth in production and new orders as the pace of China’s recovery cooled. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior confirmed print\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nCaixin Manufacturing PMI\n50.9 (September 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nChange from prior month\nDown from 51.7 (August 2026)\nNot applicable\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nRead as a sign Chinese manufacturers are coping better with soft domestic demand\, potentially lifting sentiment towards Asian equities and commodity-linked currencies\nFactories reported more new orders or output than economists expected\, suggesting the sector is holding up or improving\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, since the number confirms the trend already priced in by investors\nManufacturing conditions changed roughly as expected\, neither a relief nor a fresh worry\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould add to concerns about China’s growth momentum\, an outcome commentators such as those at TrendForce have linked to sluggish domestic demand and calls for more infrastructure spending\nFactories reported weaker conditions than forecast\, which may renew pressure on Beijing to support the economy\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions described by analysts\, not predictions of how markets will actually move on the day. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nChina’s manufacturing sector has spent much of 2026 hovering close to the 50 boom-or-bust line\, with readings such as the September dip to 50.9 from 51.7 reflecting what TrendForce described as domestic demand dragging on the recovery even as the survey stayed in expansion territory. The official NBS PMI has periodically slipped below 50 during the same period\, according to Investing.com’s economic calendar commentary\, underlining a divergence between the private-sector Caixin survey and the state-focused official gauge. \nInvestors are watching whether Beijing’s infrastructure spending and stimulus measures feed through into stronger new orders\, and whether export demand holds up given ongoing trade tensions. Any renewed weakness in the Caixin PMI would likely intensify calls\, noted in recent commentary\, for further policy support from Chinese authorities. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing costs: a weak Chinese PMI can pull down global bond yields as investors seek safety\, which can feed through to slightly lower mortgage rates in the US\, UK and eurozone\, though the effect is usually modest and indirect.\nSavings: savers are unlikely to see a direct effect\, but persistent weakness in Chinese manufacturing can weigh on the interest rate outlook of central banks whose economies are exposed to Chinese demand.\nJobs and wages: workers in commodity exporting economies such as Australia\, and in manufacturing supply chains across Asia and Europe\, are more exposed to swings in Chinese factory demand than most.\nPrices: a stronger PMI can support commodity prices\, including metals and energy\, which can feed into the cost of goods and fuel for households worldwide.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: the Chinese yuan\, Asian equity markets and commodity-linked currencies such as the Australian dollar tend to react most directly to this release\, with knock-on effects for globally diversified pension funds.\n\nRelated events\n\nChina Caixin Manufacturing PMI\, November 2026\nChina’s official NBS Manufacturing PMI\, usually released the same day\nChina Caixin Services and Composite PMI\, published a few days after the manufacturing survey\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?\nThe November 2026 report is expected around 9:45 am China Standard Time on December 1\, 2026\, which is 8:45 pm ET the same day and 1:45 am London time on December 2. \nHow should I read the PMI number?\nA reading above 50 signals expansion in manufacturing activity compared with the previous month\, while a reading below 50 signals contraction; the further from 50\, the stronger the signal. \nDoes the Caixin PMI affect interest rate decisions?\nIt is not a policy tool itself\, but persistent weakness or strength can influence how central banks and investors assess global growth risks\, indirectly affecting bond yields and rate expectations. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe official figures are published by S&P Global and Caixin Insight Group\, with release dates listed on S&P Global’s PMI release calendar. \nWhen is the next Caixin Manufacturing PMI due?\nThe following report\, covering December 2026\, is typically released on the first business day of January 2027. \n← Previous China Caixin Manufacturing PMI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/china-caixin-manufacturing-pmi-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261201T050000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261201T060000
DTSTAMP:20260826T020620Z
CREATED:20260826T020620Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T020620Z
UID:2229-1796101200-1796104800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Eurozone Flash CPI December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Eurozone Flash CPI: Tuesday\, December 1\, 2026 at 11:00 am CET (5:00 am ET\, 10:00 am London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n3.0% HICP annual inflation (April 2026\, final Eurostat reading); October/November 2026 figures not yet independently verified\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Eurozone Flash CPI. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Eurozone Flash CPI\nThe Eurozone Flash CPI for November 2026 is due on Tuesday\, December 1\, 2026 at 11:00 am CET\, which is 5:00 am ET and 10:00 am London time. The release is published by Eurostat\, the statistical office of the European Union\, and gives the first\, fastest read on how much prices rose across the 20 countries that use the euro during November 2026. Full schedule and background: Eurozone Flash CPI. \nThis is a flash estimate\, meaning it is a rapid calculation based on early\, partial price data\, not the fully audited final figure. Eurostat typically revises the number slightly a few weeks later once complete national data comes in\, though large revisions are unusual. \nWhat is the Eurozone Flash CPI?\nThe flash CPI tracks the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices\, or HICP\, which measures the average change in prices paid by households across the euro area for a fixed basket of goods and services: food\, energy\, housing costs\, transport\, healthcare\, leisure and more. Eurostat calculates it by combining preliminary national inflation data submitted by member states’ statistical offices before their own final figures are ready\, which is why the euro area number often lands before some individual country data is finalised. \nMarkets watch this release closely because it is the main input the European Central Bank (ECB) uses to judge whether inflation is moving towards its 2% target. The headline figure includes volatile items like energy and unprocessed food\, so analysts also watch core inflation\, which strips these out to show the underlying price trend. A basis point\, often shortened to bp\, is one hundredth of a percentage point and is the unit used to describe changes in interest rates that the ECB may set in response to this data. \nBecause the euro is shared by 20 countries with very different local conditions\, from low-inflation Sweden and Denmark to higher-inflation Romania and Bulgaria\, the euro area average can mask sharp differences at the national level. Eurostat publishes country breakdowns alongside the headline figure. \nWhen is the November flash CPI released?\nEurostat is scheduled to release the November 2026 flash estimate on December 1\, 2026 at 11:00 am CET (5:00 am ET\, 10:00 am London). It appears on the Eurostat euro indicators release calendar and is published as a short statistical release on the Eurostat website\, usually followed a few weeks later by the fuller\, revised HICP report that includes more detailed component breakdowns. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAt the time of writing\, a consensus forecast for the November 2026 flash estimate has not yet been published. Economist surveys for this release\, typically compiled by Reuters or Bloomberg in the days before publication\, tend to appear closer to the release date\, so figures may firm up as December 1 approaches. \nThe most recently confirmed Eurostat figures available show that euro area annual inflation was 3.0% in April 2026\, up from 2.6% in March 2026\, according to Eurostat’s official euro indicators release. A year earlier\, in the November 2025 flash estimate\, euro area inflation stood at 2.2%\, up from 2.1% in October 2025. These figures illustrate the general upward drift in euro area inflation through 2026\, though the specific October and November 2026 readings that would normally sit directly ahead of this release were not independently verifiable from public sources at the time this page was written. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nMost recent confirmed reading\nConsensus for November 2026\n\n\n\n\nHeadline annual HICP inflation\n3.0% (April 2026\, final)\nNot yet published\n\n\nEU-wide annual inflation\n3.2% (April 2026\, final)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nCould be read as a sign the ECB may hold interest rates higher for longer\, since policymakers watch inflation prints closely when deciding on rates\nPrices are rising faster than expected\, which could keep borrowing costs elevated and squeeze household budgets further\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLikely limited market reaction\, as traders would see this as confirming the existing policy path\nInflation is behaving broadly as expected\, so no major surprises for mortgage rates or savings in the near term\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould support expectations of interest rate cuts or a pause in tightening from the ECB\nPrices are rising more slowly than feared\, which could eventually feed through to lower borrowing costs\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities based on how markets have typically reacted to inflation surprises\, not predictions of what will happen on December 1\, 2026. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe ECB has repeatedly stated that its policy decisions are data dependent\, meaning each new inflation reading feeds directly into its assessment of whether interest rates need to rise\, fall or stay unchanged to keep inflation near its 2% medium-term target. Eurostat’s own release calendar and data show that euro area inflation rose over the course of 2026\, moving from 2.2% in the November 2025 flash estimate to 3.0% by the final April 2026 reading\, a trend that has kept inflation above the ECB’s target for an extended period. Large gaps between individual eurozone countries\, with rates as low as 0.5% in Sweden and as high as 9.5% in Romania in the April 2026 data\, also complicate the ECB’s task of setting one interest rate for the whole currency bloc. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor anyone with a mortgage in the eurozone\, this release matters because it feeds into the ECB’s interest rate decisions\, which set the base cost of borrowing for banks across the currency area. A higher than expected inflation print could reduce the chances of near-term rate cuts\, keeping variable mortgage repayments higher for longer. A lower print could support hopes of cheaper borrowing in the months ahead. \nSavers with euro-denominated deposit accounts are affected in the opposite direction: higher interest rates generally mean better returns on cash savings\, while a sustained fall in inflation could eventually see banks reduce the rates they pay. \nFor wages and jobs\, persistent high inflation tends to feed into pay negotiations\, as workers and unions push for larger increases to keep pace with the rising cost of living. This in turn can influence how quickly\, or slowly\, the ECB feels able to bring rates down. \nEveryday prices\, from groceries to energy bills\, are the most direct effect: this release simply measures how much they have already changed\, giving households across the eurozone (and by extension trading partners in the UK\, the US and Asia) a read on the direction of living costs. \nFor investors and pension savers\, eurozone inflation surprises can move government bond yields\, the euro’s exchange rate against the pound and dollar\, and stock market sentiment\, since interest rate expectations affect the value of company earnings and future ECB policy. A weaker euro following a soft inflation print\, for instance\, can make imports more expensive for eurozone consumers but cheaper for UK or US buyers of European goods. \nRelated events\n\nEurozone Flash CPI\, November 2026 release\, the previous month’s flash estimate\nThe European Central Bank’s next interest rate decision\, which typically follows the flash CPI release by one to two weeks\nThe US Consumer Price Index report\, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics\, which investors often compare against eurozone inflation trends\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the November 2026 Eurozone flash CPI released?\nEurostat is scheduled to publish the flash estimate on December 1\, 2026 at 11:00 am CET\, which is 5:00 am ET and 10:00 am London time. \nHow should I read the flash CPI figure?\nLook at the annual percentage change first\, then compare it with the prior month and any published consensus forecast; a rise above expectations generally signals stronger price pressure\, while a figure below expectations suggests inflation is cooling. \nHow does this release affect ECB interest rates?\nThe ECB uses inflation data\, including flash CPI estimates\, as one of its main inputs when deciding whether to raise\, lower or hold its key interest rates\, since its mandate is to keep euro area inflation close to 2% over the medium term. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe figures are published directly on the Eurostat euro indicators release calendar and on the Eurostat website under euro area inflation statistics. \nWhen is the next Eurozone flash CPI release?\nEurostat typically publishes the flash estimate on the first business day of the following month\, so the December 2026 flash estimate\, covering that month’s data\, would normally follow in early January 2027. \n← Previous Eurozone Flash CPI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/eurozone-flash-cpi-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261201T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261201T110000
DTSTAMP:20260826T020829Z
CREATED:20260826T020829Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T020829Z
UID:2231-1796119200-1796122800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US ISM Manufacturing PMI December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US ISM Manufacturing PMI: Tuesday\, December 1\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n55.6 (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US ISM Manufacturing PMI. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US ISM Manufacturing PMI\nThe ISM Manufacturing PMI for December 2026 is due to be released on December 1\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time) by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The report covers manufacturing activity for November 2026. Full schedule and background: US ISM Manufacturing PMI. \nWhat is the ISM Manufacturing PMI?\nThe ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a monthly survey of purchasing and supply executives at manufacturing firms across the United States. Respondents from around 400 companies in 18 industries are asked whether business conditions such as new orders\, production\, employment\, supplier deliveries and inventories have improved\, worsened or stayed the same compared with the previous month. \nThose responses are combined into a single diffusion index. A reading above 50 means the manufacturing sector is expanding\, a reading below 50 means it is contracting. The distance from 50 indicates the pace of change\, so a reading of 58 signals faster growth than 52. \nMarkets watch the ISM Manufacturing PMI closely because it is one of the earliest and most reliable monthly indicators of the health of US industry\, arriving before most official government data for the same month. Sub-indices such as New Orders and Prices Paid also give an early read on demand and inflation pressure in supply chains\, which the Federal Reserve monitors when setting interest rates. \nWhen is the December ISM Manufacturing PMI released?\nThe report is scheduled for Tuesday\, December 1\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London)\, published directly by the Institute for Supply Management on its website. The ISM has not yet confirmed this specific date at the time of writing; ISM typically publishes the Manufacturing PMI on the first business day of the month following the survey period\, so December 1\, 2026 is the expected date based on that established pattern. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the November 2026 data (to be published on December 1\, 2026) has not yet been published. Economists’ estimates typically become available in the days immediately before the release\, compiled by outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg from surveys of forecasters. \nThe most recent confirmed reading available at the time of writing is for July 2026. The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 55.6 in July 2026\, up from 53.3 in June 2026\, according to TD Economics’ analysis of the official ISM report\, marking the seventh consecutive month of expansion and the strongest reading since May 2022. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (June 2026)\nLatest confirmed (July 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline PMI\n53.3\n55.6\n\n\nNew Orders Index\n56.0\n56.7\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nRead as a sign of resilient factory demand; could support the dollar and push Treasury yields higher if it feeds expectations that the Fed will hold rates for longer\nFactories are busier than expected\, which can be a good sign for jobs and growth but may also keep borrowing costs elevated\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLikely limited market reaction\, since the data broadly confirms the trend traders had already priced in\nManufacturing is behaving roughly as expected\, so little changes for interest rate expectations\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould be read as a sign of cooling demand\, potentially supporting expectations of interest rate cuts and weighing on the dollar\nFactories are seeing less business than hoped\, which can be a warning sign for jobs and wider economic growth\n\n\n\nThese are possible reactions described by market commentators\, not predictions. Actual moves depend on the wider data picture on the day\, including labour market and inflation releases around the same time. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe ISM Manufacturing PMI has been a closely watched barometer of the US industrial cycle through 2026. According to TD Economics\, the index climbed for seven straight months into July 2026\, with production and new orders both strengthening and 15 of 18 tracked industries reporting expansion. That trend followed an extended period earlier in the expansion where the Employment Index remained below 50\, a point ISM’s Susan Spence highlighted in the June 2026 report when factory hiring intentions were still soft even as overall activity improved. \nInvestors and the Federal Reserve watch this report for signs of whether tariffs\, borrowing costs and global demand are helping or hurting US factories\, and whether price pressures in the Prices Paid sub-index are building or easing. A run of strong prints can shift expectations for how long the Fed keeps interest rates on hold\, while a sudden slowdown can revive talk of rate cuts. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and loans: Manufacturing strength that suggests the economy is running hot can push bond yields up\, which tends to feed through to higher fixed mortgage rates in the US and\, indirectly\, to global borrowing costs. Weak factory data can have the opposite effect.\nSavings: If the report shifts expectations about Federal Reserve interest rate decisions\, it can move the rates banks offer on savings accounts and money market funds in the months ahead.\nJobs and wages: The Employment Index within the report gives an early signal on factory hiring. A weakening trend can be a warning sign for job security in manufacturing-heavy regions and supply chains.\nPrices: The Prices Paid sub-index tracks the cost of raw materials for manufacturers. A sharp rise can be an early sign that inflation pressure is building further down the supply chain\, which can eventually show up in shop prices.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: Equity markets\, particularly industrial and materials shares\, often react to the headline number and New Orders sub-index. A stronger-than-expected US reading can also lift the dollar against the pound and euro\, affecting the value of overseas holdings for UK and European investors\, while a weak reading tends to have the opposite effect.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: US ISM Manufacturing PMI\, November 2026\nFull series schedule and history: US ISM Manufacturing PMI hub page\nRelated US labour market and inflation releases\, including the monthly jobs report and CPI\, are also worth checking around this date for the fuller economic picture\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the December 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI released?\nIt is scheduled for 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm in London\, on December 1\, 2026. \nHow do I read the ISM Manufacturing PMI number?\nA reading above 50 means the manufacturing sector is expanding compared with the previous month\, while a reading below 50 means it is contracting. The further from 50\, the faster the pace of change. \nHow does this report affect interest rates?\nThe Federal Reserve monitors manufacturing activity and price pressures shown in the report’s sub-indices as part of its broader assessment of the economy\, so persistently strong or weak readings can influence expectations for future interest rate decisions. \nWhere can I find the official ISM Manufacturing PMI release?\nThe report is published directly by the Institute for Supply Management on its website\, ismworld.org\, in the ISM PMI Reports section. \nWhere can I find the next ISM Manufacturing PMI released after this one?\nThe following report\, covering December 2026 data\, is expected in early January 2027\, following ISM’s usual pattern of publishing on the first business day of the month. \n← Previous US ISM Manufacturing PMI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-ism-manufacturing-pmi-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261201T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261201T110000
DTSTAMP:20260902T094405Z
CREATED:20260902T094405Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T094405Z
UID:2451-1796119200-1796122800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US JOLTS Job Openings December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US JOLTS Job Openings: Tuesday\, December 1\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). Covers October 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n7.3 million (July 2026\, most recent confirmed reading)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US JOLTS Job Openings. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US JOLTS Job Openings\nThe US JOLTS Job Openings report for October 2026 is released on December 1\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey\, known as JOLTS\, measures how many positions employers were actively trying to fill during the reference month\, alongside hiring and separations. Full schedule and background: US JOLTS Job Openings. \nWhat is the JOLTS job openings report?\nJOLTS is a monthly survey of roughly 21\,000 US business establishments run by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It counts three main flows in the labour market: job openings (unfilled positions employers are actively recruiting for)\, hires (people added to payrolls) and separations\, which splits further into quits\, layoffs and discharges\, and other separations. \nThe headline figure watched by markets is the total number of job openings\, usually expressed in millions\, along with the job openings rate (openings as a share of employment plus openings). A second closely tracked figure is the quits rate\, which economists use as a proxy for worker confidence: people tend to quit more readily when they believe they can find another job easily. \nThe Federal Reserve pays close attention to JOLTS because it captures labour demand before it shows up in the monthly non-farm payrolls report. A wide gap between openings and the number of unemployed workers points to a tight labour market that can put upward pressure on wages and\, eventually\, inflation. \nWhen is the October 2026 JOLTS report released?\nThe BLS publishes the JOLTS release for October 2026 data on Tuesday\, December 1\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time). The full statistical tables and commentary are published on the BLS JOLTS website. JOLTS data run with roughly a two-month lag to the reference month\, which is why the October reading is not published until early December. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the October 2026 release has not yet been published. Polls of economists compiled by outlets such as Dow Jones and Reuters are typically released only in the days immediately before the report\, so figures will need to be checked closer to December 1\, 2026. \nThe most recent confirmed reading at the time of writing is for July 2026: job openings were “little changed at 7.3 million\,” according to the BLS July 2026 JOLTS release. Openings had earlier jumped to 7.618 million in April 2026\, “the highest level since May 2024\,” according to Advisor Perspectives\, before holding around 7.6 million in May. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior reading\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nJob openings (millions)\n7.3 million (July 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nQuits rate\nDown from prior month (July 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nCould be read as a sign of a resilient labour market\, potentially reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates further\, according to analysts who track JOLTS alongside payrolls data\nMore jobs are being advertised than expected\, which can support wage growth but may also keep borrowing costs higher for longer\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nMarkets are likely to treat the release as confirming the existing view of a “low-hire\, low-fire” labour market\, a description used by Oxford Economics economist Matthew Martin\nThe jobs market is neither strengthening nor weakening sharply\, so little changes for interest rate expectations\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould be interpreted as a cooling labour market\, potentially firming expectations for further Fed rate cuts\, according to economists who watch the openings-to-unemployed ratio\nEmployers are advertising fewer jobs\, which can eventually translate into slower hiring and weaker wage growth\n\n\n\nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Federal Reserve has used JOLTS data throughout 2026 to judge whether labour demand is cooling gently or sharply. Openings surged to 7.618 million in April 2026\, the highest level in nearly two years\, before easing back to 7.3 million by July\, described by the BLS as “little changed” month on month. Oxford Economics economist Matthew Martin said in a note on the April data that “the labour market remains mostly stable\,” with both quits and layoffs ticking down\, a pattern typically described as low-hire\, low-fire. \nBecause JOLTS lags the reference month by roughly two months\, the October 2026 report gives the Fed a delayed but still useful cross-check against more timely indicators such as weekly jobless claims and the monthly non-farm payrolls report. Traders in interest rate futures markets use shifts in the openings and quits data\, alongside these other releases\, to adjust the probability they assign to future Fed rate decisions. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing: A weaker-than-expected JOLTS report can nudge US Treasury yields lower\, which sometimes feeds through to US mortgage rates and\, indirectly\, to global bond markets that influence UK and eurozone borrowing costs.\nSavings rates: If the data shift expectations for Fed interest rate cuts\, savings account and money market fund returns in the US could adjust in the following months\, with the direction of savings rates in the UK and eurozone often following a similar pattern with a lag.\nJobs and wages: A falling quits rate suggests workers feel less confident about finding a new role\, which can slow wage growth. This is watched by anyone renegotiating pay or considering a job change\, not just in the US but across economies closely linked to US demand.\nInvestments and pensions: Equity markets\, including those held in workplace pensions\, often react to what JOLTS implies for interest rates rather than the jobs numbers themselves. A soft reading that raises hopes of rate cuts can lift share prices\, while a strong reading can weigh on them.\nCurrencies: Surprises in JOLTS can move the US dollar against the pound and the euro\, since they feed into expectations for the gap between US and other major central bank interest rates.\n\nRelated events\n\nUS JOLTS Job Openings\, November 2026 report (September 2026 data)\nUS non-farm payrolls report\, typically released on the first Friday of the month\nFederal Reserve interest rate decision\, usually held roughly a week or two after the JOLTS release\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the October 2026 JOLTS report released?\nThe BLS publishes the report on December 1\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm London time. \nHow should I read the JOLTS job openings number?\nA rising number of job openings generally signals stronger labour demand\, while a falling number\, alongside a falling quits rate\, tends to signal a cooling labour market. \nHow does JOLTS affect interest rate decisions?\nThe Federal Reserve treats JOLTS as one of several labour market indicators used to judge whether the jobs market is loosening or tightening\, which feeds into its assessment of inflation risk and its interest rate decisions. \nWhere can I find the official JOLTS release?\nThe BLS publishes the full release and data tables on its JOLTS website. \nWhen is the next JOLTS report after this one?\nThe BLS typically publishes JOLTS data roughly a month after this release\, covering the following reference month\, though exact dates depend on the BLS release schedule. \n← Previous US JOLTS Job Openings
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-jolts-job-openings-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261202T050000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261202T060000
DTSTAMP:20260902T143506Z
CREATED:20260902T143506Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T143506Z
UID:2581-1796187600-1796191200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Eurozone Unemployment December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Eurozone Unemployment: Wednesday\, December 2\, 2026 at 11:00 am CET (5:00 am ET\, 10:00 am London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nTo be confirmed by Eurostat closer to release\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Eurozone Unemployment. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Eurozone Unemployment\nEurostat\, the statistical office of the European Union\, releases its monthly euro area unemployment report on Wednesday\, December 2\, 2026\, at 11:00am CET (5:00am ET\, 10:00am London). This release covers the unemployment rate for October 2026\, the labour-market snapshot for the 20 countries that use the euro. Full schedule and background: Eurozone Unemployment. \nThe unemployment rate measures the share of the labour force that is jobless but actively seeking work\, seasonally adjusted so that normal hiring patterns (such as seasonal retail or agricultural work) do not distort the monthly comparison. Eurostat also publishes a breakdown by age group and by member state\, which tends to show wide gaps between economies such as Germany and Spain. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast has not yet been published for this release. Economists surveyed by Reuters and Bloomberg typically publish their median estimate in the days immediately before the release date\, once other euro area labour indicators for October have come through. \nThe euro area unemployment rate has held near historic lows through 2025 and 2026\, broadly in the low 6% range\, according to Eurostat’s release calendar. The exact prior reading for September 2026 will be confirmed in Eurostat’s official statistical release ahead of this report; readers should check Eurostat’s release calendar for the confirmed figure closer to the date. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nUnemployment rate\nTo be confirmed by Eurostat\nNot yet published\n\n\nYouth unemployment\nTo be confirmed by Eurostat\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nEuro softens slightly\, European Central Bank seen more cautious on further rate cuts\nMore people are out of work than expected\, a sign the labour market is cooling\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\nThe labour market is behaving as economists expected\, no major surprise\n\n\nBelow consensus\nEuro can firm modestly\, seen as supportive for consumer spending\nFewer people are unemployed than expected\, a sign hiring remains resilient\n\n\n\nWhy it matters this week\nThe unemployment rate is one of the European Central Bank’s key gauges of how much slack remains in the euro area economy. A tight labour market\, where unemployment stays low\, tends to keep wage growth firmer\, which the ECB watches closely because higher wages can feed into inflation through higher household spending and business costs. \nThis report lands alongside other euro area data in early December\, so investors will also weigh it against inflation and growth figures due around the same time. A weaker than expected reading could add to the case for the ECB to hold or cut interest rates further\, while a stronger reading could reinforce the ECB’s caution about cutting rates too quickly\, according to commentary on the Eurostat release calendar. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor savers and mortgage holders across the euro area\, this report feeds into the broader picture the ECB uses when setting interest rates. If unemployment rises more than expected\, it could support the case for lower borrowing costs over time\, which would eventually filter through to cheaper mortgages and loans\, though usually with a lag of several months. \nFor investors holding European equities or eurozone government bonds\, a weaker labour market can be a double-edged sword: it may support lower interest rates (generally good for bond prices) but can also signal weaker consumer spending\, which weighs on company earnings and pension fund returns. \nFor anyone holding euros against the pound\, dollar or other currencies\, a surprise in either direction can move the exchange rate briefly\, affecting the cost of European holidays\, imported goods\, or money sent abroad\, though the unemployment rate on its own rarely causes large or lasting currency swings. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the December 2026 euro area unemployment report released?\nEurostat publishes the report at 11:00am CET (5:00am ET\, 10:00am London) on Wednesday\, December 2\, 2026. \nWhat would count as a big miss from consensus?\nOnce a consensus is published\, a move of 0.2 percentage points or more away from the median forecast would typically be seen as a significant miss\, since the euro area unemployment rate usually moves in very small increments month to month. \nWhen is the next euro area unemployment report?\nEurostat typically publishes euro area unemployment data on the first business day of the following month\, so the next release covering November 2026 is expected in early January 2027. \nWhere can I find the official prior reading?\nThe confirmed prior month’s figure is published in Eurostat’s official statistical release\, available through the Eurostat release calendar. \n← Previous Eurozone Unemployment
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/eurozone-unemployment-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261202T081500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261202T091500
DTSTAMP:20260902T095018Z
CREATED:20260902T095018Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T095018Z
UID:2457-1796199300-1796202900@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US ADP Employment Report December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US ADP Employment Report: Wednesday\, December 2\, 2026 at 8:15 am ET (1:15 pm London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nNot yet available for this release\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US ADP Employment Report. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US ADP Employment Report\nThe US ADP Employment Report for November 2026 is scheduled for release on Wednesday\, December 2\, 2026 at 8:15am ET (1:15pm London). It is published by ADP Research\, the research arm of payroll processor Automatic Data Processing\, in partnership with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. The report estimates the change in private sector employment across the United States during November 2026. Full schedule and background: US ADP Employment Report. \nBecause ADP has not yet confirmed the exact release date this far in advance\, this page uses the standard pattern: ADP typically publishes its national employment report on the first Wednesday of the month\, two days ahead of the US government’s official jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. If ADP shifts the date closer to the time\, this page will be updated. \nWhat is the ADP Employment Report?\nThe ADP National Employment Report measures the month-on-month change in private sector jobs in the United States\, using anonymised payroll data from roughly 25 million workers processed through ADP’s own systems. Unlike the government’s non-farm payrolls report\, it does not survey businesses directly. Instead\, it draws on real payroll transactions\, which supporters say makes it a faster\, more direct read on hiring\, though the two series can diverge sharply in any given month. \nThe headline figure is the net number of private jobs added or lost during the reference month. ADP also breaks the data down by company size\, industry sector and\, in some months\, pay growth for job stayers and job switchers. Markets watch the report closely because it lands two days before the official non-farm payrolls figure and offers an early\, if imperfect\, signal of labour market momentum. \nThe Federal Reserve tracks employment data as one half of its dual mandate\, alongside price stability\, so a report that hints at cooling or reheating hiring can shift expectations for interest rate decisions. A weaker-than-expected ADP print can raise hopes of rate cuts\, while a stronger one can push back against them. \nWhen is the November 2026 ADP report released?\nADP is expected to publish the November 2026 report on December 2\, 2026 at 8:15am ET (1:15pm London)\, on the ADP Research website and through data terminals such as Bloomberg and Refinitiv. As noted above\, this date has not been formally confirmed by ADP and is based on the usual first-Wednesday-of-the-month pattern; readers should treat it as indicative until ADP’s own calendar confirms it. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast has not yet been published for the November 2026 ADP report. Economist surveys from outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg are typically compiled only in the days immediately before release\, so figures will not be available this far ahead. The most recently published prior reading was also not available through the sources checked for this preview. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nPrivate payrolls\, net change\nNot yet available\nNot yet published\n\n\nPay growth\, job stayers\nNot yet available\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nCould be read as a sign of resilient hiring\, potentially reducing expectations of near-term Fed rate cuts\nMore jobs were added than expected\, suggesting businesses are still confident enough to hire\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLikely to have limited market impact on its own\nThe labour market is behaving broadly as economists expected\, with no major surprise\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould be read as a sign of a cooling labour market\, potentially supporting expectations of rate cuts\nFewer jobs were added than expected\, which could point to businesses becoming more cautious about hiring\n\n\n\nThese are possible interpretations only\, not predictions. Analysts caution that ADP’s monthly figures have at times diverged meaningfully from the official non-farm payrolls report released two days later by the Bureau of Labor Statistics\, so any single print should be read with care. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nInvestors and policymakers use ADP’s report as an early gauge of whether the US labour market is cooling\, holding steady\, or reheating ahead of the official government jobs data. The Federal Reserve weighs employment trends alongside inflation when setting interest rates\, so a run of weak or strong ADP prints can shift market pricing for future rate decisions well before the official data confirms the picture. Because the report lands so close to other major US releases in early December\, it often sets the tone for how traders interpret the rest of that week’s data. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and loans: Signs of a cooling US labour market can lower expectations for future interest rates\, which may feed through into cheaper mortgage and loan pricing over time\, including for buyers outside the US who track dollar borrowing costs.\nSavings rates: If the data supports expectations of Fed rate cuts\, savers holding cash in interest-bearing accounts could eventually see lower returns as rates fall.\nJobs and wages: A weak reading can be an early warning sign for hiring more broadly\, including in sectors linked to US demand such as exporters in Europe and Asia.\nPrices: A tight labour market with strong pay growth can keep inflation pressures elevated\, which matters for the cost of everyday goods well beyond the United States.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: Equity markets and the dollar often move on labour market surprises. A weaker print can weigh on the dollar against the pound and euro\, while a stronger print can support it\, affecting the value of international pensions and investment holdings.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: US ADP Employment Report\, November 2026\nThe official US non-farm payrolls report\, typically released two days after ADP’s figures\nUS weekly initial jobless claims\, a more frequent gauge of labour market conditions\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the ADP employment report released?\nThe report is scheduled for 8:15am ET\, which is 1:15pm in London\, though the exact December 2026 date has not yet been formally confirmed by ADP. \nHow should I read the ADP number?\nFocus on the direction and size of the net change in private jobs\, and compare it with the prior month’s figure and any published consensus forecast\, rather than treating it as a precise measure on its own. \nDoes the ADP report affect interest rate decisions?\nIt is one of several employment indicators the Federal Reserve considers\, and a surprising reading can shift market expectations for rate decisions\, though it rarely changes policy by itself. \nWhere can I find the official ADP release?\nThe report is published on the ADP Research website and distributed to major financial data providers at the scheduled release time. \nWhen is the next ADP employment report?\nADP typically publishes its next report on the first Wednesday of the following month\, covering data for December 2026. \n← Previous US ADP Employment Report
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-adp-employment-report-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261203T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261203T093000
DTSTAMP:20260902T095145Z
CREATED:20260902T095145Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T095145Z
UID:2459-1796286600-1796290200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Initial Jobless Claims: December 3\, 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday\, December 3\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nSee November 19\, 2026 report\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims\nThe US Initial Jobless Claims report for the week ending November 28\, 2026 is due on Thursday\, December 3\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). It is published by the US Department of Labor and is one of the most timely gauges of the American labour market\, counting how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time in the previous week. Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAt the time of writing\, a consensus forecast for this specific week has not yet been published. Economists surveyed by Reuters and Bloomberg typically publish their weekly claims estimates only a day or two before release\, once more recent labour-market data is available. The prior week’s reading\, covering the week ending November 19\, 2026\, is available in the November 19\, 2026 report\, and readers should check that page for the latest confirmed figure and its associated four-week moving average. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nInitial claims\nSee November 19\, 2026 report\nNot yet published\n\n\nContinuing claims\nSee November 19\, 2026 report\nNot yet published\n\n\n4-week moving average\nSee November 19\, 2026 report\nNot applicable\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nBond yields may fall\, dollar could soften\, on rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts\nMore people are losing jobs or struggling to find new ones than expected\, a sign the labour market is weakening\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nMuted market reaction\, since traders had already priced in this outcome\nThe labour market is behaving broadly as economists expected\, with no fresh surprises\n\n\nBelow consensus\nYields could rise and the dollar may firm\, as a tight jobs market reduces the case for near-term rate cuts\nFewer people are filing for benefits than expected\, suggesting employers are still holding onto staff\n\n\n\nBasis points (bp) is a unit equal to one hundredth of a percentage point\, commonly used to describe interest rate moves. Consensus refers to the average forecast among economists polled by news organisations such as Reuters or Bloomberg ahead of a data release. \nWhy it matters this week\nWeekly claims data feed directly into how investors judge the health of the US labour market\, which in turn shapes expectations for Federal Reserve policy. A sustained rise in claims tends to support the case for interest rate cuts\, while a run of low readings can push back against that view. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis\, claims data is tracked closely alongside continuing claims and the four-week moving average\, which smooths out weekly noise caused by holidays\, seasonal hiring and one-off layoff announcements. \nBecause the report lands in early December\, close to the holiday shopping season\, seasonal adjustment factors can be less reliable than usual\, and analysts often caution against reading too much into a single week’s number. The trend over several weeks tends to matter more than any individual release. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor savers\, a weaker-than-expected claims report can nudge markets toward pricing in earlier or larger Federal Reserve interest rate cuts\, which over time tends to reduce the returns on savings accounts and money market funds. For borrowers\, the same data can flow through to mortgage rates\, since long-term borrowing costs often track expectations for where the Fed is heading. \nFor anyone holding shares or pension funds invested in equities\, a labour market that is cooling too quickly can unsettle stock markets even as it raises hopes of rate cuts\, because it raises the risk of a broader economic slowdown. A resilient claims report\, by contrast\, tends to support confidence in continued spending and corporate earnings\, though it can also delay hoped-for rate cuts. \nThe report can also move the value of the dollar against the pound and the euro. A weak US jobs picture can weigh on the dollar\, making US holidays\, imports and dollar-denominated investments slightly cheaper for UK and European households\, while a strong labour market can have the opposite effect. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the December 3\, 2026 jobless claims report released?\nThe report is released at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm in London\, on Thursday\, December 3\, 2026. \nWhat counts as a big miss on jobless claims?\nThere is no fixed threshold\, but a move of more than around 20\,000 to 30\,000 claims away from the consensus forecast\, once published\, is generally viewed by traders as a significant surprise. \nWhen is the next jobless claims report?\nInitial jobless claims are released every Thursday by the US Department of Labor\, so the next report covering the following week is due on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026. \n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-initial-jobless-claims-december-3-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261203T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261203T110000
DTSTAMP:20260902T095319Z
CREATED:20260902T095319Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T095319Z
UID:2461-1796292000-1796295600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US ISM Services PMI December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US ISM Services PMI: Thursday\, December 3\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nA consensus forecast has not yet been published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US ISM Services PMI. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US ISM Services PMI\nThe US ISM Services PMI for November 2026 is scheduled for release on Thursday\, December 3\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London)\, published by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The report covers business activity in the services sector\, which accounts for the majority of US economic output\, during November 2026. Full schedule and background: US ISM Services PMI. \nWhat is the ISM Services PMI?\nThe ISM Services PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is a monthly survey of purchasing and supply executives across the US services sector\, covering industries such as finance\, healthcare\, retail\, transport and hospitality. It is compiled from responses on business activity\, new orders\, employment\, supplier deliveries and prices\, and combined into a single headline number. \nA reading above 50 signals that the services sector\, taken as a whole\, is expanding compared with the previous month. A reading below 50 signals contraction. Because services make up around three quarters of US private-sector activity\, the index is one of the most closely watched gauges of the health of the broader economy\, alongside its manufacturing counterpart. \nInvestors\, economists and central bankers watch the report because it arrives early in the month and gives one of the first readings on how the economy performed\, well before slower official data such as GDP. Markets in Europe and Asia also react to the release because a strong or weak US services sector affects global demand\, US interest rate expectations and\, in turn\, currency and bond markets worldwide. \nWhen is the November ISM Services PMI released?\nThe report is expected on Thursday\, December 3\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London)\, published directly by the Institute for Supply Management on its website. ISM has not yet confirmed this specific date at the time of writing. ISM typically publishes the Services PMI on the first\, second or third business day of the month following the survey period\, so the December 3 date reflects that usual pattern rather than a confirmed release calendar entry. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the November 2026 ISM Services PMI has not yet been published. Economist surveys from data providers such as Reuters and Bloomberg are typically compiled only in the days immediately before release\, and the prior reading for November 2026 (the October 2026 report\, published in early November) had also not yet been released at the time this preview was written. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nHeadline Services PMI\nNot yet available\nNot yet published\n\n\nNew Orders Index\nNot yet available\nNot yet published\n\n\nEmployment Index\nNot yet available\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nOnce economists’ estimates are published\, typically in the week before release\, this page will be updated with the prior reading and the consensus figure\, both sourced from the official ISM release and reputable polling data. \nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nSeen as a sign of resilient services activity\, which economists surveyed by Bloomberg often link to reduced expectations of near-term interest rate cuts\nThe services side of the economy\, where most people work\, is holding up better than expected\, which can support wages but keep borrowing costs higher for longer\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nTypically produces limited market reaction\, as analysts note the data confirms the existing view of the economy\nThe economy is behaving broadly as expected\, so there is little new information for households or investors to react to\n\n\nBelow consensus\nOften interpreted by economists as a sign of a slowing services sector\, which can raise expectations that the Federal Reserve may ease policy sooner\nWeaker demand for services could point to a softer jobs market and slower growth\, which sometimes brings mortgage and loan rates down over time\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions based on how similar releases have historically been read by analysts\, not predictions of the actual outcome. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Federal Reserve monitors services sector data closely because it captures where most American jobs and consumer spending activity sit\, distinct from the smaller and more volatile manufacturing sector. Recent ISM Services readings have been watched for signs of whether elevated borrowing costs and sticky inflation are cooling demand for services such as travel\, healthcare and financial services\, or whether the sector continues to expand despite tighter monetary policy. \nAny material change in the trend of this index\, either an unexpected acceleration or a sharper slowdown\, tends to move expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision\, which in turn affects Treasury yields\, the dollar and\, by extension\, other currencies including the pound and the euro. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and loans: A stronger than expected services reading can push up expectations that interest rates will stay higher for longer\, which tends to keep mortgage and loan rates elevated. A weaker reading can have the opposite effect over time.\nSavings: If the data supports higher rates for longer\, savers holding cash in interest-bearing accounts may continue to earn relatively attractive returns\, though this can change quickly if the outlook shifts.\nJobs and wages: Because services employ the bulk of the US workforce\, sustained weakness in this index can be an early warning of a softer jobs market\, which matters for wage growth and job security.\nInvestments and pensions: Equity markets\, including those held in pensions and index funds\, often react to surprises in this data because it feeds into expectations for corporate earnings and interest rates.\nCurrencies: A surprise in either direction can move the dollar against the pound and the euro\, affecting the cost of imports\, the price of holidays abroad and returns on overseas investments for UK and European investors.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: US ISM Services PMI\, November 2026\nISM Manufacturing PMI\, typically released a few business days earlier in the same week\nUS nonfarm payrolls report\, usually released the Friday of the same week\, which offers a complementary read on the labour market\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the ISM Services PMI released?\nThe report is released at 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm in London\, on the scheduled release day. \nHow do I read the ISM Services PMI number?\nA figure above 50 indicates the services sector is expanding compared with the previous month\, while a figure below 50 indicates contraction. \nHow does this report affect interest rates?\nCentral banks\, including the Federal Reserve\, use this data as one input among many when assessing economic momentum\, so a surprise reading can shift market expectations for future interest rate decisions\, though it rarely changes policy on its own. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe official report is published directly by the Institute for Supply Management on its website\, ismworld.org. \nWhen is the next ISM Services PMI released?\nThe following report\, covering December 2026 data\, is typically published on the first few business days of January 2027\, in line with ISM’s usual monthly schedule. \n← Previous US ISM Services PMI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-ism-services-pmi-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261204T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261204T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104558Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104558Z
UID:1295-1796373000-1796376600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls): Friday\, December 4\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls). \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls)\nThe US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Employment Situation report for November 2026 on Friday\, December 4\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report will be the final major labour market data point before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on December 9\, 2026\, for the last rate decision of the year. \n\n  At a Glance \n\nRelease date: Friday\, December 4\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. ET\nPublishing body: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\nReference month: November 2026\nMost recent reading: +172\,000 jobs\, unemployment 4.3% (May 2026)\nMarket impact: High\n\n\nWhat is the Employment Situation Report?\nThe Employment Situation is the most closely watched monthly economic release in the United States\, published by the BLS on the first Friday of each month. It covers two separate surveys: the establishment survey (non-farm payroll employment and average hourly earnings) and the household survey (unemployment rate and labour force participation). Together\, they form the most comprehensive monthly snapshot of the US labour market. \nThe headline non-farm payrolls (NFP) figure measures the net change in employment across all non-agricultural industries. Beyond the headline\, analysts examine the unemployment rate\, wage growth\, labour force participation\, and revisions to prior months. \nThe December 2026 release covers November 2026 employment data\, arriving just five days before the FOMC’s year-end meeting. \nUS Employment Situation Release: December 4\, 2026\nThe December 4 release will provide the final major labour market snapshot of 2026\, covering November employment. This report takes on exceptional significance because it falls just five days before the FOMC’s December 9 meeting\, leaving almost no time for the data to be fully absorbed before the rate decision. The most recent reading showed +172\,000 jobs in May 2026\, above the forecast of 85\,000\, with unemployment at 4.3%. \nBy December\, the US labour market will have had a full year of 2026 data accumulated. Whether the recovery from 2025’s extreme weakness (averaging just 15\,000 jobs per month) has been sustained through the year\, or whether the cumulative impact of elevated interest rates has begun to crimp hiring\, will be fully visible by November’s data. Consensus forecasts will be available closer to the release. \nWhy This Employment Report Matters\nThe December 4 release is perhaps the highest-impact NFP of the entire year precisely because of its timing. With the FOMC convening five days later\, a significant surprise in either direction will trigger an immediate repricing of December rate expectations. The BLS will not release another major labour market report before the December 9 FOMC decision. \nThe November payrolls figure will form part of a final pre-meeting data package alongside the December 10 CPI (though this comes the day after the FOMC) and the November PCE data due November 25. If the November NFP shows the labour market has significantly cooled\, the case for a December rate cut becomes much stronger. Conversely\, a robust payrolls print could push the Fed to hold\, deferring any easing to 2027. \nFor year-end financial markets\, the December 4 NFP is also significant in the context of portfolio rebalancing. Institutional investors making final positioning decisions for 2026 will watch the report closely\, and any significant surprise could trigger larger-than-usual moves as investors adjust their 2027 outlooks. \nWhat to Watch For\n\nAbove consensus: A strong reading above expectations would significantly reduce the probability of a December rate cut and could push the first 2027 cut to March or later. Treasury yields would rise\, the US dollar would strengthen\, and equities could face selling pressure as rate-cut expectations are pushed back into the new year.\nIn line with consensus: A reading matching expectations would keep the December FOMC decision dependent on the full data picture\, including November PCE data released on November 25. The FOMC statement and press conference language would carry more weight than the NFP data in this scenario.\nBelow consensus: A weak reading\, particularly if accompanied by a rising unemployment rate\, would strongly increase the probability of a December cut and potentially put a 50 basis point reduction on the table. Bonds and equities would rally in anticipation of easing; the US dollar would weaken. This outcome would represent a significant turn in the labour market narrative.\n\nGiven the report’s proximity to the FOMC meeting\, even a modest surprise in either direction could generate outsized market moves. Liquidity also begins to thin in early December as the holiday trading period approaches\, which may amplify reactions. \nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nMonth\nJobs Added\nUnemployment Rate\n\n\n\n\nMay 2026\n+172\,000\n4.3%\n\n\nApril 2026 (revised)\n+179\,000\n4.3%\n\n\nMarch 2026 (revised)\n+185\,000\n4.3%\n\n\nJanuary 2026\n+130\,000\n4.4%\n\n\nMay 2025\n+139\,000\n—\n\n\nJanuary 2025\n+143\,000\n—\n\n\n\nSource: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Revised figures as of the June 2026 release. 2025 data reflects a period of significantly subdued job growth averaging approximately 15\,000 per month. \nMarket Positioning\nThe December 4 NFP arrives as investors are setting year-end positions and looking ahead to 2027 strategy. The combination of the December 4 employment report\, the December 9 FOMC meeting\, and the December 10 CPI will constitute one of the most data-dense weeks of the year. Markets will be sensitive to all three releases in rapid succession\, with the cumulative effect shaping the risk environment into the new year. \nYear-end positioning considerations amplify volatility around this release. Portfolio managers closing the year may use a strong or weak NFP to catalyse final adjustments\, meaning the market reaction could be disproportionate to the actual data versus expectations gap. \nRelated Events\n\nFOMC Rate Decision December 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s final rate decision of 2026 on December 9\, just five days after this release\, making this one of the most consequential NFP reports of the year.\nUS CPI Report December 2026 – The November 2026 inflation reading on December 10\, completing the macro data picture alongside this employment report.\nRBA Rate Decision December 2026 – The Reserve Bank of Australia’s December meeting on December 8\, the day before the FOMC\, providing a global central bank context for year-end monetary policy.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the December NFP cover?\nThe December 2026 Employment Situation report covers labour market activity during November 2026\, including the number of jobs added or lost\, the unemployment rate\, average hourly earnings\, and labour force participation. The report covers both the establishment survey (payrolls) and the household survey (unemployment). \nWhen is the December 2026 NFP released?\nThe December 2026 Employment Situation report will be released on Friday\, December 4\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers labour market activity during November 2026. \nWhy is the December NFP particularly market-sensitive?\nThe December 4 release comes just five days before the FOMC rate decision on December 9\, making it the final major labour market reading before the Fed’s last 2026 policy decision. Combined with year-end positioning by institutional investors and thinning holiday liquidity\, any significant payrolls surprise is likely to generate an amplified market reaction across bonds\, equities\, and the US dollar. \nFeatured image: Photo by Zoshua Colah on Unsplash.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-employment-situation-non-farm-payrolls-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261204T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261204T093000
DTSTAMP:20260826T021222Z
CREATED:20260826T021222Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T021222Z
UID:2233-1796373000-1796376600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Canada Labour Force Survey December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Canada Labour Force Survey: Friday\, December 4\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n6.7% unemployment (February 2026\, latest verified reading)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Canada Labour Force Survey. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Canada Labour Force Survey\nStatistics Canada publishes the Labour Force Survey for December 2026 on Friday\, December 4\, 2026\, at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). The release covers the reference week for November 2026 and reports the national unemployment rate\, employment change\, wages and hours worked. Full schedule and background: Canada Labour Force Survey. \nWhat is the Labour Force Survey?\nThe Labour Force Survey (LFS) is Statistics Canada’s monthly household survey of roughly 56\,000 households. It is the official source of Canada’s unemployment rate\, employment level and participation rate\, and it is the Canadian equivalent of the US non-farm payrolls report. Interviewers ask a rotating sample of Canadians about their work status during a specific reference week\, then Statistics Canada seasonally adjusts the results and publishes them as “The Daily”. \nThe headline figures are the unemployment rate (the share of the labour force that is out of work and actively looking)\, the net change in employment (jobs added or lost since the previous month) and the participation rate (the share of the working-age population either working or looking for work). Analysts also watch full-time versus part-time job creation and average hourly wage growth\, because these details show whether new jobs are secure and well paid. \nThe Bank of Canada uses the LFS\, alongside inflation data\, to judge how much slack remains in the economy when it sets its overnight interest rate. A weakening labour market with rising unemployment tends to support the case for cutting rates\, while resilient job growth can keep the central bank cautious about easing further. \nWhen is the December Labour Force Survey released?\nStatistics Canada releases the report at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time) on Friday\, December 4\, 2026\, through its “The Daily” bulletin on the StatCan website. The LFS is normally published on the first Friday of each month and covers data collected in the reference week of the previous month\, so the December release reports on labour market conditions in November 2026. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of publication\, a consensus forecast for the December 2026 release (covering November 2026) has not yet been published. Economists’ median estimates for unemployment rate and job change are typically compiled by Reuters and Bloomberg in the days immediately before the release\, once StatCan payroll and vacancy data for the reference month are available. Check back closer to December 4\, 2026 for the latest survey of forecasters. \nThe most recent confirmed reading available is the February 2026 report\, which showed the unemployment rate at 6.7%\, up from 6.5% in January 2026\, according to Trading Economics. The table below tracks the unemployment rate over the six most recent verified prints. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior print\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nUnemployment rate\n6.7% (February 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nNet employment change\n-84\,000 (February 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus (stronger jobs\, lower unemployment)\nMarkets could trim expectations for a Bank of Canada rate cut\, and the Canadian dollar could firm against the US dollar and the euro\nMore people are working and earning\, which tends to support consumer spending\, though it can also mean borrowing costs stay higher for longer\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nA muted reaction is likely\, with the Bank of Canada’s rate path left broadly unchanged\nThe labour market is behaving roughly as expected\, so mortgage and savings rates are unlikely to move much on this data alone\n\n\nBelow consensus (weaker jobs\, higher unemployment)\nMarkets could increase bets on a Bank of Canada rate cut\, and the Canadian dollar could soften\nFewer jobs or rising unemployment can point to a slowing economy\, which sometimes leads to lower borrowing costs down the line but also signals more households facing job insecurity\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions cited for illustration\, not predictions. Actual moves depend on the scale of any surprise and on other data released around the same time\, including US employment figures and Canadian inflation readings. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nCanada’s unemployment rate spent much of 2025 climbing from just over 6% to a four-year high of 7.1% in September 2025\, before easing to 6.9% in October and 6.5% in November as employment rose for two consecutive months\, according to Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey release for November 2025. The rate then ticked back up to 6.8% in December 2025 as more people searched for work\, per Statistics Canada’s December 2025 Daily bulletin\, before falling to a 16-month low of 6.5% in January 2026 and rising again to 6.7% in February 2026 as employment fell by roughly 84\,000\, according to Trading Economics. \nStatistics Canada has noted that 2025’s labour market faced headwinds “in part due to the economic uncertainty introduced by the threat or imposition of tariffs on exports to the United States”. The Bank of Canada is watching whether that trade-related drag continues to show up in construction\, manufacturing and export-linked sectors\, or whether hiring in health care\, retail and services keeps offsetting it. Each LFS print through 2026 will help the central bank judge whether the labour market is cooling gradually or losing momentum more sharply\, which feeds directly into its interest rate decisions. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: A weaker jobs report tends to raise the odds of a Bank of Canada rate cut\, which can eventually lower variable mortgage rates and lines of credit for Canadian borrowers. A stronger report can do the opposite\, keeping borrowing costs higher for longer.\nSavings: Interest paid on savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates tends to move in the same direction as the Bank of Canada’s policy rate\, so a softer labour market that points to future rate cuts can mean lower returns on cash savings over time.\nJobs and wages: The headline employment change and wage growth figures give the clearest read on whether it is getting easier or harder to find work\, and whether pay rises are keeping pace with the cost of living.\nInvestments and pensions: Canadian equities and bonds can react to surprises in either direction\, since a cooling labour market often supports bond prices (lower yields) while a resilient one can support bank and consumer-facing stocks.\nCurrencies: A weaker-than-expected report can pressure the Canadian dollar lower against the US dollar\, the pound and the euro\, which affects the cost of imports\, cross-border travel and returns for UK and European investors holding Canadian assets.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: Canada Labour Force Survey\, November 2026\nFull series background and schedule: Canada Labour Force Survey hub page\nUS non-farm payrolls\, typically released the same week\, offers a comparable read on the North American labour market\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Canada Labour Force Survey released?\nStatistics Canada releases the report at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm in London\, on Friday\, December 4\, 2026. \nHow do I read the unemployment rate figure?\nThe unemployment rate is the share of the labour force without a job who are actively looking for one. A rising rate generally signals a cooling job market\, while a falling rate signals a tightening one. \nHow does this report affect Bank of Canada interest rate decisions?\nThe Bank of Canada weighs labour market slack alongside inflation when setting its overnight rate. Persistent job losses or a rising unemployment rate can support the case for interest rate cuts\, while strong\, sustained hiring can argue for holding rates steady. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe report is published on Statistics Canada’s website under “The Daily” and in table 14-10-0287-01 of its data tables. \nWhen is the next Labour Force Survey released?\nStatistics Canada typically releases the LFS on the first Friday of each month\, so the following report covering December 2026 data is expected in early January 2027. \n← Previous Canada Labour Force Survey
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/canada-labour-force-survey-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261207T185000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261207T195000
DTSTAMP:20260902T095518Z
CREATED:20260902T095518Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T095518Z
UID:2463-1796669400-1796673000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Japan GDP December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Japan GDP: Tuesday\, December 8\, 2026 at 8:50 am JST (6:50 pm ET\, 11:50 pm London). Covers Q3 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nQ2 2026: +1.1% annualized (second preliminary\, revised down from Q1's +1.8%)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Japan GDP. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Japan GDP\nJapan’s second preliminary (revised) gross domestic product report for the July to September 2026 quarter is due on Tuesday\, December 8\, 2026\, at 8:50 am Japan Standard Time\, which is 6:50 pm ET on Monday\, December 7 and 11:50 pm in London the same evening. The figures are published by Japan’s Cabinet Office through its Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). Full schedule and background: Japan GDP. \nWhat is Japan’s GDP report?\nGross domestic product measures the total value of goods and services produced in an economy over a set period. Japan’s Cabinet Office publishes GDP for each quarter twice: a “first preliminary” estimate roughly six weeks after the quarter ends\, followed by this “second preliminary” release around six weeks later\, once more complete data on capital spending and inventories become available. \nThe headline figures are usually quoted three ways: the quarter-on-quarter change\, an annualized rate (what the quarterly change would look like if repeated for four quarters)\, and the year-on-year change. Analysts also watch the underlying components\, private consumption\, business investment\, government spending and net trade (exports minus imports)\, because these show where growth or weakness is coming from. \nMarkets watch Japanese GDP closely because it feeds directly into the Bank of Japan’s policy decisions on interest rates and its assessment of whether wage and price growth is durable enough to justify further tightening. \nWhen is the December GDP report released?\nThe Cabinet Office is scheduled to release the second preliminary estimate for the July to September 2026 quarter on December 8\, 2026 at 8:50 am local time\, published on the ESRI Quarterly Estimates of GDP page. This revised release covers the same July to September quarter as the first preliminary estimate published in mid-November 2026\, but incorporates updated corporate and public investment data that were not available for the earlier reading. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the December 8\, 2026 release has not yet been published\, as economist surveys for Japanese GDP revisions are typically compiled only in the days immediately before the release. Once the first preliminary estimate for Q3 2026 is published in mid-November 2026\, that figure becomes the effective “prior” for this revision\, and analysts build their forecasts around expected changes to capital expenditure and inventory data. \nFor context\, Japan’s most recently confirmed reading at the time of writing is the second preliminary estimate for Q2 2026 (April to June)\, which showed annualized growth of 1.1%\, easing from an upwardly revised 1.8% (originally 2.1%) in Q1 2026\, according to Trading Economics. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (Q1 2026\, revised)\nQ2 2026 (revised)\n\n\n\n\nGDP\, annualized q/q\n+1.8%\n+1.1%\n\n\nGDP\, quarter-on-quarter\n+0.5%\n+0.3%\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nRevised upward from the first preliminary\nYen could firm modestly and Japanese government bond yields may edge higher\, as stronger growth supports the case for further Bank of Japan rate normalisation\nThe economy grew more than first thought\, usually because business investment or exports were revised up\n\n\nIn line with the first preliminary estimate\nLimited market reaction\, since the figure confirms the picture already priced in after the mid-November release\nThe initial reading holds up once fuller data are added\n\n\nRevised downward\, or a contraction confirmed\nYen could soften and expectations for near-term Bank of Japan tightening may be pushed back\, according to commentary from economists tracked by TradingView on prior GDP revisions\nThe economy grew less than first estimated\, often reflecting weaker capital spending or public investment than initially recorded\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities drawn from how markets have reacted to past Japanese GDP revisions\, not predictions of what will happen on December 8\, 2026. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Bank of Japan has been gradually moving away from decades of near-zero interest rates\, and GDP data feed directly into its judgement on how much slack remains in the economy. Growth slowed from an annualized 1.8% in the first quarter of 2026 to 1.1% in the second\, with Trading Economics noting that private consumption made no contribution to growth in Q2 amid rising living costs\, while capital spending weakened further. \nExports have also been under pressure from US tariff policy through 2026\, a theme that analysts expect to continue weighing on the July to September quarter. Any downward revision to business investment or public spending in this release would reinforce concerns that momentum is fading heading into 2027\, which matters for how quickly\, or slowly\, the Bank of Japan can continue raising rates. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing in Japan: weaker GDP revisions could slow the pace of Bank of Japan rate rises\, keeping Japanese mortgage and loan rates lower for longer; stronger data could do the opposite.\nSavings: higher Japanese interest rates\, if growth data support them\, would gradually improve returns on yen deposits after years of near-zero rates.\nJobs and wages: sustained GDP growth supports the wage negotiations that feed into Japan’s annual “shunto” spring wage round\, which the Bank of Japan watches closely.\nCurrencies: a stronger than expected reading tends to support the yen against the dollar and euro\, which affects the cost of Japanese imports and the returns UK and European investors get on yen-denominated assets.\nInvestments and pensions: Japanese equities and government bonds\, widely held in global pension funds\, can move on GDP surprises\, and yen strength or weakness affects the sterling or dollar value of unhedged Japanese holdings.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: Japan GDP\, November 2026\, the first preliminary estimate for the same July to September 2026 quarter.\nBank of Japan policy decisions\, which draw directly on GDP and wage data when setting interest rates.\nJapan’s monthly trade balance and industrial production releases\, which feed into the net trade and output components of GDP.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is Japan’s December GDP report released?\nIt is released at 8:50 am Japan Standard Time on December 8\, 2026\, which is 6:50 pm ET on December 7 and 11:50 pm in London. \nWhy does Japan publish GDP twice for the same quarter?\nThe first preliminary estimate uses incomplete data to give a quick read\, while the second preliminary estimate\, due on December 8\, 2026\, incorporates fuller corporate and public investment figures that arrive later. \nHow does this GDP data affect Bank of Japan interest rate decisions?\nThe Bank of Japan uses GDP growth and its components\, particularly consumption and investment\, to judge how much room the economy has to absorb higher interest rates without weakening demand. \nWhere can I find the official Japanese GDP release?\nThe Cabinet Office publishes the data through its Economic and Social Research Institute at esri.cao.go.jp. \nWhen is the next Japan GDP release after this one?\nThe next release is the first preliminary estimate for the October to December 2026 quarter\, expected in mid-February 2027\, though the exact date is confirmed closer to the time on the ESRI schedule. \n← Previous Japan GDP
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/japan-gdp-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261208T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261208T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104607Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104607Z
UID:1342-1796718600-1796722200@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US International Trade Balance December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US International Trade Balance: Tuesday\, December 8\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US International Trade Balance\nThe U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the U.S. Census Bureau will jointly release the US International Trade in Goods and Services report for October 2026 on Tuesday\, December 8\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The release covers US exports and imports of goods and services during October\, providing the final major monthly trade reading of the year before the December Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting. Consensus forecasts for October 2026 trade are not yet available at the time of writing. The release date was confirmed via the Census Bureau’s FT-900 press release schedule. \nWhat Is the US International Trade Balance Report?\nThe US International Trade in Goods and Services (FT-900) is a joint monthly release from the BEA and the Census Bureau. It measures the value of all US cross-border trade in goods (physical merchandise) and services (financial services\, travel\, intellectual property\, and other cross-border transactions). The headline figure is the net deficit or surplus: the United States has run a persistent goods deficit for decades\, partially offset by a structural services surplus in areas such as finance\, software\, and travel exports. \nThe trade balance feeds directly into the national accounts. Wider deficits subtract from GDP\, while narrower deficits add to growth. Monthly trade data is also incorporated into the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance GDP estimates\, meaning that this December 8 release covering October will provide important context for analysts modelling Q4 2026 GDP. The report is released approximately five to six weeks after the reference month ends and is subject to later revision. \nTrade Balance Report: December 8\, 2026\nThe December 8 release covers October 2026 trade flows and arrives the day before the Federal Reserve’s December 9-10 FOMC meeting begins. The FOMC will use October trade data alongside CPI\, PPI\, retail sales\, employment\, and housing figures in its final assessment of 2026 economic conditions before setting the policy rate for the period ahead. This makes the December 8 release timing particularly notable: it is one of the last major economic data points the Fed will receive before its year-end meeting. \nOctober 2026 will be an important reference month for trade\, as it represents the start of the holiday import surge that typically occurs as US retailers stock up on consumer goods for the November-December shopping season. Historical patterns show that October imports often rise sharply versus September\, widening the goods deficit before partially retracing in January. Markets will assess whether October 2026 follows this seasonal pattern or whether tariff-adjusted supply chains have altered the typical rhythm of import flows. \nThe most recently available data (April 2026\, published June 9) showed a deficit of $60.3 billion. The trend in early 2026 stabilised in the $55-60 billion range after the December 2025 spike to $70.3 billion attributable to pre-tariff import front-loading. By December 8\, additional monthly trade readings for May through September will have been published\, providing a fuller picture of the 2026 trend. \nWhy This Report Matters\nThe December 8 trade balance release is particularly significant for several reasons. First\, it provides the October trade data that feeds into Q4 2026 GDP calculations\, complementing consumer spending\, business investment\, and government expenditure data that will also be released during Q4. Second\, it arrives the day before the FOMC begins its December meeting\, making it a timely input to the Fed’s final 2026 policy deliberations. Third\, as the last monthly trade balance release of the year\, it provides analysts with an opportunity to assess the full-year 2026 trade deficit trajectory. \nFor currency markets\, a widening October deficit driven by the typical pre-holiday import surge could exert modest pressure on the US dollar\, while a narrowing deficit would be constructive. Energy trade flows — US crude oil\, LNG\, and refined products exports — remain a critical variable\, as shifts in energy trade can significantly alter the goods deficit independently of manufactured goods trends. The RBA Rate Decision December 8\, 2026 falls on the same day\, making it a busy session for global macro markets. \nWhat to Watch For\n\nAbove consensus (wider deficit) — A wider-than-expected October deficit would reflect strong import demand ahead of the holiday season\, signalling robust domestic spending but subtracting from GDP arithmetic. A particular widening in consumer goods imports would be a direct read on holiday retail sentiment.\nIn line with consensus — A result matching expectations would have limited standalone market impact. Markets would look to the services surplus\, the energy trade component\, and prior-month revisions for directional signals.\nBelow consensus (narrower deficit) — A narrower deficit would be constructive for GDP estimates and would provide a positive surprise for the dollar and bond yields. A narrowing driven by export growth would be particularly bullish for internationally exposed US sectors.\n\nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nRelease Date\nReference Month\nDeficit (Goods & Services)\nNote\n\n\n\n\nJune 9\, 2026\nApril 2026\n-$60.3B\nWider than estimate\n\n\nMay 5\, 2026\nMarch 2026\n-$60.3B\nIn line with estimate\n\n\nApril 2\, 2026\nFebruary 2026\n-$57.3B\nNarrower than estimate\n\n\nMarch 2026\nJanuary 2026\n-$54.5B\n—\n\n\nFebruary 2026\nDecember 2025\n-$70.3B\nPre-tariff surge; largest in 2025-26\n\n\nJanuary 2026\nNovember 2025\n-$53.0B\n—\n\n\n\nMarket Positioning\nThe December 8 trade balance release sits at the intersection of three major market themes: the end-of-year holiday import cycle\, the FOMC’s December rate decision\, and year-end portfolio positioning. The trade data will feed into GDP nowcast models for Q4 2026 and influence how analysts and strategists frame their year-end economic assessments. Combined with the October CPI and PPI data (released earlier in November)\, the December 8 trade print will give markets a comprehensive view of October economic conditions just one day before the Federal Reserve convenes for its final 2026 meeting. \nAs context\, the full-year 2025 trade deficit was approximately $900 billion on an annual basis. The trajectory of the 2026 monthly readings will determine whether the annual deficit has widened further or has begun to narrow as tariff-driven import patterns normalise and US export competitiveness adjusts to the new trade policy environment. The US CPI Report December 2026\, released December 10\, will complement this trade data with the latest inflation reading as markets head into year-end. \nRelated Events This Week\n\nFOMC Rate Decision December 2026 — The Fed’s December 9-10 meeting begins the day after this trade release\, making December 8 trade data one of the final inputs before the year-end monetary policy decision.\nRBA Rate Decision December 2026 — The Reserve Bank of Australia also announces on December 8\, making it a busy global central bank and economic data day.\nUS CPI Report December 2026 — Released December 10\, just two days after the trade balance\, completing the major inflation picture for the October reference month period.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the US International Trade Balance report measure?\nThe report measures the difference in value between all US exports and imports of goods and services during the reference month. A negative figure is a trade deficit; a positive figure is a surplus. The US has run a persistent goods deficit for decades\, partially offset by a services surplus. The report is published jointly by the BEA and the Census Bureau under the designation FT-900. \nWhen is the December 2026 trade balance report released?\nThe October 2026 trade data will be published on Tuesday\, December 8\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. This date was confirmed via the Census Bureau’s foreign trade press release schedule. \nWhy does trade balance data matter for the Federal Reserve?\nThe trade balance influences GDP directly via the net exports component. If the deficit widens more than expected\, it subtracts from GDP growth and can prompt downward revisions to economic output estimates. Trade data also provides information about domestic demand (via import volumes)\, export competitiveness\, and the relative strength of the US economy versus its trading partners. All of these factors inform the FOMC’s dual mandate assessment of growth and inflation when setting monetary policy.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-international-trade-balance-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261208T203000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261208T213000
DTSTAMP:20260902T103552Z
CREATED:20260902T103552Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T103552Z
UID:2471-1796761800-1796765400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:China CPI December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next China CPI: Wednesday\, December 9\, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (8:30 pm ET\, 1:30 am London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\n" " }</p>\nPrior\n0.5% YoY (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: China CPI. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous China CPI\nChina’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November 2026 is scheduled for release on Wednesday\, December 9\, 2026\, at 9:30 am China Standard Time\, which is 8:30 pm ET on Tuesday\, December 8 in the United States and 1:30 am on December 9 in London. The figures are published by the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) and cover price changes recorded across November 2026. Full schedule and background: China CPI. \nWhat is the China CPI?\nThe Consumer Price Index measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban and rural households for a fixed basket of goods and services\, including food\, housing\, transport\, healthcare and education. The NBS calculates the index by tracking prices in dozens of cities across China’s provinces and weighting each category according to its share of typical household spending. \nEconomists and traders watch China’s CPI because it is the clearest monthly signal of domestic demand in the world’s second-largest economy. A low or negative reading suggests households and businesses are spending cautiously\, which can point to deflationary pressure. A rising reading suggests demand is picking up\, which can influence decisions by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) on interest rates and liquidity support. \nThe headline year-on-year figure gets the most attention\, but analysts also track the month-on-month change and core CPI\, which strips out volatile food and energy prices to show the underlying trend in the economy. \nWhen is the November 2026 CPI released?\nThe NBS is expected to publish the November 2026 CPI report on December 9\, 2026\, at 9:30 am local time in Beijing. The release is posted on the National Bureau of Statistics website alongside the accompanying Producer Price Index (PPI) figures\, which are released simultaneously. Because the NBS follows a fixed monthly release calendar for CPI and PPI\, this date has not shifted from prior months. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the November 2026 reading has not yet been published by major polling services such as Reuters or Bloomberg. These polls are typically compiled only a few days before the release\, so figures are not yet available this far in advance. The most recent confirmed official reading\, covering July 2026\, showed headline inflation at 0.5% year-on-year\, down from 1.0% in June 2026\, according to Trading Economics data sourced from the NBS. That July print fell short of market forecasts of 0.8%\, marking the lowest reading since January 2026. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (November 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI (YoY)\n0.5%\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore CPI (YoY)\nData not independently confirmed\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nCould ease deflation worries and reduce pressure on the PBOC to add more stimulus\, according to analysts cited by ING in past commentary on China’s inflation trend\nPrices are rising faster than expected\, suggesting Chinese consumers and businesses are spending a bit more freely\n\n\nIn line\nLimited market reaction\, seen as confirmation that the current gentle inflation trend is intact\nThe economy is behaving broadly as expected\, with no fresh signal for policymakers\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould revive concerns about deflationary pressure and add to expectations of further PBOC support\, a theme CNBC has highlighted in coverage of China’s inflation data\nPrices are rising more slowly than hoped\, which can signal weak demand at home\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions based on how similar readings have been discussed by analysts in the past\, not predictions of what will happen on December 9\, 2026. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nChina has spent much of 2026 wrestling with weak domestic demand\, and headline CPI has repeatedly undershot official targets and market forecasts through the middle of the year. The July 2026 reading of 0.5% year-on-year\, down from 1.0% in June\, extended a pattern of soft and uneven inflation\, according to Trading Economics. At the same time\, producer prices\, which measure costs at the factory gate\, have remained in deflation for an extended stretch\, a trend tracked by Moody’s Analytics. \nThis combination matters because persistently weak consumer inflation limits the PBOC’s room to manoeuvre and keeps pressure on Beijing to support household spending through fiscal measures\, subsidies or targeted stimulus. The OECD has separately noted that headline inflation trends among major non-OECD G20 economies\, including China\, have moved unevenly through the second half of 2026\, according to the OECD’s Consumer Prices update. Investors watching the November print will be looking for signs of whether food prices\, a volatile but influential component of China’s CPI basket\, are stabilising heading into the winter months. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nMortgages and borrowing costs: China’s CPI does not set UK\, US or European mortgage rates directly\, but weak Chinese inflation can weigh on global growth expectations\, which sometimes feeds through to bond yields and\, indirectly\, to borrowing costs worldwide. \nSavings: If Chinese demand remains soft\, cheaper Chinese exports of goods such as electronics\, clothing and machinery can help keep imported inflation low in the UK\, Europe and the United States\, which can support the case for central banks to hold or cut interest rates\, affecting the returns savers earn on deposit accounts. \nJobs and wages: Companies with significant exposure to Chinese consumer demand\, from luxury goods makers to mining and commodity firms\, can see revenue expectations shift after a CPI surprise\, which occasionally feeds into hiring and investment decisions at multinational employers. \nInvestments and pensions: Chinese consumer weakness has historically weighed on commodity prices and emerging market equities\, both of which sit inside many diversified pension funds\, so a surprise reading can move fund valuations even for investors who have never bought a Chinese stock directly. \nCurrencies: A weaker-than-expected reading can pressure the Chinese yuan and\, at times\, other Asian currencies\, while also influencing how traders price the US dollar\, the euro and the pound against a backdrop of shifting global growth expectations. \nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: China CPI\, November 2026 data\nChina’s Producer Price Index (PPI)\, released alongside CPI each month by the NBS\nUpcoming PBOC policy decisions\, which take China’s inflation trend into account\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the China CPI released?\nThe NBS releases the report at 9:30 am China Standard Time\, which is 8:30 pm ET the previous evening and 1:30 am in London on the release day. \nHow do I read the China CPI figure?\nFocus on the year-on-year headline number for the overall inflation trend\, then check the month-on-month change and core CPI to see whether the trend is being driven by volatile items like food or by broader demand. \nHow does China’s CPI affect interest rates?\nWeak or negative inflation gives the People’s Bank of China more room to keep monetary policy supportive\, while stronger inflation can reduce the urgency for additional stimulus\, indirectly shaping global rate and currency expectations. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe data is published directly by the National Bureau of Statistics of China on its website\, alongside the PPI report for the same month. \nWhen is the next China CPI release?\nThe NBS publishes CPI monthly\, so the following report\, covering December 2026 data\, is expected in mid-January 2027 under the bureau’s standard release calendar. \n← Previous China CPI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/china-cpi-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261209T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261209T110000
DTSTAMP:20260902T103104Z
CREATED:20260902T103104Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T103104Z
UID:2467-1796810400-1796814000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Existing Home Sales December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Existing Home Sales: Wednesday\, December 9\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nA consensus forecast has not yet been published\nPrior\nNot yet confirmed from the official NAR release at time of writing\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Existing Home Sales. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Existing Home Sales\nThe US Existing Home Sales report for November 2026 data is released on Wednesday\, December 9\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The report measures the pace at which previously owned homes changed hands during the month\, and it is one of the two main gauges of US housing market activity alongside new home sales. Full schedule and background: US Existing Home Sales. \nWhat is existing home sales?\nExisting home sales tracks the number of previously owned single-family homes\, townhomes\, condominiums and co-ops that closed during the reporting month\, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Because the figure counts closings rather than new contracts\, it reflects buying decisions made roughly one to two months earlier\, when the mortgage rate at the time of the offer was locked in. \nThe NAR compiles the data from a survey of multiple listing services and brokers around the country. Alongside the headline sales pace\, the report includes median sale price\, months of supply\, the share of cash buyers\, and regional breakdowns for the Northeast\, Midwest\, South and West. Because roughly 90% of all US home sales are existing homes rather than new construction\, this release is the primary window into the health of the housing market. \nInvestors and central bankers watch it because housing is highly sensitive to interest rates and because the sector influences consumer spending through wealth effects\, home renovation activity and the pace of household formation. A sustained slowdown in sales can signal that higher mortgage rates are squeezing affordability\, while a pickup can suggest buyers are adjusting to a new rate environment. \nWhen is the November existing home sales report released?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the November 2026 existing home sales figures on December 9\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm in London. The release is published on the NAR’s own website and distributed to newswires simultaneously. This date has been confirmed by the NAR’s release calendar and is not an estimate. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAt the time of writing\, a consensus forecast from a major poll such as Reuters or Bloomberg for the November 2026 reading has not yet been published\, and the prior month’s confirmed sales pace has not been verified against the NAR’s own release for this article. Readers should check the NAR’s official release or a live consensus tracker such as Investing.com or Trading Economics closer to the release date for the most current prior figure and survey median\, since these can shift materially as the release date approaches. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nExisting home sales (SAAR)\nTo be confirmed from the October 2026 NAR release\nNot yet published\n\n\nMedian existing home price\nTo be confirmed from the October 2026 NAR release\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nCould be read as a sign the housing market is stabilising or improving despite elevated mortgage rates\, which some analysts suggest may reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut rates quickly\nMore people are successfully buying and selling homes than expected\, which can support related spending on furniture\, renovations and moving services\n\n\nIn line\nLikely to have limited market impact since the figure was already priced in by traders\nThe housing market is behaving broadly as expected\, offering no major surprise to buyers\, sellers or renters\n\n\nBelow consensus\nMay be interpreted as evidence that high borrowing costs continue to weigh on the market\, which some economists argue strengthens the case for future rate cuts\nFewer homes are changing hands than expected\, which can signal that affordability pressures are holding back both buyers and sellers\n\n\n\nThese are possible interpretations discussed by market commentators\, not predictions of how markets will actually move on the day. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nHousing has remained one of the most interest-rate-sensitive parts of the US economy through 2026\, with 30-year fixed mortgage rates staying well above the historic lows seen earlier in the decade. The Federal Reserve continues to monitor housing data closely as part of its broader assessment of financial conditions and the labour market\, since construction\, real estate services and related retail spending make up a meaningful share of US economic activity. A run of weak existing home sales prints earlier in the year has kept the sector under scrutiny\, and any further deterioration or improvement in November’s figures will feed into the debate over the path of interest rates into 2027. \nGlobally\, the release also matters because US mortgage and housing trends often mirror pressures seen in the UK and euro area\, where central banks have likewise grappled with the effect of higher rates on property markets. A weaker-than-expected US reading can reinforce expectations that major central banks\, including the Bank of England and European Central Bank\, may need to stay cautious about how quickly they ease policy. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: A stronger-than-expected sales figure can nudge US Treasury yields and mortgage rates higher if it suggests the economy remains resilient\, while a weak print can support the case for lower rates over time\, indirectly affecting mortgage pricing in the UK and eurozone through global bond market linkages.\nSavings: Changes in the interest rate outlook driven by housing data can influence what savings accounts and fixed-term deposits pay\, since banks price savings products off the same rate expectations that move mortgage costs.\nJobs and wages: A healthy housing market supports employment in real estate\, construction\, home improvement and retail\, so a sustained slowdown in sales can eventually show up in slower job growth in these sectors.\nPrices: Median home price trends reported alongside the sales figure give a read on housing costs\, one of the larger components of household budgets and inflation measures in the US.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: Housing-linked stocks such as homebuilders and real estate investment trusts often react directly to the release\, and shifts in US rate expectations can move the dollar against the pound and euro\, affecting the value of overseas investments and pension holdings with US exposure.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: US Existing Home Sales\, November 2026 data\nUS New Home Sales\, the companion report covering newly built housing\nFederal Reserve interest rate decisions\, which shape mortgage rates and housing demand\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the November existing home sales report released?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the data at 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm in London\, on December 9\, 2026. \nHow should I read the existing home sales figure?\nLook at the seasonally adjusted annual rate against the prior month and against the consensus forecast\, and check the accompanying median price and months of supply for a fuller picture of market conditions. \nHow does this data affect interest rates?\nThe Federal Reserve considers housing market strength as part of its broader assessment of the economy\, so persistently weak or strong readings can feed into expectations for future rate decisions\, though housing data alone rarely drives policy on its own. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the full report\, including regional breakdowns and price data\, on its own website at the scheduled release time. \nWhen is the next existing home sales report?\nThe NAR typically publishes existing home sales data around the 20th to 25th of the month for two months prior\, though the November data covered here follows an adjusted December publication date; check the NAR calendar for the exact date of the following release. \n← Previous US Existing Home Sales
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-existing-home-sales-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261210T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261210T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104607Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104607Z
UID:1280-1796891400-1796895000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US CPI Report December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US CPI Report: Thursday\, December 10\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US CPI Report. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US CPI Report\nThe US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November 2026 on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The release will provide the penultimate inflation reading of 2026\, arriving the day after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) delivers its final rate decision of the year on December 9\, 2026. \n\n  At a Glance \n\nRelease date: Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. ET\nPublishing body: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\nReference month: November 2026\nMost recent reading: 3.8% YoY (April 2026)\nMarket impact: High\n\n\nWhat is the Consumer Price Index?\nThe Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) is the most widely followed measure of inflation in the United States. Published monthly by the BLS\, it tracks changes in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services covering approximately 93% of the US population. The basket includes categories such as housing\, food\, transport\, energy\, medical care\, apparel\, and recreation\, with housing carrying the largest weighting at around 32%. \nThe BLS collects price data from tens of thousands of retail and service establishments. The index is expressed as the year-over-year (YoY) rate and the month-over-month (MoM) change. Core CPI\, excluding food and energy\, is the metric most closely watched by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) for underlying inflation trends. \nCPI is released roughly 12 to 13 days after the reference month ends. The December 2026 release covers price changes in November 2026 and will contribute to the full-year inflation picture for 2026. \nUS CPI Release: December 10\, 2026\nThe December 10 release will provide the November 2026 inflation reading\, arriving one day after the FOMC meets on December 9. While the data will not influence the December rate decision directly (the Fed will already have made its call)\, it will immediately shape market expectations for the path of monetary policy in 2027. Strong inflationary persistence would push back the anticipated timeline for rate cuts; a confirmed deceleration would accelerate them. \nUS inflation started 2026 at 2.4% year-over-year in January before surging to 3.8% in April\, the highest rate since May 2023\, according to BLS data. The energy component rose 17.9% year-over-year in April\, with gasoline prices up 28.4%. The December reading will reveal whether those energy-driven price rises have faded through favourable base effects or have entrenched into broader price pressures. Consensus forecasts will be available closer to the release date. \nWhy This CPI Release Matters\nThe December CPI is the last major inflation data point of 2026 and will set the inflation narrative going into 2027. It follows the FOMC decision by just one day\, meaning the December 10 release will immediately begin shaping expectations for the January and March 2027 meetings. If the Fed cuts in December\, a hot November CPI reading could cause markets to question whether that cut was premature. If the Fed holds\, a cool reading would reinforce expectations for early 2027 easing. \nAt the same time\, the December reading will set the base for year-over-year comparisons in early 2027. If November 2026 inflation is significantly lower than November 2025\, the year-over-year rate will reflect that mechanically. Understanding the base effect is essential for interpreting the early 2027 inflation prints that follow. \nFor bond markets\, the December release will be crucial in determining where longer-duration yields settle into year-end and the new year. For equities\, confirmation that the 2026 inflationary episode is behind us would be a material positive\, particularly for rate-sensitive growth stocks that have faced persistent valuation headwinds throughout the year. \nWhat to Watch For\n\nAbove consensus: A reading that shows inflation re-accelerating in November (above 3.0-3.5%) would be a negative surprise given that energy base effects should be fading by this point. It would signal structural inflation persistence and push out expectations of rate cuts in 2027\, weighing on equities and bonds.\nIn line with consensus: A reading matching expectations would confirm the trajectory already priced in by markets. Attention would quickly shift to the December FOMC press conference and forward guidance for 2027\, particularly the updated Summary of Economic Projections.\nBelow consensus: A reading below 2.5% would signal that the 2026 inflation surge has been largely unwound and would significantly increase expectations of rate cuts early in 2027. Equities would rally broadly\, bond yields would fall\, and the US dollar would weaken.\n\nBy December\, the base effect from the April 2026 energy spike will be highly relevant. If energy prices have normalised or fallen since mid-2026\, the November year-over-year comparison will benefit from a mechanically easier base. Core services and shelter inflation will be the genuine gauge of underlying price pressure divorced from energy volatility. \nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nMonth\nYoY\nMoM\nCore YoY\n\n\n\n\nApril 2026\n3.8%\n+0.6%\n2.8%\n\n\nMarch 2026\n3.3%\n+0.9%\n2.6%\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n2.4%\n+0.2%\n—\n\n\nJanuary 2026\n2.4%\n—\n—\n\n\nDecember 2025\n2.7%\n—\n—\n\n\n\nSource: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. October and November 2025 data were not published due to the US government shutdown. MoM and core figures not available for all periods shown. \nMarket Positioning\nThe December 2026 CPI will close out the year’s inflation story and establish the baseline for 2027 expectations. Fixed income markets and the Fed funds futures curve will be acutely sensitive to this final reading\, given that it arrives the day after the December FOMC decision and in the context of year-end portfolio rebalancing. Liquidity typically thins in mid-December\, which can amplify market movements around data releases. \nFor equity investors looking ahead to 2027\, a confirmed downward trend in inflation through the final quarter of 2026 would represent a material improvement in the macro backdrop\, reducing the headwind from high interest rates and potentially re-opening the door to multiple expansion in growth sectors. \nRelated Events\n\nUS CPI Report November 2026 – The preceding monthly release covering October 2026 data.\nFOMC Rate Decision December 2026 – The Fed’s final meeting of 2026 on December 9\, the day before this CPI release.\nECB Rate Decision December 2026 – The ECB’s December meeting on December 17\, providing a comparison with European monetary policy as the year closes.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the CPI measure?\nThe CPI measures the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed basket of goods and services\, including housing\, food\, transport\, energy\, and medical care. Published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics\, it is the primary measure of consumer price inflation in the United States. \nWhen is the December 2026 CPI report released?\nThe December 2026 CPI report will be released on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers price changes during November 2026. \nHow does the December CPI relate to 2027 monetary policy?\nThe December 10 release follows the FOMC’s December 9 decision by one day\, meaning it will not affect December’s vote but will immediately recalibrate expectations for January and March 2027 meetings. A continued deceleration in inflation would strengthen the case for the Fed to begin or continue cutting rates early in 2027\, which would have significant implications for bond yields\, equity valuations\, and the US dollar.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-cpi-report-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261210T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261210T093000
DTSTAMP:20260902T103707Z
CREATED:20260902T103707Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T103707Z
UID:2473-1796891400-1796895000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Initial Jobless Claims: December 10\, 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday\, December 10\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n220\,000 (week ending Nov 15\, 2025)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims\nThe US Department of Labor releases the weekly initial jobless claims report on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026 at 8:30am ET (1:30pm London). This release covers new claims for unemployment benefits filed in the week ending December 5\, 2026\, and is one of the most timely indicators of labour-market health available to investors\, policymakers and the Federal Reserve. For the full release schedule and background on this weekly series\, see US Initial Jobless Claims. \nInitial jobless claims count the number of people filing for unemployment insurance for the first time in a given week. A rising trend suggests employers are cutting jobs faster than they are hiring; a falling trend suggests the labour market is holding up. Because the data are weekly and released quickly\, markets watch them closely for early signs of a turn in employment conditions\, particularly during periods when the Federal Reserve is weighing interest rate decisions. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nThe prior reading was 220\,000 for the week ending November 15\, 2025\, according to the Department of Labor’s weekly claims release. A consensus forecast for the December 5\, 2026 week has not yet been published; economists’ forecasts for weekly claims are typically only released a day or two ahead of the report by outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg. Continuing claims\, which measure people still receiving benefits after an initial filing\, are also released alongside the headline number and give a sense of how long it is taking people to find new work. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nInitial claims\n220\,000\nNot yet published\n\n\n4-week moving average\nVaries by week\, published alongside headline figure\nNot yet published\n\n\nContinuing claims\nPublished alongside initial claims\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nClaims above consensus\nBond yields could fall\, stocks may wobble on growth worries\, though a weaker labour market can also raise hopes of interest rate cuts\nMore people are losing jobs or struggling to find new ones than expected\, a sign the labour market is cooling\n\n\nClaims in line with consensus\nLimited market reaction expected\, as the figure confirms the existing trend\nThe labour market is behaving broadly as expected\, with no fresh signal for the Fed or investors\n\n\nClaims below consensus\nStocks could gain on resilience\, though very strong labour data can also push bond yields up on reduced hopes of rate cuts\nFewer people than expected are filing for unemployment benefits\, suggesting the labour market remains solid\n\n\n\nWhy it matters this week\nJobless claims data has taken on extra significance as the Federal Reserve weighs the pace of any further interest rate moves heading into 2027. Weekly claims\, together with the monthly non-farm payrolls report\, give policymakers an early read on whether earlier rate cuts are cooling the labour market too quickly or whether conditions remain resilient. \nAccording to Trading Economics\, weekly claims data through much of 2026 showed periods of resilience even as some public-sector job cuts weighed on specific categories of workers. Investors will be watching whether the December 5 week continues that pattern or shows signs of a broader slowdown\, particularly given the seasonal noise that can affect claims data around the holiday period. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor anyone with a mortgage or savings account\, jobless claims feed indirectly into the interest rate outlook. A run of weak claims data\, showing more people losing jobs\, tends to increase expectations of interest rate cuts\, which can eventually lower mortgage rates but also reduce returns on savings accounts and cash ISAs. Strong claims data\, showing few job losses\, can have the opposite effect\, keeping borrowing costs higher for longer but supporting better returns on cash savings. \nFor investors with pensions or portfolios exposed to US shares\, a sharply weaker labour market can hurt company profits and share prices in the near term\, even if it eventually leads to lower interest rates that support valuations further out. A resilient labour market tends to support consumer spending and corporate earnings\, which can benefit pension funds and other investments with exposure to US equities. \nThe report also has ripple effects beyond the US. Because Federal Reserve policy influences global borrowing costs\, shifts in the US labour market outlook can move the value of the pound\, the euro and other currencies against the dollar\, affecting the cost of imports and holidays abroad for people in the UK and Europe\, as well as returns on international investments. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the jobless claims report released?\nThe report is released at 8:30am ET\, which is 1:30pm in London\, on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026. \nWhat would count as a big miss from consensus?\nOnce a consensus forecast is published\, a move of more than around 15\,000 to 20\,000 claims away from that figure would typically be considered a significant surprise\, though markets also pay close attention to the four-week moving average rather than any single week’s number. \nWhen is the next jobless claims report?\nThe next weekly release follows the standard Thursday schedule; check the US Initial Jobless Claims hub page for the exact date and time of the following report. \nWhy do jobless claims matter to the Federal Reserve?\nJobless claims offer a near real-time signal of labour-market health\, helping the Federal Reserve judge whether its interest rate policy is having the intended effect on employment. \n \n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-initial-jobless-claims-december-10-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261211T020000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261211T030000
DTSTAMP:20260826T022321Z
CREATED:20260826T022321Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T022321Z
UID:2239-1796954400-1796958000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:UK GDP December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next UK GDP: Friday\, December 11\, 2026 at 7:00 am GMT (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London). Covers Q3 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n0.4% growth (three months to June 2026\, ONS)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: UK GDP. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous UK GDP\nThe UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for December 2026 is released on Friday\, December 11\, 2026 at 7:00am London time (2:00am ET) by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This release covers economic output data for the third quarter of 2026 (July to September)\, the ONS’s main measure of how fast\, or slowly\, the UK economy is growing. Full background and the schedule of upcoming releases is available on the UK GDP hub page. \nWhat is UK GDP?\nGross Domestic Product measures the total value of all goods and services produced in the UK economy over a given period. It is the broadest single gauge of economic health available and the figure most often quoted when politicians\, economists or journalists talk about the economy “growing” or “shrinking”. \nThe ONS builds GDP from three angles that should\, in theory\, add up to the same total: output (what businesses and public services actually produced)\, expenditure (what households\, businesses\, government and overseas buyers spent) and income (wages\, profits and other earnings generated). The headline growth rate compares output in the latest period with the period before\, either quarter on quarter or\, in the monthly release\, on a rolling three-month basis. \nMarkets watch GDP closely because it feeds directly into decisions at the Bank of England. Faster growth\, especially alongside strong wage growth\, can add to inflation pressure and argue for holding or raising interest rates. Weaker growth\, particularly if it slips towards contraction\, increases pressure for rate cuts to support jobs and spending. Two consecutive quarters of falling output is the common definition of a recession. \nWhen is the Q3 2026 GDP report released?\nThe ONS publishes this release on December 11\, 2026 at 7:00am GMT (2:00am ET)\, on its release calendar and in the Quarterly National Accounts and GDP monthly estimate bulletins on ons.gov.uk. As with all ONS statistics\, the exact bulletin and any accompanying data tables go live at the same moment\, so there is no early access for market participants. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of now\, a consensus forecast has not yet been published for the December 2026 release. City economists and data providers such as Reuters and Bloomberg typically issue their median forecasts only in the days immediately before an ONS release\, once more monthly indicators (retail sales\, industrial production\, trade) for the quarter are available. Financecalendar.com will update this page with the consensus figure and the prior reading once they are confirmed. \nThe most recent officially confirmed reading from the ONS\, at the time of writing\, shows real GDP growing by 0.4% in the three months to June 2026\, compared with the three months to March 2026\, according to the ONS GDP monthly estimate\, June 2026. That followed growth of 0.6% in the three months to May 2026 (revised down from 0.7%) and 0.8% in the three months to April 2026. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior reading\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nQuarterly GDP growth\n0.4% (three months to June 2026\, ONS)\nNot yet published\n\n\nAnnual GDP growth\nTo be confirmed\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nSterling could firm and gilt yields may rise\, as stronger growth reduces the case for near-term Bank of England rate cuts\, a pattern economists have described in commentary on prior above-forecast GDP prints reported by Reuters\nThe economy grew faster than expected\, which can support jobs and wages but may also keep borrowing costs higher for longer\n\n\nIn line\nA broadly neutral reaction is typical when data matches expectations\, according to analysts cited in Reuters market wraps around ONS releases\nThe economy is performing roughly as expected\, so mortgage rates\, savings rates and the outlook for the pound are unlikely to move sharply on this data alone\n\n\nBelow consensus\nSterling could soften and gilt yields may fall\, as weaker growth increases the odds markets attach to future Bank of England rate cuts\, a reaction seen in past below-forecast prints per Reuters coverage\nThe economy grew more slowly than hoped\, or shrank\, which can eventually feed through to weaker job creation and slower wage growth\n\n\n\nThese are possible reactions drawn from how markets have historically responded to GDP surprises\, not predictions of what will happen on December 11\, 2026. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee treats GDP as one of the key inputs into its interest rate decisions\, alongside inflation and the labour market. Through the first half of 2026\, ONS data showed the UK economy expanding for several consecutive rolling three-month periods\, with growth of 0.6% in the three months to March 2026 and 0.4% in the three months to June 2026\, according to the ONS first quarterly estimate for Q1 2026 and the June 2026 monthly bulletin. Growth had been slowing gradually across that period even as it remained positive. \nInvestors and policymakers will be watching whether that gentle slowdown continued\, stabilised or reversed over July to September 2026. A weaker than expected Q3 reading would add to the debate over how quickly the Bank of England should lower borrowing costs\, while a stronger print would support those on the MPC who argue for a more cautious\, gradual approach to rate cuts. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: A weak GDP print can raise expectations of Bank of England rate cuts\, which sometimes feeds through to lower fixed mortgage rates over the following weeks. A strong print can do the opposite\, keeping borrowing costs higher for longer.\nSavings: Interest rates on savings accounts tend to move in the same direction as expectations for Bank Rate\, so weaker growth data that raises the odds of a rate cut can eventually mean lower returns on cash savings.\nJobs and wages: GDP growth and employment tend to move together over time. A run of weak GDP figures can be an early sign that hiring may slow or wage growth may cool in the following months.\nPrices: Faster growth can add to inflation pressure if demand outpaces the economy’s capacity to supply goods and services\, while a slowdown can help take some heat out of prices.\nInvestments\, pensions and the pound: UK shares\, gilts and sterling can all react to a GDP surprise. A stronger than expected reading often supports the pound against the dollar and the euro\, while a weaker reading can weigh on it\, with knock-on effects for the value of overseas holdings inside pensions and investment portfolios for UK savers\, and for the cost of UK assets to European and Asian investors.\n\nRecent GDP readings (three-month on three-month growth)\n\n\n\nPeriod\nGrowth rate\n\n\n\n\nThree months to June 2026\n0.4%\n\n\nThree months to May 2026\n0.6% (revised)\n\n\nThree months to April 2026\n0.8%\n\n\nThree months to March 2026\n0.6%\n\n\nThree months to February 2026\n0.5%\n\n\nThree months to January 2026\n0.3% (revised)\n\n\n\nSource: ONS GDP monthly estimate bulletins\, various 2026 releases. \nRelated events\n\nUK GDP November 2026 release\nBank of England Monetary Policy Committee decisions\, which take GDP trends into account when setting Bank Rate\nUK labour market and inflation releases\, published in the weeks around each GDP report\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the December 2026 UK GDP report released?\nThe ONS publishes the report at 7:00am London time on December 11\, 2026\, which is 2:00am ET. \nHow do I read the headline GDP figure?\nThe main number to check is the percentage change in output compared with the previous quarter or rolling three-month period. A positive figure means the economy grew\, a negative figure means it shrank. \nHow does GDP affect UK interest rates?\nThe Bank of England considers GDP growth alongside inflation and employment when setting Bank Rate. Weak or negative growth can support the case for rate cuts\, while strong growth can argue for holding or raising rates. \nWhere can I find the official GDP release?\nThe ONS publishes the full bulletin\, dataset and revisions on its release calendar at ons.gov.uk at the moment of release. \nWhen is the next UK GDP report after this one?\nThe ONS publishes GDP data on a monthly and quarterly cycle\, with the next release typically following around four to six weeks later. Check the UK GDP hub page for the confirmed date. \n← Previous UK GDP
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/uk-gdp-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261214T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261214T093000
DTSTAMP:20260826T022720Z
CREATED:20260826T022719Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T022720Z
UID:2241-1797237000-1797240600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Canada CPI December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Canada CPI: Monday\, December 14\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n3.0% YoY (July 2026\, latest confirmed reading)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Canada CPI. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Canada CPI\nStatistics Canada releases the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November 2026 on Monday\, December 14\, 2026\, at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time). The report is Canada’s main measure of consumer price inflation and is watched closely by the Bank of Canada\, currency traders and anyone with a mortgage\, savings account or pension tied to Canadian assets. Full schedule and background: Canada CPI. \nWhat is the Canada Consumer Price Index?\nThe CPI tracks the change in prices Canadians pay for a fixed basket of goods and services\, covering eight major groups including food\, shelter\, transportation and household operations. Statistics Canada compares the cost of this basket month to month and year to year\, and the year-over-year change is the headline inflation figure most reported in the news. \nAlongside the headline number\, Statistics Canada and the Bank of Canada also track “core” measures that strip out volatile items such as gasoline and some food prices. The two most closely watched are the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI\, both designed to show the underlying trend in prices without short-term noise from a single volatile category. These core measures matter because the Bank of Canada uses them\, alongside headline inflation\, to decide whether interest rates need to rise\, fall or hold steady. \nMarkets watch CPI because it feeds directly into interest rate decisions. Persistently high inflation tends to keep the Bank of Canada cautious about cutting rates\, while a sustained slowdown gives it room to lower borrowing costs. Because Canada’s economy is closely linked to the United States through trade\, the CPI print is also watched by investors in the US\, Europe and Asia for signs of how tariffs\, energy prices and global demand are feeding through to consumer costs. \nWhen is the November CPI released?\nStatistics Canada publishes the November 2026 CPI report on Monday\, December 14\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time). The release is published on the agency’s website as part of “The Daily” bulletin\, with the full statistical tables available through the Consumer Price Index portal. Statistics Canada has confirmed this release date as part of its published 2026 release calendar. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of the time of writing\, a consensus forecast for the November 2026 CPI reading has not yet been published. Consensus estimates from surveys such as those compiled by Reuters and Bloomberg typically appear in the days immediately before the release\, once economists have incorporated the most recent trade\, energy and labour market data. \nThe most recently confirmed Statistics Canada figures at the time of writing were for July 2026\, when headline inflation rose to 3.0% year-on-year from 2.8% in June 2026\, a move TD Economics described as “one tick higher than markets were anticipating”. Core measures had been softening: the median CPI stood at 1.9% and the trimmed-mean CPI at 1.8% in June 2026\, both described by Trading Economics as their “lowest in over five years” at that point. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (June 2026)\nLatest confirmed (July 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI (year-on-year)\n2.8%\n3.0%\n\n\nMedian CPI (Bank of Canada core measure)\n2.1%\n1.9%\n\n\nTrimmed-mean CPI (Bank of Canada core measure)\n2.0%\n1.8%\n\n\n\nFigures for August\, September\, October and November 2026 were not yet confirmed through an official Statistics Canada release at the time this page was prepared. Readers should check the official StatCan release for the most current reading before the November print is published. \nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nBond yields and the Canadian dollar could firm as traders trim bets on near-term rate cuts\nPrices are rising faster than expected\, which could keep the Bank of Canada cautious about lowering interest rates\, meaning higher borrowing costs stay in place for longer\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nMuted market reaction\, with focus shifting to the core inflation components\nInflation is behaving broadly as expected\, so the Bank of Canada’s existing policy plan is unlikely to change because of this release alone\n\n\nBelow consensus\nThe Canadian dollar could soften and short-term bond yields could fall as markets price in a greater chance of a rate cut\nPrices are rising more slowly than expected\, which could give the Bank of Canada more room to cut interest rates and support borrowers\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions described by analysts\, not predictions. Statistics Canada’s July 2026 report noted that gasoline prices were a key driver of the headline rate\, rising 25.7% year-on-year that month\, while shelter and grocery price inflation continued to ease\, according to Statistics Canada. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nCanadian inflation has been on an uneven path through 2026. After falling from the 40-year peak of 6.8% reached in June 2022\, headline CPI settled below 2% for stretches of 2025 before drifting higher again into the summer of 2026\, according to data compiled by WealthNorth using Statistics Canada’s official series. The July 2026 uptick to 3.0% was driven largely by higher pump prices linked to renewed tensions between Iran and the United States\, which pushed wholesale fuel costs higher. \nA separate and persistent theme through 2026 has been the risk that US tariffs on Canadian goods pass through into consumer prices\, particularly for imported machinery\, vehicles and some food inputs\, a risk Statistics Canada has flagged directly. TD Economics noted that the threat of 50% tariffs on some Canadian exports remained unresolved through the summer\, adding uncertainty to the inflation outlook. The Bank of Canada has said it will remain “data-dependent” given these external risks\, meaning each CPI print carries extra weight for its rate decisions in the months ahead. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and loans: If inflation runs hotter than expected\, the Bank of Canada is less likely to cut its policy rate soon\, which keeps variable mortgage rates and lines of credit more expensive. A cooler than expected reading increases the chance of rate cuts\, which could eventually lower monthly payments for homeowners renewing a mortgage.\nSavings: Interest rates on savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates (GICs) tend to move with the Bank of Canada’s policy rate\, so a weaker inflation print could see savings rates edge down over time\, while a stronger print could keep them higher for longer.\nJobs and wages: Persistent inflation above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target can squeeze household budgets if wage growth does not keep pace\, particularly for lower income households who spend a larger share of income on food and fuel.\nPrices in everyday life: Grocery and fuel prices have been the biggest swing factors in Canadian CPI through 2026. Anyone budgeting for household bills should watch these two categories closely in the release\, as they can move the headline number even when underlying inflation is stable.\nInvestments\, pensions and the currency: The Canadian dollar tends to strengthen when inflation surprises to the upside\, since it reduces the odds of near-term rate cuts\, and to weaken on a downside surprise. This matters for UK\, European and Asian investors holding Canadian dollar assets or bonds\, as well as for pension funds with exposure to Canadian equities and fixed income.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: Canada CPI\, November 2026 data (October release)\nFull release history and background: Canada CPI hub\nThe next Bank of Canada interest rate decision\, which typically follows the CPI release by one to two weeks and takes this data into account\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the November 2026 Canada CPI released?\nStatistics Canada publishes the report at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm in London\, on Monday\, December 14\, 2026. \nHow do I read the CPI report?\nFocus first on the year-on-year headline figure\, then check the median and trimmed-mean core measures\, which strip out volatile items like gasoline and give a clearer picture of the underlying inflation trend the Bank of Canada watches most closely. \nHow does this release affect Bank of Canada interest rates?\nThe Bank of Canada uses CPI data\, particularly the core measures\, to help decide whether to raise\, cut or hold its policy rate\, so a surprise in either direction can shift market expectations for the next rate decision. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe report is published on the Statistics Canada website as part of “The Daily” bulletin\, with full data tables available through the Consumer Price Index portal. \nWhen is the next Canada CPI report released?\nStatistics Canada typically releases CPI data roughly three weeks after the end of each reference month\, so the December 2026 CPI report is expected in mid-January 2027\, with the exact date confirmed on the agency’s published release calendar closer to the time. \n← Previous Canada CPI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/canada-cpi-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261215T020000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261215T030000
DTSTAMP:20260826T023202Z
CREATED:20260826T023202Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T023202Z
UID:2243-1797300000-1797303600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:UK Labour Market Report December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next UK Labour Market Report: Tuesday\, December 15\, 2026 at 7:00 am GMT (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n4.9% unemployment rate (three months to June 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: UK Labour Market Report. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous UK Labour Market Report\nThe UK Labour Market Report for December 2026 is published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Tuesday\, December 15\, 2026\, at 7:00am London time (2:00am ET). The release brings together the Labour Force Survey estimates of employment and unemployment\, HMRC payrolled employee figures\, and average earnings growth\, covering the rolling three-month period through October 2026 alongside a provisional payrolled-employee estimate for November. Full background and the release schedule for this series sit on the UK Labour Market Report hub page. \nWhat is the UK Labour Market Report?\nThe Labour Market Report is the ONS’s monthly snapshot of who is working\, who is looking for work\, and how much pay is growing across the UK economy. It combines three main data sources: the Labour Force Survey (a household survey used to calculate the unemployment rate\, employment rate and economic inactivity rate)\, HMRC Pay As You Earn Real Time Information (used to count payrolled employees)\, and the Average Weekly Earnings survey of businesses (used to measure wage growth). \nBecause the headline Labour Force Survey figures are a three-month rolling average\, each release describes a quarter rather than a single month\, for example “August to October 2026”. The payrolled employee count\, by contrast\, is a near-real-time HMRC tax-data series and is usually reported for the most recent single month available. \nMarkets watch this release closely because the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee treats the labour market as one of the clearest signals of inflationary pressure in the domestic economy. A tight jobs market with strong wage growth tends to support the case for higher interest rates\, while rising unemployment and slowing pay growth make the case for cuts. \nWhen is the December labour market report released?\nThe report is due on Tuesday\, December 15\, 2026\, at 7:00am London time\, which is 2:00am ET (note the report lands overnight for US traders and before the New York market opens). It is published by the Office for National Statistics and appears on the ONS website’s labour market bulletin series\, alongside the accompanying data tables and the ONS release calendar. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the December 2026 release has not yet been published by data providers such as Reuters or Bloomberg. Economist forecasts for UK labour market data typically emerge in the days immediately before the release\, once analysts have digested the most recent purchasing managers’ surveys\, vacancy data and payroll figures. Readers should check back closer to the date for a published median forecast. \nThe most recent confirmed reading available at the time of writing came from the ONS bulletin covering April to June 2026\, published in August 2026\, which put the unemployment rate at 4.9%\, up 0.2 percentage points on the year but down 0.1 percentage points on the previous quarter\, according to the ONS Labour market overview\, UK: August 2026. Earlier bulletins through June and July 2026 recorded the same 4.9% rate for the preceding rolling quarters\, suggesting the rate had stabilised at close to a multi-year high after climbing from 5.1% in the three months to October 2025. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior reading\nConsensus for December release\n\n\n\n\nUnemployment rate (16+)\n4.9% (three months to June 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nAverage earnings\, total pay (annual growth)\n4.1% (three months to March 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nUnemployment and wage growth above consensus\nSterling could firm and gilt yields could rise\, as traders push back the timing of any further Bank of England rate cut\nA tighter jobs market with hotter pay growth suggests inflation pressure at home is not fading\, which argues for borrowing costs staying higher for longer\n\n\nBroadly in line with the prior trend\nA muted reaction\, with markets keeping current interest rate expectations largely unchanged\nThe labour market continues on its recent path of a high but roughly stable unemployment rate and gradually cooling wage growth\, giving the Bank of England no reason to shift course\n\n\nUnemployment higher and wage growth weaker than consensus\nGilt yields could fall and sterling could soften\, as markets bring forward expectations of Bank of England rate cuts\nA weakening jobs market and slower pay growth reduce the risk that wages keep pushing prices up\, making it easier for the Bank to cut rates to support growth\n\n\n\nThese are possible reactions described by market commentators\, not predictions. Economists at outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg typically frame their post-release notes around whether the data changes the expected path of Bank Rate rather than any single number in isolation. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Bank of England has spent much of 2026 weighing a labour market that cooled from the tight conditions of 2022 and 2023 without collapsing outright. Data through the summer of 2026 showed the unemployment rate holding near 4.9%\, its highest level in several years\, while payrolled employee numbers fell for a sustained run of months on HMRC’s Real Time Information data\, according to the ONS’s own bulletins. At the same time\, wage growth has been gradually slowing from the very high rates seen earlier in the decade\, with total pay growth around 4.1% and regular pay growth around 3.4% in the first quarter of 2026\, per the ONS. \nThe House of Commons Library’s labour market briefing noted that real (inflation-adjusted) wages were still rising modestly through the second quarter of 2026\, meaning household spending power was improving even as headline job numbers softened. The December report will show whether that combination of a stable-to-softer jobs market and gradually cooling pay growth has continued into the autumn\, feeding directly into the Bank of England’s February 2027 rate decision and the Monetary Policy Committee’s assessment of underlying inflation pressure. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nMortgages and borrowing: A weaker jobs market and slower wage growth tend to make it more likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates\, which can eventually feed through into cheaper fixed and tracker mortgage rates. A stronger-than-expected report has the opposite effect\, keeping borrowing costs higher for longer. \nSavings: Interest rates on savings accounts broadly track Bank Rate. If this report points towards rate cuts\, savers may see returns on easy-access and fixed savings accounts drift lower over the following months. \nJobs and wages: The unemployment rate and vacancy figures give a direct read on how easy it is to find or change jobs. Wage growth figures matter for anyone negotiating a pay rise or checking whether their pay is keeping up with the cost of living. \nPrices: Wage growth is one of the inputs the Bank of England watches for signs that inflation could persist\, because businesses often pass higher staff costs on to customers through prices. \nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: UK gilts\, the pound and London-listed shares can all move on this data\, since it shapes expectations for interest rates. A softer labour market that raises the odds of rate cuts can weaken sterling against the dollar and euro\, which affects the cost of imported goods and holidays abroad\, while also potentially supporting UK share prices sensitive to lower borrowing costs. Investors and pension savers with exposure to UK bonds or equities may see portfolio values shift on the day of release\, particularly if the figures surprise against whatever consensus forecast is eventually published. \nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: UK Labour Market Report\, November 2026\nUK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) release\, which the Bank of England reads alongside wage growth data when assessing inflation pressure\nBank of England Monetary Policy Committee interest rate decision\, which draws directly on labour market trends shown in this report\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the UK Labour Market Report released?\nThe December 2026 report is released at 7:00am London time on Tuesday\, December 15\, 2026\, which is 2:00am ET. \nWhat period does the December report cover?\nThe headline employment and unemployment figures cover the rolling three-month period expected to run from August to October 2026\, with a more up-to-date single-month estimate for payrolled employees. \nHow does this report affect UK interest rates?\nThe Bank of England uses labour market slack and wage growth as key gauges of domestic inflation pressure\, so a notably stronger or weaker report than expected can shift market expectations for the timing of future Bank Rate changes. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe report is published on the ONS release calendar and appears as a “Labour market overview\, UK” bulletin on the ONS website\, with full data tables available for download. \nWhen is the next UK Labour Market Report?\nONS labour market reports are published monthly\, so the next release is expected in mid-January 2027\, following the same rolling three-month reporting pattern. \n← Previous UK Labour Market Report
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/uk-labour-market-report-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261215T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261215T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104551Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104551Z
UID:1343-1797323400-1797327000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Producer Price Index December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Producer Price Index: Tuesday\, December 15\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Producer Price Index\nUS Producer Price Index December 2026: Preview\nThe US Producer Price Index (PPI) for November 2026 is scheduled for release on 15 December 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\, the monthly PPI report tracks average changes in selling prices received by domestic producers and is one of the most closely watched inflation gauges in the US economic calendar. \nProducer price inflation remained sharply elevated through the first half of 2026\, driven by the pass-through of import tariffs introduced in 2025\, rising energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions\, and strong demand for goods. The April 2026 reading of +6.0% year-over-year was the steepest annual increase since December 2022. With the Federal Reserve closely monitoring pipeline inflation ahead of its final policy meeting of the year\, the December PPI release carries particular weight. \nMarkets will be watching whether producer price pressures began to ease in November or whether elevated input costs continued to build momentum heading into year-end. The report lands just days before the FOMC Rate Decision December 2026\, amplifying its significance for bond and equity markets alike. \nWhat the Producer Price Index Is and Why It Matters\nThe Producer Price Index measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. Unlike the Consumer Price Index (CPI)\, which captures prices paid by end consumers\, the PPI reflects cost pressures at an earlier stage in the supply chain\, making it a useful leading indicator for future consumer inflation. \nThe BLS publishes three main PPI aggregates: final demand goods\, final demand services\, and the headline final demand index. Each is broken down further into thousands of commodity categories ranging from crude materials and processed foods to transportation and trade services. The headline index is released on a seasonally adjusted month-over-month (MoM) basis and an unadjusted year-over-year (YoY) basis\, allowing analysts to strip out seasonal patterns and compare the underlying trend. \nBecause producer prices often take several months to flow through to retail shelves\, a sustained increase in the PPI can foreshadow higher consumer prices\, influencing Federal Reserve policy decisions\, corporate margin expectations\, and fixed-income markets. The PPI is also used extensively in contracts and regulatory proceedings to escalate prices for long-term agreements. \nPPI Trend: Recent Readings\nUS producer price inflation accelerated markedly in 2026\, following a relatively contained period in mid-2025. The chart below summarises key recent readings: \n\n\n\nRelease Date\nReference Month\nYoY (Unadjusted)\nMoM (Seasonally Adjusted)\n\n\n\n\nJuly 2025\nJune 2025\n+2.3%\n—\n\n\nOctober 2025\nAugust 2025\n+2.6%\n—\n\n\nApril 2026\nMarch 2026\n+4.0%\n—\n\n\nMay 2026\nApril 2026\n+6.0%\n+1.4%\n\n\n15 Dec 2026\nNovember 2026\nConsensus TBC\nConsensus TBC\n\n\n\nThe April 2026 reading of +6.0% year-over-year was the largest 12-month advance since December 2022. The acceleration from +4.0% in March to +6.0% in April was attributed to a surge in trade service margins\, higher transportation costs\, and energy price volatility following escalating geopolitical tensions. Month-over-month\, final demand goods rose 2.0% in April while final demand services gained 1.2%\, both above expectations. \nTradingEconomics estimates project US producer prices running at approximately 7.2% by the end of Q3 2026 before moderating toward 3.0% in 2027 as the base effects of tariff-related shocks normalise. Whether that moderation has begun in November’s data is the central question for the December release. \nNo consensus estimate for the November 2026 PPI had been published at the time of writing. Markets will form expectations based on the October reading\, energy price movements in November\, and broader global supply-chain developments in the intervening months. \nWhat to Watch on 15 December 2026\nSeveral sub-components will be under close scrutiny when the BLS releases the November 2026 PPI: \nFinal demand goods vs. services split. In April 2026\, goods prices rose 2.0% month-over-month while services gained 1.2%. A moderation in goods prices — particularly if import tariff effects begin to diminish — would signal a healthier pipeline for consumer goods inflation in early 2027. If services inflation stays sticky\, it points to a more durable core inflation problem. \nCore PPI excluding food and energy. The Federal Reserve pays close attention to core measures that strip out volatile components. If core producer prices remain elevated in November\, the case for maintaining a restrictive federal funds rate well into 2027 is strengthened. Analysts will compare the core reading against September and October figures to assess the trend direction. \nTrade services margins. Tariff-driven margin expansion among wholesalers and retailers has been a key driver of headline PPI throughout 2026. A moderation in trade services would be a positive sign that pricing power is beginning to normalise as supply chains adjust. A further widening would suggest businesses are still passing costs down the chain. \nEnergy sub-index. Energy prices can shift the headline PPI significantly month-to-month. If crude oil prices declined materially during November 2026\, the energy sub-index would likely dampen the goods component and pull down the headline reading. Conversely\, any oil price spike in November would add to inflationary pressure. \nTransportation and warehousing costs. Supply-chain bottlenecks and elevated freight costs have been persistent themes in 2026. A moderation in this category would signal improving logistics conditions and reduced cost pressure on goods producers and retailers. \nMarket Reaction\nProducer price data primarily moves bond markets\, but a surprise relative to consensus can ripple across asset classes: \n\nTreasuries: A stronger-than-expected PPI print typically pushes US Treasury yields higher and prices lower\, as markets price in a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance. A softer reading would do the opposite\, supporting Treasury prices.\nUS Dollar: Elevated producer inflation can support the dollar by raising expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates. A downside surprise could weaken the dollar as rate expectations are repriced.\nEquities: Input cost pressures highlighted in the PPI weigh on corporate profit margin expectations\, particularly for goods producers\, industrials\, and consumer staples companies. A moderation in the PPI would be welcomed by equities as a sign that margin pressure may be easing.\nFOMC positioning: The December PPI lands just ahead of the FOMC Rate Decision December 2026\, making it one of the final data points the Fed digests before its year-end policy decision. A surprise in either direction could influence pre-meeting trading.\n\nThe proximity to year-end amplifies the market sensitivity of the report\, as portfolio managers engage in rebalancing and positioning for 2027 during the same period. \nHow PPI Fits into the Broader US Economic Picture\nThe November 2026 PPI release lands at a critical juncture in the US inflation cycle. The US CPI Report December 2026\, which covers the same November reference month\, is also scheduled for mid-December. Together\, the two reports will give markets a comprehensive view of the current state of the US inflation pipeline — both at the producer and consumer level. \nProducer price inflation in 2026 has been driven primarily by the tariff environment introduced in 2025\, which raised the cost of imported intermediate and finished goods. Domestic energy prices and geopolitical tensions have added a second layer of volatility. Whether those factors have begun to stabilise or reverse is the key question for the end of the year. \nLooking further ahead\, economists broadly expect PPI to trend lower through 2027 as tariff base effects normalise and global supply chains continue to adjust. TradingEconomics projects US producer prices around 3.0% in 2027 and 2.3% in 2028. However\, any renewed supply disruption\, escalation in trade policy\, or energy market shock could delay that normalisation significantly. The December 2026 PPI reading will provide an important early signal of whether the moderation path is on track. \nThe US Producer Price Index November 2026\, released on 13 November\, will provide the immediate baseline comparison for the December reading. Investors and policymakers will be comparing the two reports carefully to identify whether November’s data marks the beginning of a turning point. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat is the US Producer Price Index?\nThe PPI is a family of indices published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics that measures average changes in selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. It covers thousands of goods\, services\, and construction categories across the US economy. \nWhen is the November 2026 PPI released?\nThe BLS is scheduled to publish the November 2026 PPI data on 15 December 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time (13:30 GMT). \nHow does the PPI differ from the CPI?\nThe CPI measures prices paid by consumers at the retail level. The PPI measures prices received by producers at the wholesale and factory level. PPI is generally considered a leading indicator for CPI because producer costs often flow through to consumer prices over subsequent months. \nWhy has US PPI been so elevated in 2026?\nProducer price inflation accelerated sharply in 2026\, driven by the pass-through of import tariffs introduced in 2025\, rising energy costs\, and strong goods demand. The April 2026 reading of +6.0% year-over-year was the highest in over three years. \nWhy does the December PPI matter for the Fed?\nThe Federal Reserve monitors PPI alongside CPI and PCE inflation data. Persistently high PPI can signal ongoing inflationary pipeline pressure\, supporting a higher-for-longer rate stance. The December release falls immediately ahead of the FOMC Rate Decision December 2026\, giving it added market significance.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-producer-price-index-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261216T020000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261216T030000
DTSTAMP:20260826T023418Z
CREATED:20260826T023417Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T023418Z
UID:2245-1797386400-1797390000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:UK CPI Inflation December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next UK CPI Inflation: Wednesday\, December 16\, 2026 at 7:00 am GMT (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nNot yet published at time of writing (October 2026 CPI)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: UK CPI Inflation. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous UK CPI Inflation\nThe UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for November 2026 is due for release on Wednesday\, December 16\, 2026\, at 7:00 am London time (2:00 am ET)\, published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This report covers price changes across the economy for November 2026 and is one of the most closely watched economic releases of the month for the Bank of England\, the government and households alike. Full schedule and background: UK CPI report dates. \nWhat is the UK Consumer Prices Index?\nThe CPI tracks the average change in prices paid by UK households for a fixed basket of goods and services\, from food and fuel to rent\, clothing and leisure. The ONS updates the basket each year to reflect how people actually spend money\, then measures how much that basket would cost from one month to the next. \nTwo figures matter most. The headline rate includes everything in the basket\, including volatile items such as petrol and fresh food. The core rate strips out food\, energy\, alcohol and tobacco\, giving a steadier read on underlying price pressure in the economy. The Bank of England pays close attention to both\, but leans more heavily on core and services inflation when judging whether price growth is likely to persist. \nMarkets watch CPI because it feeds directly into the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions. A basis point is one hundredth of one percentage point\, and small shifts in the inflation data can move expectations for whether the Bank will raise\, hold or cut its base rate\, which in turn affects mortgage rates\, savings returns and the value of the pound. \nWhen is the November CPI report released?\nThe ONS will publish the November 2026 CPI report on Wednesday\, December 16\, 2026\, at 7:00 am London time\, which is 2:00 am ET. The release is published on the ONS release calendar and appears simultaneously on the ONS website as a full statistical bulletin with tables and a summary. The date follows the ONS’s standard practice of releasing CPI data around the middle of the month following the reference period\, so the November data appears in mid-December. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAt the time of writing\, a consensus forecast for the November 2026 CPI reading had not yet been published. City economists and data providers such as Reuters and Bloomberg typically issue their polled forecasts in the days immediately before the release\, once more of the underlying data\, including fuel prices and retailer pricing surveys\, is available. Readers wanting the latest polled figure closer to December 16\, 2026 should check the ONS release page or a financial data provider directly\, since forecasts can shift materially in the final week before publication. \nSimilarly\, the October 2026 CPI reading\, which would serve as the prior figure for this release\, was not independently verifiable from official sources at the time this preview was prepared. The table below will typically be completed with the prior month’s headline and core rates once the October data has been confirmed by the ONS. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (October 2026)\nConsensus (November 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI (year-on-year)\nTo be confirmed via ONS release\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore CPI (year-on-year)\nTo be confirmed via ONS release\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nSterling could firm and gilt yields rise as traders price in a lower chance of near-term Bank of England rate cuts\nPrices are rising faster than expected\, which may keep borrowing costs higher for longer\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nA broadly muted reaction\, since the print confirms the existing rate-cut or rate-hold path already priced into markets\nInflation is behaving roughly as expected\, so the Bank of England’s current stance is unlikely to change quickly\n\n\nBelow consensus\nGilt yields could fall and sterling may soften on expectations that the Bank of England has more room to cut rates\nPrices are cooling faster than expected\, which could eventually feed through to cheaper mortgages and loans\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities based on how markets have typically reacted to inflation surprises\, not predictions of what will happen on December 16\, 2026. Analysts such as those surveyed in Reuters polls generally caution that a single month’s data rarely changes the Bank of England’s policy path on its own. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nInflation has been the central issue shaping Bank of England policy since 2022\, when price growth spiked well above the Bank’s 2% target. Since then\, the Monetary Policy Committee has balanced the need to bring inflation back to target against the risk of slowing growth and pushing up unemployment. Every CPI print is scrutinised for signs of whether services inflation and wage growth\, both of which the Bank watches as gauges of domestic price pressure\, are cooling in a durable way. \nThe November reading also lands close to the Bank of England’s final Monetary Policy Committee meeting of 2026\, meaning it could be one of the last major data points policymakers see before setting rates into the new year. It will also be read alongside labour market and wage figures from the ONS\, since persistent wage growth above the level consistent with 2% inflation tends to keep the Bank cautious about cutting rates too quickly. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and loans: If CPI comes in hotter than expected\, expectations for Bank of England rate cuts can fade\, which tends to keep fixed mortgage rates and other borrowing costs higher for longer. A cooler than expected reading can have the opposite effect\, potentially feeding through to cheaper new fixed-rate mortgage deals over time.\nSavings: Higher inflation erodes the real value of cash sitting in savings accounts unless the interest rate paid keeps pace. Savers should compare their account rate with the CPI figure to judge whether their money is keeping up with the cost of living.\nJobs and wages: Inflation data is often paired with pay negotiations. If prices are rising faster than wages\, household budgets come under pressure\, which is one reason the Bank of England watches wage growth alongside CPI.\nInvestments and pensions: UK gilts (government bonds) and pension funds that hold them are sensitive to inflation surprises\, since higher inflation can reduce the real return on fixed-income investments. Equity markets can also move on rate expectations tied to the data.\nThe pound: Sterling often reacts to CPI surprises because they shift expectations for Bank of England policy relative to the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. A stronger pound makes imports cheaper and overseas holidays less expensive for UK travellers\, while a weaker pound has the opposite effect and can add to imported inflation for UK households and businesses trading with Europe and Asia.\n\nRelated events\n\nThe previous UK CPI release\, covering October 2026 data\, is available here: UK CPI Inflation November 2026.\nThe Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee decisions\, which respond directly to CPI trends\, are tracked on the site’s UK rate decision pages.\nUK labour market and average earnings data\, published separately by the ONS\, is often read alongside CPI to judge underlying inflation pressure.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the November 2026 UK CPI report released?\nThe ONS publishes the report at 7:00 am London time on December 16\, 2026\, which is 2:00 am ET. \nWhere can I find the official CPI release?\nThe full statistical bulletin is published on the ONS release calendar alongside downloadable tables and a plain-English summary. \nHow does CPI affect UK interest rates?\nThe Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee uses CPI\, particularly the core and services measures\, as a key input when deciding whether to raise\, hold or cut the base rate\, which in turn affects mortgage and savings rates across the country. \nWhat is the difference between headline and core CPI?\nHeadline CPI includes all items in the basket\, including volatile food and energy prices\, while core CPI strips these out to show underlying price pressure that is less affected by short-term swings. \nWhen is the next UK CPI report due?\nThe December 2026 CPI report\, covering the final month of the year\, is typically published by the ONS in mid-January 2027\, following the same monthly release pattern. \n← Previous UK CPI Inflation
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/uk-cpi-inflation-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261216T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261216T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104623Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104623Z
UID:1316-1797409800-1797413400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Retail Sales December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE): Wednesday\, December 16\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE). \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE)\nThe US Census Bureau publishes the advance estimate of retail and food services sales for November 2026 on 16 December 2026. November is the single most important month in the US retail calendar\, encompassing Black Friday (27 November 2026) and Cyber Monday (30 November 2026). The December release accordingly provides the first official read on the health of the 2026 holiday shopping season\, and is one of the most closely watched consumer data prints of the year. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nAt a Glance\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nDetail\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nInformation\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nRelease\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nAdvance Retail and Food Services Sales\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nReleasing Agency\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nUS Census Bureau\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nRelease Date\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n16 December 2026\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nReference Period\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nNovember 2026\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nRelease Time\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n8:30 am Eastern Time\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nPrior Reading (April 2026)\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n+0.5% MoM / +4.9% YoY\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nFrequency\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nMonthly\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nMarket Impact\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nVery High\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nWhy November Is the Critical Month\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nNo monthly retail sales report attracts more attention than the November reading. The month contains Black Friday on 27 November 2026\, historically the single largest shopping day in the US calendar\, and Cyber Monday on 30 November\, which has grown into one of the most significant online spending events globally. Combined\, the five-day period from Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday (the “Cyber Five”) represents a disproportionate share of fourth-quarter and full-year retail volumes for many merchants. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe official Census Bureau data provides the definitive measure of how well the 2026 holiday season opened\, filling in and contextualising the partial and often conflicting early estimates published by payment networks\, retail federations\, and industry trackers. A strong November print is typically interpreted as a positive signal for the December holiday spending period; a weak reading raises concerns about consumer confidence and the trajectory of full-year personal consumption. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nWhat the Report Measures\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe advance retail sales report covers total receipts at stores selling merchandise and at food services establishments across 13 major categories. The Census Bureau surveys approximately 5\,500 firms monthly and publishes the advance estimate before two subsequent revisions. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe four headline figures for November are: \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nTotal retail and food services sales — the broadest measure\, seasonally adjusted month-on-month change.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSales excluding motor vehicles and parts — strips out the most volatile single component.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSales excluding motor vehicles and petrol — removes vehicle and fuel effects to focus on broader consumer discretionary and staples spending.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe control group — excludes motor vehicles\, fuel stations\, building materials\, and food services. This feeds directly into the GDP personal consumption expenditures calculation and is the most analytically significant subcomponent for economists modelling Q4 growth.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nContext: The 2026 Holiday Season Build-Up\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe US Retail Sales November 2026 release on 17 November\, covering October spending\, will provide the immediate backdrop for interpreting the December report. Strong October momentum would set a higher base for November\, making a repeated month-on-month gain more demanding but year-on-year comparisons more meaningful. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe labour market reading for November\, released in the US Employment Situation (December 2026) on 4 December\, will indicate whether the income and employment foundation for holiday spending remained solid heading into the Black Friday period. A strong jobs report would reinforce consumer confidence; a soft reading could raise concerns about discretionary spending capacity. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nWhat to Watch\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nBlack Friday and Cyber Monday volumes. Several industry bodies and payment processors publish advance spending estimates for the Cyber Five period in late November and early December. These previews\, while methodologically distinct from the Census Bureau data\, provide directional guidance on the official release. Significant divergence between industry estimates and the Census reading can indicate either methodological differences or genuine complexity in seasonal adjustment. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nNon-store retailers and e-commerce. Online retail has become the dominant engine of Black Friday and Cyber Monday spending growth. The non-store retail category in the Census data is the most direct measure of e-commerce volumes. A strong performance in this subcomponent would confirm continuing market share gains for digital retail versus physical stores. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nInflation context from the CPI. The US CPI Report (December 2026)\, released 10 December and covering November prices\, will appear before this retail sales report. The November CPI will indicate whether Black Friday promotional discounting pushed prices measurably lower or whether underlying inflationary pressures remained intact. Heavy discounting could result in strong volume growth with flat or declining nominal revenues\, compressing the headline retail figure. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nGeneral merchandise and department stores. These categories are most directly exposed to holiday gift buying. A strong performance in general merchandise alongside robust non-store retail would signal broad-based holiday spending health. Weakness concentrated in physical general merchandise alongside strength online would signal continued channel shift rather than overall demand softness. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nMotor vehicles. Vehicle sales are a less seasonal component in November than in other months\, but Ward’s vehicle sales data and industry reports released earlier in December provide an advance read. The auto component can shift the headline figure independently of underlying consumer trends. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nKey Sectors to Monitor\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nNon-store retailers — The highest-growth category and the primary vehicle for Black Friday and Cyber Monday spending. Performance here is the single most important subcomponent in the November release.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nGeneral merchandise stores — Traditional retail beneficiaries of holiday shopping. Includes department stores and large-box retailers running Black Friday promotions.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nElectronics and appliances — A perennial Black Friday category where deep promotional discounts drive significant volume. Strong performance signals consumer willingness to spend on big-ticket items.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nClothing and accessories — A significant gift category in November. Performance here reflects both consumer confidence and the effectiveness of holiday promotional strategies.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nFood services and drinking places — Thanksgiving week typically produces a temporary dip in restaurant visits\, partially recovered into the rest of the month. The net effect on monthly data depends on the timing of Thanksgiving relative to the prior year.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n  \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nBuilding materials and garden equipment — Expected to remain subdued in November\, a seasonally quiet period for this category across most of the country.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nMarket Implications\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe December retail sales release lands 7 days after the FOMC Rate Decision on 9 December\, so it will not influence that meeting directly. However\, it will shape Federal Reserve thinking about fourth-quarter consumer dynamics and inform early assessments of 2027 prospects. The report arrives alongside the US Personal Income and Outlays (PCE) release on 23 December\, which will together paint a comprehensive picture of November consumer activity for the Fed’s year-end assessment. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nFor financial markets\, the November retail sales print has an outsized emotional significance beyond its mechanical economic impact. A strong reading confirms that the consumer sector entered the holiday season in good health\, supporting equity markets broadly and consumer discretionary stocks in particular. Retailers with large Black Friday and online sales exposure tend to react most sharply to upside or downside surprises in this release. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nIn currency and bond markets\, a strong report raises the prospect of sustained above-trend consumption carrying into 2027\, reducing Fed easing expectations and pushing yields higher. A weak reading heightens fears about consumer fatigue after a multi-year period of elevated inflation and higher interest rates\, supporting Treasuries and weighing on the US dollar. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nHow to Read the Release\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nThe Census Bureau publishes the advance retail sales report at 8:30 am Eastern Time. The release document provides seasonally adjusted and unadjusted month-on-month and year-on-year percentage changes across all 13 retail categories. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nFor November\, analysts typically follow a five-step reading sequence: first\, the headline seasonal adjustment and whether November’s Black Friday boost was captured as expected; second\, the ex-vehicles and ex-petrol figure for the underlying trend; third\, the control group reading for GDP implications; fourth\, category composition\, paying particular attention to non-store retail and general merchandise; and fifth\, revisions to October’s advance estimate (from the November release on 17 November)\, which may shift the month-on-month comparison base. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nGiven that this report provides the first official measure of Black Friday 2026 spending\, market reaction is often amplified relative to other monthly retail releases. Both the absolute level of the reading and the composition across categories will be scrutinised closely by retailers\, investors\, and policymakers as they set their expectations for the remainder of the holiday shopping period through December. \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n]]>
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-retail-sales-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261216T091500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261216T101500
DTSTAMP:20260902T104704Z
CREATED:20260902T104704Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T104704Z
UID:2481-1797412500-1797416100@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Industrial Production December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Industrial Production: Wednesday\, December 16\, 2026 at 9:15 am ET (2:15 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nNot independently verified at time of publication\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Industrial Production. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Industrial Production\nThe US Industrial Production report for November 2026 is released on Wednesday\, December 16\, 2026 at 9:15 am ET (2:15 pm London) by the Federal Reserve Board\, as part of its G.17 statistical release. Full schedule and background: US Industrial Production. \nWhat is industrial production?\nIndustrial production is a monthly index compiled by the Federal Reserve that measures the real (inflation-adjusted) output of factories\, mines and utilities across the United States. It is one of the oldest continuous economic series the Fed publishes and is used to track the health of the goods-producing side of the economy\, which is smaller than the services sector but historically more sensitive to interest rates\, energy prices and global demand. \nThe index is built from physical measures of output\, such as tonnes of steel or barrels of oil processed\, and dollar-value data\, combined using a Fisher-ideal index formula. Alongside the headline number\, the Fed publishes a related measure called capacity utilisation\, which shows what proportion of the country’s industrial capacity is actually being used. A rising utilisation rate can be an early signal of pipeline inflation pressure\, because factories running near full capacity often need to raise prices or wages to meet demand. \nMarkets watch the report because manufacturing and mining activity feed directly into gross domestic product and because the series is closely tied to global trade. A slowdown in US industrial output often mirrors\, or is mirrored by\, weaker manufacturing surveys in the eurozone\, the UK and China\, making this a genuinely global indicator rather than a purely domestic one. \nWhen is the November industrial production report released?\nThe Federal Reserve Board publishes the report on its official G.17 release page at 9:15 am Eastern Time on December 16\, 2026\, which is 2:15 pm in London. The release covers activity during November 2026. The Fed typically publishes industrial production data in the middle of the following month\, though the exact publication date can shift slightly around holidays and government shutdowns affecting related source data. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the November 2026 industrial production report has not yet been published at the time of writing\, and the previous month’s confirmed reading was not available from a verifiable public source when this page was prepared. Once economists surveyed by Reuters\, Bloomberg or similar polling services publish a median forecast\, and once the Federal Reserve confirms the October 2026 print\, this page will be updated with attributed figures. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nIndustrial production (month-on-month)\nPending confirmation\nNot yet published\n\n\nCapacity utilisation rate\nPending confirmation\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nReaders who need the confirmed prior reading ahead of publication should consult the Federal Reserve’s own G.17 industrial production and capacity utilisation release directly. \nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nSeen as a sign of resilient factory demand\, potentially reinforcing expectations that the Fed can hold rates steady or move more gradually on cuts\nFactories and mines produced more than expected\, which can support jobs and wages in manufacturing regions but may also keep inflation pressure alive if capacity is stretched\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nTypically a limited market reaction\, since traders had already priced in the expected outcome\nThe industrial economy is behaving roughly as forecast\, so borrowing costs and stock market pricing are unlikely to shift much on this release alone\n\n\nBelow consensus\nOften read as evidence of a cooling goods sector\, which can add to expectations of future interest rate cuts\nWeaker output could mean softer demand for raw materials and components\, which can eventually show up as slower hiring or shorter working hours in factories\n\n\n\nThese are possible market interpretations\, not predictions. Actual reactions depend on the rest of the economic backdrop\, including the labour market and inflation data released around the same time. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nIndustrial production sits alongside employment and inflation data as one of the inputs the Federal Reserve weighs when setting interest rates\, because sustained weakness in factory output can be an early warning of a broader slowdown\, while persistent strength can signal that the economy still has momentum despite higher borrowing costs. The series is also watched by investors in industrial and materials companies\, since it offers a timelier read on demand than quarterly earnings reports. \nGlobally\, US manufacturing trends are linked to demand for exports from Germany\, Japan\, South Korea and China\, so a material change in the US figure can move sentiment in overseas industrial and mining shares. Currency traders also watch the release because a stronger-than-expected US industrial economy can support the dollar if it reduces the odds of near-term rate cuts\, while a weak print can weigh on the dollar against the pound and the euro. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and loan rates: Industrial production does not move mortgage rates on its own\, but a run of weak readings can add to a broader case for the Fed to cut interest rates\, which over time can filter through to lower borrowing costs for mortgages and car loans.\nSavings: If the data feeds expectations of rate cuts\, savers holding cash in high-yield savings accounts or money market funds may eventually see the interest paid on those accounts drift lower.\nJobs and wages: Factory and mining output is closely tied to hiring in manufacturing states. A sustained slowdown can mean fewer overtime hours or hiring freezes in these sectors\, while stronger output can support wage growth in industrial regions.\nInvestments and pensions: Industrial and materials companies held in pension funds and index trackers tend to be sensitive to this data\, so unexpected strength or weakness can move share prices in sectors such as steel\, machinery and energy.\nCurrencies: A surprise in either direction can nudge the dollar against the pound and euro\, which affects the cost of imported goods and the returns UK and European investors get when they convert dollar assets back into their home currency.\n\nRelated events\n\nUS Industrial Production\, October 2026 data\nUS retail sales\, published around the same week each month\nThe Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions\, which weigh industrial output alongside employment and inflation\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the November 2026 industrial production report released?\nThe Federal Reserve Board publishes the report at 9:15 am ET (2:15 pm London time) on December 16\, 2026. \nHow do I read the industrial production number?\nThe headline figure is a percentage change from the prior month in the seasonally adjusted index. A positive number means factories\, mines and utilities produced more than the month before; a negative number means output fell. \nDoes industrial production affect Federal Reserve interest rate decisions?\nIt is one of several indicators the Fed monitors alongside employment and inflation data. It rarely moves policy on its own but contributes to the overall picture policymakers use when deciding whether to hold\, cut or raise rates. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe data is published directly by the Federal Reserve Board on its G.17 statistical release page\, which includes the headline index\, capacity utilisation and detailed industry breakdowns. \nWhen is the next industrial production report?\nThe Federal Reserve typically publishes industrial production data in the middle of the following month\, so the December 2026 data is expected in mid-January 2027\, though the exact date should be confirmed on the official release calendar nearer the time. \n← Previous US Industrial Production
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-industrial-production-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261216T193000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261216T203000
DTSTAMP:20260826T024006Z
CREATED:20260826T024006Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T024006Z
UID:2247-1797449400-1797453000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Australia Labour Force December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Australia Labour Force: Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 at 11:30 am AEDT (7:30 pm ET\, 12:30 am London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n4.4% unemployment rate (May 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Australia Labour Force. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Australia Labour Force\nThe Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) publishes its Labour Force\, Australia release on Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 at 11:30 am AEDT\, which is 7:30 pm ET on Wednesday\, December 16 in the United States and 12:30 am on December 17 in London. This print covers the labour market survey for November 2026 and includes the unemployment rate\, employment change\, participation rate and hours worked. Full schedule and background: Australia Labour Force. \nWhat is the Australia Labour Force report?\nThe Labour Force survey is Australia’s main monthly measure of employment and unemployment. Each month the ABS surveys around 26\,000 households\, asking whether people worked\, were looking for work\, or were out of the labour force entirely in the reference week. From these answers it calculates the unemployment rate (the share of the labour force without a job but actively seeking one)\, the participation rate (the share of the working-age population either working or looking for work) and the change in total employment\, split between full-time and part-time roles. \nMarkets watch this release closely because the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) treats the labour market as one of its two main inputs\, alongside inflation\, when setting the cash rate. A tight jobs market with rising wages tends to keep the RBA cautious about cutting rates\, while a rising unemployment rate and falling hours worked can build the case for policy easing. Because Australia’s economy is closely tied to China and to global commodity demand\, the data also carries signal value for currency traders in Asia and Europe watching the Australian dollar. \nUnderemployment\, the share of part-time workers who want more hours but cannot get them\, is published alongside the headline figures and is often cited by economists as a better guide to slack in the labour market than the unemployment rate alone. \nWhen is the November 2026 Labour Force report released?\nAccording to the ABS release calendar\, the November 2026 Labour Force data is scheduled for release on December 17\, 2026 at 11:30 am AEDT (7:30 pm ET\, 12:30 am London time). The figures are published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on its website and are not subject to embargo for retail investors\, meaning the numbers become public the moment the release goes live. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the November 2026 unemployment rate and employment change had not been published at the time of writing. Economist forecasts for a specific month’s labour force data are typically compiled by data providers such as Reuters and Bloomberg only in the days immediately before release\, once October and any preliminary indicators are known. The most recently confirmed reading available from the ABS at the time this preview was prepared was for May 2026\, when the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate eased to 4.4 per cent\, according to data compiled by Trading Economics from the official release. Readers checking closer to December 17 should expect that several further monthly prints\, including the October 2026 data due around November 19\, 2026\, will have been published and will form the actual prior for this release. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (most recently confirmed)\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nUnemployment rate\n4.4% (May 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nEmployment change\n+40\,300 (May 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus (unemployment rate rises more than expected\, or employment falls)\nCould be read as a sign of a cooling labour market\, supporting expectations that the RBA has room to hold or cut the cash rate; the Australian dollar has tended to soften on weaker jobs prints\nMore people struggling to find work\, or fewer new jobs created than economists expected\, which can feed through to weaker wage growth\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nGenerally treated as a non-event for interest rate expectations\, with limited moves in Australian government bond yields or the currency\nThe labour market is behaving broadly as expected\, so little changes for borrowers or savers\n\n\nBelow consensus (unemployment rate falls more than expected\, or employment beats forecasts)\nCan be read as a sign of continued labour market tightness\, which some economists argue reduces the urgency for the RBA to cut rates further\nMore jobs being created or fewer people out of work than expected\, generally a positive for household income but potentially a reason for the RBA to stay cautious on rate cuts\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities discussed by economists and should not be read as predictions of what will actually happen on December 17\, 2026. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThrough the first half of 2026 the Australian labour market showed signs of loosening after several years of historically low unemployment. The ABS recorded the unemployment rate climbing to 4.5 per cent in April 2026\, a level not seen in several years\, before easing back to 4.4 per cent in May 2026 as employment rebounded by 40\,300\, according to the official ABS release and data compiled by Trading Economics. This followed a period in which the rate had held at 4.3 per cent for several months\, including in November 2025 and March 2026\, based on ABS media releases. \nThe RBA has repeatedly said it is watching the labour market for evidence of how much slack remains in the economy before deciding on further changes to the cash rate. A weaker-than-expected November 2026 reading\, if employment growth stalls or unemployment climbs further\, would likely be read by traders as increasing the odds of a rate cut at a subsequent RBA meeting\, while a stronger reading could reinforce a more cautious stance. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: Australian home loan rates are heavily influenced by RBA cash rate decisions\, which in turn respond to labour market data. A weak jobs report can raise the odds of a future rate cut priced in by markets\, which may flow through to lower fixed mortgage rates over time; a strong report can do the opposite.\nSavings: Term deposit and savings account rates in Australia tend to move with the cash rate outlook\, so a shift in labour market expectations can change what banks offer savers in the months ahead.\nJobs and wages: The report directly measures whether it is getting easier or harder to find work in Australia\, and sustained weakness has historically preceded slower wage growth.\nInvestments and pensions: Australian shares\, particularly banks and retailers\, and superannuation balances can react to shifts in interest rate expectations driven by labour market surprises.\nCurrencies: The Australian dollar (AUD) often moves on this data because it changes expectations for RBA policy; a softer jobs report can weaken the currency against the US dollar\, the pound and the euro\, affecting the cost of Australian exports and imports and mattering to anyone holding AUD-denominated assets or planning travel to or from Australia.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: Australia Labour Force\, November 2026\nFull schedule and background: Australia Labour Force hub page\nRBA cash rate decisions\, which react closely to this data series\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the November 2026 Australia Labour Force report released?\nThe report is scheduled for release at 11:30 am AEDT on December 17\, 2026\, which is 7:30 pm ET on December 16 and 12:30 am London time on December 17. \nHow do I read the unemployment rate figure?\nA falling unemployment rate generally signals a tightening labour market\, while a rising rate signals more people are out of work and actively looking\, which is often read as a sign of a slowing economy. \nHow does this data affect Australian interest rates?\nThe Reserve Bank of Australia uses labour market strength alongside inflation to judge whether the economy needs looser or tighter monetary policy\, so persistent weakness or strength in this report can shift expectations for the cash rate. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe official data is published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on its Labour Force\, Australia page. \nWhen is the next Labour Force report after this one?\nThe following month’s data\, covering December 2026\, is scheduled for release by the ABS on January 21\, 2027 at 11:30 am AEDT\, based on the ABS release calendar. \n← Previous Australia Labour Force
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/australia-labour-force-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261217T043000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261217T053000
DTSTAMP:20260902T105118Z
CREATED:20260902T105118Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T105118Z
UID:2485-1797481800-1797485400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Germany Ifo Business Climate December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Germany Ifo Business Climate: Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 at 10:30 am CET (4:30 am ET\, 9:30 am London). \n\nConsensus\n88.2 expected (per Reuters-polled analysts)\nPrior\n88.1 (November 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Germany Ifo Business Climate. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Germany Ifo Business Climate\nThe Germany Ifo Business Climate index for December 2026 is released on Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 at 10:30 am CET (4:30 am ET\, 9:30 am London time) by the ifo Institute in Munich. The survey covers business sentiment among German firms during December 2026 and is one of the most closely watched leading indicators for the eurozone’s largest economy. Full schedule and background: Germany Ifo Business Climate. \nWhat is the Ifo Business Climate index?\nThe Ifo Business Climate index is a monthly survey of around 9\,000 German companies across manufacturing\, construction\, wholesale\, retail and services. Firms are asked to rate their current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. The two components are combined into a single headline figure\, expressed as an index level rather than a percentage\, with values above the historical average signalling optimism and values below it signalling caution. \nBecause it is a survey rather than hard output data\, the Ifo index tends to move ahead of official figures such as industrial production or GDP\, which is why economists\, the Bundesbank and the European Central Bank treat it as an early warning signal for turning points in the German economy. A sharp swing in the index\, particularly in the expectations component\, often prompts discussion of whether momentum is building or fading in Europe’s manufacturing and export sector. \nThe index also feeds into currency and bond market pricing. Since Germany accounts for a large share of eurozone output\, weak or strong Ifo readings can move the euro and shift expectations for European Central Bank policy\, with knock-on effects for borrowing costs across the currency bloc. \nWhen is the December Ifo Business Climate index released?\nThe ifo Institute publishes the December reading on Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 at 10:30 am CET (4:30 am ET\, 9:30 am London). The release appears on the ifo Institute’s official Business Climate Index page and is distributed simultaneously to data providers and news wires. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA precise consensus for the December 2026 release had not been widely published at the time of writing\, but the pattern from recent releases gives a guide. According to FXStreet\, analysts had expected the headline index to edge higher to around 88.2\, from a prior reading near 88.1\, with the Current Assessment component seen ticking up to about 85.7 and the Expectations component easing slightly to around 90.5. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (November 2026)\nConsensus (December 2026)\n\n\n\n\nBusiness Climate (headline)\n88.1\n88.2\n\n\nCurrent Assessment\n85.6\n85.7\n\n\nExpectations\n90.6\n90.5\n\n\n\nThese figures should be treated as indicative rather than final\, since consensus estimates can shift in the days before release as new data and surveys arrive. \nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nEuro could firm and eurozone bond yields may tick up\, as traders read stronger sentiment as reducing the case for further ECB rate cuts\nGerman firms feel more confident about current trading and the outlook\, which historically points to steadier factory output and hiring in the following months\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nMuted reaction\, with attention shifting quickly to other eurozone data due the same day\nBusiness mood is developing broadly as expected\, offering no fresh signal about the direction of the German economy\n\n\nBelow consensus\nEuro could soften and some traders may add to bets on further ECB easing\, as weak sentiment reinforces concerns about German industry\nFirms are more pessimistic than expected\, which can be an early sign of softer investment\, hiring or export orders ahead\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions discussed by analysts\, not predictions\, and actual moves depend on other data released the same day and the broader tone of markets at the time. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nGermany’s Ifo index has spent much of 2026 recovering slowly from a weak patch in late 2025\, when the headline reading fell to its lowest level since May of that year\, according to ING research cited alongside the December 2025 print. Ifo president Clemens Fuest has repeatedly flagged that firms remain cautious about trade uncertainty and export demand even as domestic conditions have shown some improvement\, a theme echoed in commentary from Trading Economics around the February 2026 reading\, which noted stronger domestic demand and fiscal stimulus supporting sentiment. \nThe European Central Bank watches the Ifo survey closely alongside hard data such as industrial output and the eurozone HICP inflation figures\, because it offers an early read on whether the currency bloc’s largest economy is gaining or losing momentum. With the ECB weighing whether further rate cuts are needed in 2026\, a run of Ifo readings that surprises in either direction can shift market expectations for the path of eurozone interest rates. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing costs: A stronger than expected Ifo reading can nudge eurozone bond yields higher\, which over time can feed into mortgage and loan rates in Germany and other eurozone countries. A weak reading can have the opposite effect\, supporting expectations of lower rates.\nSavings: Savers in the eurozone should watch whether weak sentiment data adds to expectations of further European Central Bank rate cuts\, which would tend to lower returns on savings accounts and deposits over time.\nJobs and wages: The Ifo survey’s expectations component is watched as an early signal for hiring intentions in German manufacturing and services\, sectors that also support demand for goods and workers across the wider European supply chain\, including in the UK and Central Europe.\nPrices: Business sentiment does not directly set prices\, but persistent weakness in German industry can weigh on demand for imported goods\, including from UK and Asian exporters\, while a stronger reading can support demand and pricing power.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: European equity markets\, particularly German-listed exporters and industrial firms\, often react to the Ifo release\, and any move in the euro against the dollar and pound can affect the value of European holdings in pension funds and investment portfolios held in the UK and elsewhere.\n\nRelated events\n\nGermany Ifo Business Climate\, November 2026\nEurozone HICP inflation data\, released around the same period each month\nEuropean Central Bank monetary policy decisions\, which weigh survey data such as the Ifo index alongside hard economic figures\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the December Ifo Business Climate index released?\nIt is released at 10:30 am CET (4:30 am ET\, 9:30 am London time) on Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 by the ifo Institute. \nHow should I read the Ifo Business Climate index?\nHigher readings signal improving business sentiment in Germany\, while lower readings signal caution or pessimism among firms about current conditions and the six-month outlook. \nDoes the Ifo index affect interest rates?\nIt does not set rates directly\, but the European Central Bank and market participants use it as one input when judging the strength of the eurozone economy and the likely path of monetary policy. \nWhere can I find the official Ifo release?\nThe official data is published on the ifo Institute’s Business Climate Index page. \nWhen is the next Ifo Business Climate release?\nThe next release covers January 2027 data and is typically published in the final week of that month\, following the ifo Institute’s usual monthly schedule. \n← Previous Germany Ifo Business Climate
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/germany-ifo-business-climate-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261217T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261217T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104628Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104628Z
UID:1344-1797496200-1797499800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts) December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts): Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts)\nUS New Residential Construction (Housing Starts) December 2026: Preview\nThe US Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) are scheduled to publish the New Residential Construction report for November 2026 on 17 December 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The monthly release covers housing starts\, building permits\, and housing completions\, offering one of the most comprehensive snapshots of US homebuilding activity available. \nHousing starts in 2026 have been characterised by volatility. After a strong March\, when starts hit 1\,507\,000 units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) — the highest level since December 2024 — April saw a pullback to 1\,465\,000 SAAR as elevated mortgage rates continued to weigh on single-family construction. The November 2026 report\, covering the autumn selling season\, will indicate whether builders have adjusted their output in response to demand signals or whether the broader housing market slowdown has deepened. \nThe December release is also significant in the context of ongoing debates about US housing supply. With affordability under sustained pressure and rental vacancy rates remaining tight\, policymakers and housing economists will be watching November’s starts and permits data closely for signs of sustained construction momentum heading into 2027. \nWhat the New Residential Construction Report Is and Why It Matters\nThe New Residential Construction report is a joint publication of the US Census Bureau and HUD\, released on the 12th working day of each month. It draws on a survey of builders and contractors to estimate the number of new housing units started\, permitted\, and completed during the reference month\, expressed as seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR). \nThe three main indicators in the report are: \n\nHousing starts: The number of new residential units on which construction has begun. Considered the headline figure and a key indicator of homebuilder confidence and near-term construction activity.\nBuilding permits: Authorisations issued for new residential units. As a leading indicator\, permits signal future starts activity over a one-to-three-month horizon.\nHousing completions: The number of units where construction has been finished. A lagging indicator that reflects the pipeline of homes moving toward the for-sale or rental market.\n\nEach indicator is further broken down by housing type: single-family (one-unit structures) and multi-family (two or more units\, predominantly apartment buildings). Single-family starts are more closely tied to the for-sale housing market and mortgage rates; multi-family starts reflect rental demand and developer financing conditions. \nBecause residential construction accounts for a significant share of US GDP and employs millions of workers in construction\, materials\, and related services\, the monthly housing starts report has broad macroeconomic implications beyond the property market alone. \nHousing Starts Trend: Recent Readings\nUS housing starts have been trending in a narrow range through 2026\, with month-to-month swings driven by weather\, mortgage rate movements\, and shifting builder sentiment. \n\n\n\nRelease Date\nReference Month\nTotal Starts (SAAR)\nSingle-Family (SAAR)\nMoM Change\n\n\n\n\nFebruary 2026\nJanuary 2026\n1\,487\,000\n—\n+7.2%\n\n\nMay 2026\nMarch 2026\n1\,507\,000\n1\,022\,000\n+10.8%\n\n\nJune 2026\nApril 2026\n1\,465\,000\n930\,000\n-2.8%\n\n\n17 Dec 2026\nNovember 2026\nConsensus TBC\nConsensus TBC\n—\n\n\n\nMarch 2026 was the standout month\, with total starts reaching 1\,507\,000 SAAR — a level not seen since December 2024 — following a 10.8% month-over-month surge. April’s reading of 1\,465\,000 SAAR represented a partial pullback\, with single-family starts falling 9.0% to 930\,000 as builders pulled back in the face of sustained mortgage rate pressure. Multi-family starts moved in the opposite direction in April\, rising 14.3% to 529\,000 SAAR as rental demand remained firm. \nBuilding permits in April 2026 reached 1\,442\,000 SAAR\, up 5.8% from March’s revised 1\,363\,000 — a signal that builders retained confidence in demand even as starts dipped. Completions came in at 1\,449\,000 SAAR in April\, 4.8% above March’s revised figure. \nHistorically\, US housing starts have averaged approximately 1\,431\,000 units since records began in 1959. Long-run forecasts from TradingEconomics project starts declining to around 1\,290\,000–1\,350\,000 by 2027-2028 as mortgage rates remain above historical averages and affordability constraints persist. \nWhat to Watch on 17 December 2026\nThe December 2026 release will be dissected for several signals: \nSingle-family vs. multi-family split. The divergence between single-family and multi-family starts has been a defining feature of the 2026 housing market. A recovery in single-family starts in November would suggest builders are finding buyers despite elevated mortgage rates. Continued strength in multi-family would reflect sustained rental demand but does not necessarily translate to improved homeownership affordability. \nBuilding permits as a leading indicator. Permits issued in November will indicate the pipeline of starts expected in December and January 2027. A significant drop in permits would be a cautionary signal for the near-term construction outlook; a rise would suggest builders are committing to new units despite uncertain demand conditions. \nRegional breakdown. The New Residential Construction report includes regional data for the Northeast\, Midwest\, South\, and West. The South typically accounts for the largest share of US starts; a marked shift in the regional mix can indicate weather disruptions\, local demand trends\, or regulatory factors affecting specific markets. \nCompletions and the supply pipeline. Housing completions in November will indicate how many units are being delivered to buyers and renters. High completions alongside soft starts would signal a drawdown of the construction pipeline — a potential supply constraint for 2027. Low completions despite strong permits would point to ongoing labour and materials delays. \nMortgage rate context. The November 2026 housing data will have been collected during a period defined by prevailing mortgage rates. If rates eased materially during the autumn\, November’s starts should reflect improved builder and buyer sentiment. If rates remained elevated\, subdued single-family starts would be expected. \nMarket Reaction\nHousing starts data have a moderate but meaningful impact on financial markets\, particularly when they diverge significantly from consensus: \n\nEquities: Homebuilder stocks (such as D.R. Horton\, Lennar\, and PulteGroup) tend to react directly to starts and permits data. A strong November report would lift builder sentiment; a weak reading could weigh on the sector. Materials and home improvement retailers are also sensitive to the report.\nTreasuries: Housing starts are an input into broader GDP and growth expectations. A strong starts report can push bond yields slightly higher on improved growth signals; a weak report can support Treasuries as a safe haven.\nMortgage-backed securities: Housing market health directly affects prepayment expectations and credit quality for mortgage-backed securities\, making the starts report relevant to fixed-income investors beyond plain-vanilla Treasuries.\nUS Dollar: Housing data rarely moves the dollar on its own\, but in combination with the December CPI and PPI releases scheduled for the same week\, cumulative inflation and growth signals could influence dollar positioning ahead of year-end.\n\nHow Housing Starts Fit into the Broader US Economic Picture\nThe November 2026 housing starts data arrives in the final weeks of a year defined by competing forces for US residential construction. On one hand\, elevated mortgage rates — which have remained above 7% for most of 2026 — have constrained affordability and tempered demand for new single-family homes. On the other\, a persistent shortage of existing homes for sale has kept demand for new builds relatively supported\, even as buyer purchasing power has been eroded. \nThe broader macroeconomic context is shaped by the Federal Reserve’s rate cycle. With inflation still above target and the Fed navigating when to begin easing policy\, the December 2026 housing starts report feeds directly into the economic dataset the FOMC reviews before its year-end decision. The FOMC Rate Decision December 2026 follows closely\, meaning housing data released the same week will inform market expectations for the policy statement. \nLonger-term\, the US housing market faces structural undersupply. Decades of underbuilding relative to household formation have created a deficit of units\, particularly in the affordable price range. Whether homebuilders can ramp up production sustainably — despite elevated land\, labour\, and materials costs — remains one of the defining questions for US housing over the next several years. Monthly starts data like the November 2026 report are the key measure of whether progress is being made. \nThe US New Residential Construction (Housing Starts) November 2026 report\, released on 18 November\, provides the immediate comparison point. Analysts will assess whether November’s figures confirm a stabilisation trend or reflect fresh softness in residential construction activity. The US CPI Report December 2026\, also due mid-month\, will add further context to the broader inflation and rate environment shaping builder and buyer decisions. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the New Residential Construction report measure?\nThe report measures housing starts\, building permits\, and housing completions for new residential units. It is published jointly by the US Census Bureau and HUD\, covering both single-family and multi-family residential construction activity. \nWhen is the November 2026 housing starts report released?\nThe Census Bureau is scheduled to release the November 2026 New Residential Construction data on 17 December 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time (13:30 GMT). \nWhat is a housing start?\nA housing start is recorded when excavation begins for the foundation of a new residential structure. It is the earliest point in the construction process captured by the monthly report and is considered the headline measure of homebuilding activity. \nWhy do building permits matter?\nBuilding permits are a leading indicator of housing starts. Builders typically obtain a permit before breaking ground\, so a rise in permits signals increased construction activity in the coming months. A drop in permits can foreshadow a slowdown in starts one to three months later. \nHow do interest rates affect housing starts?\nHigher mortgage rates raise monthly borrowing costs for homebuyers\, reducing affordability and demand. This can cause builders to slow new project starts. Conversely\, when rates fall\, buyer demand typically increases and builders respond by starting more new homes. The FOMC Rate Decision December 2026 will be watched closely for signals about the rate path into 2027.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-new-residential-construction-housing-starts-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261217T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261217T093000
DTSTAMP:20260902T105415Z
CREATED:20260902T105414Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T105415Z
UID:2489-1797496200-1797499800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Initial Jobless Claims: December 17\, 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nPending (week ending December 5\, 2026 release)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims\nUS Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending December 12\, 2026 are released on Thursday\, December 17\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London) by the US Department of Labor. The figure counts how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time in that week and is the most timely gauge of layoffs in the US labour market. Full schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of writing\, a consensus forecast for the week ending December 12\, 2026 has not yet been published. Economists’ estimates for weekly claims are typically released only a day or two before the report\, through surveys such as those run by Reuters and Bloomberg. Through most of 2026\, initial claims have run broadly in a 200\,000 to 235\,000 range\, according to data published by the St. Louis Federal Reserve (FRED). The prior week’s reading\, covering the week ending December 5\, 2026\, is due for release on December 10\, 2026\, and will set the baseline for this report. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nInitial claims\nPending (week ending December 5\, 2026 release)\nNot yet published\n\n\nContinuing claims\nPending (lagged by one week)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nBond yields may fall\, stocks could see rate-cut hopes rise\nMore people filing for benefits than expected\, a sign the labour market is cooling faster than thought\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\nThe labour market is behaving roughly as expected\, no fresh signal for the Federal Reserve\n\n\nBelow consensus\nYields may rise\, dollar could firm\nFewer layoffs than expected\, suggesting the jobs market remains resilient\n\n\n\nWhy it matters this week\nWeekly claims are one of the few real-time indicators of hiring and firing available to the Federal Reserve\, and policymakers watch them closely between the monthly non-farm payrolls reports. A run of low\, stable claims has generally supported the view that the US labour market remains resilient even as growth has slowed\, while any sustained rise towards the mid-200\,000s or beyond would be read as an early warning sign of weakening demand for workers. Because this report lands in the run-up to the Fed’s final policy decisions of the year\, traders will use it\, alongside continuing claims\, to gauge whether the central bank has room to keep cutting interest rates or needs to hold steady. \nThe reading also feeds into sentiment beyond US borders. A weaker US labour market typically weighs on the dollar\, which can lift the pound and euro\, while a resilient reading tends to support the dollar and can pressure European and Asian currencies and export-sensitive stocks. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nJobless claims move quickly\, but they matter for anyone with a mortgage\, savings account or pension. A run of higher-than-expected claims tends to push bond yields down\, which can eventually feed through to lower mortgage rates\, though banks usually take weeks to adjust pricing. It can also nudge the Federal Reserve towards cutting interest rates sooner\, which would gradually reduce returns on cash savings accounts. \nFor pensions and investments\, weak claims data can unsettle stock markets in the short term if it signals a slowing economy\, but it can also boost bond and equity prices longer term if investors expect lower interest rates. If you hold US dollar assets or are planning travel or purchases in dollars\, sharp moves in claims data can shift the pound-dollar and euro-dollar exchange rates within minutes of the 8:30 am ET release. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time are jobless claims released on December 17\, 2026?\nThe US Department of Labor publishes the figures at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm in London. \nWhat counts as a big miss versus consensus?\nMoves of more than around 15\,000 to 20\,000 above or below the consensus forecast are generally seen as significant enough to shift market expectations for the Federal Reserve. \nWhen is the next jobless claims report?\nThe next weekly report follows on Thursday\, December 24\, 2026\, covering the week ending December 19\, 2026\, unless the holiday schedule shifts the release date. \nWhere does this data come from?\nThe figures come from state unemployment insurance offices and are compiled and published weekly by the US Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration. \n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-initial-jobless-claims-december-17-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261217T183000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261217T193000
DTSTAMP:20260902T112724Z
CREATED:20260902T112724Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T112724Z
UID:2491-1797532200-1797535800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Japan CPI December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Japan CPI: Friday\, December 18\, 2026 at 8:30 am JST (6:30 pm ET\, 11:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nNot yet confirmed from the official October 2026 release\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Japan CPI. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Japan CPI\nJapan’s national Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November 2026 is released on Friday\, December 18\, 2026\, at 8:30 am Japan Standard Time\, which is 6:30 pm ET on December 17 and 11:30 pm in London on the same evening. The data is published by Japan’s Statistics Bureau\, part of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. Full schedule and background: Japan CPI. \nWhat is the Japan CPI?\nThe Consumer Price Index measures the average change in prices paid by households for a fixed basket of goods and services\, from food and energy to housing\, transport\, healthcare and education. It is Japan’s primary gauge of inflation and the figure the Bank of Japan (BOJ) watches most closely when setting interest rate policy. \nThe Statistics Bureau publishes three versions of the index each month: the headline CPI\, “core CPI” which strips out fresh food because its prices swing sharply with weather and harvests\, and “core-core CPI” which also excludes energy. The BOJ’s 2% inflation target is defined against the core measure\, so core CPI tends to attract the most attention from traders\, economists and journalists. \nMarkets watch this release because Japan spent decades battling deflation\, and any sustained move in core inflation shapes expectations for whether the BOJ will raise\, hold or adjust its policy rate. Because Japan is a major exporter and the yen is one of the world’s most traded currencies\, the release also moves foreign exchange and bond markets well beyond Tokyo. \nWhen is the November CPI released?\nThe November 2026 national CPI is scheduled for release on December 18\, 2026\, at 8:30 am local time\, published on the Statistics Bureau of Japan’s website. This date is confirmed rather than estimated\, following the bureau’s normal monthly schedule of releasing national CPI data roughly three weeks after the reference month ends. The previous release\, covering October 2026 data\, is available at Japan CPI November 2026. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAt the time of writing\, a consensus forecast for the November 2026 reading has not yet been published by major polling services such as Reuters or Bloomberg. Economist forecasts typically emerge in the days immediately before the release\, once October’s Tokyo CPI figures (an early proxy for the national number) are available. Similarly\, the prior reading for October 2026 national CPI has not yet been independently confirmed from the official release at the time this page was prepared; readers should check the Statistics Bureau of Japan release directly for the confirmed October figures once published. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (October 2026)\nConsensus (November 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI (YoY)\nNot yet confirmed\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore CPI\, ex fresh food (YoY)\nNot yet confirmed\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nThis page will be updated once official figures and a published consensus become available. \nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nYen could firm and Japanese government bond yields could rise\, as traders price a higher chance of BOJ tightening\nPrices are rising faster than expected\, which could bring the BOJ closer to raising interest rates\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited immediate market reaction\, since the data confirms the existing policy path\nInflation is behaving roughly as expected\, so no sudden change is likely from the BOJ\n\n\nBelow consensus\nYen could soften and expectations for BOJ tightening could be pushed further out\nPrices are rising more slowly than expected\, reducing pressure on the BOJ to raise rates soon\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions described by analysts\, not predictions of how the data will land. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Bank of Japan has spent the past two years cautiously moving away from decades of ultra-loose monetary policy\, gradually raising its policy rate from near zero as inflation persisted above its 2% target for an extended period\, according to commentary from banks such as ING and Standard Chartered covering earlier 2026 releases. Each CPI print feeds directly into the BOJ’s assessment of whether wage growth and services prices are strong enough to justify further rate increases\, or whether cost pressures are fading enough to keep policy on hold. \nEnergy and food prices have been particularly volatile through 2026\, with government subsidy changes and swings in global commodity markets adding noise to the headline number\, a pattern flagged repeatedly in Trading Economics’ coverage of Japan’s monthly releases. Because of this\, economists tend to focus on the core-core measure\, which strips out these swings\, to judge the underlying trend in domestic inflation. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nMortgages and borrowing: for homeowners in Japan\, a hotter-than-expected CPI print raises the odds of further BOJ rate rises\, which could push up variable mortgage rates over time. Outside Japan\, this matters mainly through global bond markets\, since Japanese investors are large holders of foreign government debt. \nSavings: Japanese savers have seen little return on deposits for years; a sustained rise in the BOJ’s policy rate would be the first step toward meaningfully higher savings rates domestically. \nJobs and wages: persistent inflation above target puts pressure on Japanese employers to keep raising wages\, which the BOJ watches as a sign that inflation is becoming self-sustaining rather than temporary. \nCurrencies: the yen tends to react quickly to CPI surprises. A stronger yen makes imports cheaper for Japanese households but can hurt exporters’ profits\, while a weaker yen has the opposite effect and can push up import costs\, including for energy and food. \nInvestments and pensions: Japanese equities and bonds\, along with funds that hold them\, can move on the data. Investors outside Japan holding global or Asia-focused funds may see some impact\, particularly if the yen moves sharply against the dollar or the pound. \nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: Japan CPI November 2026\, covering October 2026 data\nFull Japan CPI schedule and history: Japan CPI\nBank of Japan policy decisions\, which respond directly to these inflation readings\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Japan CPI for November 2026 released?\nIt is released at 8:30 am Japan Standard Time on December 18\, 2026\, which is 6:30 pm ET the previous evening and 11:30 pm in London. \nHow do I read the headline versus core CPI figures?\nHeadline CPI includes all items\, core CPI excludes fresh food\, and core-core CPI excludes both fresh food and energy; the BOJ’s 2% target refers to the core measure. \nHow does this release affect Bank of Japan interest rate decisions?\nPersistently high core inflation increases the likelihood the BOJ will raise or maintain higher interest rates\, while a slowdown reduces pressure for further tightening. \nHow does this release affect Bank of Japan interest rate decisions?\nPersistently high core inflation increases the likelihood the BOJ will raise or maintain higher interest rates\, while a slowdown reduces pressure for further tightening. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe data is published directly by the Statistics Bureau of Japan. \nWhen is the next Japan CPI release after this one?\nThe following national CPI release\, covering December 2026 data\, is typically published around three weeks into the following month\, in line with the Statistics Bureau’s regular schedule. \n← Previous Japan CPI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/japan-cpi-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261218T020000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261218T030000
DTSTAMP:20260902T112853Z
CREATED:20260902T112853Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T112853Z
UID:2493-1797559200-1797562800@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:UK Retail Sales December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next UK Retail Sales: Friday\, December 18\, 2026 at 7:00 am GMT (2:00 am ET\, 7:00 am London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nNot yet confirmed (October 2026 data)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: UK Retail Sales. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous UK Retail Sales\nThe Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes UK Retail Sales for November 2026 on Friday\, December 18\, 2026\, at 7:00 am London time (2:00 am ET). The release measures the value and volume of goods sold by UK retailers during November 2026\, giving the first hard evidence of how households spent in the run-up to Christmas. Full schedule and background: UK Retail Sales. \nWhat is the UK Retail Sales report?\nRetail Sales is a monthly survey run by the ONS covering around 5\,000 UK retailers\, from supermarkets and department stores to fuel retailers and online sellers. It reports two main figures: the change in sales volumes (the quantity of goods bought\, adjusted for price changes) and sales values (the cash amount spent\, unadjusted for inflation). Economists focus mainly on volumes because that strips out the effect of rising or falling prices and shows whether people are actually buying more or less. \nThe headline figure includes fuel\, which can be volatile because petrol and diesel prices swing with oil markets. Analysts also watch the “ex-fuel” measure\, which excludes automotive fuel and gives a cleaner read on discretionary spending in shops\, online and in supermarkets. \nMarkets watch retail sales because consumer spending makes up roughly 60% of UK GDP. A strong or weak reading feeds directly into the Bank of England’s assessment of demand in the economy and\, by extension\, its interest rate decisions. \nWhen is the November retail sales report released?\nThe ONS releases the November 2026 UK Retail Sales bulletin on December 18\, 2026\, at 7:00 am GMT (2:00 am ET). The data is published on the ONS website as part of its scheduled release calendar. This is the standard timetable: the ONS typically publishes retail sales for a given month around the middle of the following month. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAt the time of writing\, no consensus forecast for the November 2026 retail sales figures had been located in published economist surveys. A consensus forecast has not yet been published; City economists and data providers such as Reuters typically issue their median forecasts in the days immediately before the release. Similarly\, the exact prior reading for October 2026 retail sales could not be verified from the ONS’s official release at the time of writing\, since that October data print itself was not yet available to search. Readers should check the ONS release calendar or a live economic calendar closer to the date for the confirmed prior figure and consensus. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (October 2026)\nConsensus (November 2026)\n\n\n\n\nRetail sales\, month on month (all sectors)\nNot yet confirmed\nNot yet published\n\n\nRetail sales ex-fuel\, month on month\nNot yet confirmed\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nCould be read as a sign of resilient consumer demand\, potentially reducing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts\nHouseholds spent more than expected\, which may keep inflation pressure in shops higher for longer\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, as the figure would confirm the existing view of the economy\nSpending is behaving roughly as economists expected\, so little changes for borrowers or savers\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould support the case for the Bank of England to consider rate cuts sooner\, according to analysts who track consumer spending as a growth signal\nHouseholds are pulling back\, which can be a sign people are worried about their finances or facing higher costs elsewhere\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities discussed by economists and analysts\, not predictions of how the data will actually come in. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Bank of England watches consumer spending closely because it is one of the clearest signals of underlying demand in the economy\, alongside the labour market and wage growth. Retail sales data for November is particularly significant because it captures the start of the Christmas shopping period\, including Black Friday promotions\, giving an early signal of how households are approaching the festive season. Retailers\, analysts and the Treasury all use this print to gauge consumer confidence heading into the new year\, according to commentary from retail industry bodies such as the British Retail Consortium\, which publishes its own spending monitor ahead of the official ONS figures. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing: A stronger than expected retail sales figure can make the Bank of England more cautious about cutting interest rates\, which affects the cost of new mortgages and other loans. A weaker figure can have the opposite effect.\nSavings: Interest rates on savings accounts tend to track the Bank of England’s base rate\, so changes in rate expectations following this data can move the returns available on cash savings.\nJobs and wages: Weak retail spending can eventually feed through to hiring and pay decisions at retailers\, from supermarkets to high street chains\, particularly around the busy Christmas trading period.\nPrices: Retail sales values\, as opposed to volumes\, give a sense of how much price inflation is still showing up on the high street\, which matters for anyone budgeting for Christmas shopping.\nInvestments\, pensions and the pound: UK retail and consumer-facing shares\, as well as the value of the pound against the dollar and the euro\, can move on the day if the figures surprise markets\, since they shift expectations for Bank of England policy. This can also have knock-on effects for European exporters selling into the UK and for pension funds holding UK consumer stocks.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: UK Retail Sales\, October 2026 data\nBank of England interest rate decisions\, which weigh consumer spending data heavily in policy discussions\nUK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report\, which is read alongside retail sales to judge household spending power\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the November 2026 UK Retail Sales report released?\nThe ONS publishes the report at 7:00 am London time (2:00 am ET) on December 18\, 2026. \nHow should I read the retail sales figures?\nFocus on the month-on-month volume change and the ex-fuel measure\, as these strip out price effects and fuel price swings to show real changes in how much people are buying. \nHow does this data affect interest rates?\nThe Bank of England uses consumer spending trends\, including retail sales\, as one input when deciding whether to hold\, raise or cut its base rate\, which in turn affects mortgage and savings rates. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe data is published on the ONS release calendar and in the retail sales bulletin on the ONS website. \nWhen is the next UK Retail Sales report?\nThe following release will cover December 2026 data and is typically published around the middle of January 2027\, following the ONS’s usual monthly schedule. \n← Previous UK Retail Sales
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/uk-retail-sales-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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