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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261210T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261210T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104607Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104607Z
UID:1280-1796891400-1796895000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US CPI Report December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US CPI Report: Thursday\, December 10\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers November 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US CPI Report. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US CPI Report\nThe US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November 2026 on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The release will provide the penultimate inflation reading of 2026\, arriving the day after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) delivers its final rate decision of the year on December 9\, 2026. \n\n  At a Glance \n\nRelease date: Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. ET\nPublishing body: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\nReference month: November 2026\nMost recent reading: 3.8% YoY (April 2026)\nMarket impact: High\n\n\nWhat is the Consumer Price Index?\nThe Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) is the most widely followed measure of inflation in the United States. Published monthly by the BLS\, it tracks changes in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services covering approximately 93% of the US population. The basket includes categories such as housing\, food\, transport\, energy\, medical care\, apparel\, and recreation\, with housing carrying the largest weighting at around 32%. \nThe BLS collects price data from tens of thousands of retail and service establishments. The index is expressed as the year-over-year (YoY) rate and the month-over-month (MoM) change. Core CPI\, excluding food and energy\, is the metric most closely watched by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) for underlying inflation trends. \nCPI is released roughly 12 to 13 days after the reference month ends. The December 2026 release covers price changes in November 2026 and will contribute to the full-year inflation picture for 2026. \nUS CPI Release: December 10\, 2026\nThe December 10 release will provide the November 2026 inflation reading\, arriving one day after the FOMC meets on December 9. While the data will not influence the December rate decision directly (the Fed will already have made its call)\, it will immediately shape market expectations for the path of monetary policy in 2027. Strong inflationary persistence would push back the anticipated timeline for rate cuts; a confirmed deceleration would accelerate them. \nUS inflation started 2026 at 2.4% year-over-year in January before surging to 3.8% in April\, the highest rate since May 2023\, according to BLS data. The energy component rose 17.9% year-over-year in April\, with gasoline prices up 28.4%. The December reading will reveal whether those energy-driven price rises have faded through favourable base effects or have entrenched into broader price pressures. Consensus forecasts will be available closer to the release date. \nWhy This CPI Release Matters\nThe December CPI is the last major inflation data point of 2026 and will set the inflation narrative going into 2027. It follows the FOMC decision by just one day\, meaning the December 10 release will immediately begin shaping expectations for the January and March 2027 meetings. If the Fed cuts in December\, a hot November CPI reading could cause markets to question whether that cut was premature. If the Fed holds\, a cool reading would reinforce expectations for early 2027 easing. \nAt the same time\, the December reading will set the base for year-over-year comparisons in early 2027. If November 2026 inflation is significantly lower than November 2025\, the year-over-year rate will reflect that mechanically. Understanding the base effect is essential for interpreting the early 2027 inflation prints that follow. \nFor bond markets\, the December release will be crucial in determining where longer-duration yields settle into year-end and the new year. For equities\, confirmation that the 2026 inflationary episode is behind us would be a material positive\, particularly for rate-sensitive growth stocks that have faced persistent valuation headwinds throughout the year. \nWhat to Watch For\n\nAbove consensus: A reading that shows inflation re-accelerating in November (above 3.0-3.5%) would be a negative surprise given that energy base effects should be fading by this point. It would signal structural inflation persistence and push out expectations of rate cuts in 2027\, weighing on equities and bonds.\nIn line with consensus: A reading matching expectations would confirm the trajectory already priced in by markets. Attention would quickly shift to the December FOMC press conference and forward guidance for 2027\, particularly the updated Summary of Economic Projections.\nBelow consensus: A reading below 2.5% would signal that the 2026 inflation surge has been largely unwound and would significantly increase expectations of rate cuts early in 2027. Equities would rally broadly\, bond yields would fall\, and the US dollar would weaken.\n\nBy December\, the base effect from the April 2026 energy spike will be highly relevant. If energy prices have normalised or fallen since mid-2026\, the November year-over-year comparison will benefit from a mechanically easier base. Core services and shelter inflation will be the genuine gauge of underlying price pressure divorced from energy volatility. \nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nMonth\nYoY\nMoM\nCore YoY\n\n\n\n\nApril 2026\n3.8%\n+0.6%\n2.8%\n\n\nMarch 2026\n3.3%\n+0.9%\n2.6%\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n2.4%\n+0.2%\n—\n\n\nJanuary 2026\n2.4%\n—\n—\n\n\nDecember 2025\n2.7%\n—\n—\n\n\n\nSource: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. October and November 2025 data were not published due to the US government shutdown. MoM and core figures not available for all periods shown. \nMarket Positioning\nThe December 2026 CPI will close out the year’s inflation story and establish the baseline for 2027 expectations. Fixed income markets and the Fed funds futures curve will be acutely sensitive to this final reading\, given that it arrives the day after the December FOMC decision and in the context of year-end portfolio rebalancing. Liquidity typically thins in mid-December\, which can amplify market movements around data releases. \nFor equity investors looking ahead to 2027\, a confirmed downward trend in inflation through the final quarter of 2026 would represent a material improvement in the macro backdrop\, reducing the headwind from high interest rates and potentially re-opening the door to multiple expansion in growth sectors. \nRelated Events\n\nUS CPI Report November 2026 – The preceding monthly release covering October 2026 data.\nFOMC Rate Decision December 2026 – The Fed’s final meeting of 2026 on December 9\, the day before this CPI release.\nECB Rate Decision December 2026 – The ECB’s December meeting on December 17\, providing a comparison with European monetary policy as the year closes.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the CPI measure?\nThe CPI measures the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed basket of goods and services\, including housing\, food\, transport\, energy\, and medical care. Published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics\, it is the primary measure of consumer price inflation in the United States. \nWhen is the December 2026 CPI report released?\nThe December 2026 CPI report will be released on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers price changes during November 2026. \nHow does the December CPI relate to 2027 monetary policy?\nThe December 10 release follows the FOMC’s December 9 decision by one day\, meaning it will not affect December’s vote but will immediately recalibrate expectations for January and March 2027 meetings. A continued deceleration in inflation would strengthen the case for the Fed to begin or continue cutting rates early in 2027\, which would have significant implications for bond yields\, equity valuations\, and the US dollar.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-cpi-report-december-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20261210T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20261210T093000
DTSTAMP:20260902T103707Z
CREATED:20260902T103707Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T103707Z
UID:2473-1796891400-1796895000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Initial Jobless Claims: December 10\, 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday\, December 10\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n220\,000 (week ending Nov 15\, 2025)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims\nThe US Department of Labor releases the weekly initial jobless claims report on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026 at 8:30am ET (1:30pm London). This release covers new claims for unemployment benefits filed in the week ending December 5\, 2026\, and is one of the most timely indicators of labour-market health available to investors\, policymakers and the Federal Reserve. For the full release schedule and background on this weekly series\, see US Initial Jobless Claims. \nInitial jobless claims count the number of people filing for unemployment insurance for the first time in a given week. A rising trend suggests employers are cutting jobs faster than they are hiring; a falling trend suggests the labour market is holding up. Because the data are weekly and released quickly\, markets watch them closely for early signs of a turn in employment conditions\, particularly during periods when the Federal Reserve is weighing interest rate decisions. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nThe prior reading was 220\,000 for the week ending November 15\, 2025\, according to the Department of Labor’s weekly claims release. A consensus forecast for the December 5\, 2026 week has not yet been published; economists’ forecasts for weekly claims are typically only released a day or two ahead of the report by outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg. Continuing claims\, which measure people still receiving benefits after an initial filing\, are also released alongside the headline number and give a sense of how long it is taking people to find new work. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nInitial claims\n220\,000\nNot yet published\n\n\n4-week moving average\nVaries by week\, published alongside headline figure\nNot yet published\n\n\nContinuing claims\nPublished alongside initial claims\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nClaims above consensus\nBond yields could fall\, stocks may wobble on growth worries\, though a weaker labour market can also raise hopes of interest rate cuts\nMore people are losing jobs or struggling to find new ones than expected\, a sign the labour market is cooling\n\n\nClaims in line with consensus\nLimited market reaction expected\, as the figure confirms the existing trend\nThe labour market is behaving broadly as expected\, with no fresh signal for the Fed or investors\n\n\nClaims below consensus\nStocks could gain on resilience\, though very strong labour data can also push bond yields up on reduced hopes of rate cuts\nFewer people than expected are filing for unemployment benefits\, suggesting the labour market remains solid\n\n\n\nWhy it matters this week\nJobless claims data has taken on extra significance as the Federal Reserve weighs the pace of any further interest rate moves heading into 2027. Weekly claims\, together with the monthly non-farm payrolls report\, give policymakers an early read on whether earlier rate cuts are cooling the labour market too quickly or whether conditions remain resilient. \nAccording to Trading Economics\, weekly claims data through much of 2026 showed periods of resilience even as some public-sector job cuts weighed on specific categories of workers. Investors will be watching whether the December 5 week continues that pattern or shows signs of a broader slowdown\, particularly given the seasonal noise that can affect claims data around the holiday period. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor anyone with a mortgage or savings account\, jobless claims feed indirectly into the interest rate outlook. A run of weak claims data\, showing more people losing jobs\, tends to increase expectations of interest rate cuts\, which can eventually lower mortgage rates but also reduce returns on savings accounts and cash ISAs. Strong claims data\, showing few job losses\, can have the opposite effect\, keeping borrowing costs higher for longer but supporting better returns on cash savings. \nFor investors with pensions or portfolios exposed to US shares\, a sharply weaker labour market can hurt company profits and share prices in the near term\, even if it eventually leads to lower interest rates that support valuations further out. A resilient labour market tends to support consumer spending and corporate earnings\, which can benefit pension funds and other investments with exposure to US equities. \nThe report also has ripple effects beyond the US. Because Federal Reserve policy influences global borrowing costs\, shifts in the US labour market outlook can move the value of the pound\, the euro and other currencies against the dollar\, affecting the cost of imports and holidays abroad for people in the UK and Europe\, as well as returns on international investments. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the jobless claims report released?\nThe report is released at 8:30am ET\, which is 1:30pm in London\, on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026. \nWhat would count as a big miss from consensus?\nOnce a consensus forecast is published\, a move of more than around 15\,000 to 20\,000 claims away from that figure would typically be considered a significant surprise\, though markets also pay close attention to the four-week moving average rather than any single week’s number. \nWhen is the next jobless claims report?\nThe next weekly release follows the standard Thursday schedule; check the US Initial Jobless Claims hub page for the exact date and time of the following report. \nWhy do jobless claims matter to the Federal Reserve?\nJobless claims offer a near real-time signal of labour-market health\, helping the Federal Reserve judge whether its interest rate policy is having the intended effect on employment. \n \n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-initial-jobless-claims-december-10-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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