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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104543Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104543Z
UID:1330-1789029000-1789032600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Producer Price Index September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Producer Price Index: Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Producer Price IndexNext US Producer Price Index →\nUS Producer Price Index: September 2026 Preview\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August 2026 on Thursday\, 10 September 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The PPI measures the average change in selling prices received by domestic producers for their output\, making it a leading indicator of consumer inflation and a direct gauge of cost pressures in the US supply chain. With producer prices having surged to a multi-year high of 6.0 percent year-on-year in April 2026 — the largest 12-month advance since December 2022 — the September release will be closely watched for evidence of whether that acceleration is moderating or embedding itself further into the price pipeline. \nThe August reading arrives at a particularly sensitive moment for monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is navigating a difficult dual-mandate position: consumer inflation has remained above target whilst labour market data has shown signs of cooling. Fresh PPI figures feeding through to the core PCE deflator — the Fed’s preferred inflation measure — will shape the market’s assessment of the pace of any rate adjustments through the remainder of 2026. \n\n\n\nDetail\nInformation\n\n\n\n\nRelease date\n10 September 2026 (Thursday)\n\n\nRelease time\n8:30 a.m. ET / 13:30 BST\n\n\nReference month\nAugust 2026\n\n\nReleasing agency\nBureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\n\n\nPrevious reading (April 2026)\n+6.0% YoY; +1.4% MoM (final demand)\n\n\nFrequency\nMonthly\n\n\nMarket impact\nMedium-High\n\n\n\nWhat the Producer Price Index Measures\nThe PPI family of indexes tracks prices at the first point of commercial transaction — that is\, what producers receive when they sell\, not what consumers pay at the checkout. The headline figure quoted most frequently is the PPI for Final Demand\, which covers finished goods and services ready for sale to end users including businesses\, government entities\, and exporters. \nWithin final demand\, the BLS publishes three distinct sub-indexes that analysts monitor closely: \nFinal Demand Goods captures physical products sold to end users\, including food\, energy\, and manufactured items. Energy prices are highly volatile and can swing the headline figure substantially month to month. \nFinal Demand Services tracks service prices received by providers — including trade services (retail and wholesale margins)\, transportation and warehousing\, and financial and insurance services. Services inflation has been a key driver of the 2026 PPI surge\, with trade services margins widening significantly as tariff costs were passed through supply chains. \nCore PPI (Less Foods\, Energy\, and Trade Services) strips out volatile components to reveal the underlying trend in producer price inflation. This measure is watched closely by the Federal Reserve as it has the strongest correlation with medium-term consumer inflation. Core PPI was running at 3.6 percent year-on-year as of March 2026. \nPPI data also feeds into the BEA’s calculation of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. Categories such as healthcare services\, financial services\, and trade margins are sourced directly from PPI in constructing the PCE\, meaning that PPI releases carry forward-looking implications for the Fed’s primary inflation metric. \nRecent Trend and Historical Data\nProducer price inflation has accelerated sharply through the first half of 2026\, driven by a combination of tariff pass-through costs\, elevated energy prices\, and wider trade services margins. After the full-year 2025 average settled at around 3.0 percent year-on-year — down from 3.5 percent in 2024 — the pace of producer inflation re-accelerated early in 2026 and reached its highest 12-month rate since late 2022 by April. \n\n\n\nPeriod\nFinal Demand MoM\nFinal Demand YoY\nCore YoY*\n\n\n\n\nFull year 2024\nn/a\n+3.5%\nn/a\n\n\nFull year 2025\nn/a\n+3.0%\nn/a\n\n\nNovember 2025\nn/a\nn/a\n+3.6%\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n+0.6%\nn/a\n+0.5% MoM\n\n\nMarch 2026\n+0.7%\n+4.3%\n+3.6%\n\n\nApril 2026\n+1.4%\n+6.0%\nn/a\n\n\n\n*Core = Final demand less foods\, energy\, and trade services. Sources: BLS PPI press releases; Trading Economics; JEC Senate data. \nThe April 2026 headline figure of +6.0% year-on-year was the largest 12-month advance since December 2022\, driven by a 1.2 percent rise in final demand services and a 2.0 percent gain in final demand goods within the single month. The BLS release attributed much of the April acceleration to trade services margins — reflecting tariff-related cost pass-through — alongside transportation and warehousing expenses and energy price increases. \nThe jump from March’s 4.3 percent to April’s 6.0 percent year-on-year represented a sharp re-acceleration that caught markets off-guard\, as the consensus expectation had been around 4.9 percent. If the tariff-related component is structural rather than transitory\, August PPI could remain elevated even as the direct duty shock fades from base comparisons. \nWhat the Markets Are Watching\nThree themes will dominate interpretation of the August 2026 PPI reading. \nTariff pass-through: peak or plateau? Much of the 2026 producer price acceleration has been attributed to importers passing tariff costs along the supply chain — first into producer prices\, then eventually into consumer prices. The central question for August is whether this pass-through effect is beginning to abate as businesses absorb costs and supply chain alternatives develop\, or whether it continues to embed itself into price structures. A meaningful deceleration in trade services margins in the August report would be a significant signal that producer inflation is peaking. \nEnergy component dynamics. Final demand energy prices have contributed substantially to the headline volatility in 2026. Oil prices and natural gas movements through July and August will have influenced the energy goods sub-component directly. A reversal or stabilisation in energy prices during summer 2026 would reduce upward pressure on the headline figure. \nCore PPI as the Fed’s signal. The Federal Reserve places greatest weight on measures that strip out the most volatile components. Core PPI (less foods\, energy\, and trade services) was running at 3.6 percent year-on-year as of March 2026. Markets will scrutinise whether the core rate has continued to accelerate in the months since April. A core rate that holds stable or edges lower would ease pressure on the Fed; a further acceleration would complicate the rate path considerably. \nThe PPI is published two days before the September 2026 CPI release\, meaning the two reports together will define the week’s inflation narrative. In prior cycles\, an unexpectedly high PPI has been followed by a CPI reading in the same direction\, although the correlation is imperfect due to differences in scope and weighting. Traders will be positioning across both releases\, making the PPI particularly impactful as the first data point of the pair. \nMarket Scenarios\n\n\n\nScenario\nFinal Demand YoY\nLikely Market Reaction\n\n\n\n\nDeceleration\nBelow 4.5%\nBonds rally; USD softens; equities tick higher on reduced rate expectations; gold eases\n\n\nMild moderation\n4.5% to 5.5%\nBroadly neutral; focus shifts to Thursday CPI and FOMC guidance; limited directional move\n\n\nPersistent elevation\nAbove 5.5%\nBonds sell off; USD strengthens; equities under pressure on hawkish Fed repricing; gold may rally on stagflation concerns\n\n\n\nThe PPI’s market impact is amplified by its position in the data calendar. In September 2026\, it is sandwiched between the employment report (5 September) and CPI (11 September)\, meaning it will be processed as part of a continuous flow of inflation and growth signals rather than in isolation. The Fed’s September policy meeting window will be absorbing all three data releases simultaneously. \nRelated Events\n\nUS Consumer Price Index September 2026 — Published Thursday\, 11 September 2026 (the day after PPI). CPI measures price changes at the consumer level; the PPI-to-CPI transmission is the primary channel through which producer inflation reaches the Fed’s dual mandate.\nUS Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) September 2026 — Published Friday\, 5 September 2026. Labour market conditions shape wage-cost pressures within PPI services components.\nUS Personal Income and Outlays (PCE) September 2026 — The PCE deflator is constructed partly from PPI services data. A PPI surprise often foreshadows a PCE revision in the same direction.\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 — The Federal Reserve will incorporate both PPI and CPI readings into its September policy statement. An elevated PPI could shift the tone of the statement or the dot plot.\nUS Producer Price Index August 2026 — The preceding PPI release (13 August 2026)\, covering July 2026 data\, will provide the immediate prior-month context for the September reading.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the PPI released?\nThe BLS publishes the PPI at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time (13:30 BST) on 10 September 2026. The data is embargoed until that moment. \nWhat is the difference between PPI and CPI?\nPPI measures prices received by producers — what businesses get paid when they sell. CPI measures prices paid by consumers — what households pay at the point of purchase. PPI is considered a leading indicator because cost increases at the producer level typically filter through to consumer prices with a lag of several months. \nWhy did PPI jump so sharply in April 2026?\nThe April 2026 surge to 6.0 percent year-on-year was driven by three main factors: trade services margins widening as tariff costs were passed along supply chains; higher transportation and warehousing costs; and energy price increases. The BLS press release identified trade services as the single largest contributor to the monthly gain in final demand services. \nWhat does core PPI measure?\nCore PPI — formally\, “PPI final demand less foods\, energy\, and trade services” — removes the three most volatile components to provide a cleaner read on underlying producer price inflation. This measure is watched closely by the Federal Reserve because it correlates more reliably with medium-term consumer inflation than the volatile headline figure. \nHow does PPI feed into PCE inflation?\nThe BEA uses specific PPI components — particularly healthcare services\, financial services\, and retail and wholesale trade margins — as direct inputs when constructing the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator. A sustained rise in these PPI sub-categories will translate into higher PCE readings with approximately one month’s lag\, which is why a hot PPI can harden market expectations for a more restrictive Fed stance even before CPI is published. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe PPI press release is published by the BLS at bls.gov/ppi on release day. Historical data tables and downloadable files are available through the BLS data retrieval tools and the St. Louis Fed’s FRED database.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-producer-price-index-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T083000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T093000
DTSTAMP:20260825T102141Z
CREATED:20260825T102141Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T102141Z
UID:1661-1789029000-1789032600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Initial Jobless Claims: September 10\, 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Initial Jobless Claims: Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Initial Jobless Claims. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims\nThe US Department of Labor releases its weekly Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 am ET (1:30 pm London time). This release covers initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5\, 2026\, along with continuing claims data for the week ending August 29\, 2026. Full background and the ongoing release schedule are on the US Initial Jobless Claims hub page. \nInitial jobless claims count the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time in a given week. Economists and the Federal Reserve watch the figure closely because it is the most up-to-date official signal of layoffs in the US labour market\, arriving with only a few days’ lag rather than the month-long wait for the monthly jobs report. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of publication\, a consensus forecast specifically for the week ending September 5\, 2026 has not yet been published. Forecasts for weekly jobless claims are typically compiled by Reuters and Bloomberg only in the day or two before release\, so a firm figure will not exist until closer to September 10\, 2026. \nThe most recently published reading\, for the week ending August 15\, 2026\, showed initial claims at 206\,000\, a decrease of 6\,000 from the prior week’s upwardly revised 212\,000\, according to the US Department of Labor. That print came in below the median forecast of 210\,000 in a Bloomberg survey of economists\, according to Bloomberg. Continuing claims\, which measure people still receiving benefits\, rose by 18\,000 to 1\,799\,000 for the week ending August 8\, 2026. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nInitial claims\n206\,000 (week ending August 15\, 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nContinuing claims\n1\,799\,000 (week ending August 8\, 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nPlain-English meaning\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nYields may fall\, stocks could wobble on growth worries\nMore people are losing jobs than expected\, a sign the labour market is weakening faster than thought\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\nThe labour market is behaving broadly as expected\, no fresh signal for the Fed\n\n\nBelow consensus\nYields may rise on reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts\nFewer layoffs than expected\, suggesting the jobs market remains resilient\n\n\n\nWhy it matters this week\nWeekly claims have stayed historically low through the summer of 2026\, with the four-week moving average sitting around 204\,000 in mid-August\, according to Department of Labor data. At the same time\, continuing claims have crept higher\, suggesting that while few people are being laid off\, those who do lose a job are taking longer to find new work. This divergence is exactly the kind of detail the Federal Reserve weighs when deciding whether the labour market justifies further interest rate cuts. \nAny report released in the run-up to a Federal Open Market Committee meeting tends to draw extra attention\, because a sudden jump in claims would strengthen the case for a rate cut\, while a low\, stable reading supports a more patient approach. Investors in Europe and Asia watch these releases too\, since US labour market weakness can shift expectations for the dollar\, and in turn for the euro\, the pound and other major currencies. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nFor most people\, a single week’s jobless claims figure will not change mortgage or savings rates overnight\, but a persistent rise in claims raises the odds that the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates sooner\, which can eventually feed through to lower borrowing costs on mortgages\, car loans and credit cards. \nFor savers\, lower expected interest rates generally mean lower returns on cash savings and money market funds over time\, while for pension and investment portfolios\, weaker labour data can support bond prices even if it unsettles share prices in the short term. \nA weaker than expected US jobs picture can also weigh on the dollar\, which makes imports cheaper for Americans but affects exchange rates for anyone holding pounds\, euros or other currencies against the dollar\, including UK and European holidaymakers and businesses that trade with the US. \nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the September 10\, 2026 jobless claims report released?\nThe report is released at 8:30 am ET\, which is 1:30 pm London time\, on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026. \nWhat counts as a big miss versus consensus?\nEconomists typically treat a move of more than 15\,000 to 20\,000 above or below the consensus forecast as notable\, since weekly claims data is volatile and smaller swings often reflect seasonal noise rather than a genuine shift in the labour market. \nWhen is the next jobless claims report after this one?\nThe Department of Labor publishes a new initial jobless claims report every Thursday\, so the next release follows one week later\, on September 17\, 2026. \nWho publishes the weekly jobless claims data?\nThe report is published by the US Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration\, covering claims filed across all US states. \n← Previous US Initial Jobless Claims
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-initial-jobless-claims-september-10-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260910T110000
DTSTAMP:20260825T102205Z
CREATED:20260825T102204Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T102205Z
UID:1662-1789034400-1789038000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Existing Home Sales September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Existing Home Sales: Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Existing Home Sales. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nUS Existing Home Sales for August 2026 is released on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The report covers resale transactions of single-family homes\, townhomes\, condominiums and co-ops that closed during August 2026. Full schedule and background: US Existing Home Sales. \nWhat is existing home sales?\nExisting home sales measures the number of previously owned US homes that changed hands in a given month\, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). That means the monthly figure is adjusted to strip out normal seasonal patterns (fewer sales in winter\, more in spring and summer) and then multiplied up to show what total annual sales would look like if the month’s pace continued for a full year. \nNAR compiles the figure from closed transactions reported by multiple listing services and large brokerages across the country\, covering roughly 90% of the resale market. Because a home sale usually closes 30 to 60 days after a contract is signed\, the report reflects buyer decisions made in June and July rather than August itself. Alongside the headline sales rate\, NAR publishes the median sale price\, the level of unsold inventory\, the months’ supply of homes on the market and the average time a property stays listed. \nMarkets watch this release because housing is one of the most interest rate sensitive parts of the economy. A slowdown in sales tends to show up before it appears in broader growth figures\, and the Federal Reserve tracks housing indicators as part of its assessment of how tight monetary policy is squeezing households. Resale activity also feeds related sectors such as furniture\, removals\, home improvement and mortgage lending\, so a weak or strong print carries knock-on signals for consumer spending. \nWhen is the August existing home sales report released?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the report on its newsroom website at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London) on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026. This is the standard mid-month release slot NAR uses for existing home sales\, typically the second or third week of the month following the reference period. There is no estimate involved here: NAR has confirmed the September 10 date and time for the August 2026 data. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of publication\, a consensus forecast for the August 2026 existing home sales figure has not yet been published. Surveys from data providers such as Trading Economics and Bloomberg typically appear in the days immediately before the release\, once analysts have digested pending home sales data and mortgage application trends for August. The most recent confirmed reading is 4.06 million SAAR for July 2026\, according to the National Association of Realtors. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nExisting-home sales (SAAR)\n4.06 million\nNot yet published\n\n\nMedian existing-home price\nSee table below (June figure: $446\,400)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus (once published)\nRead as a sign buyers are absorbing current mortgage rates better than expected\, potentially easing pressure on the Fed to cut further\nMore homes sold than expected\, suggesting demand is holding up despite borrowing costs\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, since the print confirms the trend economists were already pricing in\nThe housing market is behaving roughly as expected\, neither accelerating nor stalling\n\n\nBelow consensus (once published)\nCould reinforce views that high mortgage rates are still weighing on affordability\, a theme NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun has flagged in recent releases\nFewer homes sold than expected\, often linked to buyers being priced out or waiting for lower rates\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities based on how similar prints have been discussed by analysts and NAR economists in recent releases\, not predictions of the actual outcome. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nExisting home sales have hovered near multi-decade lows through 2026\, constrained by mortgage rates that have stayed in the mid-6% range. NAR’s July release put the pace at 4.06 million units\, following a run that saw sales at 3.98 million in March\, 4.02 million in April\, 4.17 million in May and 4.09 million in June\, according to NAR newsroom data. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun has repeatedly pointed to tight mortgage rate driven affordability as the main constraint on buyers\, while noting that wage growth has been outpacing home price growth in recent months\, which has offered some relief. Freddie Mac’s average 30-year fixed mortgage rate stood at 6.49% in June 2026\, up slightly from 6.44% in May\, keeping many would-be buyers on the sidelines or locked into their current homes rather than trading up. \nThe Federal Reserve watches housing turnover as one gauge of how restrictive policy remains. A further slowdown in resales would add to the case for rate cuts\, while a stabilisation or pickup could support the view that the housing market has adjusted to the current rate environment. Inventory has also been rising gradually through 2026\, up 5.8% in April and continuing to climb into the summer\, which analysts say could eventually ease price pressure if the trend persists. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: A weaker than expected sales figure can add to arguments for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates\, which over time can flow through to lower mortgage rates for buyers and those refinancing in the US\, and can also influence sentiment around Bank of England and European Central Bank policy through shared expectations about global borrowing costs.\nSavings: Interest rate expectations tied to housing data affect the returns on savings accounts and money market funds. If the report feeds into expectations of Fed cuts\, savers holding cash may see yields on new deposits edge lower in the months ahead.\nJobs and wages: Home sales support employment in real estate\, mortgage lending\, home improvement and removals. A sustained slowdown can mean fewer hours or hiring in these sectors\, while a pickup tends to support related job creation.\nPrices: Median home prices have posted year-over-year increases for more than 30 consecutive months\, according to NAR data\, even as sales volumes have been subdued. Weak sales alongside rising prices reflects a market where limited supply is keeping prices firm despite fewer transactions.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: Housing data is one input into how investors price US growth and interest rate paths\, which affects the dollar\, and indirectly the pound and euro through relative rate expectations. Pension funds holding US Treasuries or mortgage backed securities can see valuations shift on days when housing data surprises markets.\n\nRelated events\n\nUS New Home Sales\, which measures sales of newly built properties and is released separately by the Census Bureau.\nUS Pending Home Sales Index\, an earlier signal based on signed contracts rather than closings\, typically released about a month ahead of existing home sales.\nFreddie Mac’s weekly average mortgage rate survey\, which tracks the borrowing costs directly influencing buyer affordability.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the August existing home sales report released?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the report at 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm in London\, on Thursday\, September 10\, 2026. \nHow should I read the existing home sales figure?\nFocus on the seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) figure and compare it with the prior month and consensus forecast once published\, alongside the median price and months’ supply\, which show whether the market favours buyers or sellers. \nHow does this release affect mortgage rates?\nThe report itself does not set rates\, but weak or strong housing data feeds into expectations for Federal Reserve policy\, which in turn influences the direction of mortgage rates over time. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe National Association of Realtors publishes the full report and data tables in its newsroom section at nar.realtor. \nWhen is the next existing home sales report?\nNAR typically releases existing home sales data in the second or third week of each month\, meaning the next report covering September 2026 data is expected in mid-October 2026\, though NAR has not yet confirmed the exact date.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-existing-home-sales-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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