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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T003000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T013000
DTSTAMP:20260825T104556Z
CREATED:20260605T060000Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T104556Z
UID:1248-1790641800-1790645400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:RBA Rate Decision September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next RBA Rate Decision: Tuesday\, September 29\, 2026 at 2:30 pm AEST (12:30 am ET\, 5:30 am London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nActual\nPending\n\nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous RBA Rate DecisionNext RBA Rate Decision →\nThe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its September 2026 interest rate decision on Tuesday\, 29 September 2026\, at 2:30 pm AEST. The Monetary Policy Board meets over two days (28-29 September)\, with the outcome published on the second day\, followed by a press conference at 3:30 pm. The September meeting is a regular decision meeting\, coming between the August quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy and the November SMP. As of May 2026\, the cash rate target is 4.35%. \nRBA Rate Decision: September 29\, 2026\nThe September meeting is the sixth Monetary Policy Board decision of 2026\, sitting between the August and November quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy meetings. At this stage in the hiking cycle\, the Board will be assessing whether the three rate rises delivered in February\, March\, and May 2026 have been sufficient to cool inflation\, or whether additional tightening is required. \nThe RBA has been navigating a challenging inflation environment in 2026. Services inflation has remained elevated due to labour market tightness\, while energy and food prices have been pushed higher by the Middle East conflict. The May 2026 hike was delivered in an 8-1 vote\, with the Board citing the need to bring underlying inflation back toward the 2-3% target band on a sustained basis. Since then\, the Board has had the benefit of additional data from the June quarter CPI release and the August SMP to assess whether the hiking cycle is complete. \nThe decision will be announced at 2:30 pm AEST on Tuesday\, 29 September 2026\, followed by a press conference at 3:30 pm AEST. \nWhat to Expect\nThe key indicator the Board will be watching ahead of September is the trimmed mean CPI for the September quarter\, which will not be available until late October\, after the September meeting. However\, the Board will have access to monthly CPI indicator data from the ABS\, which provides a more timely\, if less precise\, read on underlying inflation. If monthly indicators for July and August show continued moderation\, the Board is more likely to hold in September. If they show a re-acceleration\, a further hike becomes more credible. \nLabour market conditions remain central. The RBA has repeatedly highlighted the role of wages growth in sustaining services inflation. Data on employment\, unemployment\, and the Wage Price Index published before September will inform the Board’s assessment. Any sharp deterioration in the labour market\, such as a significant rise in unemployment\, would change the calculus significantly\, reducing the need for further rate hikes. \nThe global backdrop matters considerably for the RBA. China’s economic performance\, commodity prices (particularly iron ore and coal)\, and the path of the US Federal Reserve’s policy rate all influence Australian financial conditions and the Board’s decision-making. The FOMC decision on 16 September (the day before the BoE’s September meeting) will provide an important read on global monetary conditions just two weeks before the RBA’s September decision. \nCash Rate Decision History\n\n\n\nDate\nDecision\nRate\nVote\n\n\n\n\nMay 2026\nHike +25bp\n4.35%\n8-1\n\n\nMarch 2026\nHike +25bp\n4.10%\nMajority\n\n\nFebruary 2026\nHike +25bp\n3.85%\nMajority\n\n\nNovember 2025\nHold\n3.60%\nMajority\n\n\nSeptember 2025\nHold\n3.60%\nMajority\n\n\nAugust 2025\nCut 25bp\n3.60%\nMajority\n\n\nMay 2025\nCut 25bp\n3.85%\nMajority\n\n\nFebruary 2025\nCut 25bp\n4.10%\nMajority\n\n\n\nMarket Impact Scenarios\n\nHold at 4.35% (base case) – A hold is the most likely outcome if inflation data shows continued moderation. AUD would hold steady or weaken slightly as markets price in an eventual pivot toward cuts. The ASX 200 could rally modestly\, particularly in property and consumer discretionary sectors. Bond yields would hold steady or fall slightly on the shorter end of the curve if the statement signals that the hiking cycle has ended.\nHike 25bp to 4.60% – A fourth consecutive hike would signal that the Board remains concerned about inflation persistence. AUD would strengthen 0.5-1.0% against the US dollar. Bond yields would rise. The ASX 200 would likely fall\, with highly indebted Australian households particularly sensitive to further rate increases at this stage of the cycle. Consumer confidence and housing markets would both come under pressure.\nCut 25bp to 4.10% – A cut in September would only occur if there is strong evidence that inflation has fallen sharply and the economy is slowing meaningfully. This would be a significant surprise and would require a material deterioration in economic data over the July-August period. AUD would fall sharply. Bond prices would rally across the curve.\n\nStatement and Press Conference\nThe Governor will hold a press conference at 3:30 pm AEST on 29 September 2026 following the rate announcement. As a non-SMP meeting\, there will be no updated set of economic forecasts published alongside the decision. The post-decision statement will contain the Board’s current assessment of inflation\, growth\, and labour market conditions\, and will include language indicating the Board’s inclination on future policy moves. \nThe September meeting minutes\, released two weeks after the decision\, will provide detail on the range of views within the Board and any changes in the balance of opinion toward future tightening or easing. Markets will also watch closely for any indication that the Board is beginning to discuss conditions under which it would consider cuts\, rather than further hikes. \nRelated Events\n\nFOMC Rate Decision September 2026 – The Federal Reserve’s September decision on 16 September\, providing important global context two weeks before the RBA’s decision.\nECB Rate Decision September 2026 – The European Central Bank’s September decision on 10 September\, another major central bank read on global inflation and monetary conditions.\nBank of England MPC Rate Decision September 2026 – The BoE’s September decision on 17 September\, providing further context on advanced economy monetary policy.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nDoes the RBA meet every month?\nNo. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s Monetary Policy Board meets eight times per year since moving from its previous 11-meeting-per-year schedule. The 2026 meeting dates are February\, March\, May\, June\, August\, September\, November\, and December. Four of those meetings (February\, May\, August\, November) are accompanied by the quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy with updated economic forecasts. \nWhen is the September 2026 RBA decision announced?\nThe decision will be published at 2:30 pm AEST (4:30 am GMT) on Tuesday\, 29 September 2026\, following the two-day meeting on 28-29 September. The Governor holds a press conference at 3:30 pm AEST immediately after. \nWhat impact does the RBA cash rate have on the Australian dollar?\nThe RBA cash rate influences the AUD by affecting the interest rate differential between Australia and other major economies. A higher Australian cash rate\, relative to rates in the US\, Europe\, and Japan\, makes AUD-denominated assets more attractive to global investors seeking yield\, supporting the currency. A cut or surprise hold would typically weaken the AUD\, while a hike or hawkish statement would typically support it. The AUD is also heavily influenced by commodity prices\, particularly iron ore\, given the importance of mining exports to the Australian economy. \nFeatured image: Photo by Fabian Mardi on Unsplash.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/rba-rate-decision-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Central Banks & Monetary Policy
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T080000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T090000
DTSTAMP:20260826T055422Z
CREATED:20260826T055422Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T055422Z
UID:2299-1790668800-1790672400@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Germany CPI Flash September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Germany CPI Flash: Tuesday\, September 29\, 2026 at 2:00 pm CEST (8:00 am ET\, 1:00 pm London). Covers August 2026 data. \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n+2.8% YoY (July 2026 flash)\, core +2.4%\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Germany CPI Flash. \nUpdated August 26\, 2026 \n\n← Previous Germany CPI Flash\nGermany’s flash Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August 2026 is scheduled for release on September 29\, 2026\, at 8:00 am ET (2:00 pm CEST\, 1:00 pm London time)\, published by the Federal Statistical Office of Germany\, known as Destatis. The flash estimate gives markets the first look at how prices moved across Germany’s largest economy before the final\, more detailed figures follow around two weeks later. Full schedule and background: Germany CPI Flash. \nWhat is the Germany CPI Flash?\nThe Consumer Price Index tracks the average change in prices paid by German households for a fixed basket of goods and services\, covering everything from groceries and rent to energy bills and package holidays. Destatis calculates the index every month\, then compares it with the same month a year earlier to produce the headline “inflation rate” that appears in news reports. \nThe flash\, or preliminary\, estimate is built from early regional data collected before the full national dataset is finalised. It is not as complete as the final release published roughly two weeks later\, but it is timely enough to move currency and bond markets because Germany is the largest economy in the eurozone and its price trends heavily influence the European Central Bank’s (ECB) rate decisions. \nEconomists also watch “core inflation”\, which strips out volatile food and energy prices\, because it is seen as a cleaner read on underlying\, persistent price pressure in the economy. \nWhen is the August 2026 Germany CPI Flash released?\nThe release is expected on September 29\, 2026\, at 8:00 am ET (2:00 pm CEST\, 1:00 pm London time)\, though Destatis has not yet formally confirmed the exact date on its release calendar. German flash CPI figures are typically published on the last working day of the reference month or in the first days of the following month\, so this date should be treated as indicative until Destatis confirms it. The data is published free of charge on the Destatis website. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nAs of publication\, a consensus forecast for the August 2026 flash reading has not yet been published; economist surveys for German CPI are typically compiled by Reuters and Bloomberg in the days immediately before release. The most recent confirmed flash reading\, for July 2026\, showed annual inflation at +2.8%\, with core inflation (excluding food and energy) at +2.4%\, according to Destatis. Energy prices in that report were up 8.3% year-on-year\, a sharp acceleration Destatis linked partly to the end of a government fuel discount. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (August 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline CPI (year-on-year)\n+2.8%\nNot yet published\n\n\nCore CPI (year-on-year)\n+2.4%\nNot yet published\n\n\nCPI (month-on-month)\n+0.8%\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nEuro could firm and German Bund yields could rise as traders trim bets on ECB rate cuts\nPrices are still climbing faster than hoped\, which could keep borrowing costs higher for longer\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nMuted reaction\, with markets keeping current ECB rate expectations broadly unchanged\nInflation is behaving roughly as expected\, so little changes for households immediately\n\n\nBelow consensus\nEuro could soften and rate-cut bets could firm\, according to analysts who track ECB policy signals\nPrice pressures are easing faster than expected\, which could eventually feed through to cheaper borrowing\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities based on how markets have typically reacted to German inflation surprises\, not predictions of what will happen on the day. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nGermany’s inflation rate has been volatile through 2026\, moving from 1.9% in February to a 2026 high of 2.9% in April before easing slightly and then reaccelerating to 2.8% in July\, according to Destatis. Destatis president Ruth Brand attributed the July jump largely to a sharp rise in energy prices after the government’s fuel discount ended and amid volatility in oil markets. Because Germany accounts for roughly a quarter of eurozone output\, its CPI flash is one of the inputs used to estimate the bloc-wide Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ahead of Eurostat’s own flash release\, making it closely watched by the ECB as it weighs whether inflation is settling near its 2% target. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing: German and eurozone mortgage rates are influenced by ECB policy\, which reacts to inflation trends like this one. A hotter-than-expected reading can push up the cost of new fixed-rate deals across the eurozone.\nSavings: If inflation stays elevated\, the ECB is less likely to cut rates quickly\, which can keep savings account returns higher for longer\, though real returns still depend on how fast prices rise.\nJobs and wages: Persistent inflation can pressure German employers into higher wage settlements\, a dynamic the ECB watches closely for signs of a wage-price spiral.\nPrices: A rise in the headline figure typically reflects costs already being felt at supermarket tills and petrol pumps\, particularly when energy is the main driver\, as it was in July 2026.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: German data moves the euro against the dollar and pound\, affecting the value of eurozone holdings and pensions denominated in other currencies. UK and Asian investors exposed to European equities or bonds often see immediate\, if modest\, price moves around this release.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: Germany CPI Flash August 2026\nEurozone flash HICP\, published by Eurostat shortly after the German figure\nEuropean Central Bank interest rate decision\, which weighs this data alongside other member state inflation readings\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Germany CPI Flash released?\nThe release is expected at 8:00 am ET\, which is 2:00 pm CEST in Germany and 1:00 pm London time\, though Destatis has not formally confirmed the September 29\, 2026 date. \nHow should I read the headline versus core inflation figures?\nThe headline figure includes food and energy\, which can swing sharply from month to month\, while core inflation strips these out to show the more persistent\, underlying trend that central banks tend to focus on. \nHow does this data affect ECB interest rate decisions?\nThe ECB targets 2% inflation for the eurozone and uses national data like Germany’s flash CPI\, alongside other member states\, to judge whether current interest rates are appropriate or need to change. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe data is published directly by Destatis\, Germany’s Federal Statistical Office\, on its press release calendar. \nWhen is the next Germany CPI Flash release?\nGermany publishes a flash CPI estimate every month\, typically at or near month-end\, with the following release covering September 2026 data expected in late October 2026. \n← Previous Germany CPI Flash
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/germany-cpi-flash-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T110000
DTSTAMP:20260826T034450Z
CREATED:20260826T034449Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T034450Z
UID:2275-1790676000-1790679600@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:US Consumer Confidence September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next US Consumer Confidence: Tuesday\, September 29\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n89.4 (August 2026\, revised)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: US Consumer Confidence. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\n← Previous US Consumer Confidence\nThe Conference Board is expected to release its Consumer Confidence Index for September 2026 on September 29\, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time). This report measures how optimistic or pessimistic US households feel about current business conditions and their outlook for the next six months. Full schedule and background: US Consumer Confidence. \nThe Conference Board has not formally confirmed this date. It typically publishes the Consumer Confidence Index on the last Tuesday of each month\, so September 29\, 2026 is the expected date based on that pattern. \nWhat is the Consumer Confidence Index?\nThe Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is a monthly survey run by the Conference Board\, a private research organisation\, that asks a panel of roughly 3\,000 US households about current business and labour market conditions\, and about their expectations for income\, business and jobs over the next six months. The headline index is built from two sub-indexes: the Present Situation Index\, which reflects how people see the economy today\, and the Expectations Index\, which reflects their six-month outlook. \nMarkets watch this release because consumer spending drives around two-thirds of US economic activity. A sharp change in confidence can signal a shift in future spending on everything from cars to holidays\, which in turn affects company earnings and\, eventually\, hiring and wages. The Federal Reserve also looks at the Expectations Index closely: a reading below 80 has historically often preceded a recession within the following year. \nWhen is the September Consumer Confidence Index released?\nThe Conference Board is expected to publish the report at 10:00 am ET (3:00 pm London time) on September 29\, 2026. The data is released to the public via the Conference Board’s website and distributed to newswires simultaneously. As noted above\, the exact date has not been officially confirmed by the Conference Board\, but its releases have consistently fallen on the last Tuesday of the month. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the September 2026 reading has not yet been published. Economists’ forecasts for this release typically become available in the days immediately before the report\, once major data providers such as Reuters and Bloomberg poll their panels. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (August 2026)\nConsensus (September 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline Consumer Confidence Index\n89.4\nNot yet published\n\n\nPresent Situation Index\n121.2\nNot yet published\n\n\nExpectations Index\n68.2\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nSeen as a sign households feel steadier about jobs and spending\, which could support equities and reduce expectations of near-term Fed rate cuts\nPeople feel a bit more comfortable\, which could mean more spending on things like holidays and big purchases\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction\, since traders will have already priced in expectations\nThe economy is behaving roughly as expected\, so nothing changes quickly for borrowing costs or prices\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould raise concern about slowing spending and add to the case for the Federal Reserve to keep or cut interest rates to support growth\nPeople are more worried about jobs and prices\, which can mean less spending on non-essentials and more caution about big purchases\n\n\n\nWhy does this release matter right now?\nConfidence has been on a broad downward path through the summer of 2026. The index fell for a second consecutive month in August\, dropping to 89.4 from a downwardly revised 90.2 in July\, according to a report carried by Yahoo Finance. The decline was driven almost entirely by the Expectations Index\, which measures how households feel about business\, income and jobs over the next six months\, falling 5.8 points to 68.2\, while the Present Situation Index actually improved by 6.8 points to 121.2\, its first rise in four months. \nAn Expectations Index reading below 80 has historically often signalled a recession within the following year\, a threshold the Conference Board itself has flagged. Survey respondents in August cited elevated petrol prices\, more mentions of “armed conflict\, geopolitical tensions\, food costs\, trade issues\, and employment concerns” than the previous month\, and households expected inflation of 5.8% over the coming year\, up from 5.6% in July\, according to the same Yahoo Finance report. That policymakers\, including the Federal Reserve\, watch this survey closely means a September reading that confirms or reverses this trend could feed into expectations for the Fed’s next interest rate decision. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and borrowing: A weak confidence reading can support the case for the Federal Reserve to hold or cut interest rates\, which may keep mortgage and loan rates from rising further; a strong reading can do the opposite.\nSavings: If the data pushes rate-cut expectations further out\, savers may see slightly better returns on cash for longer; if it strengthens the case for cuts\, savings rates could start to drift down.\nJobs and wages: The Expectations Index specifically tracks how households view the job market\, so a weak reading can be an early sign that hiring intentions and wage growth may soften in the coming months.\nPrices: The survey also captures how much inflation consumers expect\, which was already running at 5.8% for the year ahead in August. Elevated inflation expectations can make it harder for the Federal Reserve to justify interest rate cuts.\nInvestments and pensions: Weaker confidence can weigh on shares of retailers\, carmakers and travel companies that depend on discretionary spending\, which matters for pension funds holding US equities.\nCurrencies: A soft reading that raises the odds of Fed rate cuts can weigh on the dollar\, with knock-on effects for the pound\, euro and other currencies\, while a stronger reading can support the dollar.\n\nRelated events\n\nUS Consumer Confidence\, August 2026\nUS Nonfarm Payrolls\, the monthly US jobs report\nFederal Reserve interest rate decision\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the September Consumer Confidence Index released?\nIt is expected at 10:00 am ET\, which is 3:00 pm London time\, on September 29\, 2026\, though the Conference Board has not formally confirmed the date. \nHow should I read the Consumer Confidence Index?\nA higher number means households feel more positive about the economy and their own finances; a falling number\, as seen through the summer of 2026\, points to growing caution about jobs\, prices and spending. \nDoes this data affect interest rates?\nThe Federal Reserve monitors consumer sentiment as one input among many\, so a weak reading can add to the case for holding or cutting rates\, while a strong reading can reduce pressure to cut. \nWhere is the official release published?\nThe report is published directly on the Conference Board’s website and distributed to newswires at the time of release. \nWhen is the next Consumer Confidence report?\nThe Conference Board typically releases this data on the last Tuesday of each month\, so the following report would be expected in late October 2026. \n← Previous US Consumer Confidence
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/us-consumer-confidence-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T213000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T223000
DTSTAMP:20260825T131158Z
CREATED:20260825T131158Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260825T131158Z
UID:2173-1790717400-1790721000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:Australia CPI September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next Australia CPI: Wednesday\, September 30\, 2026 at 11:30 am AEST (9:30 pm ET\, 2:30 am London). Covers August 2026 data. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n3.8% annual (12 months to June 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: Australia CPI. \nUpdated August 25\, 2026 \n\nThe Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) releases its Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator for August 2026 on Wednesday\, September 30\, 2026 at 11:30am AEST\, which falls at 9:30pm ET on September 29 and 2:30am in London on September 30. The figure measures how much prices for a broad basket of household goods and services changed in the 12 months to August 2026. Full background and the release schedule for this series sit on the Australia CPI hub page. \nWhat is Australia’s CPI?\nThe Consumer Price Index tracks the average change in prices paid by households for a fixed basket of goods and services\, from groceries and petrol to rent and electricity. When the index rises faster than wages\, households can afford less with the same pay\, which is why economists call this inflation. \nThe ABS has published a full Monthly CPI Indicator since late 2022\, expanding on the older quarterly CPI that dates back decades. The monthly figure gives the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)\, businesses and investors a more frequent read on price pressure between the quarterly releases\, though the ABS still treats the quarterly CPI as the more complete measure because it covers a larger share of the basket each time. \nMarkets watch this release closely because it feeds directly into the RBA’s interest rate decisions. A faster than expected rise in prices can make the central bank more cautious about cutting borrowing costs\, while a slowdown can open the door to lower rates\, which is why traders\, mortgage holders and savers all have a stake in the number. \nWhen is the August CPI released?\nThe ABS publishes the Monthly CPI Indicator on the last Wednesday of the month following the reference month\, according to the ABS release schedule. For August 2026 data\, that falls on September 30\, 2026\, at 11:30am Australian Eastern Standard Time. The release is published free on the ABS website under Consumer Price Index\, Australia. There is no estimated date attached to this report: the ABS calendar confirms September 30\, 2026 as the publication date. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast from a major poll of economists has not yet been published for the August 2026 reading\, as forecaster surveys for this release typically appear only in the days immediately before publication. The most recent confirmed official figure comes from the ABS’s June 2026 release\, which showed the Consumer Price Index rose 3.8% in the 12 months to June 2026\, down from 4.0% in the 12 months to May 2026. Housing was the largest single contributor to annual inflation in the most recent quarterly breakdown. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior\nConsensus\n\n\n\n\nHeadline annual CPI\n3.8% (12 months to June 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\nHousing group annual inflation (quarterly measure)\n6.8% (June quarter 2026)\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nTraders would likely pare back bets on RBA rate cuts and the Australian dollar could firm\, since higher than expected inflation typically reduces the chance of near-term easing\nPrices are rising faster than expected\, which could delay any relief on mortgage rates and squeeze household budgets further\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLimited market reaction is likely\, as the print would confirm the existing path the RBA and investors already expect\nInflation is behaving broadly as forecasters expected\, so the outlook for interest rates and prices probably stays unchanged\n\n\nBelow consensus\nMarkets could increase bets on rate cuts and the Australian dollar may soften\, since a cooler reading usually supports the case for easier policy\nPrice pressures are easing faster than expected\, which could eventually feed through to lower borrowing costs\n\n\n\nThese are possible reactions based on how markets typically respond to inflation surprises\, not predictions of what will happen on the day. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe RBA has an inflation target band of 2 to 3% and has been watching annual CPI gradually cool from the highs of recent years. The ABS reported that annual inflation eased to 3.8% in the 12 months to June 2026\, down from 4.0% in the 12 months to May 2026\, and the June quarter’s official quarterly CPI rose 3.9% over the year with housing\, food and transport as the biggest contributors\, according to a state treasury summary of the ABS release. Each monthly print is being read as a signal of whether that slowdown is continuing or stalling\, which shapes expectations for the RBA’s next cash rate decision. Because Australia’s cash rate influences global capital flows\, movements here also affect currency markets and bond yields well beyond Australia’s borders. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: if inflation surprises higher\, the RBA is less likely to cut its cash rate soon\, meaning variable mortgage repayments in Australia could stay higher for longer. A weaker reading raises the chance of a future rate cut\, which would eventually flow through to lower mortgage repayments.\nSavings: higher for longer interest rates tend to mean better returns on savings accounts and term deposits\, while a cooling inflation trend that leads to rate cuts usually means savings rates drift lower over time.\nJobs and wages: persistent inflation above wage growth erodes real pay\, so a hot CPI print can renew pressure on households even if nominal wages are rising.\nPrices you pay: the CPI is a direct measure of the cost of everyday items such as groceries\, rent and fuel\, so a higher than expected number usually means the cost of living squeeze is not easing as quickly as hoped.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: the Australian dollar and Australian government bond yields typically move on this data because they reflect changing expectations for RBA policy. For readers outside Australia\, including in the UK\, Europe and Asia\, a shift in the Australian dollar can affect the value of Australian assets held in pension funds and portfolios\, and Australia’s inflation trend is also watched as one gauge of resource-linked demand across Asia.\n\nRelated events\n\nThe quarterly Australian CPI release\, published separately by the ABS each quarter\, which the RBA treats as its primary inflation gauge.\nThe Reserve Bank of Australia’s cash rate decisions\, which respond directly to CPI trends.\nOther regional inflation reports\, including Japan’s and China’s CPI releases\, which shape the broader Asia-Pacific inflation picture.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Australia CPI released?\nThe ABS releases the Monthly CPI Indicator for August 2026 at 11:30am AEST on September 30\, 2026\, which is 9:30pm ET on September 29 and 2:30am in London on September 30. \nHow do I read the headline number?\nThe headline figure shows the percentage change in prices over the 12 months to the reference month; a higher number than the prior reading means inflation is accelerating\, while a lower number means it is cooling. \nHow does this release affect interest rates?\nThe RBA uses inflation data\, alongside the quarterly CPI\, to decide whether to raise\, hold or cut its cash rate\, so a surprise in either direction can shift market expectations for the next rate decision. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe ABS publishes the full release\, including detailed tables\, on its website under Consumer Price Index\, Australia\, at the ABS release calendar. \nWhen is the next Australia CPI release?\nThe ABS publishes the Monthly CPI Indicator on the last Wednesday of each month following the reference month\, so the next release after this one covers September 2026 data and is expected in late October 2026.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/australia-cpi-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T213000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T223000
DTSTAMP:20260826T050020Z
CREATED:20260826T050020Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T050020Z
UID:2277-1790717400-1790721000@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:China Official PMI September 2026
DESCRIPTION:Next China Official PMI: Wednesday\, September 30\, 2026 at 9:30 am CST (9:30 pm ET\, 2:30 am London). \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\nManufacturing 49.2\, Non-Manufacturing 49.0 (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: China Official PMI. \nUpdated August 26\, 2026 \n\n← Previous China Official PMI\nThe China Official PMI for September 2026 is scheduled for release on September 30\, 2026\, at 9:30 pm ET (9:30 am China Standard Time on September 30\, 2026 local time\, or 2:30 am in London on the same day). The figures are published by China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)\, working with the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP)\, and cover economic activity during September 2026. Full schedule and background: China Official PMI. \nWhat is the China Official PMI?\nThe Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a survey-based gauge of activity in China’s factories and service businesses. Procurement managers at hundreds of firms are asked whether output\, new orders\, employment\, and other measures rose\, fell\, or stayed flat compared with the previous month. The answers are combined into a single index\, where a reading above 50 signals expansion and a reading below 50 signals contraction. \nThe NBS releases two headline numbers each month: the Manufacturing PMI\, covering factories\, and the Non-Manufacturing PMI\, covering services and construction. Together they form the earliest official snapshot of how the world’s second-largest economy is performing\, arriving well before slower data such as trade or industrial production figures. \nInvestors\, central banks\, and companies with supply chains running through China watch the release closely because it can move currency markets\, commodity prices\, and shares of firms exposed to Chinese demand\, from mining companies in Australia to carmakers in Germany. \nWhen is the September China Official PMI released?\nThe release is set for September 30\, 2026\, at 9:30 am China Standard Time\, published on the NBS website. In US terms that is 9:30 pm ET on September 30 (Eastern Daylight Time)\, and 2:30 am in London on the same calendar day. The NBS typically publishes its PMI figures on the last calendar day of the month being measured\, so a September reading is released on September 30 itself\, one of the fastest turnarounds among major economic indicators. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the September 2026 release has not yet been widely published by data providers such as Reuters or Bloomberg at the time of writing. Once economists’ surveys are compiled closer to the release date\, a median forecast typically appears on financial data terminals and economic calendars. \nThe most recently confirmed official readings available are for July 2026\, when China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.2 and the Non-Manufacturing PMI eased to 49.0\, according to Mitrade’s coverage of the NBS release. Both readings remained below the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (September 2026)\n\n\n\n\nManufacturing PMI\n49.2\nNot yet published\n\n\nNon-Manufacturing PMI\n49.0\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nRenminbi and China-linked equities could firm\, commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar may gain\nFactories and services are growing faster than expected\, suggesting stronger demand from China for raw materials\, exports\, and consumer goods\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nMuted reaction\, markets largely stick to prior positioning\nThe economy is performing broadly as economists expected\, so little changes for global trade or investment flows\n\n\nBelow consensus\nPressure on the renminbi\, weaker sentiment for commodity exporters and Asian equities\nChinese activity is slowing more than expected\, which can dent demand for goods from trading partners including the UK\, Europe\, and Australia\n\n\n\nThese are possibilities based on how markets have historically responded to PMI surprises\, not predictions of what will happen in September 2026. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nChina’s manufacturing PMI has spent much of 2026 hovering below the 50 expansion line\, reflecting soft domestic demand\, a prolonged property market downturn\, and uneven export performance. FocusEconomics reported that both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing readings disappointed in July 2026\, with the non-manufacturing measure falling to 49.0 from 50.2 in June\, signalling weakness had spread from factories into services and construction. \nPolicymakers at the People’s Bank of China and China’s State Council have been weighing further stimulus to support growth\, and PMI trends feed directly into that debate. A run of weak PMI prints tends to raise expectations of additional fiscal spending or interest rate cuts\, while a stabilising trend can ease pressure for more support. Because China is the largest trading partner for many Asian\, European\, and commodity-exporting economies\, shifts in its PMI ripple outward into global growth forecasts. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: Weak Chinese data can push global bond yields lower as investors seek safety\, which sometimes feeds through to slightly cheaper fixed-rate mortgage pricing in the UK\, US\, and eurozone\, though the link is indirect and often outweighed by domestic central bank decisions.\nSavings: A softer Chinese economy can slow global inflation by lowering demand for oil and industrial metals\, which can help keep a lid on the cost of living and\, over time\, on how far central banks need to raise interest rates that affect savings account returns.\nJobs and wages: Manufacturers and exporters in countries that sell heavily into China\, including Germany\, South Korea\, and Australia\, can see order books thin if PMI readings weaken further\, which may eventually show up in hiring decisions.\nInvestments and pensions: Funds with exposure to Chinese equities\, emerging markets\, or commodity producers often move on PMI day. A weaker print can pressure mining and energy shares held in diversified pension portfolios\, while a stronger print can lift them.\nCurrencies: The renminbi\, Australian dollar\, and other commodity-linked currencies tend to react most directly. A weak PMI can put downward pressure on these currencies against the US dollar and the pound\, affecting the cost of imported goods.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious release: China Official PMI\, August 2026\nFull series schedule and history: China Official PMI hub\nWatch also for China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI\, a separate private-sector survey often released a day or two after the official figures\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the September 2026 China Official PMI released?\nIt is released at 9:30 am China Standard Time on September 30\, 2026\, which is 9:30 pm ET on September 30 and 2:30 am in London. \nHow do I read the PMI number?\nA reading above 50 means the sector surveyed is expanding compared with the previous month\, while a reading below 50 means it is contracting; the further from 50\, the sharper the change. \nDoes the China PMI affect UK or US interest rates?\nNot directly\, since it is not a US or UK indicator\, but weak Chinese activity can lower global commodity prices and growth expectations\, which central banks such as the Bank of England and Federal Reserve take into account alongside domestic data. \nWhere is the official PMI release published?\nChina’s National Bureau of Statistics publishes the figures on its official website\, stats.gov.cn\, alongside detailed sub-indices for new orders\, employment\, and prices. \nWhen is the next China Official PMI released after this one?\nThe following release covers October 2026 data and is typically published on the last day of October 2026\, following the NBS’s standard monthly schedule. \n← Previous China Official PMI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/china-official-pmi-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T214500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260929T224500
DTSTAMP:20260826T050144Z
CREATED:20260826T050144Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260826T050144Z
UID:2279-1790718300-1790721900@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:China Caixin Manufacturing PMI September 2026 (30)
DESCRIPTION:Next China Caixin Manufacturing PMI: Wednesday\, September 30\, 2026 at 9:45 am CST (9:45 pm ET\, 2:45 am London). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nConsensus\nNot yet published\nPrior\n50.9 (July 2026)\nActual\nPending\n\nFull schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI. \nUpdated August 26\, 2026 \n\n← Previous China Caixin Manufacturing PMI\nThe China Caixin Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 is scheduled for release on September 30\, 2026 at 9:45pm ET\, which is 9:45am China Standard Time on the same day and 2:45am in London. The survey is compiled by S&P Global on behalf of Caixin Media and covers the state of China’s private manufacturing sector. Full background and the release schedule are on the hub page: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI. \nBecause S&P Global has not yet confirmed the exact publication slot this far in advance\, the date above follows the usual pattern: Caixin’s final manufacturing PMI is typically released on the first business day of the month following the survey period. Readers should treat the date as indicative until S&P Global’s official release calendar confirms it. \nWhat is the Caixin Manufacturing PMI?\nThe Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a diffusion index built from a monthly survey of purchasing managers at manufacturing companies. Unlike China’s official government PMI\, which leans towards large state-owned firms\, the Caixin survey samples smaller and export-oriented private manufacturers\, giving a different angle on the same economy. \nSurvey respondents are asked whether output\, new orders\, employment\, supplier delivery times and inventories improved\, worsened or stayed the same compared with the previous month. These five components are weighted and combined into a single headline number. A reading above 50 signals expansion in manufacturing activity\, while a reading below 50 signals contraction. \nMarkets watch this release closely because China is the world’s second-largest economy and its largest manufacturer\, so a shift in Chinese factory activity ripples through commodity prices\, shipping volumes and demand for goods from Europe\, the United States and the rest of Asia. \nWhen is the September Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?\nThe release is expected on September 30\, 2026 at 9:45pm ET (9:45am China Standard Time\, 2:45am London time)\, published by S&P Global and distributed through Caixin Media’s own channels and financial data terminals. As noted above\, this date has not been formally confirmed by the publisher and should be treated as an estimate based on the standard first-business-day-of-the-month schedule. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the September 2026 reading has not yet been published. Forecasts for Caixin PMI releases typically only firm up in the days immediately before the print\, once economists have seen related data such as the official National Bureau of Statistics PMI and trade figures. \nThe most recently confirmed reading\, covering July 2026\, came in at 50.9\, easing from June’s 51.7 and falling short of the 51.5 figure that economists had pencilled in\, according to VT Markets. The index remained above the 50 expansion threshold despite the slowdown. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (July 2026)\nConsensus (September 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline PMI\n50.9\nNot yet published\n\n\nNew orders sub-index\nExpanding\, 14th month in a row\nNot yet published\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus\nRead as a sign that private manufacturers are holding up better than feared\, potentially supporting risk appetite and commodity-linked currencies\nChinese factories are getting more orders and producing more\, which could mean stronger demand for raw materials and shipping worldwide\n\n\nIn line with consensus\nLikely a muted reaction since the number confirms an already-priced trend\nThe pace of factory activity is roughly what economists expected\, so little changes for global markets\n\n\nBelow consensus\nCould be read as evidence of cooling domestic demand\, adding to pressure on Beijing to support growth\, as flagged after July’s miss by VT Markets\nChinese factories are struggling to get orders\, which can mean weaker demand for goods and materials that other countries sell into China\n\n\n\nThese are possible reactions\, not predictions. Actual market moves depend on other data released the same week and on broader sentiment towards China’s economy. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nChina’s factory sector has been on a bumpy path through 2026. The Caixin PMI climbed to 52.1 in February before slipping to 50.8 in March\, then recovering through the spring and early summer\, only to ease back to 50.9 in July as output and new order growth slowed\, according to Trading Economics. Employment had been improving\, with job creation reaching its strongest level since August 2023\, even as input price inflation continued to ease. \nInvestors and policymakers are watching whether the slowdown seen mid-year continues or reverses\, because sustained weakness in China’s private manufacturers would add to pressure on Beijing to unveil more stimulus and could weigh on global trade volumes and commodity demand heading into the final quarter of the year. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\n\nMortgages and rates: A weak Chinese PMI can pull down global bond yields as investors seek safety\, which sometimes feeds through to slightly lower long-term mortgage rates in the UK\, Europe and the US.\nSavings: Central banks in major economies factor Chinese demand into their own inflation outlook\, so persistent weakness could reinforce expectations of lower interest rates\, which in turn can mean lower returns on cash savings over time.\nJobs and wages: Countries that export heavily to China\, including Germany\, South Korea\, Australia and parts of Southeast Asia\, can see hiring intentions shift with Chinese factory demand.\nPrices: Chinese manufacturing strength affects global supply of goods and industrial materials\, which can influence the price of everything from electronics to metals used in construction.\nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: Equity markets tied to commodities\, shipping and China-exposed multinationals often react to this release\, and the Australian dollar\, the euro and emerging market currencies tend to be more sensitive to Chinese data than the pound or the yen.\n\nRelated events\n\nPrevious month’s release: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI\, prior month\nChina’s official National Bureau of Statistics Manufacturing PMI\, published a day or two before the Caixin figure each month\nCaixin Services and Composite PMI\, usually released a few days after the manufacturing print\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?\nIt is expected at 9:45pm ET on September 30\, 2026\, which is 9:45am in China and 2:45am in London\, though S&P Global has not yet confirmed this date. \nHow do I read the PMI number?\nA reading above 50 indicates manufacturing activity is expanding compared with the previous month\, while a reading below 50 indicates it is contracting. \nDoes this release move interest rates directly?\nNo single PMI print changes interest rates on its own\, but persistently weak or strong readings feed into how central banks and investors judge the health of the Chinese\, and by extension global\, economy. \nWhere can I find the official release?\nThe official release calendar is published by S&P Global\, with the report also distributed by Caixin Media. \nWhen is the next Caixin Manufacturing PMI due?\nCaixin typically publishes its manufacturing PMI on the first business day of each month\, so the next reading would normally follow around a month after this one. \n← Previous China Caixin Manufacturing PMI
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/china-caixin-manufacturing-pmi-september-2026-30/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
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