BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//financecalendar.com - ECPv6.17.3//NONSGML v1.0//EN
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
X-WR-CALNAME:financecalendar.com
X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://www.financecalendar.com
X-WR-CALDESC:Events for financecalendar.com
REFRESH-INTERVAL;VALUE=DURATION:PT1H
X-Robots-Tag:noindex
X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT1H
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:America/New_York
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0500
TZOFFSETTO:-0400
TZNAME:EDT
DTSTART:20250309T070000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
TZOFFSETTO:-0500
TZNAME:EST
DTSTART:20251102T060000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0500
TZOFFSETTO:-0400
TZNAME:EDT
DTSTART:20260308T070000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
TZOFFSETTO:-0500
TZNAME:EST
DTSTART:20261101T060000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0500
TZOFFSETTO:-0400
TZNAME:EDT
DTSTART:20270314T070000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
TZOFFSETTO:-0500
TZNAME:EST
DTSTART:20271107T060000
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20260831T214500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20260831T224500
DTSTAMP:20260902T123748Z
CREATED:20260826T032047Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260902T123748Z
UID:2253-1788212700-1788216300@www.financecalendar.com
SUMMARY:China Caixin Manufacturing PMI September 2026
DESCRIPTION:China Caixin Manufacturing PMI: 51.5 (August 2026)\, up from 50.9 in July (Tuesday\, September 1\, 2026 at 9:45 am CST (9:45 pm ET\, 2:45 am London)). \nDate to be confirmed by the publisher; this is the scheduled date. \n\nActual\n51.5 (August 2026)\, up from 50.9 in July\n\nFull schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI. \nUpdated September 2\, 2026 \n\nChina’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.5 in August 2026\, up from 50.9 in July and above the 51.0 median forecast in a Reuters poll\, according to data published by S&P Global and Caixin Media on September 1\, 2026. \nThe China Caixin Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 is due on Tuesday\, September 1\, 2026 at 9:45 am China Standard Time\, which is 9:45 pm ET on September 1 in the United States and 2:45 am in London on September 1. The survey is compiled by S&P Global and published under license for Caixin Media. It covers manufacturing activity in China during August 2026. Full schedule and background: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI. \nWhat is the Caixin Manufacturing PMI?\nThe Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index is a monthly survey of around 500 purchasing managers at small and medium-sized manufacturing firms across China. Each manager is asked whether output\, new orders\, employment\, supplier delivery times and stocks of purchased goods have risen\, fallen or stayed the same compared with the previous month. The answers are combined into a single index number. \nA reading above 50 signals that manufacturing activity is expanding compared with the previous month. A reading below 50 signals contraction. The distance from 50 indicates the pace of change\, so a jump from 50.9 to 52.0 suggests a meaningfully quicker expansion\, not just a continuation of growth. \nMarkets watch this release closely because China is the world’s largest manufacturing economy and a key supplier of goods to Europe\, the United States and the rest of Asia. Unlike the official government PMI\, which leans towards large\, state-linked firms\, the Caixin survey is weighted towards smaller\, export-oriented\, privately owned businesses. That makes it a useful gauge of how China’s private sector\, rather than state industry\, is faring\, and it often moves markets in Hong Kong\, Australia\, Japan and commodity-exporting economies such as Brazil and South Africa. \nWhen is the August Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?\nThe release is scheduled for September 1\, 2026 at 9:45 am China Standard Time (9:45 pm ET on September 1\, 2:45 am in London on September 1). The data is published on the S&P Global PMI release calendar and distributed to subscribers and financial news wires simultaneously. As with most PMI series\, the exact date has not yet been confirmed by the publisher for this specific month at the time of writing. S&P Global typically releases the manufacturing PMI on the first business day of the month following the survey period\, so September 1 is the expected date based on that established pattern. \nWhat is the consensus forecast?\nA consensus forecast for the August 2026 reading has not yet been published. Economist polls for PMI releases are typically compiled by wire services in the days immediately before publication\, so a median forecast is unlikely to appear until closer to September 1\, 2026. \nThe most recent published reading\, for July 2026\, came in at 50.9\, easing from 51.7 in June 2026\, according to reporting on the release. That July figure was also below the median forecast of 51.5 in polling ahead of the release\, and it marked an eighth consecutive month in expansion territory. \n\n\n\nMeasure\nPrior (June 2026)\nLatest published (July 2026)\n\n\n\n\nHeadline Manufacturing PMI\n51.7\n50.9\n\n\nNew export orders\nGrowth reported\nReturned to growth\n\n\n\nWhat the result could mean\n\n\n\nScenario\nLikely market read\nWhat it means in plain English\n\n\n\n\nAbove consensus / prior\nRead as a sign of resilient factory demand\, potentially supporting Asian equities and commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar\nChinese factories are getting more orders than expected\, which could feed through to global supply chains and export prices\n\n\nIn line with prior trend\nLimited market reaction\, seen as confirmation that the recent gradual slowdown from 51.7 to 50.9 is continuing rather than reversing\nGrowth continues but at a similar\, more modest pace\, with no fresh surprise for investors\n\n\nBelow consensus / prior\nCould be read as a warning sign for global demand and may weigh on risk assets tied to China\, including mining and shipping stocks\nChinese manufacturers are seeing fewer new orders\, which can signal softer demand both at home and from overseas buyers\n\n\n\nThese are possible market reactions described by analysts\, not predictions of what will happen on the day. \nWhy does this release matter right now?\nThe Caixin PMI has stayed above the 50 expansion threshold for eight straight months through July 2026\, according to reporting on the release\, even as the headline figure has eased from 51.7 in June to 50.9 in July. New export orders returned to growth in the July reading\, a detail analysts watch closely given ongoing trade tensions and tariff uncertainty between China\, the United States and Europe. \nChinese policymakers use PMI data alongside other indicators when calibrating stimulus measures\, and a run of weaker prints can increase pressure for additional fiscal or monetary support. Investors in Europe and the United States watch the series for early signs of changing demand for industrial inputs\, semiconductors and consumer electronics\, given China’s role in global supply chains. \nWhat It Means for Your Money\nMortgages and borrowing costs: a weaker Chinese PMI can push global bond yields lower as investors seek safety\, which sometimes feeds through to mortgage pricing in the UK\, US and eurozone\, though the link is indirect and takes time. \nSavings: most retail savings rates are set by domestic central bank policy rather than Chinese data directly\, but sustained weakness in China can add to the case for rate cuts elsewhere if it slows global growth. \nJobs and wages: workers in export-heavy sectors\, from German car parts suppliers to Australian miners\, are more exposed to Chinese manufacturing demand than most other employees. \nPrices: a stronger reading can support commodity and shipping costs\, which can filter into the price of goods on shelves in the UK\, Europe and the US. \nInvestments\, pensions and currencies: Asian equity markets\, mining shares and currencies such as the Australian dollar and Chinese yuan tend to be the most sensitive to this release\, and pension funds with exposure to Asian or commodity funds may see short-term price moves. \nRelated events\n\nChina’s official (NBS) Manufacturing PMI\, typically released a day or two before the Caixin figure\nUS ISM Manufacturing PMI\, usually released on the first business day of the month\nEurozone and UK manufacturing PMI releases from S&P Global\, published around the same time each month\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat time is the China Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?\nThe release is scheduled for 9:45 am China Standard Time on September 1\, 2026\, which is 9:45 pm ET on September 1 and 2:45 am in London on September 1. \nHow do I read the Caixin PMI number?\nA figure above 50 means manufacturing activity expanded from the previous month\, while a figure below 50 means it contracted\, with the distance from 50 indicating the pace of change. \nDoes the Caixin PMI affect UK and US interest rates?\nNot directly\, since UK and US rates are set by the Bank of England and Federal Reserve based on domestic conditions\, but persistent weakness in Chinese manufacturing can influence global growth expectations that feed into those decisions. \nWhere is the official Caixin PMI release published?\nThe data is published by S&P Global on its PMI release calendar and distributed to subscribers and financial media at the time of release. \nWhen is the next Caixin Manufacturing PMI released?\nThe following month’s reading\, covering September 2026 activity\, is expected around the first business day of October 2026\, following the usual release pattern. \nResults: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI\, August 2026\n\n\n\nMeasure\nConsensus\nActual\nPrior\n\n\n\n\nCaixin Manufacturing PMI (August 2026)\n51.0\n51.5\n50.9 (July 2026)\n\n\n\nThe headline index rose to 51.5 in August 2026\, extending its run above the 50 expansion threshold and beating the 51.0 median forecast from economists polled by Reuters ahead of the release. The reading marked an acceleration from July’s 50.9\, which had itself been a four-month low. Output and new orders both strengthened during the month\, with new export orders recording their fastest rise in around six months\, according to S&P Global’s survey commentary reported by IndexBox. \nThe pickup landed closer to the “above consensus” scenario flagged in the preview\, with firms reporting improved business confidence and steady hiring after gains in June and July. Order backlogs grew at their fastest pace since March 2026 and finished goods inventories rose at their quickest rate since September 2025\, pointing to firms building stock in anticipation of continued demand rather than a one-off surge\, according to RTTNews’ report on the release. \nThe private-sector Caixin gauge diverged from the official NBS manufacturing PMI\, which stayed in contraction at 49.8 for August\, underlining the gap between larger\, state-linked firms and the smaller\, export-oriented companies the Caixin survey samples. \nMarket Reaction\nA stronger-than-expected private-sector PMI is generally read by analysts as a supportive signal for risk sentiment tied to China\, including Asian equities\, industrial commodities and currencies such as the Australian dollar and the Chinese yuan\, given the survey’s tilt towards export-facing manufacturers. Detailed intraday moves in specific indices or currency pairs directly attributable to this release were not available from the sources checked at the time of writing. \nThe divergence between the expanding Caixin reading and the contracting official NBS PMI is likely to keep investors focused on which measure better reflects underlying momentum in China’s economy\, particularly for sectors exposed to the private\, export-led side of manufacturing rather than large state-linked producers. \nWhat this means for your money now\nThe outlook is broadly unchanged for most household finances outside China. The pickup in the Caixin PMI is a modestly encouraging signal for global manufacturing demand and supply chains\, but it is unlikely on its own to shift mortgage rates\, savings rates or major currency levels in the UK\, US or eurozone. Investors with exposure to Asian equities\, mining shares or commodity-linked currencies may see it as one data point supporting the case that China’s export sector is holding up better than the contracting official PMI suggests.
URL:https://www.financecalendar.com/event/china-caixin-manufacturing-pmi-september-2026/
CATEGORIES:Economic Indicators
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR