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DTSTART;TZID=UTC:20261210T000000
DTEND;TZID=UTC:20261210T235959
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SUMMARY:US CPI Report December 2026
DESCRIPTION:Home\n            ›\n            Events\n                        ›\n            Economic Indicators\n                        ›\n            US CPI Report December 2026\n        \n    \n\n    \n    \n        \n\n            \n            \n\n                                \n                \n                                    \n                \n                \n                \n                    \n                                                \n                            \n                            Economic Indicators                        \n                                                \n                            \n                            High Impact\n                        \n                    \n                    US CPI Report December 2026\n                                        The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November 2026 on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The release will provide the penultimate inflation reading of 2026\, arriving the day after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) delivers its final rate decision of the year on December 9\, 2026. \n                                        \n                        \n                            \n                            Thursday\, December 10\, 2026                        \n                        \n                        \n                            \n                            4 min read\n                        \n                        \n                        \n                            \n                            Finance Calendar Editorial\n                        \n                                            \n                \n\n                \n                \n                    At a Glance\n                    \n                        \n                            Event\n                            US CPI Report December 2026\n                        \n                        \n                            Date\n                            December 10\, 2026\n                        \n                                                \n                            Category\n                            Economic Indicators\n                        \n                        \n                            Impact\n                            High\n                        \n                    \n                \n\n                \n                \n                    \n\n  At a Glance \n\nRelease date: Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. ET\nPublishing body: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)\nReference month: November 2026\nMost recent reading: 3.8% YoY (April 2026)\nMarket impact: High\n\n\nWhat is the Consumer Price Index?\nThe Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) is the most widely followed measure of inflation in the United States. Published monthly by the BLS\, it tracks changes in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services covering approximately 93% of the US population. The basket includes categories such as housing\, food\, transport\, energy\, medical care\, apparel\, and recreation\, with housing carrying the largest weighting at around 32%. \nThe BLS collects price data from tens of thousands of retail and service establishments. The index is expressed as the year-over-year (YoY) rate and the month-over-month (MoM) change. Core CPI\, excluding food and energy\, is the metric most closely watched by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) for underlying inflation trends. \nCPI is released roughly 12 to 13 days after the reference month ends. The December 2026 release covers price changes in November 2026 and will contribute to the full-year inflation picture for 2026. \nUS CPI Release: December 10\, 2026\nThe December 10 release will provide the November 2026 inflation reading\, arriving one day after the FOMC meets on December 9. While the data will not influence the December rate decision directly (the Fed will already have made its call)\, it will immediately shape market expectations for the path of monetary policy in 2027. Strong inflationary persistence would push back the anticipated timeline for rate cuts; a confirmed deceleration would accelerate them. \nUS inflation started 2026 at 2.4% year-over-year in January before surging to 3.8% in April\, the highest rate since May 2023\, according to BLS data. The energy component rose 17.9% year-over-year in April\, with gasoline prices up 28.4%. The December reading will reveal whether those energy-driven price rises have faded through favourable base effects or have entrenched into broader price pressures. Consensus forecasts will be available closer to the release date. \nWhy This CPI Release Matters\nThe December CPI is the last major inflation data point of 2026 and will set the inflation narrative going into 2027. It follows the FOMC decision by just one day\, meaning the December 10 release will immediately begin shaping expectations for the January and March 2027 meetings. If the Fed cuts in December\, a hot November CPI reading could cause markets to question whether that cut was premature. If the Fed holds\, a cool reading would reinforce expectations for early 2027 easing. \nAt the same time\, the December reading will set the base for year-over-year comparisons in early 2027. If November 2026 inflation is significantly lower than November 2025\, the year-over-year rate will reflect that mechanically. Understanding the base effect is essential for interpreting the early 2027 inflation prints that follow. \nFor bond markets\, the December release will be crucial in determining where longer-duration yields settle into year-end and the new year. For equities\, confirmation that the 2026 inflationary episode is behind us would be a material positive\, particularly for rate-sensitive growth stocks that have faced persistent valuation headwinds throughout the year. \nWhat to Watch For\n\nAbove consensus: A reading that shows inflation re-accelerating in November (above 3.0-3.5%) would be a negative surprise given that energy base effects should be fading by this point. It would signal structural inflation persistence and push out expectations of rate cuts in 2027\, weighing on equities and bonds.\nIn line with consensus: A reading matching expectations would confirm the trajectory already priced in by markets. Attention would quickly shift to the December FOMC press conference and forward guidance for 2027\, particularly the updated Summary of Economic Projections.\nBelow consensus: A reading below 2.5% would signal that the 2026 inflation surge has been largely unwound and would significantly increase expectations of rate cuts early in 2027. Equities would rally broadly\, bond yields would fall\, and the US dollar would weaken.\n\nBy December\, the base effect from the April 2026 energy spike will be highly relevant. If energy prices have normalised or fallen since mid-2026\, the November year-over-year comparison will benefit from a mechanically easier base. Core services and shelter inflation will be the genuine gauge of underlying price pressure divorced from energy volatility. \nHistorical Context\n\n\n\nMonth\nYoY\nMoM\nCore YoY\n\n\n\n\nApril 2026\n3.8%\n+0.6%\n2.8%\n\n\nMarch 2026\n3.3%\n+0.9%\n2.6%\n\n\nFebruary 2026\n2.4%\n+0.2%\n—\n\n\nJanuary 2026\n2.4%\n—\n—\n\n\nDecember 2025\n2.7%\n—\n—\n\n\n\nSource: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. October and November 2025 data were not published due to the US government shutdown. MoM and core figures not available for all periods shown. \nMarket Positioning\nThe December 2026 CPI will close out the year’s inflation story and establish the baseline for 2027 expectations. Fixed income markets and the Fed funds futures curve will be acutely sensitive to this final reading\, given that it arrives the day after the December FOMC decision and in the context of year-end portfolio rebalancing. Liquidity typically thins in mid-December\, which can amplify market movements around data releases. \nFor equity investors looking ahead to 2027\, a confirmed downward trend in inflation through the final quarter of 2026 would represent a material improvement in the macro backdrop\, reducing the headwind from high interest rates and potentially re-opening the door to multiple expansion in growth sectors. \nRelated Events\n\nUS CPI Report November 2026 – The preceding monthly release covering October 2026 data.\nFOMC Rate Decision December 2026 – The Fed’s final meeting of 2026 on December 9\, the day before this CPI release.\nECB Rate Decision December 2026 – The ECB’s December meeting on December 17\, providing a comparison with European monetary policy as the year closes.\n\nFrequently Asked Questions\nWhat does the CPI measure?\nThe CPI measures the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed basket of goods and services\, including housing\, food\, transport\, energy\, and medical care. Published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics\, it is the primary measure of consumer price inflation in the United States. \nWhen is the December 2026 CPI report released?\nThe December 2026 CPI report will be released on Thursday\, December 10\, 2026\, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report covers price changes during November 2026. \nHow does the December CPI relate to 2027 monetary policy?\nThe December 10 release follows the FOMC’s December 9 decision by one day\, meaning it will not affect December’s vote but will immediately recalibrate expectations for January and March 2027 meetings. A continued deceleration in inflation would strengthen the case for the Fed to begin or continue cutting rates early in 2027\, which would have significant implications for bond yields\, equity valuations\, and the US dollar. \n                \n\n                \n                                \n                    Related events\n                    \n                                                \n                            \n                                Medium\n                                Microsoft Q4 FY2026 Earnings: What to Expect on 28 July 2026\n                                Jul 28\n                            \n                        \n                                                \n                            \n                                Medium\n                                Alphabet Q2 2026 Earnings: What to Expect on 28 July 2026\n                                Jul 28\n                            \n                        \n                                                \n                            \n                                Medium\n                                META Earnings July 2026\n                                Jul 29\n                            \n                        \n                                            \n                \n                \n            \n\n            \n            \n\n                \n                                \n                    Upcoming Events\n                    \n                                                \n                            \n                            \n                                28 Jul\n                                Microsoft Q4 FY2026 Earnings: What to Expect on 28 July 2026\n                            \n                        \n                                                \n                            \n                            \n                                28 Jul\n                                Alphabet Q2 2026 Earnings: What to Expect on 28 July 2026\n                            \n                        \n                                                \n                            \n                            \n                                29 Jul\n                                FOMC Rate Decision July 2026\n                            \n                        \n                                                \n                            \n                            \n                                29 Jul\n                                META Earnings July 2026\n                            \n                        \n                                                \n                            \n                            \n                                30 Jul\n                                US Gross Domestic Product July 2026\n                            \n                        \n                                                \n                            \n                            \n                                30 Jul\n                                Bank of England MPC Rate Decision July 2026\n                            \n                        \n                                            \n                \n                \n                \n                                \n                    Add to Calendar\n                    \n                        Get a reminder before this release lands. \n                        \n                            \n                                \n                                Google Calendar\n                            \n                            \n                                \n                                Apple / Outlook (.ics)\n                            \n                        \n                    \n                \n                \n                \n                                \n                    Event Series\n                    \n                        Economic Indicators\n                        All upcoming economic indicators events with previews and analysis. \n                        View all events →\n                                                CPI release schedule →
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